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Spurious correlation #3,630 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and the second variable is The number of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina.  The chart goes from 2012 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving increased, so did the knowledge of optimal foot ergonomics, leading to a surge in demand for manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. After all, when it comes to pampering the hardworking feet of the southeast, it's all about a-heeling the transportation-related stress and toe-tally understanding the science of smooth rides for the pinky toes!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image in the style of pop art portraying a vibrant scene with a playful mix of a group of graduates in transportation and materials moving receiving their Bachelor's degrees, a bustling salon in South Carolina, and a large road sign in the background. The graduates are wearing colorful caps and gowns, and they are standing proudly while holding their degrees. The salon is filled with manicurists and pedicurists working on their clients, the colors of their nail polishes and tools stand out in a lively way. Meanwhile, cars are depicted whizzing by outside the salon window. The whole scene is bright, bold, and full of energy, in classic pop art style. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and The number of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Magic realism Pop art An image that looks like it is a scene from A Disney Movie Vaporwave Cyberpunk
ChatGPT: Pop art

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and The number of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina, in the following situation: Because more people are getting degrees in transportation, they nail the concept of moving from one place to the other. This success on the road naturally leads to a desire for fancy footwork, prompting South Carolina to see a surge in manicurists and pedicurists making sure those on the move have toes that are in the fast lane!. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: A group of graduates wearing caps and gowns are receiving Bachelor's degrees in transportation and materials moving, with a large road sign in the background. Meanwhile, a bustling salon in South Carolina is filled with manicurists and pedicurists attending to a line of clients, with cars whizzing by outside the window.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Pop art ] and depicting this scene: A group of graduates wearing caps and gowns are receiving Bachelor's degrees in transportation and materials moving, with a large road sign in the background. Meanwhile, a bustling salon in South Carolina is filled with manicurists and pedicurists attending to a line of clients, with cars whizzing by outside the window. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image in the style of pop art portraying a vibrant scene with a playful mix of a group of graduates in transportation and materials moving receiving their Bachelor's degrees, a bustling salon in South Carolina, and a large road sign in the background. The graduates are wearing colorful caps and gowns, and they are standing proudly while holding their degrees. The salon is filled with manicurists and pedicurists working on their clients, the colors of their nail polishes and tools stand out in a lively way. Meanwhile, cars are depicted whizzing by outside the salon window. The whole scene is bright, bold, and full of energy, in classic pop art style.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving caused The number of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina to increase. Make it feel plausible.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
The Tenuous Ties between Transportation and Trained Toenails: A Twisted Tale

The Journal of Pedal-Powered Podiatry

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and The number of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Make the title an alliteration.

Your research team used data from National Center for Education Statistics and Bureau of Larbor Statistics to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9780438 and p < 0.01 for 2012 to 2021.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
The Tenuous Ties between Transportation and Trained Toenails: A Twisted Tale

[[ABSTRACT]]
The present study delves into the perplexing intersection of the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. By analyzing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we sought to uncover any semblance of a connection between these seemingly disparate fields.

Surprisingly, our analysis yielded a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9780438 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the period spanning 2012 to 2021. It appears that as the number of Bachelor's degrees in Transportation and materials moving increased, there was a corresponding rise in the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina.

This unexpected correlation prompted the research team to ponder: Are South Carolinians so enamored with transportation that even their manicurists and pedicurists are influenced by the allure of the open road? Perhaps they simply appreciate a good "pedi-cab" service. Ah, the joy of wordplay!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and The number of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Tenuous Ties between Transportation and Trained Toenails: A Twisted Tale

[[ABSTRACT]]
The present study delves into the perplexing intersection of the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. By analyzing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we sought to uncover any semblance of a connection between these seemingly disparate fields.

Surprisingly, our analysis yielded a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9780438 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the period spanning 2012 to 2021. It appears that as the number of Bachelor's degrees in Transportation and materials moving increased, there was a corresponding rise in the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina.

This unexpected correlation prompted the research team to ponder: Are South Carolinians so enamored with transportation that even their manicurists and pedicurists are influenced by the allure of the open road? Perhaps they simply appreciate a good "pedi-cab" service. Ah, the joy of wordplay!

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

The relationship between educational attainment in a specific field and the labor market outcomes in an entirely different sector is a topic that has intrigued scholars and practitioners alike. In this vein, we embarked on an investigation into the curious connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in the state of South Carolina. This seemingly incongruous pairing led us down a winding road of data analysis and interpretation, ultimately revealing an unexpected correlation that tickled our statistical sensibilities.

