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Spurious correlation #3,737 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Geothermal power generated in Iceland and the second variable is Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion.  The chart goes from 1980 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

The rise in geothermal power in Iceland led to an increase in volcanic activity, which in turn created more underground heat. This inspired the creation of the "Lava Dog," a spicy new hot dog that became a fan favorite at Nathan's. As competitors cranked up their training to handle the heat, they found themselves on a roll, ultimately sausaging their way to victory. It was truly a case of letting off some steam to bring home the mustard-covered glory. The competition was sizzling, and in the end, it was the link between geothermal power and hot dog consumption that proved to be the wurst-kept secret to success.

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate a comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s, depicting Iceland's unique hotdog-shaped geothermal vents. Steam rises from these vents, creating a surreal atmosphere as the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion stands in the center. Surrounding the champion are fellow hotdog enthusiasts, joyfully indulging in the delicious fare. The simplicity and muted tones should evoke a vintage, visually striking scene that captures the surreal nature of the moment. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Geothermal power generated in Iceland and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: A comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s Macabre Whimsical illustration Cute 2D animation An image that looks like it is a scene from A Disney Movie
ChatGPT: A comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Geothermal power generated in Iceland and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion, in the following situation: Because the increased geothermal power in Iceland caused a rise in hotdog-shaped steam vents, creating a hotspot for hotdog enthusiasts to gather and indulge in their passion. It's like a natural hotdog oasis, drawing in champions like a magnet.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In Iceland, steam rises from geothermal vents shaped like oversized hotdogs, creating a unique hotdog-shaped hotspot. Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion stands in the middle of the scene, surrounded by fellow hotdog enthusiasts, indulging in the delicious fare.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ A comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s ] and depicting this scene: In Iceland, steam rises from geothermal vents shaped like oversized hotdogs, creating a unique hotdog-shaped hotspot. Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion stands in the middle of the scene, surrounded by fellow hotdog enthusiasts, indulging in the delicious fare. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate a comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s, depicting Iceland's unique hotdog-shaped geothermal vents. Steam rises from these vents, creating a surreal atmosphere as the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion stands in the center. Surrounding the champion are fellow hotdog enthusiasts, joyfully indulging in the delicious fare. The simplicity and muted tones should evoke a vintage, visually striking scene that captures the surreal nature of the moment.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Geothermal power generated in Iceland caused Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion to increase. Include one good pun.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
The Sizzling Link: Exploring the Relationship Between Geothermal Power in Iceland and Hotdog Consumption in the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition

The International Journal of Geothermal Gastronomy

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Geothermal power generated in Iceland and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title punny if you can come up with clever pun. If not, make it sound serious.

Your research team used data from Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9430816 and p < 0.01 for 1980 to 2021.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
The Sizzling Link: Exploring the Relationship Between Geothermal Power in Iceland and Hotdog Consumption in the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we delve into the surprising and delightfully absurd correlation between geothermal power production in Iceland and the consumption of hotdogs by the athletes in the esteemed Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Utilizing data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, our research team conducted a thorough analysis spanning over four decades. The findings revealed a remarkably strong correlation coefficient of 0.9430816 with a significance level of p < 0.01, establishing a compelling statistical connection between these seemingly unrelated factors. We invite readers to join us in uncovering the enigmatic bond between the sizzling geothermal energy and the voracious appetite for hotdogs, as we unravel the humorous and unexpected interplay between these two peculiar entities.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Geothermal power generated in Iceland and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Sizzling Link: Exploring the Relationship Between Geothermal Power in Iceland and Hotdog Consumption in the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we delve into the surprising and delightfully absurd correlation between geothermal power production in Iceland and the consumption of hotdogs by the athletes in the esteemed Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Utilizing data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, our research team conducted a thorough analysis spanning over four decades. The findings revealed a remarkably strong correlation coefficient of 0.9430816 with a significance level of p < 0.01, establishing a compelling statistical connection between these seemingly unrelated factors. We invite readers to join us in uncovering the enigmatic bond between the sizzling geothermal energy and the voracious appetite for hotdogs, as we unravel the humorous and unexpected interplay between these two peculiar entities.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

Ah, hotdogs and geothermal power - two seemingly unrelated entities that are about to take center stage in this research endeavor. While one may savor the thought of indulging in a juicy hotdog with all the fixings, or bask in the fascinating science of harnessing the earth's heat for power, who would have thought that these concepts could intertwine in such a peculiar and cheeky manner?

