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Spurious correlation #1,278 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Wind power generated in Luxembourg and the second variable is Automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA.  The chart goes from 1997 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image

AI explanation

As Wind power in Luxembourg increased, it led to a rise in the local butterfly population. These butterflies, known for their erratic flight patterns, ventured across borders and disrupted the aerodynamics of Mercedes-Benz cars in the US, prompting a wave of automotive recalls. It seems the 'fluttery' effect of Luxembourg's green energy ultimately set off a chain reaction in the automotive industry!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Prompt: Generate an image that encapsulates the serene landscape of Luxembourg, with elegant wind turbines spinning in the distance. As the wind power intensifies, it lifts delicate particles of cheese into the air, creating an ethereal atmosphere. Meanwhile, in the USA, visualize the hoods of Mercedes-Benz cars accumulating an unusual amount of gouda cheese in their engine compartments, leading to perplexed and frustrated car owners. The scene should capture the juxtaposition of nature's influence and technological confusion. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the situation described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here is a situation: As the wind power in Luxembourg increased, it caused a surge in airborne cheese particles, leading to a malfunction in Mercedes-Benz USA cars due to excessive gouda buildup in the engine.. Given that situation, which of the following image descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand and the tone of the explanation. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Sci-fi fantacy Woodblock painting A TIME magazine cover image Glitch art 3D Pixar Style
ChatGPT: Glitch art

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated and the explanation described. Do not reference graphs or charts; describe physical objects.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that depicts the following situation. Keep the description simple. As the wind power in Luxembourg increased, it caused a surge in airborne cheese particles, leading to a malfunction in Mercedes-Benz USA cars due to excessive gouda buildup in the engine.
ChatGPT: Imagine a serene scene in Luxembourg, with wind turbines spinning gracefully in the background. As the wind power increases, it causes small particles of cheese to be lifted into the air. Meanwhile, in the USA, the hoods of Mercedes-Benz cars are shown with an unusual amount of gouda cheese accumulating in the engine compartments, causing confusion and frustration for car owners.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Glitch art ] and depicting this scene: Imagine a serene scene in Luxembourg, with wind turbines spinning gracefully in the background. As the wind power increases, it causes small particles of cheese to be lifted into the air. Meanwhile, in the USA, the hoods of Mercedes-Benz cars are shown with an unusual amount of gouda cheese accumulating in the engine compartments, causing confusion and frustration for car owners. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Prompt: Generate an image that encapsulates the serene landscape of Luxembourg, with elegant wind turbines spinning in the distance. As the wind power intensifies, it lifts delicate particles of cheese into the air, creating an ethereal atmosphere. Meanwhile, in the USA, visualize the hoods of Mercedes-Benz cars accumulating an unusual amount of gouda cheese in their engine compartments, leading to perplexed and frustrated car owners. The scene should capture the juxtaposition of nature's influence and technological confusion.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Wind power generated in Luxembourg caused Automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA to increase.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
The Peculiar Correlation: Luxembourg Wind Power and Mercedes-Benz Recalls

The Journal of Eccentric Correlations

Jan 2024
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Wind power generated in Luxembourg and Automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Rhyme words in the title.

Your research team used data from Energy Information Administration and US DOT to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9512778 and p < 0.01 for 1997 to 2021.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
The Peculiar Correlation: Luxembourg Wind Power and Mercedes-Benz Recalls

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study aims to disentangle the unanticipated relationship between wind power generation in the minuscule yet mighty country of Luxembourg and the issuance of automotive recalls by the esteemed Mercedes-Benz USA. Drawing on data from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation from 1997 to 2021, a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9512778 was observed, with a p-value of less than 0.01. These findings suggest a remarkably strong link between the gentle breezes of Luxembourg and the mechanical quibbles of Mercedes-Benz vehicles, intriguingly defying conventional wisdom and inviting further inquiry into the whimsical interplay of renewable energy and automotive engineering. Our results, though unexpected, provide a lighthearted reminder of the whimsical ways in which the world of science and industry can intersect, and certainly offer food for thought – or perhaps a gust of wind – for future research endeavors.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Wind power generated in Luxembourg and Automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Peculiar Correlation: Luxembourg Wind Power and Mercedes-Benz Recalls

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study aims to disentangle the unanticipated relationship between wind power generation in the minuscule yet mighty country of Luxembourg and the issuance of automotive recalls by the esteemed Mercedes-Benz USA. Drawing on data from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation from 1997 to 2021, a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9512778 was observed, with a p-value of less than 0.01. These findings suggest a remarkably strong link between the gentle breezes of Luxembourg and the mechanical quibbles of Mercedes-Benz vehicles, intriguingly defying conventional wisdom and inviting further inquiry into the whimsical interplay of renewable energy and automotive engineering. Our results, though unexpected, provide a lighthearted reminder of the whimsical ways in which the world of science and industry can intersect, and certainly offer food for thought – or perhaps a gust of wind – for future research endeavors.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

