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Spurious correlation #2,636 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is The distance between Neptune and Uranus and the second variable is Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price (CTSH).  The chart goes from 2002 to 2023, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As the gravitational tug-of-war between the two outer planets intensified, it created a ripple effect in the space-time continuum, leading to a surge in cosmic productivity. This inexplicable celestial occurrence somehow boosted the demand for IT services, propelling Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price to astronomical heights. Who knew that the key to financial success lay hidden in the outer realms of our solar system!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate a comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s depicting the scene of Neptune and Uranus drifting farther apart in the vast expanse of space. Show waves of cosmic productivity spanning the distant space, bouncing and creating a widening gap between the two planets. Meanwhile, on Earth, depict the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH) climbing steadily upward, symbolizing the boost in intellectual investment and productivity in human endeavors caused by the universe's attempts to compensate for the inefficiency in space. Ensure a simple visual depiction without including any words or speech bubbles. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: The distance between Neptune and Uranus and Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price (CTSH). Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Scalar art A comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s Psychedelic a Polaroid photo An image that looks like it is a scene from A Disney Movie
ChatGPT: A comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both The distance between Neptune and Uranus and Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price (CTSH), in the following situation: As the gap widened, cosmic productivity waves had to travel farther, leading to a bottleneck effect in the celestial productivity infrastructure. This bottleneck inadvertently boosted earthly technology companies like Cognizant, as the universe tried to compensate for the inefficiency by increasing intellectual investment in human endeavors.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In the vast expanse of space, Neptune and Uranus drift farther apart from each other, creating a widening gap between them. As this happens, waves of cosmic productivity spanning the distant space bounce, creating a bottleneck effect in the celestial productivity infrastructure. Meanwhile, on Earth, the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH) climbs steadily upward, symbolizing the boost in intellectual investment and productivity in human endeavors caused by the universe's attempts to compensate for the inefficiency in space.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ A comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s ] and depicting this scene: In the vast expanse of space, Neptune and Uranus drift farther apart from each other, creating a widening gap between them. As this happens, waves of cosmic productivity spanning the distant space bounce, creating a bottleneck effect in the celestial productivity infrastructure. Meanwhile, on Earth, the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH) climbs steadily upward, symbolizing the boost in intellectual investment and productivity in human endeavors caused by the universe's attempts to compensate for the inefficiency in space. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate a comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s depicting the scene of Neptune and Uranus drifting farther apart in the vast expanse of space. Show waves of cosmic productivity spanning the distant space, bouncing and creating a widening gap between the two planets. Meanwhile, on Earth, depict the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH) climbing steadily upward, symbolizing the boost in intellectual investment and productivity in human endeavors caused by the universe's attempts to compensate for the inefficiency in space. Ensure a simple visual depiction without including any words or speech bubbles.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in The distance between Neptune and Uranus caused Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price (CTSH) to increase.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Stellar Stock Forecasting: Unveiling the Celestial Connection Between Neptune, Uranus, and Cognizant Technology Solutions' Stock Price

Journal of Celestial Finance

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Neptune and Uranus and Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price (CTSH). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title punny if you can come up with clever pun. If not, just make it sound clever.

Your research team used data from Caclculated using Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9533935 and p < 0.01 for 2002 to 2023.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
"Stellar Stock Forecasting: Unveiling the Celestial Connection Between Neptune, Uranus, and Cognizant Technology Solutions' Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this research paper, we explore the celestial relationship between the distant planets Neptune and Uranus, and the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH). Utilizing data from Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we sought to unravel the cosmic conundrum of whether the astronomical distance between Neptune and Uranus could be linked to the fluctuations in CTSH stock price. With a correlation coefficient of 0.9533935 and p < 0.01, our findings reveal a surprisingly strong statistical connection spanning the period from 2002 to 2023. Our study sheds light on the intriguing interplay between celestial bodies and financial markets, leaving researchers starry-eyed and investors over the moon with celestial insights into stock price forecasting.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Neptune and Uranus and Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price (CTSH). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Stellar Stock Forecasting: Unveiling the Celestial Connection Between Neptune, Uranus, and Cognizant Technology Solutions' Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this research paper, we explore the celestial relationship between the distant planets Neptune and Uranus, and the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH). Utilizing data from Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we sought to unravel the cosmic conundrum of whether the astronomical distance between Neptune and Uranus could be linked to the fluctuations in CTSH stock price. With a correlation coefficient of 0.9533935 and p < 0.01, our findings reveal a surprisingly strong statistical connection spanning the period from 2002 to 2023. Our study sheds light on the intriguing interplay between celestial bodies and financial markets, leaving researchers starry-eyed and investors over the moon with celestial insights into stock price forecasting.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:

As the great astronomer Galileo Galilei once said, "The sun, with all those planets revolving around it and dependent upon it, can still ripen a bunch of grapes as if it had nothing else in the universe to do." Little did he know that these revolving planets might also hold the key to ripening our portfolios! In this paper, we aim to explore the celestial whimsy that connects the seemingly distant realms of astrophysics and stock markets – the mysterious dance between Neptune, Uranus, and the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH).

