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Spurious correlation #1,683 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Number of public school students in 10th grade and the second variable is Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion.  The chart goes from 1990 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As the number of 10th graders grew, so did their love for school lunches. This created a higher demand for hotdogs, leading to a surge in production. With more hotdogs in supply, the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champion found themselves in a 'bun'dant situation, ultimately leading to an increase in hotdog consumption. It's a classic case of 'wiener-takes-all' as the 10th graders unwittingly fueled the champion's path to victory, proving that when it comes to hotdog consumption, the 'grade' of influence can't be 'measured in inches'.

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image of a Pixar-style high school cafeteria bustling with 10th-grade students sitting at a long table, eagerly eating hotdogs from a Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition platter. The scene should prominently feature the champion of the eating competition, smiling surrounded by empty hotdog trays, indicative of the impressive number of hotdogs consumed. The number of students enjoying the hotdogs should mirror the number of public school students in 10th grade, creating a vibrant and animated scene within the cafeteria setting. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Number of public school students in 10th grade and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Cute 2D animation 3D Pixar Style Vaporwave Scalar art Woodblock painting
ChatGPT: 3D Pixar Style

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Number of public school students in 10th grade and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion together. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In a bustling high school cafeteria, a group of 10th-grade students sits at a long table, eagerly eating hotdogs from a Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition platter. The number of students enjoying the hotdogs mirrors the number of public school students in 10th grade. The champion of the eating competition is smiling, surrounded by empty hotdog trays, indicative of the impressive number of hotdogs consumed.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ 3D Pixar Style ] and depicting this scene: In a bustling high school cafeteria, a group of 10th-grade students sits at a long table, eagerly eating hotdogs from a Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition platter. The number of students enjoying the hotdogs mirrors the number of public school students in 10th grade. The champion of the eating competition is smiling, surrounded by empty hotdog trays, indicative of the impressive number of hotdogs consumed. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image of a Pixar-style high school cafeteria bustling with 10th-grade students sitting at a long table, eagerly eating hotdogs from a Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition platter. The scene should prominently feature the champion of the eating competition, smiling surrounded by empty hotdog trays, indicative of the impressive number of hotdogs consumed. The number of students enjoying the hotdogs should mirror the number of public school students in 10th grade, creating a vibrant and animated scene within the cafeteria setting.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Number of public school students in 10th grade caused Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion to increase. Include one good pun.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Grade 10 Gastronomy: Exploring the Correlation Between 10th Grade Student Population and Hot Dog Consumption Among Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Champions

Journal of Adolescent Culinary Studies

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Number of public school students in 10th grade and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title seem clever.

Your research team used data from National Center for Education Statistics and Wikipedia to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.8959608 and p < 0.01 for 1990 to 2022.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
"Grade 10 Gastronomy: Exploring the Correlation Between 10th Grade Student Population and Hot Dog Consumption Among Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Champions"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The hot dog, a quintessential American food that has cemented its place in competitive eating history, is not only a staple at backyard barbecues and ball games, but also a subject of fascination in the realm of academic inquiry. This research delves into the uncharted territory of the connection between the number of public school students in 10th grade and the amount of hotdogs devoured by the champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and Wikipedia, our study uncovers a surprisingly strong correlation coefficient of 0.8959608 with a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 1990 to 2022. Our findings not only raise the question of whether adolescent appetite influences future competitive eating prowess but also leave us pondering how to draw a direct line from school cafeterias to the competitive eating stage. This research presents a mouth-watering blend of statistical analysis and good humor, offering food for thought while whetting the appetite for future investigations into the intersections of education and gastronomy.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Number of public school students in 10th grade and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Grade 10 Gastronomy: Exploring the Correlation Between 10th Grade Student Population and Hot Dog Consumption Among Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Champions"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The hot dog, a quintessential American food that has cemented its place in competitive eating history, is not only a staple at backyard barbecues and ball games, but also a subject of fascination in the realm of academic inquiry. This research delves into the uncharted territory of the connection between the number of public school students in 10th grade and the amount of hotdogs devoured by the champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and Wikipedia, our study uncovers a surprisingly strong correlation coefficient of 0.8959608 with a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 1990 to 2022. Our findings not only raise the question of whether adolescent appetite influences future competitive eating prowess but also leave us pondering how to draw a direct line from school cafeterias to the competitive eating stage. This research presents a mouth-watering blend of statistical analysis and good humor, offering food for thought while whetting the appetite for future investigations into the intersections of education and gastronomy.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

The world of competitive eating has long been a subject of fascination, attracting both admirers of elite gastronomic feats and those with a morbid curiosity about the limits of the human stomach. While the spectacle of consuming copious amounts of hotdogs in a short amount of time may seem like a frivolous pursuit, it has drawn the attention of both the scientifically minded and the casually curious. In this paper, we delve into the tantalizing realm of competitive eating to explore the unexpected correlation between the number of public school students in 10th grade and the hot dog consumption of the illustrious champions of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition.

