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Spurious correlation #2,235 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and the second variable is Broadcom's stock price (AVGO).  The chart goes from 2010 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As households invested more in protein-packed options, they unknowingly bolstered the demand for high-tech meat processing equipment. This surge in demand for efficient meat production technology directly benefited Broadcom, which just so happens to be a leading provider of advanced semiconductors used in automated food processing systems. It's a classic case of the stock market sizzling in response to the unexpected synergy between household grocery habits and the semiconductor industry!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image inspired by a Discovery magazine cover featuring a busy grocery store scene. The shelves are filled with an abundance of fresh meats, poultry, fish, and eggs. Customers are carefully examining the products, adding to the lively atmosphere. In the background, there's a large digital display showing the fluctuating stock price of Broadcom, with dynamic colored graphs and changing numbers. The composition should convey the contrast between the organic nature of the grocery store and the digital world of stock prices. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Futuristic A Discovery magazine cover image Voxel art Hyper-realistic Brutalism
ChatGPT: A Discovery magazine cover image

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price together. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In the scene, there is a busy grocery store with shelves stocked full of meats, poultry, fish, and eggs. The customers are seen examining the products carefully. In the background, a large digital display shows the fluctuating stock price of Broadcom, with colored graphs and numbers changing rapidly.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ A Discovery magazine cover image ] and depicting this scene: In the scene, there is a busy grocery store with shelves stocked full of meats, poultry, fish, and eggs. The customers are seen examining the products carefully. In the background, a large digital display shows the fluctuating stock price of Broadcom, with colored graphs and numbers changing rapidly. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image inspired by a Discovery magazine cover featuring a busy grocery store scene. The shelves are filled with an abundance of fresh meats, poultry, fish, and eggs. Customers are carefully examining the products, adding to the lively atmosphere. In the background, there's a large digital display showing the fluctuating stock price of Broadcom, with dynamic colored graphs and changing numbers. The composition should convey the contrast between the organic nature of the grocery store and the digital world of stock prices.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs caused Broadcom's stock price (AVGO) to increase. Make it feel plausible.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
How Do Meaty Trends Affect Stock Prices? A Clucking Good Look at the Relationship Between Annual US Household Spending on Animal Products and Broadcom's Stock Price

The International Journal of Financial Feastings and Fowlconomics

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Include a pun in the title.

Your research team used data from Bureau of Labor Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9752127 and p < 0.01 for 2010 to 2022.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
How Do Meaty Trends Affect Stock Prices? A Clucking Good Look at the Relationship Between Annual US Household Spending on Animal Products and Broadcom's Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the moo-ving relationship between annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO). Utilizing data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) from 2010 to 2022, we uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9752127 and statistically significant p < 0.01. As we slice and dice through the data, our findings demonstrate a strong link between the consumption of animal products and the market performance of Broadcom. Our analysis goes beyond the usual stock analytics, providing a ducky good insight into how carnivorous consumer habits can affect the stock market. So, grab a steak and get ready for some juicy results!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
How Do Meaty Trends Affect Stock Prices? A Clucking Good Look at the Relationship Between Annual US Household Spending on Animal Products and Broadcom's Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the moo-ving relationship between annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO). Utilizing data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) from 2010 to 2022, we uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9752127 and statistically significant p < 0.01. As we slice and dice through the data, our findings demonstrate a strong link between the consumption of animal products and the market performance of Broadcom. Our analysis goes beyond the usual stock analytics, providing a ducky good insight into how carnivorous consumer habits can affect the stock market. So, grab a steak and get ready for some juicy results!

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

In the world of stock market analysis, one must always be on the lookout for correlations and connections that may seem as strange as a chicken crossing the road. As researchers, we are often faced with the daunting task of deciphering the complex web of factors that can influence stock prices. It is in this spirit that we embark on a quest to uncover the relationship between the annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs - a meaty affair indeed - and the stock price of Broadcom, symbol AVGO.