The puns in this research practically write themselves - though nit-picking potentially undermines the serious intent of our findings.

As we delve into the intricate web of data, our initial pondering led to a quest for answers. Could there be a deeper connection between the art of nail care and the field of transportation? Are manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina secretly studying the principles of logistics and freight transportation in their spare time? That might explain why they are always so adept at navigating the "traffic" of nail embellishments.

Perhaps there is a hitherto undiscovered camaraderie between pedicabs and the practitioners of pedicure arts, creating an unspoken bond across seemingly disparate professions. It's a punny thought, isn't it?


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and The number of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then devolve ever further, and mention something completely ridiculous, like you conducted literature review by reading the backs of shampoo bottles.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Tenuous Ties between Transportation and Trained Toenails: A Twisted Tale

[[ABSTRACT]]
The present study delves into the perplexing intersection of the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. By analyzing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we sought to uncover any semblance of a connection between these seemingly disparate fields.

Surprisingly, our analysis yielded a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9780438 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the period spanning 2012 to 2021. It appears that as the number of Bachelor's degrees in Transportation and materials moving increased, there was a corresponding rise in the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina.

This unexpected correlation prompted the research team to ponder: Are South Carolinians so enamored with transportation that even their manicurists and pedicurists are influenced by the allure of the open road? Perhaps they simply appreciate a good "pedi-cab" service. Ah, the joy of wordplay!

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The relationship between educational attainment in a specific field and the labor market outcomes in an entirely different sector is a topic that has intrigued scholars and practitioners alike. In this vein, we embarked on an investigation into the curious connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in the state of South Carolina. This seemingly incongruous pairing led us down a winding road of data analysis and interpretation, ultimately revealing an unexpected correlation that tickled our statistical sensibilities.
The puns in this research practically write themselves - though nit-picking potentially undermines the serious intent of our findings.
As we delve into the intricate web of data, our initial pondering led to a quest for answers. Could there be a deeper connection between the art of nail care and the field of transportation? Are manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina secretly studying the principles of logistics and freight transportation in their spare time? That might explain why they are always so adept at navigating the "traffic" of nail embellishments.
Perhaps there is a hitherto undiscovered camaraderie between pedicabs and the practitioners of pedicure arts, creating an unspoken bond across seemingly disparate professions. It's a punny thought, isn't it?

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

Recent studies such as those conducted by Smith et al. and Doe and Jones have delved into the correlation between educational attainment and workforce composition, shedding light on the potential impact of academic specialization on labor market dynamics. However, the specific relationship between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina has remained relatively unexplored in the academic literature.

In "The Economics of Transportation," the authors find an intriguing discussion of the logistics and economic principles underlying the transportation industry, which might seem a far cry from the world of manicures and pedicures. Similarly, "The Nail Technician's Handbook" provides in-depth insights into the art and science of nail care, with little mention of the complexities of the transportation and materials moving sector.

Turning to fiction, the novel "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" by Douglas Adams whimsically explores the fantastical world of intergalactic travel, though regrettably lacks any mention of nail care practices in South Carolina. On a more local level, the popular mystery series "The No. 1 Ladies' Detective Agency" by Alexander McCall Smith is set in Botswana and offers a glimpse into the diverse occupations and interpersonal connections within a community, albeit not within the context of transportation and manicurist-pedicurist dynamics in South Carolina.

Furthermore, our extensive literature review revealed that unexpected sources can sometimes provide enlightening insights. Upon perusal of the backs of various shampoo bottles in hotel bathrooms across the state, we stumbled upon intriguing tales of herbal essences and keratin treatments. While these may not directly relate to the labor market in South Carolina, one cannot discount the potential influence of well-groomed toes in the intricate dance of transportation economics.

Thus, the current study aims to bridge the gap in the literature and unravel the enigmatic ties between these seemingly incongruous fields, adding a touch of levity to the often solemn world of academia. After all, what is research without a sprinkle of unexpected humor?


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and The number of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from National Center for Education Statistics and Bureau of Larbor Statistics . You used data from 2012 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Tenuous Ties between Transportation and Trained Toenails: A Twisted Tale

[[ABSTRACT]]
The present study delves into the perplexing intersection of the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. By analyzing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we sought to uncover any semblance of a connection between these seemingly disparate fields.

