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Spurious correlation #4,343 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is American cheese consumption and the second variable is Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan.  The chart goes from 1990 to 2020, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As American cheese consumption goes up, so does the nation's level of cheesy puns and jokes. This extra cheesiness leads to a gouda mood overall, prompting people to brie more lighthearted and provolone in their interactions. As a result, when it comes time to cast their ballots, they may feel feta about the candidate who promises to bring the most cheddar to the table. So, it's not just a queso coincidence that as American cheese consumption rises, so does support for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan. After all, in the land of the free, home of the brave, and kingdom of cheese, anything is nacho-sible!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate a comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s, depicting a cozy diner in Michigan. In the illustration, people are savouring slices of American cheese on their burgers and sandwiches, as cheesy jokes and puns fill the air, creating a gouda mood. The patrons are depicted smiling and engaging in lighthearted conversations, feeling more relaxed and playful. As they leave the diner, they walk past a voting booth adorned with a sign supporting the Republican Presidential candidate, and some of them are shown expressing their support, feeling feta about the candidate's promises. The cheesy ambiance seems to have influenced their political leanings, as the correlation between American cheese consumption and support for the candidate becomes apparent. This collage forms a delightful and captivating visual narrative. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Whimsical illustration Minimalism A comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s Concept art Art nouveau
ChatGPT: A comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan, in the following situation: As American cheese consumption goes up, so does the nation's level of cheesy puns and jokes. This extra cheesiness leads to a gouda mood overall, prompting people to brie more lighthearted and provolone in their interactions. As a result, when it comes time to cast their ballots, they may feel feta about the candidate who promises to bring the most cheddar to the table. So, it's not just a queso coincidence that as American cheese consumption rises, so does support for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan. After all, in the land of the free, home of the brave, and kingdom of cheese, anything is nacho-sible!. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In a cozy diner in Michigan, people are enjoying slices of American cheese on their burgers and sandwiches, as cheesy jokes and puns fill the air, creating a gouda mood. The patrons are smiling and engaging in lighthearted conversations, feeling more relaxed and playful. As they leave the diner, they walk past a voting booth adorned with a sign supporting the Republican Presidential candidate, and some of them express their support, feeling feta about the candidate's promises. The cheesy ambiance seems to have influenced their political leanings, as the correlation between American cheese consumption and support for the candidate becomes apparent.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ A comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s ] and depicting this scene: In a cozy diner in Michigan, people are enjoying slices of American cheese on their burgers and sandwiches, as cheesy jokes and puns fill the air, creating a gouda mood. The patrons are smiling and engaging in lighthearted conversations, feeling more relaxed and playful. As they leave the diner, they walk past a voting booth adorned with a sign supporting the Republican Presidential candidate, and some of them express their support, feeling feta about the candidate's promises. The cheesy ambiance seems to have influenced their political leanings, as the correlation between American cheese consumption and support for the candidate becomes apparent. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate a comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s, depicting a cozy diner in Michigan. In the illustration, people are savouring slices of American cheese on their burgers and sandwiches, as cheesy jokes and puns fill the air, creating a gouda mood. The patrons are depicted smiling and engaging in lighthearted conversations, feeling more relaxed and playful. As they leave the diner, they walk past a voting booth adorned with a sign supporting the Republican Presidential candidate, and some of them are shown expressing their support, feeling feta about the candidate's promises. The cheesy ambiance seems to have influenced their political leanings, as the correlation between American cheese consumption and support for the candidate becomes apparent. This collage forms a delightful and captivating visual narrative.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in American cheese consumption caused Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan to increase.\Make it sound serious until the end.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
The Cheddar Vote: American Cheese Consumption and Republican Candidate Preference in Michigan

Journal of Dairy Politics

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Rhyme words in the title.

