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Spurious correlation #4,310 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee and the second variable is Kerosene used in Germany, East.  The chart goes from 1983 to 1990, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

The improved air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee led to residents feeling a renewed sense of energy and enthusiasm. This unexpected surge in productivity led to a higher demand for goods, including German-made products. As a result, Germany, East had to ramp up its kerosene production to power the factories working round the clock to meet the Cleveland-induced demand. Who knew that cleaner air in Tennessee could spark a kerosene craze all the way in East Germany? It's like the butterfly effect, but with a whiff of fresh, smog-free air.

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: "Generate an image of a futuristic cityscape with clear skies hovering over Cleveland, Tennessee. Show residents strolling through vibrant streets, filled with energy and enthusiasm. Meanwhile, in the backdrop, depict factories in East Germany working tirelessly, powered by increased kerosene production, to meet the sudden demand for goods from Cleveland. Emphasize the connection between the two locations through an atmosphere of progress and advancement." The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee and Kerosene used in Germany, East. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Steampunk Photorealism inspired by bauhaus Futuristic Whimsical illustration
ChatGPT: Futuristic

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee and Kerosene used in Germany, East, in the following situation: The improved air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee led to residents feeling a renewed sense of energy and enthusiasm. This unexpected surge in productivity led to a higher demand for goods, including German-made products. As a result, Germany, East had to ramp up its kerosene production to power the factories working round the clock to meet the Cleveland-induced demand. Who knew that cleaner air in Tennessee could spark a kerosene craze all the way in East Germany? It's like the butterfly effect, but with a whiff of fresh, smog-free air.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: A clear sky over Cleveland, Tennessee shows residents enjoying newfound energy and enthusiasm. Meanwhile, in East Germany, factories work tirelessly powered by increased kerosene production to meet the sudden demand for goods from Cleveland.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Futuristic ] and depicting this scene: A clear sky over Cleveland, Tennessee shows residents enjoying newfound energy and enthusiasm. Meanwhile, in East Germany, factories work tirelessly powered by increased kerosene production to meet the sudden demand for goods from Cleveland. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: "Generate an image of a futuristic cityscape with clear skies hovering over Cleveland, Tennessee. Show residents strolling through vibrant streets, filled with energy and enthusiasm. Meanwhile, in the backdrop, depict factories in East Germany working tirelessly, powered by increased kerosene production, to meet the sudden demand for goods from Cleveland. Emphasize the connection between the two locations through an atmosphere of progress and advancement."

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee caused Kerosene used in Germany, East to increase. Make it feel plausible.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
The Tenuous Tie Between Tennessee's Tainted Air and Teutonic Kerosene

The Journal of Mysterious Atmospheric Phenomena

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee and Kerosene used in Germany, East. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Make the title an alliteration.

Your research team used data from Environmental Protection Agency and Energy Information Administration to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9700223 and p < 0.01 for 1983 to 1990.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
The Tenuous Tie Between Tennessee's Tainted Air and Teutonic Kerosene

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the unexpected and seemingly preposterous connection between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the use of kerosene in East Germany. Our study sought to determine if a link could be established between the two seemingly disparate factors, and the results are nothing short of eye-opening.

Analyzing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Information Administration, our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9700223 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the years spanning 1983 to 1990. The linkage between the air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the consumption of kerosene in East Germany during this time period may seem hazy at first, but the data speaks for itself.

It is indeed as if the kerosene in East Germany was reaching across the Atlantic to taint the air in Cleveland, sparking a transcontinental combustion of curiosity. This unexpected relationship leaves us pondering whether kerosene, known for its illuminating properties, could be casting a shadow on air quality in distant lands.

In summary, our research sheds light on an unanticipated association between air quality in Tennessee and kerosene usage in East Germany, a connection that may seem to hold little weight, but in fact, carries surprising significance. This serves as a reminder that even the most seemingly unrelated variables can come together in peculiar and meaningful ways. It certainly gives new meaning to the phrase, "air apparent."


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee and Kerosene used in Germany, East. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Tenuous Tie Between Tennessee's Tainted Air and Teutonic Kerosene

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the unexpected and seemingly preposterous connection between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the use of kerosene in East Germany. Our study sought to determine if a link could be established between the two seemingly disparate factors, and the results are nothing short of eye-opening.

Analyzing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Information Administration, our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9700223 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the years spanning 1983 to 1990. The linkage between the air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the consumption of kerosene in East Germany during this time period may seem hazy at first, but the data speaks for itself.

It is indeed as if the kerosene in East Germany was reaching across the Atlantic to taint the air in Cleveland, sparking a transcontinental combustion of curiosity. This unexpected relationship leaves us pondering whether kerosene, known for its illuminating properties, could be casting a shadow on air quality in distant lands.

In summary, our research sheds light on an unanticipated association between air quality in Tennessee and kerosene usage in East Germany, a connection that may seem to hold little weight, but in fact, carries surprising significance. This serves as a reminder that even the most seemingly unrelated variables can come together in peculiar and meaningful ways. It certainly gives new meaning to the phrase, "air apparent."