As curious researchers, we couldn't resist the temptation to scrutinize this unconventional relationship. Hotdogs and geothermal power are often associated with different spectacles - the former with gastronomic contests of willpower and a quest for glory at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, while the latter may conjure images of steam billowing from Icelandic landscapes. However, our inquisitive minds led us to uncover an unprecedented correlation that is both tantalizing and, dare I say, meaty in its implications.

Before we dive headfirst into the smorgasbord of data analysis and statistical wizardry, let's take a moment to appreciate the sheer whimsy of this inquiry. Who would have thought that the majestic geysers and bubbling hot springs of Iceland could hold the key to unveiling a well-done statistical connection to the formidable eaters at Coney Island? It's the kind of unexpected discovery that would have even the most stoic of researchers grinning from ear to ear.

So, saddle up, fellow academicians, for an exhilarating journey through the data fields and the competitive world of condiment-drenched hotdogs as we seek to unravel this sizzling link between geothermal power and hotdog consumption. And fear not, we promise a side of puns, quirky observations, and perhaps a corny joke or two along the way. After all, what's research without a dash of humor and a sprinkle of irreverence?


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Geothermal power generated in Iceland and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then cite some social media posts you read that seem to be related.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Sizzling Link: Exploring the Relationship Between Geothermal Power in Iceland and Hotdog Consumption in the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we delve into the surprising and delightfully absurd correlation between geothermal power production in Iceland and the consumption of hotdogs by the athletes in the esteemed Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Utilizing data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, our research team conducted a thorough analysis spanning over four decades. The findings revealed a remarkably strong correlation coefficient of 0.9430816 with a significance level of p < 0.01, establishing a compelling statistical connection between these seemingly unrelated factors. We invite readers to join us in uncovering the enigmatic bond between the sizzling geothermal energy and the voracious appetite for hotdogs, as we unravel the humorous and unexpected interplay between these two peculiar entities.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
Ah, hotdogs and geothermal power - two seemingly unrelated entities that are about to take center stage in this research endeavor. While one may savor the thought of indulging in a juicy hotdog with all the fixings, or bask in the fascinating science of harnessing the earth's heat for power, who would have thought that these concepts could intertwine in such a peculiar and cheeky manner?
As curious researchers, we couldn't resist the temptation to scrutinize this unconventional relationship. Hotdogs and geothermal power are often associated with different spectacles - the former with gastronomic contests of willpower and a quest for glory at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, while the latter may conjure images of steam billowing from Icelandic landscapes. However, our inquisitive minds led us to uncover an unprecedented correlation that is both tantalizing and, dare I say, meaty in its implications.
Before we dive headfirst into the smorgasbord of data analysis and statistical wizardry, let's take a moment to appreciate the sheer whimsy of this inquiry. Who would have thought that the majestic geysers and bubbling hot springs of Iceland could hold the key to unveiling a well-done statistical connection to the formidable eaters at Coney Island? It's the kind of unexpected discovery that would have even the most stoic of researchers grinning from ear to ear.
So, saddle up, fellow academicians, for an exhilarating journey through the data fields and the competitive world of condiment-drenched hotdogs as we seek to unravel this sizzling link between geothermal power and hotdog consumption. And fear not, we promise a side of puns, quirky observations, and perhaps a corny joke or two along the way. After all, what's research without a dash of humor and a sprinkle of irreverence?

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

To lay the foundation for our inquiry into the peculiar bond between geothermal power in Iceland and hotdog consumption at the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, we begin with a serious examination of existing studies. Smith et al. (2015) initially explored the utilization of geothermal energy in Iceland, with a focus on its economic and environmental implications. Their work highlighted the sustainable nature of geothermal power and its potential to revolutionize energy production. Building on this, Doe and Jones (2018) delved into the cultural significance of hotdog consumption in competitive eating events, shedding light on the spectacle and fervor surrounding gastronomic challenges.

Now, turning to the world of non-fiction, "The Big Necessity" by Rose George investigates the global infrastructure of waste management and sanitation, giving a tangential perspective to the consumption side of the hotdog equation. Similarly, "Doughnut Economics" by Kate Raworth offers a fresh perspective on economic measurement and sustainability, prompting us to ponder the circular nature of our investigation.

Venturing into the realm of fiction, "Kitchen Confidential" by Anthony Bourdain provides a tantalizing glimpse into the culinary world, offering subtle insights into the insatiable appetite for food-related competitions. On a more whimsical note, "Cloud Atlas" by David Mitchell unveils interconnected narratives across time and space, akin to the unexpected link we seek to unravel between geothermal power and hotdog consumption.

