Spurious correlation #1,729 · View random
A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and the second variable is Google searches for 'tummy ache'. The chart goes from 2012 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time.

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and the second variable is Google searches for 'tummy ache'. The chart goes from 2012 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time.

Download png, svg

AI explanation

As more students delved into the world of agriculture and natural resources, they became overly excited about the concept of crop rotations. This led to a bizarre trend of individuals attempting to rotate the foods in their stomachs, believing it would yield a bountiful harvest of digestion. Alas, the result was nothing but a tumultuous tummy terrain, as carrots clashed with cookies and broccoli battled with burgers. The stomach, not being a fertile field, revolted against this agricultural upheaval, causing widespread tummy aches and a newfound respect for the simplicity of antacids.

^{Show image generation prompt} Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image of a cozy farmhouse kitchen where a young farmer, beaming with pride, holds up her Bachelor's degree in Agriculture and Natural Resources. Her mother sits at the table, deep in concern, furrowing her brow as she peers at her laptop, searching for "tummy ache" on Google. The warm sunlight filters through the window, casting a soft glow on the heartwarming scene. The farmer's hard work and dedication are evident in her expression, and her mother's caring concern is palpable in the atmosphere of the kitchen. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.

This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache'. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Pop art A Discovery magazine cover image Steampunk Realistic Magic realism
ChatGPT: A Discovery magazine cover image

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache' together. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In a cozy farmhouse kitchen, a young farmer proudly displays her newly earned Bachelor's degree in Agriculture and Natural Resources, while her concerned mother sits at the table, furrowing her brow as she does a Google search for "tummy ache" on her laptop.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ A Discovery magazine cover image ] and depicting this scene: In a cozy farmhouse kitchen, a young farmer proudly displays her newly earned Bachelor's degree in Agriculture and Natural Resources, while her concerned mother sits at the table, furrowing her brow as she does a Google search for "tummy ache" on her laptop. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image of a cozy farmhouse kitchen where a young farmer, beaming with pride, holds up her Bachelor's degree in Agriculture and Natural Resources. Her mother sits at the table, deep in concern, furrowing her brow as she peers at her laptop, searching for "tummy ache" on Google. The warm sunlight filters through the window, casting a soft glow on the heartwarming scene. The farmer's hard work and dedication are evident in her expression, and her mother's caring concern is palpable in the atmosphere of the kitchen.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.
^{Show prompt for explanation} Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources caused tummy ache (Google searches for 'tummy ache') to increase.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)

Farming for Answers: A Correlative Study of Bachelor's Degrees in Agriculture and Natural Resources and Google Searches for 'Tummy Ache'

The Journal of Agricultural Inquiry

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!

^{Show prompt used to generate this paper} Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache'. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then you might move on to cartoons and children's shows that you watched for research.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Farming for Answers: A Correlative Study of Bachelor's Degrees in Agriculture and Natural Resources and Google Searches for 'Tummy Ache'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The correlation between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache' has long been a mystery wrapped in an enigma, nestled in a conundrum – and finally, we have endeavored to unravel this perplexing relationship. Using the eminent data sources of the National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends, our research team has revealed a robust correlation coefficient of 0.9906614 and an ultra-low p-value of < 0.01 for the period spanning from 2012 to 2021. Our findings suggest a tantalizing connection between the cultivation of agricultural know-how and the afflictions of the stomach, drawing a curious parallel between the growth of agricultural expertise and the tummy's fermenting maladies. The implications of this study go beyond the mere realm of academia and offer a ripe ground for further exploration into the unexpected impact of agricultural education on the digestive concerns of the general populace.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The unique and unexpected connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and the frequency of Google searches for 'tummy ache' has captured the curiosity of researchers and scholars alike. While one may wonder what stomach ailments have to do with agricultural education, our research seeks to illuminate the intriguing relationship between these seemingly disparate realms. This study delves into the unexplored territory of how the pursuit of agricultural knowledge may be linked to the prevalence of stomach-related inquiries in the vast digital expanse of Google searches.
As we embark on this journey of discovery, it is important to acknowledge the levity of the topic at hand. The juxtaposition of agricultural education and tummy troubles seems whimsical at first glance, yet our investigation into this phenomenon is grounded in rigorous quantitative analysis and statistical methodologies. We aim to approach this subject with the same seriousness one would employ when inspecting the anatomical structure of a tomato, for there may be more to this relationship than meets the eye.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

The literature on the correlation between Bachelor's degrees in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache' has, until recently, been rather scant. However, as interest in this peculiar association has grown, several noteworthy studies have emerged shedding light on this unexpected link.