As we embark on this gastronomic quest, we cannot help but ponder the whimsical nature of our inquiry. Who would have thought that the adolescent population in 10th grade and the consumption of hotdogs by competitive eating champions could have any connection? It is as if the universe is tempting us to unravel the enigmatic ties between pubescent palates and prodigious hotdog consumption. With our tongues planted firmly in our cheeks, we set out to dissect this curious relationship with methodological rigor and a dash of cheeky humor.

The title of our paper, "Grade 10 Gastronomy," encapsulates the essence of our endeavor. It is a play on words that marries the academic concept of grade levels with the culinary prowess displayed in the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. And indeed, our findings promise to serve up a delectable blend of statistical analysis and culinary amusement, leaving readers both sated and craving more. Without further ado, let us embark on our scholarly escapade into the realms of education, appetite, and competitive eating.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Number of public school students in 10th grade and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name a few real TV shows that sound like they might be relevant to the topic that you watched as research.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Grade 10 Gastronomy: Exploring the Correlation Between 10th Grade Student Population and Hot Dog Consumption Among Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Champions"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The hot dog, a quintessential American food that has cemented its place in competitive eating history, is not only a staple at backyard barbecues and ball games, but also a subject of fascination in the realm of academic inquiry. This research delves into the uncharted territory of the connection between the number of public school students in 10th grade and the amount of hotdogs devoured by the champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and Wikipedia, our study uncovers a surprisingly strong correlation coefficient of 0.8959608 with a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 1990 to 2022. Our findings not only raise the question of whether adolescent appetite influences future competitive eating prowess but also leave us pondering how to draw a direct line from school cafeterias to the competitive eating stage. This research presents a mouth-watering blend of statistical analysis and good humor, offering food for thought while whetting the appetite for future investigations into the intersections of education and gastronomy.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The world of competitive eating has long been a subject of fascination, attracting both admirers of elite gastronomic feats and those with a morbid curiosity about the limits of the human stomach. While the spectacle of consuming copious amounts of hotdogs in a short amount of time may seem like a frivolous pursuit, it has drawn the attention of both the scientifically minded and the casually curious. In this paper, we delve into the tantalizing realm of competitive eating to explore the unexpected correlation between the number of public school students in 10th grade and the hot dog consumption of the illustrious champions of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition.
As we embark on this gastronomic quest, we cannot help but ponder the whimsical nature of our inquiry. Who would have thought that the adolescent population in 10th grade and the consumption of hotdogs by competitive eating champions could have any connection? It is as if the universe is tempting us to unravel the enigmatic ties between pubescent palates and prodigious hotdog consumption. With our tongues planted firmly in our cheeks, we set out to dissect this curious relationship with methodological rigor and a dash of cheeky humor.
The title of our paper, "Grade 10 Gastronomy," encapsulates the essence of our endeavor. It is a play on words that marries the academic concept of grade levels with the culinary prowess displayed in the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. And indeed, our findings promise to serve up a delectable blend of statistical analysis and culinary amusement, leaving readers both sated and craving more. Without further ado, let us embark on our scholarly escapade into the realms of education, appetite, and competitive eating.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

Smith (2015) delves into the world of competitive eating, examining the physiologic and psychological factors that drive individuals to consume astonishing quantities of hotdogs in a matter of minutes. The study sheds light on the intense training regimens and mental strategies employed by competitive eaters, offering a serious examination of a seemingly frivolous pursuit. Smith's work sets the stage for our investigation, prompting us to consider the broader social and cultural influences that may shape competitive eating champions.

Building on Smith's groundwork, Doe (2017) explores the role of adolescent dietary habits in shaping future eating behaviors. Doe's study highlights the impact of school lunch programs and peer influence on the food choices of tenth graders, providing a lens through which we may examine the formative years of competitive eaters. The correlation between educational environment and gastronomic proclivities begins to emerge, fueling our curiosity and appetite for further inquiry.

Jones (2019) contributes a comprehensive analysis of the historical evolution of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, tracing its roots in Coney Island to its current status as a celebrated annual event. The intersection of tradition, spectacle, and culinary prowess on the competitive eating stage becomes palpable through Jones's meticulous account, inviting us to consider the broader cultural and historical backdrop against which our investigation unfolds.

Turning to non-fiction literature, "The Science of Eating: A Gastronomic Exploration" by Foodie Guru (2020) offers a foray into the physiological and psychological aspects of human consumption, presenting a serious examination of the digestive processes and sensory experiences that underpin our interactions with food. Though not directly related to competitive eating, the book provides valuable insights into the complexities of human appetite and the mechanisms that govern our culinary inclinations.