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

The intertwining of seemingly disparate variables has long been a source of fascination in the realm of research. It is often the most unexpected correlations that lead to groundbreaking insights and the advancement of knowledge. In line with this notion, our study delves into the enigmatic connection between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the utilization of kerosene in East Germany, a link that may initially appear more nebulous than nitrogen dioxide.

As we embark on this exploration, it is important to recognize the significance of our findings and the potential implications for environmental and energy policy. In the spirit of shedding light on this unconventional relationship, we aim to illuminate the unexpected ways in which global dynamics can manifest at the local level.

The marriage of air quality and kerosene usage may seem like a match made in statistical purgatory, but our analysis uncovers a bond that is as compelling as it is unexpected. One could say that this connection is truly "uplifting," in both the literal and figurative sense.

Our investigation seeks to unravel the complexities underlying this peculiar relationship, acknowledging the broader implications for environmental stewardship and energy consumption. Indeed, the statistical bond we have uncovered between two seemingly incongruous phenomena is a testament to the interconnectedness of our world, and it serves as a testament to the old adage, "where there's smoke, there's fire."

By examining the intersection of air quality in Tennessee and kerosene usage in East Germany, we strive to not only elucidate this unexpected correlation but also to underscore the broader significance of recognizing intercontinental influences on local environmental conditions. After all, when it comes to analytical revelations, one must always be prepared for the unexpected – much like finding a "spark" of insight in the most unlikely of places.

In the pursuit of knowledge, it is these unexpected connections that often yield the most profound insights, and our study endeavors to bring this unconventional union to the forefront of scholarly discourse. So, let us embark on this statistical expedition with a sense of curiosity and open-mindedness, for in the world of research, the most improbable relationships can yield the most illuminating revelations.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee and Kerosene used in Germany, East. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name some movies that you watched that are tangentially related to the topic.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Tenuous Tie Between Tennessee's Tainted Air and Teutonic Kerosene

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the unexpected and seemingly preposterous connection between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the use of kerosene in East Germany. Our study sought to determine if a link could be established between the two seemingly disparate factors, and the results are nothing short of eye-opening.

Analyzing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Information Administration, our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9700223 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the years spanning 1983 to 1990. The linkage between the air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the consumption of kerosene in East Germany during this time period may seem hazy at first, but the data speaks for itself.

It is indeed as if the kerosene in East Germany was reaching across the Atlantic to taint the air in Cleveland, sparking a transcontinental combustion of curiosity. This unexpected relationship leaves us pondering whether kerosene, known for its illuminating properties, could be casting a shadow on air quality in distant lands.

In summary, our research sheds light on an unanticipated association between air quality in Tennessee and kerosene usage in East Germany, a connection that may seem to hold little weight, but in fact, carries surprising significance. This serves as a reminder that even the most seemingly unrelated variables can come together in peculiar and meaningful ways. It certainly gives new meaning to the phrase, "air apparent."

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The intertwining of seemingly disparate variables has long been a source of fascination in the realm of research. It is often the most unexpected correlations that lead to groundbreaking insights and the advancement of knowledge. In line with this notion, our study delves into the enigmatic connection between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the utilization of kerosene in East Germany, a link that may initially appear more nebulous than nitrogen dioxide.
As we embark on this exploration, it is important to recognize the significance of our findings and the potential implications for environmental and energy policy. In the spirit of shedding light on this unconventional relationship, we aim to illuminate the unexpected ways in which global dynamics can manifest at the local level.
The marriage of air quality and kerosene usage may seem like a match made in statistical purgatory, but our analysis uncovers a bond that is as compelling as it is unexpected. One could say that this connection is truly "uplifting," in both the literal and figurative sense.
Our investigation seeks to unravel the complexities underlying this peculiar relationship, acknowledging the broader implications for environmental stewardship and energy consumption. Indeed, the statistical bond we have uncovered between two seemingly incongruous phenomena is a testament to the interconnectedness of our world, and it serves as a testament to the old adage, "where there's smoke, there's fire."
By examining the intersection of air quality in Tennessee and kerosene usage in East Germany, we strive to not only elucidate this unexpected correlation but also to underscore the broader significance of recognizing intercontinental influences on local environmental conditions. After all, when it comes to analytical revelations, one must always be prepared for the unexpected – much like finding a "spark" of insight in the most unlikely of places.
In the pursuit of knowledge, it is these unexpected connections that often yield the most profound insights, and our study endeavors to bring this unconventional union to the forefront of scholarly discourse. So, let us embark on this statistical expedition with a sense of curiosity and open-mindedness, for in the world of research, the most improbable relationships can yield the most illuminating revelations.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

In "Smith et al.," the authors find that air quality in Tennessee is influenced by a myriad of factors, including industrial emissions, vehicular traffic, and natural sources of pollution. Similarly, "Doe and Jones" posit that kerosene usage in East Germany is influenced by historical, economic, and cultural forces.

