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Spurious correlation #2,797 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Associates degrees awarded in Business management and the second variable is Petroluem consumption in Guam.  The chart goes from 2011 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As the number of Business management graduates dwindled, so did their appetite for office jobs. This led to a sudden surge in entrepreneurship, with many former students opting to start their own businesses. One such business, a revolutionary company called "Guam-ouflage Gas," specialized in creating biofuel from coconuts, effectively coconutting the need for traditional petroluem products. As a result, Guam saw a coconut-tally unexpected decrease in petroluem consumption, proving that when it comes to fueling change, sometimes all you need is a little bit of business un-management.

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: [A photo-realistic image] Create an image of a small office on the island of Guam where a group of students in graduation caps are celebrating as they receive their Associate degrees in Business Management. The students are gathered around, exchanging high-fives and sharing smiles. In the background, depict a nearly empty gas station with only a few cars filling up their tanks. The sign above the station should visually show a decreasing trend in petroleum consumption. Aim for a high level of detail, presenting a clear and celebratory atmosphere among the graduates and a striking visual of the changing petroleum industry in the background. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Associates degrees awarded in Business management and Petroluem consumption in Guam. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Surrealism A photo-realistic image Steampunk Realistic A scene from Skyrim
ChatGPT: A photo-realistic image

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Associates degrees awarded in Business management and Petroluem consumption in Guam, in the following situation: Because with fewer people getting business management degrees, there are fewer people equipped to manage petroleum consumption, leading to a decrease in Guam's petroluem consumption. It's basic math: less business management expertise equals less efficient petroleum management. Plus, people with business management degrees are more likely to drive fancy cars, and if there are fewer of them around, well, you do the math.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In a small office on the island of Guam, a group of students in graduation caps are receiving their Associate degrees in Business Management, and they are celebrating with smiles and high fives. In the background, a gas station is almost empty, with only a few cars filling up their tanks. The sign above the station shows a decreasing trend in petroluem consumption.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ A photo-realistic image ] and depicting this scene: In a small office on the island of Guam, a group of students in graduation caps are receiving their Associate degrees in Business Management, and they are celebrating with smiles and high fives. In the background, a gas station is almost empty, with only a few cars filling up their tanks. The sign above the station shows a decreasing trend in petroluem consumption. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: [A photo-realistic image] Create an image of a small office on the island of Guam where a group of students in graduation caps are celebrating as they receive their Associate degrees in Business Management. The students are gathered around, exchanging high-fives and sharing smiles. In the background, depict a nearly empty gas station with only a few cars filling up their tanks. The sign above the station should visually show a decreasing trend in petroleum consumption. Aim for a high level of detail, presenting a clear and celebratory atmosphere among the graduates and a striking visual of the changing petroleum industry in the background.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how a decrease in Associates degrees awarded in Business management caused Petroluem consumption in Guam to decrease. Include one good pun.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Fueling the Future: The Gas-tacular Relationship Between Associates Degrees in Business Management and Petroleum Consumption in Guam

The International Journal of Business and Bizarre Energy Dynamics

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in Business management and Petroluem consumption in Guam. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title a clever pun.

Your research team used data from National Center for Education Statistics and Energy Information Administration to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9804578 and p < 0.01 for 2011 to 2021.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
Fueling the Future: The Gas-tacular Relationship Between Associates Degrees in Business Management and Petroleum Consumption in Guam

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the association between the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management and the consumption of petroleum products in the tropical paradise of Guam. Utilizing comprehensive data from the National Center for Education Statistics and the Energy Information Administration, our team observed a surprising positive correlation between these seemingly unrelated variables. The correlation coefficient of 0.9804578 and p < 0.01 for the years 2011 to 2021 suggests a remarkable link that cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence. We also discuss potential mediating factors, such as island mentality and the "fuel" for economic growth, to provide a comprehensive understanding of this gas-tifying relationship. Our findings not only shed light on the unexplored dynamics of education and energy consumption but also invite further research into the intriguing nexus of academic pursuits and petrol power.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in Business management and Petroluem consumption in Guam. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Fueling the Future: The Gas-tacular Relationship Between Associates Degrees in Business Management and Petroleum Consumption in Guam

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the association between the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management and the consumption of petroleum products in the tropical paradise of Guam. Utilizing comprehensive data from the National Center for Education Statistics and the Energy Information Administration, our team observed a surprising positive correlation between these seemingly unrelated variables. The correlation coefficient of 0.9804578 and p < 0.01 for the years 2011 to 2021 suggests a remarkable link that cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence. We also discuss potential mediating factors, such as island mentality and the "fuel" for economic growth, to provide a comprehensive understanding of this gas-tifying relationship. Our findings not only shed light on the unexplored dynamics of education and energy consumption but also invite further research into the intriguing nexus of academic pursuits and petrol power.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

In recent years, the interplay between education and energy consumption has emerged as a topic of increasing interest and concern. While it may seem as though these two domains are about as related as fish and bicycles, our research seeks to unravel the intricate web that connects the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management with the consumption of petroleum products in the picturesque island of Guam.

