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Spurious correlation #4,092 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah and the second variable is Google searches for 'report UFO sighting'.  The chart goes from 2004 to 2023, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

The aliens finally realized that Salt Lake City wasn't worth the trip because the air quality was so abysmal. Or perhaps the UFOs were just big fans of smog, and when it cleared up, they decided to saucer off to a smokier spot.

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Image Generation Prompt: Generate an evocative image in the style of high-tech that encapsulates the scene in Salt Lake City, Utah, where thick smog envelops the air, obfuscating the view of the mountains. In the center, depict a futuristic UFO with disappointed-looking aliens hovering above the city. Below, illustrate frantic residents searching for "report UFO sighting" on their smartphones, capturing the sense of urgency and curiosity as they attempt to catch a glimpse of the extraterrestrial visitors before they depart. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google searches for 'report UFO sighting'. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Scalar art A TIME magazine cover image High-tech Brutalism Cyberpunk
ChatGPT: High-tech

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google searches for 'report UFO sighting', in the following situation: The aliens finally realized that Salt Lake City wasn't worth the trip because the air quality was so abysmal. Or perhaps the UFOs were just big fans of smog, and when it cleared up, they decided to saucer off to a smokier spot.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In Salt Lake City, Utah, thick smog hangs in the air, obscuring the view of the mountains. A group of disappointed aliens hovers in their UFO, discouraged by the polluted atmosphere and the lack of clear skies for their intended visit. Below, residents frantically search "report UFO sighting" on their smartphones, hoping to catch a glimpse of the extraterrestrial visitors before they decide to search for a smokier spot to saucer off.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ High-tech ] and depicting this scene: In Salt Lake City, Utah, thick smog hangs in the air, obscuring the view of the mountains. A group of disappointed aliens hovers in their UFO, discouraged by the polluted atmosphere and the lack of clear skies for their intended visit. Below, residents frantically search "report UFO sighting" on their smartphones, hoping to catch a glimpse of the extraterrestrial visitors before they decide to search for a smokier spot to saucer off. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Image Generation Prompt: Generate an evocative image in the style of high-tech that encapsulates the scene in Salt Lake City, Utah, where thick smog envelops the air, obfuscating the view of the mountains. In the center, depict a futuristic UFO with disappointed-looking aliens hovering above the city. Below, illustrate frantic residents searching for "report UFO sighting" on their smartphones, capturing the sense of urgency and curiosity as they attempt to catch a glimpse of the extraterrestrial visitors before they depart.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humerus responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how a decrease in Air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah caused report UFO sighting (Google searches for 'report UFO sighting') to decrease.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Out of This World Air Pollution: An Analysis of the Relationship Between Air Quality in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google Searches for 'Report UFO Sighting'

Journal of Extraterrestrial Environmental Analysis

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google searches for 'report UFO sighting'. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title punny if you can come up with clever pun. If not, make it sound serious.

Your research team used data from Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.7625837 and p < 0.01 for 2004 to 2023.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
"Out of This World Air Pollution: An Analysis of the Relationship Between Air Quality in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google Searches for 'Report UFO Sighting'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the mysterious connection between air pollution and the search for unidentified flying objects in Salt Lake City, Utah. Utilizing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, we conducted a rigorous analysis spanning the years 2004 to 2023. Our findings revealed a surprisingly strong correlation between levels of air pollution and the frequency of searches for UFO sightings on Google. The correlation coefficient of 0.7625837 and p < 0.01 suggests a strong association, prompting us to ponder whether residents are gazing towards the skies due to poor air quality or simply contemplating celestial beings amidst the haze. Our research highlights the unexpected relationship between environmental conditions and extraterrestrial curiosity, offering a whimsical yet thought-provoking twist to the science of air pollution and internet search behavior.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google searches for 'report UFO sighting'. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Out of This World Air Pollution: An Analysis of the Relationship Between Air Quality in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google Searches for 'Report UFO Sighting'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the mysterious connection between air pollution and the search for unidentified flying objects in Salt Lake City, Utah. Utilizing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, we conducted a rigorous analysis spanning the years 2004 to 2023. Our findings revealed a surprisingly strong correlation between levels of air pollution and the frequency of searches for UFO sightings on Google. The correlation coefficient of 0.7625837 and p < 0.01 suggests a strong association, prompting us to ponder whether residents are gazing towards the skies due to poor air quality or simply contemplating celestial beings amidst the haze. Our research highlights the unexpected relationship between environmental conditions and extraterrestrial curiosity, offering a whimsical yet thought-provoking twist to the science of air pollution and internet search behavior.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
Introduction

The study of air pollution has long been a topic of concern for environmental and public health researchers. The impact of poor air quality on human health and the environment has been well-documented, with studies often focusing on the serious implications of pollutants such as particulate matter, nitrogen dioxide, and ozone. However, in a somewhat unexpected turn of events, our research endeavors to shed light on a different, albeit equally intriguing, aspect of air pollution – its curious relationship with the search for UFO sightings.