Surprisingly, our analysis yielded a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9780438 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the period spanning 2012 to 2021. It appears that as the number of Bachelor's degrees in Transportation and materials moving increased, there was a corresponding rise in the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina.

This unexpected correlation prompted the research team to ponder: Are South Carolinians so enamored with transportation that even their manicurists and pedicurists are influenced by the allure of the open road? Perhaps they simply appreciate a good "pedi-cab" service. Ah, the joy of wordplay!

[[INTRODUCTION]]
The relationship between educational attainment in a specific field and the labor market outcomes in an entirely different sector is a topic that has intrigued scholars and practitioners alike. In this vein, we embarked on an investigation into the curious connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in the state of South Carolina. This seemingly incongruous pairing led us down a winding road of data analysis and interpretation, ultimately revealing an unexpected correlation that tickled our statistical sensibilities.
The puns in this research practically write themselves - though nit-picking potentially undermines the serious intent of our findings.
As we delve into the intricate web of data, our initial pondering led to a quest for answers. Could there be a deeper connection between the art of nail care and the field of transportation? Are manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina secretly studying the principles of logistics and freight transportation in their spare time? That might explain why they are always so adept at navigating the "traffic" of nail embellishments.
Perhaps there is a hitherto undiscovered camaraderie between pedicabs and the practitioners of pedicure arts, creating an unspoken bond across seemingly disparate professions. It's a punny thought, isn't it?

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To investigate the peculiar correlation between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina, a series of methodological steps were taken. First, data on the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving in South Carolina was collected from the National Center for Education Statistics. Simultaneously, data on the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina was obtained from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, covering the time period from 2012 to 2021.

The use of data from the National Center for Education Statistics and the Bureau of Labor Statistics ensured a comprehensive and reliable dataset for the analysis. While we didn't go as far as conducting door-to-door surveys of manicurists and pedicurists to inquire about their academic backgrounds, we did take the liberty of reviewing their "digital fingerprints" in public databases.

The collected data, despite its seemingly disparate nature, was then subjected to a rigorous process of cleaning, transformation, and normalization. This involved meticulously scrubbing any irrelevant or erroneous data points, much like the meticulous care and precision employed in a nail salon. The data was then massaged and buffed to ensure a uniform structure suitable for statistical analysis.

Employing a combination of regression analysis and time series modeling, the relationship between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina was examined. While this method might sound convoluted like a pair of unruly toenails, rest assured, it was carefully constructed to untangle any underlying patterns in the data.

To account for potential confounding variables, such as economic trends, cultural preferences, or potential migratory patterns of transportation enthusiasts and nail care connoisseurs, various control variables were incorporated into the analyses. Much like the careful application of top coat in a nail salon, these control variables were meticulously layered to ensure the integrity of the analysis.

Furthermore, a series of robustness checks were conducted to validate the stability and reliability of the findings. Sensitivity analyses were performed to confirm that the results were not merely a statistical fluke, but rather a genuine reflection of the underlying relationship between transportation-related education and the nail care profession. After all, we are all about proper "nailing" down our findings.

In summary, the methodology employed in this study undertook a thorough and meticulous examination of the data, much like the careful work of a manicurist or the precision of transportation logistics. The rigorous processes followed in this investigation aimed to unveil any latent connections between these seemingly disparate fields, resulting in findings that are both surprising and remarkably robust.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and The number of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from National Center for Education Statistics and Bureau of Larbor Statistics .

For the time period 2012 to 2021, you found a correlation 0.9780438, r-squared of 0.9565698, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Tenuous Ties between Transportation and Trained Toenails: A Twisted Tale

[[ABSTRACT]]
The present study delves into the perplexing intersection of the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. By analyzing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we sought to uncover any semblance of a connection between these seemingly disparate fields.

Surprisingly, our analysis yielded a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9780438 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the period spanning 2012 to 2021. It appears that as the number of Bachelor's degrees in Transportation and materials moving increased, there was a corresponding rise in the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina.

This unexpected correlation prompted the research team to ponder: Are South Carolinians so enamored with transportation that even their manicurists and pedicurists are influenced by the allure of the open road? Perhaps they simply appreciate a good "pedi-cab" service. Ah, the joy of wordplay!

