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Spurious correlation #5,310 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Popularity of the first name Armani and the second variable is Total length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube videos.  The chart goes from 2007 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As the name Armani gained popularity, more babies were destined for lives of sophistication and style. These babies grew up to become fans of SmarterEveryDay, inspiring Destin to create longer, more intellectually suave videos to match their exquisite tastes. It's a case of sartorial elegance leading to the expansion of smartorial content!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image of a baby named Armani surrounded by adoring fans, all dressed in stylish and sophisticated attire, watching a group of elegantly dressed adults create and film longer and more intellectually engaging videos for the SmarterEveryDay YouTube channel. The scene should be depicted in a 3D Pixar Style, highlighting the contrast between the young Armani and the sophisticated adults, as well as the excitement of the adoring fans. The focus should be on the elegance and creativity of the filmmaking process, accented by the presence of the stylishly dressed onlookers. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Popularity of the first name Armani and Total length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube videos. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Oragami 3D Pixar Style Realistic Photorealism Steampunk
ChatGPT: 3D Pixar Style

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Popularity of the first name Armani and Total length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube videos, in the following situation: As the name Armani gained popularity, more babies were destined for lives of sophistication and style. These babies grew up to become fans of SmarterEveryDay, inspiring Destin to create longer, more intellectually suave videos to match their exquisite tastes. It's a case of sartorial elegance leading to the expansion of smartorial content!. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: A baby named Armani is surrounded by adoring fans, all dressed in stylish and sophisticated attire, watching a group of elegantly dressed adults create and film longer and more intellectually engaging videos for the SmarterEveryDay YouTube channel.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ 3D Pixar Style ] and depicting this scene: A baby named Armani is surrounded by adoring fans, all dressed in stylish and sophisticated attire, watching a group of elegantly dressed adults create and film longer and more intellectually engaging videos for the SmarterEveryDay YouTube channel. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image of a baby named Armani surrounded by adoring fans, all dressed in stylish and sophisticated attire, watching a group of elegantly dressed adults create and film longer and more intellectually engaging videos for the SmarterEveryDay YouTube channel. The scene should be depicted in a 3D Pixar Style, highlighting the contrast between the young Armani and the sophisticated adults, as well as the excitement of the adoring fans. The focus should be on the elegance and creativity of the filmmaking process, accented by the presence of the stylishly dressed onlookers.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Popularity of the first name Armani caused Total length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube videos to increase.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
The Armani Effect: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Armani' and the Total Length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube Videos

The Journal of Quirky Sociological Studies

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Armani and Total length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube videos. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Include a pun in the title.

Your research team used data from US Social Security Administration and YouTube to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9591134 and p < 0.01 for 2007 to 2022.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
"The Armani Effect: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Armani' and the Total Length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube Videos"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name 'Armani' and the total length of videos on the educational YouTube channel SmarterEveryDay. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and YouTube, our research team employed statistical analyses to scrutinize this peculiar association. Surprisingly, our findings revealed a staggering correlation coefficient of 0.9591134 with a p-value less than 0.01 during the period from 2007 to 2022. The implications of these results invite whimsical speculation and perhaps even suggest that the trajectory of video length may have been imbued with a sartorial charm akin to the eponymous fashion designer. This paper not only sheds light on a non-traditional correlation but also encourages further investigation into the fascinating interplay of social trends and digital content creation.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Armani and Total length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube videos. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"The Armani Effect: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Armani' and the Total Length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube Videos"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name 'Armani' and the total length of videos on the educational YouTube channel SmarterEveryDay. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and YouTube, our research team employed statistical analyses to scrutinize this peculiar association. Surprisingly, our findings revealed a staggering correlation coefficient of 0.9591134 with a p-value less than 0.01 during the period from 2007 to 2022. The implications of these results invite whimsical speculation and perhaps even suggest that the trajectory of video length may have been imbued with a sartorial charm akin to the eponymous fashion designer. This paper not only sheds light on a non-traditional correlation but also encourages further investigation into the fascinating interplay of social trends and digital content creation.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
INTRODUCTION

The relationship between individual names and various aspects of societal trends has long been a subject of curiosity and study. Names, often reflective of cultural influences, familial traditions, and shifting social norms, can provide a window into the zeitgeist of a particular era. In this context, the first name 'Armani' stands out as an example that intrigues researchers and laypersons alike. While traditionally associated with the esteemed Italian fashion house, the name has gained widespread popularity, prompting us to explore whether its prevalence correlates with an unforeseen facet of modern digital culture.

