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Spurious correlation #3,380 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Popularity of the first name Jayce and the second variable is Fossil fuel use in Brazil.  The chart goes from 1980 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As the name Jayce gained popularity, more and more parents were inspired to buy toy cars for their kids, leading to a spike in the demand for plastic. This led to an increase in the production of plastic toys in Brazil, ultimately boosting the consumption of fossil fuels for manufacturing and transportation. Looks like Jayce wasn't just revving up in the popularity charts, but also igniting a fossil fuel frenzy in Brazil!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image in the style of a vintage Polaroid photo showing a bustling baby shower scene in Brazil. The focus is on parents arriving in their cars, contributing to a rise in fossil fuel use due to the popularity of the name "Jayce." The background features a trail of cars leading to the "Jayce and the Fossil-fuel Factory" themed party, with dinosaur-themed nursery decor prominently displayed. The overall tone should capture the excitement and trendiness of the event, while subtly highlighting the unintended environmental impact. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Popularity of the first name Jayce and Fossil fuel use in Brazil. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Woodblock painting An image that looks like it is a scene from 'Star Wars' Cybernetic art An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie a Polaroid photo
ChatGPT: Popularity of the first name Jayce - A Polaroid photo

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Popularity of the first name Jayce and Fossil fuel use in Brazil, in the following situation: As the name "Jayce" gained popularity, more parents used "gas" to drive to the "Jayce and the Fossil-fuel Factory" themed baby showers, leading to an increase in fossil fuel use in Brazil. The "Jayce" baby boom led to a "rock-ing" rise in demand for dinosaur-themed nursery decor, further fueling the connection.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In Brazil, as the name "Jayce" became increasingly popular, parents drove to "Jayce and the Fossil-fuel Factory" themed baby showers in their cars, contributing to a rise in fossil fuel use. The increasing demand for dinosaur-themed nursery decor in connection with the name "Jayce" further fueled this trend.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Popularity of the first name Jayce - A Polaroid photo ] and depicting this scene: In Brazil, as the name "Jayce" became increasingly popular, parents drove to "Jayce and the Fossil-fuel Factory" themed baby showers in their cars, contributing to a rise in fossil fuel use. The increasing demand for dinosaur-themed nursery decor in connection with the name "Jayce" further fueled this trend. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image in the style of a vintage Polaroid photo showing a bustling baby shower scene in Brazil. The focus is on parents arriving in their cars, contributing to a rise in fossil fuel use due to the popularity of the name "Jayce." The background features a trail of cars leading to the "Jayce and the Fossil-fuel Factory" themed party, with dinosaur-themed nursery decor prominently displayed. The overall tone should capture the excitement and trendiness of the event, while subtly highlighting the unintended environmental impact.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Popularity of the first name Jayce caused Fossil fuel use in Brazil to increase. Add a funny one-liner at the end.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Jayce and the Extraterrestrial: Unearthing the Fossil Fuels of Brazil

The Journal of Interstellar Geology

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jayce and Fossil fuel use in Brazil. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title seem clever.

Your research team used data from US Social Security Administration and Energy Information Administration to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9473629 and p < 0.01 for 1980 to 2021.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
"Jayce and the Extraterrestrial: Unearthing the Fossil Fuels of Brazil"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This exploratory study delves into the fascinating correlation between the popularity of the first name "Jayce" and the usage of fossil fuels in Brazil. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and the Energy Information Administration, we embarked on a quest to unravel this peculiar relationship. Our findings revealed a surprisingly strong correlation coefficient of 0.9473629 (p < 0.01) over the period from 1980 to 2021. We confront the puzzle of whether the ascent of "Jayce" has sparked an extraterrestrial demand for fossil fuels in Brazil, or if there are deeper undercurrents at play. This study ignites a new spark in the scholarly conversation, reminding us that the cosmos of research can often unearth unexpected and enigmatic connections.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jayce and Fossil fuel use in Brazil. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Jayce and the Extraterrestrial: Unearthing the Fossil Fuels of Brazil"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This exploratory study delves into the fascinating correlation between the popularity of the first name "Jayce" and the usage of fossil fuels in Brazil. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and the Energy Information Administration, we embarked on a quest to unravel this peculiar relationship. Our findings revealed a surprisingly strong correlation coefficient of 0.9473629 (p < 0.01) over the period from 1980 to 2021. We confront the puzzle of whether the ascent of "Jayce" has sparked an extraterrestrial demand for fossil fuels in Brazil, or if there are deeper undercurrents at play. This study ignites a new spark in the scholarly conversation, reminding us that the cosmos of research can often unearth unexpected and enigmatic connections.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
INTRODUCTION

The relationship between human behavior and environmental impact has long been a subject of fascination and concern. In the vast landscape of research, unexpected correlations have been unearthed, leading to the hope of shedding light on the enigmatic connections that exist in this complex ecosystem. In this instance, we turn our gaze to the correlation between the popularity of the first name "Jayce" and the consumption of fossil fuels in Brazil.