Salt Lake City, Utah, a city renowned for its stunning natural surroundings and vibrant cultural scene, also grapples with air pollution issues due to geographical and meteorological factors. The juxtaposition of breathtaking mountain vistas with periodic air quality challenges provides an intriguing backdrop for our study. As we venture into uncharted territory – both figuratively and perhaps quite literally for some enthusiasts – we aim to explore the peculiar correlation between air quality in Salt Lake City and the enigmatic, yet tantalizing, Google searches for 'Report UFO Sighting'.

While the pursuit of this research endeavor may elicit some bemused expressions and skeptical raised eyebrows, its foundation is rooted in empirical evidence. Our study is underpinned by rigorous quantitative analysis, drawing upon comprehensive datasets from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends. By examining these data spanning nearly two decades, we aim to unravel the mysterious dance between the quality of the air we breathe and the captivating allure of the unknown that beckons from the skies.

In this paper, we will begin by discussing the rationale behind exploring such an unconventional relationship and the potential implications of our findings. Along the way, we will navigate through the landscape of existing literature, contemplating the intersection of air pollution, online search behavior, and the perennial human fascination with the unexplained. As we unravel the unexpected ties between earthly environmental conditions and extraterrestrial musings, we invite readers to join us in this peculiar, yet undeniably riveting, intellectual adventure.

So, fasten your seatbelts, or perhaps your imaginary spacesuits, as we prepare for a scholarly journey that traverses the atmospheric layers of Salt Lake City and ventures into realms unknown. Be prepared for a whirlwind of data, analysis, and the occasional lighthearted quip as we unpack the enigma of "Out of This World Air Pollution."


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google searches for 'report UFO sighting'. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then devolve ever further, and mention something completely ridiculous, like you conducted literature review by reading the backs of shampoo bottles.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Out of This World Air Pollution: An Analysis of the Relationship Between Air Quality in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google Searches for 'Report UFO Sighting'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the mysterious connection between air pollution and the search for unidentified flying objects in Salt Lake City, Utah. Utilizing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, we conducted a rigorous analysis spanning the years 2004 to 2023. Our findings revealed a surprisingly strong correlation between levels of air pollution and the frequency of searches for UFO sightings on Google. The correlation coefficient of 0.7625837 and p < 0.01 suggests a strong association, prompting us to ponder whether residents are gazing towards the skies due to poor air quality or simply contemplating celestial beings amidst the haze. Our research highlights the unexpected relationship between environmental conditions and extraterrestrial curiosity, offering a whimsical yet thought-provoking twist to the science of air pollution and internet search behavior.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
Introduction
The study of air pollution has long been a topic of concern for environmental and public health researchers. The impact of poor air quality on human health and the environment has been well-documented, with studies often focusing on the serious implications of pollutants such as particulate matter, nitrogen dioxide, and ozone. However, in a somewhat unexpected turn of events, our research endeavors to shed light on a different, albeit equally intriguing, aspect of air pollution – its curious relationship with the search for UFO sightings.
Salt Lake City, Utah, a city renowned for its stunning natural surroundings and vibrant cultural scene, also grapples with air pollution issues due to geographical and meteorological factors. The juxtaposition of breathtaking mountain vistas with periodic air quality challenges provides an intriguing backdrop for our study. As we venture into uncharted territory – both figuratively and perhaps quite literally for some enthusiasts – we aim to explore the peculiar correlation between air quality in Salt Lake City and the enigmatic, yet tantalizing, Google searches for 'Report UFO Sighting'.
While the pursuit of this research endeavor may elicit some bemused expressions and skeptical raised eyebrows, its foundation is rooted in empirical evidence. Our study is underpinned by rigorous quantitative analysis, drawing upon comprehensive datasets from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends. By examining these data spanning nearly two decades, we aim to unravel the mysterious dance between the quality of the air we breathe and the captivating allure of the unknown that beckons from the skies.
In this paper, we will begin by discussing the rationale behind exploring such an unconventional relationship and the potential implications of our findings. Along the way, we will navigate through the landscape of existing literature, contemplating the intersection of air pollution, online search behavior, and the perennial human fascination with the unexplained. As we unravel the unexpected ties between earthly environmental conditions and extraterrestrial musings, we invite readers to join us in this peculiar, yet undeniably riveting, intellectual adventure.
So, fasten your seatbelts, or perhaps your imaginary spacesuits, as we prepare for a scholarly journey that traverses the atmospheric layers of Salt Lake City and ventures into realms unknown. Be prepared for a whirlwind of data, analysis, and the occasional lighthearted quip as we unpack the enigma of "Out of This World Air Pollution."

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

The exploration of air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah and its unlikely connection to internet searches for 'Report UFO Sighting' has garnered a mix of curiosity and mirth within the academic community. This review aims to navigate through the array of existing literature in this unique intersection of environmental science and the cosmic unknown.

Smith and Doe (2015) conducted a comprehensive examination of air quality in urban areas, emphasizing the deleterious effects of particulate matter on respiratory health. Their study, while pertinent to the broader context of air pollution, failed to account for the potential allure of UFO sightings amidst hazy skies. Similarly, Jones et al. (2017) delved into the intricacies of search engine behavior, analyzing trends and patterns in online queries. However, their work omitted the enigmatic correlation between declining air quality and an increased inclination towards celestial speculations.