While some may consider this endeavor as whimsical as a pig flying, our preliminary analysis has unearthed some truly fascinating findings. From bacon to Broadcom, our investigation has taken us on a journey through the culinary and financial landscape, shedding light on the potential impact of carnivorous consumer habits on stock market performance. So, saddle up and buckle in, as we dive into this clucking good exploration of the beefy links between meaty trends and stock prices.

In the following sections, we shall dissect the data with the precision of a master chef carving a prime rib, unveiling both the statistical significance and practical implications of our discoveries. But first, let us set the stage and provide an overview of the context within which this analysis is conducted. It’s time to separate the lamb from the ham, and embark on a scholarly adventure that promises to be as tantalizing as a smoky barbecue on a summer evening.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then devolve ever further, and mention something completely ridiculous, like you conducted literature review by reading CVS receipts.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
How Do Meaty Trends Affect Stock Prices? A Clucking Good Look at the Relationship Between Annual US Household Spending on Animal Products and Broadcom's Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the moo-ving relationship between annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO). Utilizing data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) from 2010 to 2022, we uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9752127 and statistically significant p < 0.01. As we slice and dice through the data, our findings demonstrate a strong link between the consumption of animal products and the market performance of Broadcom. Our analysis goes beyond the usual stock analytics, providing a ducky good insight into how carnivorous consumer habits can affect the stock market. So, grab a steak and get ready for some juicy results!

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
In the world of stock market analysis, one must always be on the lookout for correlations and connections that may seem as strange as a chicken crossing the road. As researchers, we are often faced with the daunting task of deciphering the complex web of factors that can influence stock prices. It is in this spirit that we embark on a quest to uncover the relationship between the annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs - a meaty affair indeed - and the stock price of Broadcom, symbol AVGO.
While some may consider this endeavor as whimsical as a pig flying, our preliminary analysis has unearthed some truly fascinating findings. From bacon to Broadcom, our investigation has taken us on a journey through the culinary and financial landscape, shedding light on the potential impact of carnivorous consumer habits on stock market performance. So, saddle up and buckle in, as we dive into this clucking good exploration of the beefy links between meaty trends and stock prices.
In the following sections, we shall dissect the data with the precision of a master chef carving a prime rib, unveiling both the statistical significance and practical implications of our discoveries. But first, let us set the stage and provide an overview of the context within which this analysis is conducted. It’s time to separate the lamb from the ham, and embark on a scholarly adventure that promises to be as tantalizing as a smoky barbecue on a summer evening.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

Numerous scholarly inquiries into consumer spending habits and stock market behavior have been conducted, shedding light on the intricate dance between market forces and consumer preferences. In "Smith et al.," the authors find a consistent pattern of correlation between consumer expenditure on various food items and the performance of relevant industry stocks. Their study delves into the nuanced relationship between dietary choices and the market fluctuations, providing a robust foundation for our investigation.

Expanding beyond the realm of traditional economic analyses, "Doe's work" offers a comprehensive exploration of the interconnectedness of household consumption patterns and stock market dynamics. The findings of such studies have paved the way for us to explore the potential impact of meat-centric expenditure on the performance of specific stocks, perhaps even uncovering the "meat" and potatoes of stock market movements.

Moving on to a more literary perspective, "The Omnivore's Dilemma" by Michael Pollan and "Economics for Dummies" by Sean Masaki Flynn and Peter Antonioni have provided invaluable insights into the intricate relationship between consumer dietary preferences and economic principles. These works have served as a nutritious foundation for our understanding of the interplay between consumer spending on animal products and stock market behavior.

In the realm of fiction, works such as "The Catcher in the Rye" by J.D. Salinger and "Moby-Duck: The True Story of 28,800 Bath Toys Lost at Sea" by Donovan Hohn may not directly pertain to our research topic; however, they serve as a whimsical reminder of the diverse literary influences that shape our perceptions of consumer behavior and stock performance.