The choice of "Jayce" as the focus of this study may, at first glance, appear idiosyncratic. However, it is precisely the unexpected nature of this correlation that kindles the scientific curiosity—much like stumbling upon an unidentified fossil fuel in an unassuming corner of the rainforest. Our scholarly pursuit is driven by the desire to unearth a deeper understanding of this connection, and whether there exists a causal mechanism or mere cosmic coincidences at play.

The juxtaposition of a name rooted in modern culture with the ancient remains of fossil fuels may seem peculiar, prompting one to wonder if there is an extraterrestrial force at work, compelling the people of Brazil to consume more fossil fuels as the name "Jayce" gains popularity. Admittedly, such a notion may sound more at home in the realm of science fiction, where extraterrestrial beings may be contemplating the allure of "Jayce" and the Earth's fossil fuels. However, as scholars, it is our duty to delve into the unexpected and critically evaluate the evidence before us.

As we embark on this academic journey, we must remain mindful of the possibility of spurious correlations. Yet, we cannot discount the intriguing pattern that has emerged from our data. This study not only offers an opportunity to entertain the whimsical notion of celestial influences on human behavior but also serves as a reminder that unexpected connections can oftentimes prompt innovative avenues of inquiry.

The name "Jayce" may hold no conscious sway over the energy consumption behaviors of individuals, but the correlation observed demands our scholarly attention. Let us delve into this peculiar terrain, where the name "Jayce" and the fossil fuels of Brazil converge, with the aim of unearthing the mysteries that lie beneath the surface.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jayce and Fossil fuel use in Brazil. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then cite some social media posts you read that seem to be related.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Jayce and the Extraterrestrial: Unearthing the Fossil Fuels of Brazil"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This exploratory study delves into the fascinating correlation between the popularity of the first name "Jayce" and the usage of fossil fuels in Brazil. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and the Energy Information Administration, we embarked on a quest to unravel this peculiar relationship. Our findings revealed a surprisingly strong correlation coefficient of 0.9473629 (p < 0.01) over the period from 1980 to 2021. We confront the puzzle of whether the ascent of "Jayce" has sparked an extraterrestrial demand for fossil fuels in Brazil, or if there are deeper undercurrents at play. This study ignites a new spark in the scholarly conversation, reminding us that the cosmos of research can often unearth unexpected and enigmatic connections.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The relationship between human behavior and environmental impact has long been a subject of fascination and concern. In the vast landscape of research, unexpected correlations have been unearthed, leading to the hope of shedding light on the enigmatic connections that exist in this complex ecosystem. In this instance, we turn our gaze to the correlation between the popularity of the first name "Jayce" and the consumption of fossil fuels in Brazil.
The choice of "Jayce" as the focus of this study may, at first glance, appear idiosyncratic. However, it is precisely the unexpected nature of this correlation that kindles the scientific curiosity—much like stumbling upon an unidentified fossil fuel in an unassuming corner of the rainforest. Our scholarly pursuit is driven by the desire to unearth a deeper understanding of this connection, and whether there exists a causal mechanism or mere cosmic coincidences at play.
The juxtaposition of a name rooted in modern culture with the ancient remains of fossil fuels may seem peculiar, prompting one to wonder if there is an extraterrestrial force at work, compelling the people of Brazil to consume more fossil fuels as the name "Jayce" gains popularity. Admittedly, such a notion may sound more at home in the realm of science fiction, where extraterrestrial beings may be contemplating the allure of "Jayce" and the Earth's fossil fuels. However, as scholars, it is our duty to delve into the unexpected and critically evaluate the evidence before us.
As we embark on this academic journey, we must remain mindful of the possibility of spurious correlations. Yet, we cannot discount the intriguing pattern that has emerged from our data. This study not only offers an opportunity to entertain the whimsical notion of celestial influences on human behavior but also serves as a reminder that unexpected connections can oftentimes prompt innovative avenues of inquiry.
The name "Jayce" may hold no conscious sway over the energy consumption behaviors of individuals, but the correlation observed demands our scholarly attention. Let us delve into this peculiar terrain, where the name "Jayce" and the fossil fuels of Brazil converge, with the aim of unearthing the mysteries that lie beneath the surface.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

Several studies have delved into the realm of human behavior and its relationship with environmental impact. Smith et al. (2015) observed intriguing correlations between personal names and societal trends, while Doe and Jones (2018) explored the consumption patterns of fossil fuels in various regions.

In "Names and Numbers," Smith et al. (2015) highlighted the influence of popular names on cultural phenomena, drawing attention to the potential ripple effects of individual nomenclature on societal behaviors. Doe and Jones (2018) in "Fueling the Future" took a macroeconomic approach, examining the consumption of fossil fuels in different global contexts and identifying numerous sociodemographic factors that impact such consumption patterns.

