Spurious correlation #2,965 · View random
A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Associates degrees awarded in Science technologies and the second variable is Google searches for 'avocado toast'. The chart goes from 2011 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time.

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Associates degrees awarded in Science technologies and the second variable is Google searches for 'avocado toast'. The chart goes from 2011 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time.

Download png, svg

AI explanation

As more students studied science technologies, they engineered a way to create perfectly ripe avocados on demand, leading to a surge in avocado toast popularity. It's a toast to technological advancements in brunch cuisine!

^{Show image generation prompt} Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image of a meme that humorously illustrates the scenario of graduates in Science technologies and technicians working in a bustling kitchen laboratory. They are expertly slicing and mashing avocados, while carefully measuring precise amounts of ingredients. Their Associates degrees are proudly displayed on the wall. Nearby, a computer screen displays a spike in Google searches for "avocado toast", indicating the growing curiosity about this trendy snack. The convergence of scientific expertise and culinary delight is evident as the room fills with the delightful aroma of perfectly crafted avocado toast. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.

This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Associates degrees awarded in Science technologies/technicians and Google searches for 'avocado toast'. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Hyper-realistic An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie a meme Brutalism Symbolism
ChatGPT: a meme

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Associates degrees awarded in Science technologies/technicians and Google searches for 'avocado toast', in the following situation: Because as more science and technology lovers earned their degrees, they became experts in creating the perfect avocado toast, leading to a surge in online searches for the trendy snack. It's simple physics, really - the more people who understand the molecular structure of avocados, the more delicious avocado toast becomes.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In a bustling kitchen laboratory, graduates in Science technologies and technicians are seen expertly slicing and mashing avocados, while carefully measuring precise amounts of ingredients. Their Associates degrees proudly displayed on the wall. Nearby, a computer screen displays a spike in Google searches for "avocado toast", indicating the growing curiosity about this trendy snack. The convergence of scientific expertise and culinary delight is evident as the room fills with the delightful aroma of perfectly crafted avocado toast.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ a meme ] and depicting this scene: In a bustling kitchen laboratory, graduates in Science technologies and technicians are seen expertly slicing and mashing avocados, while carefully measuring precise amounts of ingredients. Their Associates degrees proudly displayed on the wall. Nearby, a computer screen displays a spike in Google searches for "avocado toast", indicating the growing curiosity about this trendy snack. The convergence of scientific expertise and culinary delight is evident as the room fills with the delightful aroma of perfectly crafted avocado toast. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image of a meme that humorously illustrates the scenario of graduates in Science technologies and technicians working in a bustling kitchen laboratory. They are expertly slicing and mashing avocados, while carefully measuring precise amounts of ingredients. Their Associates degrees are proudly displayed on the wall. Nearby, a computer screen displays a spike in Google searches for "avocado toast", indicating the growing curiosity about this trendy snack. The convergence of scientific expertise and culinary delight is evident as the room fills with the delightful aroma of perfectly crafted avocado toast.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.
^{Show prompt for explanation} Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Associates degrees awarded in Science technologies/technicians caused avocado toast (Google searches for 'avocado toast') to increase. Add a funny one-liner at the end.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)

Avocado Toast Boasts: Associating Science Technicians with Brunch Addicts

The International Journal of Gastronomic Research

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!

^{Show prompt used to generate this paper} Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in Science technologies/technicians and Google searches for 'avocado toast'. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends . You used data from 2011 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Avocado Toast Boasts: Associating Science Technicians with Brunch Addicts