Venturing into the uncharted territories of unconventional sources, including but not limited to perusing the contents of discarded CVS receipts and deciphering the cryptic messages embedded in fortune cookies, has also contributed to our understanding of consumer habits and their potential impact on stock prices. After all, one never knows where the bacon bits of wisdom may be found.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Bureau of Labor Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) . You used data from 2010 to 2022

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
How Do Meaty Trends Affect Stock Prices? A Clucking Good Look at the Relationship Between Annual US Household Spending on Animal Products and Broadcom's Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the moo-ving relationship between annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO). Utilizing data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) from 2010 to 2022, we uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9752127 and statistically significant p < 0.01. As we slice and dice through the data, our findings demonstrate a strong link between the consumption of animal products and the market performance of Broadcom. Our analysis goes beyond the usual stock analytics, providing a ducky good insight into how carnivorous consumer habits can affect the stock market. So, grab a steak and get ready for some juicy results!

[[INTRODUCTION]]
In the world of stock market analysis, one must always be on the lookout for correlations and connections that may seem as strange as a chicken crossing the road. As researchers, we are often faced with the daunting task of deciphering the complex web of factors that can influence stock prices. It is in this spirit that we embark on a quest to uncover the relationship between the annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs - a meaty affair indeed - and the stock price of Broadcom, symbol AVGO.
While some may consider this endeavor as whimsical as a pig flying, our preliminary analysis has unearthed some truly fascinating findings. From bacon to Broadcom, our investigation has taken us on a journey through the culinary and financial landscape, shedding light on the potential impact of carnivorous consumer habits on stock market performance. So, saddle up and buckle in, as we dive into this clucking good exploration of the beefy links between meaty trends and stock prices.
In the following sections, we shall dissect the data with the precision of a master chef carving a prime rib, unveiling both the statistical significance and practical implications of our discoveries. But first, let us set the stage and provide an overview of the context within which this analysis is conducted. It’s time to separate the lamb from the ham, and embark on a scholarly adventure that promises to be as tantalizing as a smoky barbecue on a summer evening.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

Data Collection:
Our data collection involved a mix of serious number crunching and a dash of whimsy as we scoured the Bureau of Labor Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) for information on annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs, as well as Broadcom's stock price (AVGO) from 2010 to 2022. We traversed through the digital jungle of spreadsheets, databases, and reports, wielding our statistical swords to cut through the noise and extract the choicest cuts of data. This process was as laborious as separating an egg yolk from the white, but the results were just as delectable.

Selection of Variables:
To season our analysis with a hint of sophistication, we selected the annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs as our independent variable and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO) as the dependent variable. Like a chef carefully choosing the finest ingredients for a culinary masterpiece, we handpicked these variables to create a palatable model for investigating the meat-market dynamics.

Data Analysis:
In order to grill our data to perfection, we employed a variety of statistical techniques including correlation analysis, regression modeling, and time series analysis. Each of these methods was used with the precision of a butcher slicing through a tender filet mignon, ensuring that our analysis was both robust and flavorful.

Correlation Coefficient Calculation:
The heart of our analysis revolved around calculating the correlation coefficient between annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs, and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO). This involved a delicate dance between the variables, much like the intricate steps of a tango, as we sought to uncover the strength and direction of the relationship between meaty consumer habits and stock market performance.

Statistical Significance Testing:
To add a dash of zest to our findings, we subjected the correlation coefficient to rigorous statistical significance testing. This involved donning our statistical aprons and applying a range of tests to ensure that our results were as reliable as a well-aged steak. The p-value testing in particular allowed us to discern whether our findings were as significant as a seafood lover finding a pearl in an oyster.

Control Variables:
In order to ensure that our analysis wasn’t as fishy as a red herring, we incorporated a range of control variables including economic indicators, market trends, and industry-specific factors. This served to add depth and nuance to our investigation, much like the complexity of flavors in a gourmet seafood paella.

Ethical Considerations:
Throughout our research, we adhered to the ethical principles of academic inquiry, ensuring that our analysis was as transparent and rigorous as a glass fishbowl. We embarked on this journey with integrity, aiming to serve up findings that were as satisfying as a well-cooked meal.

So, with data in hand and statistical aprons tied, we set out on our analytical journey with the spirit of culinary adventurers, ready to savor the tantalizing insights that lay ahead.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Bureau of Labor Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) .

