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Spurious correlation #2,157 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is The distance between Saturn and Earth and the second variable is Baidu's stock price (BIDU).  The chart goes from 2006 to 2023, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

The gravitational pull created a bullish atmosphere in the stock market, leading to a cosmic surge in Baidu's stock price. As the planets distanced themselves, investors on Earth felt a strange urge to 'search' for profit, sending Baidu's stock price to interstellar levels. It's as if the stars aligned for Baidu, proving that in the celestial dance of finance, even Saturn can't resist the gravitational charm of a rising stock.

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: [ Concept art ] Generate an image of Saturn looming prominently in the night sky, with Earth lying in the foreground. Overlay the scene with a stylized representation of Baidu's stock price graph. The graph should faithfully depict the fluctuations in value, with peaks and dips correlating to the proximity of the graph to either Saturn or Earth. Ensure that the overall visual composition is clear and visually appealing, making the juxtaposition of the cosmic elements and financial data captivating to the viewer. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: The distance between Saturn and Earth and Baidu's stock price. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Concept art a Polaroid photo Voxel art Cutsy art illustration Minimalism
ChatGPT: Concept art

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both The distance between Saturn and Earth and Baidu's stock price together. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: Picture Saturn appearing large and distant in the night sky, with Earth in the foreground. Then, superimpose Baidu's stock price graph overlaying the scene, showing fluctuations in value as it soars closer to Saturn and dips closer to Earth.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Concept art ] and depicting this scene: Picture Saturn appearing large and distant in the night sky, with Earth in the foreground. Then, superimpose Baidu's stock price graph overlaying the scene, showing fluctuations in value as it soars closer to Saturn and dips closer to Earth. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: [ Concept art ] Generate an image of Saturn looming prominently in the night sky, with Earth lying in the foreground. Overlay the scene with a stylized representation of Baidu's stock price graph. The graph should faithfully depict the fluctuations in value, with peaks and dips correlating to the proximity of the graph to either Saturn or Earth. Ensure that the overall visual composition is clear and visually appealing, making the juxtaposition of the cosmic elements and financial data captivating to the viewer.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in The distance between Saturn and Earth caused Baidu's stock price (BIDU) to increase.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
BIDU under the Stars: The Celestial Connection between Saturn's Distance and Baidu's Stock Price

The Journal of Celestial Finance

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Saturn and Earth and Baidu's stock price (BIDU). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title punny if you can come up with clever pun. If not, make it sound serious.

Your research team used data from Caclculated using Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9096297 and p < 0.01 for 2006 to 2023.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
"BIDU under the Stars: The Celestial Connection between Saturn's Distance and Baidu's Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we explore the celestial correlation between the distance of Saturn and the performance of Baidu's stock price (BIDU) in the Earthly stock market. Utilizing data from Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) covering the period from 2006 to 2023, we unveil a surprising correlation coefficient of 0.9096297 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. Our study offers an astronomical perspective on the financial world, and we aim to bring some cosmic humor to the world of stock market analysis. So, buckle up and embark on this cosmic journey with us as we unveil the heavenly forces at play in the stock market!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Saturn and Earth and Baidu's stock price (BIDU). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"BIDU under the Stars: The Celestial Connection between Saturn's Distance and Baidu's Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we explore the celestial correlation between the distance of Saturn and the performance of Baidu's stock price (BIDU) in the Earthly stock market. Utilizing data from Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) covering the period from 2006 to 2023, we unveil a surprising correlation coefficient of 0.9096297 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. Our study offers an astronomical perspective on the financial world, and we aim to bring some cosmic humor to the world of stock market analysis. So, buckle up and embark on this cosmic journey with us as we unveil the heavenly forces at play in the stock market!

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

As financial analysts gaze at the night sky seeking guidance on stock market trends, we often look to the stars for inspiration. In this whimsical yet enlightening study, we explore the connection between the distance of Saturn, the ringed planet, and the earthly performance of Baidu's stock price (BIDU). While some may consider it mere astrological folly, our rigorous analysis has unearthed an unexpected correlation that challenges conventional wisdom and invites us to ponder the cosmic forces influencing our financial markets.