In a surprising turn of events, our research team stumbled upon a series of Twitter posts that piqued our interest. A tweet from @HotdogCritic_69 reads, "Just realized that geothermal power in Iceland and hotdog eaters at Nathan's competition both bring the heat in their own unique way. Coincidence? I think not! #SizzlingLink #HotdogScience." This tweet and others like it hint at a burgeoning social media discourse surrounding the entwined fates of geothermal energy and hotdog consumption, offering a lighthearted yet intriguing perspective.

As we embark on this zany expedition, our aim is not only to uncover empirical evidence but also to revel in the delightful absurdity of our pursuit. The literature review may set the stage with its seriousness, but we dare to infuse it with a sprinkling of merriment and a dash of quirkiness, for the sizzling link we seek is not just about statistical significance but also about the joy of uncovering the unexpected. Join us as we delve deeper into this comically unexpected relationship, where the hotdogs are sizzling and the geothermal power is, well, equally sizzling.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Geothermal power generated in Iceland and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia . You used data from 1980 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Sizzling Link: Exploring the Relationship Between Geothermal Power in Iceland and Hotdog Consumption in the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we delve into the surprising and delightfully absurd correlation between geothermal power production in Iceland and the consumption of hotdogs by the athletes in the esteemed Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Utilizing data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, our research team conducted a thorough analysis spanning over four decades. The findings revealed a remarkably strong correlation coefficient of 0.9430816 with a significance level of p < 0.01, establishing a compelling statistical connection between these seemingly unrelated factors. We invite readers to join us in uncovering the enigmatic bond between the sizzling geothermal energy and the voracious appetite for hotdogs, as we unravel the humorous and unexpected interplay between these two peculiar entities.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
Ah, hotdogs and geothermal power - two seemingly unrelated entities that are about to take center stage in this research endeavor. While one may savor the thought of indulging in a juicy hotdog with all the fixings, or bask in the fascinating science of harnessing the earth's heat for power, who would have thought that these concepts could intertwine in such a peculiar and cheeky manner?
As curious researchers, we couldn't resist the temptation to scrutinize this unconventional relationship. Hotdogs and geothermal power are often associated with different spectacles - the former with gastronomic contests of willpower and a quest for glory at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, while the latter may conjure images of steam billowing from Icelandic landscapes. However, our inquisitive minds led us to uncover an unprecedented correlation that is both tantalizing and, dare I say, meaty in its implications.
Before we dive headfirst into the smorgasbord of data analysis and statistical wizardry, let's take a moment to appreciate the sheer whimsy of this inquiry. Who would have thought that the majestic geysers and bubbling hot springs of Iceland could hold the key to unveiling a well-done statistical connection to the formidable eaters at Coney Island? It's the kind of unexpected discovery that would have even the most stoic of researchers grinning from ear to ear.
So, saddle up, fellow academicians, for an exhilarating journey through the data fields and the competitive world of condiment-drenched hotdogs as we seek to unravel this sizzling link between geothermal power and hotdog consumption. And fear not, we promise a side of puns, quirky observations, and perhaps a corny joke or two along the way. After all, what's research without a dash of humor and a sprinkle of irreverence?

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

**[[METHODOLOGY]]**

Now, onto the juicy details of our research methods, where we mixed a little bit of scientific rigor with a whole lot of quirky charm. Our approach, much like assembling the perfect hotdog, involved a careful selection of ingredients to cook up a delectable statistical feast. Without further ado, let's relish the journey of how we conducted this curious exploration between geothermal power and the devouring of hotdogs.

*Data Collection: A Treasure Hunt Across the Digital Landscape*

Ah, the hunt for data - it's like searching for the holy grail, but instead of a goblet, we're looking for statistics. Our dedicated team scoured the vast digital expanse, tapping into the repositories of wisdom that are the Energy Information Administration and the ever-reliable (and occasionally whimsical) fountain of knowledge, Wikipedia. With sleuth-like precision, we gathered data spanning from 1980 to 2021, envisioning ourselves as intrepid explorers in the wilds of data sets and articles.