Guam, a U.S. territory in the western Pacific Ocean, is known for its stunning beaches, rich cultural heritage, and, as it turns out, its substantial reliance on petroleum as an energy source. Against this idyllic backdrop, our study aims to shed light on the curious, and somewhat unexpected, relationship between educational attainment in the field of business management and the island's consumption of petroleum.

While the initial impetus for this investigation was met with skepticism and raised a few eyebrows, the initial data analysis has revealed a surprisingly robust and significant correlation. As we delve into the details of our findings, we urge readers to approach the following discourse with an open mind – much like the ebb and flow of the ocean tides, there may be more to this connection than meets the eye.

As the old adage goes, "Where there's a will, there's a wave," and this study is dedicated to riding the crest of curiosity and scholarly inquiry to explore the gas-tacular relationship between the pursuit of business management education and the island's reliance on petroleum. While some may scoff at the seemingly whimsical nature of this endeavor, we maintain that the pursuit of knowledge has a tendency to unravel unexpected truths that transcend initial expectations.

As we embark on this intellectual surf, we invite readers to don their academic wetsuits and join us in navigating the uncharted waters of educational pursuits and petrol-powered paradigms. In doing so, we aim to not only expand the frontiers of knowledge but to also inject a dose of levity and wonder into the often-serious realm of academic discourse. So, without further ado, let us venture forth into the uncharted seas of statistical analysis and scholarly discovery, buoyed by the unassuming but undeniable allure of the gas-tastic journey that lies ahead.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in Business management and Petroluem consumption in Guam. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then you might move on to cartoons and children's shows that you watched for research.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Fueling the Future: The Gas-tacular Relationship Between Associates Degrees in Business Management and Petroleum Consumption in Guam

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the association between the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management and the consumption of petroleum products in the tropical paradise of Guam. Utilizing comprehensive data from the National Center for Education Statistics and the Energy Information Administration, our team observed a surprising positive correlation between these seemingly unrelated variables. The correlation coefficient of 0.9804578 and p < 0.01 for the years 2011 to 2021 suggests a remarkable link that cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence. We also discuss potential mediating factors, such as island mentality and the "fuel" for economic growth, to provide a comprehensive understanding of this gas-tifying relationship. Our findings not only shed light on the unexplored dynamics of education and energy consumption but also invite further research into the intriguing nexus of academic pursuits and petrol power.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
In recent years, the interplay between education and energy consumption has emerged as a topic of increasing interest and concern. While it may seem as though these two domains are about as related as fish and bicycles, our research seeks to unravel the intricate web that connects the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management with the consumption of petroleum products in the picturesque island of Guam.
Guam, a U.S. territory in the western Pacific Ocean, is known for its stunning beaches, rich cultural heritage, and, as it turns out, its substantial reliance on petroleum as an energy source. Against this idyllic backdrop, our study aims to shed light on the curious, and somewhat unexpected, relationship between educational attainment in the field of business management and the island's consumption of petroleum.
While the initial impetus for this investigation was met with skepticism and raised a few eyebrows, the initial data analysis has revealed a surprisingly robust and significant correlation. As we delve into the details of our findings, we urge readers to approach the following discourse with an open mind – much like the ebb and flow of the ocean tides, there may be more to this connection than meets the eye.
As the old adage goes, "Where there's a will, there's a wave," and this study is dedicated to riding the crest of curiosity and scholarly inquiry to explore the gas-tacular relationship between the pursuit of business management education and the island's reliance on petroleum. While some may scoff at the seemingly whimsical nature of this endeavor, we maintain that the pursuit of knowledge has a tendency to unravel unexpected truths that transcend initial expectations.
As we embark on this intellectual surf, we invite readers to don their academic wetsuits and join us in navigating the uncharted waters of educational pursuits and petrol-powered paradigms. In doing so, we aim to not only expand the frontiers of knowledge but to also inject a dose of levity and wonder into the often-serious realm of academic discourse. So, without further ado, let us venture forth into the uncharted seas of statistical analysis and scholarly discovery, buoyed by the unassuming but undeniable allure of the gas-tastic journey that lies ahead.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

To contextualize the gas-tacular relationship between Associates degrees in Business Management and petroleum consumption in Guam, we turn to existing literature that may shed light on this unexpected nexus. Smith and Doe (2015) conducted a comprehensive study examining the educational attainment in business management and its potential implications for energy consumption patterns. The authors found that while traditional economic models may not account for the influence of academic pursuits on energy usage, there exists a plausible connection worthy of further investigation.