Moving beyond conventional scholarly works, the nexus of environmental conditions and extraterrestrial musings has also surfaced in popular non-fiction literature. Browne's "Alien Encounters: The Secret Behind UFO Sightings" presents a compelling narrative that delves into the paranormal, intertwining the allure of otherworldly phenomena with the idiosyncrasies of human belief systems. Likewise, Green's "The UFO Phenomenon: Fact, Fantasy and Disinformation" offers a comprehensive overview of reported UFO sightings, weaving together firsthand accounts with a critical analysis of societal fascination with the unexplained.

Venturing into the realm of speculative fiction, the works of renowned authors such as Arthur C. Clarke and Philip K. Dick provide intriguing parallel dimensions to our investigation. Clarke's "Childhood's End" and Dick's "Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?" offer allegorical reflections on the human quest for understanding the enigmatic and the ethereal, albeit in a context far removed from urban air pollution. However, these literary creations serve as a peculiar source of inspiration, hinting at the elusive interplay between environmental conditions and the human penchant for cosmic contemplation.

In our quest to encapsulate the breadth of existing knowledge in this unexpected arena of inquiry, we took an unconventional approach to literature review, drawing insights not only from scholarly papers and non-fiction works, but also from the unlikeliest of sources. In an unexpected turn of events, we found ourselves perusing the back covers of household items, including shampoo bottles, toothpaste tubes, and even the occasional cereal box in pursuit of insights into the elusive connection between air pollution and the search for UFO sightings. While the veracity of these sources may be open to interpretation, we emerged with a renewed sense of wonderment at the intersection of the mundane and the extraordinary, further reinforcing the necessity for our scholarly investigation into this captivating phenomenon.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google searches for 'report UFO sighting'. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends . You used data from 2004 to 2023

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Out of This World Air Pollution: An Analysis of the Relationship Between Air Quality in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google Searches for 'Report UFO Sighting'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the mysterious connection between air pollution and the search for unidentified flying objects in Salt Lake City, Utah. Utilizing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, we conducted a rigorous analysis spanning the years 2004 to 2023. Our findings revealed a surprisingly strong correlation between levels of air pollution and the frequency of searches for UFO sightings on Google. The correlation coefficient of 0.7625837 and p < 0.01 suggests a strong association, prompting us to ponder whether residents are gazing towards the skies due to poor air quality or simply contemplating celestial beings amidst the haze. Our research highlights the unexpected relationship between environmental conditions and extraterrestrial curiosity, offering a whimsical yet thought-provoking twist to the science of air pollution and internet search behavior.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
Introduction
The study of air pollution has long been a topic of concern for environmental and public health researchers. The impact of poor air quality on human health and the environment has been well-documented, with studies often focusing on the serious implications of pollutants such as particulate matter, nitrogen dioxide, and ozone. However, in a somewhat unexpected turn of events, our research endeavors to shed light on a different, albeit equally intriguing, aspect of air pollution – its curious relationship with the search for UFO sightings.
Salt Lake City, Utah, a city renowned for its stunning natural surroundings and vibrant cultural scene, also grapples with air pollution issues due to geographical and meteorological factors. The juxtaposition of breathtaking mountain vistas with periodic air quality challenges provides an intriguing backdrop for our study. As we venture into uncharted territory – both figuratively and perhaps quite literally for some enthusiasts – we aim to explore the peculiar correlation between air quality in Salt Lake City and the enigmatic, yet tantalizing, Google searches for 'Report UFO Sighting'.
While the pursuit of this research endeavor may elicit some bemused expressions and skeptical raised eyebrows, its foundation is rooted in empirical evidence. Our study is underpinned by rigorous quantitative analysis, drawing upon comprehensive datasets from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends. By examining these data spanning nearly two decades, we aim to unravel the mysterious dance between the quality of the air we breathe and the captivating allure of the unknown that beckons from the skies.
In this paper, we will begin by discussing the rationale behind exploring such an unconventional relationship and the potential implications of our findings. Along the way, we will navigate through the landscape of existing literature, contemplating the intersection of air pollution, online search behavior, and the perennial human fascination with the unexplained. As we unravel the unexpected ties between earthly environmental conditions and extraterrestrial musings, we invite readers to join us in this peculiar, yet undeniably riveting, intellectual adventure.
So, fasten your seatbelts, or perhaps your imaginary spacesuits, as we prepare for a scholarly journey that traverses the atmospheric layers of Salt Lake City and ventures into realms unknown. Be prepared for a whirlwind of data, analysis, and the occasional lighthearted quip as we unpack the enigma of "Out of This World Air Pollution."

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

METHODOLOGY

Data Collection
Our research team sought to unravel the enigma surrounding the relationship between air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah, and Google searches for 'Report UFO Sighting' through a comprehensive and sometimes out-of-this-world methodology. First and foremost, we gathered extensive air quality data from the Environmental Protection Agency, spanning the years 2004 to 2023. Thorough analysis included measurements of key pollutants such as PM2.5, PM10, carbon monoxide, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, and ozone, which allowed us to gauge the atmospheric conditions in Salt Lake City with precision.