In their groundbreaking work, Smith et al. (2015) found a surprising uptick in 'tummy ache' searches during the months of peak agricultural graduation ceremonies, suggesting a potential temporal relationship between the two phenomena. Similarly, Doe and Jones (2018) reported an intriguing surge in 'tummy ache' queries within regions with higher concentrations of agricultural universities, hinting at a possible spatial correlation between agricultural education and gastrointestinal discomfort.

Expanding beyond the traditional academic literature, references from popular non-fiction works such as "The Omnivore's Dilemma" by Michael Pollan and "Animal, Vegetable, Miracle" by Barbara Kingsolver allude to the impact of agricultural practices on human health, albeit not specifically on tummy troubles. Furthermore, fictional works such as "The Secret Garden" by Frances Hodgson Burnett and "Charlotte's Web" by E.B. White provide a whimsical backdrop to the intersection of agriculture and human well-being, albeit in a more metaphorical sense.

Upon exhaustively exploring the realm of pop culture, the researchers turned to children's cartoons and shows for further insights. Surprisingly, recurring themes of stomach ailments in characters such as Garfield, Winnie the Pooh, and even SpongeBob SquarePants coincided with the observed patterns in 'tummy ache' searches, prompting the researchers to ponder the influence of agricultural education on the portrayal of digestive woes in animated entertainment.

As the authors find, the intersection of agricultural knowledge and gastrointestinal distress yields a fertile ground for fruitful inquiry, beckoning for a more probing examination into the curious bond between farming acumen and tummy afflictions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache'. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends . You used data from 2012 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Farming for Answers: A Correlative Study of Bachelor's Degrees in Agriculture and Natural Resources and Google Searches for 'Tummy Ache'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The correlation between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache' has long been a mystery wrapped in an enigma, nestled in a conundrum – and finally, we have endeavored to unravel this perplexing relationship. Using the eminent data sources of the National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends, our research team has revealed a robust correlation coefficient of 0.9906614 and an ultra-low p-value of < 0.01 for the period spanning from 2012 to 2021. Our findings suggest a tantalizing connection between the cultivation of agricultural know-how and the afflictions of the stomach, drawing a curious parallel between the growth of agricultural expertise and the tummy's fermenting maladies. The implications of this study go beyond the mere realm of academia and offer a ripe ground for further exploration into the unexpected impact of agricultural education on the digestive concerns of the general populace.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The unique and unexpected connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and the frequency of Google searches for 'tummy ache' has captured the curiosity of researchers and scholars alike. While one may wonder what stomach ailments have to do with agricultural education, our research seeks to illuminate the intriguing relationship between these seemingly disparate realms. This study delves into the unexplored territory of how the pursuit of agricultural knowledge may be linked to the prevalence of stomach-related inquiries in the vast digital expanse of Google searches.
As we embark on this journey of discovery, it is important to acknowledge the levity of the topic at hand. The juxtaposition of agricultural education and tummy troubles seems whimsical at first glance, yet our investigation into this phenomenon is grounded in rigorous quantitative analysis and statistical methodologies. We aim to approach this subject with the same seriousness one would employ when inspecting the anatomical structure of a tomato, for there may be more to this relationship than meets the eye.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

Data Collection:
The investigation into the correlation between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache' employed a multi-faceted approach. Our research team utilized data spanning from 2012 to 2021 sourced primarily from the National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends. The selection of these data sources was rooted in the quest for comprehensive and reliable datasets to support our analysis.

To establish a robust dataset for Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources, the National Center for Education Statistics emerged as the primary source. This data encompassed the annual count of Bachelor's degrees conferred in the fields of Agriculture, Agriculture Operations, and Related Sciences, as well as Natural Resources and Conservation. The thoroughness and authority of this dataset bolstered the credibility of our study.

On the other hand, in capturing the zeitgeist of stomach-related concerns, Google Trends emerged as a powerful ally. By analyzing the frequency of Google searches for the term 'tummy ache' across the designated time frame, from various regions and subregions, our research team gained insights into the ebb and flow of public interest in digestive discomforts. The aptness of Google Trends as a tool for gauging public sentiment and health inquiries cannot be overstated, offering a real-time vista into the collective bellyaches of the populace.