While most people believe that stock prices are influenced by financial statements, market trends, and unicorn tears, we took a different orbit - we set our sights on the remote reaches of our celestial neighborhood. Our mission was as clear as the night sky: to investigate whether the cosmic circus between Neptune and Uranus could showcase a visible correlation with the fluctuations in CTSH stock price.

To boldly go where no investor has gone before, we delved into the cosmic catalog of Astropy and navigated the financial constellations with data from LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv). We then embarked on a journey across nearly two decades of data from 2002 to 2023, scrutinizing the movements of these distant planets and the wild wobbles of CTSH stock.

Now, fellow cosmic voyagers, prepare for a celestial rollercoaster as we unravel the celestial connection between the ice giants and the sizzling stock trends of Cognizant Technology Solutions. Get your telescopes ready, and hold on to your stock portfolios – for we're about to embark on a wild ride through the galaxies of data and the nebulae of statistical analysis! As we peel back the celestial curtain, we may just find that the stars have aligned in the most unexpected ways, revealing an astronomical influence on earthly investments.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Neptune and Uranus and Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price (CTSH). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then devolve ever further, and mention something completely ridiculous, like you conducted literature review by reading the backs of shampoo bottles.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Stellar Stock Forecasting: Unveiling the Celestial Connection Between Neptune, Uranus, and Cognizant Technology Solutions' Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this research paper, we explore the celestial relationship between the distant planets Neptune and Uranus, and the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH). Utilizing data from Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we sought to unravel the cosmic conundrum of whether the astronomical distance between Neptune and Uranus could be linked to the fluctuations in CTSH stock price. With a correlation coefficient of 0.9533935 and p < 0.01, our findings reveal a surprisingly strong statistical connection spanning the period from 2002 to 2023. Our study sheds light on the intriguing interplay between celestial bodies and financial markets, leaving researchers starry-eyed and investors over the moon with celestial insights into stock price forecasting.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
As the great astronomer Galileo Galilei once said, "The sun, with all those planets revolving around it and dependent upon it, can still ripen a bunch of grapes as if it had nothing else in the universe to do." Little did he know that these revolving planets might also hold the key to ripening our portfolios! In this paper, we aim to explore the celestial whimsy that connects the seemingly distant realms of astrophysics and stock markets – the mysterious dance between Neptune, Uranus, and the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH).
While most people believe that stock prices are influenced by financial statements, market trends, and unicorn tears, we took a different orbit - we set our sights on the remote reaches of our celestial neighborhood. Our mission was as clear as the night sky: to investigate whether the cosmic circus between Neptune and Uranus could showcase a visible correlation with the fluctuations in CTSH stock price.
To boldly go where no investor has gone before, we delved into the cosmic catalog of Astropy and navigated the financial constellations with data from LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv). We then embarked on a journey across nearly two decades of data from 2002 to 2023, scrutinizing the movements of these distant planets and the wild wobbles of CTSH stock.
Now, fellow cosmic voyagers, prepare for a celestial rollercoaster as we unravel the celestial connection between the ice giants and the sizzling stock trends of Cognizant Technology Solutions. Get your telescopes ready, and hold on to your stock portfolios – for we're about to embark on a wild ride through the galaxies of data and the nebulae of statistical analysis! As we peel back the celestial curtain, we may just find that the stars have aligned in the most unexpected ways, revealing an astronomical influence on earthly investments.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

Before delving into the eccentric and out-of-this-world findings of our own research, it's essential to first examine the existing literature surrounding our chosen cosmic and financial phenomena. The interplay between astrology, astronomy, and stock prices has captured the imaginations of many scholarly minds, leading to a constellation of studies and books across diverse disciplines.

In "Celestial Conjunctions and Financial Predictions" by Smith, the authors find a compelling, albeit somewhat far-fetched, argument for the influence of planetary alignments on financial markets. While their conclusions may be up in the air, their research raises thought-provoking questions about the potential impact of celestial events on earthly investments.

On a more terrestrial note, Doe's "Astrophysics of Financial Markets" takes a quantitative approach, attempting to draw correlations between celestial events and stock price movements. Their rigorous statistical analysis and astronomical models provide an astronomical perspective on the dynamics of financial markets, shedding light on the potential interplay between the cosmos and capitalism.

Jones, in "Planetary Portfolios: Investing Beyond Earthly Bounds," offers a comprehensive exploration of the historical relationship between celestial events and stock market performance. Drawing on ancient astrological practices and modern financial theories, Jones presents a compelling case for considering the cosmic dance of planets in investment strategies, transcending traditional financial analysis.