*Adjusting for Seasoning: Accounting for Variables and Outliers*

Every good chef knows that balancing the flavors is key, and in the realm of research, this involves tending to variables and outliers. We meticulously accounted for factors that might skew our analysis, such as changes in hotdog preferences (mustard, ketchup, or both?) or variations in geothermal energy production methods. After all, we wanted our findings to have that perfect blend of scientific validity and a hint of zany charm.

*Stirring the Pot: Statistical Analysis with a Dash of Quirkiness*

Once our data was in hand, it was time to fire up the statistical stove and concoct a potion of analysis. We whipped out our trusty calculators and embraced the dance of numbers, employing correlation coefficients, significance levels, and all the tools of the trade. But fear not, dear readers, we didn't let the serious nature of statistics dampen our spirits. We infused our analysis with a playful spirit, ensuring that each line of code and regression model had a sprinkle of irreverence and a dash of humor – much like seasoning a delightful dish.

*Cooking Up Hypotheses: A Recipe for Scientific Inquiry*

What good is research without a bit of speculation? We crafted hypotheses to guide our exploration, wondering if the surging geothermal power in Iceland was indeed tied to the soaring consumption of hotdogs at Coney Island. These hypotheses were the spice to our study, adding a dash of curiosity and a dollop of scholarly conjecture to the mix.

*Delving into Literature: Seasoned Insights and Meaty Revelations*

To complement our freshly harvested data and steaming hypotheses, we steeped ourselves in the literature, seeking the flavorful insights of previous studies. We ravenously devoured articles on geothermal power production and the quirky world of competitive eating, gathering a smorgasbord of knowledge to inform our inquisitive exploration.

*Ethical Seasoning: A Nourishing Approach to Academic Integrity*

Before we serve our findings to the academic table, it's important to emphasize the ethical seasoning of our research endeavor. We adhered to the highest standards of academic integrity, ensuring that our methodology was transparent, our data sources were cited, and our inquiry was guided by the principles of scholarly rigor. After all, even the silliest of researchers takes their ethical responsibilities with the utmost seriousness.

And there you have it - a peek behind the scenes of how we tenderly assembled the ingredients, stirred the pot, and seasoned our methodology to unravel the captivating connection between geothermal power and the ravenous consumption of hotdogs. Join us in the next installment as we unveil our sizzling findings, complete with all the puns, delightful observations, and maybe a few statistical shenanigans along the way. As we say in the world of research, it's time to feast upon the data with both gusto and scholarly precision!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Geothermal power generated in Iceland and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia .

For the time period 1980 to 2021, you found a correlation 0.9430816, r-squared of 0.8894029, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Sizzling Link: Exploring the Relationship Between Geothermal Power in Iceland and Hotdog Consumption in the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we delve into the surprising and delightfully absurd correlation between geothermal power production in Iceland and the consumption of hotdogs by the athletes in the esteemed Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Utilizing data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, our research team conducted a thorough analysis spanning over four decades. The findings revealed a remarkably strong correlation coefficient of 0.9430816 with a significance level of p < 0.01, establishing a compelling statistical connection between these seemingly unrelated factors. We invite readers to join us in uncovering the enigmatic bond between the sizzling geothermal energy and the voracious appetite for hotdogs, as we unravel the humorous and unexpected interplay between these two peculiar entities.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
Ah, hotdogs and geothermal power - two seemingly unrelated entities that are about to take center stage in this research endeavor. While one may savor the thought of indulging in a juicy hotdog with all the fixings, or bask in the fascinating science of harnessing the earth's heat for power, who would have thought that these concepts could intertwine in such a peculiar and cheeky manner?
As curious researchers, we couldn't resist the temptation to scrutinize this unconventional relationship. Hotdogs and geothermal power are often associated with different spectacles - the former with gastronomic contests of willpower and a quest for glory at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, while the latter may conjure images of steam billowing from Icelandic landscapes. However, our inquisitive minds led us to uncover an unprecedented correlation that is both tantalizing and, dare I say, meaty in its implications.
Before we dive headfirst into the smorgasbord of data analysis and statistical wizardry, let's take a moment to appreciate the sheer whimsy of this inquiry. Who would have thought that the majestic geysers and bubbling hot springs of Iceland could hold the key to unveiling a well-done statistical connection to the formidable eaters at Coney Island? It's the kind of unexpected discovery that would have even the most stoic of researchers grinning from ear to ear.
So, saddle up, fellow academicians, for an exhilarating journey through the data fields and the competitive world of condiment-drenched hotdogs as we seek to unravel this sizzling link between geothermal power and hotdog consumption. And fear not, we promise a side of puns, quirky observations, and perhaps a corny joke or two along the way. After all, what's research without a dash of humor and a sprinkle of irreverence?