The platform of YouTube has emerged as a transformative force in disseminating knowledge, entertainment, and everything in between. Within this vast digital landscape, channels such as SmarterEveryDay have garnered substantial followings, presenting educational content that captivates audiences with its blend of science, engineering, and, at times, unexpected whimsy. This study seeks to unravel a particularly enigmatic mystery: the unforeseen connection between the prominence of the name 'Armani' and the total duration of videos on the SmarterEveryDay channel.

The juxtaposition of a fashion-forward name and educational video length might at first seem incongruous, but as we delved into the data, a striking correlation emerged. The statistical analyses conducted from 2007 to 2022 revealed a correlation coefficient that approaches unity, accompanied by a p-value that induces quite the scholarly eyebrow raise. Such findings not only merit rigorous investigation but also hint at the possibility of an unseen force at play—beyond mere statistical coincidence.

As we proceed to unpack the implications of our findings, it is essential to emphasize the light-hearted curiosity that underpins this inquiry. While academic research often adopts a serious tone, it is the quirky correlations and unexpected discoveries that keep the pursuit of knowledge engaging and, dare I say, stylish.

In the proceeding sections, we will delve into the methodology employed to unveil this unexpected association, followed by a comprehensive analysis of the implications of the "Armani effect" on the world of digital content creation. This investigation not only adds a touch of whimsy to the realm of statistical inquiry but also beckons us to ponder the mechanisms through which societal and individual attributes intersect in the digital age. So, hold onto your lab coats and fashion accessories as we embark on a journey that promises to be as enlightening as it is unexpectedly fashionable.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Armani and Total length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube videos. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name some movies that you watched that are tangentially related to the topic.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"The Armani Effect: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Armani' and the Total Length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube Videos"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name 'Armani' and the total length of videos on the educational YouTube channel SmarterEveryDay. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and YouTube, our research team employed statistical analyses to scrutinize this peculiar association. Surprisingly, our findings revealed a staggering correlation coefficient of 0.9591134 with a p-value less than 0.01 during the period from 2007 to 2022. The implications of these results invite whimsical speculation and perhaps even suggest that the trajectory of video length may have been imbued with a sartorial charm akin to the eponymous fashion designer. This paper not only sheds light on a non-traditional correlation but also encourages further investigation into the fascinating interplay of social trends and digital content creation.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The relationship between individual names and various aspects of societal trends has long been a subject of curiosity and study. Names, often reflective of cultural influences, familial traditions, and shifting social norms, can provide a window into the zeitgeist of a particular era. In this context, the first name 'Armani' stands out as an example that intrigues researchers and laypersons alike. While traditionally associated with the esteemed Italian fashion house, the name has gained widespread popularity, prompting us to explore whether its prevalence correlates with an unforeseen facet of modern digital culture.
The platform of YouTube has emerged as a transformative force in disseminating knowledge, entertainment, and everything in between. Within this vast digital landscape, channels such as SmarterEveryDay have garnered substantial followings, presenting educational content that captivates audiences with its blend of science, engineering, and, at times, unexpected whimsy. This study seeks to unravel a particularly enigmatic mystery: the unforeseen connection between the prominence of the name 'Armani' and the total duration of videos on the SmarterEveryDay channel.
The juxtaposition of a fashion-forward name and educational video length might at first seem incongruous, but as we delved into the data, a striking correlation emerged. The statistical analyses conducted from 2007 to 2022 revealed a correlation coefficient that approaches unity, accompanied by a p-value that induces quite the scholarly eyebrow raise. Such findings not only merit rigorous investigation but also hint at the possibility of an unseen force at play—beyond mere statistical coincidence.
As we proceed to unpack the implications of our findings, it is essential to emphasize the light-hearted curiosity that underpins this inquiry. While academic research often adopts a serious tone, it is the quirky correlations and unexpected discoveries that keep the pursuit of knowledge engaging and, dare I say, stylish.
In the proceeding sections, we will delve into the methodology employed to unveil this unexpected association, followed by a comprehensive analysis of the implications of the "Armani effect" on the world of digital content creation. This investigation not only adds a touch of whimsy to the realm of statistical inquiry but also beckons us to ponder the mechanisms through which societal and individual attributes intersect in the digital age. So, hold onto your lab coats and fashion accessories as we embark on a journey that promises to be as enlightening as it is unexpectedly fashionable.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

The interplay between individual names and societal phenomena has been a subject of scholarly investigation for decades. In their seminal work, Smith et al. (2010) delved into the cultural significance of personal nomenclature, offering insights into the intricate web of historical, social, and psychological factors that shape naming conventions. Similarly, Doe and Jones (2015) explored the relationship between popular names and emergent social trends, shedding light on the fascinating and often surprising associations that permeate the world of nomenclature.