Data Analysis:
To unveil the potential interplay between the awarding of Bachelor's degrees in Agriculture and natural resources and the prevalence of 'tummy ache' searches, rigorous quantitative analysis was paramount. The data from the National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends were subjected to a series of statistical methodologies to discern patterns and correlations.

Initially, the time series nature of the data necessitated the application of time series analysis, allowing for the identification of trends, seasonality, and potential patterns over the years. The use of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models and detrending techniques were vital in extracting the underlying signals from the time series data, akin to uncovering the roots of a particularly stubborn weed.

Subsequently, to ascertain the strength and direction of the relationship between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and 'tummy ache' searches, correlation analysis was performed. Utilizing Pearson correlation coefficients, the magnitude and significance of the association between these seemingly incongruous variables were quantified. The strikingly high correlation coefficient uncovered by our analysis bore testament to the intriguing link between agricultural education and stomach-related queries.

Lastly, to validate the robustness of our findings, a battery of statistical tests, including hypothesis testing and bootstrapping analyses, was undertaken. These formal procedures reinforced the reliability of the observed correlation, akin to fortifying the foundations of a rickety barn with sturdy empirical evidence.

In summation, our methodological approach combined the judicious selection of data sources, astute statistical analyses, and a touch of whimsy to unravel the enigmatic relationship between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache'. The confluence of rigorous methodologies and a light-hearted subject matter has yielded a study that may push the boundaries of conventional research and evoke a chuckle or two along the way.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache'. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"Farming for Answers: A Correlative Study of Bachelor's Degrees in Agriculture and Natural Resources and Google Searches for 'Tummy Ache'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The correlation between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache' has long been a mystery wrapped in an enigma, nestled in a conundrum – and finally, we have endeavored to unravel this perplexing relationship. Using the eminent data sources of the National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends, our research team has revealed a robust correlation coefficient of 0.9906614 and an ultra-low p-value of < 0.01 for the period spanning from 2012 to 2021. Our findings suggest a tantalizing connection between the cultivation of agricultural know-how and the afflictions of the stomach, drawing a curious parallel between the growth of agricultural expertise and the tummy's fermenting maladies. The implications of this study go beyond the mere realm of academia and offer a ripe ground for further exploration into the unexpected impact of agricultural education on the digestive concerns of the general populace.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
The literature on the correlation between Bachelor's degrees in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache' has, until recently, been rather scant. However, as interest in this peculiar association has grown, several noteworthy studies have emerged shedding light on this unexpected link.
In their groundbreaking work, Smith et al. (2015) found a surprising uptick in 'tummy ache' searches during the months of peak agricultural graduation ceremonies, suggesting a potential temporal relationship between the two phenomena. Similarly, Doe and Jones (2018) reported an intriguing surge in 'tummy ache' queries within regions with higher concentrations of agricultural universities, hinting at a possible spatial correlation between agricultural education and gastrointestinal discomfort.
Expanding beyond the traditional academic literature, references from popular non-fiction works such as "The Omnivore's Dilemma" by Michael Pollan and "Animal, Vegetable, Miracle" by Barbara Kingsolver allude to the impact of agricultural practices on human health, albeit not specifically on tummy troubles. Furthermore, fictional works such as "The Secret Garden" by Frances Hodgson Burnett and "Charlotte's Web" by E.B. White provide a whimsical backdrop to the intersection of agriculture and human well-being, albeit in a more metaphorical sense.
Upon exhaustively exploring the realm of pop culture, the researchers turned to children's cartoons and shows for further insights. Surprisingly, recurring themes of stomach ailments in characters such as Garfield, Winnie the Pooh, and even SpongeBob SquarePants coincided with the observed patterns in 'tummy ache' searches, prompting the researchers to ponder the influence of agricultural education on the portrayal of digestive woes in animated entertainment.
As the authors find, the intersection of agricultural knowledge and gastrointestinal distress yields a fertile ground for fruitful inquiry, beckoning for a more probing examination into the curious bond between farming acumen and tummy afflictions.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our analysis reveal a remarkably strong positive correlation between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache' over the period of 2012 to 2021. The correlation coefficient of 0.9906614 demonstrates an almost uncannily close relationship between these two seemingly incongruous variables. This finding suggests a compelling association between the pursuit of agricultural knowledge and the intestinal disquietudes of the general populace.
Further bolstering the robustness of this correlation, the coefficient of determination (r-squared) of 0.9814100 indicates that approximately 98.14% of the variability in Google searches for 'tummy ache' can be explained by the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources. One might say this relationship is as tight as a cow's stomach during a particularly feisty round of cud-chewing.
The p-value of < 0.01 underscores the statistical significance of our findings, effectively squashing any doubts about the strength of the association. In other words, the likelihood of such a strong correlation occurring by chance is less than 1 in 100 – a probability so low, it might as well be the odds of encountering a kangaroo in a cornfield.
To visually capture the robustness of the relationship, Figure 1 illustrates a scatterplot depicting the striking positive correlation between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache'. The figure not only serves as a testament to the strength of the association but also adds a delightful splash of color to the otherwise tummy-tangling world of statistical analysis.
These results, though unexpected and amusing, impel us to contemplate the potential implications of agricultural education on the digestive quandaries faced by many. While the precise mechanism underlying this curious connection may remain shrouded in mystery, our findings beckon for further exploration and perhaps even inspire a more gut-driven approach to agricultural education.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]

ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The findings of our study have brought to light a remarkably robust correlation between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache', confirming and extending prior research in this field. Building on the earlier work of Smith et al. (2015) and Doe and Jones (2018), who noted temporal and spatial associations, respectively, our study delves deeper into this unexpected bond. Our results not only support but amplify these previous findings, marking a significant advancement in our understanding of the intriguing intertwining of agricultural education and gastric tribulations.

The near-perfect correlation coefficient of 0.9906614 stands as a testament to the undeniably tight link between the pursuit of agricultural knowledge and the collective gastrointestinal unease reflected in Google searches for 'tummy ache'. This close affinity could be likened to the well-tended symbiosis between a farmer and their trusty barnyard companions. Moreover, the coefficient of determination (r-squared) of 0.9814100 indicates that approximately 98.14% of the variability in 'tummy ache' queries can be ascribed to the ebb and flow of Bachelor's degrees in Agriculture and natural resources. This statistical result is akin to a harmonious duet performed by two distinctly dissimilar instruments, crafting a symphony of agricultural wisdom and abdominal distress.

The low p-value (< 0.01) further underscores the exceptional statistical significance of this connection, quelling any lingering skepticism with a force as compelling as the smell of freshly tilled earth after a spring rain. In other words, the odds of such a strong correlation occurring by chance are about as likely as encountering a scarecrow with a case of indigestion – a sight so improbable, it borders on the fantastical.

While the precise mechanisms underlying this intriguing correlation remain veiled in mystery, our results nudge us to look beyond the widely held perception of farming as the cultivation of crops and livestock alone. Instead, they suggest a more holistic consideration of agriculture as a multifaceted discipline with potential implications for human well-being. This unexpected alliance prompts us to contemplate the potential impact of agricultural education on the digestive comings and goings of individuals, beckoning for a more gut-centric approach to agricultural pedagogy.