Turning our attention to non-fiction literature related to this topic, "Names and Nature" by Green (2019) delves into the psychological implications of personal nomenclature and its potential impact on environmental attitudes. Furthermore, "The Energy Dilemma" by Brown (2017) provides a comprehensive exploration of fossil fuel use and its implications for environmental sustainability.

This review also incorporates insights from fiction works, as they can offer unique perspectives on the interplay between human behavior and environmental phenomena. The sci-fi novel "Galactic Namesake" by Starlight (2020) presents an imaginative tale of an extraterrestrial society fascinated by human names and the resources they are linked to. Additionally, "Fuel Frenzy" by Blaze (2018) weaves an entertaining narrative set in the heart of the Brazilian rainforest, exploring the enigmatic allure of fossil fuels and the unexpected social dynamics surrounding their consumption.

Moreover, social media platforms have provided anecdotal evidence of the unconventional connections captivating public interest. A tweet by @AstroEnthusiast states, "Could the rising popularity of 'Jayce' be linked to an intergalactic quest for fossil fuels in Brazil? 🚀 #CosmicConnections #EnergyMysteries," prompting speculation and imaginative discourse surrounding the phenomenon under investigation.

As the scholarly pursuit of understanding the correlation between the popularity of the name "Jayce" and fossil fuel usage in Brazil unfolds, it is essential to consider a diverse range of sources and perspectives. The interdisciplinary nature of this investigation demands the assimilation of insights from various fields, serving as a reminder that scholarly inquiry can, at times, unearth unexpected and thought-provoking connections.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jayce and Fossil fuel use in Brazil. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and Energy Information Administration . You used data from 1980 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Jayce and the Extraterrestrial: Unearthing the Fossil Fuels of Brazil"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This exploratory study delves into the fascinating correlation between the popularity of the first name "Jayce" and the usage of fossil fuels in Brazil. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and the Energy Information Administration, we embarked on a quest to unravel this peculiar relationship. Our findings revealed a surprisingly strong correlation coefficient of 0.9473629 (p < 0.01) over the period from 1980 to 2021. We confront the puzzle of whether the ascent of "Jayce" has sparked an extraterrestrial demand for fossil fuels in Brazil, or if there are deeper undercurrents at play. This study ignites a new spark in the scholarly conversation, reminding us that the cosmos of research can often unearth unexpected and enigmatic connections.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The relationship between human behavior and environmental impact has long been a subject of fascination and concern. In the vast landscape of research, unexpected correlations have been unearthed, leading to the hope of shedding light on the enigmatic connections that exist in this complex ecosystem. In this instance, we turn our gaze to the correlation between the popularity of the first name "Jayce" and the consumption of fossil fuels in Brazil.
The choice of "Jayce" as the focus of this study may, at first glance, appear idiosyncratic. However, it is precisely the unexpected nature of this correlation that kindles the scientific curiosity—much like stumbling upon an unidentified fossil fuel in an unassuming corner of the rainforest. Our scholarly pursuit is driven by the desire to unearth a deeper understanding of this connection, and whether there exists a causal mechanism or mere cosmic coincidences at play.
The juxtaposition of a name rooted in modern culture with the ancient remains of fossil fuels may seem peculiar, prompting one to wonder if there is an extraterrestrial force at work, compelling the people of Brazil to consume more fossil fuels as the name "Jayce" gains popularity. Admittedly, such a notion may sound more at home in the realm of science fiction, where extraterrestrial beings may be contemplating the allure of "Jayce" and the Earth's fossil fuels. However, as scholars, it is our duty to delve into the unexpected and critically evaluate the evidence before us.
As we embark on this academic journey, we must remain mindful of the possibility of spurious correlations. Yet, we cannot discount the intriguing pattern that has emerged from our data. This study not only offers an opportunity to entertain the whimsical notion of celestial influences on human behavior but also serves as a reminder that unexpected connections can oftentimes prompt innovative avenues of inquiry.
The name "Jayce" may hold no conscious sway over the energy consumption behaviors of individuals, but the correlation observed demands our scholarly attention. Let us delve into this peculiar terrain, where the name "Jayce" and the fossil fuels of Brazil converge, with the aim of unearthing the mysteries that lie beneath the surface.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

METHODOLOGY

Data Collection:
The data utilized in this study were gleaned from the US Social Security Administration and the Energy Information Administration. The frequency of the first name "Jayce" was obtained from the records of the US Social Security Administration, capturing the occurrences from 1980 to 2021. The consumption of fossil fuels in Brazil, encompassing coal, petroleum, and natural gas, was extracted from the Energy Information Administration's comprehensive datasets for the corresponding time frame.

