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Spurious correlation #3,006 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Google searches for 'that is sus' and the second variable is Monolithic Power Systems' stock price (MPWR).  The chart goes from 2005 to 2023, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

The increase in 'that is sus' searches led to a surge in demand for online multiplayer games like Among Us, putting a strain on the current supply of gaming consoles. This caused a ripple effect, leading to a higher demand for semiconductor chips, which are crucial for producing these gaming consoles. As a leading semiconductor company, Monolithic Power Systems reaped the benefits of this 'suspiciously' high demand, propelling their stock price to astronomical levels. Looks like MPWR is truly plugged into the gaming industry's power-ups, creating a circuit of success that no one can resist!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: [ Cutesy graphics ] Generate an image of a cozy office setting with a computer screen. The screen displays a Google search bar with "that is sus" being typed in, accompanied by a whimsical loading animation. As the search results appear, a stock price graph for Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) is visible on the side. The graph shows a sudden upward spike, with cheerful visual indicators suggesting the impact of the increased Google searches on the stock's value. The overall image maintains a playful and vibrant aesthetic, with elements like colorful charts and subtle animations adding whimsy to the scene. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Google searches for 'that is sus' and Monolithic Power Systems' stock price (MPWR). Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Glitch art An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie Oragami a Polaroid photo Cutsy graphics
ChatGPT: Cutsy graphics

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Google searches for 'that is sus' and Monolithic Power Systems' stock price (MPWR), in the following situation: An increase in Google searches for 'that is sus' caused a spike in Monolithic Power Systems' stock price because investors interpreted the phrase as an endorsement of the company's innovative and 'suspiciously good' products.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In the scene, we see a computer screen displaying a Google search bar with the words "that is sus" being typed in. As the search results pop up, the stock price graph for Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) is visible on the side. The graph shows a sudden spike, with the stock price visibly on the rise, indicating the impact of the increased Google searches on the company's stock value.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Cutsy graphics ] and depicting this scene: In the scene, we see a computer screen displaying a Google search bar with the words "that is sus" being typed in. As the search results pop up, the stock price graph for Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) is visible on the side. The graph shows a sudden spike, with the stock price visibly on the rise, indicating the impact of the increased Google searches on the company's stock value. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: [ Cutesy graphics ] Generate an image of a cozy office setting with a computer screen. The screen displays a Google search bar with "that is sus" being typed in, accompanied by a whimsical loading animation. As the search results appear, a stock price graph for Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) is visible on the side. The graph shows a sudden upward spike, with cheerful visual indicators suggesting the impact of the increased Google searches on the stock's value. The overall image maintains a playful and vibrant aesthetic, with elements like colorful charts and subtle animations adding whimsy to the scene.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in that is sus (Google searches for 'that is sus') caused Monolithic Power Systems' stock price (MPWR) to increase. Include one good pun.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
That is Sus Google Search Buzz: A Correlation with Monolithic Power Systems' Stock Fuzz

The Journal of Contemporary Internet Culture and Financial Analysis

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Google searches for 'that is sus' and Monolithic Power Systems' stock price (MPWR). Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Rhyme words in the title.

Your research team used data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9730311 and p < 0.01 for 2005 to 2023.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
"That is Sus" Google Search Buzz: A Correlation with Monolithic Power Systems' Stock Fuzz

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the hitherto unforeseen association between Google searches for "that is sus" and the stock price movements of Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR). Leveraging data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), our analysis spans the period 2005 to 2023. Our findings reveal a remarkably sturdy correlation coefficient of 0.9730311 and a p-value less than 0.01, indicating a strong link between the popularity of the pop culture phrase "that is sus" and the fluctuations in MPWR's stock price. Our analysis showcases an unconventional but compelling discovery, shedding light on the cryptic interplay between internet search trends and financial markets.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Google searches for 'that is sus' and Monolithic Power Systems' stock price (MPWR). Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"That is Sus" Google Search Buzz: A Correlation with Monolithic Power Systems' Stock Fuzz

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the hitherto unforeseen association between Google searches for "that is sus" and the stock price movements of Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR). Leveraging data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), our analysis spans the period 2005 to 2023. Our findings reveal a remarkably sturdy correlation coefficient of 0.9730311 and a p-value less than 0.01, indicating a strong link between the popularity of the pop culture phrase "that is sus" and the fluctuations in MPWR's stock price. Our analysis showcases an unconventional but compelling discovery, shedding light on the cryptic interplay between internet search trends and financial markets.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
INTRODUCTION

In recent years, the intersection of internet culture and financial market dynamics has garnered increasing attention from researchers and investors alike. The proliferation of social media platforms and digital communication channels has provided a novel lens through which to observe and analyze market sentiment and consumer behavior. This trend has led to an exploration of unconventional data sources, such as Google search trends, as potential indicators of stock price movements. However, amidst this burgeoning field of inquiry, the association between a popular internet catchphrase and a specific stock's performance has remained largely unexplored.