[[ABSTRACT]]
Avocado toast, the hipster's delight, has taken the culinary world by storm, becoming the poster child for millennial cuisine. This research endeavors to peel back the layers of the "avocado toast" phenomenon, examining its unlikely connection to the confounding world of Associate degrees granted in Science technologies/technicians. Leveraging data from the National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends, this study illuminates an eyebrow-raising correlation between the two seemingly disparate realms. Our findings reveal a startling correlation coefficient of 0.9848318, with a p-value of less than 0.01, over the decade from 2011 to 2021. The implications of this are ripe for discourse, begging the question: are budding science technicians turning to the creamy allure of avocado toast as they toil away in their labs, or is the brunch culture simply infiltrating the scientific community? This scholarly inquiry aims to shed light on the intertwined relationship between educational pursuits and dietary preferences, offering food for thought for researchers and brunch enthusiasts alike.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The intersection of culinary trends and academic pursuits has long been a subject of curiosity, often yielding surprising revelations. In this study, we delve into the peculiar pairing of avocado toast, a staple of contemporary gastronomy, with the awarding of Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians. At first glance, one might dismiss the notion that these two seemingly unrelated realms could share any common ground. However, as the saying goes, "there's no smoke without fire" - or in this case, "there's no toast without avo."
Avocado toast has earned its place as a cultural phenomenon, a symbol of both culinary artistry and, some might argue, ostentatious brunch rituals. Underneath its trendy exterior lies a deeper connection to the generational shifts in consumer behavior, lifestyle preferences, and dietary choices. Meanwhile, the pursuit of Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians represents a gateway to the world of applied sciences and technological expertise, a pursuit often perceived as more serious and far removed from the whimsical world of brunch.
The correlation between the consumption of avocado toast and the academic achievement of Science technicians warrants exploration. To etch this peculiar link into the annals of scholarly discourse, we bring forth empirical evidence and statistical rigor to examine the nuanced relationship between these seemingly incongruous domains. As we embark on this academic escapade, we invite readers to set aside their preconceptions and join us in unraveling the enigma of science enthusiasts and their potential penchant for the creamy allure of avocado on toast.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

Data Collection:
The data for this study were collected from two primary sources: the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) and Google Trends. The NCES provides comprehensive information on the number of Associate degrees granted in Science technologies/technicians over the specified time period, allowing for a systematic analysis of educational trends. In parallel, Google Trends offered invaluable insight into the relative search interest for "avocado toast" over the same timeframe. The overlap of these datasets facilitated the examination of potential correlations between the pursuit of science-related education and the gastronomic curiosity surrounding avocado toast.

Statistical Analysis:
To quantify the potential association between Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians and avocado toast, a rigorous statistical analysis was conducted. Firstly, a Pearson correlation coefficient was computed to assess the strength and direction of the linear relationship between the two variables. Additionally, a two-tailed hypothesis test was employed to evaluate the significance of the observed correlation. The p-value associated with this test determined the likelihood of the obtained results occurring due to random chance, providing crucial insights into the validity of the purported association.

Decomposing Time Series Data:
Given the longitudinal nature of the Google search interest data, a sophisticated time series decomposition technique was employed to discern underlying patterns and fluctuations in the temporal search behavior for avocado toast. This method allowed for the identification of seasonal trends, periodic variations, and any long-term shifts in the public's fascination with this delectable dish. By disentangling the components of the time series data, we gained a deeper understanding of the evolving dynamics of the avocado toast phenomenon throughout the study period.

Adjustment for External Variables:
In acknowledging the multifaceted influences that may impact both educational choices and culinary predilections, a nuanced approach to controlling for external variables was adopted. Factors such as economic indicators, societal trends, and cultural movements were considered in the analytical framework to mitigate the potential confounding effects that could distort the observed relationship between Science technologies/technicians and avocado toast. This comprehensive approach sought to unveil the intrinsic link between these domains while accounting for the broader contextual landscape in which these phenomena unfolded.

Ethical Considerations:
As purveyors of academia, it is incumbent upon us to uphold the principles of scholarly integrity and ethical research conduct. All data utilized in this study were obtained from publicly available sources, ensuring transparency and accountability in the dissemination of knowledge. Furthermore, the research methodology adhered to the ethical standards outlined by the academic community, upholding the sanctity of intellectual inquiry and the pursuit of truth, even amidst the allure of creamy avocado goodness.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in Science technologies/technicians and Google searches for 'avocado toast'. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends .

For the time period 2011 to 2021, you found a correlation 0.9848318, r-squared of 0.9698937, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Avocado Toast Boasts: Associating Science Technicians with Brunch Addicts

[[ABSTRACT]]
Avocado toast, the hipster's delight, has taken the culinary world by storm, becoming the poster child for millennial cuisine. This research endeavors to peel back the layers of the "avocado toast" phenomenon, examining its unlikely connection to the confounding world of Associate degrees granted in Science technologies/technicians. Leveraging data from the National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends, this study illuminates an eyebrow-raising correlation between the two seemingly disparate realms. Our findings reveal a startling correlation coefficient of 0.9848318, with a p-value of less than 0.01, over the decade from 2011 to 2021. The implications of this are ripe for discourse, begging the question: are budding science technicians turning to the creamy allure of avocado toast as they toil away in their labs, or is the brunch culture simply infiltrating the scientific community? This scholarly inquiry aims to shed light on the intertwined relationship between educational pursuits and dietary preferences, offering food for thought for researchers and brunch enthusiasts alike.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
INTRODUCTION
The intersection of culinary trends and academic pursuits has long been a subject of curiosity, often yielding surprising revelations. In this study, we delve into the peculiar pairing of avocado toast, a staple of contemporary gastronomy, with the awarding of Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians. At first glance, one might dismiss the notion that these two seemingly unrelated realms could share any common ground. However, as the saying goes, "there's no smoke without fire" - or in this case, "there's no toast without avo."
Avocado toast has earned its place as a cultural phenomenon, a symbol of both culinary artistry and, some might argue, ostentatious brunch rituals. Underneath its trendy exterior lies a deeper connection to the generational shifts in consumer behavior, lifestyle preferences, and dietary choices. Meanwhile, the pursuit of Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians represents a gateway to the world of applied sciences and technological expertise, a pursuit often perceived as more serious and far removed from the whimsical world of brunch.
The correlation between the consumption of avocado toast and the academic achievement of Science technicians warrants exploration. To etch this peculiar link into the annals of scholarly discourse, we bring forth empirical evidence and statistical rigor to examine the nuanced relationship between these seemingly incongruous domains. As we embark on this academic escapade, we invite readers to set aside their preconceptions and join us in unraveling the enigma of science enthusiasts and their potential penchant for the creamy allure of avocado on toast.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]

ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The analysis of data collected from the National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends unearthed a seemingly inconceivable correlation between the attainment of Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians and the prevalence of Google searches for "avocado toast." The correlation coefficient, a staggering 0.9848318, indicates a remarkably strong positive relationship between these two variables over the timeframe spanning 2011 to 2021. The r-squared value of 0.9698937 underscores the robustness of this association, attesting to the fact that a whopping 97% of the variation in avocado toast searches can be explained by the number of Associate degrees awarded in Science technologies/technicians. The p-value, clocking in at less than 0.01, provides resounding evidence against the null hypothesis, leaving us with no choice but to accept the compelling link between these curious domains.

In Figure 1, a scatterplot visually encapsulates the essence of this surprising revelation. The plot showcases a clear and tightly clustered pattern, indicating that as the number of Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians increases, so does the interest in avocado toast. The data points form a near-perfect linear relationship, painting a picture-perfect correlation that stands as a testament to the intertwining of science pursuits and brunch cravings.

While the implications of these findings may at first seem as befuddling as the quest to master the perfect avocado toast recipe, our research calls for a thoughtful consideration of the underlying forces at play. Could it be that the meticulous nature of scientific endeavors drives individuals toward the simple pleasures of a well-prepared avocado toast? Or are avo-enthusiasts flocking to the realms of technology and science in pursuit of innovations that could revolutionize the very concept of toast? Contemplating these questions opens a window into the often-unexamined connections between gastronomic trends and educational pursuits, challenging us to dig deeper and savor the flavors of interdisciplinary investigation.

The coalescence of avocado toast and Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians, while initially unexpected, beckons us to embrace the whimsical dance of data analysis and the delightful mysteries it unravels. These results present themselves as a delectable morsel for the academic community to chew on, encouraging further exploration into the intriguing fusion of gastronomy and scholarly pursuits.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in Science technologies/technicians and Google searches for 'avocado toast'. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Avocado Toast Boasts: Associating Science Technicians with Brunch Addicts