Turning to non-fiction literature, "Cosmic Capital: How the Universe Shapes Our Investments" by Galacticus explores the philosophical and practical implications of cosmic influences on financial decision-making. While the book drifts into the speculative at times, its exploration of the cosmic psyche of investors and the cosmic portfolio construction offers a refreshing take on the intersection of the celestial and the financial.

In the realm of fiction, "The Trading Stars of Zantor: A Cosmic Tale of Stocks and Stardust" by Nebulon provides a whimsical narrative that blurs the lines between financial wizardry and cosmic wizardry. While not grounded in empirical data, Nebulon's tale offers celestial insights into the imaginative possibilities of integrating celestial influences into the world of high finance.

Continuing on the celestial literary trajectory, "The Planetary Payout: How Cosmic Alignments Predict Stock Surprises" by Starla Stardust ventures into the realm of financial astrology, presenting an entertaining yet unverified thesis on the cosmic connections to stock market movements. While its practical applications may be light years away, the book adds a dash of celestial flair to the financial literature.

For a more unconventional approach, we also drew inspiration from a myriad of sources, including the backs of shampoo bottles and the graffiti scrawled on restroom stalls. While these unconventional sources may not have held the secrets of the universe, they did provide a sudsy distraction and occasional cosmic musings that reminded us of the infinitesimal nature of our cosmic quest.

With an eclectic mix of serious research, speculative theories, and cosmic whimsy, the existing literature sets the stage for our own cosmic odyssey into the relationship between Neptune, Uranus, and the enigmatic stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH). Now, let's blast off into the stratosphere of our findings and unearth the cosmic correlations with financial implications that are truly out of this world!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Neptune and Uranus and Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price (CTSH). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Caclculated using Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) . You used data from 2002 to 2023

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Stellar Stock Forecasting: Unveiling the Celestial Connection Between Neptune, Uranus, and Cognizant Technology Solutions' Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this research paper, we explore the celestial relationship between the distant planets Neptune and Uranus, and the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH). Utilizing data from Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we sought to unravel the cosmic conundrum of whether the astronomical distance between Neptune and Uranus could be linked to the fluctuations in CTSH stock price. With a correlation coefficient of 0.9533935 and p < 0.01, our findings reveal a surprisingly strong statistical connection spanning the period from 2002 to 2023. Our study sheds light on the intriguing interplay between celestial bodies and financial markets, leaving researchers starry-eyed and investors over the moon with celestial insights into stock price forecasting.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
As the great astronomer Galileo Galilei once said, "The sun, with all those planets revolving around it and dependent upon it, can still ripen a bunch of grapes as if it had nothing else in the universe to do." Little did he know that these revolving planets might also hold the key to ripening our portfolios! In this paper, we aim to explore the celestial whimsy that connects the seemingly distant realms of astrophysics and stock markets – the mysterious dance between Neptune, Uranus, and the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH).
While most people believe that stock prices are influenced by financial statements, market trends, and unicorn tears, we took a different orbit - we set our sights on the remote reaches of our celestial neighborhood. Our mission was as clear as the night sky: to investigate whether the cosmic circus between Neptune and Uranus could showcase a visible correlation with the fluctuations in CTSH stock price.
To boldly go where no investor has gone before, we delved into the cosmic catalog of Astropy and navigated the financial constellations with data from LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv). We then embarked on a journey across nearly two decades of data from 2002 to 2023, scrutinizing the movements of these distant planets and the wild wobbles of CTSH stock.
Now, fellow cosmic voyagers, prepare for a celestial rollercoaster as we unravel the celestial connection between the ice giants and the sizzling stock trends of Cognizant Technology Solutions. Get your telescopes ready, and hold on to your stock portfolios – for we're about to embark on a wild ride through the galaxies of data and the nebulae of statistical analysis! As we peel back the celestial curtain, we may just find that the stars have aligned in the most unexpected ways, revealing an astronomical influence on earthly investments.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To unravel the enigmatic connection between the celestial dance of Neptune and Uranus and the financial tango of Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price, we employed a methodology that was as rigorous as it was whimsical, as calculating as it was cosmic. Our approach, akin to navigating a spacecraft through an asteroid field, involved a blend of astrophysical calculations and financial analysis to probe this uncharted territory of celestial influence on the stock market.

Data Collection:
We conducted a comprehensive data collection process as expansive as the universe itself, or at least as far as the internet would allow. Utilizing the astronomical tool Astropy and the financial insights from LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we gathered relevant information on the distance between Neptune and Uranus and the historical stock prices of CTSH. We must confess, we did initially consider consulting with the Galactic Council for their insider knowledge, but alas, their communication system seemed to be light-years away.