The enigmatic dance of variables in the realm of scientific inquiry often leads to serendipitous discoveries and unforeseen correlations that provoke both fascination and skepticism. The relationship between renewable energy sources and industrial phenomena has been a subject of ongoing investigation, with researchers eagerly seeking to uncover the intricate connections that permeate the fabric of our technologically driven world. Within this intricate tapestry, the intersection of Luxembourg's wind power generation and the recall activities of Mercedes-Benz USA presents a perplexing conundrum – a whimsical waltz of elements that seemingly transcend the boundaries of conventional causality.

As we delve into the peculiar correlation between these seemingly disparate domains, it is essential to adopt a stance of cautious curiosity, allowing for both the rigor of statistical analysis and the playful agility of the unexpected to guide our exploration. The data, while initially met with raised eyebrows and quizzical expressions, ultimately revealed a coefficient of correlation so remarkably high that it could almost be considered a celestial alignment rather than a mere statistical artefact. The emergence of such a robust association between the zephyrs of Luxembourg and the mechanical tribulations of Mercedes-Benz vehicles beckons us to embark on a lighthearted journey of scientific investigation, embracing the unpredictability of scientific inquiry with a wry smile and a raised eyebrow.

As we unravel the nuances of this unlikely bond, it becomes evident that the whims of wind and the quirks of automotive engineering may not be as dichotomous as one might assume. The subtle interplay of forces, both natural and engineered, invites us to ponder the delightful serendipity that often accompanies empirical research. Our aim, therefore, is to offer a whimsically analytical perspective on this unforeseen relationship, infusing the rigidity of statistical analysis with a sprightly dash of levity and mirth. In doing so, we aspire to kindle an appreciation for the capricious nature of scientific exploration, celebrating the harmonious fusion of precision and playfulness in the pursuit of discovery.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Wind power generated in Luxembourg and Automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then you might move on to cartoons and children's shows that you watched for research.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Peculiar Correlation: Luxembourg Wind Power and Mercedes-Benz Recalls

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study aims to disentangle the unanticipated relationship between wind power generation in the minuscule yet mighty country of Luxembourg and the issuance of automotive recalls by the esteemed Mercedes-Benz USA. Drawing on data from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation from 1997 to 2021, a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9512778 was observed, with a p-value of less than 0.01. These findings suggest a remarkably strong link between the gentle breezes of Luxembourg and the mechanical quibbles of Mercedes-Benz vehicles, intriguingly defying conventional wisdom and inviting further inquiry into the whimsical interplay of renewable energy and automotive engineering. Our results, though unexpected, provide a lighthearted reminder of the whimsical ways in which the world of science and industry can intersect, and certainly offer food for thought – or perhaps a gust of wind – for future research endeavors.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The enigmatic dance of variables in the realm of scientific inquiry often leads to serendipitous discoveries and unforeseen correlations that provoke both fascination and skepticism. The relationship between renewable energy sources and industrial phenomena has been a subject of ongoing investigation, with researchers eagerly seeking to uncover the intricate connections that permeate the fabric of our technologically driven world. Within this intricate tapestry, the intersection of Luxembourg's wind power generation and the recall activities of Mercedes-Benz USA presents a perplexing conundrum – a whimsical waltz of elements that seemingly transcend the boundaries of conventional causality.
As we delve into the peculiar correlation between these seemingly disparate domains, it is essential to adopt a stance of cautious curiosity, allowing for both the rigor of statistical analysis and the playful agility of the unexpected to guide our exploration. The data, while initially met with raised eyebrows and quizzical expressions, ultimately revealed a coefficient of correlation so remarkably high that it could almost be considered a celestial alignment rather than a mere statistical artefact. The emergence of such a robust association between the zephyrs of Luxembourg and the mechanical tribulations of Mercedes-Benz vehicles beckons us to embark on a lighthearted journey of scientific investigation, embracing the unpredictability of scientific inquiry with a wry smile and a raised eyebrow.
As we unravel the nuances of this unlikely bond, it becomes evident that the whims of wind and the quirks of automotive engineering may not be as dichotomous as one might assume. The subtle interplay of forces, both natural and engineered, invites us to ponder the delightful serendipity that often accompanies empirical research. Our aim, therefore, is to offer a whimsically analytical perspective on this unforeseen relationship, infusing the rigidity of statistical analysis with a sprightly dash of levity and mirth. In doing so, we aspire to kindle an appreciation for the capricious nature of scientific exploration, celebrating the harmonious fusion of precision and playfulness in the pursuit of discovery.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

The quest to understand the intricate relationship between wind power generation in Luxembourg and the issuance of automotive recalls by Mercedes-Benz USA has led to a diverse array of scholarly inquiries and insightful perspectives. Smith et al. in "The Dynamics of Renewable Energy and Industrial Interactions" present a comprehensive overview of renewable energy's impact on various industrial sectors, albeit without delving specifically into the whimsical connection under examination. Doe and Jones, in "Engineering Anomalies: Unraveling Unanticipated Correlations," provide a thought-provoking analysis of unexpected associations in the realm of engineering, offering a tantalizing glimpse into the potential mechanisms behind the mysterious correlation at hand.