Turning now to more specific topics within the realm of digital culture, "The Power of YouTube: A Comprehensive Analysis" by Media et al. (2018) provides a comprehensive overview of the impact of YouTube on modern society, encompassing its influence on education, entertainment, and the dissemination of knowledge. Moreover, the influential work of Digital and Trends (2014) delves into the evolution of online content creation, elucidating the intricate dynamics that shape the production and consumption of digital media.

However, venturing into the more esoteric connections, we look at "The Name Game: A Study of Serendipitous Correlations" by Lorem and Ipsum (2017), which, while not directly related to our study, piqued our interest in the unexpected associations that can surface in the realm of nomenclature and societal phenomena.

Departing from the strictly academic sphere, we turn to literary explorations that hint at intriguing connections. The novel "What's in a Name?" by Fictional Author (2005) offers a lighthearted take on the whimsical nature of personal names, prompting readers to contemplate the often-unseen significance embedded in what we call each other. Similarly, "The Name Conundrum: A Tale of Two Labels" by Another Fictional Author (2008) provides a fictional account of the untold stories behind names, capturing the intrigue and whimsy that surrounds the naming process.

In the realm of visual media, movies such as "The Social Network" and "The Imitation Game" have indirectly touched upon the intersections of technological innovation, digital culture, and the human experience—themes that subtly echo the spirit of our own inquiry. While not the central focus of these films, the overarching themes resonate with the unexpected connections we aim to unravel in the context of the 'Armani effect.'

As we pivot from the serious to the whimsical, we pause to appreciate the quirky and entertaining avenues of investigation that add a touch of levity to the pursuit of knowledge. With this colorful tapestry of scholarly, fictional, and cinematic influences, we embark on an exploration that endeavors to uncover the sartorial secrets lurking within the digital landscape—a journey that promises to be as illuminating as it is unexpectedly fashionable.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Armani and Total length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube videos. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and YouTube . You used data from 2007 to 2022

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"The Armani Effect: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Armani' and the Total Length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube Videos"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name 'Armani' and the total length of videos on the educational YouTube channel SmarterEveryDay. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and YouTube, our research team employed statistical analyses to scrutinize this peculiar association. Surprisingly, our findings revealed a staggering correlation coefficient of 0.9591134 with a p-value less than 0.01 during the period from 2007 to 2022. The implications of these results invite whimsical speculation and perhaps even suggest that the trajectory of video length may have been imbued with a sartorial charm akin to the eponymous fashion designer. This paper not only sheds light on a non-traditional correlation but also encourages further investigation into the fascinating interplay of social trends and digital content creation.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The relationship between individual names and various aspects of societal trends has long been a subject of curiosity and study. Names, often reflective of cultural influences, familial traditions, and shifting social norms, can provide a window into the zeitgeist of a particular era. In this context, the first name 'Armani' stands out as an example that intrigues researchers and laypersons alike. While traditionally associated with the esteemed Italian fashion house, the name has gained widespread popularity, prompting us to explore whether its prevalence correlates with an unforeseen facet of modern digital culture.
The platform of YouTube has emerged as a transformative force in disseminating knowledge, entertainment, and everything in between. Within this vast digital landscape, channels such as SmarterEveryDay have garnered substantial followings, presenting educational content that captivates audiences with its blend of science, engineering, and, at times, unexpected whimsy. This study seeks to unravel a particularly enigmatic mystery: the unforeseen connection between the prominence of the name 'Armani' and the total duration of videos on the SmarterEveryDay channel.
The juxtaposition of a fashion-forward name and educational video length might at first seem incongruous, but as we delved into the data, a striking correlation emerged. The statistical analyses conducted from 2007 to 2022 revealed a correlation coefficient that approaches unity, accompanied by a p-value that induces quite the scholarly eyebrow raise. Such findings not only merit rigorous investigation but also hint at the possibility of an unseen force at play—beyond mere statistical coincidence.
As we proceed to unpack the implications of our findings, it is essential to emphasize the light-hearted curiosity that underpins this inquiry. While academic research often adopts a serious tone, it is the quirky correlations and unexpected discoveries that keep the pursuit of knowledge engaging and, dare I say, stylish.
In the proceeding sections, we will delve into the methodology employed to unveil this unexpected association, followed by a comprehensive analysis of the implications of the "Armani effect" on the world of digital content creation. This investigation not only adds a touch of whimsy to the realm of statistical inquiry but also beckons us to ponder the mechanisms through which societal and individual attributes intersect in the digital age. So, hold onto your lab coats and fashion accessories as we embark on a journey that promises to be as enlightening as it is unexpectedly fashionable.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

METHODOLOGY

Data Collection

To investigate the mysterious connection between the popularity of the first name 'Armani' and the total length of videos on the SmarterEveryDay YouTube channel, our research team meticulously gathered data from a variety of sources. We began by consulting the US Social Security Administration for comprehensive information on the prevalence of the name 'Armani' from 2007 to 2022. It is worth noting that our data collection process involved sifting through a myriad of names, but none quite matched the sartorial flair of 'Armani.'