Astronomical Calculations:
We then embarked on a cosmic calculation odyssey to determine the distance between Neptune and Uranus for each relevant time point. This involved intricate celestial trigonometry, gravitational perturbation analyses, and a fair amount of celestial tape measure stretching across the cosmic vastness. Admittedly, it felt a bit like comparing apples and oranges – or in this case, ice giants and tech stocks – but we persevered in our pursuit of celestial correlation.

Financial Data Analysis:
Simultaneously, we gathered the historical stock prices of CTSH over the same time period, navigating through the sprawling financial data with the diligence of interstellar navigators. Once our data was secured, we subjected it to a variety of statistical analyses reminiscent of interpreting alien hieroglyphics. Our statistical arsenal included correlation analyses, time series modeling, and pattern detection algorithms, all aimed at teasing out any celestial fingerprints on CTSH stock prices.

Statistical Validation:
To ensure the cosmic correlation we discovered was not a mere cosmic coincidence, we rigorously validated our findings using established statistical procedures. This included calculating confidence intervals wider than the orbit of Saturn, performing hypothesis tests as stringent as a black hole's pull, and confirming the statistical significance of our results with a level of scrutiny that could make even the most distant quasar blush.

Interdisciplinary Interpretation:
As we waded through the celestial data and financial constellations, we sought to interpret our findings with an interdisciplinary approach that bridged the celestial and financial frontiers. Our endeavor was to scrutinize not only the statistical links but also to provide an astro-financial narrative that would resonate both with seasoned astronomers and the Wall Street stargazers.

Ethical Considerations:
Though our journey took us to the farthest reaches of the solar system and financial markets, we remained committed to ethical research practices. We ensured that all data sources were properly credited, the statistical analyses were conducted with integrity, and our conclusions were presented with the transparency befitting this cosmic quest.

In the end, while our methodology might have been as unconventional as a Martian tea party, it enabled us to illuminate this celestial conjunction between the icy giants and the sizzling stock trends of Cognizant Technology Solutions, uncovering an unexpected correlation that will surely leave investors starstruck and the scientific community stargazing.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Neptune and Uranus and Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price (CTSH). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Caclculated using Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) .

For the time period 2002 to 2023, you found a correlation 0.9533935, r-squared of 0.9089591, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Stellar Stock Forecasting: Unveiling the Celestial Connection Between Neptune, Uranus, and Cognizant Technology Solutions' Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this research paper, we explore the celestial relationship between the distant planets Neptune and Uranus, and the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH). Utilizing data from Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we sought to unravel the cosmic conundrum of whether the astronomical distance between Neptune and Uranus could be linked to the fluctuations in CTSH stock price. With a correlation coefficient of 0.9533935 and p < 0.01, our findings reveal a surprisingly strong statistical connection spanning the period from 2002 to 2023. Our study sheds light on the intriguing interplay between celestial bodies and financial markets, leaving researchers starry-eyed and investors over the moon with celestial insights into stock price forecasting.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
As the great astronomer Galileo Galilei once said, "The sun, with all those planets revolving around it and dependent upon it, can still ripen a bunch of grapes as if it had nothing else in the universe to do." Little did he know that these revolving planets might also hold the key to ripening our portfolios! In this paper, we aim to explore the celestial whimsy that connects the seemingly distant realms of astrophysics and stock markets – the mysterious dance between Neptune, Uranus, and the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH).
While most people believe that stock prices are influenced by financial statements, market trends, and unicorn tears, we took a different orbit - we set our sights on the remote reaches of our celestial neighborhood. Our mission was as clear as the night sky: to investigate whether the cosmic circus between Neptune and Uranus could showcase a visible correlation with the fluctuations in CTSH stock price.
To boldly go where no investor has gone before, we delved into the cosmic catalog of Astropy and navigated the financial constellations with data from LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv). We then embarked on a journey across nearly two decades of data from 2002 to 2023, scrutinizing the movements of these distant planets and the wild wobbles of CTSH stock.
Now, fellow cosmic voyagers, prepare for a celestial rollercoaster as we unravel the celestial connection between the ice giants and the sizzling stock trends of Cognizant Technology Solutions. Get your telescopes ready, and hold on to your stock portfolios – for we're about to embark on a wild ride through the galaxies of data and the nebulae of statistical analysis! As we peel back the celestial curtain, we may just find that the stars have aligned in the most unexpected ways, revealing an astronomical influence on earthly investments.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The results of our cosmic investigation have left us starry-eyed and investors over the moon with the uncovering of a supernova of a connection between the planetary positions of Neptune and Uranus and the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH). Our statistical analysis revealed a jaw-dropping correlation coefficient of 0.9533935, an r-squared value of 0.9089591, and a p-value of less than 0.01, affirming a robust and significant relationship between these stellar and financial phenomena.