In our quest for extraterrestrial insights, we also tapped into Google's treasure trove of search data, utilizing Google Trends to scrutinize patterns of UFO-related queries in the same temporal scope. The use of such search query data, often seen as an unconventional but increasingly vital avenue for understanding human behavior, added a touch of cosmic intrigue to our research approach.

Analytical Procedures
To assess the relationship between air quality and interest in UFO sightings, we utilized rigorous statistical methods, including correlation analysis and time series modeling. Specifically, the Pearson correlation coefficient served as our trusty astrolabe, guiding us through the celestial connections between air pollution and UFO searches. Additionally, time series models were employed to explore any temporal patterns and to elucidate whether variations in air quality levels corresponded with fluctuations in UFO-related search frequency.

Furthermore, we employed advanced econometric techniques, recognizing that unraveling the cosmic mysteries of UFO interest demands a healthy dose of statistical wizardry. Our models accounted for potential confounding factors such as weather patterns, historical UFO sightings (official and otherwise), and major pop culture events with intergalactic themes. These procedures allowed us to sift through the data with the precision of a cosmic sieve, teasing out the underlying signals from the noise of the digital universe.

Hypothesis Testing
In a nod to scientific tradition and a touch of otherworldly whimsy, we formulated the hypothesis that there exists a significant relationship between air pollution levels in Salt Lake City and the occurrence of Google searches for 'Report UFO Sighting'. This bold proposition challenged the conventions of environmental research, inviting us to look towards the skies – and perhaps beyond – for potential explanations of human behavior in reaction to earthly conditions.

Subsequently, through the use of t-tests and regression analysis, we rigorously tested this hypothesis while ensuring that our statistical probes remained grounded amidst the cosmic flux. Our approach allowed us to navigate the terrain of uncertainty with analytical rigor, dispelling doubt with data and a sprinkle of cosmic curiosity.

Ethical Considerations
In the pursuit of unraveling the association between air pollution and UFO searches, our research team diligently adhered to ethical standards in data collection and analysis. Personal privacy and data confidentiality were paramount, ensuring that individual search queries were anonymized and aggregated to preserve the cosmic secrecy surrounding this unique facet of human inquiry.

By engaging in this whimsical yet scientifically robust journey, we sought to respect the inherent mystery and wonder encapsulated in the pursuit of knowledge – whether terrestrial or extraterrestrial. Our dedication to integrity and ethics paved the way for an ethereal odyssey that celebrated the convergence of empirical scrutiny and the boundless human imagination.

In summary, our methodological odyssey was driven by the quest for empirical rigor, the thrill of scientific innovation, and a keen sense of wonder at the interplay between the familiar air we breathe and the cosmic mysteries that beckon from the unknown reaches of the digital cosmos.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google searches for 'report UFO sighting'. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends .

For the time period 2004 to 2023, you found a correlation 0.7625837, r-squared of 0.5815339, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Out of This World Air Pollution: An Analysis of the Relationship Between Air Quality in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google Searches for 'Report UFO Sighting'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the mysterious connection between air pollution and the search for unidentified flying objects in Salt Lake City, Utah. Utilizing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, we conducted a rigorous analysis spanning the years 2004 to 2023. Our findings revealed a surprisingly strong correlation between levels of air pollution and the frequency of searches for UFO sightings on Google. The correlation coefficient of 0.7625837 and p < 0.01 suggests a strong association, prompting us to ponder whether residents are gazing towards the skies due to poor air quality or simply contemplating celestial beings amidst the haze. Our research highlights the unexpected relationship between environmental conditions and extraterrestrial curiosity, offering a whimsical yet thought-provoking twist to the science of air pollution and internet search behavior.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
Introduction
The study of air pollution has long been a topic of concern for environmental and public health researchers. The impact of poor air quality on human health and the environment has been well-documented, with studies often focusing on the serious implications of pollutants such as particulate matter, nitrogen dioxide, and ozone. However, in a somewhat unexpected turn of events, our research endeavors to shed light on a different, albeit equally intriguing, aspect of air pollution – its curious relationship with the search for UFO sightings.
Salt Lake City, Utah, a city renowned for its stunning natural surroundings and vibrant cultural scene, also grapples with air pollution issues due to geographical and meteorological factors. The juxtaposition of breathtaking mountain vistas with periodic air quality challenges provides an intriguing backdrop for our study. As we venture into uncharted territory – both figuratively and perhaps quite literally for some enthusiasts – we aim to explore the peculiar correlation between air quality in Salt Lake City and the enigmatic, yet tantalizing, Google searches for 'Report UFO Sighting'.
While the pursuit of this research endeavor may elicit some bemused expressions and skeptical raised eyebrows, its foundation is rooted in empirical evidence. Our study is underpinned by rigorous quantitative analysis, drawing upon comprehensive datasets from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends. By examining these data spanning nearly two decades, we aim to unravel the mysterious dance between the quality of the air we breathe and the captivating allure of the unknown that beckons from the skies.
In this paper, we will begin by discussing the rationale behind exploring such an unconventional relationship and the potential implications of our findings. Along the way, we will navigate through the landscape of existing literature, contemplating the intersection of air pollution, online search behavior, and the perennial human fascination with the unexplained. As we unravel the unexpected ties between earthly environmental conditions and extraterrestrial musings, we invite readers to join us in this peculiar, yet undeniably riveting, intellectual adventure.
So, fasten your seatbelts, or perhaps your imaginary spacesuits, as we prepare for a scholarly journey that traverses the atmospheric layers of Salt Lake City and ventures into realms unknown. Be prepared for a whirlwind of data, analysis, and the occasional lighthearted quip as we unpack the enigma of "Out of This World Air Pollution."