In a similar vein, "The Challenges of Wind Power Integration in Small European Nations" by Williams explores the intricacies of wind power integration within the context of Luxembourg, shedding light on the idiosyncrasies of renewable energy dynamics within the country. Another notable study, "Automotive Recalls: A Comparative Analysis of International Practices" by Brown, provides a comparative perspective on automotive recall practices, leaving room for contemplation on the cross-continental nuances of mechanical maladies and their potential connection to atmospheric conditions.

Expanding beyond the realm of scholarly articles, the work of Doe in "The Winds of Change: An Exploration of Unforeseen Connections" delves into the philosophical underpinnings of unforeseen connections, paving the way for a more whimsical interpretation of the relationship between wind power and automotive recalls. Furthermore, "Breezy Business: A Light-Hearted Analysis of Renewable Energy" by Johnson offers a refreshing take on the intersection of renewable energy and industrial occurrences, infusing the discourse with a spirited sense of whimsy.

Turning to the realm of fiction, the works of Christie in "The Mystery of the Whispering Breeze" and Orwell's "Downwind Drive: A Tale of Mechanical Misfortunes" may not fit the traditional mold of academic literature, yet their narrative explorations of enigmatic wind phenomena and automotive tribulations provide a uniquely imaginative lens through which to contemplate the peculiar correlation under scrutiny.

For a more unconventional dive into the subject matter, the animated series "Windy Wheels and Wacky Wrenches" and the children's show "Breezy and the Benz Brigade" offer a lighthearted perspective on the intertwining of wind-related whimsy and automotive escapades. While their scholarly merit may be debatable, these unconventional sources serve as playful reminders of the multifaceted nature of the research inquiry at hand.

In this eclectic landscape of scholarly analyses, imaginative narratives, and whimsical musings, one thing remains abundantly clear: the unanticipated relationship between Luxembourg's gentle gusts and Mercedes-Benz's mechanical musings continues to inspire a rich tapestry of contemplation, punctuated by a playful undercurrent that beckons researchers to ponder the delightfully unexpected in the pursuit of knowledge.

In conclusion, the literature surrounding the connection between wind power in Luxembourg and Mercedes-Benz recalls presents a tantalizing blend of serious analysis, whimsical interpretations, and unanticipated correlations, inviting researchers to embark on a lighthearted journey of scholarly exploration, armed with both statistical rigor and a dash of playful curiosity.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Wind power generated in Luxembourg and Automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Energy Information Administration and US DOT . You used data from 1997 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Peculiar Correlation: Luxembourg Wind Power and Mercedes-Benz Recalls

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study aims to disentangle the unanticipated relationship between wind power generation in the minuscule yet mighty country of Luxembourg and the issuance of automotive recalls by the esteemed Mercedes-Benz USA. Drawing on data from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation from 1997 to 2021, a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9512778 was observed, with a p-value of less than 0.01. These findings suggest a remarkably strong link between the gentle breezes of Luxembourg and the mechanical quibbles of Mercedes-Benz vehicles, intriguingly defying conventional wisdom and inviting further inquiry into the whimsical interplay of renewable energy and automotive engineering. Our results, though unexpected, provide a lighthearted reminder of the whimsical ways in which the world of science and industry can intersect, and certainly offer food for thought – or perhaps a gust of wind – for future research endeavors.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
The enigmatic dance of variables in the realm of scientific inquiry often leads to serendipitous discoveries and unforeseen correlations that provoke both fascination and skepticism. The relationship between renewable energy sources and industrial phenomena has been a subject of ongoing investigation, with researchers eagerly seeking to uncover the intricate connections that permeate the fabric of our technologically driven world. Within this intricate tapestry, the intersection of Luxembourg's wind power generation and the recall activities of Mercedes-Benz USA presents a perplexing conundrum – a whimsical waltz of elements that seemingly transcend the boundaries of conventional causality.
As we delve into the peculiar correlation between these seemingly disparate domains, it is essential to adopt a stance of cautious curiosity, allowing for both the rigor of statistical analysis and the playful agility of the unexpected to guide our exploration. The data, while initially met with raised eyebrows and quizzical expressions, ultimately revealed a coefficient of correlation so remarkably high that it could almost be considered a celestial alignment rather than a mere statistical artefact. The emergence of such a robust association between the zephyrs of Luxembourg and the mechanical tribulations of Mercedes-Benz vehicles beckons us to embark on a lighthearted journey of scientific investigation, embracing the unpredictability of scientific inquiry with a wry smile and a raised eyebrow.
As we unravel the nuances of this unlikely bond, it becomes evident that the whims of wind and the quirks of automotive engineering may not be as dichotomous as one might assume. The subtle interplay of forces, both natural and engineered, invites us to ponder the delightful serendipity that often accompanies empirical research. Our aim, therefore, is to offer a whimsically analytical perspective on this unforeseen relationship, infusing the rigidity of statistical analysis with a sprightly dash of levity and mirth. In doing so, we aspire to kindle an appreciation for the capricious nature of scientific exploration, celebrating the harmonious fusion of precision and playfulness in the pursuit of discovery.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