To access the US Social Security Administration's data, the research team navigated through the labyrinthine corridors of the internet, braving the myriad websites and online archives much like intrepid explorers navigating through a dense jungle. The extraction of fossil fuel consumption data from the Energy Information Administration's repository required a similar feat of dexterity, navigating through the complex networks of energy statistics and databases like excavating rare artifacts from a subterranean vault.

Data Analysis:
The statistical analysis of the data set commenced with the calculation of the frequency of the first name "Jayce" and the corresponding annual fossil fuel consumption in Brazil. This involved an exhaustive process wherein the data were meticulously scrutinized for outliers and anomalies, akin to sifting through layers of sediment to unveil rare paleontological finds.

The correlation coefficient between the popularity of the name "Jayce" and the usage of fossil fuels in Brazil was determined using advanced statistical techniques. The strength and direction of this relationship were then evaluated, allowing for the identification of any significant associations.

Furthermore, the research team conducted a time series analysis to assess the temporal patterns of the popularity of the name "Jayce" and the consumption of fossil fuels in Brazil. This involved employing sophisticated analytical tools to discern any underlying trends or cyclical variations, reminiscent of an archaeological expedition unraveling the mysteries of ancient civilizations through the examination of temporal artifacts.

All statistical analyses were carried out using robust software packages, ensuring the accuracy and reliability of the findings. The significance level was set at 0.01 to safeguard against spurious correlations and chance associations.

Research Limitations:
It is imperative to acknowledge the inherent limitations of this study. The reliance on data sources from the US Social Security Administration and the Energy Information Administration may introduce potential biases, as these records may not capture the entire spectrum of societal and environmental factors that could influence the observed relationship. Additionally, the generalizability of the findings may be restricted to the context of Brazil and the specified time period.

Moreover, the exploratory nature of this research warrants caution in attributing causality to the observed correlation. While compelling, the findings do not conclusively establish a causal link between the popularity of the name "Jayce" and fossil fuel consumption in Brazil, leaving room for alternative explanations and further investigation.

Despite these limitations, the methodical approach employed in this study offers valuable insights into the intriguing correlation between the first name "Jayce" and the usage of fossil fuels in Brazil. This analysis not only presents a unique lens through which to examine human behavior and environmental impact but also underscores the unforeseen connections that can be unraveled through rigorous scientific inquiry.

In conclusion, the methodological framework outlined in this study provides a robust foundation for exploring the enigmatic nexus between the name "Jayce" and the fossil fuels of Brazil. It is our fervent hope that this research will inspire future investigations into other peculiar correlations, as the scholarly pursuit of knowledge continues to unveil unexpected and thought-provoking connections in the ever-expanding cosmos of research.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jayce and Fossil fuel use in Brazil. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and Energy Information Administration .

For the time period 1980 to 2021, you found a correlation 0.9473629, r-squared of 0.8974964, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Jayce and the Extraterrestrial: Unearthing the Fossil Fuels of Brazil"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This exploratory study delves into the fascinating correlation between the popularity of the first name "Jayce" and the usage of fossil fuels in Brazil. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and the Energy Information Administration, we embarked on a quest to unravel this peculiar relationship. Our findings revealed a surprisingly strong correlation coefficient of 0.9473629 (p < 0.01) over the period from 1980 to 2021. We confront the puzzle of whether the ascent of "Jayce" has sparked an extraterrestrial demand for fossil fuels in Brazil, or if there are deeper undercurrents at play. This study ignites a new spark in the scholarly conversation, reminding us that the cosmos of research can often unearth unexpected and enigmatic connections.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
INTRODUCTION
The relationship between human behavior and environmental impact has long been a subject of fascination and concern. In the vast landscape of research, unexpected correlations have been unearthed, leading to the hope of shedding light on the enigmatic connections that exist in this complex ecosystem. In this instance, we turn our gaze to the correlation between the popularity of the first name "Jayce" and the consumption of fossil fuels in Brazil.
The choice of "Jayce" as the focus of this study may, at first glance, appear idiosyncratic. However, it is precisely the unexpected nature of this correlation that kindles the scientific curiosity—much like stumbling upon an unidentified fossil fuel in an unassuming corner of the rainforest. Our scholarly pursuit is driven by the desire to unearth a deeper understanding of this connection, and whether there exists a causal mechanism or mere cosmic coincidences at play.
The juxtaposition of a name rooted in modern culture with the ancient remains of fossil fuels may seem peculiar, prompting one to wonder if there is an extraterrestrial force at work, compelling the people of Brazil to consume more fossil fuels as the name "Jayce" gains popularity. Admittedly, such a notion may sound more at home in the realm of science fiction, where extraterrestrial beings may be contemplating the allure of "Jayce" and the Earth's fossil fuels. However, as scholars, it is our duty to delve into the unexpected and critically evaluate the evidence before us.
As we embark on this academic journey, we must remain mindful of the possibility of spurious correlations. Yet, we cannot discount the intriguing pattern that has emerged from our data. This study not only offers an opportunity to entertain the whimsical notion of celestial influences on human behavior but also serves as a reminder that unexpected connections can oftentimes prompt innovative avenues of inquiry.
The name "Jayce" may hold no conscious sway over the energy consumption behaviors of individuals, but the correlation observed demands our scholarly attention. Let us delve into this peculiar terrain, where the name "Jayce" and the fossil fuels of Brazil converge, with the aim of unearthing the mysteries that lie beneath the surface.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The results of our analysis revealed a remarkably strong correlation between the popularity of the first name "Jayce" and the consumption of fossil fuels in Brazil. Over the time period from 1980 to 2021, we found a correlation coefficient of 0.9473629, indicating a robust positive relationship between these two seemingly disparate variables. The r-squared value of 0.8974964 further underscored the strength of this association, explaining nearly 90% of the variability in fossil fuel use based on the popularity of the name "Jayce." This correlation was found to be statistically significant with a p-value of less than 0.01, adding weight to our findings.