Your research team used data from USDA and MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9159304 and p < 0.01 for 1990 to 2020.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
The Cheddar Vote: American Cheese Consumption and Republican Candidate Preference in Michigan

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study seeks to examine the relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Michigan. Using data from the USDA and MIT Election Data and Science Lab, as well as the Harvard Dataverse, our research team delved into this rather provocative inquiry. Surprisingly, our analyses revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9159304 with a significance level of p < 0.01 over the period spanning from 1990 to 2020. Our findings suggest a potential "cheesy" determinant in political preference, stirring both fascination and amusement alike. This paper offers a humorous twist on understanding the interplay between dietary choices and political inclinations, offering insights that are as delightful as a well-crafted cheese platter.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Cheddar Vote: American Cheese Consumption and Republican Candidate Preference in Michigan

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study seeks to examine the relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Michigan. Using data from the USDA and MIT Election Data and Science Lab, as well as the Harvard Dataverse, our research team delved into this rather provocative inquiry. Surprisingly, our analyses revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9159304 with a significance level of p < 0.01 over the period spanning from 1990 to 2020. Our findings suggest a potential "cheesy" determinant in political preference, stirring both fascination and amusement alike. This paper offers a humorous twist on understanding the interplay between dietary choices and political inclinations, offering insights that are as delightful as a well-crafted cheese platter.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
INTRODUCTION

The cheese stands alone, but does it stand alone in influencing political choices? That is the rather cheesy question we seek to explore in this research paper. While academic inquiry into the complex interplay between diet and politics usually invokes thoughts of debates over policy, our investigation takes a more literal approach by examining the correlation between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in Michigan. The state's political landscape has long been a topic of interest, and the dairy farms have not been immune to metaphorical eye-rolling when it comes to electoral outcomes.

As we delve into this quixotic quest, we expect to encounter both serious data analysis and a smattering of whimsical observations. For, indeed, our subject matter – the consumption of sliceable, meltable, and oh-so-luscious American cheese, paired with the choices made at the ballot box – rouses interests both scholarly and savory. As the saying goes, "In Gouda we trust," but perhaps in this investigation, one ought to say, "In Gouda, cheddar, and even Swiss, we find political twists."

We are keenly aware that this unique enterprise may elicit raised eyebrows and wry smiles alike. However, the intriguing findings that emerge from our analysis speak volumes, not only about the palate preferences of Michiganders, but also about the possible correlations between dietary habits and electoral leanings. Our results may ignite a "grate" deal of fascination and amusement, and we hope to lend a "wedge" of insight into the ever-surprising realm of political behavior. So, grab a slice of cheese, if you please, and join us on this curious journey through the intersection of dairy and democracy.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then you might move on to cartoons and children's shows that you watched for research.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Cheddar Vote: American Cheese Consumption and Republican Candidate Preference in Michigan

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study seeks to examine the relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Michigan. Using data from the USDA and MIT Election Data and Science Lab, as well as the Harvard Dataverse, our research team delved into this rather provocative inquiry. Surprisingly, our analyses revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9159304 with a significance level of p < 0.01 over the period spanning from 1990 to 2020. Our findings suggest a potential "cheesy" determinant in political preference, stirring both fascination and amusement alike. This paper offers a humorous twist on understanding the interplay between dietary choices and political inclinations, offering insights that are as delightful as a well-crafted cheese platter.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The cheese stands alone, but does it stand alone in influencing political choices? That is the rather cheesy question we seek to explore in this research paper. While academic inquiry into the complex interplay between diet and politics usually invokes thoughts of debates over policy, our investigation takes a more literal approach by examining the correlation between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in Michigan. The state's political landscape has long been a topic of interest, and the dairy farms have not been immune to metaphorical eye-rolling when it comes to electoral outcomes.
As we delve into this quixotic quest, we expect to encounter both serious data analysis and a smattering of whimsical observations. For, indeed, our subject matter – the consumption of sliceable, meltable, and oh-so-luscious American cheese, paired with the choices made at the ballot box – rouses interests both scholarly and savory. As the saying goes, "In Gouda we trust," but perhaps in this investigation, one ought to say, "In Gouda, cheddar, and even Swiss, we find political twists."
We are keenly aware that this unique enterprise may elicit raised eyebrows and wry smiles alike. However, the intriguing findings that emerge from our analysis speak volumes, not only about the palate preferences of Michiganders, but also about the possible correlations between dietary habits and electoral leanings. Our results may ignite a "grate" deal of fascination and amusement, and we hope to lend a "wedge" of insight into the ever-surprising realm of political behavior. So, grab a slice of cheese, if you please, and join us on this curious journey through the intersection of dairy and democracy.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
LITERATURE REVIEW

In their seminal work, Smith and Doe (2005) conducted a thorough analysis of dairy consumption patterns and political affiliations, shedding light on the influence of cheese on voting behavior. Their findings suggested a potential link between cheddar consumption and conservative leanings, a correlation that raises eyebrows and perhaps cravings for a good grilled cheese sandwich. Building upon this foundation, Jones and Miller (2010) further explored the nuanced connection between dietary choices and political preferences, delving into the peculiarities of cheese varieties and their potential impact on electoral outcomes.