Expanding the domain of inquiry to encompass diverse perspectives on energy dynamics, Jones (2018) delved into the socio-cultural aspects of petroleum consumption, offering insights into the ways in which educational advancements could interact with energy behaviors. Understanding these nuanced interplays is crucial for interpreting our own findings within the broader context of energy education endeavors.

Venturing into the world of non-fiction, books such as "The Power of Oil: Economic, Social, and Political Consequences" by Energy Economist (2017) and "Business Acumen: Strategies for Fueling Corporate Success" by Industry Expert (2019) provide valuable insights into aspects of petroleum economics and business management that are directly relevant to our investigation. The interdisciplinary nature of our pursuit demands an engagement with these domains to glean holistic understanding.

Transitioning to works of fiction, novels like "Oil and Water: An Island Tale" by Literary Luminary (2016) and "Management Meltdown: A Fuelful Tale" by Entrepreneur Author (2020) offer literary narratives that, albeit fictional, cultivate an imaginative landscape for contemplating the intermingling of educational pursuits and petroleum dependency. While these works may not offer empirical evidence, they serve to underscore the thematic importance of our research question in the broader cultural milieu.

Moreover, drawing inspiration from a different realm of storytelling, children's cartoons such as "Business Bears: Adventures in Island Economics" and "Petrol Power Pals" serve as both entertainment and inadvertent sources of insight into the diverse ways in which the interface of business education and energy consumption can be conceptualized. Embracing a lighthearted approach to our exploration, we recognize the potential for unconventional sources to spark contemplation in unexpected ways.

As we delve into the scholarly waters of statistical analysis and academic discovery, we remain cognizant of the multifaceted influences that shape the gas-tacular landscape of our inquiry. This eclectic amalgamation of literature not only enriches our theoretical framework but also introduces a sprinkle of whimsy into the otherwise steadfast narrative of academic discourse.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in Business management and Petroluem consumption in Guam. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from National Center for Education Statistics and Energy Information Administration . You used data from 2011 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Fueling the Future: The Gas-tacular Relationship Between Associates Degrees in Business Management and Petroleum Consumption in Guam

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the association between the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management and the consumption of petroleum products in the tropical paradise of Guam. Utilizing comprehensive data from the National Center for Education Statistics and the Energy Information Administration, our team observed a surprising positive correlation between these seemingly unrelated variables. The correlation coefficient of 0.9804578 and p < 0.01 for the years 2011 to 2021 suggests a remarkable link that cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence. We also discuss potential mediating factors, such as island mentality and the "fuel" for economic growth, to provide a comprehensive understanding of this gas-tifying relationship. Our findings not only shed light on the unexplored dynamics of education and energy consumption but also invite further research into the intriguing nexus of academic pursuits and petrol power.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
In recent years, the interplay between education and energy consumption has emerged as a topic of increasing interest and concern. While it may seem as though these two domains are about as related as fish and bicycles, our research seeks to unravel the intricate web that connects the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management with the consumption of petroleum products in the picturesque island of Guam.
Guam, a U.S. territory in the western Pacific Ocean, is known for its stunning beaches, rich cultural heritage, and, as it turns out, its substantial reliance on petroleum as an energy source. Against this idyllic backdrop, our study aims to shed light on the curious, and somewhat unexpected, relationship between educational attainment in the field of business management and the island's consumption of petroleum.
While the initial impetus for this investigation was met with skepticism and raised a few eyebrows, the initial data analysis has revealed a surprisingly robust and significant correlation. As we delve into the details of our findings, we urge readers to approach the following discourse with an open mind – much like the ebb and flow of the ocean tides, there may be more to this connection than meets the eye.
As the old adage goes, "Where there's a will, there's a wave," and this study is dedicated to riding the crest of curiosity and scholarly inquiry to explore the gas-tacular relationship between the pursuit of business management education and the island's reliance on petroleum. While some may scoff at the seemingly whimsical nature of this endeavor, we maintain that the pursuit of knowledge has a tendency to unravel unexpected truths that transcend initial expectations.
As we embark on this intellectual surf, we invite readers to don their academic wetsuits and join us in navigating the uncharted waters of educational pursuits and petrol-powered paradigms. In doing so, we aim to not only expand the frontiers of knowledge but to also inject a dose of levity and wonder into the often-serious realm of academic discourse. So, without further ado, let us venture forth into the uncharted seas of statistical analysis and scholarly discovery, buoyed by the unassuming but undeniable allure of the gas-tastic journey that lies ahead.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

Data Collection:
Like intrepid explorers setting sail for distant shores, our research team embarked on a digital odyssey to gather the requisite data for this gas-tastic endeavor. We scoured the virtual landscape, navigating through the labyrinth of online resources to procure relevant information from the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) and the Energy Information Administration (EIA). The years 2011 to 2021 served as our temporal domain, providing a comprehensive and illuminating backdrop for our statistical voyage.

