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Spurious correlation #3,172 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Popularity of the first name Shamar and the second variable is Air pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland.  The chart goes from 1981 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As the number of Shamar's increased, so did the demand for personalized air fresheners, leading to a spike in production at the local factory. The factory workers were so focused on creating the perfect scents that they accidentally released more pollutants into the air. It seems that Shamar's just couldn't help but make their mark on Hagerstown, one aromatic mishap at a time!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: [Sci-fi fantasy] Generate an image of a futuristic cityscape in Hagerstown, Maryland, with colorful holographic cars speeding through the streets. The personalized license plates on each car prominently display the name "SHAMAR" in vibrant, glowing letters, adding to the dynamic visual effect. The vehicles leave streaks of neon light as they perform advanced maneuvers, like anti-gravity drifts and acrobatic spins, creating a mesmerizing and energetic atmosphere. The once clear sky is now filled with shimmering particles as the futuristic cars emit dazzling emissions, symbolizing the surge of Shamar's influence and its impact on the environment. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Popularity of the first name Shamar and Air pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Parallax art Cybernetic art a meme Low poly Sci-fi fantacy
ChatGPT: Sci-fi fantasy

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Popularity of the first name Shamar and Air pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland, in the following situation: Because the sudden surge in popularity of the name Shamar led to an influx of personalized license plates with "SHAMAR" on them. This resulted in a frenzy of car owners trying to outdo each other, leading to a constant cycle of revving engines and burnouts, thus increasing air pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland. It's a classic case of Shamar-motivated fumes!. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In Hagerstown, Maryland, the streets were filled with cars adorned with personalized license plates proudly displaying the name "SHAMAR." The sudden surge in popularity of the name had sparked a frenzy among car owners, resulting in a constant cycle of revving engines and burnouts. This lively scene, however, also led to an increase in air pollution as the Shamar-motivated fumes filled the air.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Sci-fi fantasy ] and depicting this scene: In Hagerstown, Maryland, the streets were filled with cars adorned with personalized license plates proudly displaying the name "SHAMAR." The sudden surge in popularity of the name had sparked a frenzy among car owners, resulting in a constant cycle of revving engines and burnouts. This lively scene, however, also led to an increase in air pollution as the Shamar-motivated fumes filled the air. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: [Sci-fi fantasy] Generate an image of a futuristic cityscape in Hagerstown, Maryland, with colorful holographic cars speeding through the streets. The personalized license plates on each car prominently display the name "SHAMAR" in vibrant, glowing letters, adding to the dynamic visual effect. The vehicles leave streaks of neon light as they perform advanced maneuvers, like anti-gravity drifts and acrobatic spins, creating a mesmerizing and energetic atmosphere. The once clear sky is now filled with shimmering particles as the futuristic cars emit dazzling emissions, symbolizing the surge of Shamar's influence and its impact on the environment.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how increases in Popularity of the first name Shamar positively influenced Air pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
The AQI of Shamar: Exploring the Link Between The Popularity of the Name Shamar and Air Pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland

The Journal of Environmental Epidemiology and Demographics

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Shamar and Air pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title punny if you can come up with clever pun. If not, make it sound serious.

Your research team used data from US Social Security Administration and Environmental Protection Agency to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.6601498 and p < 0.01 for 1981 to 2022.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
The AQI of Shamar: Exploring the Link Between The Popularity of the Name "Shamar" and Air Pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the intriguing association between the popularity of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and Environmental Protection Agency, a correlation coefficient of 0.6601498 and p < 0.01 was identified for the years 1981 to 2022. These findings suggest a noteworthy relationship between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air quality in the region. This paper provides insight into the complex interplay between personal nomenclature and environmental factors, offering a lighthearted exploration of an empirical connection that defies conventional expectations.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Shamar and Air pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The AQI of Shamar: Exploring the Link Between The Popularity of the Name "Shamar" and Air Pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the intriguing association between the popularity of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and Environmental Protection Agency, a correlation coefficient of 0.6601498 and p < 0.01 was identified for the years 1981 to 2022. These findings suggest a noteworthy relationship between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air quality in the region. This paper provides insight into the complex interplay between personal nomenclature and environmental factors, offering a lighthearted exploration of an empirical connection that defies conventional expectations.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

The significance of a name has been a subject of curiosity and fascination for centuries. From the ancient practice of giving children names based on auspicious meanings to the modern trend of bestowing unique and distinct names, the choice of a name can reflect cultural, societal, and personal preferences. However, one aspect that has received relatively little attention is the potential link between the popularity of a specific name and environmental factors. In this study, we delve into the realm of nomenclature to explore the unexpected relationship between the prevalence of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland.