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
The relationship between educational attainment in a specific field and the labor market outcomes in an entirely different sector is a topic that has intrigued scholars and practitioners alike. In this vein, we embarked on an investigation into the curious connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in the state of South Carolina. This seemingly incongruous pairing led us down a winding road of data analysis and interpretation, ultimately revealing an unexpected correlation that tickled our statistical sensibilities.
The puns in this research practically write themselves - though nit-picking potentially undermines the serious intent of our findings.
As we delve into the intricate web of data, our initial pondering led to a quest for answers. Could there be a deeper connection between the art of nail care and the field of transportation? Are manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina secretly studying the principles of logistics and freight transportation in their spare time? That might explain why they are always so adept at navigating the "traffic" of nail embellishments.
Perhaps there is a hitherto undiscovered camaraderie between pedicabs and the practitioners of pedicure arts, creating an unspoken bond across seemingly disparate professions. It's a punny thought, isn't it?

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The analysis of the data revealed a strikingly robust correlation between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in the state of South Carolina for the period from 2012 to 2021. The correlation coefficient of 0.9780438 indicated an exceptionally strong positive relationship between these two variables, while the r-squared value of 0.9565698 demonstrated that a substantial proportion of the variance in the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina could be explained by the number of Bachelor's degrees in Transportation and materials moving.

The p-value of less than 0.01 further emphasized the statistical significance of this correlation, suggesting that the likelihood of it occurring purely by chance is exceedingly low. It appears that as the number of Bachelor's degrees in Transportation and materials moving increased, so too did the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina.

The scatterplot in Fig. 1 vividly illustrates the strong positive correlation between the two variables, with the data points tightly clustered along a steeply rising line. This striking visual representation solidifies the robustness of our findings.

One might say this unexpected correlation has nailed down our attention! It seems the allure of transportation transcends mere modes of travel and extends to the realm of pedicure artistry. After all, when it comes to navigating the intricacies of nail care, perhaps there's no better preparation than a deep understanding of logistical maneuvers.

Our unexpected findings present intriguing possibilities and raise questions that merit further exploration, challenging conventional wisdom and prompting a reconsideration of the tangled web of connections between education and labor market outcomes.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and The number of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
The Tenuous Ties between Transportation and Trained Toenails: A Twisted Tale

[[ABSTRACT]]
The present study delves into the perplexing intersection of the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. By analyzing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we sought to uncover any semblance of a connection between these seemingly disparate fields.

Surprisingly, our analysis yielded a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9780438 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the period spanning 2012 to 2021. It appears that as the number of Bachelor's degrees in Transportation and materials moving increased, there was a corresponding rise in the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina.

This unexpected correlation prompted the research team to ponder: Are South Carolinians so enamored with transportation that even their manicurists and pedicurists are influenced by the allure of the open road? Perhaps they simply appreciate a good "pedi-cab" service. Ah, the joy of wordplay!

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
Recent studies such as those conducted by Smith et al. and Doe and Jones have delved into the correlation between educational attainment and workforce composition, shedding light on the potential impact of academic specialization on labor market dynamics. However, the specific relationship between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina has remained relatively unexplored in the academic literature.
In "The Economics of Transportation," the authors find an intriguing discussion of the logistics and economic principles underlying the transportation industry, which might seem a far cry from the world of manicures and pedicures. Similarly, "The Nail Technician's Handbook" provides in-depth insights into the art and science of nail care, with little mention of the complexities of the transportation and materials moving sector.
Turning to fiction, the novel "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" by Douglas Adams whimsically explores the fantastical world of intergalactic travel, though regrettably lacks any mention of nail care practices in South Carolina. On a more local level, the popular mystery series "The No. 1 Ladies' Detective Agency" by Alexander McCall Smith is set in Botswana and offers a glimpse into the diverse occupations and interpersonal connections within a community, albeit not within the context of transportation and manicurist-pedicurist dynamics in South Carolina.
Furthermore, our extensive literature review revealed that unexpected sources can sometimes provide enlightening insights. Upon perusal of the backs of various shampoo bottles in hotel bathrooms across the state, we stumbled upon intriguing tales of herbal essences and keratin treatments. While these may not directly relate to the labor market in South Carolina, one cannot discount the potential influence of well-groomed toes in the intricate dance of transportation economics.
Thus, the current study aims to bridge the gap in the literature and unravel the enigmatic ties between these seemingly incongruous fields, adding a touch of levity to the often solemn world of academia. After all, what is research without a sprinkle of unexpected humor?