Behold, fellow researchers, our groundbreaking figure (Fig. 1) that displays the enchanting scatterplot showcasing the remarkable correlation between the distance separating Neptune and Uranus and the fluctuating stock price of CTSH. Gaze upon this celestial beauty and marvel at the cosmic forces at play in the world of finance.

The celestial ballet of Neptune and Uranus appears to exert a mesmerizing influence on the earthly movements of CTSH stock, suggesting that perhaps the stars are not only influencing our destinies but also our investment strategies. This unexpected cosmic connection has broad implications for stock price forecasting, demonstrating the potential for astronomical phenomena to impact financial markets in ways previously uncharted and unforeseen.

Our findings invite a whimsical reconsideration of the conventional wisdom surrounding market analysis, inviting us to look to the heavens for insights into earthly investments. As we peer through the telescope of statistical analysis, we are reminded that the universe is full of surprises, illuminating the celestial pathways that may guide our investment decisions.

In conclusion, from this celestial conundrum, we have gained a newfound appreciation for the interplay between the cosmos and the stock exchange, shedding light on the extraordinary interconnectedness of the cosmic and financial realms. The stars have aligned, revealing a cosmic dance between Neptune, Uranus, and CTSH stock that may leave investors pondering the celestial forces behind their portfolios. As the famous astronomer Carl Sagan once said, "Somewhere, something incredible is waiting to be known." In our case, that something incredible just might be the celestial secrets guiding our stock market predictions.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Neptune and Uranus and Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price (CTSH). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"Stellar Stock Forecasting: Unveiling the Celestial Connection Between Neptune, Uranus, and Cognizant Technology Solutions' Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this research paper, we explore the celestial relationship between the distant planets Neptune and Uranus, and the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH). Utilizing data from Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we sought to unravel the cosmic conundrum of whether the astronomical distance between Neptune and Uranus could be linked to the fluctuations in CTSH stock price. With a correlation coefficient of 0.9533935 and p < 0.01, our findings reveal a surprisingly strong statistical connection spanning the period from 2002 to 2023. Our study sheds light on the intriguing interplay between celestial bodies and financial markets, leaving researchers starry-eyed and investors over the moon with celestial insights into stock price forecasting.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
Before delving into the eccentric and out-of-this-world findings of our own research, it's essential to first examine the existing literature surrounding our chosen cosmic and financial phenomena. The interplay between astrology, astronomy, and stock prices has captured the imaginations of many scholarly minds, leading to a constellation of studies and books across diverse disciplines.
In "Celestial Conjunctions and Financial Predictions" by Smith, the authors find a compelling, albeit somewhat far-fetched, argument for the influence of planetary alignments on financial markets. While their conclusions may be up in the air, their research raises thought-provoking questions about the potential impact of celestial events on earthly investments.
On a more terrestrial note, Doe's "Astrophysics of Financial Markets" takes a quantitative approach, attempting to draw correlations between celestial events and stock price movements. Their rigorous statistical analysis and astronomical models provide an astronomical perspective on the dynamics of financial markets, shedding light on the potential interplay between the cosmos and capitalism.
Jones, in "Planetary Portfolios: Investing Beyond Earthly Bounds," offers a comprehensive exploration of the historical relationship between celestial events and stock market performance. Drawing on ancient astrological practices and modern financial theories, Jones presents a compelling case for considering the cosmic dance of planets in investment strategies, transcending traditional financial analysis.
Turning to non-fiction literature, "Cosmic Capital: How the Universe Shapes Our Investments" by Galacticus explores the philosophical and practical implications of cosmic influences on financial decision-making. While the book drifts into the speculative at times, its exploration of the cosmic psyche of investors and the cosmic portfolio construction offers a refreshing take on the intersection of the celestial and the financial.
In the realm of fiction, "The Trading Stars of Zantor: A Cosmic Tale of Stocks and Stardust" by Nebulon provides a whimsical narrative that blurs the lines between financial wizardry and cosmic wizardry. While not grounded in empirical data, Nebulon's tale offers celestial insights into the imaginative possibilities of integrating celestial influences into the world of high finance.
Continuing on the celestial literary trajectory, "The Planetary Payout: How Cosmic Alignments Predict Stock Surprises" by Starla Stardust ventures into the realm of financial astrology, presenting an entertaining yet unverified thesis on the cosmic connections to stock market movements. While its practical applications may be light years away, the book adds a dash of celestial flair to the financial literature.
For a more unconventional approach, we also drew inspiration from a myriad of sources, including the backs of shampoo bottles and the graffiti scrawled on restroom stalls. While these unconventional sources may not have held the secrets of the universe, they did provide a sudsy distraction and occasional cosmic musings that reminded us of the infinitesimal nature of our cosmic quest.
With an eclectic mix of serious research, speculative theories, and cosmic whimsy, the existing literature sets the stage for our own cosmic odyssey into the relationship between Neptune, Uranus, and the enigmatic stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH). Now, let's blast off into the stratosphere of our findings and unearth the cosmic correlations with financial implications that are truly out of this world!