For the time period 2010 to 2022, you found a correlation 0.9752127, r-squared of 0.9510397, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
How Do Meaty Trends Affect Stock Prices? A Clucking Good Look at the Relationship Between Annual US Household Spending on Animal Products and Broadcom's Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the moo-ving relationship between annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO). Utilizing data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) from 2010 to 2022, we uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9752127 and statistically significant p < 0.01. As we slice and dice through the data, our findings demonstrate a strong link between the consumption of animal products and the market performance of Broadcom. Our analysis goes beyond the usual stock analytics, providing a ducky good insight into how carnivorous consumer habits can affect the stock market. So, grab a steak and get ready for some juicy results!

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
In the world of stock market analysis, one must always be on the lookout for correlations and connections that may seem as strange as a chicken crossing the road. As researchers, we are often faced with the daunting task of deciphering the complex web of factors that can influence stock prices. It is in this spirit that we embark on a quest to uncover the relationship between the annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs - a meaty affair indeed - and the stock price of Broadcom, symbol AVGO.
While some may consider this endeavor as whimsical as a pig flying, our preliminary analysis has unearthed some truly fascinating findings. From bacon to Broadcom, our investigation has taken us on a journey through the culinary and financial landscape, shedding light on the potential impact of carnivorous consumer habits on stock market performance. So, saddle up and buckle in, as we dive into this clucking good exploration of the beefy links between meaty trends and stock prices.
In the following sections, we shall dissect the data with the precision of a master chef carving a prime rib, unveiling both the statistical significance and practical implications of our discoveries. But first, let us set the stage and provide an overview of the context within which this analysis is conducted. It’s time to separate the lamb from the ham, and embark on a scholarly adventure that promises to be as tantalizing as a smoky barbecue on a summer evening.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

Our analysis of the relationship between annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO) from 2010 to 2022 has revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.9752127, indicating a remarkably strong positive association between these seemingly unrelated variables. This correlation is about as clear as the connection between a cow and its moo, leaving little room for doubt regarding the influence of carnivorous consumer habits on the stock market performance of Broadcom.

In addition to the high correlation coefficient, our findings are further supported by an r-squared value of 0.9510397, demonstrating that approximately 95% of the variability in Broadcom's stock price can be explained by the annual US household spending on animal products. It seems that the age-old question of "Which came first, the chicken or the egg?" may have found a potential answer in the form of Broadcom's stock price.

The statistical significance of our results is underscored by a p-value of less than 0.01, indicating that the observed relationship is highly unlikely to occur by chance alone. This level of significance is as rare as a blue steak – a delectable find indeed in the world of statistical analysis.

To visually capture the essence of our findings, Fig. 1 presents a scatterplot depicting the strong, positively sloped relationship between annual US household spending on meaty delights and Broadcom's stock price. This figure is as savory as a well-grilled fillet, providing a mouth-watering visual representation of the connection between carnivorous consumption and stock market performance.

We must acknowledge that our results may seem unexpected, akin to finding a lobster in a lake, but they highlight the importance of considering unconventional factors in stock market analysis. This investigation fills a niche that has been as overlooked as the underbelly of a cow, shedding light on the potential influence of meaty trends on stock prices in a manner that is both robust and chuckle-worthy.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
How Do Meaty Trends Affect Stock Prices? A Clucking Good Look at the Relationship Between Annual US Household Spending on Animal Products and Broadcom's Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the moo-ving relationship between annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO). Utilizing data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) from 2010 to 2022, we uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9752127 and statistically significant p < 0.01. As we slice and dice through the data, our findings demonstrate a strong link between the consumption of animal products and the market performance of Broadcom. Our analysis goes beyond the usual stock analytics, providing a ducky good insight into how carnivorous consumer habits can affect the stock market. So, grab a steak and get ready for some juicy results!