Moving beyond the realm of academic studies, "The Big Cheese: A Comprehensive History of American Dairy" by A. Lactate (2012) provides a deep dive into the cultural significance of cheese in American society, offering a tantalizing backdrop for understanding the potential sway of cheese on political allegiances. On a more fictitious note, "The Cheese Wars: A Political Thriller" by Brie T. Melt (2018) weaves a compelling narrative around clandestine cheese-based plots and their repercussions in the political arena, offering a whimsical lens through which to view the interplay of cheese and elections.

Eager to capture a broader perspective, our research team delved into uncharted territory, immersing themselves in a thorough analysis of cartoons and children's shows popular in Michigan. Anecdotal evidence from characters such as "The Powerpuff Girls" and "Tom and Jerry" hinted at a curious obsession with cheese, planting the seeds of curiosity about its potential influence on political inclinations. As the saying goes, the "cheese stands alone" – but perhaps not without leaving a subtle imprint on voter behavior.

With a dash of humor and a sprinkling of curiosity, we ventured into the whimsical world of cheese-related literature and popular culture, priming our appetite for the empirical exploration that follows. As we embark on this swiss-terious journey, we are poised to uncover the cheesy truth behind Michigan's political appetites.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from USDA and MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse . You used data from 1990 to 2020

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Cheddar Vote: American Cheese Consumption and Republican Candidate Preference in Michigan

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study seeks to examine the relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Michigan. Using data from the USDA and MIT Election Data and Science Lab, as well as the Harvard Dataverse, our research team delved into this rather provocative inquiry. Surprisingly, our analyses revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9159304 with a significance level of p < 0.01 over the period spanning from 1990 to 2020. Our findings suggest a potential "cheesy" determinant in political preference, stirring both fascination and amusement alike. This paper offers a humorous twist on understanding the interplay between dietary choices and political inclinations, offering insights that are as delightful as a well-crafted cheese platter.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The cheese stands alone, but does it stand alone in influencing political choices? That is the rather cheesy question we seek to explore in this research paper. While academic inquiry into the complex interplay between diet and politics usually invokes thoughts of debates over policy, our investigation takes a more literal approach by examining the correlation between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in Michigan. The state's political landscape has long been a topic of interest, and the dairy farms have not been immune to metaphorical eye-rolling when it comes to electoral outcomes.
As we delve into this quixotic quest, we expect to encounter both serious data analysis and a smattering of whimsical observations. For, indeed, our subject matter – the consumption of sliceable, meltable, and oh-so-luscious American cheese, paired with the choices made at the ballot box – rouses interests both scholarly and savory. As the saying goes, "In Gouda we trust," but perhaps in this investigation, one ought to say, "In Gouda, cheddar, and even Swiss, we find political twists."
We are keenly aware that this unique enterprise may elicit raised eyebrows and wry smiles alike. However, the intriguing findings that emerge from our analysis speak volumes, not only about the palate preferences of Michiganders, but also about the possible correlations between dietary habits and electoral leanings. Our results may ignite a "grate" deal of fascination and amusement, and we hope to lend a "wedge" of insight into the ever-surprising realm of political behavior. So, grab a slice of cheese, if you please, and join us on this curious journey through the intersection of dairy and democracy.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

METHODOLOGY

Data Collection and Variables
Our study design utilized a combination of cheese consumption data from the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) and voting results for Republican presidential candidates in Michigan from the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, as well as the Harvard Dataverse. The allocation of these datasets allowed us to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in Michigan spanning from 1990 to 2020. As our data sources were not assembled solely from cheese boards and polling stations, but also from the depths of online repositories, we ensured a diverse sampling of cheesy and political information.

Cheese Consumption Measurement
Quantifying American cheese consumption proved to be a rather "gouda" challenge, as it involved navigating through a myriad of dairy product consumption records. In order to obtain an accurate measure, we meticulously factored in the consumption of American cheese slices, blocks, and even the occasional individual processed cheese slice in the assessment. We did not discriminate against any form of American processed cheese product, recognizing that each contributes to the overall "cheesy" landscape of culinary choices.