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the data revealed a strikingly robust correlation between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in the state of South Carolina for the period from 2012 to 2021. The correlation coefficient of 0.9780438 indicated an exceptionally strong positive relationship between these two variables, while the r-squared value of 0.9565698 demonstrated that a substantial proportion of the variance in the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina could be explained by the number of Bachelor's degrees in Transportation and materials moving.
The p-value of less than 0.01 further emphasized the statistical significance of this correlation, suggesting that the likelihood of it occurring purely by chance is exceedingly low. It appears that as the number of Bachelor's degrees in Transportation and materials moving increased, so too did the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina.
The scatterplot in Fig. 1 vividly illustrates the strong positive correlation between the two variables, with the data points tightly clustered along a steeply rising line. This striking visual representation solidifies the robustness of our findings.
One might say this unexpected correlation has nailed down our attention! It seems the allure of transportation transcends mere modes of travel and extends to the realm of pedicure artistry. After all, when it comes to navigating the intricacies of nail care, perhaps there's no better preparation than a deep understanding of logistical maneuvers.
Our unexpected findings present intriguing possibilities and raise questions that merit further exploration, challenging conventional wisdom and prompting a reconsideration of the tangled web of connections between education and labor market outcomes.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The findings of the present study substantiate and extend prior research on the association between educational attainment in transportation-related fields and labor market dynamics, specifically in the domain of nail care professions. Our results align with the work of Smith et al. and Doe and Jones, who have highlighted the impact of academic specialization on workforce composition. The remarkably high correlation coefficient and the statistically significant p-value in our analysis underscore the strength and robustness of the relationship between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina.

It seems that the allure of transportation has a curious influence, echoing the sentiment of the Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, where the open road and intergalactic travel are of paramount importance, though exclusively in the context of manicures and pedicures in South Carolina. Perhaps, in the labyrinthine world of labor market dynamics, there is indeed a parallel universe where pedi-cabs reign supreme.

Furthermore, our study has shed light on the intricate dance of economic forces underlying the seemingly disparate realms of transportation and nail care. The unexpected sources that we stumbled upon, representing insights from the vibrant world of hotel shampoo bottles, provide a whimsical interlude in the academic pursuit of unraveling intricate labor market connections.

The statistically significant relationship between the educational pursuits in transportation and the proliferation of manicurists and pedicurists prompts us to reconsider the stereotypes and assumptions that underpin labor market phenomena. Our findings challenge conventional wisdom and advocate for a more nuanced understanding of the diverse factors that shape labor market outcomes. This unexpected correlation has indeed nailed down our attention, enticing further exploration into the multifaceted interplay between education and labor market dynamics.

In conclusion, our research underscores the profound influence of academic pursuits in transportation on the proliferation of nail care professionals, unveiling an uncharted terrain in the complex web of labor market interconnections. After all, in the words of Alexander McCall Smith, the mysteries of occupational dynamics can sometimes reveal themselves in the most unexpected of places. One can only wonder what other surprises the tangled labor market web has in store.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and The number of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
The Tenuous Ties between Transportation and Trained Toenails: A Twisted Tale

[[ABSTRACT]]
The present study delves into the perplexing intersection of the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. By analyzing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we sought to uncover any semblance of a connection between these seemingly disparate fields.

Surprisingly, our analysis yielded a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9780438 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the period spanning 2012 to 2021. It appears that as the number of Bachelor's degrees in Transportation and materials moving increased, there was a corresponding rise in the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina.

This unexpected correlation prompted the research team to ponder: Are South Carolinians so enamored with transportation that even their manicurists and pedicurists are influenced by the allure of the open road? Perhaps they simply appreciate a good "pedi-cab" service. Ah, the joy of wordplay!

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The relationship between educational attainment in a specific field and the labor market outcomes in an entirely different sector is a topic that has intrigued scholars and practitioners alike. In this vein, we embarked on an investigation into the curious connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in the state of South Carolina. This seemingly incongruous pairing led us down a winding road of data analysis and interpretation, ultimately revealing an unexpected correlation that tickled our statistical sensibilities.
The puns in this research practically write themselves - though nit-picking potentially undermines the serious intent of our findings.
As we delve into the intricate web of data, our initial pondering led to a quest for answers. Could there be a deeper connection between the art of nail care and the field of transportation? Are manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina secretly studying the principles of logistics and freight transportation in their spare time? That might explain why they are always so adept at navigating the "traffic" of nail embellishments.
Perhaps there is a hitherto undiscovered camaraderie between pedicabs and the practitioners of pedicure arts, creating an unspoken bond across seemingly disparate professions. It's a punny thought, isn't it?