In a similar vein, "Food, Culture, and Society" by Culinary Scholar (2018) delves into the multifaceted relationships between food and human civilization, offering a scholarly perspective on the sociocultural dimensions of gastronomy. While the book's focus extends beyond competitive eating, its exploration of culinary traditions and social practices lays a foundation for considering the broader implications of our research findings within the context of societal norms and dietary customs.

On a more whimsical note, the fictional work "The Glutton's Gambit" by Nosh Novelist (2016) weaves a comedic tale of gastronomic escapades, featuring a protagonist whose insatiable appetite leads them to unexpected culinary conquests. While purely fictitious, the novel injects a lighthearted twist into the exploration of voracious eating habits, reminding us that the pursuit of gastronomic indulgence can be a source of playful amusement as well.

Similarly, "Eating for Victory: A Culinary Odyssey" by Epicurean Explorer (2014) transports readers into a world of epicurean adventures and culinary escapades, presenting a fictional account of individuals driven by their insatiable appetites to conquer gastronomic challenges. The book infuses our literary landscape with a sense of whimsy and adventure, inviting us to view the pursuit of prodigious food consumption through a lens of playful indulgence.

In the realm of popular culture, the television show "Munch Madness" offers a tantalizing glimpse into the world of competitive eating, following the journeys of aspiring contestants as they vie for glory in a series of gastronomic challenges. The show's portrayal of larger-than-life characters and outlandish eating feats provides a light-hearted yet insightful window into the competitive eating subculture, adding a touch of entertainment to our scholarly pursuits.

Likewise, "Culinary Quests: A Gastronomic Expedition" explores a diverse array of culinary traditions and gastronomic wonders, traversing the globe in pursuit of extraordinary food experiences. While not directly focused on competitive eating, the show's celebration of culinary diversity and gastronomic adventures enriches our understanding of the diverse culinary landscapes that shape our gastronomic inclinations.

As we navigate the diverse realms of literature and popular media, we find ourselves immersed in a rich tapestry of scholarly inquiry, creative storytelling, and culinary escapades. The convergence of serious academic discourse, playful fiction, and lighthearted entertainment sets the stage for a thoroughly engaging exploration of the connections between 10th grade student population and hotdog consumption among Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champions.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Number of public school students in 10th grade and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from National Center for Education Statistics and Wikipedia . You used data from 1990 to 2022

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Grade 10 Gastronomy: Exploring the Correlation Between 10th Grade Student Population and Hot Dog Consumption Among Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Champions"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The hot dog, a quintessential American food that has cemented its place in competitive eating history, is not only a staple at backyard barbecues and ball games, but also a subject of fascination in the realm of academic inquiry. This research delves into the uncharted territory of the connection between the number of public school students in 10th grade and the amount of hotdogs devoured by the champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and Wikipedia, our study uncovers a surprisingly strong correlation coefficient of 0.8959608 with a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 1990 to 2022. Our findings not only raise the question of whether adolescent appetite influences future competitive eating prowess but also leave us pondering how to draw a direct line from school cafeterias to the competitive eating stage. This research presents a mouth-watering blend of statistical analysis and good humor, offering food for thought while whetting the appetite for future investigations into the intersections of education and gastronomy.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
The world of competitive eating has long been a subject of fascination, attracting both admirers of elite gastronomic feats and those with a morbid curiosity about the limits of the human stomach. While the spectacle of consuming copious amounts of hotdogs in a short amount of time may seem like a frivolous pursuit, it has drawn the attention of both the scientifically minded and the casually curious. In this paper, we delve into the tantalizing realm of competitive eating to explore the unexpected correlation between the number of public school students in 10th grade and the hot dog consumption of the illustrious champions of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition.
As we embark on this gastronomic quest, we cannot help but ponder the whimsical nature of our inquiry. Who would have thought that the adolescent population in 10th grade and the consumption of hotdogs by competitive eating champions could have any connection? It is as if the universe is tempting us to unravel the enigmatic ties between pubescent palates and prodigious hotdog consumption. With our tongues planted firmly in our cheeks, we set out to dissect this curious relationship with methodological rigor and a dash of cheeky humor.
The title of our paper, "Grade 10 Gastronomy," encapsulates the essence of our endeavor. It is a play on words that marries the academic concept of grade levels with the culinary prowess displayed in the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. And indeed, our findings promise to serve up a delectable blend of statistical analysis and culinary amusement, leaving readers both sated and craving more. Without further ado, let us embark on our scholarly escapade into the realms of education, appetite, and competitive eating.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To sink our teeth into the tantalizing question of the correlation between the number of 10th-grade students in public schools and the quantity of hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champions, our research team employed a multi-faceted and somewhat unconventional methodology. With the fervor of a competitive eater eyeing the grand prize, we scoured the vast expanse of the internet, meticulously gathering data from the National Center for Education Statistics and Wikipedia. Our analysis covered the years spanning from 1990 to 2022, a period that witnessed both the evolution of educational demographics and the triumphs of voracious victors on the competitive eating stage.