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

RESULTS

The results of our analysis indicate a surprising and statistically significant relationship between levels of air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah and the frequency of Google searches for 'Report UFO Sighting' over the 20-year period from 2004 to 2023. Our research findings point to a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.7625837 and an r-squared value of 0.5815339, both of which suggest a strong association between these seemingly disparate phenomena. Additionally, the p-value of less than 0.01 further underscores the robustness of this relationship, lending credence to our initial suspicions.

Fig. 1 presents a scatterplot illustrating the marked correlation between air pollution levels and the incidence of Google searches for UFO sightings. While we expected some correlation, the strength and consistency of the relationship exceeded our initial expectations. In essence, Salt Lake City residents appeared to be gazing towards the skies not only for celestial wonder but also, it seems, to seek refuge from the polluted terrestrial environment. Quite the twist, wouldn't you say?

Despite the whimsical nature of our subject matter, the statistical evidence points to a compelling interplay between air quality and the quest for extraterrestrial encounters. The relationship observed in our study raises a plethora of intriguing questions: Are residents seeking solace in the notion of otherworldly visitors amidst the haze? Or, could the reduced visibility due to air pollution be amplifying the allure of the unknown, leading to heightened interest in UFO sightings? It seems that the mysterious allure of the unknown may not only beckon from the cosmos but also from the hazy skies of our own atmosphere.

Overall, our findings shed light on a previously unexplored area at the intersection of environmental conditions and human curiosity. While conventional wisdom may suggest that air pollution breeds concern for respiratory health, our research unveils a different layer of human behavior, demonstrating the propensity to turn our attention to the skies in times of environmental distress. These unexpected insights open the door to further investigation into the intricate relationship between environmental influences and the human psyche, perhaps inspiring others to take a closer look at the unconventional side of environmental science.

Those who may have initially been skeptical of our research topic now have reason to ponder a novel connection between earthly environmental conditions and extraterrestrial contemplation. As we delve into the findings and implications of this peculiar correlation, we are reminded that science often unravels mysteries in the most unexpected places – in this case, amidst the smog and stargazing of Salt Lake City.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google searches for 'report UFO sighting'. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"Out of This World Air Pollution: An Analysis of the Relationship Between Air Quality in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google Searches for 'Report UFO Sighting'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the mysterious connection between air pollution and the search for unidentified flying objects in Salt Lake City, Utah. Utilizing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, we conducted a rigorous analysis spanning the years 2004 to 2023. Our findings revealed a surprisingly strong correlation between levels of air pollution and the frequency of searches for UFO sightings on Google. The correlation coefficient of 0.7625837 and p < 0.01 suggests a strong association, prompting us to ponder whether residents are gazing towards the skies due to poor air quality or simply contemplating celestial beings amidst the haze. Our research highlights the unexpected relationship between environmental conditions and extraterrestrial curiosity, offering a whimsical yet thought-provoking twist to the science of air pollution and internet search behavior.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
The exploration of air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah and its unlikely connection to internet searches for 'Report UFO Sighting' has garnered a mix of curiosity and mirth within the academic community. This review aims to navigate through the array of existing literature in this unique intersection of environmental science and the cosmic unknown.
Smith and Doe (2015) conducted a comprehensive examination of air quality in urban areas, emphasizing the deleterious effects of particulate matter on respiratory health. Their study, while pertinent to the broader context of air pollution, failed to account for the potential allure of UFO sightings amidst hazy skies. Similarly, Jones et al. (2017) delved into the intricacies of search engine behavior, analyzing trends and patterns in online queries. However, their work omitted the enigmatic correlation between declining air quality and an increased inclination towards celestial speculations.
Moving beyond conventional scholarly works, the nexus of environmental conditions and extraterrestrial musings has also surfaced in popular non-fiction literature. Browne's "Alien Encounters: The Secret Behind UFO Sightings" presents a compelling narrative that delves into the paranormal, intertwining the allure of otherworldly phenomena with the idiosyncrasies of human belief systems. Likewise, Green's "The UFO Phenomenon: Fact, Fantasy and Disinformation" offers a comprehensive overview of reported UFO sightings, weaving together firsthand accounts with a critical analysis of societal fascination with the unexplained.
Venturing into the realm of speculative fiction, the works of renowned authors such as Arthur C. Clarke and Philip K. Dick provide intriguing parallel dimensions to our investigation. Clarke's "Childhood's End" and Dick's "Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?" offer allegorical reflections on the human quest for understanding the enigmatic and the ethereal, albeit in a context far removed from urban air pollution. However, these literary creations serve as a peculiar source of inspiration, hinting at the elusive interplay between environmental conditions and the human penchant for cosmic contemplation.
In our quest to encapsulate the breadth of existing knowledge in this unexpected arena of inquiry, we took an unconventional approach to literature review, drawing insights not only from scholarly papers and non-fiction works, but also from the unlikeliest of sources. In an unexpected turn of events, we found ourselves perusing the back covers of household items, including shampoo bottles, toothpaste tubes, and even the occasional cereal box in pursuit of insights into the elusive connection between air pollution and the search for UFO sightings. While the veracity of these sources may be open to interpretation, we emerged with a renewed sense of wonderment at the intersection of the mundane and the extraordinary, further reinforcing the necessity for our scholarly investigation into this captivating phenomenon.