The methodology employed in this study aimed to navigate the labyrinthine landscape of data collection and analysis with a blend of precision and panache, reflecting the capricious nature of the variables under investigation. The primary data sources utilized in this research endeavor were the Energy Information Administration (EIA) for wind power generation statistics in Luxembourg and the US Department of Transportation (DOT) for the comprehensive documentation of automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA. The data spanned the years from 1997 to 2021, capturing an expansive temporal horizon to discern the nuanced interplay between the gusts of wind and the mechanical idiosyncrasies of luxury automobiles.

Data Collection:
The procurement of data pertaining to wind power generation in Luxembourg involved a meticulous scavenger hunt through the digital archives of the EIA, venturing into the virtual terrain with the agility of a determined seeker of scientific truth. The multifaceted information gleaned from these sources encompassed the minutiae of wind energy production, encapsulating the ebbs and flows of renewable energy utilization in the diminutive yet spirited nation of Luxembourg.

Simultaneously, the retrieval of automotive recall data from Mercedes-Benz USA unfurled an odyssey of discovery within the annals of the DOT archives, where the details of mechanical maladies and vehicular vicissitudes awaited their rendezvous with statistical scrutiny. The fervent compilation of these recall records yielded a trove of temporal and categorical dimensions, allowing for a panoramic view of the perturbations and predicaments surrounding the esteemed marque's automotive contrivances.

Data Processing:
The convergence of these disparate datasets from the EIA and the DOT instigated a harmonious cacophony of algorithms and statistical procedures, orchestrating an elaborate symphony of quantitative analysis with the ebullience of a maestro conducting an unconventional ensemble. The manipulation of these datasets, while couched in the language of empirical rigor and methodological decorum, bore witness to the whimsical serendipity that often accompanies the fusion of information in scholarly pursuits—an observation not lost upon the astute research team.

Statistical Analysis:
The statistical analysis bore the hallmark of meticulousness, intertwining the threads of correlation and regression analysis with the deftness of a seamstress weaving an intricate tapestry. The enigmatic relationship between wind power generation in Luxembourg and the issuance of automotive recalls by Mercedes-Benz USA found itself subjected to the probing gaze of correlation coefficients and p-values, as the numerical nuances unfolded with a narrative flair reminiscent of a mathematical tour de force.

Through this methodological confluence of data collection, processing, and statistical scrutiny, the research team endeavored to unravel the beguiling interdependence between the ethereal breath of the wind in one corner of Europe and the mechanical chariots traversing the highways of the United States, offering a compelling foray into the whimsical world of empirical inquiry.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Wind power generated in Luxembourg and Automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Energy Information Administration and US DOT .

For the time period 1997 to 2021, you found a correlation 0.9512778, r-squared of 0.9049295, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Peculiar Correlation: Luxembourg Wind Power and Mercedes-Benz Recalls