It is important to note that the choice of Hagerstown as the focal point of this investigation was not arbitrary. Situated in the picturesque hills of western Maryland, Hagerstown provides a compelling backdrop for examining the intersection of personal nomenclature and atmospheric conditions. The city's mix of urban, suburban, and rural areas presents a diverse range of environmental influences, making it an ideal location for this inquiry. Additionally, the availability of comprehensive air quality data from the Environmental Protection Agency allows for a robust analysis of the correlation between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air pollution levels over several decades.

Furthermore, the name "Shamar" itself carries a unique charm, and its rhythmic syllables evoke a sense of charisma and character. Through the ages, names have held symbolic significance and cultural connotations, and "Shamar" is no exception. As we embark on this investigation, it is essential to approach the subject matter with both scholarly rigor and a touch of lightheartedness, recognizing the blend of curiosity and levity that characterizes this exploration.

The aim of this research is not only to uncover a potential correlation between the popularity of the name "Shamar" and air pollution in Hagerstown but also to present a thought-provoking analysis that transcends traditional expectations. By examining this unconventional linkage, we seek to unlock a deeper understanding of the intricate connections between individual identities and the environmental factors that shape our surroundings. This paper endeavors to shed light on an unexpected correlation, offering a whimsical twist to the scholarly discourse on human nomenclature and its interaction with the natural world.

As we navigate the realm of statistical analysis and empirical investigation, it is with a hint of amusement and a spirit of inquisitiveness that we approach the findings of this study. Our venture into the AQI of Shamar promises to unravel a tale that intertwines the idiosyncrasies of personal names with the intricacies of atmospheric conditions, encapsulating an intellectual odyssey that defies conventional research paradigms.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Shamar and Air pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then devolve ever further, and mention something completely ridiculous, like you conducted literature review by reading the backs of shampoo bottles.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The AQI of Shamar: Exploring the Link Between The Popularity of the Name "Shamar" and Air Pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the intriguing association between the popularity of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and Environmental Protection Agency, a correlation coefficient of 0.6601498 and p < 0.01 was identified for the years 1981 to 2022. These findings suggest a noteworthy relationship between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air quality in the region. This paper provides insight into the complex interplay between personal nomenclature and environmental factors, offering a lighthearted exploration of an empirical connection that defies conventional expectations.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The significance of a name has been a subject of curiosity and fascination for centuries. From the ancient practice of giving children names based on auspicious meanings to the modern trend of bestowing unique and distinct names, the choice of a name can reflect cultural, societal, and personal preferences. However, one aspect that has received relatively little attention is the potential link between the popularity of a specific name and environmental factors. In this study, we delve into the realm of nomenclature to explore the unexpected relationship between the prevalence of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland.
It is important to note that the choice of Hagerstown as the focal point of this investigation was not arbitrary. Situated in the picturesque hills of western Maryland, Hagerstown provides a compelling backdrop for examining the intersection of personal nomenclature and atmospheric conditions. The city's mix of urban, suburban, and rural areas presents a diverse range of environmental influences, making it an ideal location for this inquiry. Additionally, the availability of comprehensive air quality data from the Environmental Protection Agency allows for a robust analysis of the correlation between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air pollution levels over several decades.
Furthermore, the name "Shamar" itself carries a unique charm, and its rhythmic syllables evoke a sense of charisma and character. Through the ages, names have held symbolic significance and cultural connotations, and "Shamar" is no exception. As we embark on this investigation, it is essential to approach the subject matter with both scholarly rigor and a touch of lightheartedness, recognizing the blend of curiosity and levity that characterizes this exploration.
The aim of this research is not only to uncover a potential correlation between the popularity of the name "Shamar" and air pollution in Hagerstown but also to present a thought-provoking analysis that transcends traditional expectations. By examining this unconventional linkage, we seek to unlock a deeper understanding of the intricate connections between individual identities and the environmental factors that shape our surroundings. This paper endeavors to shed light on an unexpected correlation, offering a whimsical twist to the scholarly discourse on human nomenclature and its interaction with the natural world.
As we navigate the realm of statistical analysis and empirical investigation, it is with a hint of amusement and a spirit of inquisitiveness that we approach the findings of this study. Our venture into the AQI of Shamar promises to unravel a tale that intertwines the idiosyncrasies of personal names with the intricacies of atmospheric conditions, encapsulating an intellectual odyssey that defies conventional research paradigms.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

The endeavor to discern an unprompted relationship between the proliferation of the first name "Shamar" and the air quality in Hagerstown, Maryland beguilingly draws from a wide gamut of academic, fictional, and unconventional sources of inquiry. In "Name Prevalence and Environmental Correlations," Smith et al. examine the longitudinal fluctuations in the frequency of given names and their conceivable connections to environmental variables. The findings proffer a nuanced investigation of name-popularity patterns vis-à-vis environmental indicators, opening a window into the perplexing realm of personal nomenclature and its covert confluence with atmospheric dynamics.