The notion of celestial bodies influencing earthly affairs is as old as time itself. From the tides pulled by the moon to the zodiac signs dictating our daily horoscopes, there's a magnetism to the idea that the universe holds sway over our lives – and apparently, our investments. While we can't make investment decisions based on the alignment of Pluto and Neptune (at least not yet), the connection between the distance of Saturn and Baidu's stock price raises intriguing questions about the interplay of astronomical phenomena and financial markets.

Our research springs from the fertile ground where finance meets astrophysics, with data as our guiding star. By drawing from the astronomical database of Astropy and the financial analytics of LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we sought to chart the movements of both Saturn and Baidu's stock price over the period from 2006 to 2023. The goal? To discover whether there exists a cosmic ballet, an entwining of celestial mechanics and economic indicators, influencing the rise and fall of Baidu's stock price. Or maybe we just wanted an excuse to use the phrase "stellar performance" in a financial context – you decide.

As we swoop into this celestial dance, we invite you to consider the curious correlations we've uncovered. Our findings, though astronomical in nature, bear implications for the earthly realm of portfolio management and market analysis. So, join us as we voyage across the cosmic expanse to reveal how Saturn's distance may hold the key to unlocking the mysteries of Baidu's stock price – or at the very least, to entertain you with some cosmic humor in the world of stock market analysis.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Saturn and Earth and Baidu's stock price (BIDU). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name a couple popular internet memes that are related to one of the topics.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"BIDU under the Stars: The Celestial Connection between Saturn's Distance and Baidu's Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we explore the celestial correlation between the distance of Saturn and the performance of Baidu's stock price (BIDU) in the Earthly stock market. Utilizing data from Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) covering the period from 2006 to 2023, we unveil a surprising correlation coefficient of 0.9096297 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. Our study offers an astronomical perspective on the financial world, and we aim to bring some cosmic humor to the world of stock market analysis. So, buckle up and embark on this cosmic journey with us as we unveil the heavenly forces at play in the stock market!

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
As financial analysts gaze at the night sky seeking guidance on stock market trends, we often look to the stars for inspiration. In this whimsical yet enlightening study, we explore the connection between the distance of Saturn, the ringed planet, and the earthly performance of Baidu's stock price (BIDU). While some may consider it mere astrological folly, our rigorous analysis has unearthed an unexpected correlation that challenges conventional wisdom and invites us to ponder the cosmic forces influencing our financial markets.
The notion of celestial bodies influencing earthly affairs is as old as time itself. From the tides pulled by the moon to the zodiac signs dictating our daily horoscopes, there's a magnetism to the idea that the universe holds sway over our lives – and apparently, our investments. While we can't make investment decisions based on the alignment of Pluto and Neptune (at least not yet), the connection between the distance of Saturn and Baidu's stock price raises intriguing questions about the interplay of astronomical phenomena and financial markets.
Our research springs from the fertile ground where finance meets astrophysics, with data as our guiding star. By drawing from the astronomical database of Astropy and the financial analytics of LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we sought to chart the movements of both Saturn and Baidu's stock price over the period from 2006 to 2023. The goal? To discover whether there exists a cosmic ballet, an entwining of celestial mechanics and economic indicators, influencing the rise and fall of Baidu's stock price. Or maybe we just wanted an excuse to use the phrase "stellar performance" in a financial context – you decide.
As we swoop into this celestial dance, we invite you to consider the curious correlations we've uncovered. Our findings, though astronomical in nature, bear implications for the earthly realm of portfolio management and market analysis. So, join us as we voyage across the cosmic expanse to reveal how Saturn's distance may hold the key to unlocking the mysteries of Baidu's stock price – or at the very least, to entertain you with some cosmic humor in the world of stock market analysis.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

As we delve into the ether of celestial correlations and financial phenomena, we encounter a diverse array of literature that explores the intersection of astronomy and stock market analysis. Smith et al. (2010) presented a study on planetary positioning and commodity prices, offering early insights into the potential impact of celestial bodies on financial markets. Doe and Jones (2015) contributed to this discourse by examining the lunar phases and stock market performance, laying the groundwork for our exploration of the Saturn-BIDU relationship.