In conclusion, our study expands upon prior research to firmly establish and accentuate the connection between Bachelor's degrees in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache', paving the way for future investigations into this curious bond. As we cultivate a deeper understanding of this unexpected relationship, we are reminded of the enduring interconnectedness of diverse facets of human experience and the enduring mysteries they hold.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache'. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"Farming for Answers: A Correlative Study of Bachelor's Degrees in Agriculture and Natural Resources and Google Searches for 'Tummy Ache'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The correlation between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache' has long been a mystery wrapped in an enigma, nestled in a conundrum – and finally, we have endeavored to unravel this perplexing relationship. Using the eminent data sources of the National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends, our research team has revealed a robust correlation coefficient of 0.9906614 and an ultra-low p-value of < 0.01 for the period spanning from 2012 to 2021. Our findings suggest a tantalizing connection between the cultivation of agricultural know-how and the afflictions of the stomach, drawing a curious parallel between the growth of agricultural expertise and the tummy's fermenting maladies. The implications of this study go beyond the mere realm of academia and offer a ripe ground for further exploration into the unexpected impact of agricultural education on the digestive concerns of the general populace.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The unique and unexpected connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and the frequency of Google searches for 'tummy ache' has captured the curiosity of researchers and scholars alike. While one may wonder what stomach ailments have to do with agricultural education, our research seeks to illuminate the intriguing relationship between these seemingly disparate realms. This study delves into the unexplored territory of how the pursuit of agricultural knowledge may be linked to the prevalence of stomach-related inquiries in the vast digital expanse of Google searches.
As we embark on this journey of discovery, it is important to acknowledge the levity of the topic at hand. The juxtaposition of agricultural education and tummy troubles seems whimsical at first glance, yet our investigation into this phenomenon is grounded in rigorous quantitative analysis and statistical methodologies. We aim to approach this subject with the same seriousness one would employ when inspecting the anatomical structure of a tomato, for there may be more to this relationship than meets the eye.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our analysis reveal a remarkably strong positive correlation between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache' over the period of 2012 to 2021. The correlation coefficient of 0.9906614 demonstrates an almost uncannily close relationship between these two seemingly incongruous variables. This finding suggests a compelling association between the pursuit of agricultural knowledge and the intestinal disquietudes of the general populace.
Further bolstering the robustness of this correlation, the coefficient of determination (r-squared) of 0.9814100 indicates that approximately 98.14% of the variability in Google searches for 'tummy ache' can be explained by the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources. One might say this relationship is as tight as a cow's stomach during a particularly feisty round of cud-chewing.
The p-value of < 0.01 underscores the statistical significance of our findings, effectively squashing any doubts about the strength of the association. In other words, the likelihood of such a strong correlation occurring by chance is less than 1 in 100 – a probability so low, it might as well be the odds of encountering a kangaroo in a cornfield.
To visually capture the robustness of the relationship, Figure 1 illustrates a scatterplot depicting the striking positive correlation between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache'. The figure not only serves as a testament to the strength of the association but also adds a delightful splash of color to the otherwise tummy-tangling world of statistical analysis.
These results, though unexpected and amusing, impel us to contemplate the potential implications of agricultural education on the digestive quandaries faced by many. While the precise mechanism underlying this curious connection may remain shrouded in mystery, our findings beckon for further exploration and perhaps even inspire a more gut-driven approach to agricultural education.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]

ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our study has unraveled the intertwining strands of agricultural education and digestive distress, shedding light on a correlation as strong as the roots of a well-tended turnip. The evidence of a robust positive relationship between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache' presents a compelling narrative, akin to a tale spun by a mischievous harvest sprite. The statistically significant correlation coefficient and the practically undeniable p-value solidify the notion that the growth of agricultural expertise may indeed be linked to the perturbations of the gastrointestinal tract among the populace.

While the connection between farming know-how and abdominal upsets may seem as unexpected as finding a chicken in a cucumber patch, our findings beckon for a deeper understanding of the potential mechanisms underlying this peculiar association. Could it be that the cultivation of agricultural prowess triggers a cognitive cascade that somehow resonates within the depths of the digestive system? Or perhaps the very act of contemplating tummy aches leads one to seek refuge in the bucolic embrace of agricultural studies, as an antidote to one's own internal agricultural distress.

Ultimately, this correlation presents a plump, ripe fruit for contemplation and further inquiry. However, considering the whimsical nature of this line of investigation, we must caution against venturing too far into the cornfield of conjecture. Let us not plow the same furrow, but instead, sow the seeds of curiosity in other, equally unexpected areas of inquiry. With the strings of correlation firmly plucked like ripe tomatoes from the vine, we confidently assert that no further research is needed in this convivial realm of agricultural education and tummy aches.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Farming for Answers: A Correlative Study of Bachelor's Degrees in Agriculture and Natural Resources and Google Searches for 'Tummy Ache'. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Agricultural Inquiry

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Farming for Answers: A Correlative Study of Bachelor's Degrees in Agriculture and Natural Resources and Google Searches for 'Tummy Ache'. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Foundation for Applied Agricultural and Neurological Research (FAANR)

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Farming for Answers: A Correlative Study of Bachelor's Degrees in Agriculture and Natural Resources and Google Searches for 'Tummy Ache' with an abstract of The correlation between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture and natural resources and Google searches for 'tummy ache' has long been a mystery wrapped in an enigma, nestled in a conundrum – and finally, we have endeavored to unravel this perplexing relationship. Using the eminent data sources of the National Center for Education Statistics and Google Trends, our research team has revealed a robust correlation coefficient of 0.9906614 and an ultra-low p-value of < 0.01 for the period spanning from 2012 to 2021. Our findings suggest a tantalizing connection between the cultivation of agricultural know-how and the afflictions of the stomach, drawing a curious parallel between the growth of agricultural expertise and the tummy's fermenting maladies. The implications of this study go beyond the mere realm of academia and offer a ripe ground for further exploration into the unexpected impact of agricultural education on the digestive concerns of the general populace.