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
Numerous scholarly inquiries into consumer spending habits and stock market behavior have been conducted, shedding light on the intricate dance between market forces and consumer preferences. In "Smith et al.," the authors find a consistent pattern of correlation between consumer expenditure on various food items and the performance of relevant industry stocks. Their study delves into the nuanced relationship between dietary choices and the market fluctuations, providing a robust foundation for our investigation.
Expanding beyond the realm of traditional economic analyses, "Doe's work" offers a comprehensive exploration of the interconnectedness of household consumption patterns and stock market dynamics. The findings of such studies have paved the way for us to explore the potential impact of meat-centric expenditure on the performance of specific stocks, perhaps even uncovering the "meat" and potatoes of stock market movements.
Moving on to a more literary perspective, "The Omnivore's Dilemma" by Michael Pollan and "Economics for Dummies" by Sean Masaki Flynn and Peter Antonioni have provided invaluable insights into the intricate relationship between consumer dietary preferences and economic principles. These works have served as a nutritious foundation for our understanding of the interplay between consumer spending on animal products and stock market behavior.
In the realm of fiction, works such as "The Catcher in the Rye" by J.D. Salinger and "Moby-Duck: The True Story of 28,800 Bath Toys Lost at Sea" by Donovan Hohn may not directly pertain to our research topic; however, they serve as a whimsical reminder of the diverse literary influences that shape our perceptions of consumer behavior and stock performance.
Venturing into the uncharted territories of unconventional sources, including but not limited to perusing the contents of discarded CVS receipts and deciphering the cryptic messages embedded in fortune cookies, has also contributed to our understanding of consumer habits and their potential impact on stock prices. After all, one never knows where the bacon bits of wisdom may be found.

[[RESULTS]]
Our analysis of the relationship between annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO) from 2010 to 2022 has revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.9752127, indicating a remarkably strong positive association between these seemingly unrelated variables. This correlation is about as clear as the connection between a cow and its moo, leaving little room for doubt regarding the influence of carnivorous consumer habits on the stock market performance of Broadcom.
In addition to the high correlation coefficient, our findings are further supported by an r-squared value of 0.9510397, demonstrating that approximately 95% of the variability in Broadcom's stock price can be explained by the annual US household spending on animal products. It seems that the age-old question of "Which came first, the chicken or the egg?" may have found a potential answer in the form of Broadcom's stock price.
The statistical significance of our results is underscored by a p-value of less than 0.01, indicating that the observed relationship is highly unlikely to occur by chance alone. This level of significance is as rare as a blue steak – a delectable find indeed in the world of statistical analysis.
To visually capture the essence of our findings, Fig. 1 presents a scatterplot depicting the strong, positively sloped relationship between annual US household spending on meaty delights and Broadcom's stock price. This figure is as savory as a well-grilled fillet, providing a mouth-watering visual representation of the connection between carnivorous consumption and stock market performance.
We must acknowledge that our results may seem unexpected, akin to finding a lobster in a lake, but they highlight the importance of considering unconventional factors in stock market analysis. This investigation fills a niche that has been as overlooked as the underbelly of a cow, shedding light on the potential influence of meaty trends on stock prices in a manner that is both robust and chuckle-worthy.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The cluck-tastic correlation coefficient of 0.9752127 found in our analysis provides ducky good support for the prior research conducted by Smith et al., which hinted at the influence of consumer expenditure on food items on the performance of relevant industry stocks. It seems that when it comes to Broadcom's stock price, meaty spending is not to be taken lightly. Our results have lent further credence to the idea that consumer dietary choices can have a beefy impact on the market.

The statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 is akin to stumbling upon a golden egg – a rare find that underlines the robustness of our results and reinforces the notion that the observed relationship between carnivorous consumer habits and Broadcom's stock price is not simply a fluke. These findings ring true with Doe's work, which delved into the interconnectedness of household consumption patterns and stock market dynamics. It appears that in the world of stock market analysis, following the meaty trail may lead to some surprisingly tender results.

As we slice and dice through the data, our examination aligns with the insights provided by "The Omnivore's Dilemma" and "Economics for Dummies," offering a nutritious perspective on how consumer spending on animal products can sway stock market behavior. It appears that when it comes to understanding the stock market, it's not just about crunching numbers but also about savoring the delectable interplay between consumer dietary preferences and economic principles.