The scatterplot (Fig. 1) visually depicts this striking correlation, resembling a celestial alignment between "Jayce" and fossil fuel use in Brazil. One could almost imagine the name "Jayce" twinkling in the night sky, exerting its gravitational pull on the consumption of fossil fuels in this South American nation.

This unexpected association raises intriguing questions about the potential influence of cultural phenomena on environmental behaviors. Could the popularization of the name "Jayce" have ignited a cosmic urge for fossil fuel consumption in Brazil? Or are there deeper forces at play that link the name "Jayce" and the utilization of fossil fuels in this region? These questions propel us into uncharted territories of inquiry, where the celestial and the terrestrial intersect in curious ways.

It is essential to approach these findings with caution, as the possibility of spurious correlations cannot be overlooked. However, the strength and statistical significance of the observed relationship compel us to consider the implications of such an uncanny connection. This study further emphasizes the inherent unpredictability of research, reminding us that the scholarly landscape is rife with unexpected turns and enigmatic discoveries.

Our exploration into the correlation between the name "Jayce" and fossil fuel consumption in Brazil serves as a testament to the profound and often whimsical nature of research. This peculiar linkage challenges us to probe beyond conventional expectations and reimagine the potential influences that shape our world. As we navigate the cosmic expanse of knowledge, let us not shy away from confronting the mysterious and the unanticipated, for it is in these uncharted realms that the most remarkable insights often reside.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jayce and Fossil fuel use in Brazil. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"Jayce and the Extraterrestrial: Unearthing the Fossil Fuels of Brazil"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This exploratory study delves into the fascinating correlation between the popularity of the first name "Jayce" and the usage of fossil fuels in Brazil. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and the Energy Information Administration, we embarked on a quest to unravel this peculiar relationship. Our findings revealed a surprisingly strong correlation coefficient of 0.9473629 (p < 0.01) over the period from 1980 to 2021. We confront the puzzle of whether the ascent of "Jayce" has sparked an extraterrestrial demand for fossil fuels in Brazil, or if there are deeper undercurrents at play. This study ignites a new spark in the scholarly conversation, reminding us that the cosmos of research can often unearth unexpected and enigmatic connections.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
Several studies have delved into the realm of human behavior and its relationship with environmental impact. Smith et al. (2015) observed intriguing correlations between personal names and societal trends, while Doe and Jones (2018) explored the consumption patterns of fossil fuels in various regions.
In "Names and Numbers," Smith et al. (2015) highlighted the influence of popular names on cultural phenomena, drawing attention to the potential ripple effects of individual nomenclature on societal behaviors. Doe and Jones (2018) in "Fueling the Future" took a macroeconomic approach, examining the consumption of fossil fuels in different global contexts and identifying numerous sociodemographic factors that impact such consumption patterns.
Turning our attention to non-fiction literature related to this topic, "Names and Nature" by Green (2019) delves into the psychological implications of personal nomenclature and its potential impact on environmental attitudes. Furthermore, "The Energy Dilemma" by Brown (2017) provides a comprehensive exploration of fossil fuel use and its implications for environmental sustainability.
This review also incorporates insights from fiction works, as they can offer unique perspectives on the interplay between human behavior and environmental phenomena. The sci-fi novel "Galactic Namesake" by Starlight (2020) presents an imaginative tale of an extraterrestrial society fascinated by human names and the resources they are linked to. Additionally, "Fuel Frenzy" by Blaze (2018) weaves an entertaining narrative set in the heart of the Brazilian rainforest, exploring the enigmatic allure of fossil fuels and the unexpected social dynamics surrounding their consumption.
Moreover, social media platforms have provided anecdotal evidence of the unconventional connections captivating public interest. A tweet by @AstroEnthusiast states, "Could the rising popularity of 'Jayce' be linked to an intergalactic quest for fossil fuels in Brazil? 🚀 #CosmicConnections #EnergyMysteries," prompting speculation and imaginative discourse surrounding the phenomenon under investigation.
As the scholarly pursuit of understanding the correlation between the popularity of the name "Jayce" and fossil fuel usage in Brazil unfolds, it is essential to consider a diverse range of sources and perspectives. The interdisciplinary nature of this investigation demands the assimilation of insights from various fields, serving as a reminder that scholarly inquiry can, at times, unearth unexpected and thought-provoking connections.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our analysis revealed a remarkably strong correlation between the popularity of the first name "Jayce" and the consumption of fossil fuels in Brazil. Over the time period from 1980 to 2021, we found a correlation coefficient of 0.9473629, indicating a robust positive relationship between these two seemingly disparate variables. The r-squared value of 0.8974964 further underscored the strength of this association, explaining nearly 90% of the variability in fossil fuel use based on the popularity of the name "Jayce." This correlation was found to be statistically significant with a p-value of less than 0.01, adding weight to our findings.
The scatterplot (Fig. 1) visually depicts this striking correlation, resembling a celestial alignment between "Jayce" and fossil fuel use in Brazil. One could almost imagine the name "Jayce" twinkling in the night sky, exerting its gravitational pull on the consumption of fossil fuels in this South American nation.
This unexpected association raises intriguing questions about the potential influence of cultural phenomena on environmental behaviors. Could the popularization of the name "Jayce" have ignited a cosmic urge for fossil fuel consumption in Brazil? Or are there deeper forces at play that link the name "Jayce" and the utilization of fossil fuels in this region? These questions propel us into uncharted territories of inquiry, where the celestial and the terrestrial intersect in curious ways.
It is essential to approach these findings with caution, as the possibility of spurious correlations cannot be overlooked. However, the strength and statistical significance of the observed relationship compel us to consider the implications of such an uncanny connection. This study further emphasizes the inherent unpredictability of research, reminding us that the scholarly landscape is rife with unexpected turns and enigmatic discoveries.
Our exploration into the correlation between the name "Jayce" and fossil fuel consumption in Brazil serves as a testament to the profound and often whimsical nature of research. This peculiar linkage challenges us to probe beyond conventional expectations and reimagine the potential influences that shape our world. As we navigate the cosmic expanse of knowledge, let us not shy away from confronting the mysterious and the unanticipated, for it is in these uncharted realms that the most remarkable insights often reside.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The unprecedented correlation between the popularity of the first name "Jayce" and the consumption of fossil fuels in Brazil is a celestial wonder in the realm of social and environmental research. Our findings not only support the existing literature on the influence of personal names on cultural phenomena, but they also illuminate a hitherto unexplored connection between human nomenclature and environmental behaviors.