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

Intriguingly, our analysis of the data collected from 1980 to 2021 revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9430816 between geothermal power generation in Iceland and the consumption of hotdogs by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. This relationship demonstrates a compelling statistical association that cannot be dismissed as mere happenstance.

The strong correlation is further underscored by an r-squared value of 0.8894029, signifying that a whopping 88.94% of the variation in hotdog consumption can be explained by the variation in geothermal power generation. To put it simply, these two variables are as closely linked as a hotdog and a bun – fitting together like a statistical match made in heaven.

Importantly, the significance level of p < 0.01 solidifies the confidence in our findings, reinforcing the notion that this remarkable correlation is indeed not a fluke. We can say with statistical certainty that there exists a substantial and robust relationship between the sizzling geothermal energy harnessed from beneath the Earth's surface and the sizzling hotdogs devoured by competitive eaters.

To visually encapsulate this uncanny association, we present the scatterplot in Fig. 1, where each data point seems to exude a palpable sense of interconnection, resembling a network of condiment-covered dots in a deliciously enigmatic constellation.

These findings not only defy conventional expectations but also beckon us to contemplate the convivial dance between geothermal power and hotdog consumption. It's a tale of juxtapositions: the earth's primal heat fueling a competitive eating contest, the seemingly boundless energy of geysers mirroring the insatiable appetite of champions, and the statistical synchronicity that ties these disparate elements into a harmonious duet of sizzle and satisfaction.

In conclusion, our research shines a light on the whimsical intersection of geothermal power in Iceland and the hotdog consumption at the heart of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. While this correlation may elicit a chuckle or two, it underscores the potential for unexpected linkages and synergies within the vast domain of statistical exploration. As we partake in this intellectual feast, let us not forget to appreciate the offbeat charm that infuses our scholarly pursuits, reminding us that even in the realm of rigorous analysis, there's always room for a dash of lightheartedness and a pinch of delectable absurdity.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Geothermal power generated in Iceland and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
The Sizzling Link: Exploring the Relationship Between Geothermal Power in Iceland and Hotdog Consumption in the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we delve into the surprising and delightfully absurd correlation between geothermal power production in Iceland and the consumption of hotdogs by the athletes in the esteemed Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Utilizing data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, our research team conducted a thorough analysis spanning over four decades. The findings revealed a remarkably strong correlation coefficient of 0.9430816 with a significance level of p < 0.01, establishing a compelling statistical connection between these seemingly unrelated factors. We invite readers to join us in uncovering the enigmatic bond between the sizzling geothermal energy and the voracious appetite for hotdogs, as we unravel the humorous and unexpected interplay between these two peculiar entities.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
To lay the foundation for our inquiry into the peculiar bond between geothermal power in Iceland and hotdog consumption at the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, we begin with a serious examination of existing studies. Smith et al. (2015) initially explored the utilization of geothermal energy in Iceland, with a focus on its economic and environmental implications. Their work highlighted the sustainable nature of geothermal power and its potential to revolutionize energy production. Building on this, Doe and Jones (2018) delved into the cultural significance of hotdog consumption in competitive eating events, shedding light on the spectacle and fervor surrounding gastronomic challenges.
Now, turning to the world of non-fiction, "The Big Necessity" by Rose George investigates the global infrastructure of waste management and sanitation, giving a tangential perspective to the consumption side of the hotdog equation. Similarly, "Doughnut Economics" by Kate Raworth offers a fresh perspective on economic measurement and sustainability, prompting us to ponder the circular nature of our investigation.
Venturing into the realm of fiction, "Kitchen Confidential" by Anthony Bourdain provides a tantalizing glimpse into the culinary world, offering subtle insights into the insatiable appetite for food-related competitions. On a more whimsical note, "Cloud Atlas" by David Mitchell unveils interconnected narratives across time and space, akin to the unexpected link we seek to unravel between geothermal power and hotdog consumption.
In a surprising turn of events, our research team stumbled upon a series of Twitter posts that piqued our interest. A tweet from @HotdogCritic_69 reads, "Just realized that geothermal power in Iceland and hotdog eaters at Nathan's competition both bring the heat in their own unique way. Coincidence? I think not! #SizzlingLink #HotdogScience." This tweet and others like it hint at a burgeoning social media discourse surrounding the entwined fates of geothermal energy and hotdog consumption, offering a lighthearted yet intriguing perspective.
As we embark on this zany expedition, our aim is not only to uncover empirical evidence but also to revel in the delightful absurdity of our pursuit. The literature review may set the stage with its seriousness, but we dare to infuse it with a sprinkling of merriment and a dash of quirkiness, for the sizzling link we seek is not just about statistical significance but also about the joy of uncovering the unexpected. Join us as we delve deeper into this comically unexpected relationship, where the hotdogs are sizzling and the geothermal power is, well, equally sizzling.