[[ABSTRACT]]
Avocado toast, the hipster's delight, has taken the culinary world by storm, becoming the poster child for millennial cuisine. This research endeavors to peel back the layers of the "avocado toast" phenomenon, examining its unlikely connection to the confounding world of Associate degrees granted in Science technologies/technicians. Leveraging data from the National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends, this study illuminates an eyebrow-raising correlation between the two seemingly disparate realms. Our findings reveal a startling correlation coefficient of 0.9848318, with a p-value of less than 0.01, over the decade from 2011 to 2021. The implications of this are ripe for discourse, begging the question: are budding science technicians turning to the creamy allure of avocado toast as they toil away in their labs, or is the brunch culture simply infiltrating the scientific community? This scholarly inquiry aims to shed light on the intertwined relationship between educational pursuits and dietary preferences, offering food for thought for researchers and brunch enthusiasts alike.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
In their seminal work, Smith et al. (2015) investigated the trends in Associate degrees awarded in Science technologies/technicians and noted a steady increase over the years. Similarly, Doe and Jones (2018) delved into the sociocultural implications of dietary preferences among young adults, shedding light on the rise of avocado-centric meals. These studies provide a solid foundation for understanding the individual components of our inquiry.
Turning to the realm of non-fiction literature, "The Omnivore's Dilemma" by Michael Pollan offers insights into the complexities of modern food culture, while "Lab Girl" by Hope Jahren provides a window into the world of scientific research. On the slightly more speculative side, the fictional works of "The Diamond Age" by Neal Stephenson and "Oryx and Crake" by Margaret Atwood, though not directly related to our topic, illustrate the interconnectedness of technology, society, and gastronomy in imaginative ways.
Now, it's time to address the elephant in the room - internet memes. Amidst the sea of viral content, the "Millennial Avocado Toast" meme has garnered attention for its tongue-in-cheek commentary on generational stereotypes and culinary preferences, providing a lighthearted yet oddly relevant touchpoint to our investigation. Additionally, the "Lab Technician Cat" meme serves as a whimsical reminder of the endearing quirks within the scientific community, perhaps hinting at an inexplicable affinity for avocado-themed delicacies.
Shifting gears from scholarly to peculiar, these references provide a backdrop for our inquiry, underpinning the multidimensional fabric of our investigation.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of data collected from the National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends unearthed a seemingly inconceivable correlation between the attainment of Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians and the prevalence of Google searches for "avocado toast." The correlation coefficient, a staggering 0.9848318, indicates a remarkably strong positive relationship between these two variables over the timeframe spanning 2011 to 2021. The r-squared value of 0.9698937 underscores the robustness of this association, attesting to the fact that a whopping 97% of the variation in avocado toast searches can be explained by the number of Associate degrees awarded in Science technologies/technicians. The p-value, clocking in at less than 0.01, provides resounding evidence against the null hypothesis, leaving us with no choice but to accept the compelling link between these curious domains.
In Figure 1, a scatterplot visually encapsulates the essence of this surprising revelation. The plot showcases a clear and tightly clustered pattern, indicating that as the number of Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians increases, so does the interest in avocado toast. The data points form a near-perfect linear relationship, painting a picture-perfect correlation that stands as a testament to the intertwining of science pursuits and brunch cravings.
While the implications of these findings may at first seem as befuddling as the quest to master the perfect avocado toast recipe, our research calls for a thoughtful consideration of the underlying forces at play. Could it be that the meticulous nature of scientific endeavors drives individuals toward the simple pleasures of a well-prepared avocado toast? Or are avo-enthusiasts flocking to the realms of technology and science in pursuit of innovations that could revolutionize the very concept of toast? Contemplating these questions opens a window into the often-unexamined connections between gastronomic trends and educational pursuits, challenging us to dig deeper and savor the flavors of interdisciplinary investigation.
The coalescence of avocado toast and Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians, while initially unexpected, beckons us to embrace the whimsical dance of data analysis and the delightful mysteries it unravels. These results present themselves as a delectable morsel for the academic community to chew on, encouraging further exploration into the intriguing fusion of gastronomy and scholarly pursuits.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]

ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The results of our study reveal a striking correlation between the awarding of Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians and the Google searches for "avocado toast." This unexpected linkage may appear as surprising as finding an avocado pit in your morning cereal, but it aligns with previous research findings. The steady increase in Associate degrees awarded in Science technologies/technicians, as noted by Smith et al. (2015), corresponds with the burgeoning interest in avocado-centric meals, as illuminated by Doe and Jones (2018). These aligning trends, much like the seamless melding of avocado and toast, suggest an interplay between educational pursuits and dietary preferences that warrants further investigation.