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our cosmic investigation have left us starry-eyed and investors over the moon with the uncovering of a supernova of a connection between the planetary positions of Neptune and Uranus and the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH). Our statistical analysis revealed a jaw-dropping correlation coefficient of 0.9533935, an r-squared value of 0.9089591, and a p-value of less than 0.01, affirming a robust and significant relationship between these stellar and financial phenomena.
Behold, fellow researchers, our groundbreaking figure (Fig. 1) that displays the enchanting scatterplot showcasing the remarkable correlation between the distance separating Neptune and Uranus and the fluctuating stock price of CTSH. Gaze upon this celestial beauty and marvel at the cosmic forces at play in the world of finance.
The celestial ballet of Neptune and Uranus appears to exert a mesmerizing influence on the earthly movements of CTSH stock, suggesting that perhaps the stars are not only influencing our destinies but also our investment strategies. This unexpected cosmic connection has broad implications for stock price forecasting, demonstrating the potential for astronomical phenomena to impact financial markets in ways previously uncharted and unforeseen.
Our findings invite a whimsical reconsideration of the conventional wisdom surrounding market analysis, inviting us to look to the heavens for insights into earthly investments. As we peer through the telescope of statistical analysis, we are reminded that the universe is full of surprises, illuminating the celestial pathways that may guide our investment decisions.
In conclusion, from this celestial conundrum, we have gained a newfound appreciation for the interplay between the cosmos and the stock exchange, shedding light on the extraordinary interconnectedness of the cosmic and financial realms. The stars have aligned, revealing a cosmic dance between Neptune, Uranus, and CTSH stock that may leave investors pondering the celestial forces behind their portfolios. As the famous astronomer Carl Sagan once said, "Somewhere, something incredible is waiting to be known." In our case, that something incredible just might be the celestial secrets guiding our stock market predictions.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The results of our study have propelled us into a cosmic reverie, leaving us to ponder the astronomical implications of our findings. The strong statistical connection we uncovered between the distance separating Neptune and Uranus and the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH) reaffirms and expands upon the prior research in our literature review.

First, let's harken back to the set of unconventional sources we mentioned in our literature review, including the backs of shampoo bottles and the graffiti scrawled on restroom stalls. While these sources might have seemed light years away from serious research, they reminded us of the infinitesimal nature of our cosmic quest—and lo and behold, they kept us grounded in more ways than one! Our study now offers a celestial validation to the cosmic musings present in those unexpected places, proving that inspiration can be found even in the most unlikely of locales.

Furthermore, our findings echo the diligent quantitative efforts of Doe in "Astrophysics of Financial Markets," who sought to draw correlations between celestial events and stock price movements. Much like finding the proverbial needle in a cosmic haystack, our statistical analysis has provided a tangible link between astral phenomena and financial indicators, launching us into the ether of celestial financial forecasting.

We must also acknowledge the whimsical narrative of "The Trading Stars of Zantor: A Cosmic Tale of Stocks and Stardust" by Nebulon. While not rooted in empirical data, Nebulon's tale offered celestial insights into the imaginative possibilities of integrating celestial influences into the world of high finance. Little did Nebulon know that their fictional cosmic musings would align with our own groundbreaking findings, underscoring the potential interplay between the celestial and financial realms.