Next, we turned our attention to the digital realm, where we embarked on a quest to scrutinize the video lengths of the enigmatic SmarterEveryDay channel. With its blend of science, engineering, and the unexpected, this channel provided a fertile ground for our investigation. Here, we should emphasize that our research team conscientiously calculated the total duration of each video, ensuring that no second of SmarterEveryDay's educational content was left unmeasured. Our dedication to this task was as steadfast as a pair of tailored Armani trousers.

Statistical Analyses

Having amassed our data, we proceeded to conduct an array of statistical analyses to uncover any underlying connections between the prevalence of the name 'Armani' and the total duration of SmarterEveryDay videos. Our analyses included but were not limited to correlation coefficients, linear regression models, and perhaps a fortuitous glance at a crystal ball. As we toiled over the data, we could not help but be fascinated by the unmistakable allure exuded by the name 'Armani' and its potential impact on educational video lengths.

It should be noted, in the spirit of full transparency, that during the statistical analyses, our team experienced moments of speculative wonder, where we pondered whether the name 'Armani' held an unseen influence over the YouTube algorithm. While such musings may seem fanciful in a scholarly setting, they underscore the playful curiosity that often accompanies the pursuit of knowledge.

Ethical Considerations

Amidst our pursuit of uncovering this captivating correlation, our research team remained mindful of ethical considerations. As such, we ensured that all data utilized in this study was sourced from publicly available information, safeguarding the anonymity of individuals associated with the name 'Armani' and upholding the principles of good research conduct. We also took great care to approach this peculiar correlation with the lightheartedness it evoked, encouraging an atmosphere of whimsy in our academic endeavor.

In conclusion, our methodology sought to marry meticulous data collection with a touch of playful curiosity, resulting in an investigation that aimed to shed light on an unexpected intersection of societal trends and digital content creation. As we transition to the presentation of our findings, it is our hope that readers approach the ensuing results with the same whimsical wonder that pervaded our research process.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Armani and Total length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube videos. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and YouTube .

For the time period 2007 to 2022, you found a correlation 0.9591134, r-squared of 0.9198986, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"The Armani Effect: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Armani' and the Total Length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube Videos"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name 'Armani' and the total length of videos on the educational YouTube channel SmarterEveryDay. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and YouTube, our research team employed statistical analyses to scrutinize this peculiar association. Surprisingly, our findings revealed a staggering correlation coefficient of 0.9591134 with a p-value less than 0.01 during the period from 2007 to 2022. The implications of these results invite whimsical speculation and perhaps even suggest that the trajectory of video length may have been imbued with a sartorial charm akin to the eponymous fashion designer. This paper not only sheds light on a non-traditional correlation but also encourages further investigation into the fascinating interplay of social trends and digital content creation.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
INTRODUCTION
The relationship between individual names and various aspects of societal trends has long been a subject of curiosity and study. Names, often reflective of cultural influences, familial traditions, and shifting social norms, can provide a window into the zeitgeist of a particular era. In this context, the first name 'Armani' stands out as an example that intrigues researchers and laypersons alike. While traditionally associated with the esteemed Italian fashion house, the name has gained widespread popularity, prompting us to explore whether its prevalence correlates with an unforeseen facet of modern digital culture.
The platform of YouTube has emerged as a transformative force in disseminating knowledge, entertainment, and everything in between. Within this vast digital landscape, channels such as SmarterEveryDay have garnered substantial followings, presenting educational content that captivates audiences with its blend of science, engineering, and, at times, unexpected whimsy. This study seeks to unravel a particularly enigmatic mystery: the unforeseen connection between the prominence of the name 'Armani' and the total duration of videos on the SmarterEveryDay channel.
The juxtaposition of a fashion-forward name and educational video length might at first seem incongruous, but as we delved into the data, a striking correlation emerged. The statistical analyses conducted from 2007 to 2022 revealed a correlation coefficient that approaches unity, accompanied by a p-value that induces quite the scholarly eyebrow raise. Such findings not only merit rigorous investigation but also hint at the possibility of an unseen force at play—beyond mere statistical coincidence.
As we proceed to unpack the implications of our findings, it is essential to emphasize the light-hearted curiosity that underpins this inquiry. While academic research often adopts a serious tone, it is the quirky correlations and unexpected discoveries that keep the pursuit of knowledge engaging and, dare I say, stylish.
In the proceeding sections, we will delve into the methodology employed to unveil this unexpected association, followed by a comprehensive analysis of the implications of the "Armani effect" on the world of digital content creation. This investigation not only adds a touch of whimsy to the realm of statistical inquiry but also beckons us to ponder the mechanisms through which societal and individual attributes intersect in the digital age. So, hold onto your lab coats and fashion accessories as we embark on a journey that promises to be as enlightening as it is unexpectedly fashionable.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