Associates Degrees in Business Management:
With the fervor of academic sleuths, we delved into the NCES database to extract the number of Associates degrees awarded in the field of business management. This involved sifting through virtual archives and deciphering the intricacies of educational records to unveil the annual tally of conferred degrees. Channeling the spirit of Sherlock Holmes, we meticulously pieced together this educational puzzle, ensuring the integrity and accuracy of our findings.

Petroleum Consumption in Guam:
Turning our attention to the energy frontier, we navigated the digital topography of the EIA database to uncover the enigmatic patterns of petroleum consumption in the tropical haven of Guam. Armed with spreadsheets and statistical compasses, we charted the consumption trends, braving the occasional data quality squall and algorithmic gust to arrive at a comprehensive understanding of the island's energy landscape.

Statistical Analysis:
With our datasets in hand, we ventured into the proverbial laboratory of statistical analysis. Employing the venerable tools of correlation analysis, we sought to unveil the hidden threads that bound the awarding of Associates degrees in business management to the island's dependence on petroleum. The Pearson correlation coefficient emerged as our faithful guide, illuminating the strength and direction of the relationship with a precision that would make even the most discerning navigator envious. Additionally, hypothesis testing unfurled its pragmatic sail, allowing us to assert the significance of our findings with a confidence that weathered the storm of skepticism.

Mediating Factors:
In our quest for explanatory depth, we engaged in a reflective discussion of potential mediating factors that could elucidate the gas-tacular relationship under scrutiny. Beyond the mere mirage of statistical significance, we sought to understand the underlying currents that might influence the link between educational pursuits in business management and petroleum consumption. In doing so, we pay homage to the multifaceted nature of scholarly inquiry, navigating not only the surface waves of empirical data but also the undercurrents of theoretical exploration.

Interdisciplinary Anchorage:
Recognizing the interdisciplinary winds that buffet our research vessel, we cast our gaze into the horizon of knowledge integration. Drawing from the shores of education, energy economics, and perhaps a touch of island folklore, we sought to tether our findings to a robust theoretical anchor. By intertwining the rigging of educational attainment with the buoyancy of energy demand, we aim to moor our conclusions in a theoretical harbor that withstands the tempests of academic scrutiny.

Conclusion:
With our methodological compass firmly in hand, we charted a course through the treacherous waters of statistical inquiry, traversing the data streams and distilling the essence of scholarly pursuit. Our methodological odyssey reflects a commitment to rigorous exploration and analytical rigor, buoyed by the irrepressible curiosity that propels the sails of academic inquiry. As we prepare to navigate the sea of results and discussion, we invite fellow adventurers to join us in deciphering the intriguing interplay between educational aspirations and the unassuming allure of petroleum power in the Pacific haven of Guam.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in Business management and Petroluem consumption in Guam. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from National Center for Education Statistics and Energy Information Administration .

For the time period 2011 to 2021, you found a correlation 0.9804578, r-squared of 0.9612975, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Fueling the Future: The Gas-tacular Relationship Between Associates Degrees in Business Management and Petroleum Consumption in Guam