Republican Candidate Preference
The dichotomous outcome variable for our analysis was the votes for the Republican candidate in Michigan's presidential elections. To ensure an unbiased representation, we scrutinized election results across various counties in the state, effectively capturing the political preferences of Michiganders through the years.

Statistical Analysis
To ascertain the relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in Michigan, we employed a series of rigorous statistical analyses. Utilizing bivariate correlations, linear regression modeling, and other sophisticated tools, we aimed to unravel the "wheys" behind the observed patterns and quantify the strength of association between cheese consumption and Republican candidate preference. Additionally, we integrated covariates to account for potential confounding factors, considering the multifaceted nature of political decision-making.

Control Variables
In recognizing the complexity of political dynamics, we incorporated various control variables in our analyses, including demographic variables, economic indicators, and other contextual factors that could influence voting behavior. Our intent was to disentangle the influence of American cheese from other potential influencers, such as income, education, and even proximity to artisanal cheese shops.

Ethical Considerations
Given the lighthearted nature of our investigation, it is essential to underscore our unwavering commitment to research integrity and ethical conduct. We approached this study with the utmost professionalism and academic rigor, despite the temptation to insert a "cheesy" pun at every turn. Our endeavor was propelled by a genuine curiosity and a commitment to scholarly inquiry, and it did not involve any unauthorized use of cheeseboard supplies or ballot boxes.

Limitations
While our methodology aimed to capture the essence of American cheese consumption and Republican candidate preference in Michigan, it is essential to acknowledge the potential limitations of our study. The use of aggregated data presents challenges in establishing causal relationships, and unmeasured variables may influence the observed associations. Furthermore, the generalizability of our findings to other states or types of cheese warrants caution, as the impact of political preferences may unfold differently in regions with distinctive cheese cultures.

In summary, our methodology combined careful data collection, thorough variable measurement, and sophisticated statistical techniques to unearth the intriguing relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in Michigan. We were diligent in navigating the "cheese labyrinth" of data and political intricacies, endeavoring to provide a "grate" contribution to the intersection of dietary habits and electoral inclinations.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from USDA and MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse .

For the time period 1990 to 2020, you found a correlation 0.9159304, r-squared of 0.8389286, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Cheddar Vote: American Cheese Consumption and Republican Candidate Preference in Michigan

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study seeks to examine the relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Michigan. Using data from the USDA and MIT Election Data and Science Lab, as well as the Harvard Dataverse, our research team delved into this rather provocative inquiry. Surprisingly, our analyses revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9159304 with a significance level of p < 0.01 over the period spanning from 1990 to 2020. Our findings suggest a potential "cheesy" determinant in political preference, stirring both fascination and amusement alike. This paper offers a humorous twist on understanding the interplay between dietary choices and political inclinations, offering insights that are as delightful as a well-crafted cheese platter.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
INTRODUCTION
The cheese stands alone, but does it stand alone in influencing political choices? That is the rather cheesy question we seek to explore in this research paper. While academic inquiry into the complex interplay between diet and politics usually invokes thoughts of debates over policy, our investigation takes a more literal approach by examining the correlation between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in Michigan. The state's political landscape has long been a topic of interest, and the dairy farms have not been immune to metaphorical eye-rolling when it comes to electoral outcomes.
As we delve into this quixotic quest, we expect to encounter both serious data analysis and a smattering of whimsical observations. For, indeed, our subject matter – the consumption of sliceable, meltable, and oh-so-luscious American cheese, paired with the choices made at the ballot box – rouses interests both scholarly and savory. As the saying goes, "In Gouda we trust," but perhaps in this investigation, one ought to say, "In Gouda, cheddar, and even Swiss, we find political twists."
We are keenly aware that this unique enterprise may elicit raised eyebrows and wry smiles alike. However, the intriguing findings that emerge from our analysis speak volumes, not only about the palate preferences of Michiganders, but also about the possible correlations between dietary habits and electoral leanings. Our results may ignite a "grate" deal of fascination and amusement, and we hope to lend a "wedge" of insight into the ever-surprising realm of political behavior. So, grab a slice of cheese, if you please, and join us on this curious journey through the intersection of dairy and democracy.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The statistical analysis conducted on the relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in Michigan yielded some rather surprising and, dare I say, "gouda" results. Our data revealed a remarkably strong positive correlation between these two variables, with a correlation coefficient of 0.9159304 and an r-squared value of 0.8389286, both of which were significant at the p < 0.01 level.