The beefy r-squared value of 0.9510397 demonstrates that the variability in Broadcom's stock price can be largely explained by annual US household spending on animal products. This result is as spot-on as finding the perfect seasoning for a steak, highlighting the substantial influence of carnivorous consumption on the stock market performance of Broadcom. Our scatterplot, as mouth-watering as a gourmet burger, visually captures the robust, positively sloped relationship between meaty delights and Broadcom's stock price, painting a vivid picture of how carnivorous consumption can tenderize the stock market.

In conclusion, our findings have lent strong support to the prior research, showcasing the influence of annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs on Broadcom's stock price. This investigation has brought a flavorful twist to the world of stock market analysis, reminding us that sometimes, the juiciest insights may come from the most unexpected sources.



Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
How Do Meaty Trends Affect Stock Prices? A Clucking Good Look at the Relationship Between Annual US Household Spending on Animal Products and Broadcom's Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the moo-ving relationship between annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO). Utilizing data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) from 2010 to 2022, we uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9752127 and statistically significant p < 0.01. As we slice and dice through the data, our findings demonstrate a strong link between the consumption of animal products and the market performance of Broadcom. Our analysis goes beyond the usual stock analytics, providing a ducky good insight into how carnivorous consumer habits can affect the stock market. So, grab a steak and get ready for some juicy results!

[[INTRDUCTION]]
In the world of stock market analysis, one must always be on the lookout for correlations and connections that may seem as strange as a chicken crossing the road. As researchers, we are often faced with the daunting task of deciphering the complex web of factors that can influence stock prices. It is in this spirit that we embark on a quest to uncover the relationship between the annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs - a meaty affair indeed - and the stock price of Broadcom, symbol AVGO.
While some may consider this endeavor as whimsical as a pig flying, our preliminary analysis has unearthed some truly fascinating findings. From bacon to Broadcom, our investigation has taken us on a journey through the culinary and financial landscape, shedding light on the potential impact of carnivorous consumer habits on stock market performance. So, saddle up and buckle in, as we dive into this clucking good exploration of the beefy links between meaty trends and stock prices.
In the following sections, we shall dissect the data with the precision of a master chef carving a prime rib, unveiling both the statistical significance and practical implications of our discoveries. But first, let us set the stage and provide an overview of the context within which this analysis is conducted. It’s time to separate the lamb from the ham, and embark on a scholarly adventure that promises to be as tantalizing as a smoky barbecue on a summer evening.

[[RESULTS]]
Our analysis of the relationship between annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO) from 2010 to 2022 has revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.9752127, indicating a remarkably strong positive association between these seemingly unrelated variables. This correlation is about as clear as the connection between a cow and its moo, leaving little room for doubt regarding the influence of carnivorous consumer habits on the stock market performance of Broadcom.
In addition to the high correlation coefficient, our findings are further supported by an r-squared value of 0.9510397, demonstrating that approximately 95% of the variability in Broadcom's stock price can be explained by the annual US household spending on animal products. It seems that the age-old question of "Which came first, the chicken or the egg?" may have found a potential answer in the form of Broadcom's stock price.
The statistical significance of our results is underscored by a p-value of less than 0.01, indicating that the observed relationship is highly unlikely to occur by chance alone. This level of significance is as rare as a blue steak – a delectable find indeed in the world of statistical analysis.
To visually capture the essence of our findings, Fig. 1 presents a scatterplot depicting the strong, positively sloped relationship between annual US household spending on meaty delights and Broadcom's stock price. This figure is as savory as a well-grilled fillet, providing a mouth-watering visual representation of the connection between carnivorous consumption and stock market performance.
We must acknowledge that our results may seem unexpected, akin to finding a lobster in a lake, but they highlight the importance of considering unconventional factors in stock market analysis. This investigation fills a niche that has been as overlooked as the underbelly of a cow, shedding light on the potential influence of meaty trends on stock prices in a manner that is both robust and chuckle-worthy.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our analysis has tenderized the notion that annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs holds a significant sway over Broadcom's stock price. The forecast for this relationship appears as clear as a sunny-side-up egg, with a correlation coefficient of 0.9752127 and an r-squared value of 0.9510397. These results aren't chicken feed – they bear the weight of a full-grown cow in affirming the influence of carnivorous consumer habits on stock market dynamics.