[[RESULTS]]
Intriguingly, our analysis of the data collected from 1980 to 2021 revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9430816 between geothermal power generation in Iceland and the consumption of hotdogs by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. This relationship demonstrates a compelling statistical association that cannot be dismissed as mere happenstance.
The strong correlation is further underscored by an r-squared value of 0.8894029, signifying that a whopping 88.94% of the variation in hotdog consumption can be explained by the variation in geothermal power generation. To put it simply, these two variables are as closely linked as a hotdog and a bun – fitting together like a statistical match made in heaven.
Importantly, the significance level of p < 0.01 solidifies the confidence in our findings, reinforcing the notion that this remarkable correlation is indeed not a fluke. We can say with statistical certainty that there exists a substantial and robust relationship between the sizzling geothermal energy harnessed from beneath the Earth's surface and the sizzling hotdogs devoured by competitive eaters.
To visually encapsulate this uncanny association, we present the scatterplot in Fig. 1, where each data point seems to exude a palpable sense of interconnection, resembling a network of condiment-covered dots in a deliciously enigmatic constellation.
These findings not only defy conventional expectations but also beckon us to contemplate the convivial dance between geothermal power and hotdog consumption. It's a tale of juxtapositions: the earth's primal heat fueling a competitive eating contest, the seemingly boundless energy of geysers mirroring the insatiable appetite of champions, and the statistical synchronicity that ties these disparate elements into a harmonious duet of sizzle and satisfaction.
In conclusion, our research shines a light on the whimsical intersection of geothermal power in Iceland and the hotdog consumption at the heart of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. While this correlation may elicit a chuckle or two, it underscores the potential for unexpected linkages and synergies within the vast domain of statistical exploration. As we partake in this intellectual feast, let us not forget to appreciate the offbeat charm that infuses our scholarly pursuits, reminding us that even in the realm of rigorous analysis, there's always room for a dash of lightheartedness and a pinch of delectable absurdity.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

Our findings have left us in a state of statistical bewilderment, much like witnessing an adjustable spanner trying to fit into a fixed spanner's job – an unexpected match, but undeniably compelling. Building upon the scholarly pursuits of Smith et al. and Doe and Jones, we've uncovered a correlation between the geothermal power bubbling beneath Iceland's surface and hotdog consumption at the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition that's stronger than the gravitational pull on a particularly hefty meatball. Our results echo the whimsical insights from "The Big Necessity" and "Doughnut Economics," offering a blend of academia and amusement that's as delightful as a hotdog topped with both relish and wit.

The statistical bond we've uncovered is no mere statistical sausage; it's a bratwurst of evidence that demands attention. With a correlation coefficient of 0.9430816, our results suggest a relationship as strong as the bond between protons and electrons – a positively charged discovery, if you will. The r-squared value of 0.8894029 further cements this connection, akin to a mustard smear that refuses to be wiped away.

Picture the scatterplot as a constellation of condiment-covered dots, each representing a harmonious marriage between geothermal power and hotdog consumption. It's as if the universe itself conspired to bring these seemingly unrelated entities together, much like a duet where the earth's subterranean heat provides the bassline to the euphoric consumption of hotdogs on the surface. It's a statistical symphony, and we're merely the delighted audience members, tapping our feet to the unlikely but undeniably catchy tune.

With a significance level of p < 0.01, our results are as robust as a carefully crafted hypothesis. This is no statistical fluke; it's a buffet of evidence that cannot be ignored or dismissed like a lukewarm hotdog. It beckons us to reevaluate the boundaries of statistical exploration and taste-test the unexpected flavors that science and research have to offer.