To construct the foundation of our study, we began by extracting the statistical data depicting the number of 10th-grade students enrolled in public schools across different states and districts. This process entailed navigating through the labyrinth of educational databases with the finesse of a seasoned hotdog aficionado assembling the perfect relish-and-mustard ratio. Our team also turned to the ever-reliable Wikipedia, venturing into the digital corridors of knowledge to obtain comprehensive information about the esteemed champions of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition during the designated timeframe.

After consolidating the raw data, we embarked on the arduous journey of scrubbing and prepping the datasets, akin to the meticulous preparation that goes into crafting the ultimate hotdog masterpiece. Ensuring the accuracy and integrity of the information required a judicious blend of spreadsheet wizardry and astute fact-checking, akin to the meticulous scrutiny that a competitive eater bestows upon the length of the sausage and the softness of the bun.

With our dataset primed and ready for the main course of analysis, we applied robust statistical techniques to unearth the elusive relationship between these seemingly disparate variables. Utilizing the power of correlation analysis, we sought to uncover whether the number of 10th-grade students served as a predictor for the astonishing hotdog consumption capabilities displayed by the champions of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. The statistical rigour applied to our analysis would make even the most dedicated competitive eaters appreciate the art of precision in our investigation.

Furthermore, in a nod to the whimsy of our research endeavor, we augmented our quantitative analysis with a touch of qualitative insight, presenting colorful anecdotes and trivia related to the hotdog-eating champions to infuse our findings with an extra sprinkling of zest and amusement. In doing so, we aimed to cast a spotlight on the human narratives behind the consummate consumption of hotdogs, offering a side dish of storytelling to complement the main course of statistical scrutiny.

Complemented by the use of robust statistical software and a pinch of lighthearted curiosity, our methodology combined the precision of scientific inquiry with the whimsy of culinary capers. The resulting blend is akin to a finely crafted hotdog – an amalgamation of elements meticulously prepared to entice the senses and provoke contemplation.

In summary, our methodology encapsulated the spirit of curiosity, precision, and humor, serving as the solid foundation upon which our findings emerged, sizzling with statistical significance and a dash of levity.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Number of public school students in 10th grade and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from National Center for Education Statistics and Wikipedia .

For the time period 1990 to 2022, you found a correlation 0.8959608, r-squared of 0.8027458, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Grade 10 Gastronomy: Exploring the Correlation Between 10th Grade Student Population and Hot Dog Consumption Among Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Champions"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The hot dog, a quintessential American food that has cemented its place in competitive eating history, is not only a staple at backyard barbecues and ball games, but also a subject of fascination in the realm of academic inquiry. This research delves into the uncharted territory of the connection between the number of public school students in 10th grade and the amount of hotdogs devoured by the champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and Wikipedia, our study uncovers a surprisingly strong correlation coefficient of 0.8959608 with a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 1990 to 2022. Our findings not only raise the question of whether adolescent appetite influences future competitive eating prowess but also leave us pondering how to draw a direct line from school cafeterias to the competitive eating stage. This research presents a mouth-watering blend of statistical analysis and good humor, offering food for thought while whetting the appetite for future investigations into the intersections of education and gastronomy.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
The world of competitive eating has long been a subject of fascination, attracting both admirers of elite gastronomic feats and those with a morbid curiosity about the limits of the human stomach. While the spectacle of consuming copious amounts of hotdogs in a short amount of time may seem like a frivolous pursuit, it has drawn the attention of both the scientifically minded and the casually curious. In this paper, we delve into the tantalizing realm of competitive eating to explore the unexpected correlation between the number of public school students in 10th grade and the hot dog consumption of the illustrious champions of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition.
As we embark on this gastronomic quest, we cannot help but ponder the whimsical nature of our inquiry. Who would have thought that the adolescent population in 10th grade and the consumption of hotdogs by competitive eating champions could have any connection? It is as if the universe is tempting us to unravel the enigmatic ties between pubescent palates and prodigious hotdog consumption. With our tongues planted firmly in our cheeks, we set out to dissect this curious relationship with methodological rigor and a dash of cheeky humor.
The title of our paper, "Grade 10 Gastronomy," encapsulates the essence of our endeavor. It is a play on words that marries the academic concept of grade levels with the culinary prowess displayed in the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. And indeed, our findings promise to serve up a delectable blend of statistical analysis and culinary amusement, leaving readers both sated and craving more. Without further ado, let us embark on our scholarly escapade into the realms of education, appetite, and competitive eating.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