When examining the intersection of these two seemingly disparate variables, one may initially be left scratching their head, wondering what on earth air quality in Tennessee could possibly have to do with kerosene usage in East Germany. It's almost as confounding as a chicken crossing the road to get to the nearest data collection station.

"Clean Air and Kerosene: A Comparative Analysis" by White offers a detailed examination of the environmental impacts of kerosene usage, drawing attention to its potential contribution to atmospheric pollution. On the other hand, "The Illuminating History of Kerosene" by Black provides a historical perspective on the production and usage of kerosene, elucidating its economic and cultural significance. The connection between the two topics may seem as improbable as finding a streetlight in the middle of a coal mine, but our analysis has unearthed a correlation that simply cannot be ignored.

It is important to note that even works of fiction can offer insights into the unexpected intersections of seemingly unrelated phenomena. In "The Airbender Chronicles" by Aang, the protagonist discovers a peculiar correlation between air quality and the consumption of a mysterious substance in a distant land, leading us to ponder whether there may be more to this connection than meets the eye, or rather, the "air."

Additionally, "The Kerosene Diaries" by Firelighter presents a whimsical tale of a young protagonist who embarks on a quest to uncover the enigmatic link between kerosene usage and atmospheric conditions, proving that even the most seemingly far-fetched connections can hold unexpected truths. As the saying goes, "where there's smoke, there's fiction that may or may not have relevance to statistical analysis."

Drawing from the world of cinema, "Smokey and the Bandit" and "Goodfellas" offer cinematic narratives that, while not directly related to our research, serve as a reminder that unexpected connections can lead to unpredictable and often comedic outcomes. In statistical analysis, as in life, one should always be prepared for the unexpected – after all, who knows when a statistical correlation might just "ignite" a conversation?

As we delve into the perplexing relationship between air quality in Tennessee and kerosene usage in East Germany, let us approach this examination with a lighthearted sense of curiosity and an appreciation for the unexpected connections that make research such a remarkable journey. After all, in the world of statistical analysis, there's always room for a touch of whimsy and a good dad joke. Who knows, it may just "fuel" our quest for knowledge in unexpected ways.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee and Kerosene used in Germany, East. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Environmental Protection Agency and Energy Information Administration . You used data from 1983 to 1990

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Tenuous Tie Between Tennessee's Tainted Air and Teutonic Kerosene

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the unexpected and seemingly preposterous connection between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the use of kerosene in East Germany. Our study sought to determine if a link could be established between the two seemingly disparate factors, and the results are nothing short of eye-opening.

Analyzing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Information Administration, our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9700223 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the years spanning 1983 to 1990. The linkage between the air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the consumption of kerosene in East Germany during this time period may seem hazy at first, but the data speaks for itself.

It is indeed as if the kerosene in East Germany was reaching across the Atlantic to taint the air in Cleveland, sparking a transcontinental combustion of curiosity. This unexpected relationship leaves us pondering whether kerosene, known for its illuminating properties, could be casting a shadow on air quality in distant lands.

In summary, our research sheds light on an unanticipated association between air quality in Tennessee and kerosene usage in East Germany, a connection that may seem to hold little weight, but in fact, carries surprising significance. This serves as a reminder that even the most seemingly unrelated variables can come together in peculiar and meaningful ways. It certainly gives new meaning to the phrase, "air apparent."

[[INTRODUCTION]]
The intertwining of seemingly disparate variables has long been a source of fascination in the realm of research. It is often the most unexpected correlations that lead to groundbreaking insights and the advancement of knowledge. In line with this notion, our study delves into the enigmatic connection between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the utilization of kerosene in East Germany, a link that may initially appear more nebulous than nitrogen dioxide.
As we embark on this exploration, it is important to recognize the significance of our findings and the potential implications for environmental and energy policy. In the spirit of shedding light on this unconventional relationship, we aim to illuminate the unexpected ways in which global dynamics can manifest at the local level.
The marriage of air quality and kerosene usage may seem like a match made in statistical purgatory, but our analysis uncovers a bond that is as compelling as it is unexpected. One could say that this connection is truly "uplifting," in both the literal and figurative sense.
Our investigation seeks to unravel the complexities underlying this peculiar relationship, acknowledging the broader implications for environmental stewardship and energy consumption. Indeed, the statistical bond we have uncovered between two seemingly incongruous phenomena is a testament to the interconnectedness of our world, and it serves as a testament to the old adage, "where there's smoke, there's fire."
By examining the intersection of air quality in Tennessee and kerosene usage in East Germany, we strive to not only elucidate this unexpected correlation but also to underscore the broader significance of recognizing intercontinental influences on local environmental conditions. After all, when it comes to analytical revelations, one must always be prepared for the unexpected – much like finding a "spark" of insight in the most unlikely of places.
In the pursuit of knowledge, it is these unexpected connections that often yield the most profound insights, and our study endeavors to bring this unconventional union to the forefront of scholarly discourse. So, let us embark on this statistical expedition with a sense of curiosity and open-mindedness, for in the world of research, the most improbable relationships can yield the most illuminating revelations.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To investigate the peculiar relationship between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the usage of kerosene in East Germany, our research team embarked on a methodological odyssey that would make even the most intrepid statistical explorers raise an eyebrow in bemusement. Our data collection efforts traversed the digital landscape, navigating through the labyrinth of information sourced from the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and the Energy Information Administration (EIA). Armed with Excel spreadsheets and a plethora of caffeinated beverages, we endeavored to disentangle the enigmatic connection between these seemingly unrelated variables.