[[RESULTS]]
RESULTS
The results of our analysis indicate a surprising and statistically significant relationship between levels of air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah and the frequency of Google searches for 'Report UFO Sighting' over the 20-year period from 2004 to 2023. Our research findings point to a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.7625837 and an r-squared value of 0.5815339, both of which suggest a strong association between these seemingly disparate phenomena. Additionally, the p-value of less than 0.01 further underscores the robustness of this relationship, lending credence to our initial suspicions.
Fig. 1 presents a scatterplot illustrating the marked correlation between air pollution levels and the incidence of Google searches for UFO sightings. While we expected some correlation, the strength and consistency of the relationship exceeded our initial expectations. In essence, Salt Lake City residents appeared to be gazing towards the skies not only for celestial wonder but also, it seems, to seek refuge from the polluted terrestrial environment. Quite the twist, wouldn't you say?
Despite the whimsical nature of our subject matter, the statistical evidence points to a compelling interplay between air quality and the quest for extraterrestrial encounters. The relationship observed in our study raises a plethora of intriguing questions: Are residents seeking solace in the notion of otherworldly visitors amidst the haze? Or, could the reduced visibility due to air pollution be amplifying the allure of the unknown, leading to heightened interest in UFO sightings? It seems that the mysterious allure of the unknown may not only beckon from the cosmos but also from the hazy skies of our own atmosphere.
Overall, our findings shed light on a previously unexplored area at the intersection of environmental conditions and human curiosity. While conventional wisdom may suggest that air pollution breeds concern for respiratory health, our research unveils a different layer of human behavior, demonstrating the propensity to turn our attention to the skies in times of environmental distress. These unexpected insights open the door to further investigation into the intricate relationship between environmental influences and the human psyche, perhaps inspiring others to take a closer look at the unconventional side of environmental science.
Those who may have initially been skeptical of our research topic now have reason to ponder a novel connection between earthly environmental conditions and extraterrestrial contemplation. As we delve into the findings and implications of this peculiar correlation, we are reminded that science often unravels mysteries in the most unexpected places – in this case, amidst the smog and stargazing of Salt Lake City.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The findings of our study present a compelling and, dare we say, out-of-this-world correlation between air pollution levels in Salt Lake City, Utah, and the frequency of Google searches for 'Report UFO Sighting'. It seems that the enigmatic allure of the unknown is not confined to the far reaches of the cosmos but also manifests in the murkiness of our own earthly skies. Our results validate and reinforce some of the intriguing speculations put forth in the literature review, surprising as it may seem. The tangential yet tantalizing suggestions within Browne's "Alien Encounters: The Secret Behind UFO Sightings" and Green's "The UFO Phenomenon: Fact, Fantasy and Disinformation" now beckon for a reevaluation, challenging us to consider the impact of air pollution on the human fascination with the extraterrestrial.

In line with Smith and Doe's focus on the health implications of urban air pollution, our study takes a whimsical turn, revealing an unexpected facet of human behavior amidst environmental distress. The statistical robustness of the correlation coefficient and the p-value underscores the strength of the relationship observed, prompting us to acknowledge that the linkage between air pollution and the quest for UFO sightings in Salt Lake City is not merely a flight of fancy but a tangible and compelling phenomenon.

The scatterplot portraying the association between air pollution levels and the frequency of UFO sighting searches serves as a visual testament to the surprising nature of our findings. While scholarly pursuits often demand utmost seriousness, the delightful twist in our research prompts us to adopt a lighthearted perspective, albeit without compromising the scientific rigor underlying our analysis. It appears that the captivating interplay between environmental conditions and extraterrestrial musings has provided us with a fresh lens through which to view the complex tapestry of human behavior.

We acknowledge the unexpected nature of our study and the inherent paradox it presents – that amidst environmental turmoil, there lies an intriguing inclination towards the mysterious and otherworldly. This confluence of air pollution and UFO sightings offers a nuanced insight into the intricate interplay between environmental influences and the quirks of the human mind. As we reflect on the findings of our research, we are reminded that scientific inquiry thrives on unexpected connections and invites us to embrace the unconventional with a spirit of curiosity and wonder.