In scrutinizing the data gathered from the National Center for Education Statistics and Wikipedia, our investigation revealed a commendable correlation between the number of 10th-grade public school students and the quantity of hotdogs wolfed down by the esteemed champions of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. The correlation coefficient of 0.8959608 suggests a robust positive relationship between these seemingly disparate variables, indicating that as the number of 10th-grade students swells, so does the staggering hotdog consumption of the competitive eating virtuosos. The r-squared value of 0.8027458 reinforces the strength of this association, further solidifying the flavorful link between adolescent academia and gustatory grandeur.

Notably, our findings indicate a statistically significant correlation, with a p-value less than 0.01, underscoring the reliability and validity of this curious connection. Fig. 1 elucidates this correlation visually, showcasing a scatterplot that convincingly portrays the strong positive relationship between these unassuming variables. The figure encapsulates the essence of our discovery, offering a visual feast of data that tantalizingly underscores the remarkable link between educational enrollment and competitive eating conquests.

While it may seem whimsical at first glance, the implications of our findings are far-reaching, raising thought-provoking questions and tickling the intellectual palate. The tantalizing question of whether the adolescent ambiance enriches the competitive eating landscape, or if it is merely a spicy coincidence, piques the curiosity of scholarly gourmands. Our research not only underscores the fascinating interplay between education and culinary prowess but also serves as a reminder that even the most lighthearted inquiries can yield significant discoveries.

In summary, our study provides compelling evidence of a striking correlation between the number of 10th-grade students in public schools and the hotdog consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champions. These unexpected findings offer a tantalizing blend of statistical intrigue and gastronomic amusement, challenging conventional notions of academic exploration while kindling a voracious appetite for future scholarly forays into the quirky intersections of education and gastronomy.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Number of public school students in 10th grade and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"Grade 10 Gastronomy: Exploring the Correlation Between 10th Grade Student Population and Hot Dog Consumption Among Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Champions"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The hot dog, a quintessential American food that has cemented its place in competitive eating history, is not only a staple at backyard barbecues and ball games, but also a subject of fascination in the realm of academic inquiry. This research delves into the uncharted territory of the connection between the number of public school students in 10th grade and the amount of hotdogs devoured by the champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and Wikipedia, our study uncovers a surprisingly strong correlation coefficient of 0.8959608 with a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 1990 to 2022. Our findings not only raise the question of whether adolescent appetite influences future competitive eating prowess but also leave us pondering how to draw a direct line from school cafeterias to the competitive eating stage. This research presents a mouth-watering blend of statistical analysis and good humor, offering food for thought while whetting the appetite for future investigations into the intersections of education and gastronomy.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
Smith (2015) delves into the world of competitive eating, examining the physiologic and psychological factors that drive individuals to consume astonishing quantities of hotdogs in a matter of minutes. The study sheds light on the intense training regimens and mental strategies employed by competitive eaters, offering a serious examination of a seemingly frivolous pursuit. Smith's work sets the stage for our investigation, prompting us to consider the broader social and cultural influences that may shape competitive eating champions.
Building on Smith's groundwork, Doe (2017) explores the role of adolescent dietary habits in shaping future eating behaviors. Doe's study highlights the impact of school lunch programs and peer influence on the food choices of tenth graders, providing a lens through which we may examine the formative years of competitive eaters. The correlation between educational environment and gastronomic proclivities begins to emerge, fueling our curiosity and appetite for further inquiry.
Jones (2019) contributes a comprehensive analysis of the historical evolution of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, tracing its roots in Coney Island to its current status as a celebrated annual event. The intersection of tradition, spectacle, and culinary prowess on the competitive eating stage becomes palpable through Jones's meticulous account, inviting us to consider the broader cultural and historical backdrop against which our investigation unfolds.
Turning to non-fiction literature, "The Science of Eating: A Gastronomic Exploration" by Foodie Guru (2020) offers a foray into the physiological and psychological aspects of human consumption, presenting a serious examination of the digestive processes and sensory experiences that underpin our interactions with food. Though not directly related to competitive eating, the book provides valuable insights into the complexities of human appetite and the mechanisms that govern our culinary inclinations.
In a similar vein, "Food, Culture, and Society" by Culinary Scholar (2018) delves into the multifaceted relationships between food and human civilization, offering a scholarly perspective on the sociocultural dimensions of gastronomy. While the book's focus extends beyond competitive eating, its exploration of culinary traditions and social practices lays a foundation for considering the broader implications of our research findings within the context of societal norms and dietary customs.
On a more whimsical note, the fictional work "The Glutton's Gambit" by Nosh Novelist (2016) weaves a comedic tale of gastronomic escapades, featuring a protagonist whose insatiable appetite leads them to unexpected culinary conquests. While purely fictitious, the novel injects a lighthearted twist into the exploration of voracious eating habits, reminding us that the pursuit of gastronomic indulgence can be a source of playful amusement as well.
Similarly, "Eating for Victory: A Culinary Odyssey" by Epicurean Explorer (2014) transports readers into a world of epicurean adventures and culinary escapades, presenting a fictional account of individuals driven by their insatiable appetites to conquer gastronomic challenges. The book infuses our literary landscape with a sense of whimsy and adventure, inviting us to view the pursuit of prodigious food consumption through a lens of playful indulgence.
In the realm of popular culture, the television show "Munch Madness" offers a tantalizing glimpse into the world of competitive eating, following the journeys of aspiring contestants as they vie for glory in a series of gastronomic challenges. The show's portrayal of larger-than-life characters and outlandish eating feats provides a light-hearted yet insightful window into the competitive eating subculture, adding a touch of entertainment to our scholarly pursuits.
Likewise, "Culinary Quests: A Gastronomic Expedition" explores a diverse array of culinary traditions and gastronomic wonders, traversing the globe in pursuit of extraordinary food experiences. While not directly focused on competitive eating, the show's celebration of culinary diversity and gastronomic adventures enriches our understanding of the diverse culinary landscapes that shape our gastronomic inclinations.
As we navigate the diverse realms of literature and popular media, we find ourselves immersed in a rich tapestry of scholarly inquiry, creative storytelling, and culinary escapades. The convergence of serious academic discourse, playful fiction, and lighthearted entertainment sets the stage for a thoroughly engaging exploration of the connections between 10th grade student population and hotdog consumption among Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champions.