Subsequently, Doe and Jones, in their study "Air Pollution and Pedigree," probe the socio-environmental implications of individual appellations, albeit in a more subdued light. Their meticulous analysis unveils subtle nuances in name prevalence and its conceivable repercussions on local air quality metrics, marking a significant contribution to the emergent field of onomastic-environmental interrelations.

Moreover, "The Social Significance of Names" by Brown delves into the intricacies of naming conventions and their societal reverberations, furnishing a panoramic insight into the socially constructed symbolism that permeates nomenclatural culture. This seminal work confronts conventional paradigms and challenges the traditionalist notions of nomenclatural insignificance, accentuating the pivotal role of personal names as agents of semantic import and socio-cultural resonance.

In parallel, a spate of non-fiction works has augmented the academic discourse with literary musings on the subject at hand. "Breathe: A Memoir on Air Quality," authored by Cleanair, elucidates the thematic nuances of ambient air conditions and their correlative implications on personal nomenclature, heralding a cohesive blend of environmental contemplation and nomenclatural introspection. Similarly, "The Aerial Chronicles of Hagerstown," authored by Skypilot, unearths the intersection of atmospheric idiosyncrasies and the socio-nomenclatural milieu, threading a narrative tapestry of local nomenclatural ebbs and flows against the backdrop of Hagerstown's atmospheric dichotomies.

Venturing into the realm of fictional ardor, "The Smoggy Moniker" by Mysterynovelist offers a speculative venture into the fictitious intrigues of nomenclatural prevalence and atmospheric eccentricities, transposing the enigmatic allure of the name "Shamar" into a whimsical web of fantastical conjectures and atmospheric caprices. Concomitantly, "Airborne Anecdotes" by Fictionaficionado whimsically envisions the fantastical tale of a feisty fellow named Shamar grappling with the mercurial whims of air pollution in the evocative environs of Hagerstown, spinning a yarn of fantastical fervor amid the whimsical confluence of nomenclatural intrigue and aeriform enigmas.

To supplement the exhaustive expanse of literary inquiry, the authors discerned unconventional insights from the world of casual perusal. The back of a shampoo bottle, adorned with calligraphic exhortations on olfactory rejuvenation, surreptitiously divulged ostensibly disparate yet curiously insightful expressions on the olfactory cues that permeate atmospheric manifestations. This inadvertent stroke of serendipitous insight proved to be an unexpected fount of thematic elucidation, accentuating the ever-present proclivity of quotidian observations to harbor latent revelations.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Shamar and Air pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and Environmental Protection Agency . You used data from 1981 to 2022

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The AQI of Shamar: Exploring the Link Between The Popularity of the Name "Shamar" and Air Pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the intriguing association between the popularity of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and Environmental Protection Agency, a correlation coefficient of 0.6601498 and p < 0.01 was identified for the years 1981 to 2022. These findings suggest a noteworthy relationship between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air quality in the region. This paper provides insight into the complex interplay between personal nomenclature and environmental factors, offering a lighthearted exploration of an empirical connection that defies conventional expectations.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
The significance of a name has been a subject of curiosity and fascination for centuries. From the ancient practice of giving children names based on auspicious meanings to the modern trend of bestowing unique and distinct names, the choice of a name can reflect cultural, societal, and personal preferences. However, one aspect that has received relatively little attention is the potential link between the popularity of a specific name and environmental factors. In this study, we delve into the realm of nomenclature to explore the unexpected relationship between the prevalence of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland.
It is important to note that the choice of Hagerstown as the focal point of this investigation was not arbitrary. Situated in the picturesque hills of western Maryland, Hagerstown provides a compelling backdrop for examining the intersection of personal nomenclature and atmospheric conditions. The city's mix of urban, suburban, and rural areas presents a diverse range of environmental influences, making it an ideal location for this inquiry. Additionally, the availability of comprehensive air quality data from the Environmental Protection Agency allows for a robust analysis of the correlation between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air pollution levels over several decades.
Furthermore, the name "Shamar" itself carries a unique charm, and its rhythmic syllables evoke a sense of charisma and character. Through the ages, names have held symbolic significance and cultural connotations, and "Shamar" is no exception. As we embark on this investigation, it is essential to approach the subject matter with both scholarly rigor and a touch of lightheartedness, recognizing the blend of curiosity and levity that characterizes this exploration.
The aim of this research is not only to uncover a potential correlation between the popularity of the name "Shamar" and air pollution in Hagerstown but also to present a thought-provoking analysis that transcends traditional expectations. By examining this unconventional linkage, we seek to unlock a deeper understanding of the intricate connections between individual identities and the environmental factors that shape our surroundings. This paper endeavors to shed light on an unexpected correlation, offering a whimsical twist to the scholarly discourse on human nomenclature and its interaction with the natural world.
As we navigate the realm of statistical analysis and empirical investigation, it is with a hint of amusement and a spirit of inquisitiveness that we approach the findings of this study. Our venture into the AQI of Shamar promises to unravel a tale that intertwines the idiosyncrasies of personal names with the intricacies of atmospheric conditions, encapsulating an intellectual odyssey that defies conventional research paradigms.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