Connecting our results to previous research, we recall the lighthearted yet thought-provoking insights from Starlight's "Galactic Namesake" and Blaze's "Fuel Frenzy". The notion of an extraterrestrial fascination with human names, as depicted in "Galactic Namesake," may not be as far-fetched as one might initially assume. Our data point to a substantial correlation between the prevalence of the name "Jayce" and the utilization of fossil fuels in Brazil, sparking contemplation of cosmic influences on terrestrial activities.

Furthermore, Green's exploration of the potential psychological implications of personal nomenclature in "Names and Nature" acquires a new dimension when juxtaposed with our findings. It is as if the name "Jayce" has woven its way into the fabric of societal behaviors, exerting a gravitational pull on the consumption patterns of fossil fuels in Brazil. This unexpected linkage suggests that individual names may harbor unsuspected sway over collective actions, illustrating the idiosyncratic interplay between human identity and environmental impacts.

The statistical robustness and significance of the observed correlation further bolster its credibility, lending support to the whimsical speculation incited by @AstroEnthusiast's tweet. While caution is warranted in interpreting these findings, the substantial magnitude of the correlation and its statistical significance urge us to recognize the potential influence of "Jayce" on the consumption of fossil fuels in Brazil.

Our study traverses the oft-unpredictable terrain of research, highlighting the enigmatic discoveries that await those who dare to venture beyond the familiar. As we contemplate the implications of this unanticipated connection, we are compelled to embrace the curious and the unconventional in our scholarly pursuits, for it is within these unexplored territories that provocative insights and cosmic musings unravel.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jayce and Fossil fuel use in Brazil. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"Jayce and the Extraterrestrial: Unearthing the Fossil Fuels of Brazil"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This exploratory study delves into the fascinating correlation between the popularity of the first name "Jayce" and the usage of fossil fuels in Brazil. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and the Energy Information Administration, we embarked on a quest to unravel this peculiar relationship. Our findings revealed a surprisingly strong correlation coefficient of 0.9473629 (p < 0.01) over the period from 1980 to 2021. We confront the puzzle of whether the ascent of "Jayce" has sparked an extraterrestrial demand for fossil fuels in Brazil, or if there are deeper undercurrents at play. This study ignites a new spark in the scholarly conversation, reminding us that the cosmos of research can often unearth unexpected and enigmatic connections.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The relationship between human behavior and environmental impact has long been a subject of fascination and concern. In the vast landscape of research, unexpected correlations have been unearthed, leading to the hope of shedding light on the enigmatic connections that exist in this complex ecosystem. In this instance, we turn our gaze to the correlation between the popularity of the first name "Jayce" and the consumption of fossil fuels in Brazil.
The choice of "Jayce" as the focus of this study may, at first glance, appear idiosyncratic. However, it is precisely the unexpected nature of this correlation that kindles the scientific curiosity—much like stumbling upon an unidentified fossil fuel in an unassuming corner of the rainforest. Our scholarly pursuit is driven by the desire to unearth a deeper understanding of this connection, and whether there exists a causal mechanism or mere cosmic coincidences at play.
The juxtaposition of a name rooted in modern culture with the ancient remains of fossil fuels may seem peculiar, prompting one to wonder if there is an extraterrestrial force at work, compelling the people of Brazil to consume more fossil fuels as the name "Jayce" gains popularity. Admittedly, such a notion may sound more at home in the realm of science fiction, where extraterrestrial beings may be contemplating the allure of "Jayce" and the Earth's fossil fuels. However, as scholars, it is our duty to delve into the unexpected and critically evaluate the evidence before us.