In a manner befitting the complexity of our research question, our analytical approach was not for the faint of heart—much like the journey of Odysseus in Greek mythology, it was fraught with twists and turns, but ultimately, it promised to uncover a revelation of epic proportions. Our first step involved procuring historical data on air quality measurements in Cleveland, Tennessee, meticulously cataloging atmospheric pollutants and meteorological factors that might linger in the statistical mist, much like the air pollutants in question. Simultaneously, we diligently gathered information on kerosene consumption in East Germany during the same time period, aiming to shed light on the obscure link that had captured our scholarly intrigue.

We employed a robust statistical method known as time series analysis to scrutinize the temporal patterns inherent in the data. This approach allowed us to discern any underlying fluctuations and trends, akin to separating the signal from the statistical noise, a task not unlike distinguishing between the fumes of kerosene and the fragrance of fresh data. Our examination of the time series data was conducted with the utmost rigor, as we sought to unravel the subtle dance between air quality in Cleveland and the utilization of kerosene in East Germany, a dynamic akin to an intricately choreographed statistical tango.

As we delved deeper into the web of statistical relationships, we applied advanced regression models to assess the strength and direction of the association between the two variables. This analytical endeavor mirrored an intellectual treasure hunt, where every coefficient and standard error held the promise of unlocking the mystery that had confounded scholars and statisticians alike. Our pursuit of statistical significance led us to traverse the terrain of hypothesis testing, where we subjected our findings to rigorous scrutiny, akin to placing the correlation under a figurative magnifying glass in search of empirical truth.

With the determination of a seasoned explorer, we navigated through the seas of statistical inference, aiming to discern whether the observed interplay between air quality in Tennessee and kerosene usage in East Germany was merely a statistical mirage or a substantive phenomenon worthy of scholarly attention. At the crossroads of data analysis and academic inquiry, we found ourselves balancing on the knife-edge of statistical significance, knowing that the interpretation of our results carried implications far beyond the confines of the spreadsheet—a realization that prompted more than a few quips about the statistical "air" in the room.

Our methodological exploits culminated in a comprehensive synthesis of the data, incorporating cutting-edge techniques in spatial analysis to juxtapose the geographical nuances of our variables. We peeked into the statistical symphony of distance decay and spatial autocorrelation, hoping to discern whether the geographic separation between Cleveland and East Germany was a mere backdrop or an active participant in the statistical ballet that unfolded before our eyes. This spatial lens offered a novel perspective on the entwined fate of air quality and kerosene usage, akin to viewing a classic play from a fresh vantage point and discovering new plotlines in the statistical narrative.

In our zealous pursuit of statistical truth, we remained mindful of the inherent complexities and potential confounders that could cloud our findings. To address these challenges, we conducted sensitivity analyses and robustness checks, ensuring that our conclusions stood firm against the gusts of statistical skepticism. We also engaged in a process of cross-validation, akin to a scholarly handshake between independent datasets, affirming the reliability and generalizability of our findings in an intellectual gesture of statistical solidarity.

With the culmination of our methodological endeavors, we emerged from the statistical crucible with a meticulous catalog of analytical procedures that illuminated the unexpected link between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the usage of kerosene in East Germany. Our journey, though rife with statistical twists and turns, ultimately yielded a revelation that defied conventional wisdom, reminding us that in the realm of research, the most improbable connections can kindle the flames of new knowledge.

In the words of a statistical sage, "When the data speaks, even the most improbable relationships can spark new insight."


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee and Kerosene used in Germany, East. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Environmental Protection Agency and Energy Information Administration .

For the time period 1983 to 1990, you found a correlation 0.9700223, r-squared of 0.9409433, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Tenuous Tie Between Tennessee's Tainted Air and Teutonic Kerosene

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the unexpected and seemingly preposterous connection between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the use of kerosene in East Germany. Our study sought to determine if a link could be established between the two seemingly disparate factors, and the results are nothing short of eye-opening.

Analyzing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Information Administration, our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9700223 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the years spanning 1983 to 1990. The linkage between the air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the consumption of kerosene in East Germany during this time period may seem hazy at first, but the data speaks for itself.

It is indeed as if the kerosene in East Germany was reaching across the Atlantic to taint the air in Cleveland, sparking a transcontinental combustion of curiosity. This unexpected relationship leaves us pondering whether kerosene, known for its illuminating properties, could be casting a shadow on air quality in distant lands.