The phrase "that is sus" has permeated internet forums, social media interactions, and gaming communities with remarkable ubiquity. Originating from the popular game "Among Us," the term has found its way into the lexicon of digital natives and has become emblematic of skepticism and suspicion. Intriguingly, the potential link between the prevalence of this catchphrase in online discourse and the behavior of Monolithic Power Systems' (MPWR) stock price has, until now, evaded comprehensive investigation.

As we delve into this unconventional yet compelling research inquiry, we aim to uncover insights that may enhance our understanding of the intricate interplay between digital trends and financial market movements. Leveraging data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), our study endeavors to shed light on the cryptic relationship between the "that is sus" search buzz and the stock price fluctuations of Monolithic Power Systems. Through rigorous statistical analysis, we seek to unravel the mysterious correlation that appears to exist between a lighthearted internet expression and the more somber realm of stock market dynamics.

While the notion of a connection between internet phenomena and stock performance may elicit skepticism, our preliminary findings hint at a robust association, warranting further exploration. This investigation represents a departure from traditional analytics but underscores the ever-evolving landscape of data-driven inquiry. Thus, the emergence of the "that is sus" Google search buzz as a potential harbinger of stock price movements serves as an engaging and unexpected avenue for investigation, punctuating the traditionally serious realm of financial analysis with a dash of pop culture relevance.

In light of the distinctive nature of this study, our findings stand to offer original perspectives that broaden the horizons of data-driven market analysis, all while infusing a touch of internet whimsy into the convoluted world of stock market research. As we embark on this unconventional journey of discovery, we invite readers to join us in unraveling the enigma of the "that is sus" Google search buzz and its unsuspecting link to Monolithic Power Systems' stock price fuzz.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Google searches for 'that is sus' and Monolithic Power Systems' stock price (MPWR). Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name some movies that you watched that are tangentially related to the topic.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"That is Sus" Google Search Buzz: A Correlation with Monolithic Power Systems' Stock Fuzz

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the hitherto unforeseen association between Google searches for "that is sus" and the stock price movements of Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR). Leveraging data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), our analysis spans the period 2005 to 2023. Our findings reveal a remarkably sturdy correlation coefficient of 0.9730311 and a p-value less than 0.01, indicating a strong link between the popularity of the pop culture phrase "that is sus" and the fluctuations in MPWR's stock price. Our analysis showcases an unconventional but compelling discovery, shedding light on the cryptic interplay between internet search trends and financial markets.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
In recent years, the intersection of internet culture and financial market dynamics has garnered increasing attention from researchers and investors alike. The proliferation of social media platforms and digital communication channels has provided a novel lens through which to observe and analyze market sentiment and consumer behavior. This trend has led to an exploration of unconventional data sources, such as Google search trends, as potential indicators of stock price movements. However, amidst this burgeoning field of inquiry, the association between a popular internet catchphrase and a specific stock's performance has remained largely unexplored.
The phrase "that is sus" has permeated internet forums, social media interactions, and gaming communities with remarkable ubiquity. Originating from the popular game "Among Us," the term has found its way into the lexicon of digital natives and has become emblematic of skepticism and suspicion. Intriguingly, the potential link between the prevalence of this catchphrase in online discourse and the behavior of Monolithic Power Systems' (MPWR) stock price has, until now, evaded comprehensive investigation.
As we delve into this unconventional yet compelling research inquiry, we aim to uncover insights that may enhance our understanding of the intricate interplay between digital trends and financial market movements. Leveraging data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), our study endeavors to shed light on the cryptic relationship between the "that is sus" search buzz and the stock price fluctuations of Monolithic Power Systems. Through rigorous statistical analysis, we seek to unravel the mysterious correlation that appears to exist between a lighthearted internet expression and the more somber realm of stock market dynamics.
While the notion of a connection between internet phenomena and stock performance may elicit skepticism, our preliminary findings hint at a robust association, warranting further exploration. This investigation represents a departure from traditional analytics but underscores the ever-evolving landscape of data-driven inquiry. Thus, the emergence of the "that is sus" Google search buzz as a potential harbinger of stock price movements serves as an engaging and unexpected avenue for investigation, punctuating the traditionally serious realm of financial analysis with a dash of pop culture relevance.
In light of the distinctive nature of this study, our findings stand to offer original perspectives that broaden the horizons of data-driven market analysis, all while infusing a touch of internet whimsy into the convoluted world of stock market research. As we embark on this unconventional journey of discovery, we invite readers to join us in unraveling the enigma of the "that is sus" Google search buzz and its unsuspecting link to Monolithic Power Systems' stock price fuzz.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
LITERATURE REVIEW