The methodology employed in this study involved an interdisciplinary approach, integrating statistical analysis, demographic trends, and environmental data to elucidate the purported connection between the popularity of the name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland. The research team diligently curated datasets from the US Social Security Administration and the Environmental Protection Agency, ensuring the inclusion of comprehensive and reliable information spanning the years 1981 to 2022.

To commence the investigation, the frequency of the first name "Shamar" was obtained from the US Social Security Administration's database, which archives the nomenclature bestowed upon newborns in the United States. This dataset provided a robust representation of the prevalence of the name "Shamar" across different years, offering insights into its temporal popularity and distribution. Subsequently, the air quality measurements in Hagerstown, Maryland, were extracted from the Environmental Protection Agency's monitoring stations, encompassing parameters such as particulate matter, ozone, carbon monoxide, sulfur dioxide, and nitrogen dioxide.

The statistical analysis of the collected data entailed multiple stages of processing and evaluation. Initially, the frequency of the name "Shamar" was correlated with the annual average air quality index (AQI) in Hagerstown, employing established statistical techniques to discern any underlying patterns or associations. The calculation of correlation coefficients, including Pearson's r, Spearman's rank correlation, and Kendall's tau, was executed to ascertain the strength and direction of the relationship between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air pollution levels. Furthermore, robustness checks and sensitivity analyses were conducted to validate the consistency of the identified correlations across different sub-periods and demographic strata.

Given the unique nature of the research question, additional analyses were performed to explore potential confounding variables and alternative explanations for the observed correlation. This involved adjusting for demographic shifts, socioeconomic indicators, and meteorological influences that could plausibly impact both the prevalence of the name "Shamar" and air quality in Hagerstown. Sensitivity analyses were also conducted to evaluate the stability of the findings under varying methodological assumptions and parameter specifications.

The investigation of this unorthodox relationship between personal nomenclature and environmental quality necessitated a meticulous and thorough investigation, embracing both scientific rigor and a spirit of curiosity. By synthesizing diverse sources of information and leveraging advanced statistical methodologies, the research team endeavored to illuminate an unconventional association that transcends traditional scholarly boundaries. The methodological framework employed in this study stands as a testament to the commitment to empirical inquiry and intellectual exploration, underscoring the dedication to unraveling the enigmatic connection encapsulated in the AQI of Shamar.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Shamar and Air pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and Environmental Protection Agency .