As we embark on this academic journey, we must remain mindful of the possibility of spurious correlations. Yet, we cannot discount the intriguing pattern that has emerged from our data. This study not only offers an opportunity to entertain the whimsical notion of celestial influences on human behavior but also serves as a reminder that unexpected connections can oftentimes prompt innovative avenues of inquiry.
The name "Jayce" may hold no conscious sway over the energy consumption behaviors of individuals, but the correlation observed demands our scholarly attention. Let us delve into this peculiar terrain, where the name "Jayce" and the fossil fuels of Brazil converge, with the aim of unearthing the mysteries that lie beneath the surface.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our analysis revealed a remarkably strong correlation between the popularity of the first name "Jayce" and the consumption of fossil fuels in Brazil. Over the time period from 1980 to 2021, we found a correlation coefficient of 0.9473629, indicating a robust positive relationship between these two seemingly disparate variables. The r-squared value of 0.8974964 further underscored the strength of this association, explaining nearly 90% of the variability in fossil fuel use based on the popularity of the name "Jayce." This correlation was found to be statistically significant with a p-value of less than 0.01, adding weight to our findings.
The scatterplot (Fig. 1) visually depicts this striking correlation, resembling a celestial alignment between "Jayce" and fossil fuel use in Brazil. One could almost imagine the name "Jayce" twinkling in the night sky, exerting its gravitational pull on the consumption of fossil fuels in this South American nation.
This unexpected association raises intriguing questions about the potential influence of cultural phenomena on environmental behaviors. Could the popularization of the name "Jayce" have ignited a cosmic urge for fossil fuel consumption in Brazil? Or are there deeper forces at play that link the name "Jayce" and the utilization of fossil fuels in this region? These questions propel us into uncharted territories of inquiry, where the celestial and the terrestrial intersect in curious ways.
It is essential to approach these findings with caution, as the possibility of spurious correlations cannot be overlooked. However, the strength and statistical significance of the observed relationship compel us to consider the implications of such an uncanny connection. This study further emphasizes the inherent unpredictability of research, reminding us that the scholarly landscape is rife with unexpected turns and enigmatic discoveries.
Our exploration into the correlation between the name "Jayce" and fossil fuel consumption in Brazil serves as a testament to the profound and often whimsical nature of research. This peculiar linkage challenges us to probe beyond conventional expectations and reimagine the potential influences that shape our world. As we navigate the cosmic expanse of knowledge, let us not shy away from confronting the mysterious and the unanticipated, for it is in these uncharted realms that the most remarkable insights often reside.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, our expedition into the realm of "Jayce" and fossil fuels in Brazil has unveiled a correlation of cosmic proportions. The robust association between the popularity of the name "Jayce" and the consumption of fossil fuels has left us pondering the enigmatic influences at play. Our data, with a correlation coefficient rivaling the gravitational pull of a celestial body, has sparked a cosmic curiosity that transcends the boundaries of conventional research.

The scatterplot, akin to a cosmic alignment of stars, evokes images of "Jayce" exerting its otherworldly influence on fossil fuel use in Brazil. One cannot help but entertain the possibility of extraterrestrial forces at play or, dare I say, celestial beings with a penchant for trendy names and petroleum products.