The striking statistical significance of our findings, with a p-value of less than 0.01, serves as a delightful surprise, much like finding a nickel in a batch of chicken nuggets. Our research highlights that the link between meaty trends and stock prices is as robust as a well-marbled ribeye steak. This connection brings a whole new sizzle to the understanding of market trends and consumer behavior.

While the idea of meat consumption affecting stock prices may sound as unlikely as a vegetarian winning a hotdog-eating contest, our study has cracked open this egg of knowledge, leaving no yolk about the impact of carnivorous cravings on financial markets. These findings carry the weight of a whale – or perhaps a particularly hefty Thanksgiving turkey – in adding a juicy new dimension to stock market analysis.

In light of these compelling results, it is evident that further research in this area would be as unnecessary as a fish riding a bicycle. Our findings serve as a rare and delectable dish, leaving little room for additional speculation. It's time to grill up some hearty conclusions and savor the flavor of this unlikely yet meaty relationship between consumer spending and stock market performance.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited How Do Meaty Trends Affect Stock Prices? A Clucking Good Look at the Relationship Between Annual US Household Spending on Animal Products and Broadcom's Stock Price. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The International Journal of Financial Feastings and Fowlconomics


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited How Do Meaty Trends Affect Stock Prices? A Clucking Good Look at the Relationship Between Annual US Household Spending on Animal Products and Broadcom's Stock Price. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Gastronomical Economics and Financial Analysis


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled How Do Meaty Trends Affect Stock Prices? A Clucking Good Look at the Relationship Between Annual US Household Spending on Animal Products and Broadcom's Stock Price with an abstract of This paper investigates the moo-ving relationship between annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs and Broadcom's stock price (AVGO). Utilizing data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) from 2010 to 2022, we uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9752127 and statistically significant p < 0.01. As we slice and dice through the data, our findings demonstrate a strong link between the consumption of animal products and the market performance of Broadcom. Our analysis goes beyond the usual stock analytics, providing a ducky good insight into how carnivorous consumer habits can affect the stock market. So, grab a steak and get ready for some juicy results!

ChatGPT:

annual US household spending, meat consumption, poultry consumption, fish consumption, egg consumption, Broadcom stock price, AVGO stock price, correlation between consumer habits and stock market, consumer spending impact on stock prices

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs
Detailed data title: Average annual household spend on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
See what else correlates with Annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs

Broadcom's stock price (AVGO)
Detailed data title: Opening price of Broadcom (AVGO) on the first trading day of the year
Source: LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv)
Additional Info: Via Microsoft Excel Stockhistory function

See what else correlates with Broadcom's stock price (AVGO)

Correlation r = 0.9752127 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9510397 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 95.1% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Broadcom's stock price (AVGO)) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs) over the 13 years from 2010 through 2022.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 1.5E-8. 0.0000000149527944675649450000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.98 in 1.5E-6% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 66,877,131 random variables You don't actually need 66 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 12 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 12 because we have two variables measured over a period of 13 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.92, 0.99 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
Annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs (Household spend)784832852856892896890944961980107511151216
Broadcom's stock price (AVGO) (Stock price)18.328.729.4832.4352.85100.93142.07178.29259.77248.85319.32439.33666.32




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
    Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([784,832,852,856,892,896,890,944,961,980,1075,1115,1216,])
array_2 = np.array([18.3,28.7,29.48,32.43,52.85,100.93,142.07,178.29,259.77,248.85,319.32,439.33,666.32,])
array_1_name = "Annual US household spending on meats, poultry, fish, and eggs"
array_2_name = "Broadcom's stock price (AVGO)"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 2235 · Black Variable ID: 19888 · Red Variable ID: 1559
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