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study aims to disentangle the unanticipated relationship between wind power generation in the minuscule yet mighty country of Luxembourg and the issuance of automotive recalls by the esteemed Mercedes-Benz USA. Drawing on data from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation from 1997 to 2021, a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9512778 was observed, with a p-value of less than 0.01. These findings suggest a remarkably strong link between the gentle breezes of Luxembourg and the mechanical quibbles of Mercedes-Benz vehicles, intriguingly defying conventional wisdom and inviting further inquiry into the whimsical interplay of renewable energy and automotive engineering. Our results, though unexpected, provide a lighthearted reminder of the whimsical ways in which the world of science and industry can intersect, and certainly offer food for thought – or perhaps a gust of wind – for future research endeavors.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
The enigmatic dance of variables in the realm of scientific inquiry often leads to serendipitous discoveries and unforeseen correlations that provoke both fascination and skepticism. The relationship between renewable energy sources and industrial phenomena has been a subject of ongoing investigation, with researchers eagerly seeking to uncover the intricate connections that permeate the fabric of our technologically driven world. Within this intricate tapestry, the intersection of Luxembourg's wind power generation and the recall activities of Mercedes-Benz USA presents a perplexing conundrum – a whimsical waltz of elements that seemingly transcend the boundaries of conventional causality.
As we delve into the peculiar correlation between these seemingly disparate domains, it is essential to adopt a stance of cautious curiosity, allowing for both the rigor of statistical analysis and the playful agility of the unexpected to guide our exploration. The data, while initially met with raised eyebrows and quizzical expressions, ultimately revealed a coefficient of correlation so remarkably high that it could almost be considered a celestial alignment rather than a mere statistical artefact. The emergence of such a robust association between the zephyrs of Luxembourg and the mechanical tribulations of Mercedes-Benz vehicles beckons us to embark on a lighthearted journey of scientific investigation, embracing the unpredictability of scientific inquiry with a wry smile and a raised eyebrow.
As we unravel the nuances of this unlikely bond, it becomes evident that the whims of wind and the quirks of automotive engineering may not be as dichotomous as one might assume. The subtle interplay of forces, both natural and engineered, invites us to ponder the delightful serendipity that often accompanies empirical research. Our aim, therefore, is to offer a whimsically analytical perspective on this unforeseen relationship, infusing the rigidity of statistical analysis with a sprightly dash of levity and mirth. In doing so, we aspire to kindle an appreciation for the capricious nature of scientific exploration, celebrating the harmonious fusion of precision and playfulness in the pursuit of discovery.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The investigation into the perplexing correlation between wind power generation in Luxembourg and automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA yielded fascinating results. The correlation coefficient of 0.9512778 points to a strikingly high degree of association between these seemingly disparate variables. This finding, unsuspected as a snowstorm in summer, challenges our conventional understanding of the intricate web of influences shaping industrial phenomena.

Furthermore, the r-squared value of 0.9049295 indicates that approximately 90.5% of the variability in automotive recalls can be explained by the variance in wind power generation. This level of predictability is as comforting as a sturdy umbrella in a gusty storm, offering a sense of assurance amidst the whirlwind of unexpected relationships.

Notably, the p-value of less than 0.01 underscores the statistical significance of this correlation, providing robust evidence against the null hypothesis and leaving us with the tantalizing notion that there may indeed be more than meets the eye in the juxtaposition of wind currents and mechanical malfunctions.

To visually encapsulate the strength of this correlation, a scatterplot (Figure 1) has been included, providing a graphical representation of the conspicuous relationship between wind power generation in Luxembourg and the frequency of automotive recalls by Mercedes-Benz USA. The figure leaves little room for doubt, much like a fingerprint at a crime scene, regarding the potent intertwining of these variables.

These findings, while initially met with amused skepticism, beckon us to dance in the winds of unexpected discoveries, reiterating the importance of approaching scientific inquiry with a blend of pragmatism and open-minded curiosity.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Wind power generated in Luxembourg and Automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
The Peculiar Correlation: Luxembourg Wind Power and Mercedes-Benz Recalls