This investigation uncovered a profound association between the consumption of American cheese and the preferences for the Republican candidate in Michigan over the period from 1990 to 2020. The robust correlation suggests that as American cheese consumption increases, so does the likelihood of voting for the Republican presidential candidate. This phenomenon, though unexpected, presents an intriguing avenue for further exploration – a "cheddar trail," if you will – into the potential influence of dairy products on political choices.

Figure 1 depicts the scatterplot illustrating the conspicuous relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican candidate in Michigan, further emphasizing the striking nature of the correlation observed in our analysis.

These findings add a flavorful dimension to the discourse on the intersection of dietary habits and political inclinations, serving as a reminder that even the most unassuming of foodstuffs may possess a subtle yet significant influence on electoral behaviors. In sum, our study suggests an underlying link – some might even say a "grate" conspiracy – between "The Cheddar Vote" and the political landscape in Michigan.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
The Cheddar Vote: American Cheese Consumption and Republican Candidate Preference in Michigan

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study seeks to examine the relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Michigan. Using data from the USDA and MIT Election Data and Science Lab, as well as the Harvard Dataverse, our research team delved into this rather provocative inquiry. Surprisingly, our analyses revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9159304 with a significance level of p < 0.01 over the period spanning from 1990 to 2020. Our findings suggest a potential "cheesy" determinant in political preference, stirring both fascination and amusement alike. This paper offers a humorous twist on understanding the interplay between dietary choices and political inclinations, offering insights that are as delightful as a well-crafted cheese platter.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
LITERATURE REVIEW
In their seminal work, Smith and Doe (2005) conducted a thorough analysis of dairy consumption patterns and political affiliations, shedding light on the influence of cheese on voting behavior. Their findings suggested a potential link between cheddar consumption and conservative leanings, a correlation that raises eyebrows and perhaps cravings for a good grilled cheese sandwich. Building upon this foundation, Jones and Miller (2010) further explored the nuanced connection between dietary choices and political preferences, delving into the peculiarities of cheese varieties and their potential impact on electoral outcomes.
Moving beyond the realm of academic studies, "The Big Cheese: A Comprehensive History of American Dairy" by A. Lactate (2012) provides a deep dive into the cultural significance of cheese in American society, offering a tantalizing backdrop for understanding the potential sway of cheese on political allegiances. On a more fictitious note, "The Cheese Wars: A Political Thriller" by Brie T. Melt (2018) weaves a compelling narrative around clandestine cheese-based plots and their repercussions in the political arena, offering a whimsical lens through which to view the interplay of cheese and elections.
Eager to capture a broader perspective, our research team delved into uncharted territory, immersing themselves in a thorough analysis of cartoons and children's shows popular in Michigan. Anecdotal evidence from characters such as "The Powerpuff Girls" and "Tom and Jerry" hinted at a curious obsession with cheese, planting the seeds of curiosity about its potential influence on political inclinations. As the saying goes, the "cheese stands alone" – but perhaps not without leaving a subtle imprint on voter behavior.
With a dash of humor and a sprinkling of curiosity, we ventured into the whimsical world of cheese-related literature and popular culture, priming our appetite for the empirical exploration that follows. As we embark on this swiss-terious journey, we are poised to uncover the cheesy truth behind Michigan's political appetites.

[[RESULTS]]
The statistical analysis conducted on the relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in Michigan yielded some rather surprising and, dare I say, "gouda" results. Our data revealed a remarkably strong positive correlation between these two variables, with a correlation coefficient of 0.9159304 and an r-squared value of 0.8389286, both of which were significant at the p < 0.01 level.
This investigation uncovered a profound association between the consumption of American cheese and the preferences for the Republican candidate in Michigan over the period from 1990 to 2020. The robust correlation suggests that as American cheese consumption increases, so does the likelihood of voting for the Republican presidential candidate. This phenomenon, though unexpected, presents an intriguing avenue for further exploration – a "cheddar trail," if you will – into the potential influence of dairy products on political choices.
Figure 1 depicts the scatterplot illustrating the conspicuous relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican candidate in Michigan, further emphasizing the striking nature of the correlation observed in our analysis.
These findings add a flavorful dimension to the discourse on the intersection of dietary habits and political inclinations, serving as a reminder that even the most unassuming of foodstuffs may possess a subtle yet significant influence on electoral behaviors. In sum, our study suggests an underlying link – some might even say a "grate" conspiracy – between "The Cheddar Vote" and the political landscape in Michigan.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The correlation between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in Michigan, as demonstrated by our study, lends credence to the previously overlooked influence of cheese on political preferences. Our findings not only substantiate the work of Smith and Doe (2005) and Jones and Miller (2010), but also provide empirical support for the less conventional sources such as "The Big Cheese" by A. Lactate (2012) and the intriguing political tale woven by Brie T. Melt (2018). Delving into the data, we could almost say that our results were "brie-lliantly" aligned with the existing literature, showcasing the "gouda-ness" of correlations that have long been hinted at in scholarly discourse.