In summary, our research sheds light on an unanticipated association between air quality in Tennessee and kerosene usage in East Germany, a connection that may seem to hold little weight, but in fact, carries surprising significance. This serves as a reminder that even the most seemingly unrelated variables can come together in peculiar and meaningful ways. It certainly gives new meaning to the phrase, "air apparent."

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
The intertwining of seemingly disparate variables has long been a source of fascination in the realm of research. It is often the most unexpected correlations that lead to groundbreaking insights and the advancement of knowledge. In line with this notion, our study delves into the enigmatic connection between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the utilization of kerosene in East Germany, a link that may initially appear more nebulous than nitrogen dioxide.
As we embark on this exploration, it is important to recognize the significance of our findings and the potential implications for environmental and energy policy. In the spirit of shedding light on this unconventional relationship, we aim to illuminate the unexpected ways in which global dynamics can manifest at the local level.
The marriage of air quality and kerosene usage may seem like a match made in statistical purgatory, but our analysis uncovers a bond that is as compelling as it is unexpected. One could say that this connection is truly "uplifting," in both the literal and figurative sense.
Our investigation seeks to unravel the complexities underlying this peculiar relationship, acknowledging the broader implications for environmental stewardship and energy consumption. Indeed, the statistical bond we have uncovered between two seemingly incongruous phenomena is a testament to the interconnectedness of our world, and it serves as a testament to the old adage, "where there's smoke, there's fire."
By examining the intersection of air quality in Tennessee and kerosene usage in East Germany, we strive to not only elucidate this unexpected correlation but also to underscore the broader significance of recognizing intercontinental influences on local environmental conditions. After all, when it comes to analytical revelations, one must always be prepared for the unexpected – much like finding a "spark" of insight in the most unlikely of places.
In the pursuit of knowledge, it is these unexpected connections that often yield the most profound insights, and our study endeavors to bring this unconventional union to the forefront of scholarly discourse. So, let us embark on this statistical expedition with a sense of curiosity and open-mindedness, for in the world of research, the most improbable relationships can yield the most illuminating revelations.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

In examining the correlation between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the consumption of kerosene in East Germany from 1983 to 1990, a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9700223 was identified. This high correlation coefficient provides evidence of a robust positive relationship between the two variables. It seems that even across continents, the air and kerosene have found a way to communicate - it's almost as if they speak a common language, perhaps "aero-mic."

The r-squared value of 0.9409433 further reinforces the strength of the association between air quality in Cleveland and kerosene usage in East Germany. This tight fit between the data points suggests that changes in kerosene consumption can explain a significant proportion of the variation in air quality. These results prompt us to see air quality and kerosene usage not just as distant acquaintances, but as close statistical confidants, exchanging more than just pleasantries.

Moreover, the p-value of less than 0.01 indicates that the observed relationship is unlikely to be a result of random chance. This statistically significant finding provides compelling evidence in support of the existence of a meaningful link between the two variables. It's as if the kerosene in East Germany is sending smoke signals to Cleveland, beckoning the air quality to dance to its tune.

The scatterplot displayed in Figure 1 visually captures the strong correlation between air quality in Cleveland and kerosene consumption in East Germany. The data points are tightly clustered around the regression line, reflecting the established connection between the two variables. It's almost as if the data is performing a delicate statistical waltz, gracefully illustrating the syncopation between air quality and kerosene usage.

In summary, the results of our analysis reveal a compelling correlation between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the consumption of kerosene in East Germany. This unexpected association challenges conventional assumptions and reminds us that in the realm of statistical relationships, the most unlikely pairs can illuminate groundbreaking insights. As we reflect on this unexpected statistical courtship, we are reminded that sometimes, the most unconventional connections unveil the most profound understanding – a real "breath of fresh air" in scientific discovery.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee and Kerosene used in Germany, East. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
The Tenuous Tie Between Tennessee's Tainted Air and Teutonic Kerosene

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the unexpected and seemingly preposterous connection between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the use of kerosene in East Germany. Our study sought to determine if a link could be established between the two seemingly disparate factors, and the results are nothing short of eye-opening.

Analyzing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Information Administration, our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9700223 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the years spanning 1983 to 1990. The linkage between the air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the consumption of kerosene in East Germany during this time period may seem hazy at first, but the data speaks for itself.

It is indeed as if the kerosene in East Germany was reaching across the Atlantic to taint the air in Cleveland, sparking a transcontinental combustion of curiosity. This unexpected relationship leaves us pondering whether kerosene, known for its illuminating properties, could be casting a shadow on air quality in distant lands.

In summary, our research sheds light on an unanticipated association between air quality in Tennessee and kerosene usage in East Germany, a connection that may seem to hold little weight, but in fact, carries surprising significance. This serves as a reminder that even the most seemingly unrelated variables can come together in peculiar and meaningful ways. It certainly gives new meaning to the phrase, "air apparent."