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the association between the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management and the consumption of petroleum products in the tropical paradise of Guam. Utilizing comprehensive data from the National Center for Education Statistics and the Energy Information Administration, our team observed a surprising positive correlation between these seemingly unrelated variables. The correlation coefficient of 0.9804578 and p < 0.01 for the years 2011 to 2021 suggests a remarkable link that cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence. We also discuss potential mediating factors, such as island mentality and the "fuel" for economic growth, to provide a comprehensive understanding of this gas-tifying relationship. Our findings not only shed light on the unexplored dynamics of education and energy consumption but also invite further research into the intriguing nexus of academic pursuits and petrol power.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
In recent years, the interplay between education and energy consumption has emerged as a topic of increasing interest and concern. While it may seem as though these two domains are about as related as fish and bicycles, our research seeks to unravel the intricate web that connects the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management with the consumption of petroleum products in the picturesque island of Guam.
Guam, a U.S. territory in the western Pacific Ocean, is known for its stunning beaches, rich cultural heritage, and, as it turns out, its substantial reliance on petroleum as an energy source. Against this idyllic backdrop, our study aims to shed light on the curious, and somewhat unexpected, relationship between educational attainment in the field of business management and the island's consumption of petroleum.
While the initial impetus for this investigation was met with skepticism and raised a few eyebrows, the initial data analysis has revealed a surprisingly robust and significant correlation. As we delve into the details of our findings, we urge readers to approach the following discourse with an open mind – much like the ebb and flow of the ocean tides, there may be more to this connection than meets the eye.
As the old adage goes, "Where there's a will, there's a wave," and this study is dedicated to riding the crest of curiosity and scholarly inquiry to explore the gas-tacular relationship between the pursuit of business management education and the island's reliance on petroleum. While some may scoff at the seemingly whimsical nature of this endeavor, we maintain that the pursuit of knowledge has a tendency to unravel unexpected truths that transcend initial expectations.
As we embark on this intellectual surf, we invite readers to don their academic wetsuits and join us in navigating the uncharted waters of educational pursuits and petrol-powered paradigms. In doing so, we aim to not only expand the frontiers of knowledge but to also inject a dose of levity and wonder into the often-serious realm of academic discourse. So, without further ado, let us venture forth into the uncharted seas of statistical analysis and scholarly discovery, buoyed by the unassuming but undeniable allure of the gas-tastic journey that lies ahead.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The statistical analysis of the data collected over the period from 2011 to 2021 revealed a remarkably strong and positive correlation between the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management and petroleum consumption in Guam. The correlation coefficient between these seemingly incongruous variables was found to be 0.9804578, indicating a strikingly close relationship. Additionally, the coefficient of determination (R-squared) was calculated to be 0.9612975, further affirming the robustness of this association. The p-value of less than 0.01 provides convincing evidence against the null hypothesis of no relationship between the variables, adding a significant layer of credibility to the observed correlation.

As shown in Figure 1, the scatterplot illustrates the unmistakable upward trend, demonstrating the strong positive association between the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management and petroleum consumption in Guam. Each data point seems to scream, "Business education and petroleum go together like peanut butter and jelly!"

The findings of this analysis prompt us to ponder the potential mechanisms underlying this unexpected relationship. While conventional wisdom may suggest that the pursuit of business education and the consumption of petroleum products are as unrelated as coconuts and calculators, our results challenge this notion. Could it be that the quest for business management knowledge acts as a catalyst for economic activities that, in turn, require a higher utilization of petroleum products? Or is there an underlying cultural factor at play, where the island mentality contributes to both a penchant for business education and a reliance on petroleum?

In unraveling the gas-tacular link between these variables, our study aims to ignite curiosity and provoke further investigation into unexplored avenues of academic and energy dynamics. It appears that there is more than meets the eye when it comes to the interconnectedness of education and energy consumption in this tropical paradise.

It is important to note that while our findings point to a strong association, causality cannot be inferred from this observational study. The intriguing correlation warrants future research endeavors to delve deeper into the underlying mechanisms and potential implications of the gas-tastic relationship between Associates degrees in Business management and petroleum consumption in Guam.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in Business management and Petroluem consumption in Guam. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Fueling the Future: The Gas-tacular Relationship Between Associates Degrees in Business Management and Petroleum Consumption in Guam

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the association between the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management and the consumption of petroleum products in the tropical paradise of Guam. Utilizing comprehensive data from the National Center for Education Statistics and the Energy Information Administration, our team observed a surprising positive correlation between these seemingly unrelated variables. The correlation coefficient of 0.9804578 and p < 0.01 for the years 2011 to 2021 suggests a remarkable link that cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence. We also discuss potential mediating factors, such as island mentality and the "fuel" for economic growth, to provide a comprehensive understanding of this gas-tifying relationship. Our findings not only shed light on the unexplored dynamics of education and energy consumption but also invite further research into the intriguing nexus of academic pursuits and petrol power.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
To contextualize the gas-tacular relationship between Associates degrees in Business Management and petroleum consumption in Guam, we turn to existing literature that may shed light on this unexpected nexus. Smith and Doe (2015) conducted a comprehensive study examining the educational attainment in business management and its potential implications for energy consumption patterns. The authors found that while traditional economic models may not account for the influence of academic pursuits on energy usage, there exists a plausible connection worthy of further investigation.
Expanding the domain of inquiry to encompass diverse perspectives on energy dynamics, Jones (2018) delved into the socio-cultural aspects of petroleum consumption, offering insights into the ways in which educational advancements could interact with energy behaviors. Understanding these nuanced interplays is crucial for interpreting our own findings within the broader context of energy education endeavors.
Venturing into the world of non-fiction, books such as "The Power of Oil: Economic, Social, and Political Consequences" by Energy Economist (2017) and "Business Acumen: Strategies for Fueling Corporate Success" by Industry Expert (2019) provide valuable insights into aspects of petroleum economics and business management that are directly relevant to our investigation. The interdisciplinary nature of our pursuit demands an engagement with these domains to glean holistic understanding.
Transitioning to works of fiction, novels like "Oil and Water: An Island Tale" by Literary Luminary (2016) and "Management Meltdown: A Fuelful Tale" by Entrepreneur Author (2020) offer literary narratives that, albeit fictional, cultivate an imaginative landscape for contemplating the intermingling of educational pursuits and petroleum dependency. While these works may not offer empirical evidence, they serve to underscore the thematic importance of our research question in the broader cultural milieu.
Moreover, drawing inspiration from a different realm of storytelling, children's cartoons such as "Business Bears: Adventures in Island Economics" and "Petrol Power Pals" serve as both entertainment and inadvertent sources of insight into the diverse ways in which the interface of business education and energy consumption can be conceptualized. Embracing a lighthearted approach to our exploration, we recognize the potential for unconventional sources to spark contemplation in unexpected ways.
As we delve into the scholarly waters of statistical analysis and academic discovery, we remain cognizant of the multifaceted influences that shape the gas-tacular landscape of our inquiry. This eclectic amalgamation of literature not only enriches our theoretical framework but also introduces a sprinkle of whimsy into the otherwise steadfast narrative of academic discourse.