The link between cheese consumption and political leanings, while perhaps initially met with a smirk, has now emerged as a topic ripe for "grate" exploration. The relationship we observed between American cheese consumption and Republican candidate preference in Michigan underscores the significance of seemingly trivial dietary choices in shaping electoral behaviors. Much like a well-aged cheddar, our findings add depth and complexity to the "cheesy" discourse, inviting further inquiry into the nuanced interplay between food habits and political allegiances.

The humorous musings of our literature review, from the clandestine cheese-based plots in "The Cheese Wars" to the whimsical anecdotes of popular cartoons, have now been imbued with a flavor of empirical validation. Indeed, the "cheese stands not-so-alone" in its potential impact on voter behavior, serving as a reminder that even the most commonplace items can hold sway over electoral decisions.

Our results offer a cheesy yet compelling narrative, hinting at the "buttery" smooth association between American cheese consumption and Republican candidate preference in Michigan. As we "whey" the evidence and savor the implications of our findings, we are drawn to a "gouda" conclusion – that the "Cheddar Vote" may very well be a swiss-terious ingredient in the complex recipe of political affiliations. In sum, our study adds a "cheese-tastic" dimension to the broader tapestry of research on the quirky yet impactful influences on political inclinations.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
The Cheddar Vote: American Cheese Consumption and Republican Candidate Preference in Michigan

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study seeks to examine the relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Michigan. Using data from the USDA and MIT Election Data and Science Lab, as well as the Harvard Dataverse, our research team delved into this rather provocative inquiry. Surprisingly, our analyses revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9159304 with a significance level of p < 0.01 over the period spanning from 1990 to 2020. Our findings suggest a potential "cheesy" determinant in political preference, stirring both fascination and amusement alike. This paper offers a humorous twist on understanding the interplay between dietary choices and political inclinations, offering insights that are as delightful as a well-crafted cheese platter.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The cheese stands alone, but does it stand alone in influencing political choices? That is the rather cheesy question we seek to explore in this research paper. While academic inquiry into the complex interplay between diet and politics usually invokes thoughts of debates over policy, our investigation takes a more literal approach by examining the correlation between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in Michigan. The state's political landscape has long been a topic of interest, and the dairy farms have not been immune to metaphorical eye-rolling when it comes to electoral outcomes.
As we delve into this quixotic quest, we expect to encounter both serious data analysis and a smattering of whimsical observations. For, indeed, our subject matter – the consumption of sliceable, meltable, and oh-so-luscious American cheese, paired with the choices made at the ballot box – rouses interests both scholarly and savory. As the saying goes, "In Gouda we trust," but perhaps in this investigation, one ought to say, "In Gouda, cheddar, and even Swiss, we find political twists."
We are keenly aware that this unique enterprise may elicit raised eyebrows and wry smiles alike. However, the intriguing findings that emerge from our analysis speak volumes, not only about the palate preferences of Michiganders, but also about the possible correlations between dietary habits and electoral leanings. Our results may ignite a "grate" deal of fascination and amusement, and we hope to lend a "wedge" of insight into the ever-surprising realm of political behavior. So, grab a slice of cheese, if you please, and join us on this curious journey through the intersection of dairy and democracy.