Our study exemplifies the delightfully absurd nature of scholarly pursuits. While we embrace the rigor of our statistical analysis, we also revel in the playful quirkiness that infuses our investigation. After all, who would have thought that geothermal power and competitive hotdog consumption could be entwined in such an amusing statistical tango? We invite fellow researchers to join us in savoring the unexpected, and to always remember that even in the most serious of academic inquiries, there's room for a dash of humor and a sprinkle of lightheartedness. Join us in embracing the unexpected links and unlikely correlations that add flavor to the otherwise sober world of statistics and research.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Geothermal power generated in Iceland and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
The Sizzling Link: Exploring the Relationship Between Geothermal Power in Iceland and Hotdog Consumption in the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we delve into the surprising and delightfully absurd correlation between geothermal power production in Iceland and the consumption of hotdogs by the athletes in the esteemed Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Utilizing data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, our research team conducted a thorough analysis spanning over four decades. The findings revealed a remarkably strong correlation coefficient of 0.9430816 with a significance level of p < 0.01, establishing a compelling statistical connection between these seemingly unrelated factors. We invite readers to join us in uncovering the enigmatic bond between the sizzling geothermal energy and the voracious appetite for hotdogs, as we unravel the humorous and unexpected interplay between these two peculiar entities.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
Ah, hotdogs and geothermal power - two seemingly unrelated entities that are about to take center stage in this research endeavor. While one may savor the thought of indulging in a juicy hotdog with all the fixings, or bask in the fascinating science of harnessing the earth's heat for power, who would have thought that these concepts could intertwine in such a peculiar and cheeky manner?
As curious researchers, we couldn't resist the temptation to scrutinize this unconventional relationship. Hotdogs and geothermal power are often associated with different spectacles - the former with gastronomic contests of willpower and a quest for glory at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, while the latter may conjure images of steam billowing from Icelandic landscapes. However, our inquisitive minds led us to uncover an unprecedented correlation that is both tantalizing and, dare I say, meaty in its implications.
Before we dive headfirst into the smorgasbord of data analysis and statistical wizardry, let's take a moment to appreciate the sheer whimsy of this inquiry. Who would have thought that the majestic geysers and bubbling hot springs of Iceland could hold the key to unveiling a well-done statistical connection to the formidable eaters at Coney Island? It's the kind of unexpected discovery that would have even the most stoic of researchers grinning from ear to ear.
So, saddle up, fellow academicians, for an exhilarating journey through the data fields and the competitive world of condiment-drenched hotdogs as we seek to unravel this sizzling link between geothermal power and hotdog consumption. And fear not, we promise a side of puns, quirky observations, and perhaps a corny joke or two along the way. After all, what's research without a dash of humor and a sprinkle of irreverence?

[[RESULTS]]
Intriguingly, our analysis of the data collected from 1980 to 2021 revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9430816 between geothermal power generation in Iceland and the consumption of hotdogs by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. This relationship demonstrates a compelling statistical association that cannot be dismissed as mere happenstance.
The strong correlation is further underscored by an r-squared value of 0.8894029, signifying that a whopping 88.94% of the variation in hotdog consumption can be explained by the variation in geothermal power generation. To put it simply, these two variables are as closely linked as a hotdog and a bun – fitting together like a statistical match made in heaven.
Importantly, the significance level of p < 0.01 solidifies the confidence in our findings, reinforcing the notion that this remarkable correlation is indeed not a fluke. We can say with statistical certainty that there exists a substantial and robust relationship between the sizzling geothermal energy harnessed from beneath the Earth's surface and the sizzling hotdogs devoured by competitive eaters.
To visually encapsulate this uncanny association, we present the scatterplot in Fig. 1, where each data point seems to exude a palpable sense of interconnection, resembling a network of condiment-covered dots in a deliciously enigmatic constellation.
These findings not only defy conventional expectations but also beckon us to contemplate the convivial dance between geothermal power and hotdog consumption. It's a tale of juxtapositions: the earth's primal heat fueling a competitive eating contest, the seemingly boundless energy of geysers mirroring the insatiable appetite of champions, and the statistical synchronicity that ties these disparate elements into a harmonious duet of sizzle and satisfaction.
In conclusion, our research shines a light on the whimsical intersection of geothermal power in Iceland and the hotdog consumption at the heart of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. While this correlation may elicit a chuckle or two, it underscores the potential for unexpected linkages and synergies within the vast domain of statistical exploration. As we partake in this intellectual feast, let us not forget to appreciate the offbeat charm that infuses our scholarly pursuits, reminding us that even in the realm of rigorous analysis, there's always room for a dash of lightheartedness and a pinch of delectable absurdity.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In wrapping up this delectably quirky endeavor, we find ourselves marveling at the unforeseen bond between geothermal power and the consumption of hotdogs at the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. It's as if the earth's simmering energy and the insatiable quest for hotdog glory have conspired to create a statistical waltz of gastronomic delight.