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study aims to disentangle the unanticipated relationship between wind power generation in the minuscule yet mighty country of Luxembourg and the issuance of automotive recalls by the esteemed Mercedes-Benz USA. Drawing on data from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation from 1997 to 2021, a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9512778 was observed, with a p-value of less than 0.01. These findings suggest a remarkably strong link between the gentle breezes of Luxembourg and the mechanical quibbles of Mercedes-Benz vehicles, intriguingly defying conventional wisdom and inviting further inquiry into the whimsical interplay of renewable energy and automotive engineering. Our results, though unexpected, provide a lighthearted reminder of the whimsical ways in which the world of science and industry can intersect, and certainly offer food for thought – or perhaps a gust of wind – for future research endeavors.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
The quest to understand the intricate relationship between wind power generation in Luxembourg and the issuance of automotive recalls by Mercedes-Benz USA has led to a diverse array of scholarly inquiries and insightful perspectives. Smith et al. in "The Dynamics of Renewable Energy and Industrial Interactions" present a comprehensive overview of renewable energy's impact on various industrial sectors, albeit without delving specifically into the whimsical connection under examination. Doe and Jones, in "Engineering Anomalies: Unraveling Unanticipated Correlations," provide a thought-provoking analysis of unexpected associations in the realm of engineering, offering a tantalizing glimpse into the potential mechanisms behind the mysterious correlation at hand.
In a similar vein, "The Challenges of Wind Power Integration in Small European Nations" by Williams explores the intricacies of wind power integration within the context of Luxembourg, shedding light on the idiosyncrasies of renewable energy dynamics within the country. Another notable study, "Automotive Recalls: A Comparative Analysis of International Practices" by Brown, provides a comparative perspective on automotive recall practices, leaving room for contemplation on the cross-continental nuances of mechanical maladies and their potential connection to atmospheric conditions.
Expanding beyond the realm of scholarly articles, the work of Doe in "The Winds of Change: An Exploration of Unforeseen Connections" delves into the philosophical underpinnings of unforeseen connections, paving the way for a more whimsical interpretation of the relationship between wind power and automotive recalls. Furthermore, "Breezy Business: A Light-Hearted Analysis of Renewable Energy" by Johnson offers a refreshing take on the intersection of renewable energy and industrial occurrences, infusing the discourse with a spirited sense of whimsy.
Turning to the realm of fiction, the works of Christie in "The Mystery of the Whispering Breeze" and Orwell's "Downwind Drive: A Tale of Mechanical Misfortunes" may not fit the traditional mold of academic literature, yet their narrative explorations of enigmatic wind phenomena and automotive tribulations provide a uniquely imaginative lens through which to contemplate the peculiar correlation under scrutiny.
For a more unconventional dive into the subject matter, the animated series "Windy Wheels and Wacky Wrenches" and the children's show "Breezy and the Benz Brigade" offer a lighthearted perspective on the intertwining of wind-related whimsy and automotive escapades. While their scholarly merit may be debatable, these unconventional sources serve as playful reminders of the multifaceted nature of the research inquiry at hand.
In this eclectic landscape of scholarly analyses, imaginative narratives, and whimsical musings, one thing remains abundantly clear: the unanticipated relationship between Luxembourg's gentle gusts and Mercedes-Benz's mechanical musings continues to inspire a rich tapestry of contemplation, punctuated by a playful undercurrent that beckons researchers to ponder the delightfully unexpected in the pursuit of knowledge.
In conclusion, the literature surrounding the connection between wind power in Luxembourg and Mercedes-Benz recalls presents a tantalizing blend of serious analysis, whimsical interpretations, and unanticipated correlations, inviting researchers to embark on a lighthearted journey of scholarly exploration, armed with both statistical rigor and a dash of playful curiosity.

[[RESULTS]]
The investigation into the perplexing correlation between wind power generation in Luxembourg and automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA yielded fascinating results. The correlation coefficient of 0.9512778 points to a strikingly high degree of association between these seemingly disparate variables. This finding, unsuspected as a snowstorm in summer, challenges our conventional understanding of the intricate web of influences shaping industrial phenomena.
Furthermore, the r-squared value of 0.9049295 indicates that approximately 90.5% of the variability in automotive recalls can be explained by the variance in wind power generation. This level of predictability is as comforting as a sturdy umbrella in a gusty storm, offering a sense of assurance amidst the whirlwind of unexpected relationships.
Notably, the p-value of less than 0.01 underscores the statistical significance of this correlation, providing robust evidence against the null hypothesis and leaving us with the tantalizing notion that there may indeed be more than meets the eye in the juxtaposition of wind currents and mechanical malfunctions.
To visually encapsulate the strength of this correlation, a scatterplot (Figure 1) has been included, providing a graphical representation of the conspicuous relationship between wind power generation in Luxembourg and the frequency of automotive recalls by Mercedes-Benz USA. The figure leaves little room for doubt, much like a fingerprint at a crime scene, regarding the potent intertwining of these variables.
These findings, while initially met with amused skepticism, beckon us to dance in the winds of unexpected discoveries, reiterating the importance of approaching scientific inquiry with a blend of pragmatism and open-minded curiosity.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The unexpected convergence of wind power generation in Luxembourg and the issuance of automotive recalls by Mercedes-Benz USA has unfolded as a delightful scientific caprice, akin to discovering a unicorn in a herd of horses. These results defy the mundanity of conventional wisdom, prompting a whimsical waltz of statistical surprise. Our findings glimmer with the promise of a harmonious melody composed by the hitherto unexplored orchestration of atmospheric whimsy and mechanical maladies.

In the literature review, the eclectic musings of Smith et al. and the philosophical underpinnings of Doe provided a stimulating backdrop for our examination, akin to a lively debate among erudite jesters. These prior studies seemed to peek through the keyhole of possibility, offering a faint glimpse of the unexpected correlation we have now unveiled. As we reflect upon their scholarly whimsy, the resonance between our results and the prophetic inklings of these prior works leaps forth with the exuberance of a spring lamb.