For the time period 1981 to 2022, you found a correlation 0.6601498, r-squared of 0.4357977, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The AQI of Shamar: Exploring the Link Between The Popularity of the Name "Shamar" and Air Pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the intriguing association between the popularity of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and Environmental Protection Agency, a correlation coefficient of 0.6601498 and p < 0.01 was identified for the years 1981 to 2022. These findings suggest a noteworthy relationship between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air quality in the region. This paper provides insight into the complex interplay between personal nomenclature and environmental factors, offering a lighthearted exploration of an empirical connection that defies conventional expectations.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
The significance of a name has been a subject of curiosity and fascination for centuries. From the ancient practice of giving children names based on auspicious meanings to the modern trend of bestowing unique and distinct names, the choice of a name can reflect cultural, societal, and personal preferences. However, one aspect that has received relatively little attention is the potential link between the popularity of a specific name and environmental factors. In this study, we delve into the realm of nomenclature to explore the unexpected relationship between the prevalence of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland.
It is important to note that the choice of Hagerstown as the focal point of this investigation was not arbitrary. Situated in the picturesque hills of western Maryland, Hagerstown provides a compelling backdrop for examining the intersection of personal nomenclature and atmospheric conditions. The city's mix of urban, suburban, and rural areas presents a diverse range of environmental influences, making it an ideal location for this inquiry. Additionally, the availability of comprehensive air quality data from the Environmental Protection Agency allows for a robust analysis of the correlation between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air pollution levels over several decades.
Furthermore, the name "Shamar" itself carries a unique charm, and its rhythmic syllables evoke a sense of charisma and character. Through the ages, names have held symbolic significance and cultural connotations, and "Shamar" is no exception. As we embark on this investigation, it is essential to approach the subject matter with both scholarly rigor and a touch of lightheartedness, recognizing the blend of curiosity and levity that characterizes this exploration.
The aim of this research is not only to uncover a potential correlation between the popularity of the name "Shamar" and air pollution in Hagerstown but also to present a thought-provoking analysis that transcends traditional expectations. By examining this unconventional linkage, we seek to unlock a deeper understanding of the intricate connections between individual identities and the environmental factors that shape our surroundings. This paper endeavors to shed light on an unexpected correlation, offering a whimsical twist to the scholarly discourse on human nomenclature and its interaction with the natural world.
As we navigate the realm of statistical analysis and empirical investigation, it is with a hint of amusement and a spirit of inquisitiveness that we approach the findings of this study. Our venture into the AQI of Shamar promises to unravel a tale that intertwines the idiosyncrasies of personal names with the intricacies of atmospheric conditions, encapsulating an intellectual odyssey that defies conventional research paradigms.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The correlation analysis revealed a strong positive correlation between the popularity of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland for the period from 1981 to 2022. The correlation coefficient was calculated to be 0.6601498, indicating a substantial association between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air quality in the region. Furthermore, the r-squared value of 0.4357977 suggests that approximately 44% of the variability in air pollution levels can be explained by the fluctuations in the popularity of the name "Shamar." The p-value of less than 0.01 reinforces the confidence in the statistical significance of this correlation. Such a small p-value indicates that it is highly unlikely to observe such a strong association between the name "Shamar" and air pollution if there were no true relationship between the two, and not just because of some cosmic coincidence.

The scatterplot (Fig. 1) visually depicts the robust positive relationship between the prevalence of the name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland. Evidently, the data points form a clear pattern, validating the findings of the correlation analysis and demonstrating the compelling connection between personal nomenclature and atmospheric conditions. It's almost as if the name "Shamar" is whispering to the air particles, influencing their behavior in mysterious ways.

These results not only underscore the surprising correlation between the popularity of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels but also highlight the need to consider unconventional variables in environmental studies. The unexpected nature of this correlation challenges traditional notions of causality and prompts a reevaluation of the intricate dynamics shaping our surroundings. It seems that the name "Shamar" carries a certain atmospheric influence, weaving its identity into the very fabric of Hagerstown's air quality.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Shamar and Air pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
The AQI of Shamar: Exploring the Link Between The Popularity of the Name "Shamar" and Air Pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the intriguing association between the popularity of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and Environmental Protection Agency, a correlation coefficient of 0.6601498 and p < 0.01 was identified for the years 1981 to 2022. These findings suggest a noteworthy relationship between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air quality in the region. This paper provides insight into the complex interplay between personal nomenclature and environmental factors, offering a lighthearted exploration of an empirical connection that defies conventional expectations.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
The endeavor to discern an unprompted relationship between the proliferation of the first name "Shamar" and the air quality in Hagerstown, Maryland beguilingly draws from a wide gamut of academic, fictional, and unconventional sources of inquiry. In "Name Prevalence and Environmental Correlations," Smith et al. examine the longitudinal fluctuations in the frequency of given names and their conceivable connections to environmental variables. The findings proffer a nuanced investigation of name-popularity patterns vis-à-vis environmental indicators, opening a window into the perplexing realm of personal nomenclature and its covert confluence with atmospheric dynamics.
Subsequently, Doe and Jones, in their study "Air Pollution and Pedigree," probe the socio-environmental implications of individual appellations, albeit in a more subdued light. Their meticulous analysis unveils subtle nuances in name prevalence and its conceivable repercussions on local air quality metrics, marking a significant contribution to the emergent field of onomastic-environmental interrelations.
Moreover, "The Social Significance of Names" by Brown delves into the intricacies of naming conventions and their societal reverberations, furnishing a panoramic insight into the socially constructed symbolism that permeates nomenclatural culture. This seminal work confronts conventional paradigms and challenges the traditionalist notions of nomenclatural insignificance, accentuating the pivotal role of personal names as agents of semantic import and socio-cultural resonance.
In parallel, a spate of non-fiction works has augmented the academic discourse with literary musings on the subject at hand. "Breathe: A Memoir on Air Quality," authored by Cleanair, elucidates the thematic nuances of ambient air conditions and their correlative implications on personal nomenclature, heralding a cohesive blend of environmental contemplation and nomenclatural introspection. Similarly, "The Aerial Chronicles of Hagerstown," authored by Skypilot, unearths the intersection of atmospheric idiosyncrasies and the socio-nomenclatural milieu, threading a narrative tapestry of local nomenclatural ebbs and flows against the backdrop of Hagerstown's atmospheric dichotomies.
Venturing into the realm of fictional ardor, "The Smoggy Moniker" by Mysterynovelist offers a speculative venture into the fictitious intrigues of nomenclatural prevalence and atmospheric eccentricities, transposing the enigmatic allure of the name "Shamar" into a whimsical web of fantastical conjectures and atmospheric caprices. Concomitantly, "Airborne Anecdotes" by Fictionaficionado whimsically envisions the fantastical tale of a feisty fellow named Shamar grappling with the mercurial whims of air pollution in the evocative environs of Hagerstown, spinning a yarn of fantastical fervor amid the whimsical confluence of nomenclatural intrigue and aeriform enigmas.
To supplement the exhaustive expanse of literary inquiry, the authors discerned unconventional insights from the world of casual perusal. The back of a shampoo bottle, adorned with calligraphic exhortations on olfactory rejuvenation, surreptitiously divulged ostensibly disparate yet curiously insightful expressions on the olfactory cues that permeate atmospheric manifestations. This inadvertent stroke of serendipitous insight proved to be an unexpected fount of thematic elucidation, accentuating the ever-present proclivity of quotidian observations to harbor latent revelations.

[[RESULTS]]
The correlation analysis revealed a strong positive correlation between the popularity of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland for the period from 1981 to 2022. The correlation coefficient was calculated to be 0.6601498, indicating a substantial association between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air quality in the region. Furthermore, the r-squared value of 0.4357977 suggests that approximately 44% of the variability in air pollution levels can be explained by the fluctuations in the popularity of the name "Shamar." The p-value of less than 0.01 reinforces the confidence in the statistical significance of this correlation. Such a small p-value indicates that it is highly unlikely to observe such a strong association between the name "Shamar" and air pollution if there were no true relationship between the two, and not just because of some cosmic coincidence.
The scatterplot (Fig. 1) visually depicts the robust positive relationship between the prevalence of the name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland. Evidently, the data points form a clear pattern, validating the findings of the correlation analysis and demonstrating the compelling connection between personal nomenclature and atmospheric conditions. It's almost as if the name "Shamar" is whispering to the air particles, influencing their behavior in mysterious ways.
These results not only underscore the surprising correlation between the popularity of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels but also highlight the need to consider unconventional variables in environmental studies. The unexpected nature of this correlation challenges traditional notions of causality and prompts a reevaluation of the intricate dynamics shaping our surroundings. It seems that the name "Shamar" carries a certain atmospheric influence, weaving its identity into the very fabric of Hagerstown's air quality.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The intriguing correlation between the prevalence of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland has yielded compelling insights into the enigmatic interplay between personal nomenclature and atmospheric phenomena. These findings align with prior research, offering empirical support for the unorthodox yet captivating notion of a connection between nomenclatural prevalence and atmospheric dynamics.

The robust positive correlation coefficient of 0.6601498, as well as the r-squared value of 0.4357977, substantiates the pronounced relationship between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air quality metrics in the region. It appears that the name "Shamar" exerts a perceptible influence on the local atmosphere, prompting contemplation on the potential mechanisms through which nomenclatural prevalence interlaces with environmental dynamics. The statistical significance of the correlation, as indicated by a p-value of less than 0.01, underscores the unlikelihood of this association being a mere fortuity, suggesting a genuine and substantive connection.

The findings coalesce with the prior work of Smith et al., elucidating the subtle nexus between name-popularity dynamics and environmental variables. This convergence not only reaffirms the scholarly scrutiny of onomastic-environmental interrelations but also underscores the pressing need for further multidisciplinary inquiry to unravel the intricacies of this unanticipated connection. While the initial contention of a potential relationship between personal nomenclature and atmospheric manifestations may have appeared whimsical, the empirical substantiation of this correlation demands concerted attention to this hitherto overlooked domain of inquiry.

In parallel, the results resonate with the unconventional insights gleaned from the literary sphere, particularly the whimsical musings of Mysterynovelist in "The Smoggy Moniker" and Fictionaficionado's "Airborne Anecdotes." These fictitious reveries, once relegated to the realm of fanciful speculation, now assume a sense of empirical resonance, hinting at the profundity of the ostensibly lighthearted exploration of nomenclatural influence on atmospheric idiosyncrasies. The back of the shampoo bottle, previously dismissed as a casual dalliance, now emerges as an unforeseen wellspring of thematic elucidation, emphasizing the latent revelations harbored in seemingly innocuous domains of everyday life.

Conclusively, the unexpected correlation between the popularity of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland not only attests to the need for a holistic embrace of unconventional variables in environmental analyses but also underscores the enigmatic and heretofore unexplored influence of personal nomenclature on ambient conditions. Such a revelation prompts a reorientation of scholarly contemplation towards cross-disciplinary syntheses, inviting a harmonized dialogue between seemingly disparate domains of inquiry. As research strides into uncharted territories, the lingering question remains: could the mere utterance of a name influence the atmospheric ethos?


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Shamar and Air pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
The AQI of Shamar: Exploring the Link Between The Popularity of the Name "Shamar" and Air Pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study investigates the intriguing association between the popularity of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and Environmental Protection Agency, a correlation coefficient of 0.6601498 and p < 0.01 was identified for the years 1981 to 2022. These findings suggest a noteworthy relationship between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air quality in the region. This paper provides insight into the complex interplay between personal nomenclature and environmental factors, offering a lighthearted exploration of an empirical connection that defies conventional expectations.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The significance of a name has been a subject of curiosity and fascination for centuries. From the ancient practice of giving children names based on auspicious meanings to the modern trend of bestowing unique and distinct names, the choice of a name can reflect cultural, societal, and personal preferences. However, one aspect that has received relatively little attention is the potential link between the popularity of a specific name and environmental factors. In this study, we delve into the realm of nomenclature to explore the unexpected relationship between the prevalence of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland.
It is important to note that the choice of Hagerstown as the focal point of this investigation was not arbitrary. Situated in the picturesque hills of western Maryland, Hagerstown provides a compelling backdrop for examining the intersection of personal nomenclature and atmospheric conditions. The city's mix of urban, suburban, and rural areas presents a diverse range of environmental influences, making it an ideal location for this inquiry. Additionally, the availability of comprehensive air quality data from the Environmental Protection Agency allows for a robust analysis of the correlation between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air pollution levels over several decades.
Furthermore, the name "Shamar" itself carries a unique charm, and its rhythmic syllables evoke a sense of charisma and character. Through the ages, names have held symbolic significance and cultural connotations, and "Shamar" is no exception. As we embark on this investigation, it is essential to approach the subject matter with both scholarly rigor and a touch of lightheartedness, recognizing the blend of curiosity and levity that characterizes this exploration.
The aim of this research is not only to uncover a potential correlation between the popularity of the name "Shamar" and air pollution in Hagerstown but also to present a thought-provoking analysis that transcends traditional expectations. By examining this unconventional linkage, we seek to unlock a deeper understanding of the intricate connections between individual identities and the environmental factors that shape our surroundings. This paper endeavors to shed light on an unexpected correlation, offering a whimsical twist to the scholarly discourse on human nomenclature and its interaction with the natural world.
As we navigate the realm of statistical analysis and empirical investigation, it is with a hint of amusement and a spirit of inquisitiveness that we approach the findings of this study. Our venture into the AQI of Shamar promises to unravel a tale that intertwines the idiosyncrasies of personal names with the intricacies of atmospheric conditions, encapsulating an intellectual odyssey that defies conventional research paradigms.

[[RESULTS]]
The correlation analysis revealed a strong positive correlation between the popularity of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland for the period from 1981 to 2022. The correlation coefficient was calculated to be 0.6601498, indicating a substantial association between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air quality in the region. Furthermore, the r-squared value of 0.4357977 suggests that approximately 44% of the variability in air pollution levels can be explained by the fluctuations in the popularity of the name "Shamar." The p-value of less than 0.01 reinforces the confidence in the statistical significance of this correlation. Such a small p-value indicates that it is highly unlikely to observe such a strong association between the name "Shamar" and air pollution if there were no true relationship between the two, and not just because of some cosmic coincidence.
The scatterplot (Fig. 1) visually depicts the robust positive relationship between the prevalence of the name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland. Evidently, the data points form a clear pattern, validating the findings of the correlation analysis and demonstrating the compelling connection between personal nomenclature and atmospheric conditions. It's almost as if the name "Shamar" is whispering to the air particles, influencing their behavior in mysterious ways.
These results not only underscore the surprising correlation between the popularity of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels but also highlight the need to consider unconventional variables in environmental studies. The unexpected nature of this correlation challenges traditional notions of causality and prompts a reevaluation of the intricate dynamics shaping our surroundings. It seems that the name "Shamar" carries a certain atmospheric influence, weaving its identity into the very fabric of Hagerstown's air quality.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, the peculiar connection between the prevalence of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland has yielded a correlation coefficient of 0.6601498, a statistically significant finding that supports the existence of a substantial association between the two variables. This correlation seems to suggest that the name "Shamar" exerts some mysterious influence over the atmospheric conditions in Hagerstown, perhaps whispering gentle instructions to the air particles or imbuing them with a touch of its own charm. The r-squared value of 0.4357977 indicates that approximately 44% of the variability in air pollution levels can be explained by the fluctuations in the popularity of the name "Shamar," leaving the remaining 56% open to the enigmatic forces of nomenclature and environmental dynamics. The scatterplot depicting this relationship resembles a whimsical dance between the ethereal essence of the name and the tangible presence of air quality, inviting further contemplation of the interplay between personal identity and atmospheric occurrences.

These unsuspected findings prompt us, as scholarly researchers, to embrace a spirit of inquisitiveness and lighthearted curiosity, recognizing the delightful blend of the whimsical and the empirical that characterizes this investigation. While this study sheds light on an unexpected correlation, it also underscores the need to consider unconventional variables in environmental analyses, inviting a reexamination of the intricate forces that shape our surroundings. As to whether this correlation implies a casual relationship or causality, one can only speculate and, perhaps, indulge in a bit of whimsy. It seems, however, that "Shamar" may hold a special sway over the air in Hagerstown, as if the name itself were an atmospheric marvel.

In light of these results, it is evident that the correlation between the popularity of the name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown presents a captivating avenue for further exploration. However, based on the comprehensive and highly significant findings of this study, it is our assertive recommendation that no further research is needed in this area. The mysteries of "Shamar" and air pollution have been elucidated to a satisfactory extent, leaving us with a sense of wonder and admiration for the enigmatic influence of personal nomenclature on our environmental surroundings.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited The AQI of Shamar: Exploring the Link Between The Popularity of the Name Shamar and Air Pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Environmental Epidemiology and Demographics


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited The AQI of Shamar: Exploring the Link Between The Popularity of the Name Shamar and Air Pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Society for Wacky and Whimsical Research Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled The AQI of Shamar: Exploring the Link Between The Popularity of the Name Shamar and Air Pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland with an abstract of This study investigates the intriguing association between the popularity of the first name "Shamar" and air pollution levels in Hagerstown, Maryland. Leveraging data from the US Social Security Administration and Environmental Protection Agency, a correlation coefficient of 0.6601498 and p < 0.01 was identified for the years 1981 to 2022. These findings suggest a noteworthy relationship between the frequency of the name "Shamar" and air quality in the region. This paper provides insight into the complex interplay between personal nomenclature and environmental factors, offering a lighthearted exploration of an empirical connection that defies conventional expectations.

ChatGPT:

Shamar, air pollution, Hagerstown, Maryland, name popularity, correlation coefficient, US Social Security Administration, Environmental Protection Agency, air quality, personal nomenclature, environmental factors, empirical connection

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Popularity of the first name Shamar
Detailed data title: Babies of all sexes born in the US named Shamar
Source: US Social Security Administration
See what else correlates with Popularity of the first name Shamar

Air pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland
Detailed data title: Percentage of days with air quality at 'unhealthy for sensitive groups' or worse in Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
Source: Environmental Protection Agency
See what else correlates with Air pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland

Correlation r = 0.6601498 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.4357977 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 43.6% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Air pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Popularity of the first name Shamar) over the 42 years from 1981 through 2022.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 2.0E-6. 0.0000019711763696041990000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.66 in 0.0002% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 507,311 random variables You don't actually need 507 thousand variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 41 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 41 because we have two variables measured over a period of 42 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.45, 0.8 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
Popularity of the first name Shamar (Babies born)8883756961786248839182734659119168190246307389370292228199235261209219161189146140124101120919410185696163
Air pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland (Bad air quality days)0.9345795.394199.712238.469060000000000000019.59185.8139512.121218.42115.63914.150949.737836.2043810.15044.9056605.228761.694923.03031.6528900.2865331.126760.27777800.55248600.2770080




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([88,83,75,69,61,78,62,48,83,91,82,73,46,59,119,168,190,246,307,389,370,292,228,199,235,261,209,219,161,189,146,140,124,101,120,91,94,101,85,69,61,63,])
array_2 = np.array([0.934579,5.39419,9.71223,8.46906,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,19.5918,5.81395,12.1212,18.4211,5.6391,4.15094,9.73783,6.20438,10.1504,4.90566,0,5.22876,1.69492,3.0303,1.65289,0,0.286533,1.12676,0.277778,0,0.552486,0,0.277008,0,])
array_1_name = "Popularity of the first name Shamar"
array_2_name = "Air pollution in Hagerstown, Maryland"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 3172 · Black Variable ID: 3878 · Red Variable ID: 20701
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