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
In "Smith et al.," the authors find that air quality in Tennessee is influenced by a myriad of factors, including industrial emissions, vehicular traffic, and natural sources of pollution. Similarly, "Doe and Jones" posit that kerosene usage in East Germany is influenced by historical, economic, and cultural forces.
When examining the intersection of these two seemingly disparate variables, one may initially be left scratching their head, wondering what on earth air quality in Tennessee could possibly have to do with kerosene usage in East Germany. It's almost as confounding as a chicken crossing the road to get to the nearest data collection station.
"Clean Air and Kerosene: A Comparative Analysis" by White offers a detailed examination of the environmental impacts of kerosene usage, drawing attention to its potential contribution to atmospheric pollution. On the other hand, "The Illuminating History of Kerosene" by Black provides a historical perspective on the production and usage of kerosene, elucidating its economic and cultural significance. The connection between the two topics may seem as improbable as finding a streetlight in the middle of a coal mine, but our analysis has unearthed a correlation that simply cannot be ignored.
It is important to note that even works of fiction can offer insights into the unexpected intersections of seemingly unrelated phenomena. In "The Airbender Chronicles" by Aang, the protagonist discovers a peculiar correlation between air quality and the consumption of a mysterious substance in a distant land, leading us to ponder whether there may be more to this connection than meets the eye, or rather, the "air."
Additionally, "The Kerosene Diaries" by Firelighter presents a whimsical tale of a young protagonist who embarks on a quest to uncover the enigmatic link between kerosene usage and atmospheric conditions, proving that even the most seemingly far-fetched connections can hold unexpected truths. As the saying goes, "where there's smoke, there's fiction that may or may not have relevance to statistical analysis."
Drawing from the world of cinema, "Smokey and the Bandit" and "Goodfellas" offer cinematic narratives that, while not directly related to our research, serve as a reminder that unexpected connections can lead to unpredictable and often comedic outcomes. In statistical analysis, as in life, one should always be prepared for the unexpected – after all, who knows when a statistical correlation might just "ignite" a conversation?
As we delve into the perplexing relationship between air quality in Tennessee and kerosene usage in East Germany, let us approach this examination with a lighthearted sense of curiosity and an appreciation for the unexpected connections that make research such a remarkable journey. After all, in the world of statistical analysis, there's always room for a touch of whimsy and a good dad joke. Who knows, it may just "fuel" our quest for knowledge in unexpected ways.

[[RESULTS]]
In examining the correlation between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the consumption of kerosene in East Germany from 1983 to 1990, a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9700223 was identified. This high correlation coefficient provides evidence of a robust positive relationship between the two variables. It seems that even across continents, the air and kerosene have found a way to communicate - it's almost as if they speak a common language, perhaps "aero-mic."
The r-squared value of 0.9409433 further reinforces the strength of the association between air quality in Cleveland and kerosene usage in East Germany. This tight fit between the data points suggests that changes in kerosene consumption can explain a significant proportion of the variation in air quality. These results prompt us to see air quality and kerosene usage not just as distant acquaintances, but as close statistical confidants, exchanging more than just pleasantries.
Moreover, the p-value of less than 0.01 indicates that the observed relationship is unlikely to be a result of random chance. This statistically significant finding provides compelling evidence in support of the existence of a meaningful link between the two variables. It's as if the kerosene in East Germany is sending smoke signals to Cleveland, beckoning the air quality to dance to its tune.
The scatterplot displayed in Figure 1 visually captures the strong correlation between air quality in Cleveland and kerosene consumption in East Germany. The data points are tightly clustered around the regression line, reflecting the established connection between the two variables. It's almost as if the data is performing a delicate statistical waltz, gracefully illustrating the syncopation between air quality and kerosene usage.
In summary, the results of our analysis reveal a compelling correlation between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the consumption of kerosene in East Germany. This unexpected association challenges conventional assumptions and reminds us that in the realm of statistical relationships, the most unlikely pairs can illuminate groundbreaking insights. As we reflect on this unexpected statistical courtship, we are reminded that sometimes, the most unconventional connections unveil the most profound understanding – a real "breath of fresh air" in scientific discovery.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

These findings illuminate a hitherto underexplored linkage between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the consumption of kerosene in East Germany. The strength of the correlation coefficient, r-squared value, and the statistically significant p-value underscores the robustness and importance of this connection. It's as if the air quality in Cleveland and the kerosene usage in East Germany were engaged in a statistical tango, moving in perfect harmony despite the geographical chasm between them.

The high correlation coefficient of 0.9700223 bolsters the evidence of a tangible relationship between the two seemingly distant variables. This robust statistical connection is as unexpected as finding a "light bulb" moment in the most obscure of statistical analyses. Furthermore, the r-squared value of 0.9409433 illustrates that changes in kerosene consumption in East Germany can elucidate a substantial proportion of the variability in air quality, highlighting the influence of kerosene in shaping atmospheric conditions.

The statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 dismisses the notion of this association being a fortuitous occurrence. Instead, it solidifies the notion that there exists a meaningful and deliberate relationship between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and kerosene usage in East Germany. One could say that the statistical evidence is so clear that it leaves little room for "polluted" interpretations.

The visually compelling scatterplot in Figure 1 emphasizes the close coupling between air quality in Cleveland and kerosene usage in East Germany, portraying a mesmerizing statistical duet between the two variables. This visually stimulating illustration provides a vivid depiction of the synchronous behavior exhibited by the air quality in Cleveland and the kerosene consumption in East Germany, demonstrating a remarkable statistical synchronicity.

In light of these results, it is clear that the relationship between air quality in Tennessee and kerosene usage in East Germany, while initially seeming implausible, has materialized into a comprehensible statistical correlation. This unexpected relationship reminds us that statistical analysis can uncover poignant insights in the most unanticipated of places. It's a bit like finding a "bright spark" in statistical obscurity.

These findings support and extend the existing body of research, reinforcing the importance of considering unanticipated connections and unexpected associations in statistical analysis. As the saying goes, "when it comes to statistics, sometimes the most improbable pairings can shed light on the most thought-provoking revelations."


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee and Kerosene used in Germany, East. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
The Tenuous Tie Between Tennessee's Tainted Air and Teutonic Kerosene

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the unexpected and seemingly preposterous connection between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the use of kerosene in East Germany. Our study sought to determine if a link could be established between the two seemingly disparate factors, and the results are nothing short of eye-opening.

Analyzing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Information Administration, our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9700223 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the years spanning 1983 to 1990. The linkage between the air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the consumption of kerosene in East Germany during this time period may seem hazy at first, but the data speaks for itself.

It is indeed as if the kerosene in East Germany was reaching across the Atlantic to taint the air in Cleveland, sparking a transcontinental combustion of curiosity. This unexpected relationship leaves us pondering whether kerosene, known for its illuminating properties, could be casting a shadow on air quality in distant lands.

In summary, our research sheds light on an unanticipated association between air quality in Tennessee and kerosene usage in East Germany, a connection that may seem to hold little weight, but in fact, carries surprising significance. This serves as a reminder that even the most seemingly unrelated variables can come together in peculiar and meaningful ways. It certainly gives new meaning to the phrase, "air apparent."

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The intertwining of seemingly disparate variables has long been a source of fascination in the realm of research. It is often the most unexpected correlations that lead to groundbreaking insights and the advancement of knowledge. In line with this notion, our study delves into the enigmatic connection between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the utilization of kerosene in East Germany, a link that may initially appear more nebulous than nitrogen dioxide.
As we embark on this exploration, it is important to recognize the significance of our findings and the potential implications for environmental and energy policy. In the spirit of shedding light on this unconventional relationship, we aim to illuminate the unexpected ways in which global dynamics can manifest at the local level.
The marriage of air quality and kerosene usage may seem like a match made in statistical purgatory, but our analysis uncovers a bond that is as compelling as it is unexpected. One could say that this connection is truly "uplifting," in both the literal and figurative sense.
Our investigation seeks to unravel the complexities underlying this peculiar relationship, acknowledging the broader implications for environmental stewardship and energy consumption. Indeed, the statistical bond we have uncovered between two seemingly incongruous phenomena is a testament to the interconnectedness of our world, and it serves as a testament to the old adage, "where there's smoke, there's fire."
By examining the intersection of air quality in Tennessee and kerosene usage in East Germany, we strive to not only elucidate this unexpected correlation but also to underscore the broader significance of recognizing intercontinental influences on local environmental conditions. After all, when it comes to analytical revelations, one must always be prepared for the unexpected – much like finding a "spark" of insight in the most unlikely of places.
In the pursuit of knowledge, it is these unexpected connections that often yield the most profound insights, and our study endeavors to bring this unconventional union to the forefront of scholarly discourse. So, let us embark on this statistical expedition with a sense of curiosity and open-mindedness, for in the world of research, the most improbable relationships can yield the most illuminating revelations.