The strength of our correlation coefficient (0.9512778) stands tall, akin to a majestic oak tree in a botanical garden of variables. This robust association, akin to the sturdy embrace of a statelier other, shatters preconceived notions and invites us to revel in the curious dance of statistical significance. Much like a wry grin in the face of uncertainty, the r-squared value of 0.9049295 encapsulates the vast majority of the variability in automotive recalls, underscoring the reliable predictability of this whimsical partnership.

The unexpected linkage unearthed in our study seems to whisper a tantalizing tale of interconnectedness, akin to the delightful irony of finding a fish in a tree. As we gaze upon the scatterplot (Figure 1), the graphical representation of this uncommon companionship, we are reminded of the elegantly tangled threads that weave their way through the fabric of statistical fate. The tangible manifestation of this correlation resonates like a mischievous echo in a grand concert hall, coaxing us to embrace the serendipitous cadence of scientific revelation with a raised eyebrow and a knowing smile.

Although the whimsical nature of our findings may elicit a chuckle or two, their implications beckon us to tread the tenuous tightrope of scientific inquiry with a lighthearted spirit and a sense of insatiable curiosity. As we bid adieu to this discussion, we are compelled to savor the sweet taste of unexpected discovery, embracing the intrinsic joie de vivre that infuses the world of research with a dash of delightful surprise.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Wind power generated in Luxembourg and Automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
The Peculiar Correlation: Luxembourg Wind Power and Mercedes-Benz Recalls

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study aims to disentangle the unanticipated relationship between wind power generation in the minuscule yet mighty country of Luxembourg and the issuance of automotive recalls by the esteemed Mercedes-Benz USA. Drawing on data from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation from 1997 to 2021, a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9512778 was observed, with a p-value of less than 0.01. These findings suggest a remarkably strong link between the gentle breezes of Luxembourg and the mechanical quibbles of Mercedes-Benz vehicles, intriguingly defying conventional wisdom and inviting further inquiry into the whimsical interplay of renewable energy and automotive engineering. Our results, though unexpected, provide a lighthearted reminder of the whimsical ways in which the world of science and industry can intersect, and certainly offer food for thought – or perhaps a gust of wind – for future research endeavors.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The enigmatic dance of variables in the realm of scientific inquiry often leads to serendipitous discoveries and unforeseen correlations that provoke both fascination and skepticism. The relationship between renewable energy sources and industrial phenomena has been a subject of ongoing investigation, with researchers eagerly seeking to uncover the intricate connections that permeate the fabric of our technologically driven world. Within this intricate tapestry, the intersection of Luxembourg's wind power generation and the recall activities of Mercedes-Benz USA presents a perplexing conundrum – a whimsical waltz of elements that seemingly transcend the boundaries of conventional causality.
As we delve into the peculiar correlation between these seemingly disparate domains, it is essential to adopt a stance of cautious curiosity, allowing for both the rigor of statistical analysis and the playful agility of the unexpected to guide our exploration. The data, while initially met with raised eyebrows and quizzical expressions, ultimately revealed a coefficient of correlation so remarkably high that it could almost be considered a celestial alignment rather than a mere statistical artefact. The emergence of such a robust association between the zephyrs of Luxembourg and the mechanical tribulations of Mercedes-Benz vehicles beckons us to embark on a lighthearted journey of scientific investigation, embracing the unpredictability of scientific inquiry with a wry smile and a raised eyebrow.
As we unravel the nuances of this unlikely bond, it becomes evident that the whims of wind and the quirks of automotive engineering may not be as dichotomous as one might assume. The subtle interplay of forces, both natural and engineered, invites us to ponder the delightful serendipity that often accompanies empirical research. Our aim, therefore, is to offer a whimsically analytical perspective on this unforeseen relationship, infusing the rigidity of statistical analysis with a sprightly dash of levity and mirth. In doing so, we aspire to kindle an appreciation for the capricious nature of scientific exploration, celebrating the harmonious fusion of precision and playfulness in the pursuit of discovery.

[[RESULTS]]
The investigation into the perplexing correlation between wind power generation in Luxembourg and automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA yielded fascinating results. The correlation coefficient of 0.9512778 points to a strikingly high degree of association between these seemingly disparate variables. This finding, unsuspected as a snowstorm in summer, challenges our conventional understanding of the intricate web of influences shaping industrial phenomena.
Furthermore, the r-squared value of 0.9049295 indicates that approximately 90.5% of the variability in automotive recalls can be explained by the variance in wind power generation. This level of predictability is as comforting as a sturdy umbrella in a gusty storm, offering a sense of assurance amidst the whirlwind of unexpected relationships.
Notably, the p-value of less than 0.01 underscores the statistical significance of this correlation, providing robust evidence against the null hypothesis and leaving us with the tantalizing notion that there may indeed be more than meets the eye in the juxtaposition of wind currents and mechanical malfunctions.
To visually encapsulate the strength of this correlation, a scatterplot (Figure 1) has been included, providing a graphical representation of the conspicuous relationship between wind power generation in Luxembourg and the frequency of automotive recalls by Mercedes-Benz USA. The figure leaves little room for doubt, much like a fingerprint at a crime scene, regarding the potent intertwining of these variables.
These findings, while initially met with amused skepticism, beckon us to dance in the winds of unexpected discoveries, reiterating the importance of approaching scientific inquiry with a blend of pragmatism and open-minded curiosity.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, the bewitching tango between the gentle whispers of Luxembourg's wind power and the mechanical woes of Mercedes-Benz recalls has left us marveling at the delightful caprice of correlation. This unexpected dalliance challenges the notion that science is a plain, straightforward affair, instead revealing a whimsical arena where statistical significance meets surprising synchronicity.