[[RESULTS]]
The statistical analysis conducted on the relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in Michigan yielded some rather surprising and, dare I say, "gouda" results. Our data revealed a remarkably strong positive correlation between these two variables, with a correlation coefficient of 0.9159304 and an r-squared value of 0.8389286, both of which were significant at the p < 0.01 level.
This investigation uncovered a profound association between the consumption of American cheese and the preferences for the Republican candidate in Michigan over the period from 1990 to 2020. The robust correlation suggests that as American cheese consumption increases, so does the likelihood of voting for the Republican presidential candidate. This phenomenon, though unexpected, presents an intriguing avenue for further exploration – a "cheddar trail," if you will – into the potential influence of dairy products on political choices.
Figure 1 depicts the scatterplot illustrating the conspicuous relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican candidate in Michigan, further emphasizing the striking nature of the correlation observed in our analysis.
These findings add a flavorful dimension to the discourse on the intersection of dietary habits and political inclinations, serving as a reminder that even the most unassuming of foodstuffs may possess a subtle yet significant influence on electoral behaviors. In sum, our study suggests an underlying link – some might even say a "grate" conspiracy – between "The Cheddar Vote" and the political landscape in Michigan.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, the revelation of a strong positive correlation between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in Michigan is indeed a "gouda" surprise. Our study serves as a reminder that the world of politics can be as rich and diverse as a well-stocked cheese platter. It appears that as Michiganders indulged in the savory delights of American cheese, their political inclinations leaned towards the "sharp" and "aged" side of the spectrum.

While we have uncovered a "grate" deal of insight, it is crucial to note that this correlation does not necessarily imply causation. Factors such as cultural preferences, socioeconomic dynamics, and perhaps even a penchant for cheesy metaphors could be at play. Nevertheless, our findings add a unique flavor to the ongoing discourse on the intricate relationships between dietary habits and political affiliations.

In light of this, it seems that a "cheese-based" political compass may not be as "cheddar-ed" as one might think. Hence, it is with a "brie-liant" sense of accomplishment that we assert no further research is needed in this rather "cheesy" domain. After all, we may have "feta" luck next time trying to find such a "gouda" correlation again.

In the words of the great cheese enthusiasts, "Say cheese and vote wisely!"

No more research is needed in this area.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited The Cheddar Vote: American Cheese Consumption and Republican Candidate Preference in Michigan. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

Journal of Dairy Politics


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited The Cheddar Vote: American Cheese Consumption and Republican Candidate Preference in Michigan. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Dairy Dynamics Research Institute


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled The Cheddar Vote: American Cheese Consumption and Republican Candidate Preference in Michigan with an abstract of This study seeks to examine the relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Michigan. Using data from the USDA and MIT Election Data and Science Lab, as well as the Harvard Dataverse, our research team delved into this rather provocative inquiry. Surprisingly, our analyses revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9159304 with a significance level of p < 0.01 over the period spanning from 1990 to 2020. Our findings suggest a potential "cheesy" determinant in political preference, stirring both fascination and amusement alike. This paper offers a humorous twist on understanding the interplay between dietary choices and political inclinations, offering insights that are as delightful as a well-crafted cheese platter.

ChatGPT:

American cheese consumption, Republican candidate preference, Michigan, USDA data, MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse, correlation coefficient, significance level, political preference, dietary choices, cheese platter

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

American cheese consumption
Detailed data title: Per capita consumption of American cheese in the US
Source: USDA
See what else correlates with American cheese consumption

Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan
Detailed data title: Total votes cast for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan
Source: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse
See what else correlates with Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan

Correlation r = 0.9159304 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.8389286 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 83.9% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., American cheese consumption) over the 8 years from 1990 through 2020.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 0.0014. 0.0013933589703883907000000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.92 in 0.14% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 718 random variables Which I absolutely did.
with the same 7 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 7 because we have two variables measured over a period of 8 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.6, 0.98 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
19921996200020042008201220162020
American cheese consumption (Pounds per person)11.255911.808712.683912.861213.130613.256914.362115.5
Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan (Total votes)15549401481210195314023137502048640211526022795402649850




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Confounding variable: 2020 is particularly different from the other years on this graph. Confounding variables (like global pandemics) will cause two variables to look connected when in fact a "sneaky third" variable is influencing both of them behind the scenes.
  5. Very low n: There are not many data points included in this analysis. Even if the p-value is high, we should be suspicious of using so few datapoints in a correlation.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([11.2559,11.8087,12.6839,12.8612,13.1306,13.2569,14.3621,15.5,])
array_2 = np.array([1554940,1481210,1953140,2313750,2048640,2115260,2279540,2649850,])
array_1_name = "American cheese consumption"
array_2_name = "Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Michigan"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

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Correlation ID: 4343 · Black Variable ID: 553 · Red Variable ID: 25993
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