**RESULTS**

The analysis of the relationship between the popularity of the first name 'Armani' and the total length of videos on the SmarterEveryDay YouTube channel yielded remarkably compelling results. The correlation coefficient between these seemingly disparate variables was found to be a striking 0.9591134, reflecting an astoundingly strong positive correlation. The coefficient of determination (r-squared) further underscored this robust relationship, standing at an impressive 0.9198986. Notably, the p-value calculated for this correlation was less than 0.01, providing strong evidence against the null hypothesis and prompting more than a raised eyebrow among the scholarly community.

At this point, astute readers might be wondering, "Could it be that the influence of the name 'Armani' extends beyond the realm of fashion and makes a surprising foray into the domain of educational content on YouTube?" The statistically significant correlation suggests a connection that beckons further exploration, leading to a peculiar yet captivating avenue for scholarly inquiry.

*Fig. 1* displays a scatterplot illustrating the robust correlation between the frequency of the name 'Armani' and the total video length on SmarterEveryDay. The visual representation of this connection serves as a testament to the unexpected relationships that can be uncovered through diligent statistical analysis.

It is important to note that while correlation does not imply causation, the strength of the relationship between these variables raises thought-provoking questions. Could it be that the allure of the name 'Armani' exerts an indiscernible influence on the creative process, prompting longer, more intellectually stimulating content? Such speculations are, of course, a product of lighthearted curiosity, but they serve to underscore the intriguing nature of our findings.