Venturing beyond the confines of traditional academic studies, we find "The Cosmic Guide to Stock Trading" by Stella Galactica, a tongue-in-cheek yet thought-provoking exploration of using the positions of the stars to inform investment decisions. Turning our attention to the world of fiction, "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Stock Market" by Doug Adams humorously contemplates the absurdity of seeking cosmic wisdom for financial gain, striking an uncanny chord with our own offbeat inquiry.

Let's not overlook the impact of internet culture on our investigation. The "Distracted Boyfriend" meme serves as a lighthearted reminder of the wandering focus and capricious nature of stock market trends, drawing a parallel to the seemingly improbable connection between Saturn's distance and Baidu's stock price. Similarly, the "Surprised Pikachu" meme captures the astonishment of market analysts stumbling upon unexpected correlations, much like our own astonishment at uncovering the cosmic dance of Saturn and BIDU.

As we traverse this cosmic playground of literature and culture, our study endeavors to infuse a dose of levity into the realm of financial analysis while uncovering the enigmatic connection between celestial mechanics and stock market movements. We acknowledge that our inquiry may seem rather "out there," but sometimes, the quirkiest investigations yield the most surprising – and entertaining – results.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Saturn and Earth and Baidu's stock price (BIDU). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Caclculated using Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) . You used data from 2006 to 2023

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"BIDU under the Stars: The Celestial Connection between Saturn's Distance and Baidu's Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we explore the celestial correlation between the distance of Saturn and the performance of Baidu's stock price (BIDU) in the Earthly stock market. Utilizing data from Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) covering the period from 2006 to 2023, we unveil a surprising correlation coefficient of 0.9096297 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. Our study offers an astronomical perspective on the financial world, and we aim to bring some cosmic humor to the world of stock market analysis. So, buckle up and embark on this cosmic journey with us as we unveil the heavenly forces at play in the stock market!

[[INTRODUCTION]]
As financial analysts gaze at the night sky seeking guidance on stock market trends, we often look to the stars for inspiration. In this whimsical yet enlightening study, we explore the connection between the distance of Saturn, the ringed planet, and the earthly performance of Baidu's stock price (BIDU). While some may consider it mere astrological folly, our rigorous analysis has unearthed an unexpected correlation that challenges conventional wisdom and invites us to ponder the cosmic forces influencing our financial markets.
The notion of celestial bodies influencing earthly affairs is as old as time itself. From the tides pulled by the moon to the zodiac signs dictating our daily horoscopes, there's a magnetism to the idea that the universe holds sway over our lives – and apparently, our investments. While we can't make investment decisions based on the alignment of Pluto and Neptune (at least not yet), the connection between the distance of Saturn and Baidu's stock price raises intriguing questions about the interplay of astronomical phenomena and financial markets.
Our research springs from the fertile ground where finance meets astrophysics, with data as our guiding star. By drawing from the astronomical database of Astropy and the financial analytics of LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we sought to chart the movements of both Saturn and Baidu's stock price over the period from 2006 to 2023. The goal? To discover whether there exists a cosmic ballet, an entwining of celestial mechanics and economic indicators, influencing the rise and fall of Baidu's stock price. Or maybe we just wanted an excuse to use the phrase "stellar performance" in a financial context – you decide.
As we swoop into this celestial dance, we invite you to consider the curious correlations we've uncovered. Our findings, though astronomical in nature, bear implications for the earthly realm of portfolio management and market analysis. So, join us as we voyage across the cosmic expanse to reveal how Saturn's distance may hold the key to unlocking the mysteries of Baidu's stock price – or at the very least, to entertain you with some cosmic humor in the world of stock market analysis.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To uncover the cosmic connection between Saturn's distance and Baidu's stock price (BIDU), our research team embarked on a celestial odyssey that would make both astronomers and Wall Street analysts raise an eyebrow. Utilizing data gathered from the boundless expanse of the internet and the precision tools of Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we delved into the depths of time and space from 2006 to 2023 to unravel the enigmatic relationship between these seemingly disparate spheres.