Now, let’s take a moment to appreciate the role of memes. While often serving as digital whimsy, they can offer insightful commentary on societal trends, as evidenced by the "Millennial Avocado Toast" meme. It humorously echoes the stereotype of young adults indulging in avocado toast, shedding light on the playful yet meaningful relationship between food culture and generational dynamics. Additionally, the "Lab Technician Cat" meme, with its endearing nod to the scientific community's quirks, hints at the inexplicable affinity for avocado-themed delights within the realm of science. These unexpected connections, much like stumbling upon a perfectly ripe avocado at your local grocery store, further underscore the intertwined nature of our investigation's components.

Our findings not only support the earlier research but also emphasize the profound connection between the realms of science and brunch. The robust correlation coefficient and r-squared value fortify the notion that the prevalence of avocado toast searches on Google is intricately linked to the attainment of Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians. This correlation, akin to the flawless harmony of avocado and lime in guacamole, beckons us to ponder the underlying forces at play.

In light of these results, we must resist the urge to simply brunch over the implications. Instead, we must savor this unexpected fusion of scientific pursuits and culinary cravings. As we continue to peel back the layers of this enigmatic relationship, the interdisciplinary nature of our inquiry urges scholars to savor the flavorful complexity of the interconnected worlds of education and gastronomy. This peculiar pairing of avocado toast and Science technologies/technicians presents itself as a tantalizing subject for further research, enticing us to delve deeper into the unexplored landscapes of associative brunchology.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in Science technologies/technicians and Google searches for 'avocado toast'. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Avocado Toast Boasts: Associating Science Technicians with Brunch Addicts

[[ABSTRACT]]
Avocado toast, the hipster's delight, has taken the culinary world by storm, becoming the poster child for millennial cuisine. This research endeavors to peel back the layers of the "avocado toast" phenomenon, examining its unlikely connection to the confounding world of Associate degrees granted in Science technologies/technicians. Leveraging data from the National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends, this study illuminates an eyebrow-raising correlation between the two seemingly disparate realms. Our findings reveal a startling correlation coefficient of 0.9848318, with a p-value of less than 0.01, over the decade from 2011 to 2021. The implications of this are ripe for discourse, begging the question: are budding science technicians turning to the creamy allure of avocado toast as they toil away in their labs, or is the brunch culture simply infiltrating the scientific community? This scholarly inquiry aims to shed light on the intertwined relationship between educational pursuits and dietary preferences, offering food for thought for researchers and brunch enthusiasts alike.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The intersection of culinary trends and academic pursuits has long been a subject of curiosity, often yielding surprising revelations. In this study, we delve into the peculiar pairing of avocado toast, a staple of contemporary gastronomy, with the awarding of Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians. At first glance, one might dismiss the notion that these two seemingly unrelated realms could share any common ground. However, as the saying goes, "there's no smoke without fire" - or in this case, "there's no toast without avo."
Avocado toast has earned its place as a cultural phenomenon, a symbol of both culinary artistry and, some might argue, ostentatious brunch rituals. Underneath its trendy exterior lies a deeper connection to the generational shifts in consumer behavior, lifestyle preferences, and dietary choices. Meanwhile, the pursuit of Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians represents a gateway to the world of applied sciences and technological expertise, a pursuit often perceived as more serious and far removed from the whimsical world of brunch.
The correlation between the consumption of avocado toast and the academic achievement of Science technicians warrants exploration. To etch this peculiar link into the annals of scholarly discourse, we bring forth empirical evidence and statistical rigor to examine the nuanced relationship between these seemingly incongruous domains. As we embark on this academic escapade, we invite readers to set aside their preconceptions and join us in unraveling the enigma of science enthusiasts and their potential penchant for the creamy allure of avocado on toast.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of data collected from the National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends unearthed a seemingly inconceivable correlation between the attainment of Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians and the prevalence of Google searches for "avocado toast." The correlation coefficient, a staggering 0.9848318, indicates a remarkably strong positive relationship between these two variables over the timeframe spanning 2011 to 2021. The r-squared value of 0.9698937 underscores the robustness of this association, attesting to the fact that a whopping 97% of the variation in avocado toast searches can be explained by the number of Associate degrees awarded in Science technologies/technicians. The p-value, clocking in at less than 0.01, provides resounding evidence against the null hypothesis, leaving us with no choice but to accept the compelling link between these curious domains.
In Figure 1, a scatterplot visually encapsulates the essence of this surprising revelation. The plot showcases a clear and tightly clustered pattern, indicating that as the number of Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians increases, so does the interest in avocado toast. The data points form a near-perfect linear relationship, painting a picture-perfect correlation that stands as a testament to the intertwining of science pursuits and brunch cravings.
While the implications of these findings may at first seem as befuddling as the quest to master the perfect avocado toast recipe, our research calls for a thoughtful consideration of the underlying forces at play. Could it be that the meticulous nature of scientific endeavors drives individuals toward the simple pleasures of a well-prepared avocado toast? Or are avo-enthusiasts flocking to the realms of technology and science in pursuit of innovations that could revolutionize the very concept of toast? Contemplating these questions opens a window into the often-unexamined connections between gastronomic trends and educational pursuits, challenging us to dig deeper and savor the flavors of interdisciplinary investigation.
The coalescence of avocado toast and Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians, while initially unexpected, beckons us to embrace the whimsical dance of data analysis and the delightful mysteries it unravels. These results present themselves as a delectable morsel for the academic community to chew on, encouraging further exploration into the intriguing fusion of gastronomy and scholarly pursuits.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]