While the allure of attributing this correlation to the whims of the cosmos may be tempting, we must exercise scholarly caution. The statistical significance of our findings, however, urges us to entertain the notion that cultural phenomena may indeed have an unexpected sway over environmental behaviors. Could it be that the ascent of "Jayce" has awoken a dormant appetite for fossil fuels in Brazil, or are there deeper terrestrial dynamics at work, shrouded in mystery?

The correlation unveiled in this study piques the scientific imagination and emphasizes the capricious nature of scholarly pursuits. As we reflect on the unexpected convergence of "Jayce" and fossil fuels, we are reminded that research is as unpredictable as a meteor shower on a cloudless night.

At the intersection of the celestial and the terrestrial, our study beckons further exploration into the influence of cultural trends on environmental dynamics. However, given the whimsical nature of our findings, and the unlikely probability of an alien agenda to popularize the name "Jayce" as a catalyst for fossil fuel consumption, it can be said with confidence that no further research in this area is needed. The cosmic dance of "Jayce" and fossil fuels in Brazil has been unraveled, leaving behind a trail of scholarly amusement and a reminder that the universe of research is as unpredictable as it is illuminating.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Jayce and the Extraterrestrial: Unearthing the Fossil Fuels of Brazil. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Interstellar Geology


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Jayce and the Extraterrestrial: Unearthing the Fossil Fuels of Brazil. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Interstellar Energy Exploration


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Jayce and the Extraterrestrial: Unearthing the Fossil Fuels of Brazil with an abstract of This exploratory study delves into the fascinating correlation between the popularity of the first name "Jayce" and the usage of fossil fuels in Brazil. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and the Energy Information Administration, we embarked on a quest to unravel this peculiar relationship. Our findings revealed a surprisingly strong correlation coefficient of 0.9473629 (p < 0.01) over the period from 1980 to 2021. We confront the puzzle of whether the ascent of "Jayce" has sparked an extraterrestrial demand for fossil fuels in Brazil, or if there are deeper undercurrents at play. This study ignites a new spark in the scholarly conversation, reminding us that the cosmos of research can often unearth unexpected and enigmatic connections.

ChatGPT:

Jayce, fossil fuels, Brazil, correlation, popularity, first name, social security administration, energy information administration, correlation coefficient, 1980-2021, extraterrestrial demand

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Popularity of the first name Jayce
Detailed data title: Babies of all sexes born in the US named Jayce
Source: US Social Security Administration
See what else correlates with Popularity of the first name Jayce

Fossil fuel use in Brazil
Detailed data title: Total fossil fuel use in Brazil in billion kWh
Source: Energy Information Administration
See what else correlates with Fossil fuel use in Brazil

Correlation r = 0.9473629 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.8974964 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 89.7% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Fossil fuel use in Brazil) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Popularity of the first name Jayce) over the 42 years from 1980 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 2.2E-21. 0.0000000000000000000021641360
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.95 in 2.2E-19% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 462,078,168,839,666,270,208 random variables You don't actually need 462 quintillion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 41 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 41 because we have two variables measured over a period of 42 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.9, 0.97 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
Popularity of the first name Jayce (Babies born)1597153245176905066568411187108125174168207256360353467487505614717766862926113616611986275227823188305929792713268124962455
Fossil fuel use in Brazil (Billion kWh)7.9438.71857.965567.217327.39788.1140815.224212.15710.940710.81569.5165610.46511.168111.163411.177512.843215.482717.699318.620527.473428.428434.687932.946130.980539.455638.758138.664136.591454.953335.523560.045349.133875.8336110.298134.657126.93890.863599.586384.447488.686978.967145.386




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Outlandish outliers: There are "outliers" in this data. In concept, "outlier" just means "way different than the rest of your dataset." When calculating a correlation like this, they are particularly impactful because a single outlier can substantially increase your correlation.

    For the purposes of this project, I counted a point as an outlier if it the residual was two standard deviations from the mean.

    (This bullet point only shows up in the details page on charts that do, in fact, have outliers.)
    They stand out on the scatterplot above: notice the dots that are far away from any other dots. I intentionally mishandeled outliers, which makes the correlation look extra strong.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([15,9,7,15,32,45,176,90,50,66,56,84,111,87,108,125,174,168,207,256,360,353,467,487,505,614,717,766,862,926,1136,1661,1986,2752,2782,3188,3059,2979,2713,2681,2496,2455,])
array_2 = np.array([7.943,8.7185,7.96556,7.21732,7.3978,8.11408,15.2242,12.157,10.9407,10.8156,9.51656,10.465,11.1681,11.1634,11.1775,12.8432,15.4827,17.6993,18.6205,27.4734,28.4284,34.6879,32.9461,30.9805,39.4556,38.7581,38.6641,36.5914,54.9533,35.5235,60.0453,49.1338,75.8336,110.298,134.657,126.938,90.8635,99.5863,84.4474,88.6869,78.967,145.386,])
array_1_name = "Popularity of the first name Jayce"
array_2_name = "Fossil fuel use in Brazil"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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