Our research, forged in the furnace of statistical scrutiny, adds a starry-eyed perspective to the existing literature on the celestial and financial convergence. Our findings lend substantial credence to the notion that the stars may not only influence destinies but also investment strategies, leaving us to ponder whether using telescopes might be just as essential as using stock analysis tools. As we continue to explore the cosmic pathways influencing earthly investments, we find ourselves at the precipice of a new frontier, where the cosmos and financial markets intermingle in ways that are truly out of this world.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Neptune and Uranus and Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price (CTSH). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"Stellar Stock Forecasting: Unveiling the Celestial Connection Between Neptune, Uranus, and Cognizant Technology Solutions' Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this research paper, we explore the celestial relationship between the distant planets Neptune and Uranus, and the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH). Utilizing data from Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we sought to unravel the cosmic conundrum of whether the astronomical distance between Neptune and Uranus could be linked to the fluctuations in CTSH stock price. With a correlation coefficient of 0.9533935 and p < 0.01, our findings reveal a surprisingly strong statistical connection spanning the period from 2002 to 2023. Our study sheds light on the intriguing interplay between celestial bodies and financial markets, leaving researchers starry-eyed and investors over the moon with celestial insights into stock price forecasting.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
As the great astronomer Galileo Galilei once said, "The sun, with all those planets revolving around it and dependent upon it, can still ripen a bunch of grapes as if it had nothing else in the universe to do." Little did he know that these revolving planets might also hold the key to ripening our portfolios! In this paper, we aim to explore the celestial whimsy that connects the seemingly distant realms of astrophysics and stock markets – the mysterious dance between Neptune, Uranus, and the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH).
While most people believe that stock prices are influenced by financial statements, market trends, and unicorn tears, we took a different orbit - we set our sights on the remote reaches of our celestial neighborhood. Our mission was as clear as the night sky: to investigate whether the cosmic circus between Neptune and Uranus could showcase a visible correlation with the fluctuations in CTSH stock price.
To boldly go where no investor has gone before, we delved into the cosmic catalog of Astropy and navigated the financial constellations with data from LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv). We then embarked on a journey across nearly two decades of data from 2002 to 2023, scrutinizing the movements of these distant planets and the wild wobbles of CTSH stock.
Now, fellow cosmic voyagers, prepare for a celestial rollercoaster as we unravel the celestial connection between the ice giants and the sizzling stock trends of Cognizant Technology Solutions. Get your telescopes ready, and hold on to your stock portfolios – for we're about to embark on a wild ride through the galaxies of data and the nebulae of statistical analysis! As we peel back the celestial curtain, we may just find that the stars have aligned in the most unexpected ways, revealing an astronomical influence on earthly investments.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our cosmic investigation have left us starry-eyed and investors over the moon with the uncovering of a supernova of a connection between the planetary positions of Neptune and Uranus and the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH). Our statistical analysis revealed a jaw-dropping correlation coefficient of 0.9533935, an r-squared value of 0.9089591, and a p-value of less than 0.01, affirming a robust and significant relationship between these stellar and financial phenomena.
Behold, fellow researchers, our groundbreaking figure (Fig. 1) that displays the enchanting scatterplot showcasing the remarkable correlation between the distance separating Neptune and Uranus and the fluctuating stock price of CTSH. Gaze upon this celestial beauty and marvel at the cosmic forces at play in the world of finance.
The celestial ballet of Neptune and Uranus appears to exert a mesmerizing influence on the earthly movements of CTSH stock, suggesting that perhaps the stars are not only influencing our destinies but also our investment strategies. This unexpected cosmic connection has broad implications for stock price forecasting, demonstrating the potential for astronomical phenomena to impact financial markets in ways previously uncharted and unforeseen.
Our findings invite a whimsical reconsideration of the conventional wisdom surrounding market analysis, inviting us to look to the heavens for insights into earthly investments. As we peer through the telescope of statistical analysis, we are reminded that the universe is full of surprises, illuminating the celestial pathways that may guide our investment decisions.
In conclusion, from this celestial conundrum, we have gained a newfound appreciation for the interplay between the cosmos and the stock exchange, shedding light on the extraordinary interconnectedness of the cosmic and financial realms. The stars have aligned, revealing a cosmic dance between Neptune, Uranus, and CTSH stock that may leave investors pondering the celestial forces behind their portfolios. As the famous astronomer Carl Sagan once said, "Somewhere, something incredible is waiting to be known." In our case, that something incredible just might be the celestial secrets guiding our stock market predictions.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In navigating the cosmic seas of stock price forecasting, our research has unveiled a connection between the distant dance of Neptune and Uranus and the earthly fortunes of CTSH stock. The statistical link we've uncovered is stronger than the gravitational pull of a black hole – with a correlation coefficient of 0.9533935, it's safe to say that the celestial bodies have been moonlighting as stock market influencers.

As we wrap up this cosmic carnival of research, we're left pondering the significance of our findings. It seems that in the grand performance of the universe, the ice giants Neptune and Uranus have been choreographing a celestial ballet that extends its reach into the realms of finance. Who knew that these distant denizens of the sky could hold such sway over earthly investments?

Our results point to a potential paradigm shift in stock market analysis – perhaps we should all look to the stars for our financial forecasts. Whether we're consulting the astrological charts or analyzing the astronomical alignments, it's clear that celestial phenomena may hold the keys to understanding market trends.

So, fellow cosmic voyagers and financial stargazers, it appears that we've reached the end of this celestial expedition. Our groundbreaking findings have us over the moon, but it's time to call it a day on this particular research journey. There's no need to launch another spacecraft into the heavens or crunch more numbers on this galactically goofy hypothesis. As the great Neil Armstrong once said, "One small step for man, one giant leap for mankind," but let's not take any more giant leaps in this stellar stock market saga. Our celestial sleuthing has shed enough light on the cosmic conundrum connecting Neptune, Uranus, and CTSH stock.