ChatGPT:

CONCLUSION

In this study, we uncovered an astonishingly robust correlation between the awarding of Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians and the prevalence of Google searches for "avocado toast." The link between these seemingly unrelated domains surpasses mere happenstance, with a correlation coefficient of 0.9848318 and a p-value of less than 0.01. This finding is as surprising as finding an unexpected avocado pit while spreading guacamole on toast. The close association suggests a potential interplay between the pursuit of scientific knowledge and the allure of a carefully crafted avocado toast, prompting us to ponder whether it's the precision of lab work driving individuals to seek solace in the simplicity of brunch.

The implications of this connection are as ripe as a perfectly ripened avocado, prompting further investigation into the intersection of dietary preferences and educational aspirations. While the correlation has been established, the causation remains as elusive as catching an avocado seed mid-air while making homemade guacamole. As we wrap up this study, it may be prudent to acknowledge that even the enigmatic forces governing the realm of avo-toast fascination might escape the parameters of empirical inquiry.

In conclusion, the uncanny entanglement of avocado toast and Associate degrees in Science technologies/technicians calls for a closer examination, though perhaps with a grain of Himalayan salt. Further research may shed light on the motivations and aspirations underlying this connection, but for now, the findings of this study serve as a deliciously perplexing conundrum for the scholarly community to mull over. Ultimately, as much as we relish the pursuit of knowledge, it seems that no further research on this topic is needed - we've cracked the avocado wide open on this one!

In the spirit of good humor and well-buttered toast, we toast to the offbeat discoveries that fuel our scholarly appetite and bid adieu to the curiously captivating alliance of science technicians and avocado aficionados. Cheers to the fruitful pursuit of knowledge, no matter how unexpected the findings may be!

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Avocado Toast Boasts: Associating Science Technicians with Brunch Addicts. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The International Journal of Gastronomic Research

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Avocado Toast Boasts: Associating Science Technicians with Brunch Addicts. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Society for Advanced Gastronomic Studies

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Avocado Toast Boasts: Associating Science Technicians with Brunch Addicts with an abstract of Avocado toast, the hipster's delight, has taken the culinary world by storm, becoming the poster child for millennial cuisine. This research endeavors to peel back the layers of the "avocado toast" phenomenon, examining its unlikely connection to the confounding world of Associate degrees granted in Science technologies/technicians. Leveraging data from the National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends, this study illuminates an eyebrow-raising correlation between the two seemingly disparate realms. Our findings reveal a startling correlation coefficient of 0.9848318, with a p-value of less than 0.01, over the decade from 2011 to 2021. The implications of this are ripe for discourse, begging the question: are budding science technicians turning to the creamy allure of avocado toast as they toil away in their labs, or is the brunch culture simply infiltrating the scientific community? This scholarly inquiry aims to shed light on the intertwined relationship between educational pursuits and dietary preferences, offering food for thought for researchers and brunch enthusiasts alike.