In short, the results of our analysis not only confirm an unanticipated correlation but also inspire whimsical contemplation about the potential influence of nomenclature in the realm of digital content creation. The next section will delve into the theoretical implications and tantalizing possibilities offered by the "Armani effect" on the landscape of educational YouTube videos. Stay tuned for an intellectual fashion show unlike any other.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Armani and Total length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube videos. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"The Armani Effect: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Armani' and the Total Length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube Videos"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name 'Armani' and the total length of videos on the educational YouTube channel SmarterEveryDay. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and YouTube, our research team employed statistical analyses to scrutinize this peculiar association. Surprisingly, our findings revealed a staggering correlation coefficient of 0.9591134 with a p-value less than 0.01 during the period from 2007 to 2022. The implications of these results invite whimsical speculation and perhaps even suggest that the trajectory of video length may have been imbued with a sartorial charm akin to the eponymous fashion designer. This paper not only sheds light on a non-traditional correlation but also encourages further investigation into the fascinating interplay of social trends and digital content creation.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
The interplay between individual names and societal phenomena has been a subject of scholarly investigation for decades. In their seminal work, Smith et al. (2010) delved into the cultural significance of personal nomenclature, offering insights into the intricate web of historical, social, and psychological factors that shape naming conventions. Similarly, Doe and Jones (2015) explored the relationship between popular names and emergent social trends, shedding light on the fascinating and often surprising associations that permeate the world of nomenclature.
Turning now to more specific topics within the realm of digital culture, "The Power of YouTube: A Comprehensive Analysis" by Media et al. (2018) provides a comprehensive overview of the impact of YouTube on modern society, encompassing its influence on education, entertainment, and the dissemination of knowledge. Moreover, the influential work of Digital and Trends (2014) delves into the evolution of online content creation, elucidating the intricate dynamics that shape the production and consumption of digital media.
However, venturing into the more esoteric connections, we look at "The Name Game: A Study of Serendipitous Correlations" by Lorem and Ipsum (2017), which, while not directly related to our study, piqued our interest in the unexpected associations that can surface in the realm of nomenclature and societal phenomena.
Departing from the strictly academic sphere, we turn to literary explorations that hint at intriguing connections. The novel "What's in a Name?" by Fictional Author (2005) offers a lighthearted take on the whimsical nature of personal names, prompting readers to contemplate the often-unseen significance embedded in what we call each other. Similarly, "The Name Conundrum: A Tale of Two Labels" by Another Fictional Author (2008) provides a fictional account of the untold stories behind names, capturing the intrigue and whimsy that surrounds the naming process.
In the realm of visual media, movies such as "The Social Network" and "The Imitation Game" have indirectly touched upon the intersections of technological innovation, digital culture, and the human experience—themes that subtly echo the spirit of our own inquiry. While not the central focus of these films, the overarching themes resonate with the unexpected connections we aim to unravel in the context of the 'Armani effect.'
As we pivot from the serious to the whimsical, we pause to appreciate the quirky and entertaining avenues of investigation that add a touch of levity to the pursuit of knowledge. With this colorful tapestry of scholarly, fictional, and cinematic influences, we embark on an exploration that endeavors to uncover the sartorial secrets lurking within the digital landscape—a journey that promises to be as illuminating as it is unexpectedly fashionable.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the relationship between the popularity of the first name 'Armani' and the total length of videos on the SmarterEveryDay YouTube channel yielded remarkably compelling results. The correlation coefficient between these seemingly disparate variables was found to be a striking 0.9591134, reflecting an astoundingly strong positive correlation. The coefficient of determination (r-squared) further underscored this robust relationship, standing at an impressive 0.9198986. Notably, the p-value calculated for this correlation was less than 0.01, providing strong evidence against the null hypothesis and prompting more than a raised eyebrow among the scholarly community.
At this point, astute readers might be wondering, "Could it be that the influence of the name 'Armani' extends beyond the realm of fashion and makes a surprising foray into the domain of educational content on YouTube?" The statistically significant correlation suggests a connection that beckons further exploration, leading to a peculiar yet captivating avenue for scholarly inquiry.
*Fig. 1* displays a scatterplot illustrating the robust correlation between the frequency of the name 'Armani' and the total video length on SmarterEveryDay. The visual representation of this connection serves as a testament to the unexpected relationships that can be uncovered through diligent statistical analysis.
It is important to note that while correlation does not imply causation, the strength of the relationship between these variables raises thought-provoking questions. Could it be that the allure of the name 'Armani' exerts an indiscernible influence on the creative process, prompting longer, more intellectually stimulating content? Such speculations are, of course, a product of lighthearted curiosity, but they serve to underscore the intriguing nature of our findings.
In short, the results of our analysis not only confirm an unanticipated correlation but also inspire whimsical contemplation about the potential influence of nomenclature in the realm of digital content creation. The next section will delve into the theoretical implications and tantalizing possibilities offered by the "Armani effect" on the landscape of educational YouTube videos. Stay tuned for an intellectual fashion show unlike any other.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The findings of our investigation offer a curious glimpse into the potential interplay between the popularity of the name 'Armani' and the total length of videos on the educational YouTube channel SmarterEveryDay. Remarkably, our results align with prior research in unexpected ways, echoing the insightful work of Lorem and Ipsum (2017) that piqued our interest in serendipitous correlations involving nomenclature. While their focus did not directly relate to our study, the unforeseen associations they explored seem to reverberate with the whimsical connection we have uncovered between this particular name and digital content length.

Additionally, the robust correlation we unearthed invokes a curious parallel to Fictional Author's lighthearted novel "What's in a Name?" (2005) and Another Fictional Author's captivating exploration of naming in "The Name Conundrum" (2008). Both works, while operating in the realm of fiction, offer a playful lens through which to view the significance of names, beckoning us to consider the intriguing possibilities lurking within the world of nomenclature.

Moreover, the statistical significance of our findings and the visual representation in *Fig. 1* underscore the unexpected nature of the relationship between the frequency of the name 'Armani' and the total video length on SmarterEveryDay. The staggering correlation coefficient and coefficient of determination not only corroborate our initial hypothesis but also invite fanciful reflections on the potential influence of this namesake in the realm of educational content creation.

While undoubtedly a source of delight and intrigue, it is imperative to acknowledge that correlation does not imply causation, and our findings serve as the beginning rather than the end of this whimsical journey. The allure of the name 'Armani' could indeed spark longer, more intellectually stimulating content, or it could merely be a delightful coincidence – a sartorial serendipity, if you will.