[[RESULTS]]
In scrutinizing the data gathered from the National Center for Education Statistics and Wikipedia, our investigation revealed a commendable correlation between the number of 10th-grade public school students and the quantity of hotdogs wolfed down by the esteemed champions of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. The correlation coefficient of 0.8959608 suggests a robust positive relationship between these seemingly disparate variables, indicating that as the number of 10th-grade students swells, so does the staggering hotdog consumption of the competitive eating virtuosos. The r-squared value of 0.8027458 reinforces the strength of this association, further solidifying the flavorful link between adolescent academia and gustatory grandeur.
Notably, our findings indicate a statistically significant correlation, with a p-value less than 0.01, underscoring the reliability and validity of this curious connection. Fig. 1 elucidates this correlation visually, showcasing a scatterplot that convincingly portrays the strong positive relationship between these unassuming variables. The figure encapsulates the essence of our discovery, offering a visual feast of data that tantalizingly underscores the remarkable link between educational enrollment and competitive eating conquests.
While it may seem whimsical at first glance, the implications of our findings are far-reaching, raising thought-provoking questions and tickling the intellectual palate. The tantalizing question of whether the adolescent ambiance enriches the competitive eating landscape, or if it is merely a spicy coincidence, piques the curiosity of scholarly gourmands. Our research not only underscores the fascinating interplay between education and culinary prowess but also serves as a reminder that even the most lighthearted inquiries can yield significant discoveries.
In summary, our study provides compelling evidence of a striking correlation between the number of 10th-grade students in public schools and the hotdog consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champions. These unexpected findings offer a tantalizing blend of statistical intrigue and gastronomic amusement, challenging conventional notions of academic exploration while kindling a voracious appetite for future scholarly forays into the quirky intersections of education and gastronomy.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The sizzling correlation between the number of 10th-grade students in public schools and the prodigious hotdog consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champions not only validates our empirical investigation but also adds a dash of spicy intrigue to the scholarly menu. Our findings build upon the substantial research foundation laid by Smith (2015) and Doe (2017) who, albeit in a more conventional tone, hinted at the formative influence of adolescent dietary habits on future eating behaviors. By taking their serious inquiries, and wrapping them in a bun of literal correlations, we have not only added relish to the literature but uncovered a juicy connection worthy of further explorations in the curious landscape of gastronomic scholarship.

The robust positive relationship elucidated by our research echoes the sentiments of Jones (2019), albeit in a manner that would have surely surprised the Coney Island hot dog aficionados of yesteryears. The historical evolution of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, as chronicled by Jones, sets the stage for our unexpected discovery, perhaps subtly hinting at the educational and cultural underpinnings that may nourish champions of hotdog hegemony.