First, we scoured the depths of the internet, navigating through a cosmic sea of data to retrieve the historical prices and trading volumes of Baidu's stock, affectionately known as BIDU. Then, armed with our telescopic data-gathering apparatus (a trusty computer), we mined information on the distance between Saturn and Earth during the same period from trusted sources, ensuring that the celestial measurements were as accurate as the financial ones.

After diligently collecting and verifying our data, we wielded the mighty powers of statistical analysis to seek patterns in the cosmic dance between Saturn and Baidu's stock price. With the aid of sophisticated software and a dash of cosmic intuition, we calculated correlation coefficients and p-values as our compass to navigate the celestial sea of data. Like celestial cartographers, we charted the rise and fall of both Saturn's distance and Baidu's stock price, discerning the patterns and connections that elude the casual stargazer or stock market aficionado.

As we ventured deeper into the cosmic data, we encountered unexpected twists and turns, much like a comet hurtling through the solar system. We performed regression analyses to tease out the intricacies of this celestial tango, unveiling the gravitational pull that Saturn's distance exerts on Baidu's stock price, metaphorically speaking, of course.

Finally, after traversing the celestial expanse and crunching the numbers, we emerged with a statistically significant correlation coefficient of 0.9096297 and a p-value of less than 0.01. Our findings, much like a shooting star streaking across the night sky, illuminate the previously unexplored link between the celestial distance of Saturn and the earthly performance of Baidu's stock price. This remarkable discovery not only sheds light on the complex interplay of astronomical phenomena and financial markets but also injects a cosmic dose of humor and wonder into the realm of stock market analysis. So, dear reader, buckle up as we reveal the celestial symphony that underpins the rise and fall of Baidu's stock price – and maybe crack a few celestial puns along the way.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Saturn and Earth and Baidu's stock price (BIDU). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Caclculated using Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) .

For the time period 2006 to 2023, you found a correlation 0.9096297, r-squared of 0.8274262, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"BIDU under the Stars: The Celestial Connection between Saturn's Distance and Baidu's Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we explore the celestial correlation between the distance of Saturn and the performance of Baidu's stock price (BIDU) in the Earthly stock market. Utilizing data from Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) covering the period from 2006 to 2023, we unveil a surprising correlation coefficient of 0.9096297 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. Our study offers an astronomical perspective on the financial world, and we aim to bring some cosmic humor to the world of stock market analysis. So, buckle up and embark on this cosmic journey with us as we unveil the heavenly forces at play in the stock market!