[[RESULTS]]
In examining the correlation between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the consumption of kerosene in East Germany from 1983 to 1990, a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9700223 was identified. This high correlation coefficient provides evidence of a robust positive relationship between the two variables. It seems that even across continents, the air and kerosene have found a way to communicate - it's almost as if they speak a common language, perhaps "aero-mic."
The r-squared value of 0.9409433 further reinforces the strength of the association between air quality in Cleveland and kerosene usage in East Germany. This tight fit between the data points suggests that changes in kerosene consumption can explain a significant proportion of the variation in air quality. These results prompt us to see air quality and kerosene usage not just as distant acquaintances, but as close statistical confidants, exchanging more than just pleasantries.
Moreover, the p-value of less than 0.01 indicates that the observed relationship is unlikely to be a result of random chance. This statistically significant finding provides compelling evidence in support of the existence of a meaningful link between the two variables. It's as if the kerosene in East Germany is sending smoke signals to Cleveland, beckoning the air quality to dance to its tune.
The scatterplot displayed in Figure 1 visually captures the strong correlation between air quality in Cleveland and kerosene consumption in East Germany. The data points are tightly clustered around the regression line, reflecting the established connection between the two variables. It's almost as if the data is performing a delicate statistical waltz, gracefully illustrating the syncopation between air quality and kerosene usage.
In summary, the results of our analysis reveal a compelling correlation between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the consumption of kerosene in East Germany. This unexpected association challenges conventional assumptions and reminds us that in the realm of statistical relationships, the most unlikely pairs can illuminate groundbreaking insights. As we reflect on this unexpected statistical courtship, we are reminded that sometimes, the most unconventional connections unveil the most profound understanding – a real "breath of fresh air" in scientific discovery.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our research has unveiled a captivating connection between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and kerosene usage in East Germany from 1983 to 1990. The substantial correlation coefficient of 0.9700223 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 underscore the robustness of this unexpected relationship. It's as if the kerosene and air quality were in a long-distance relationship, but the statistical love letters were unmistakably heartfelt. One might even say that this unanticipated bond between air and kerosene is a breath of fresh air in the world of statistical revelations.

Our findings challenge traditional assumptions and emphasize the importance of exploring seemingly disparate variables with an open mind. This connection, like a well-crafted pun, may at first seem discordant, but upon closer examination, it reveals a harmonious blend of significance and surprise. The statistical tango between air quality and kerosene usage is a testament to the unpredictability of research outcomes – sometimes, the most congenial statistical partners are the most unexpected.

Therefore, in the spirit of scientific discovery, we assert that further research in this peculiar association is unwarranted. It's the statistical equivalent of hitting 'reply all' by mistake – sometimes, it's best to let the unexpected connection stand as its own comedic punchline.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited The Tenuous Tie Between Tennessee's Tainted Air and Teutonic Kerosene. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Mysterious Atmospheric Phenomena


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited The Tenuous Tie Between Tennessee's Tainted Air and Teutonic Kerosene. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Society for Unconventional Atmospheric Research and Exploration (SUARE)


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled The Tenuous Tie Between Tennessee's Tainted Air and Teutonic Kerosene with an abstract of This research delves into the unexpected and seemingly preposterous connection between air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the use of kerosene in East Germany. Our study sought to determine if a link could be established between the two seemingly disparate factors, and the results are nothing short of eye-opening.
Analyzing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Information Administration, our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9700223 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the years spanning 1983 to 1990. The linkage between the air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee, and the consumption of kerosene in East Germany during this time period may seem hazy at first, but the data speaks for itself.
It is indeed as if the kerosene in East Germany was reaching across the Atlantic to taint the air in Cleveland, sparking a transcontinental combustion of curiosity. This unexpected relationship leaves us pondering whether kerosene, known for its illuminating properties, could be casting a shadow on air quality in distant lands.
In summary, our research sheds light on an unanticipated association between air quality in Tennessee and kerosene usage in East Germany, a connection that may seem to hold little weight, but in fact, carries surprising significance. This serves as a reminder that even the most seemingly unrelated variables can come together in peculiar and meaningful ways. It certainly gives new meaning to the phrase, "air apparent.

ChatGPT:

air quality, Tennessee air quality, Tennessee pollution, environmental impact, kerosene usage, East Germany, transcontinental impact, correlation coefficient, statistical significance, EPA data analysis, combustion of curiosity, air quality association

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee
Detailed data title: Percentage of days with good or moderate air quality in Cleveland, TN
Source: Environmental Protection Agency
See what else correlates with Air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee

Kerosene used in Germany, East
Detailed data title: Volume of kerosene used consumed in Germany, East in millions of barrels per day
Source: Energy Information Administration
See what else correlates with Kerosene used in Germany, East

Correlation r = 0.9700223 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9409433 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 94.1% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Kerosene used in Germany, East) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee) over the 8 years from 1983 through 1990.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 6.6E-5. 0.0000658441625676782300000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.97 in 0.0066% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 15,187 random variables Which I absolutely did.
with the same 7 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 7 because we have two variables measured over a period of 8 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.84, 0.99 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
19831984198519861987198819891990
Air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee (Good air quality)0.8619250.8953490.8856090.9887011111
Kerosene used in Germany, East (Million Barrels/Day)0000.30.2750.2530.2550.233




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Very low n: There are not many data points included in this analysis. Even if the p-value is high, we should be suspicious of using so few datapoints in a correlation.
  5. Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
    Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([0.861925,0.895349,0.885609,0.988701,1,1,1,1,])
array_2 = np.array([0,0,0,0.3,0.275,0.253,0.255,0.233,])
array_1_name = "Air quality in Cleveland, Tennessee"
array_2_name = "Kerosene used in Germany, East"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 4310 · Black Variable ID: 21648 · Red Variable ID: 24455
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