In the immortal words of Star Trek, "Live long and prosper," and in the words of our research, "Look to the stars and may your portfolios shine bright, with or without the influence of the ice giants."



Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Stellar Stock Forecasting: Unveiling the Celestial Connection Between Neptune, Uranus, and Cognizant Technology Solutions' Stock Price. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

Journal of Celestial Finance


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Stellar Stock Forecasting: Unveiling the Celestial Connection Between Neptune, Uranus, and Cognizant Technology Solutions' Stock Price. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Cosmic Financial Analysis


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Stellar Stock Forecasting: Unveiling the Celestial Connection Between Neptune, Uranus, and Cognizant Technology Solutions' Stock Price with an abstract of In this research paper, we explore the celestial relationship between the distant planets Neptune and Uranus, and the stock price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH). Utilizing data from Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we sought to unravel the cosmic conundrum of whether the astronomical distance between Neptune and Uranus could be linked to the fluctuations in CTSH stock price. With a correlation coefficient of 0.9533935 and p < 0.01, our findings reveal a surprisingly strong statistical connection spanning the period from 2002 to 2023. Our study sheds light on the intriguing interplay between celestial bodies and financial markets, leaving researchers starry-eyed and investors over the moon with celestial insights into stock price forecasting.

ChatGPT:

stellar stock forecasting, celestial relationship, Neptune, Uranus, Cognizant Technology Solutions, CTSH, Astropy, LSEG Analytics, Refinitiv, correlation coefficient, stock price fluctuations, financial markets, stock price forecasting, celestial bodies, statistical connection, interplay, celestial insights

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

The distance between Neptune and Uranus
Detailed data title: The average distance between Neptune and Uranus as measured on the first day of each month
Source: Caclculated using Astropy
Additional Info: I wrote a Python script using Astropy to calculate the distance between the named planets on the first day of each month for every year.

See what else correlates with The distance between Neptune and Uranus

Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price (CTSH)
Detailed data title: Opening price of Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH) on the first trading day of the year
Source: LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv)
Additional Info: Via Microsoft Excel Stockhistory function

See what else correlates with Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price (CTSH)

Correlation r = 0.9533935 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9089591 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 90.9% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price (CTSH)) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., The distance between Neptune and Uranus) over the 22 years from 2002 through 2023.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 7.2E-12. 0.0000000000071967295135523520
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.95 in 7.2E-10% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 138,952,005,646 random variables You don't actually need 138 billion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 21 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 21 because we have two variables measured over a period of 22 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.89, 0.98 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
2002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
The distance between Neptune and Uranus (Planetary distance (AU))12.394712.811913.257913.727514.21814.72715.253215.792516.343816.90617.479118.059718.647619.242319.844320.450721.061621.676822.297322.920423.546524.1757
Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price (CTSH) (Stock price)1.73.035.7710.9412.4919.4316.928.8922.8237.0733.3237.7350.1352.8958.8156.6571.1662.562.298288.6857.64




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
    Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.
  5. Outlandish outliers: There are "outliers" in this data. In concept, "outlier" just means "way different than the rest of your dataset." When calculating a correlation like this, they are particularly impactful because a single outlier can substantially increase your correlation.

    For the purposes of this project, I counted a point as an outlier if it the residual was two standard deviations from the mean.

    (This bullet point only shows up in the details page on charts that do, in fact, have outliers.)
    They stand out on the scatterplot above: notice the dots that are far away from any other dots. I intentionally mishandeled outliers, which makes the correlation look extra strong.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([12.3947,12.8119,13.2579,13.7275,14.218,14.727,15.2532,15.7925,16.3438,16.906,17.4791,18.0597,18.6476,19.2423,19.8443,20.4507,21.0616,21.6768,22.2973,22.9204,23.5465,24.1757,])
array_2 = np.array([1.7,3.03,5.77,10.94,12.49,19.43,16.92,8.89,22.82,37.07,33.32,37.73,50.13,52.89,58.81,56.65,71.16,62.5,62.29,82,88.68,57.64,])
array_1_name = "The distance between Neptune and Uranus"
array_2_name = "Cognizant Technology Solutions' stock price (CTSH)"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



Reuseable content

You may re-use the images on this page for any purpose, even commercial purposes, without asking for permission. The only requirement is that you attribute Tyler Vigen. Attribution can take many different forms. If you leave the "tylervigen.com" link in the image, that satisfies it just fine. If you remove it and move it to a footnote, that's fine too. You can also just write "Charts courtesy of Tyler Vigen" at the bottom of an article.

You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

Full license details.
For more on re-use permissions, or to get a signed release form, see tylervigen.com/permission.

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Correlation ID: 2636 · Black Variable ID: 1967 · Red Variable ID: 1807
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