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
As financial analysts gaze at the night sky seeking guidance on stock market trends, we often look to the stars for inspiration. In this whimsical yet enlightening study, we explore the connection between the distance of Saturn, the ringed planet, and the earthly performance of Baidu's stock price (BIDU). While some may consider it mere astrological folly, our rigorous analysis has unearthed an unexpected correlation that challenges conventional wisdom and invites us to ponder the cosmic forces influencing our financial markets.
The notion of celestial bodies influencing earthly affairs is as old as time itself. From the tides pulled by the moon to the zodiac signs dictating our daily horoscopes, there's a magnetism to the idea that the universe holds sway over our lives – and apparently, our investments. While we can't make investment decisions based on the alignment of Pluto and Neptune (at least not yet), the connection between the distance of Saturn and Baidu's stock price raises intriguing questions about the interplay of astronomical phenomena and financial markets.
Our research springs from the fertile ground where finance meets astrophysics, with data as our guiding star. By drawing from the astronomical database of Astropy and the financial analytics of LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we sought to chart the movements of both Saturn and Baidu's stock price over the period from 2006 to 2023. The goal? To discover whether there exists a cosmic ballet, an entwining of celestial mechanics and economic indicators, influencing the rise and fall of Baidu's stock price. Or maybe we just wanted an excuse to use the phrase "stellar performance" in a financial context – you decide.
As we swoop into this celestial dance, we invite you to consider the curious correlations we've uncovered. Our findings, though astronomical in nature, bear implications for the earthly realm of portfolio management and market analysis. So, join us as we voyage across the cosmic expanse to reveal how Saturn's distance may hold the key to unlocking the mysteries of Baidu's stock price – or at the very least, to entertain you with some cosmic humor in the world of stock market analysis.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The results of our analysis reveal a remarkably strong correlation between the distance of Saturn and the performance of Baidu's stock price (BIDU) on Earth. Over the period from 2006 to 2023, we found a correlation coefficient of 0.9096297, indicating a robust positive relationship between the two variables. Additionally, the coefficient of determination (r-squared) came in at 0.8274262, underscoring the substantial proportion of variability in Baidu's stock price that is explained by the distance of Saturn.

Our analysis also indicated statistical significance, with a p-value of less than 0.01. This suggests that the observed correlation is unlikely to have occurred by chance and further emphasizes the strength of the relationship between Saturn's distance and Baidu's stock price.

Furthermore, we present our findings graphically in Figure 1, a scatterplot that vividly illustrates the strong correlation between the distance of Saturn and Baidu's stock price. The data points are tightly clustered around a clear upward trend, showcasing the unmistakable and surprising connection between these celestial and financial phenomena.

While some may view this correlation with cosmic skepticism, our research challenges traditional perspectives and ventures into the realm of financial astrology. Whether it's the gravitational pull of Saturn's rings or the cosmic vibrations influencing stock prices, our study underscores the unexpected interplay between celestial mechanics and market dynamics. Amidst the sea of economic analyses, we encourage readers to embrace the joviality of this cosmic coincidence and ponder the cosmic humor hidden within the world of stock market analysis.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Saturn and Earth and Baidu's stock price (BIDU). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"BIDU under the Stars: The Celestial Connection between Saturn's Distance and Baidu's Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we explore the celestial correlation between the distance of Saturn and the performance of Baidu's stock price (BIDU) in the Earthly stock market. Utilizing data from Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) covering the period from 2006 to 2023, we unveil a surprising correlation coefficient of 0.9096297 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. Our study offers an astronomical perspective on the financial world, and we aim to bring some cosmic humor to the world of stock market analysis. So, buckle up and embark on this cosmic journey with us as we unveil the heavenly forces at play in the stock market!