In conclusion, the "Armani effect" has unveiled a path to explore the unexpected and whimsical intersections of naming conventions, digital content, and statistical analysis. As we venture into this captivating intellectual fashion show, we must heed our delightful curiosity and embrace the potential lighthearted insights that await within the captivating landscape of academic pursuits.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Armani and Total length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube videos. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"The Armani Effect: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Armani' and the Total Length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube Videos"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name 'Armani' and the total length of videos on the educational YouTube channel SmarterEveryDay. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and YouTube, our research team employed statistical analyses to scrutinize this peculiar association. Surprisingly, our findings revealed a staggering correlation coefficient of 0.9591134 with a p-value less than 0.01 during the period from 2007 to 2022. The implications of these results invite whimsical speculation and perhaps even suggest that the trajectory of video length may have been imbued with a sartorial charm akin to the eponymous fashion designer. This paper not only sheds light on a non-traditional correlation but also encourages further investigation into the fascinating interplay of social trends and digital content creation.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The relationship between individual names and various aspects of societal trends has long been a subject of curiosity and study. Names, often reflective of cultural influences, familial traditions, and shifting social norms, can provide a window into the zeitgeist of a particular era. In this context, the first name 'Armani' stands out as an example that intrigues researchers and laypersons alike. While traditionally associated with the esteemed Italian fashion house, the name has gained widespread popularity, prompting us to explore whether its prevalence correlates with an unforeseen facet of modern digital culture.
The platform of YouTube has emerged as a transformative force in disseminating knowledge, entertainment, and everything in between. Within this vast digital landscape, channels such as SmarterEveryDay have garnered substantial followings, presenting educational content that captivates audiences with its blend of science, engineering, and, at times, unexpected whimsy. This study seeks to unravel a particularly enigmatic mystery: the unforeseen connection between the prominence of the name 'Armani' and the total duration of videos on the SmarterEveryDay channel.
The juxtaposition of a fashion-forward name and educational video length might at first seem incongruous, but as we delved into the data, a striking correlation emerged. The statistical analyses conducted from 2007 to 2022 revealed a correlation coefficient that approaches unity, accompanied by a p-value that induces quite the scholarly eyebrow raise. Such findings not only merit rigorous investigation but also hint at the possibility of an unseen force at play—beyond mere statistical coincidence.
As we proceed to unpack the implications of our findings, it is essential to emphasize the light-hearted curiosity that underpins this inquiry. While academic research often adopts a serious tone, it is the quirky correlations and unexpected discoveries that keep the pursuit of knowledge engaging and, dare I say, stylish.
In the proceeding sections, we will delve into the methodology employed to unveil this unexpected association, followed by a comprehensive analysis of the implications of the "Armani effect" on the world of digital content creation. This investigation not only adds a touch of whimsy to the realm of statistical inquiry but also beckons us to ponder the mechanisms through which societal and individual attributes intersect in the digital age. So, hold onto your lab coats and fashion accessories as we embark on a journey that promises to be as enlightening as it is unexpectedly fashionable.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the relationship between the popularity of the first name 'Armani' and the total length of videos on the SmarterEveryDay YouTube channel yielded remarkably compelling results. The correlation coefficient between these seemingly disparate variables was found to be a striking 0.9591134, reflecting an astoundingly strong positive correlation. The coefficient of determination (r-squared) further underscored this robust relationship, standing at an impressive 0.9198986. Notably, the p-value calculated for this correlation was less than 0.01, providing strong evidence against the null hypothesis and prompting more than a raised eyebrow among the scholarly community.
At this point, astute readers might be wondering, "Could it be that the influence of the name 'Armani' extends beyond the realm of fashion and makes a surprising foray into the domain of educational content on YouTube?" The statistically significant correlation suggests a connection that beckons further exploration, leading to a peculiar yet captivating avenue for scholarly inquiry.
*Fig. 1* displays a scatterplot illustrating the robust correlation between the frequency of the name 'Armani' and the total video length on SmarterEveryDay. The visual representation of this connection serves as a testament to the unexpected relationships that can be uncovered through diligent statistical analysis.
It is important to note that while correlation does not imply causation, the strength of the relationship between these variables raises thought-provoking questions. Could it be that the allure of the name 'Armani' exerts an indiscernible influence on the creative process, prompting longer, more intellectually stimulating content? Such speculations are, of course, a product of lighthearted curiosity, but they serve to underscore the intriguing nature of our findings.
In short, the results of our analysis not only confirm an unanticipated correlation but also inspire whimsical contemplation about the potential influence of nomenclature in the realm of digital content creation. The next section will delve into the theoretical implications and tantalizing possibilities offered by the "Armani effect" on the landscape of educational YouTube videos. Stay tuned for an intellectual fashion show unlike any other.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, this study has unveiled a remarkable correlation between the prevalence of the first name 'Armani' and the total length of videos on the SmarterEveryDay YouTube channel. The statistically significant relationship, as evidenced by the correlation coefficient of 0.9591134 and the p-value less than 0.01, raises intriguing questions and invites whimsical speculations. It seems that the allure of 'Armani' extends beyond the fashion realm, injecting an unexpected dose of sartorial charm into the educational content landscape of YouTube.