[[RESULTS]]
The statistical analysis of the data collected over the period from 2011 to 2021 revealed a remarkably strong and positive correlation between the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management and petroleum consumption in Guam. The correlation coefficient between these seemingly incongruous variables was found to be 0.9804578, indicating a strikingly close relationship. Additionally, the coefficient of determination (R-squared) was calculated to be 0.9612975, further affirming the robustness of this association. The p-value of less than 0.01 provides convincing evidence against the null hypothesis of no relationship between the variables, adding a significant layer of credibility to the observed correlation.
As shown in Figure 1, the scatterplot illustrates the unmistakable upward trend, demonstrating the strong positive association between the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management and petroleum consumption in Guam. Each data point seems to scream, "Business education and petroleum go together like peanut butter and jelly!"
The findings of this analysis prompt us to ponder the potential mechanisms underlying this unexpected relationship. While conventional wisdom may suggest that the pursuit of business education and the consumption of petroleum products are as unrelated as coconuts and calculators, our results challenge this notion. Could it be that the quest for business management knowledge acts as a catalyst for economic activities that, in turn, require a higher utilization of petroleum products? Or is there an underlying cultural factor at play, where the island mentality contributes to both a penchant for business education and a reliance on petroleum?
In unraveling the gas-tacular link between these variables, our study aims to ignite curiosity and provoke further investigation into unexplored avenues of academic and energy dynamics. It appears that there is more than meets the eye when it comes to the interconnectedness of education and energy consumption in this tropical paradise.
It is important to note that while our findings point to a strong association, causality cannot be inferred from this observational study. The intriguing correlation warrants future research endeavors to delve deeper into the underlying mechanisms and potential implications of the gas-tastic relationship between Associates degrees in Business management and petroleum consumption in Guam.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The gas-tacular relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management and petroleum consumption in Guam has left us both astounded and amused. Our findings not only align with prior research but also open up a Pandora's box of possibilities for further exploration. The positively skewed correlation coefficient of 0.9804578 reiterates the robust link between these seemingly distinct domains, akin to a captivating dance between business savvy and petroleum prowess.

Our results echo the sentiments expressed by Smith and Doe (2015), who hinted at the potential interplay between educational pursuits and energy consumption patterns. Indeed, it appears that the pursuit of business education serves as a rudder, steering Guam's propensity for petroleum towards unforeseen horizons. Jones (2018) also alluded to the socio-cultural dimensions of petroleum consumption, and our findings seem to validate this stance, albeit with a whimsically unexpected twist.

Venturing into the literary realm, "Management Meltdown: A Fuelful Tale" by Entrepreneur Author (2020) posits a clever narrative that metaphorically reflects our empirical discoveries. The protagonist's pursuit of business acumen mirrors our observed trends, where the dynamism of business education seems inexorably entwined with the island's reliance on petroleum. The thematic resonance between this work of fiction and our statistical realities veers towards the delightfully uncanny, potentially foreshadowing the memoirs of "Gasoline Galore: A Business Odyssey."

Our results also align with the non-fictional insights provided by "The Power of Oil: Economic, Social, and Political Consequences" by Energy Economist (2017), which surmised the intricate linkages between petroleum and economic domains. It appears that the fuel for Guam's economic engine is not merely derived from market forces but also from the educational endeavors that equip future business leaders.

However, it would be remiss not to acknowledge the indirect influence of cultural and creative domains on our scholarly pursuits. "Petrol Power Pals," the children's cartoon series, has inadvertently captured the essence of our findings. Its whimsical narratives underscore the unexpected bedfellows—business education and petroleum consumption—whilst inviting us to ponder whether these seemingly distinct realms are truly as incongruous as they appear.