ChatGPT:

bachelor's degrees in agriculture, natural resources, Google searches, tummy ache, correlation study, agriculture education, stomach ailments, National Center for Education Statistics, Google Trends, agricultural expertise, digestive concerns

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.

Random correlation

Discover a new correlation

View all correlations

View all research papers

Report an error

Data details

Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture
Detailed data title: Bachelor's degrees conferred by postsecondary institutions, in field of study: Agriculture and natural resources
Source: National Center for Education Statistics
See what else correlates with Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture

Google searches for 'tummy ache'
Detailed data title: Relative volume of Google searches for 'tummy ache' (Worldwide, without quotes)
Source: Google Trends
Additional Info: ^{See full details} Relative search volume (not absolute numbers)

See what else correlates with Google searches for 'tummy ache'

Correlation r = 0.9906614 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r² = 0.9814100 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 98.1% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Google searches for 'tummy ache') is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture) over the 10 years from 2012 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 3.3E-8.^Show 0.0000000329024505329829400000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme.^Note More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.99 in 3.3E-6% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 30,392,873 random variables^Note You don't actually need 30 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 9 degrees of freedom, ^Note Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 9 because we have two variables measured over a period of 10 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.96, 1 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
^{Read more about the confidence interval} The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!

All values for the years included above: ^Note If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.

	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021
Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture (Degrees awarded)	31629	34304	35953	37028	37827	38782	40334	41373	41858	41925
Google searches for 'tummy ache' (Rel. search volume)	51	55.5833	60	65.4167	69.0833	71.1667	77.9167	82.5833	83.5	83.5833

Why this works

Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
Lack of causal connection: There is probably^Note Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple^Note Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.

Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. ^{Show the steps to do this.} Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."

# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([31629,34304,35953,37028,37827,38782,40334,41373,41858,41925,])
array_2 = np.array([51,55.5833,60,65.4167,69.0833,71.1667,77.9167,82.5833,83.5,83.5833,])
array_1_name = "Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture"
array_2_name = "Google searches for 'tummy ache'"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)

Reuseable content

You may re-use the images on this page for any purpose, even commercial purposes, without asking for permission. The only requirement is that you attribute Tyler Vigen. ^Note Attribution can take many different forms. If you leave the "tylervigen.com" link in the image, that satisfies it just fine. If you remove it and move it to a footnote, that's fine too. You can also just write "Charts courtesy of Tyler Vigen" at the bottom of an article.

You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

Full license details.
For more on re-use permissions, or to get a signed release form, see tylervigen.com/permission.

Download images for these variables:

High resolution line chart ^Note The image linked here is a Scalable Vector Graphic (SVG). It is the highest resolution that is possible to achieve. It scales up beyond the size of the observable universe without pixelating. You do not need to email me asking if I have a higher resolution image. I do not. The physical limitations of our universe prevent me from providing you with an image that is any higher resolution than this one.

If you insert it into a PowerPoint presentation (a tool well-known for managing things that are the scale of the universe), you can right-click > "Ungroup" or "Create Shape" and then edit the lines and text directly. You can also change the colors this way.

Alternatively you can use a tool like Inkscape.
High resolution line chart, optimized for mobile
Alternative high resolution line chart
Scatterplot
Portable line chart (png)
Portable line chart (png), optimized for mobile
Line chart for only Bachelor's degrees awarded in Agriculture
Line chart for only Google searches for 'tummy ache'
AI-generated correlation image
The spurious research paper: Farming for Answers: A Correlative Study of Bachelor's Degrees in Agriculture and Natural Resources and Google Searches for 'Tummy Ache'

View another random correlation

How fun was this correlation?

You're a rater extraordinaire!

Correlation ID: 1729 · Black Variable ID: 1264 · Red Variable ID: 1345


Problem variable:
Issue:
Additional details: Optional
Confirm you are a human: