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Spurious correlation #3,475 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and the second variable is Petroluem consumption in Antarctica.  The chart goes from 1985 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As Motor vehicle thefts in Idaho decreased, there were fewer getaway cars available for criminals to use, leading to a decrease in demand for gasoline. This ultimately resulted in a drop in Petrol(eum) consumption in Antarctica, because even penguins were finding it harder to fuel up their ice-cars for joyrides.

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: [Prompt: Photorealism] In the scenic Idaho countryside, a few cars are parked outside a cozy cabin, their owners safe inside. Meanwhile in Antarctica, a group of penguins enthusiastically pulling sleds, with jubilant thieves on top, are speeding across the ice. The penguins are enjoying their new role as sled pullers, having become the unexpected champions of the cold, open roads. Image Generation Prompt: Using photorealism, create an image of a serene Idaho countryside featuring a cabin with parked cars, contrasted with a lively scene in Antarctica where penguins joyfully pull sleds with jubilant thieves riding on top. The penguins should be depicted as the unexpected champions of the cold, open roads, with palpable enthusiasm and energy. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and Petroluem consumption in Antarctica. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Photorealism Data cyber art Cute 2D animation Photorealism Photorealism
ChatGPT: Photorealism

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and Petroluem consumption in Antarctica, in the following situation: Because as motor vehicle thefts in Idaho decreased, the black market for stolen gas also took a hit. With fewer cars, thieves had to let off some steam and turned to penguin-powered sleds instead, causing a decrease in petroluem consumption in Antarctica. The penguin propulsion movement really took off, and now they're the new kings of the icy roads!. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In the scenic Idaho countryside, a few cars are parked outside a cozy cabin, their owners safe inside. Meanwhile in Antarctica, a group of penguins enthusiastically pulling sleds, with jubilant thieves on top, are speeding across the ice. The penguins are enjoying their new role as sled pullers, having become the unexpected champions of the cold, open roads.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Photorealism ] and depicting this scene: In the scenic Idaho countryside, a few cars are parked outside a cozy cabin, their owners safe inside. Meanwhile in Antarctica, a group of penguins enthusiastically pulling sleds, with jubilant thieves on top, are speeding across the ice. The penguins are enjoying their new role as sled pullers, having become the unexpected champions of the cold, open roads. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: [Prompt: Photorealism] In the scenic Idaho countryside, a few cars are parked outside a cozy cabin, their owners safe inside. Meanwhile in Antarctica, a group of penguins enthusiastically pulling sleds, with jubilant thieves on top, are speeding across the ice. The penguins are enjoying their new role as sled pullers, having become the unexpected champions of the cold, open roads. Image Generation Prompt: Using photorealism, create an image of a serene Idaho countryside featuring a cabin with parked cars, contrasted with a lively scene in Antarctica where penguins joyfully pull sleds with jubilant thieves riding on top. The penguins should be depicted as the unexpected champions of the cold, open roads, with palpable enthusiasm and energy.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how a decrease in Motor vehicle thefts in Idaho caused Petroluem consumption in Antarctica to decrease. Include one good pun.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
The Great Steal-Antarctic Wheel Deal: Motor Vehicle Thefts in Idaho and Petroleum Consumption in Antarctica

The Journal of Eclectic Cross-Disciplinary Research

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and Petroluem consumption in Antarctica. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Rhyme words in the title.

Your research team used data from FBI Criminal Justice Information Services and Energy Information Administration to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9136537 and p < 0.01 for 1985 to 2021.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
The Great Steal-Antarctic Wheel Deal: Motor Vehicle Thefts in Idaho and Petroleum Consumption in Antarctica

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the curious correlation between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. At first glance, one might assume these two phenomena are as unrelated as snow and desert, but our analysis surprisingly suggests otherwise. We dug deep into the data from the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services and the Energy Information Administration, aiming to shed light on this undeniably quirky connection.

Amidst the serious analysis, we couldn't resist an occasional dad joke. Speaking of which, did you hear about the car battery that got arrested? It was charged with assault.

Our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9136537 and a p-value of less than 0.01 for the period from 1985 to 2021. Far from being merely coincidental, the relationship between these two variables raises intriguing questions: Could there be clandestine car smuggling operations between Idaho and Antarctica? Or perhaps penguins are secretly fueling joyrides on stolen vehicles?

The statistical evidence leaves no room for doubt: there is a remarkable, albeit puzzling, connection between motor vehicle thefts in the Gem State and petroleum consumption in the South Pole. As we continue to unravel this enigmatic association, one thing is certain – this research has driven us to the edge of the Earth and back.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and Petroluem consumption in Antarctica. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Great Steal-Antarctic Wheel Deal: Motor Vehicle Thefts in Idaho and Petroleum Consumption in Antarctica

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the curious correlation between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. At first glance, one might assume these two phenomena are as unrelated as snow and desert, but our analysis surprisingly suggests otherwise. We dug deep into the data from the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services and the Energy Information Administration, aiming to shed light on this undeniably quirky connection.

Amidst the serious analysis, we couldn't resist an occasional dad joke. Speaking of which, did you hear about the car battery that got arrested? It was charged with assault.

Our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9136537 and a p-value of less than 0.01 for the period from 1985 to 2021. Far from being merely coincidental, the relationship between these two variables raises intriguing questions: Could there be clandestine car smuggling operations between Idaho and Antarctica? Or perhaps penguins are secretly fueling joyrides on stolen vehicles?

The statistical evidence leaves no room for doubt: there is a remarkable, albeit puzzling, connection between motor vehicle thefts in the Gem State and petroleum consumption in the South Pole. As we continue to unravel this enigmatic association, one thing is certain – this research has driven us to the edge of the Earth and back.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

Buckle up, because we are about to embark on a journey through the wildest car chase you've ever seen – figuratively speaking, of course. In this peculiar research endeavor, we delve into the unexpected link between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. It's as if global warming met grand theft auto and decided to join forces, creating a plot twist that even Hollywood scriptwriters would have a hard time coming up with.

Now, let's not skirt around the issue: these two seemingly disparate phenomena have raised eyebrows and piqued curiosity. After all, what could possibly connect the sparsely populated snowy landscape of Antarctica with the potato paradise of Idaho? Reader, prepare yourself for a twist worthy of M. Night Shyamalan – if he were a statistician.

Speaking of cold mysteries, did you hear about the Antarctic carjacker? He was caught red-handed, trying to break into an ice-cream truck. Guess he was looking for a quick kelp-flavored getaway.

As we navigate through this uncharted terrain of statistical analysis, we're not just crunching numbers – we're peeling back the layers of this peculiar onion to reveal the potential underbelly of hidden correlations. Our findings are enough to make one ponder: is there a covert underground network facilitating the transport of stolen vehicles across the frozen expanse to the land of perpetual ice? Or perhaps those adorable penguins are not as innocent as they seem, engaging in high-octane joyrides fueled by contraband petrol.

In the words of Sherlock Holmes, "The game is afoot," and we find ourselves knee-deep in evidence pointing to an inexplicable bond between car thefts in Idaho and oil consumption in Antarctica. The sheer audacity of this connection has driven us to question the very fabric of our understanding of cause and effect. So sit tight, fasten your seatbelt, and join us on this off-road adventure as we navigate the twists and turns of this baffling correlation. After all, truth is often stranger than friction.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and Petroluem consumption in Antarctica. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name some cartoons and childrens' shows that you watched that are related to the topic.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Great Steal-Antarctic Wheel Deal: Motor Vehicle Thefts in Idaho and Petroleum Consumption in Antarctica

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the curious correlation between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. At first glance, one might assume these two phenomena are as unrelated as snow and desert, but our analysis surprisingly suggests otherwise. We dug deep into the data from the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services and the Energy Information Administration, aiming to shed light on this undeniably quirky connection.

Amidst the serious analysis, we couldn't resist an occasional dad joke. Speaking of which, did you hear about the car battery that got arrested? It was charged with assault.

Our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9136537 and a p-value of less than 0.01 for the period from 1985 to 2021. Far from being merely coincidental, the relationship between these two variables raises intriguing questions: Could there be clandestine car smuggling operations between Idaho and Antarctica? Or perhaps penguins are secretly fueling joyrides on stolen vehicles?

The statistical evidence leaves no room for doubt: there is a remarkable, albeit puzzling, connection between motor vehicle thefts in the Gem State and petroleum consumption in the South Pole. As we continue to unravel this enigmatic association, one thing is certain – this research has driven us to the edge of the Earth and back.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
Buckle up, because we are about to embark on a journey through the wildest car chase you've ever seen – figuratively speaking, of course. In this peculiar research endeavor, we delve into the unexpected link between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. It's as if global warming met grand theft auto and decided to join forces, creating a plot twist that even Hollywood scriptwriters would have a hard time coming up with.
Now, let's not skirt around the issue: these two seemingly disparate phenomena have raised eyebrows and piqued curiosity. After all, what could possibly connect the sparsely populated snowy landscape of Antarctica with the potato paradise of Idaho? Reader, prepare yourself for a twist worthy of M. Night Shyamalan – if he were a statistician.
Speaking of cold mysteries, did you hear about the Antarctic carjacker? He was caught red-handed, trying to break into an ice-cream truck. Guess he was looking for a quick kelp-flavored getaway.
As we navigate through this uncharted terrain of statistical analysis, we're not just crunching numbers – we're peeling back the layers of this peculiar onion to reveal the potential underbelly of hidden correlations. Our findings are enough to make one ponder: is there a covert underground network facilitating the transport of stolen vehicles across the frozen expanse to the land of perpetual ice? Or perhaps those adorable penguins are not as innocent as they seem, engaging in high-octane joyrides fueled by contraband petrol.
In the words of Sherlock Holmes, "The game is afoot," and we find ourselves knee-deep in evidence pointing to an inexplicable bond between car thefts in Idaho and oil consumption in Antarctica. The sheer audacity of this connection has driven us to question the very fabric of our understanding of cause and effect. So sit tight, fasten your seatbelt, and join us on this off-road adventure as we navigate the twists and turns of this baffling correlation. After all, truth is often stranger than friction.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

In their seminal work, "Automotive Larceny and Regional Disparities: A Comparative Analysis" (Smith et al., 2008), the authors find a substantial increase in motor vehicle theft rates in Idaho over the past two decades. This trend has perplexed law enforcement agencies, insurance companies, and the general public alike. The FBI Uniform Crime Reporting statistics paint a vivid picture of cars disappearing faster than a magician's assistant in a box.

On the flip side of the globe, "Energy Consumption in Remote Regions" (Doe, 2015) provides an in-depth examination of petroleum usage in Antarctica. The vast expanse of this icy continent might seem like an unlikely candidate for high fuel demand, but the reality is as chilling as the Antarctic winds. The Energy Information Administration's data reveals a persistent and growing reliance on petroleum for various logistical operations in this frigid land.

Moving on from the somber tones of our academic literature, let's take a detour into the realm of non-fiction books. "Car Theft: A Comprehensive Study" by John Wheels (2012) presents a comprehensive overview of vehicle theft patterns worldwide. Meanwhile, "Frozen Fuel: Petroleum Dependence in Icy Terrains" by Lisa Iceberg (2016) offers a detailed examination of energy consumption in polar regions.

Now, let's veer into the fiction aisle, where we encounter the likes of "Arctic Auto Heist" by Sarah Snowdrift (2007) and "The Penguin Petrol Plot" by Peter P.engu (2014). While these titles may seem far-fetched, the uncanny parallels to our research question cannot be dismissed lightly. After all, who's to say that penguins don't have a penchant for joyrides in stolen vehicles?

In a surprising turn of events, the literature search led us to an unexpected source of insight – cartoons and children's shows. "The Adventures of Frosty the Snowmobile" and "Penguin Pals: A Quirky Quest for Quarts" both depict unlikely yet plausible scenarios where motor vehicle thefts and petroleum consumption intersect in a way that captivates the imagination. While these shows may be geared towards a younger audience, their thematic relevance to our research cannot be ignored.

In conclusion, the juxtaposition of serious academic literature with unexpected literary genres and childhood media serves as a poignant reminder that truth can be hidden where we least expect it – even in the most unlikely pairings of motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. As we continue down this research road, it's evident that a dash of unexpected humor can go a long way in illuminating the quirky connections that lie beneath the surface. After all, who would've thought that the correlation coefficient and comedic relief coexist in perfect harmony?


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and Petroluem consumption in Antarctica. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from FBI Criminal Justice Information Services and Energy Information Administration . You used data from 1985 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Great Steal-Antarctic Wheel Deal: Motor Vehicle Thefts in Idaho and Petroleum Consumption in Antarctica

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the curious correlation between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. At first glance, one might assume these two phenomena are as unrelated as snow and desert, but our analysis surprisingly suggests otherwise. We dug deep into the data from the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services and the Energy Information Administration, aiming to shed light on this undeniably quirky connection.

Amidst the serious analysis, we couldn't resist an occasional dad joke. Speaking of which, did you hear about the car battery that got arrested? It was charged with assault.

Our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9136537 and a p-value of less than 0.01 for the period from 1985 to 2021. Far from being merely coincidental, the relationship between these two variables raises intriguing questions: Could there be clandestine car smuggling operations between Idaho and Antarctica? Or perhaps penguins are secretly fueling joyrides on stolen vehicles?

The statistical evidence leaves no room for doubt: there is a remarkable, albeit puzzling, connection between motor vehicle thefts in the Gem State and petroleum consumption in the South Pole. As we continue to unravel this enigmatic association, one thing is certain – this research has driven us to the edge of the Earth and back.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
Buckle up, because we are about to embark on a journey through the wildest car chase you've ever seen – figuratively speaking, of course. In this peculiar research endeavor, we delve into the unexpected link between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. It's as if global warming met grand theft auto and decided to join forces, creating a plot twist that even Hollywood scriptwriters would have a hard time coming up with.
Now, let's not skirt around the issue: these two seemingly disparate phenomena have raised eyebrows and piqued curiosity. After all, what could possibly connect the sparsely populated snowy landscape of Antarctica with the potato paradise of Idaho? Reader, prepare yourself for a twist worthy of M. Night Shyamalan – if he were a statistician.
Speaking of cold mysteries, did you hear about the Antarctic carjacker? He was caught red-handed, trying to break into an ice-cream truck. Guess he was looking for a quick kelp-flavored getaway.
As we navigate through this uncharted terrain of statistical analysis, we're not just crunching numbers – we're peeling back the layers of this peculiar onion to reveal the potential underbelly of hidden correlations. Our findings are enough to make one ponder: is there a covert underground network facilitating the transport of stolen vehicles across the frozen expanse to the land of perpetual ice? Or perhaps those adorable penguins are not as innocent as they seem, engaging in high-octane joyrides fueled by contraband petrol.
In the words of Sherlock Holmes, "The game is afoot," and we find ourselves knee-deep in evidence pointing to an inexplicable bond between car thefts in Idaho and oil consumption in Antarctica. The sheer audacity of this connection has driven us to question the very fabric of our understanding of cause and effect. So sit tight, fasten your seatbelt, and join us on this off-road adventure as we navigate the twists and turns of this baffling correlation. After all, truth is often stranger than friction.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

Now, let's pop the hood on our research methodology, and take a peek at the engine that fueled this endeavor - pun intended. Our data collection process was as convoluted as a car chase in rush hour traffic, involving an extensive review of both primary and secondary sources. We sifted through the digital highways and byways, scouring the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services and the Energy Information Administration databases for nuggets of insight. The research team didn't just kick the tires – we turned them inside out to ensure the validity and reliability of the information. It was like embarking on a cross-country road trip, except the journey was through datasets instead of landmarks.

To capture the full breadth of our analysis, the team employed a blend of quantitative and qualitative methods that were as harmonious as a well-tuned engine. Our statistical analysis was as rigorous as a diagnostic check-up at a mechanic's garage, encompassing regression analysis, time-series modeling, and correlation assessments. We didn't just skim the surface; we dug deep into the bedrock of the data to uncover any buried treasure – or in this case, hidden connections. It was like trying to spot a polar bear in a snowstorm, but we persisted nonetheless.

Our data spans a timeframe from 1985 to 2021, providing us with enough mileage to trace the evolution of these intriguing phenomena. We wanted to ensure our analysis wasn't just a fleeting trend, so we delved into historical data like a time-traveling car enthusiast attending a retro car show. By incorporating a longitudinal perspective, we aimed to capture the nuances of this unlikely association and potentially unveil patterns that might otherwise be lost in a rearview mirror.

In the spirit of full transparency, we didn't just take the scenic route – we also encountered a few detours along the way. Given the unorthodox nature of our research subject, navigating the data landscape was akin to traversing an uncharted territory. We encountered bumps in the road, dead ends, and even the occasional data pothole, but we proceeded with the resilience of a four-wheel-drive vehicle, determined to forge ahead regardless of the obstacles.

So, buckle up for a research journey that's as adventurous as a cross-continental road trip, but with data analysis instead of pit stops. Our methodology has laid the groundwork for a robust and rigorous investigation, and we are eagerly poised to unveil the intriguing insights that await us on this curious expedition. After all, as the saying goes, the proof of the pudding is in the gas mileage – or something like that.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and Petroluem consumption in Antarctica. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from FBI Criminal Justice Information Services and Energy Information Administration .

For the time period 1985 to 2021, you found a correlation 0.9136537, r-squared of 0.8347631, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Great Steal-Antarctic Wheel Deal: Motor Vehicle Thefts in Idaho and Petroleum Consumption in Antarctica

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the curious correlation between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. At first glance, one might assume these two phenomena are as unrelated as snow and desert, but our analysis surprisingly suggests otherwise. We dug deep into the data from the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services and the Energy Information Administration, aiming to shed light on this undeniably quirky connection.

Amidst the serious analysis, we couldn't resist an occasional dad joke. Speaking of which, did you hear about the car battery that got arrested? It was charged with assault.

Our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9136537 and a p-value of less than 0.01 for the period from 1985 to 2021. Far from being merely coincidental, the relationship between these two variables raises intriguing questions: Could there be clandestine car smuggling operations between Idaho and Antarctica? Or perhaps penguins are secretly fueling joyrides on stolen vehicles?

The statistical evidence leaves no room for doubt: there is a remarkable, albeit puzzling, connection between motor vehicle thefts in the Gem State and petroleum consumption in the South Pole. As we continue to unravel this enigmatic association, one thing is certain – this research has driven us to the edge of the Earth and back.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
Buckle up, because we are about to embark on a journey through the wildest car chase you've ever seen – figuratively speaking, of course. In this peculiar research endeavor, we delve into the unexpected link between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. It's as if global warming met grand theft auto and decided to join forces, creating a plot twist that even Hollywood scriptwriters would have a hard time coming up with.
Now, let's not skirt around the issue: these two seemingly disparate phenomena have raised eyebrows and piqued curiosity. After all, what could possibly connect the sparsely populated snowy landscape of Antarctica with the potato paradise of Idaho? Reader, prepare yourself for a twist worthy of M. Night Shyamalan – if he were a statistician.
Speaking of cold mysteries, did you hear about the Antarctic carjacker? He was caught red-handed, trying to break into an ice-cream truck. Guess he was looking for a quick kelp-flavored getaway.
As we navigate through this uncharted terrain of statistical analysis, we're not just crunching numbers – we're peeling back the layers of this peculiar onion to reveal the potential underbelly of hidden correlations. Our findings are enough to make one ponder: is there a covert underground network facilitating the transport of stolen vehicles across the frozen expanse to the land of perpetual ice? Or perhaps those adorable penguins are not as innocent as they seem, engaging in high-octane joyrides fueled by contraband petrol.
In the words of Sherlock Holmes, "The game is afoot," and we find ourselves knee-deep in evidence pointing to an inexplicable bond between car thefts in Idaho and oil consumption in Antarctica. The sheer audacity of this connection has driven us to question the very fabric of our understanding of cause and effect. So sit tight, fasten your seatbelt, and join us on this off-road adventure as we navigate the twists and turns of this baffling correlation. After all, truth is often stranger than friction.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

Our statistical analysis uncovered a remarkably strong correlation between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica over the period from 1985 to 2021. The correlation coefficient of 0.9136537 signifies a robust positive association between the two variables. In other words, as motor vehicle thefts in Idaho increased, so did petroleum consumption in Antarctica. It's almost as if the thieves were fueling the distant vehicles without even knowing it – talk about unintended consequences!

The r-squared value of 0.8347631 suggests that approximately 83.5% of the variation in petroleum consumption in Antarctica can be explained by the variation in motor vehicle thefts in Idaho. This substantial level of explained variance leaves us wondering just how deep this rabbit hole of correlation goes. Perhaps we need to consider training a fleet of guard penguins to keep an eye on the situation.

Our findings also revealed a p-value of less than 0.01, indicating that the observed correlation is highly statistically significant. It seems that the relationship between these two seemingly unrelated phenomena is no fluke – unless you count the joyriding penguins.

Fig. 1 illustrates the scatterplot depicting the strong positive correlation between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. The upward trend is not just a wild goose chase; it's a clear indication that there's more to this connection than meets the eye. It's almost as if the stolen vehicles are being hijacked to the end of the earth, fueling both criminal exploits and the South Pole's energy needs.

Pardon the pun, but it seems that the thefts in Idaho are delivering more than just hot wheels – they are driving an intriguing relationship with far-reaching implications. As we move forward, it's clear that this unusual correlation is no mere flight of fancy – it has sparked a line of inquiry that could redefine our understanding of global interconnections.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and Petroluem consumption in Antarctica. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
The Great Steal-Antarctic Wheel Deal: Motor Vehicle Thefts in Idaho and Petroleum Consumption in Antarctica

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the curious correlation between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. At first glance, one might assume these two phenomena are as unrelated as snow and desert, but our analysis surprisingly suggests otherwise. We dug deep into the data from the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services and the Energy Information Administration, aiming to shed light on this undeniably quirky connection.

Amidst the serious analysis, we couldn't resist an occasional dad joke. Speaking of which, did you hear about the car battery that got arrested? It was charged with assault.

Our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9136537 and a p-value of less than 0.01 for the period from 1985 to 2021. Far from being merely coincidental, the relationship between these two variables raises intriguing questions: Could there be clandestine car smuggling operations between Idaho and Antarctica? Or perhaps penguins are secretly fueling joyrides on stolen vehicles?

The statistical evidence leaves no room for doubt: there is a remarkable, albeit puzzling, connection between motor vehicle thefts in the Gem State and petroleum consumption in the South Pole. As we continue to unravel this enigmatic association, one thing is certain – this research has driven us to the edge of the Earth and back.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
In their seminal work, "Automotive Larceny and Regional Disparities: A Comparative Analysis" (Smith et al., 2008), the authors find a substantial increase in motor vehicle theft rates in Idaho over the past two decades. This trend has perplexed law enforcement agencies, insurance companies, and the general public alike. The FBI Uniform Crime Reporting statistics paint a vivid picture of cars disappearing faster than a magician's assistant in a box.
On the flip side of the globe, "Energy Consumption in Remote Regions" (Doe, 2015) provides an in-depth examination of petroleum usage in Antarctica. The vast expanse of this icy continent might seem like an unlikely candidate for high fuel demand, but the reality is as chilling as the Antarctic winds. The Energy Information Administration's data reveals a persistent and growing reliance on petroleum for various logistical operations in this frigid land.
Moving on from the somber tones of our academic literature, let's take a detour into the realm of non-fiction books. "Car Theft: A Comprehensive Study" by John Wheels (2012) presents a comprehensive overview of vehicle theft patterns worldwide. Meanwhile, "Frozen Fuel: Petroleum Dependence in Icy Terrains" by Lisa Iceberg (2016) offers a detailed examination of energy consumption in polar regions.
Now, let's veer into the fiction aisle, where we encounter the likes of "Arctic Auto Heist" by Sarah Snowdrift (2007) and "The Penguin Petrol Plot" by Peter P.engu (2014). While these titles may seem far-fetched, the uncanny parallels to our research question cannot be dismissed lightly. After all, who's to say that penguins don't have a penchant for joyrides in stolen vehicles?
In a surprising turn of events, the literature search led us to an unexpected source of insight – cartoons and children's shows. "The Adventures of Frosty the Snowmobile" and "Penguin Pals: A Quirky Quest for Quarts" both depict unlikely yet plausible scenarios where motor vehicle thefts and petroleum consumption intersect in a way that captivates the imagination. While these shows may be geared towards a younger audience, their thematic relevance to our research cannot be ignored.
In conclusion, the juxtaposition of serious academic literature with unexpected literary genres and childhood media serves as a poignant reminder that truth can be hidden where we least expect it – even in the most unlikely pairings of motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. As we continue down this research road, it's evident that a dash of unexpected humor can go a long way in illuminating the quirky connections that lie beneath the surface. After all, who would've thought that the correlation coefficient and comedic relief coexist in perfect harmony?

[[RESULTS]]
Our statistical analysis uncovered a remarkably strong correlation between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica over the period from 1985 to 2021. The correlation coefficient of 0.9136537 signifies a robust positive association between the two variables. In other words, as motor vehicle thefts in Idaho increased, so did petroleum consumption in Antarctica. It's almost as if the thieves were fueling the distant vehicles without even knowing it – talk about unintended consequences!
The r-squared value of 0.8347631 suggests that approximately 83.5% of the variation in petroleum consumption in Antarctica can be explained by the variation in motor vehicle thefts in Idaho. This substantial level of explained variance leaves us wondering just how deep this rabbit hole of correlation goes. Perhaps we need to consider training a fleet of guard penguins to keep an eye on the situation.
Our findings also revealed a p-value of less than 0.01, indicating that the observed correlation is highly statistically significant. It seems that the relationship between these two seemingly unrelated phenomena is no fluke – unless you count the joyriding penguins.
Fig. 1 illustrates the scatterplot depicting the strong positive correlation between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. The upward trend is not just a wild goose chase; it's a clear indication that there's more to this connection than meets the eye. It's almost as if the stolen vehicles are being hijacked to the end of the earth, fueling both criminal exploits and the South Pole's energy needs.
Pardon the pun, but it seems that the thefts in Idaho are delivering more than just hot wheels – they are driving an intriguing relationship with far-reaching implications. As we move forward, it's clear that this unusual correlation is no mere flight of fancy – it has sparked a line of inquiry that could redefine our understanding of global interconnections.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The results of our research overwhelmingly support and build upon the prior literature that has delved into the perplexing association between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. The statistically compelling correlation we have uncovered not only adds empirical weight to the existing body of knowledge but also sheds light on the potential depth and breadth of this enigmatic connection. As we traverse through this seemingly detached duo of phenomena, one can't help but wonder if there's more than meets the eye, reminiscent of a certain group of transforming robots. Perhaps, these findings reveal a secret energy exchange scheme, making it a case of Autobots and Antarcticons.

The seminal work by Smith et al. (2008) that highlighted the surge in motor vehicle theft rates in Idaho set the stage for our investigation. Our findings not only corroborate this concerning trend but also elevate it to an unprecedented level of global impact. It's as if the stolen vehicles are embarking on a journey that transcends state lines and crosses continents, leaving behind a trail of implications as wide-reaching as an Antarctic glacier. Speaking of which, have you heard the joke about the glacier attending a party? It melted the ice and broke the ice, all at the same time.

Moreover, the comprehensive study by Lisa Iceberg (2016) on energy consumption in polar regions aligns harmoniously with our research’s perspective. It's almost as if we've stumbled upon a chilling, yet awe-inspiring, revelation that transcends the boundaries of conventional wisdom, much like finding a penguin in a desert. While we may not have uncovered an organized car smuggling operation between Idaho and Antarctica, the statistical evidence undeniably supports the existence of a clandestine connection ripe with possibilities and, presumably, well-hidden gas stations. Who would have thought that penguins might be fueling joyrides on stolen vehicles? After all, they do seem to have a penchant for impeccably dressed waiters and waitresses.

Admittedly, our findings come as a surprise even to the most inquisitive minds. The inherent humor found in this unexpected correlation is akin to the punchline of an extraordinary cosmic joke, taking us through a rollercoaster of investigative thrills and statistical spills. It's as if the entire universe conspired to bring together two seemingly unrelated phenomena in a way that could rewrite the textbooks on intercontinental connections, all while delivering a sequence of perfectly timed punchlines.

While our research does not provide definitive answers to the mystery of this unusual correlation, it propels us further into a realm of inquiry that is both illuminating and, dare we say, entertaining. Like a puzzling riddle waiting to be solved, the relationship between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica beckons for a deeper exploration. Let's leave no pun unturned as we embark on this whimsical scientific journey that defies the conventional boundaries of correlation and causation. With every unexpected twist and turn, our research invites us to ponder the astonishing possibilities hidden within the seemingly mundane--the mere theft of vehicles and the procurement of fuel, possibly by an organized network of flightless but daring birds. As we forge ahead, it's clear that this is just the beginning of a saga that transcends analytical paradigms and opens up a world of infinite curiosity.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and Petroluem consumption in Antarctica. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
The Great Steal-Antarctic Wheel Deal: Motor Vehicle Thefts in Idaho and Petroleum Consumption in Antarctica

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the curious correlation between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. At first glance, one might assume these two phenomena are as unrelated as snow and desert, but our analysis surprisingly suggests otherwise. We dug deep into the data from the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services and the Energy Information Administration, aiming to shed light on this undeniably quirky connection.

Amidst the serious analysis, we couldn't resist an occasional dad joke. Speaking of which, did you hear about the car battery that got arrested? It was charged with assault.

Our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9136537 and a p-value of less than 0.01 for the period from 1985 to 2021. Far from being merely coincidental, the relationship between these two variables raises intriguing questions: Could there be clandestine car smuggling operations between Idaho and Antarctica? Or perhaps penguins are secretly fueling joyrides on stolen vehicles?

The statistical evidence leaves no room for doubt: there is a remarkable, albeit puzzling, connection between motor vehicle thefts in the Gem State and petroleum consumption in the South Pole. As we continue to unravel this enigmatic association, one thing is certain – this research has driven us to the edge of the Earth and back.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
Buckle up, because we are about to embark on a journey through the wildest car chase you've ever seen – figuratively speaking, of course. In this peculiar research endeavor, we delve into the unexpected link between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. It's as if global warming met grand theft auto and decided to join forces, creating a plot twist that even Hollywood scriptwriters would have a hard time coming up with.
Now, let's not skirt around the issue: these two seemingly disparate phenomena have raised eyebrows and piqued curiosity. After all, what could possibly connect the sparsely populated snowy landscape of Antarctica with the potato paradise of Idaho? Reader, prepare yourself for a twist worthy of M. Night Shyamalan – if he were a statistician.
Speaking of cold mysteries, did you hear about the Antarctic carjacker? He was caught red-handed, trying to break into an ice-cream truck. Guess he was looking for a quick kelp-flavored getaway.
As we navigate through this uncharted terrain of statistical analysis, we're not just crunching numbers – we're peeling back the layers of this peculiar onion to reveal the potential underbelly of hidden correlations. Our findings are enough to make one ponder: is there a covert underground network facilitating the transport of stolen vehicles across the frozen expanse to the land of perpetual ice? Or perhaps those adorable penguins are not as innocent as they seem, engaging in high-octane joyrides fueled by contraband petrol.
In the words of Sherlock Holmes, "The game is afoot," and we find ourselves knee-deep in evidence pointing to an inexplicable bond between car thefts in Idaho and oil consumption in Antarctica. The sheer audacity of this connection has driven us to question the very fabric of our understanding of cause and effect. So sit tight, fasten your seatbelt, and join us on this off-road adventure as we navigate the twists and turns of this baffling correlation. After all, truth is often stranger than friction.

[[RESULTS]]
Our statistical analysis uncovered a remarkably strong correlation between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica over the period from 1985 to 2021. The correlation coefficient of 0.9136537 signifies a robust positive association between the two variables. In other words, as motor vehicle thefts in Idaho increased, so did petroleum consumption in Antarctica. It's almost as if the thieves were fueling the distant vehicles without even knowing it – talk about unintended consequences!
The r-squared value of 0.8347631 suggests that approximately 83.5% of the variation in petroleum consumption in Antarctica can be explained by the variation in motor vehicle thefts in Idaho. This substantial level of explained variance leaves us wondering just how deep this rabbit hole of correlation goes. Perhaps we need to consider training a fleet of guard penguins to keep an eye on the situation.
Our findings also revealed a p-value of less than 0.01, indicating that the observed correlation is highly statistically significant. It seems that the relationship between these two seemingly unrelated phenomena is no fluke – unless you count the joyriding penguins.
Fig. 1 illustrates the scatterplot depicting the strong positive correlation between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. The upward trend is not just a wild goose chase; it's a clear indication that there's more to this connection than meets the eye. It's almost as if the stolen vehicles are being hijacked to the end of the earth, fueling both criminal exploits and the South Pole's energy needs.
Pardon the pun, but it seems that the thefts in Idaho are delivering more than just hot wheels – they are driving an intriguing relationship with far-reaching implications. As we move forward, it's clear that this unusual correlation is no mere flight of fancy – it has sparked a line of inquiry that could redefine our understanding of global interconnections.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, the correlation between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica has left us both astounded and amused. Our findings suggest an unexpected and robust relationship between these two seemingly unrelated metrics. It's as if the thieves in Idaho are inadvertently contributing to the energy needs of the faraway icy continent while engaging in grand theft auto – talk about a high-octane endeavor.

This quirky connection raises intriguing questions and potential scenarios. Are penguins joyriding on stolen vehicles, unknowingly fueling the energy demands of Antarctica? Or are there covert car smuggling operations involving the frozen expanse and the Gem State? One thing's for sure – this correlation is putting the "ice" in "heist."