Our findings raise myriad questions, prompting us to speculate on the underlying mechanisms that render this relationship possible. Does the acquisition of business knowledge fuel a demand for petroleum products, or does the sway of petroleum consumption instigate a parallel surge in business education pursuits? These inquiries beckon for a deeper foray and perhaps a sequel study titled "From Degrees to De-gas: Unraveling the Conundrum."

In conclusion, our study unveils a gas-tastic symphony of educational pursuits and energy consumption, composing a narrative that challenges conventional paradigms and echoes the whimsical interplays embedded within the fabric of Guam's socio-economic canvas. This gas-encrusted mystery beckons for further scholarly exploration and sparks the imagination toward unanticipated associations lurking within the intricate tapestry of academic and energy dynamics.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in Business management and Petroluem consumption in Guam. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Fueling the Future: The Gas-tacular Relationship Between Associates Degrees in Business Management and Petroleum Consumption in Guam

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the association between the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management and the consumption of petroleum products in the tropical paradise of Guam. Utilizing comprehensive data from the National Center for Education Statistics and the Energy Information Administration, our team observed a surprising positive correlation between these seemingly unrelated variables. The correlation coefficient of 0.9804578 and p < 0.01 for the years 2011 to 2021 suggests a remarkable link that cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence. We also discuss potential mediating factors, such as island mentality and the "fuel" for economic growth, to provide a comprehensive understanding of this gas-tifying relationship. Our findings not only shed light on the unexplored dynamics of education and energy consumption but also invite further research into the intriguing nexus of academic pursuits and petrol power.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
In recent years, the interplay between education and energy consumption has emerged as a topic of increasing interest and concern. While it may seem as though these two domains are about as related as fish and bicycles, our research seeks to unravel the intricate web that connects the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management with the consumption of petroleum products in the picturesque island of Guam.
Guam, a U.S. territory in the western Pacific Ocean, is known for its stunning beaches, rich cultural heritage, and, as it turns out, its substantial reliance on petroleum as an energy source. Against this idyllic backdrop, our study aims to shed light on the curious, and somewhat unexpected, relationship between educational attainment in the field of business management and the island's consumption of petroleum.
While the initial impetus for this investigation was met with skepticism and raised a few eyebrows, the initial data analysis has revealed a surprisingly robust and significant correlation. As we delve into the details of our findings, we urge readers to approach the following discourse with an open mind – much like the ebb and flow of the ocean tides, there may be more to this connection than meets the eye.
As the old adage goes, "Where there's a will, there's a wave," and this study is dedicated to riding the crest of curiosity and scholarly inquiry to explore the gas-tacular relationship between the pursuit of business management education and the island's reliance on petroleum. While some may scoff at the seemingly whimsical nature of this endeavor, we maintain that the pursuit of knowledge has a tendency to unravel unexpected truths that transcend initial expectations.
As we embark on this intellectual surf, we invite readers to don their academic wetsuits and join us in navigating the uncharted waters of educational pursuits and petrol-powered paradigms. In doing so, we aim to not only expand the frontiers of knowledge but to also inject a dose of levity and wonder into the often-serious realm of academic discourse. So, without further ado, let us venture forth into the uncharted seas of statistical analysis and scholarly discovery, buoyed by the unassuming but undeniable allure of the gas-tastic journey that lies ahead.

[[RESULTS]]
The statistical analysis of the data collected over the period from 2011 to 2021 revealed a remarkably strong and positive correlation between the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management and petroleum consumption in Guam. The correlation coefficient between these seemingly incongruous variables was found to be 0.9804578, indicating a strikingly close relationship. Additionally, the coefficient of determination (R-squared) was calculated to be 0.9612975, further affirming the robustness of this association. The p-value of less than 0.01 provides convincing evidence against the null hypothesis of no relationship between the variables, adding a significant layer of credibility to the observed correlation.
As shown in Figure 1, the scatterplot illustrates the unmistakable upward trend, demonstrating the strong positive association between the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management and petroleum consumption in Guam. Each data point seems to scream, "Business education and petroleum go together like peanut butter and jelly!"
The findings of this analysis prompt us to ponder the potential mechanisms underlying this unexpected relationship. While conventional wisdom may suggest that the pursuit of business education and the consumption of petroleum products are as unrelated as coconuts and calculators, our results challenge this notion. Could it be that the quest for business management knowledge acts as a catalyst for economic activities that, in turn, require a higher utilization of petroleum products? Or is there an underlying cultural factor at play, where the island mentality contributes to both a penchant for business education and a reliance on petroleum?
In unraveling the gas-tacular link between these variables, our study aims to ignite curiosity and provoke further investigation into unexplored avenues of academic and energy dynamics. It appears that there is more than meets the eye when it comes to the interconnectedness of education and energy consumption in this tropical paradise.
It is important to note that while our findings point to a strong association, causality cannot be inferred from this observational study. The intriguing correlation warrants future research endeavors to delve deeper into the underlying mechanisms and potential implications of the gas-tastic relationship between Associates degrees in Business management and petroleum consumption in Guam.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, this study delves into the gas-tacular relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management and petroleum consumption in Guam. Our findings reveal a remarkably close and positive correlation between these seemingly disparate variables. The statistical analyses, with a correlation coefficient of 0.9804578 and a p-value of less than 0.01, provide compelling evidence for this unexpected association.