Our surprise findings are a testament to the lighthearted yet insightful nature of literature and popular culture. While "The Science of Eating" by Foodie Guru (2020) offered a serious exploration of the physiological and psychological aspects of human consumption, it inadvertently bolstered our findings by underscoring the complex interplay of appetite and achievement. Similarly, the fictional novels by Nosh Novelist (2016) and Epicurean Explorer (2014) injected a sense of playful indulgence into the pursuit of gustatory conquests, foreshadowing, in their own peculiar way, the joyous revelations brought forth by our empirical investigation.

The statistical robustness of the correlation, complete with its p-value less than 0.01, adds a pinch of scholarly spice to the gastronomic narrative. The visual feast provided by Fig. 1 not only serves as a delectable entrée but also highlights the versatility of data visualization in presenting unconventional yet substantiated discoveries. Our study, though starting with a playful premise, has unearthed a savory relationship that challenges preconceived notions and beckons future scholars to explore the quirky crossroads of education and epicurean exploits.

In conclusion, our research offers a delectable blend of serious statistical inquiry and literary whimsy, underscoring the unexpected yet compelling connection between the number of 10th-grade students and the extraordinary hotdog consumption at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. This impromptu pairing of academic scholarship and culinary curiosity invites further investigations into the uncharted territories of gastronomic influence, providing a flavorful feast for scholarly appetites.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Number of public school students in 10th grade and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"Grade 10 Gastronomy: Exploring the Correlation Between 10th Grade Student Population and Hot Dog Consumption Among Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Champions"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The hot dog, a quintessential American food that has cemented its place in competitive eating history, is not only a staple at backyard barbecues and ball games, but also a subject of fascination in the realm of academic inquiry. This research delves into the uncharted territory of the connection between the number of public school students in 10th grade and the amount of hotdogs devoured by the champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and Wikipedia, our study uncovers a surprisingly strong correlation coefficient of 0.8959608 with a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 1990 to 2022. Our findings not only raise the question of whether adolescent appetite influences future competitive eating prowess but also leave us pondering how to draw a direct line from school cafeterias to the competitive eating stage. This research presents a mouth-watering blend of statistical analysis and good humor, offering food for thought while whetting the appetite for future investigations into the intersections of education and gastronomy.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The world of competitive eating has long been a subject of fascination, attracting both admirers of elite gastronomic feats and those with a morbid curiosity about the limits of the human stomach. While the spectacle of consuming copious amounts of hotdogs in a short amount of time may seem like a frivolous pursuit, it has drawn the attention of both the scientifically minded and the casually curious. In this paper, we delve into the tantalizing realm of competitive eating to explore the unexpected correlation between the number of public school students in 10th grade and the hot dog consumption of the illustrious champions of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition.
As we embark on this gastronomic quest, we cannot help but ponder the whimsical nature of our inquiry. Who would have thought that the adolescent population in 10th grade and the consumption of hotdogs by competitive eating champions could have any connection? It is as if the universe is tempting us to unravel the enigmatic ties between pubescent palates and prodigious hotdog consumption. With our tongues planted firmly in our cheeks, we set out to dissect this curious relationship with methodological rigor and a dash of cheeky humor.
The title of our paper, "Grade 10 Gastronomy," encapsulates the essence of our endeavor. It is a play on words that marries the academic concept of grade levels with the culinary prowess displayed in the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. And indeed, our findings promise to serve up a delectable blend of statistical analysis and culinary amusement, leaving readers both sated and craving more. Without further ado, let us embark on our scholarly escapade into the realms of education, appetite, and competitive eating.

[[RESULTS]]
In scrutinizing the data gathered from the National Center for Education Statistics and Wikipedia, our investigation revealed a commendable correlation between the number of 10th-grade public school students and the quantity of hotdogs wolfed down by the esteemed champions of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. The correlation coefficient of 0.8959608 suggests a robust positive relationship between these seemingly disparate variables, indicating that as the number of 10th-grade students swells, so does the staggering hotdog consumption of the competitive eating virtuosos. The r-squared value of 0.8027458 reinforces the strength of this association, further solidifying the flavorful link between adolescent academia and gustatory grandeur.
Notably, our findings indicate a statistically significant correlation, with a p-value less than 0.01, underscoring the reliability and validity of this curious connection. Fig. 1 elucidates this correlation visually, showcasing a scatterplot that convincingly portrays the strong positive relationship between these unassuming variables. The figure encapsulates the essence of our discovery, offering a visual feast of data that tantalizingly underscores the remarkable link between educational enrollment and competitive eating conquests.
While it may seem whimsical at first glance, the implications of our findings are far-reaching, raising thought-provoking questions and tickling the intellectual palate. The tantalizing question of whether the adolescent ambiance enriches the competitive eating landscape, or if it is merely a spicy coincidence, piques the curiosity of scholarly gourmands. Our research not only underscores the fascinating interplay between education and culinary prowess but also serves as a reminder that even the most lighthearted inquiries can yield significant discoveries.
In summary, our study provides compelling evidence of a striking correlation between the number of 10th-grade students in public schools and the hotdog consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champions. These unexpected findings offer a tantalizing blend of statistical intrigue and gastronomic amusement, challenging conventional notions of academic exploration while kindling a voracious appetite for future scholarly forays into the quirky intersections of education and gastronomy.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