In unraveling the peculiar relationship between air pollution and the search for UFO sightings, we hope to inspire further unconventional explorations within the realm of environmental science and human behavior. After all, as we have discovered, out-of-this-world discoveries may await in the most unlikely places – even amidst the haze and mystery of Salt Lake City.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google searches for 'report UFO sighting'. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"Out of This World Air Pollution: An Analysis of the Relationship Between Air Quality in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google Searches for 'Report UFO Sighting'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the mysterious connection between air pollution and the search for unidentified flying objects in Salt Lake City, Utah. Utilizing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, we conducted a rigorous analysis spanning the years 2004 to 2023. Our findings revealed a surprisingly strong correlation between levels of air pollution and the frequency of searches for UFO sightings on Google. The correlation coefficient of 0.7625837 and p < 0.01 suggests a strong association, prompting us to ponder whether residents are gazing towards the skies due to poor air quality or simply contemplating celestial beings amidst the haze. Our research highlights the unexpected relationship between environmental conditions and extraterrestrial curiosity, offering a whimsical yet thought-provoking twist to the science of air pollution and internet search behavior.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
Introduction
The study of air pollution has long been a topic of concern for environmental and public health researchers. The impact of poor air quality on human health and the environment has been well-documented, with studies often focusing on the serious implications of pollutants such as particulate matter, nitrogen dioxide, and ozone. However, in a somewhat unexpected turn of events, our research endeavors to shed light on a different, albeit equally intriguing, aspect of air pollution – its curious relationship with the search for UFO sightings.
Salt Lake City, Utah, a city renowned for its stunning natural surroundings and vibrant cultural scene, also grapples with air pollution issues due to geographical and meteorological factors. The juxtaposition of breathtaking mountain vistas with periodic air quality challenges provides an intriguing backdrop for our study. As we venture into uncharted territory – both figuratively and perhaps quite literally for some enthusiasts – we aim to explore the peculiar correlation between air quality in Salt Lake City and the enigmatic, yet tantalizing, Google searches for 'Report UFO Sighting'.
While the pursuit of this research endeavor may elicit some bemused expressions and skeptical raised eyebrows, its foundation is rooted in empirical evidence. Our study is underpinned by rigorous quantitative analysis, drawing upon comprehensive datasets from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends. By examining these data spanning nearly two decades, we aim to unravel the mysterious dance between the quality of the air we breathe and the captivating allure of the unknown that beckons from the skies.
In this paper, we will begin by discussing the rationale behind exploring such an unconventional relationship and the potential implications of our findings. Along the way, we will navigate through the landscape of existing literature, contemplating the intersection of air pollution, online search behavior, and the perennial human fascination with the unexplained. As we unravel the unexpected ties between earthly environmental conditions and extraterrestrial musings, we invite readers to join us in this peculiar, yet undeniably riveting, intellectual adventure.
So, fasten your seatbelts, or perhaps your imaginary spacesuits, as we prepare for a scholarly journey that traverses the atmospheric layers of Salt Lake City and ventures into realms unknown. Be prepared for a whirlwind of data, analysis, and the occasional lighthearted quip as we unpack the enigma of "Out of This World Air Pollution."

[[RESULTS]]
RESULTS
The results of our analysis indicate a surprising and statistically significant relationship between levels of air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah and the frequency of Google searches for 'Report UFO Sighting' over the 20-year period from 2004 to 2023. Our research findings point to a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.7625837 and an r-squared value of 0.5815339, both of which suggest a strong association between these seemingly disparate phenomena. Additionally, the p-value of less than 0.01 further underscores the robustness of this relationship, lending credence to our initial suspicions.
Fig. 1 presents a scatterplot illustrating the marked correlation between air pollution levels and the incidence of Google searches for UFO sightings. While we expected some correlation, the strength and consistency of the relationship exceeded our initial expectations. In essence, Salt Lake City residents appeared to be gazing towards the skies not only for celestial wonder but also, it seems, to seek refuge from the polluted terrestrial environment. Quite the twist, wouldn't you say?
Despite the whimsical nature of our subject matter, the statistical evidence points to a compelling interplay between air quality and the quest for extraterrestrial encounters. The relationship observed in our study raises a plethora of intriguing questions: Are residents seeking solace in the notion of otherworldly visitors amidst the haze? Or, could the reduced visibility due to air pollution be amplifying the allure of the unknown, leading to heightened interest in UFO sightings? It seems that the mysterious allure of the unknown may not only beckon from the cosmos but also from the hazy skies of our own atmosphere.
Overall, our findings shed light on a previously unexplored area at the intersection of environmental conditions and human curiosity. While conventional wisdom may suggest that air pollution breeds concern for respiratory health, our research unveils a different layer of human behavior, demonstrating the propensity to turn our attention to the skies in times of environmental distress. These unexpected insights open the door to further investigation into the intricate relationship between environmental influences and the human psyche, perhaps inspiring others to take a closer look at the unconventional side of environmental science.
Those who may have initially been skeptical of our research topic now have reason to ponder a novel connection between earthly environmental conditions and extraterrestrial contemplation. As we delve into the findings and implications of this peculiar correlation, we are reminded that science often unravels mysteries in the most unexpected places – in this case, amidst the smog and stargazing of Salt Lake City.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our study has uncovered a fascinating parallel between air pollution in Salt Lake City and the frequency of Google searches for 'Report UFO Sighting', offering a saucerful of unexpected insights into the human psyche. While our findings may initially seem light years away from traditional environmental research, they point to the interconnectedness of earthly conditions and extraterrestrial musings – a cosmic coincidence, if you will.

The statistically significant correlation we identified suggests that residents are not only pondering the pollutants in the air but also casting their eyes heavenward in search of otherworldly solace. Perhaps, amidst the haze, the prospect of encountering interstellar visitors offers a breath of fresh air, albeit of the extraterrestrial variety. It seems that a polluted atmosphere may well serve as a launchpad for cosmic contemplation.

Our research underscores the importance of exploring unconventional intersections in scientific inquiry, reminding us that even in the orbit of traditional environmental concerns, there exists a celestial fascination that captures the human imagination. As we wrap up this odyssey through the ethereal and earthly realms, it becomes clear that the search for knowledge knows no bounds – even when it comes to the distinctly otherworldly connection between air pollution and UFO sightings.

In light of these revelatory findings, we cheekily assert that no further research is needed in this area, as we have boldly gone where no environmental study has gone before – unveiling a cosmic correlation that tickles the very edges of our atmosphere and imagination. So, let us bid adieu to this whimsical chapter of research, with a cosmic wink and a celestial chuckle. Until our next scholarly escapade, keep your eyes on the skies and your data on the ground.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Out of This World Air Pollution: An Analysis of the Relationship Between Air Quality in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google Searches for 'Report UFO Sighting'. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

Journal of Extraterrestrial Environmental Analysis


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Out of This World Air Pollution: An Analysis of the Relationship Between Air Quality in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google Searches for 'Report UFO Sighting'. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Futuristic Atmospheric Inquiries


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Out of This World Air Pollution: An Analysis of the Relationship Between Air Quality in Salt Lake City, Utah and Google Searches for 'Report UFO Sighting' with an abstract of In this study, we delve into the mysterious connection between air pollution and the search for unidentified flying objects in Salt Lake City, Utah. Utilizing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, we conducted a rigorous analysis spanning the years 2004 to 2023. Our findings revealed a surprisingly strong correlation between levels of air pollution and the frequency of searches for UFO sightings on Google. The correlation coefficient of 0.7625837 and p < 0.01 suggests a strong association, prompting us to ponder whether residents are gazing towards the skies due to poor air quality or simply contemplating celestial beings amidst the haze. Our research highlights the unexpected relationship between environmental conditions and extraterrestrial curiosity, offering a whimsical yet thought-provoking twist to the science of air pollution and internet search behavior.

ChatGPT:

Salt Lake City air pollution, Salt Lake City air quality, Salt Lake City environmental conditions, Salt Lake City Google searches, Salt Lake City UFO sightings, Salt Lake City Google Trends, air pollution and internet search behavior, air pollution correlation, air pollution and curiosity, air quality and UFO sightings, environmental conditions and extraterrestrial curiosity

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah
Detailed data title: Percentage of days 'unhealthy' or worse air quality in Salt Lake City, UT
Source: Environmental Protection Agency
See what else correlates with Air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah

Google searches for 'report UFO sighting'
Detailed data title: Relative volume of Google searches for 'report UFO sighting' (Worldwide, without quotes)
Source: Google Trends
Additional Info: Relative search volume (not absolute numbers)

See what else correlates with Google searches for 'report UFO sighting'

Correlation r = 0.7625837 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.5815339 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 58.2% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Google searches for 'report UFO sighting') is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah) over the 20 years from 2004 through 2023.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 9.3E-5. 0.0000925558433987527400000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.76 in 0.0093% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 10,804 random variables Which I absolutely did.
with the same 19 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 19 because we have two variables measured over a period of 20 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.48, 0.9 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
20042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
Air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah (Bad air quality days)5.73772.191781.369863.287671.366121.369862.191780.8219180.2732242.191780.5479450.5479451.366120.2739730.54794500.5464482.4657500.364964
Google searches for 'report UFO sighting' (Rel. search volume)18.666712.416713.259.833339.1666710.416711.83338.166676.55.416673.916675.333333.52.833333.583334.4166744.53.166673.4




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([5.7377,2.19178,1.36986,3.28767,1.36612,1.36986,2.19178,0.821918,0.273224,2.19178,0.547945,0.547945,1.36612,0.273973,0.547945,0,0.546448,2.46575,0,0.364964,])
array_2 = np.array([18.6667,12.4167,13.25,9.83333,9.16667,10.4167,11.8333,8.16667,6.5,5.41667,3.91667,5.33333,3.5,2.83333,3.58333,4.41667,4,4.5,3.16667,3.4,])
array_1_name = "Air pollution in Salt Lake City, Utah"
array_2_name = "Google searches for 'report UFO sighting'"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 4092 · Black Variable ID: 21194 · Red Variable ID: 1392
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