The correlation seems to suggest that pursuing business education and petrol-powered paradigms go together like sunshine and the beach – an inseparable duo in the tropical paradise of Guam. While we cannot establish causality from our observational study, the results beckon further exploration into the intriguing nexus of academic pursuits and fuel utilization. As we embark on this journey of statistical discovery, it is clear that there is more to the ebb and flow of educational pursuits and the consumption of petroleum products than meets the eye.

The pursuit of knowledge often unveils unexpected connections, and this study serves as a testament to the unforeseen relationships that emerge when statistical analyses ride the crest of curiosity. As we bid farewell to this gas-tastic exploration, we affirm that no further research is needed in this area. After all, sometimes a correlation is just as refreshing as a sea breeze on a sunny day.

In the words of the great statistical sage, "When life gives you outliers, make a scatterplot." With that sage advice and a newfound appreciation for the remarkable connections that statistical analyses can unveil, we conclude our scholarly inquiry into the engaging realm of education and energy dynamics in Guam.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Fueling the Future: The Gas-tacular Relationship Between Associates Degrees in Business Management and Petroleum Consumption in Guam. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The International Journal of Business and Bizarre Energy Dynamics


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Fueling the Future: The Gas-tacular Relationship Between Associates Degrees in Business Management and Petroleum Consumption in Guam. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Consortium for Business and Energy Research Integration (CBERI)


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Fueling the Future: The Gas-tacular Relationship Between Associates Degrees in Business Management and Petroleum Consumption in Guam with an abstract of This study investigates the association between the number of Associates degrees awarded in Business management and the consumption of petroleum products in the tropical paradise of Guam. Utilizing comprehensive data from the National Center for Education Statistics and the Energy Information Administration, our team observed a surprising positive correlation between these seemingly unrelated variables. The correlation coefficient of 0.9804578 and p < 0.01 for the years 2011 to 2021 suggests a remarkable link that cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence. We also discuss potential mediating factors, such as island mentality and the "fuel" for economic growth, to provide a comprehensive understanding of this gas-tifying relationship. Our findings not only shed light on the unexplored dynamics of education and energy consumption but also invite further research into the intriguing nexus of academic pursuits and petrol power.

ChatGPT:

Associates degree in Business management, petroleum consumption, Guam, National Center for Education Statistics, Energy Information Administration, correlation between education and energy consumption, island mentality, economic growth, academic pursuits, petrol power, nexus of education and energy

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Associates degrees awarded in Business management
Detailed data title: Associate's degrees conferred by postsecondary institutions with a field of study of Business, management, marketing, and support services
Source: National Center for Education Statistics
See what else correlates with Associates degrees awarded in Business management

Petroluem consumption in Guam
Detailed data title: Volume of petroluem consumption consumed in Guam in millions of barrels per day
Source: Energy Information Administration
See what else correlates with Petroluem consumption in Guam

Correlation r = 0.9804578 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9612975 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 96.1% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Petroluem consumption in Guam) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Associates degrees awarded in Business management) over the 11 years from 2011 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 1.2E-7. 0.0000001160376240827121700000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.98 in 1.2E-5% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 8,617,894 random variables You don't actually need 8 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 10 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 10 because we have two variables measured over a period of 11 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.92, 1 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
20112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
Associates degrees awarded in Business management (Degrees awarded)121735123014114842113056113681110036108376105785105588102585106681
Petroluem consumption in Guam (Million Barrels/Day)14.57715.619713.246912.813.512.569911.493211.493211.493210.918411.5046




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([121735,123014,114842,113056,113681,110036,108376,105785,105588,102585,106681,])
array_2 = np.array([14.577,15.6197,13.2469,12.8,13.5,12.5699,11.4932,11.4932,11.4932,10.9184,11.5046,])
array_1_name = "Associates degrees awarded in Business management"
array_2_name = "Petroluem consumption in Guam"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

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Correlation ID: 2797 · Black Variable ID: 1213 · Red Variable ID: 24484
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