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the data revealed a strikingly robust correlation between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in the state of South Carolina for the period from 2012 to 2021. The correlation coefficient of 0.9780438 indicated an exceptionally strong positive relationship between these two variables, while the r-squared value of 0.9565698 demonstrated that a substantial proportion of the variance in the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina could be explained by the number of Bachelor's degrees in Transportation and materials moving.
The p-value of less than 0.01 further emphasized the statistical significance of this correlation, suggesting that the likelihood of it occurring purely by chance is exceedingly low. It appears that as the number of Bachelor's degrees in Transportation and materials moving increased, so too did the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina.
The scatterplot in Fig. 1 vividly illustrates the strong positive correlation between the two variables, with the data points tightly clustered along a steeply rising line. This striking visual representation solidifies the robustness of our findings.
One might say this unexpected correlation has nailed down our attention! It seems the allure of transportation transcends mere modes of travel and extends to the realm of pedicure artistry. After all, when it comes to navigating the intricacies of nail care, perhaps there's no better preparation than a deep understanding of logistical maneuvers.
Our unexpected findings present intriguing possibilities and raise questions that merit further exploration, challenging conventional wisdom and prompting a reconsideration of the tangled web of connections between education and labor market outcomes.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, the present study elucidates a most peculiar relationship between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. The remarkably high correlation coefficient and statistical significance of this connection boggle the mind and tickle the fancy. It seems that the allure of transportation has managed to do what many have tried and failed - unite two unexpected domains in a twirling tango of statistical fascination.

As we peer into this unexpected link, one cannot help but marvel at the marvelously manicured mysteries awaiting further exploration. One might even say that this correlation has nailed down our attention! After all, when it comes to untangling the web of connections between education and labor market outcomes, there's no time for a "pedi-cab" detour - we must stay the statistical course.

Yet, despite the temptation to uncover more pun-tastic possibilities, it seems that no further research is needed in this area. The results speak for themselves, and it appears that the secret connection between transportation education and the thriving world of toe-tending has been revealed - much like a hidden nail polish color at the back of the salon shelf.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited The Tenuous Ties between Transportation and Trained Toenails: A Twisted Tale. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Pedal-Powered Podiatry


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited The Tenuous Ties between Transportation and Trained Toenails: A Twisted Tale. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Society for Interdisciplinary Foot and Vehicle Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled The Tenuous Ties between Transportation and Trained Toenails: A Twisted Tale with an abstract of The present study delves into the perplexing intersection of the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving and the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina. By analyzing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we sought to uncover any semblance of a connection between these seemingly disparate fields.
Surprisingly, our analysis yielded a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9780438 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the period spanning 2012 to 2021. It appears that as the number of Bachelor's degrees in Transportation and materials moving increased, there was a corresponding rise in the count of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina.
This unexpected correlation prompted the research team to ponder: Are South Carolinians so enamored with transportation that even their manicurists and pedicurists are influenced by the allure of the open road? Perhaps they simply appreciate a good "pedi-cab" service. Ah, the joy of wordplay!

ChatGPT:

transportation degrees, materials moving degrees, manicurists pedicurists employment, correlation analysis, South Carolina labor statistics, education statistics, transportation industry, pedicab service

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation
Detailed data title: Bachelor's degrees conferred by postsecondary institutions, in field of study: Transportation and materials moving
Source: National Center for Education Statistics
See what else correlates with Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation

The number of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina
Detailed data title: BLS estimate of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina
Source: Bureau of Larbor Statistics
See what else correlates with The number of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina

Correlation r = 0.9780438 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9565698 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 95.7% of the change in the one variable (i.e., The number of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation) over the 10 years from 2012 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 9.9E-7. 0.0000009901811702383576000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.98 in 9.9E-5% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 1,009,916 random variables You don't actually need 1 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 9 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 9 because we have two variables measured over a period of 10 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.91, 0.99 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
2012201320142015201620172018201920202021
Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation (Degrees awarded)4876466145884730453147084924505152515993
The number of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina (Laborers)340250240230180150370450500830




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
    Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([4876,4661,4588,4730,4531,4708,4924,5051,5251,5993,])
array_2 = np.array([340,250,240,230,180,150,370,450,500,830,])
array_1_name = "Bachelor's degrees awarded in Transportation"
array_2_name = "The number of manicurists and pedicurists in South Carolina"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

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Correlation ID: 3630 · Black Variable ID: 1294 · Red Variable ID: 17365
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