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AI explanation

^{Show image generation prompt} Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Create an image of a group of vibrant, kaleidoscopic individuals huddled around a pulsating, iridescent laptop. They are immersed in an array of vivid hues and patterns, their energy radiating and intermingling in a mesmerizing display of unity and curiosity. In the foreground, some of the figures are depicted dipping their feet into swirling, translucent ice baths, which shimmer with a prismatic allure. Others, caught in a state of rapt fascination, are engaged in watching captivating historical videos on the screen, their expressions a reflection of a shared passion for knowledge and discovery. A surreal, abstract graph, representing the fluctuating likes on Extra History YouTube videos, dances in the background, pulsing with an animated vitality that mirrors the group's collective enthusiasm. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.

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This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Google searches for 'ice bath' and The average number of likes on Extra History YouTube videos. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Psychedelic Hyper-realistic Vaporwave Macabre Cubism
ChatGPT: Psychedelic

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Google searches for 'ice bath' and The average number of likes on Extra History YouTube videos, in the following situation: As more people were chilling out with ice baths, they found themselves warming up to history. The increased blood flow from the ice baths may have led to heightened interest and engagement with the videos. It's a bit of a historical anomaly, but it seems like taking the plunge into icy search results really gave a boost to those liking and subscribing. It's like they say, when it comes to history videos, the more you shiver, the more you deliver!. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: A group of people is gathered around a laptop, with a search bar displaying "ice bath" on the screen. In the background, a graph showing the average number of likes on Extra History YouTube videos is visible. Some individuals in the group are soaking their feet in ice baths, while others are engrossed in watching historical videos. The group appears engaged and enthusiastic, with a noticeable increase in interaction and interest as they explore both the ice baths and historical content simultaneously.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Psychedelic ] and depicting this scene: A group of people is gathered around a laptop, with a search bar displaying "ice bath" on the screen. In the background, a graph showing the average number of likes on Extra History YouTube videos is visible. Some individuals in the group are soaking their feet in ice baths, while others are engrossed in watching historical videos. The group appears engaged and enthusiastic, with a noticeable increase in interaction and interest as they explore both the ice baths and historical content simultaneously. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Create an image of a group of vibrant, kaleidoscopic individuals huddled around a pulsating, iridescent laptop. They are immersed in an array of vivid hues and patterns, their energy radiating and intermingling in a mesmerizing display of unity and curiosity. In the foreground, some of the figures are depicted dipping their feet into swirling, translucent ice baths, which shimmer with a prismatic allure. Others, caught in a state of rapt fascination, are engaged in watching captivating historical videos on the screen, their expressions a reflection of a shared passion for knowledge and discovery. A surreal, abstract graph, representing the fluctuating likes on Extra History YouTube videos, dances in the background, pulsing with an animated vitality that mirrors the group's collective enthusiasm.

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*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

AI academic paper

Chilled Correlations: Captivating Convergence of Google Searches for 'Ice Bath' and The average number of likes on Extra History YouTube Videos The Journal of Modern Iceology Jan 2024 Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!

Problem variable:	Which variable has a problem? Google searches for 'ice bath' The average number of likes on Extra History YouTube videos Neither / both
Issue:	What is the issue? The data is incorrect The chart isn't displaying properly There is a typo The source link is incorrect A calculation is wrong Something else
Additional details: Optional
Confirm you are a human:

Data details

Why this works

1. Data dredging: I have 25,237 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 636,906,169 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably^Note Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
   no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple^Note Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
   p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.

Try it yourself

# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([17.1667,17.5,19,19.9167,20.3333,20.9167,21.8333,23.5,23.75,27.0833,38.3333,86.2,])
array_2 = np.array([10638,13226.7,10936.4,16094.1,19489,26674.9,19539.8,16313.2,13987.5,14691.6,22391.1,56916.7,])
array_1_name = "Google searches for 'ice bath'"
array_2_name = "The average number of likes on Extra History YouTube videos"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)

Reuseable content

• High resolution line chart ^Note The image linked here is a Scalable Vector Graphic (SVG). It is the highest resolution that is possible to achieve. It scales up beyond the size of the observable universe without pixelating. You do not need to email me asking if I have a higher resolution image. I do not. The physical limitations of our universe prevent me from providing you with an image that is any higher resolution than this one.
  
  If you insert it into a PowerPoint presentation (a tool well-known for managing things that are the scale of the universe), you can right-click > "Ungroup" or "Create Shape" and then edit the lines and text directly. You can also change the colors this way.
  
  Alternatively you can use a tool like Inkscape.
  
• High resolution line chart, optimized for mobile
• Alternative high resolution line chart
• Scatterplot
• Portable line chart (png)
• Portable line chart (png), optimized for mobile
• Line chart for only Google searches for 'ice bath'
• Line chart for only The average number of likes on Extra History YouTube videos
• AI-generated correlation image
• The spurious research paper: Chilled Correlations: Captivating Convergence of Google Searches for 'Ice Bath' and The average number of likes on Extra History YouTube Videos