As we bid adieu to this belly-filling escapade, we can't help but relish the statistical flavor of this strange but tantalizing connection. From the bubbling cauldrons of geothermal activity to the savory realm of hotdog consumption, our findings have left us contemplating the unlikely dance of numbers and nosh.

We hope this study has sparked a chuckle or two, while also adding a pinch of zesty irreverence to the world of research. However, as much as we'd love to revel in the merriment of geothermal puns and hotdog jokes, we must solemnly assert that no further research is needed in this particular field of inquiry. The statistical sausage has been thoroughly grilled, and the sizzling link between geothermal power and hotdog consumption has been cooked to perfection.

In the grand buffet of scientific exploration, let's cherish the unexpected flavors and the delightful surprises that fuel our scholarly appetite. And who knows, perhaps the next research adventure holds an equally whimsical discovery, awaiting the keen eye of the curious academic palate.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited The Sizzling Link: Exploring the Relationship Between Geothermal Power in Iceland and Hotdog Consumption in the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The International Journal of Geothermal Gastronomy


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited The Sizzling Link: Exploring the Relationship Between Geothermal Power in Iceland and Hotdog Consumption in the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Center for Geothermal Gastronomy Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled The Sizzling Link: Exploring the Relationship Between Geothermal Power in Iceland and Hotdog Consumption in the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition with an abstract of In this paper, we delve into the surprising and delightfully absurd correlation between geothermal power production in Iceland and the consumption of hotdogs by the athletes in the esteemed Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Utilizing data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, our research team conducted a thorough analysis spanning over four decades. The findings revealed a remarkably strong correlation coefficient of 0.9430816 with a significance level of p < 0.01, establishing a compelling statistical connection between these seemingly unrelated factors. We invite readers to join us in uncovering the enigmatic bond between the sizzling geothermal energy and the voracious appetite for hotdogs, as we unravel the humorous and unexpected interplay between these two peculiar entities.

ChatGPT:

geothermal power production, Iceland, hotdog consumption, Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, correlation, statistical analysis, energy consumption, geothermal energy, food consumption, unusual correlations

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Geothermal power generated in Iceland
Detailed data title: Total geothermal power generated in Iceland in billion kWh
Source: Energy Information Administration
See what else correlates with Geothermal power generated in Iceland

Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion
Detailed data title: Hotdog Consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion
Source: Wikipedia
See what else correlates with Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

Correlation r = 0.9430816 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.8894029 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 88.9% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Geothermal power generated in Iceland) over the 42 years from 1980 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 9.9E-21. 0.0000000000000000000099367621
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.94 in 9.9E-19% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 100,636,403,481,975,275,520 random variables You don't actually need 100 quintillion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 41 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 41 because we have two variables measured over a period of 42 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.9, 0.97 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
Geothermal power generated in Iceland (Billion kWh)0.050.1320.1680.1820.1830.1810.2120.2340.2450.2570.30.2830.230.2560.260.290.3460.3750.6551.1361.3231.4511.4331.4061.4831.6582.6313.5794.0384.5534.2344.4675.0795.2455.2385.0035.0684.944155.746885.781455.849355.67983
Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion (Hotdogs eaten)9.5111110.59.511.7515.513.51015.51621.519172019.522.2524.51920.25255050.544.553.334953.75665968546268696162707274717576




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([0.05,0.132,0.168,0.182,0.183,0.181,0.212,0.234,0.245,0.257,0.3,0.283,0.23,0.256,0.26,0.29,0.346,0.375,0.655,1.136,1.323,1.451,1.433,1.406,1.483,1.658,2.631,3.579,4.038,4.553,4.234,4.467,5.079,5.245,5.238,5.003,5.068,4.94415,5.74688,5.78145,5.84935,5.67983,])
array_2 = np.array([9.5,11,11,10.5,9.5,11.75,15.5,13.5,10,15.5,16,21.5,19,17,20,19.5,22.25,24.5,19,20.25,25,50,50.5,44.5,53.33,49,53.75,66,59,68,54,62,68,69,61,62,70,72,74,71,75,76,])
array_1_name = "Geothermal power generated in Iceland"
array_2_name = "Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

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Correlation ID: 3737 · Black Variable ID: 23731 · Red Variable ID: 500
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