The implications of this discovery are, quite literally, enthralling. While we must, of course, exercise caution in inferring causation from correlation, the sheer strength of this relationship leads one to ponder the fantastical possibility of names exerting an unconscious influence on creative output. Could it be that the mere mention of 'Armani' ignites a spark of inspiration, catalyzing the production of longer and more intellectually stimulating videos? The prospect is as remarkable as it is whimsical, and it animates our academic pursuit with a touch of delightful absurdity.

As much as we are tempted to embark on a lighthearted fashion show of conjectures, it is prudent to acknowledge the limits of our current understanding. While our study has opened a door to a hitherto uncharted dimension of nomenclatural influence, it is important to recognize that further research is needed to unravel the enigmatic "Armani effect" on digital content creation. However, given the inherently capricious nature of our findings, perhaps it is best to conclude on a note of playful contemplation and bask in the delightful mystery that underpins this unexpected correlation. After all, academic inquiry is not just about dry statistics and rigorous analyses; it's also about reveling in the quirky marvels that make our scholarly endeavors as charming as they are enlightening.

In light of these findings and the uproarious whimsy they entail, it is prudent to declare that delving into this subject any further risks unleashing a pandemonium of sartorial puns and scholarly fashion faux pas, and thus no more research is needed in this area.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited The Armani Effect: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Armani' and the Total Length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube Videos. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Quirky Sociological Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited The Armani Effect: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Armani' and the Total Length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube Videos. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Center for Social Trends and Imaginative Research (CSTIR)


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled The Armani Effect: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Armani' and the Total Length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube Videos with an abstract of This study investigates the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name 'Armani' and the total length of videos on the educational YouTube channel SmarterEveryDay. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and YouTube, our research team employed statistical analyses to scrutinize this peculiar association. Surprisingly, our findings revealed a staggering correlation coefficient of 0.9591134 with a p-value less than 0.01 during the period from 2007 to 2022. The implications of these results invite whimsical speculation and perhaps even suggest that the trajectory of video length may have been imbued with a sartorial charm akin to the eponymous fashion designer. This paper not only sheds light on a non-traditional correlation but also encourages further investigation into the fascinating interplay of social trends and digital content creation.

ChatGPT:

Armani popularity, YouTube video length, correlation study, social trends, data analysis, SmarterEveryDay, US Social Security Administration, statistical analysis, video length trend, name popularity, digital content creation, educational YouTube channel, relationship analysis

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Popularity of the first name Armani
Detailed data title: Babies of all sexes born in the US named Armani
Source: US Social Security Administration
See what else correlates with Popularity of the first name Armani

Total length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube videos
Detailed data title: Total length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube videos.
Source: SmarterEveryDay on YouTube
See what else correlates with Total length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube videos

Correlation r = 0.9591134 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9198986 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 92% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Total length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube videos) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Popularity of the first name Armani) over the 16 years from 2007 through 2022.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 4.6E-9. 0.0000000045962401356670570000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.96 in 4.6E-7% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 217,569,137 random variables You don't actually need 217 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 15 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 15 because we have two variables measured over a period of 16 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.88, 0.99 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
2007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
Popularity of the first name Armani (Babies born)6568298468619001048974997992967101110441232148115481496
Total length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube videos (Total length in seconds)1290207111863332977313147120588505110369096115991405920076311682545925264




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,237 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 636,906,169 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
    Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([656,829,846,861,900,1048,974,997,992,967,1011,1044,1232,1481,1548,1496,])
array_2 = np.array([1290,2071,1186,3332,9773,13147,12058,8505,11036,9096,11599,14059,20076,31168,25459,25264,])
array_1_name = "Popularity of the first name Armani"
array_2_name = "Total length of SmarterEveryDay YouTube videos"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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You may re-use the images on this page for any purpose, even commercial purposes, without asking for permission. The only requirement is that you attribute Tyler Vigen. Attribution can take many different forms. If you leave the "tylervigen.com" link in the image, that satisfies it just fine. If you remove it and move it to a footnote, that's fine too. You can also just write "Charts courtesy of Tyler Vigen" at the bottom of an article.

You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 5310 · Black Variable ID: 3097 · Red Variable ID: 25508
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