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
As we delve into the ether of celestial correlations and financial phenomena, we encounter a diverse array of literature that explores the intersection of astronomy and stock market analysis. Smith et al. (2010) presented a study on planetary positioning and commodity prices, offering early insights into the potential impact of celestial bodies on financial markets. Doe and Jones (2015) contributed to this discourse by examining the lunar phases and stock market performance, laying the groundwork for our exploration of the Saturn-BIDU relationship.
Venturing beyond the confines of traditional academic studies, we find "The Cosmic Guide to Stock Trading" by Stella Galactica, a tongue-in-cheek yet thought-provoking exploration of using the positions of the stars to inform investment decisions. Turning our attention to the world of fiction, "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Stock Market" by Doug Adams humorously contemplates the absurdity of seeking cosmic wisdom for financial gain, striking an uncanny chord with our own offbeat inquiry.
Let's not overlook the impact of internet culture on our investigation. The "Distracted Boyfriend" meme serves as a lighthearted reminder of the wandering focus and capricious nature of stock market trends, drawing a parallel to the seemingly improbable connection between Saturn's distance and Baidu's stock price. Similarly, the "Surprised Pikachu" meme captures the astonishment of market analysts stumbling upon unexpected correlations, much like our own astonishment at uncovering the cosmic dance of Saturn and BIDU.
As we traverse this cosmic playground of literature and culture, our study endeavors to infuse a dose of levity into the realm of financial analysis while uncovering the enigmatic connection between celestial mechanics and stock market movements. We acknowledge that our inquiry may seem rather "out there," but sometimes, the quirkiest investigations yield the most surprising – and entertaining – results.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our analysis reveal a remarkably strong correlation between the distance of Saturn and the performance of Baidu's stock price (BIDU) on Earth. Over the period from 2006 to 2023, we found a correlation coefficient of 0.9096297, indicating a robust positive relationship between the two variables. Additionally, the coefficient of determination (r-squared) came in at 0.8274262, underscoring the substantial proportion of variability in Baidu's stock price that is explained by the distance of Saturn.
Our analysis also indicated statistical significance, with a p-value of less than 0.01. This suggests that the observed correlation is unlikely to have occurred by chance and further emphasizes the strength of the relationship between Saturn's distance and Baidu's stock price.
Furthermore, we present our findings graphically in Figure 1, a scatterplot that vividly illustrates the strong correlation between the distance of Saturn and Baidu's stock price. The data points are tightly clustered around a clear upward trend, showcasing the unmistakable and surprising connection between these celestial and financial phenomena.
While some may view this correlation with cosmic skepticism, our research challenges traditional perspectives and ventures into the realm of financial astrology. Whether it's the gravitational pull of Saturn's rings or the cosmic vibrations influencing stock prices, our study underscores the unexpected interplay between celestial mechanics and market dynamics. Amidst the sea of economic analyses, we encourage readers to embrace the joviality of this cosmic coincidence and ponder the cosmic humor hidden within the world of stock market analysis.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

Our findings provide compelling support for the prior research that explored the cosmic and financial connection. As we harken back to the literature review, the study by Smith et al. (2010) laid the groundwork for our pursuit by unveiling the potential impact of celestial bodies on financial markets. Similarly, Doe and Jones (2015) established the precedent for investigating celestial phenomena's influence on stock market performance. Despite the initial skepticism that may have arisen from such unconventional inquiries, our study reinforces the notion that the position of celestial bodies can indeed exert a tangible influence on Earthly financial mechanisms.

Moreover, the whimsical insights gleaned from "The Cosmic Guide to Stock Trading" by Stella Galactica and the off-kilter speculations in "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Stock Market" by Doug Adams surprisingly resonate with our own cosmic venture, as the celestial dance of Saturn and BIDU unfolds before us. While we approached this celestial-stock market liaison with a healthy dose of cosmic skepticism, our findings underscoring the statistically significant correlation between them urge us to take cosmic influences into consideration in future financial analyses.

The levity injected by internet memes, such as the "Distracted Boyfriend" and "Surprised Pikachu," serves not only as a lighthearted reminder of the capricious nature of stock market trends but also as a whimsical mirror reflecting the improbable yet realized connection between Saturn's distance and Baidu's stock price. These cultural touchpoints, though seemingly whimsical, speak to the unpredictability of financial markets and, curiously enough, now resonate with our own findings.

In conclusion, our results tangibly validate the earlier whimsical and serious inquiries into the cosmic and financial realms, urging us to consider the broader cosmic canvas when analyzing Earthly market movements. Our study's playful plunge into the celestial-stock market interplay unveils an unexpected yet robust correlation, inviting researchers to glance skyward for potential financial insights while keeping their feet grounded in the market data. So, while we gaze at the stars and stock tickers alike, let's embrace the unexpected correlations and pull off the "astromically" successful investment strategies together!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Saturn and Earth and Baidu's stock price (BIDU). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"BIDU under the Stars: The Celestial Connection between Saturn's Distance and Baidu's Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we explore the celestial correlation between the distance of Saturn and the performance of Baidu's stock price (BIDU) in the Earthly stock market. Utilizing data from Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) covering the period from 2006 to 2023, we unveil a surprising correlation coefficient of 0.9096297 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. Our study offers an astronomical perspective on the financial world, and we aim to bring some cosmic humor to the world of stock market analysis. So, buckle up and embark on this cosmic journey with us as we unveil the heavenly forces at play in the stock market!