At this juncture, it's tempting to crack cold puns and delve into wild conspiracy theories involving penguins and stolen automobiles. But amidst the laughter, the statistical evidence is compelling. The strong positive correlation, significant p-value, and high explained variance underscore the legitimacy of this relationship, however bizarre it may seem.

So, as we bid farewell to this peculiar correlation, let's not forget that, just like dad jokes, this research has left an indelible mark. However, it's time to close the case. We assert that no further investigation is needed in this realm – for now, let's leave the stolen wheels and Antarctic fuel consumption to rest in peace.

After all, sometimes in research, the point is not to find answers but to pose more interesting questions - and in this case, to share a good belly laugh.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited The Great Steal-Antarctic Wheel Deal: Motor Vehicle Thefts in Idaho and Petroleum Consumption in Antarctica. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Eclectic Cross-Disciplinary Research


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited The Great Steal-Antarctic Wheel Deal: Motor Vehicle Thefts in Idaho and Petroleum Consumption in Antarctica. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Society for Eccentric Research and Wacky Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled The Great Steal-Antarctic Wheel Deal: Motor Vehicle Thefts in Idaho and Petroleum Consumption in Antarctica with an abstract of This research delves into the curious correlation between motor vehicle thefts in Idaho and petroleum consumption in Antarctica. At first glance, one might assume these two phenomena are as unrelated as snow and desert, but our analysis surprisingly suggests otherwise. We dug deep into the data from the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services and the Energy Information Administration, aiming to shed light on this undeniably quirky connection.
Amidst the serious analysis, we couldn't resist an occasional dad joke. Speaking of which, did you hear about the car battery that got arrested? It was charged with assault.
Our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9136537 and a p-value of less than 0.01 for the period from 1985 to 2021. Far from being merely coincidental, the relationship between these two variables raises intriguing questions: Could there be clandestine car smuggling operations between Idaho and Antarctica? Or perhaps penguins are secretly fueling joyrides on stolen vehicles?
The statistical evidence leaves no room for doubt: there is a remarkable, albeit puzzling, connection between motor vehicle thefts in the Gem State and petroleum consumption in the South Pole. As we continue to unravel this enigmatic association, one thing is certain – this research has driven us to the edge of the Earth and back.

ChatGPT:

motor vehicle theft, Idaho, petroleum consumption, Antarctica, correlation analysis, FBI Criminal Justice Information Services, Energy Information Administration, car smuggling operations, penguins, Gem State, statistical evidence

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Motor vehicle thefts in Idaho
Detailed data title: The motor vehicle theft rate per 100,000 residents in Idaho
Source: FBI Criminal Justice Information Services
See what else correlates with Motor vehicle thefts in Idaho

Petroluem consumption in Antarctica
Detailed data title: Volume of petroluem consumption consumed in Antarctica in millions of barrels per day
Source: Energy Information Administration
See what else correlates with Petroluem consumption in Antarctica

Correlation r = 0.9136537 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.8347631 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 83.5% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Petroluem consumption in Antarctica) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Motor vehicle thefts in Idaho) over the 37 years from 1985 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 3.02E-15. 0.0000000000000030241390626970
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.91 in 3.02E-13% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 330,672,624,263,573 random variables You don't actually need 330 trillion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 36 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 36 because we have two variables measured over a period of 37 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.84, 0.95 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
1985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
Motor vehicle thefts in Idaho (Motor Vehicle Theft rate)182181.3167.4176.3158.8165.5178.3157.4183.4195.1242187.5200.7185.7151.6161.2180.9195.6193.6196.3201.8166.1151.1108.995.284.68486.695.4102.6113.3123.6125.1111.789.996.790.5
Petroluem consumption in Antarctica (Million Barrels/Day)1.41.31.31.41.31.41.41.41.41.41.51.51.51.51.51.487921.532881.532881.532881.549071.553321.553321.573750.06733120.08674080.08674080.08674080.08674030.08674080.08674080.0867390.0867380.08465750.08465750.08465750.07130820.0758833




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
    Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([182,181.3,167.4,176.3,158.8,165.5,178.3,157.4,183.4,195.1,242,187.5,200.7,185.7,151.6,161.2,180.9,195.6,193.6,196.3,201.8,166.1,151.1,108.9,95.2,84.6,84,86.6,95.4,102.6,113.3,123.6,125.1,111.7,89.9,96.7,90.5,])
array_2 = np.array([1.4,1.3,1.3,1.4,1.3,1.4,1.4,1.4,1.4,1.4,1.5,1.5,1.5,1.5,1.5,1.48792,1.53288,1.53288,1.53288,1.54907,1.55332,1.55332,1.57375,0.0673312,0.0867408,0.0867408,0.0867408,0.0867403,0.0867408,0.0867408,0.086739,0.086738,0.0846575,0.0846575,0.0846575,0.0713082,0.0758833,])
array_1_name = "Motor vehicle thefts in Idaho"
array_2_name = "Petroluem consumption in Antarctica"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 3475 · Black Variable ID: 20159 · Red Variable ID: 24138
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