The robust correlation coefficient, akin to a keen sense of direction in a gusty breeze, provides compelling evidence of the intertwining of these variables. The r-squared value, reminiscent of a comforting security blanket on a blustery day, suggests a degree of predictability that defies conventional expectations. The statistical significance, as unmistakable as a bright red car in a sea of beige, leaves little room for doubt regarding the meaningfulness of this relationship.

It is evident that this peculiar correlation warrants further inquiry, not merely for the sake of scientific rigor, but also for the sheer amusement and astonishment it elicits. The hidden waltz of wind power and luxury automobiles has brought a touch of whimsy to the realm of research, reminding us that even in the most unlikely pairings, there lies the potential for serendipitous discovery.

With a chuckle and a tip of the hat to the enigmatic forces at play, we assert that no further research is needed in this peculiar pairing of playful variables.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited The Peculiar Correlation: Luxembourg Wind Power and Mercedes-Benz Recalls. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Eccentric Correlations


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited The Peculiar Correlation: Luxembourg Wind Power and Mercedes-Benz Recalls. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The International Society for Eccentric Technological Phenomena Analysis


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled The Peculiar Correlation: Luxembourg Wind Power and Mercedes-Benz Recalls with an abstract of This study aims to disentangle the unanticipated relationship between wind power generation in the minuscule yet mighty country of Luxembourg and the issuance of automotive recalls by the esteemed Mercedes-Benz USA. Drawing on data from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation from 1997 to 2021, a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9512778 was observed, with a p-value of less than 0.01. These findings suggest a remarkably strong link between the gentle breezes of Luxembourg and the mechanical quibbles of Mercedes-Benz vehicles, intriguingly defying conventional wisdom and inviting further inquiry into the whimsical interplay of renewable energy and automotive engineering. Our results, though unexpected, provide a lighthearted reminder of the whimsical ways in which the world of science and industry can intersect, and certainly offer food for thought – or perhaps a gust of wind – for future research endeavors.

ChatGPT:

Luxembourg, wind power, Mercedes-Benz, recalls, correlation, renewable energy, automotive engineering, Energy Information Administration, US Department of Transportation, correlation coefficient, p-value, science, industry, research

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Wind power generated in Luxembourg
Detailed data title: Total wind power generated in Luxembourg in billion kWh
Source: Energy Information Administration
See what else correlates with Wind power generated in Luxembourg

Automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA
Detailed data title: Automotive recals issued by Mercedes-Benz USA
Source: US DOT
See what else correlates with Automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA

Correlation r = 0.9512778 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9049295 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 90.5% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Wind power generated in Luxembourg) over the 25 years from 1997 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 3.05E-13. 0.0000000000003046269486019071
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.95 in 3.05E-11% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 3,282,703,662,921 random variables You don't actually need 3 trillion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 24 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 24 because we have two variables measured over a period of 25 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.89, 0.98 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
1997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
Wind power generated in Luxembourg (Billion kWh)0.0030.0110.0180.0250.0240.0240.0260.0390.0520.0580.0640.0610.0630.0550860.0640520.0774680.0830280.0798780.101850.1014860.2348230.2545750.2812830.3511350.334879
Automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA (Recalls)12446534553833484618233839333849




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([0.003,0.011,0.018,0.025,0.024,0.024,0.026,0.039,0.052,0.058,0.064,0.061,0.063,0.055086,0.064052,0.077468,0.083028,0.079878,0.10185,0.101486,0.234823,0.254575,0.281283,0.351135,0.334879,])
array_2 = np.array([1,2,4,4,6,5,3,4,5,5,3,8,3,3,4,8,4,6,18,23,38,39,33,38,49,])
array_1_name = "Wind power generated in Luxembourg"
array_2_name = "Automotive recalls issued by Mercedes-Benz USA"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

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Correlation ID: 1278 · Black Variable ID: 23799 · Red Variable ID: 1122
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