ChatGPT:

avocado toast, millennial cuisine, science technicians, science technologies, associate degrees, National Center for Education Statistics, Google Trends, correlation coefficient, p-value, brunch culture, educational pursuits, dietary preferences

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.

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Data details

Associates degrees awarded in Science technologies
Detailed data title: Associate's degrees conferred by postsecondary institutions with a field of study of Science technologies/technicians
Source: National Center for Education Statistics
See what else correlates with Associates degrees awarded in Science technologies

Google searches for 'avocado toast'
Detailed data title: Relative volume of Google searches for 'avocado toast' (Worldwide, without quotes)
Source: Google Trends
Additional Info: ^{See full details} Relative search volume (not absolute numbers)

See what else correlates with Google searches for 'avocado toast'

Correlation r = 0.9848318 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r² = 0.9698937 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 97% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Google searches for 'avocado toast') is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Associates degrees awarded in Science technologies) over the 11 years from 2011 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 3.7E-8.^Show 0.0000000373386124837012650000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme.^Note More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.98 in 3.7E-6% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 26,781,927 random variables^Note You don't actually need 26 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 10 degrees of freedom, ^Note Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 10 because we have two variables measured over a period of 11 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.94, 1 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
^{Read more about the confidence interval} The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!

All values for the years included above: ^Note If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.

	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
Associates degrees awarded in Science technologies (Degrees awarded)	1930	2175	2293	2398	2528	2956	3385	3427	3491	3991	3770
Google searches for 'avocado toast' (Rel. search volume)	1	1.08333	2.5	5.16667	12.25	24	42.25	49	56	72.75	65.25

Why this works

Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
Lack of causal connection: There is probably^Note Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple^Note Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. ^Note Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.

Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. ^{Show the steps to do this.} Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."

# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([1930,2175,2293,2398,2528,2956,3385,3427,3491,3991,3770,])
array_2 = np.array([1,1.08333,2.5,5.16667,12.25,24,42.25,49,56,72.75,65.25,])
array_1_name = "Associates degrees awarded in Science technologies"
array_2_name = "Google searches for 'avocado toast'"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)

Reuseable content

You may re-use the images on this page for any purpose, even commercial purposes, without asking for permission. The only requirement is that you attribute Tyler Vigen. ^Note Attribution can take many different forms. If you leave the "tylervigen.com" link in the image, that satisfies it just fine. If you remove it and move it to a footnote, that's fine too. You can also just write "Charts courtesy of Tyler Vigen" at the bottom of an article.

You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

Full license details.
For more on re-use permissions, or to get a signed release form, see tylervigen.com/permission.

Download images for these variables:

High resolution line chart ^Note The image linked here is a Scalable Vector Graphic (SVG). It is the highest resolution that is possible to achieve. It scales up beyond the size of the observable universe without pixelating. You do not need to email me asking if I have a higher resolution image. I do not. The physical limitations of our universe prevent me from providing you with an image that is any higher resolution than this one.

If you insert it into a PowerPoint presentation (a tool well-known for managing things that are the scale of the universe), you can right-click > "Ungroup" or "Create Shape" and then edit the lines and text directly. You can also change the colors this way.

Alternatively you can use a tool like Inkscape.
High resolution line chart, optimized for mobile
Alternative high resolution line chart
Scatterplot
Portable line chart (png)
Portable line chart (png), optimized for mobile
Line chart for only Associates degrees awarded in Science technologies
Line chart for only Google searches for 'avocado toast'
AI-generated correlation image
The spurious research paper: Avocado Toast Boasts: Associating Science Technicians with Brunch Addicts

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Correlation ID: 2965 · Black Variable ID: 1251 · Red Variable ID: 1422


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