As we conclude our gastronomic odyssey through the labyrinth of statistical analysis and competitive eating conquests, we find ourselves in awe of the unexpected link between 10th-grade student populations and the prodigious hotdog consumption of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champions. The robust correlation coefficient of 0.8959608, akin to a well-grilled hotdog, highlights the sizzling association between these seemingly unrelated variables. It seems that the adolescent ambiance may indeed enrich the competitive eating landscape, or perhaps this correlation is as surprising as finding a pair of hotdogs in a bun – a delicious coincidence, both puzzling and delightful.

Our study not only raises eyebrows but also tickles the taste buds of academic inquiry, demonstrating the delectable potential of quirky research questions to yield significant findings. The visually savory scatterplot in Fig. 1 serves as a reminder that even the most offbeat inquiries can bear fruit (or in this case, hotdogs) in the world of scholarly exploration.

In the spirit of scholarly rigor and culinary levity, we assert that no further research is needed in this area. Our findings serve as a reminder that even the most whimsical inquiries can offer food for thought, leaving us both sated and hungry for more. As we bid adieu to our academically seasoned hotdog escapade, let us part ways with the knowledge that the educational journey and the culinary quest are intertwined in ways more flavorful than we could have ever imagined.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Grade 10 Gastronomy: Exploring the Correlation Between 10th Grade Student Population and Hot Dog Consumption Among Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Champions. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

Journal of Adolescent Culinary Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Grade 10 Gastronomy: Exploring the Correlation Between 10th Grade Student Population and Hot Dog Consumption Among Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Champions. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Adolescent Palate Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Grade 10 Gastronomy: Exploring the Correlation Between 10th Grade Student Population and Hot Dog Consumption Among Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Champions with an abstract of The hot dog, a quintessential American food that has cemented its place in competitive eating history, is not only a staple at backyard barbecues and ball games, but also a subject of fascination in the realm of academic inquiry. This research delves into the uncharted territory of the connection between the number of public school students in 10th grade and the amount of hotdogs devoured by the champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and Wikipedia, our study uncovers a surprisingly strong correlation coefficient of 0.8959608 with a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 1990 to 2022. Our findings not only raise the question of whether adolescent appetite influences future competitive eating prowess but also leave us pondering how to draw a direct line from school cafeterias to the competitive eating stage. This research presents a mouth-watering blend of statistical analysis and good humor, offering food for thought while whetting the appetite for future investigations into the intersections of education and gastronomy.

ChatGPT:

Gastronomy, 10th grade students, hot dog consumption, Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, correlation, National Center for Education Statistics, competitive eating history, school cafeteria, adolescent appetite, academic inquiry, statistical analysis

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Number of public school students in 10th grade
Detailed data title: 10th grade enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools
Source: National Center for Education Statistics
See what else correlates with Number of public school students in 10th grade

Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion
Detailed data title: Hotdog Consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion
Source: Wikipedia
See what else correlates with Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

Correlation r = 0.8959608 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.8027458 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 80.3% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Number of public school students in 10th grade) over the 33 years from 1990 through 2022.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 1.9E-12. 0.0000000000018629334154828190
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.9 in 1.9E-10% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 536,787,837,767 random variables You don't actually need 536 billion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 32 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 32 because we have two variables measured over a period of 33 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.8, 0.95 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
Number of public school students in 10th grade (Students)289555029154203027270305040031312303237390332317033764603382130341539034910103527860358441036752603750490386616038822003862850382220038091403799880375138037299603760560379389038460403859680383372038492203868250389379038622504025810
Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion (Hotdogs eaten)1621.519172019.522.2524.51920.25255050.544.553.334953.7566596854626869616270727471757663




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
    Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([2895550,2915420,3027270,3050400,3131230,3237390,3323170,3376460,3382130,3415390,3491010,3527860,3584410,3675260,3750490,3866160,3882200,3862850,3822200,3809140,3799880,3751380,3729960,3760560,3793890,3846040,3859680,3833720,3849220,3868250,3893790,3862250,4025810,])
array_2 = np.array([16,21.5,19,17,20,19.5,22.25,24.5,19,20.25,25,50,50.5,44.5,53.33,49,53.75,66,59,68,54,62,68,69,61,62,70,72,74,71,75,76,63,])
array_1_name = "Number of public school students in 10th grade"
array_2_name = "Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 1683 · Black Variable ID: 1308 · Red Variable ID: 500
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