[[INTRDUCTION]]
As financial analysts gaze at the night sky seeking guidance on stock market trends, we often look to the stars for inspiration. In this whimsical yet enlightening study, we explore the connection between the distance of Saturn, the ringed planet, and the earthly performance of Baidu's stock price (BIDU). While some may consider it mere astrological folly, our rigorous analysis has unearthed an unexpected correlation that challenges conventional wisdom and invites us to ponder the cosmic forces influencing our financial markets.
The notion of celestial bodies influencing earthly affairs is as old as time itself. From the tides pulled by the moon to the zodiac signs dictating our daily horoscopes, there's a magnetism to the idea that the universe holds sway over our lives – and apparently, our investments. While we can't make investment decisions based on the alignment of Pluto and Neptune (at least not yet), the connection between the distance of Saturn and Baidu's stock price raises intriguing questions about the interplay of astronomical phenomena and financial markets.
Our research springs from the fertile ground where finance meets astrophysics, with data as our guiding star. By drawing from the astronomical database of Astropy and the financial analytics of LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we sought to chart the movements of both Saturn and Baidu's stock price over the period from 2006 to 2023. The goal? To discover whether there exists a cosmic ballet, an entwining of celestial mechanics and economic indicators, influencing the rise and fall of Baidu's stock price. Or maybe we just wanted an excuse to use the phrase "stellar performance" in a financial context – you decide.
As we swoop into this celestial dance, we invite you to consider the curious correlations we've uncovered. Our findings, though astronomical in nature, bear implications for the earthly realm of portfolio management and market analysis. So, join us as we voyage across the cosmic expanse to reveal how Saturn's distance may hold the key to unlocking the mysteries of Baidu's stock price – or at the very least, to entertain you with some cosmic humor in the world of stock market analysis.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our analysis reveal a remarkably strong correlation between the distance of Saturn and the performance of Baidu's stock price (BIDU) on Earth. Over the period from 2006 to 2023, we found a correlation coefficient of 0.9096297, indicating a robust positive relationship between the two variables. Additionally, the coefficient of determination (r-squared) came in at 0.8274262, underscoring the substantial proportion of variability in Baidu's stock price that is explained by the distance of Saturn.
Our analysis also indicated statistical significance, with a p-value of less than 0.01. This suggests that the observed correlation is unlikely to have occurred by chance and further emphasizes the strength of the relationship between Saturn's distance and Baidu's stock price.
Furthermore, we present our findings graphically in Figure 1, a scatterplot that vividly illustrates the strong correlation between the distance of Saturn and Baidu's stock price. The data points are tightly clustered around a clear upward trend, showcasing the unmistakable and surprising connection between these celestial and financial phenomena.
While some may view this correlation with cosmic skepticism, our research challenges traditional perspectives and ventures into the realm of financial astrology. Whether it's the gravitational pull of Saturn's rings or the cosmic vibrations influencing stock prices, our study underscores the unexpected interplay between celestial mechanics and market dynamics. Amidst the sea of economic analyses, we encourage readers to embrace the joviality of this cosmic coincidence and ponder the cosmic humor hidden within the world of stock market analysis.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our cosmic odyssey has unveiled an astronomical connection between the distance of Saturn and the earthly performance of Baidu's stock price (BIDU). The robust correlation coefficient of 0.9096297 and the statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 have left us starry-eyed at the implications of our findings. While some may consider this correlation as out of this world, our research challenges conventional financial wisdom and invites us to ponder the celestial forces at play in the stock market.

As we gaze upon the scatterplot in Figure 1, we can't help but marvel at the celestial dance between these seemingly disparate variables. From the gravitational pull of Saturn's rings to the speculative sway of cosmic vibrations, our study has certainly brought some cosmic humor to the world of stock market analysis.

However, despite the serious statistical significance, we must acknowledge the astronomical absurdity of our findings. After all, who would have thought that the ringed giant could hold the key to Baidu's stock performance? It seems the stock market truly does have its head in the stars.

In the cosmic comedy of financial analysis, we've managed to add a dash of astrological wit to the mix. Our findings may not align with traditional investment strategies, but they do serve as a celestial reminder to look beyond the earthly veil of market dynamics.

And so, we boldly declare that no further research is needed in this area. After all, when Saturn speaks, Baidu listens. With such a stellar correlation, it's crystal clear that the stars have aligned in the world of stock market analysis.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited BIDU under the Stars: The Celestial Connection between Saturn's Distance and Baidu's Stock Price. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Celestial Finance


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited BIDU under the Stars: The Celestial Connection between Saturn's Distance and Baidu's Stock Price. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Planetary Economics and Financial Astrology


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled BIDU under the Stars: The Celestial Connection between Saturn's Distance and Baidu's Stock Price with an abstract of In this paper, we explore the celestial correlation between the distance of Saturn and the performance of Baidu's stock price (BIDU) in the Earthly stock market. Utilizing data from Astropy and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) covering the period from 2006 to 2023, we unveil a surprising correlation coefficient of 0.9096297 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. Our study offers an astronomical perspective on the financial world, and we aim to bring some cosmic humor to the world of stock market analysis. So, buckle up and embark on this cosmic journey with us as we unveil the heavenly forces at play in the stock market!

ChatGPT:

BIDU stock price, Saturn distance correlation, celestial correlation, Baidu stock performance, stock market analysis, Astropy data, LSEG Analytics, Refinitiv data, cosmic humor, financial analysis, celestial connection, stock market correlation

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

The distance between Saturn and Earth
Detailed data title: The average distance between Saturn and Earth as measured on the first day of each month
Source: Caclculated using Astropy
Additional Info: I wrote a Python script using Astropy to calculate the distance between the named planets on the first day of each month for every year.

See what else correlates with The distance between Saturn and Earth

Baidu's stock price (BIDU)
Detailed data title: Opening price of Baidu (BIDU) on the first trading day of the year
Source: LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv)
Additional Info: Via Microsoft Excel Stockhistory function

See what else correlates with Baidu's stock price (BIDU)

Correlation r = 0.9096297 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.8274262 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 82.7% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Baidu's stock price (BIDU)) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., The distance between Saturn and Earth) over the 18 years from 2006 through 2023.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 1.7E-7. 0.0000001679282144173931000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.91 in 1.7E-5% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 5,954,925 random variables You don't actually need 5 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 17 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 17 because we have two variables measured over a period of 18 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.77, 0.97 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
The distance between Saturn and Earth (Planetary distance (AU))9.207289.274069.357969.447669.544549.642029.738949.822079.896849.9577210.004510.029410.03710.02479.992439.941529.873999.79254
Baidu's stock price (BIDU) (Stock price)6.4311.839.4513.241.697.95120103.33177.49229.46181.29166.3236.49156.18129.49219.51148.91118.86




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
    Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([9.20728,9.27406,9.35796,9.44766,9.54454,9.64202,9.73894,9.82207,9.89684,9.95772,10.0045,10.0294,10.037,10.0247,9.99243,9.94152,9.87399,9.79254,])
array_2 = np.array([6.43,11.8,39.45,13.2,41.6,97.95,120,103.33,177.49,229.46,181.29,166.3,236.49,156.18,129.49,219.51,148.91,118.86,])
array_1_name = "The distance between Saturn and Earth"
array_2_name = "Baidu's stock price (BIDU)"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 2157 · Black Variable ID: 1942 · Red Variable ID: 1741
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