The exploration of the interplay between online culture and financial markets has increasingly captivated the attention of researchers and investors. Given the surge in digital communication channels and social media platforms, unconventional data sources, such as Google search trends, have garnered significant interest as potential indicators of stock price movements. However, amidst this burgeoning field of inquiry, the notion of a connection between a contemporary internet catchphrase and a specific stock's performance remains a relatively uncharted territory.

Smith (2018) conducted a seminal study on the utilization of non-traditional data sources for predicting stock price movements, laying the groundwork for the present investigation. In a similar vein, Doe (2020) delved into the correlation between internet memes and consumer sentiment, offering intriguing insights into the unorthodox dynamics shaping contemporary financial markets.

Beyond the realm of academic literature, several non-fiction books have addressed the evolving relationship between digital culture and economic phenomena. "The Age of Cryptocurrency" by Paul Vigna and Michael J. Casey delves into the transformative impact of digital currencies on financial markets, while "Tubes: A Journey to the Center of the Internet" by Andrew Blum paints a vivid picture of the interconnectedness of online interactions and its potential implications on various facets of modern society.

Venturing into the realm of fiction, works like "Cryptonomicon" by Neal Stephenson and "The Circle" by Dave Eggers offer speculative portrayals of the convergence of digital culture and economic systems, posing thought-provoking scenarios that blur the boundaries between virtual and tangible realities.

Additionally, several cinematic works have traversed the terrain of technological intrigue and financial intrigue, including "The Social Network," which chronicles the rise of Facebook and its impact on both social interactions and financial landscapes, and "The Big Short," a darkly comedic exploration of the complexities underpinning the 2008 financial crisis.

Amidst this rich tapestry of literature and media, the present study embarks on a peculiar but captivating inquiry into the correlation between Google searches for "that is sus" and the stock price movements of Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR). This research endeavor endeavors to elevate the discourse surrounding unconventional data sources and financial market behavior, enriching the scholarly landscape with an unconventional, albeit whimsical, lens through which to perceive the enigmatic world of stock market dynamics.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Google searches for 'that is sus' and Monolithic Power Systems' stock price (MPWR). Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) . You used data from 2005 to 2023

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"That is Sus" Google Search Buzz: A Correlation with Monolithic Power Systems' Stock Fuzz

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the hitherto unforeseen association between Google searches for "that is sus" and the stock price movements of Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR). Leveraging data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), our analysis spans the period 2005 to 2023. Our findings reveal a remarkably sturdy correlation coefficient of 0.9730311 and a p-value less than 0.01, indicating a strong link between the popularity of the pop culture phrase "that is sus" and the fluctuations in MPWR's stock price. Our analysis showcases an unconventional but compelling discovery, shedding light on the cryptic interplay between internet search trends and financial markets.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
In recent years, the intersection of internet culture and financial market dynamics has garnered increasing attention from researchers and investors alike. The proliferation of social media platforms and digital communication channels has provided a novel lens through which to observe and analyze market sentiment and consumer behavior. This trend has led to an exploration of unconventional data sources, such as Google search trends, as potential indicators of stock price movements. However, amidst this burgeoning field of inquiry, the association between a popular internet catchphrase and a specific stock's performance has remained largely unexplored.
The phrase "that is sus" has permeated internet forums, social media interactions, and gaming communities with remarkable ubiquity. Originating from the popular game "Among Us," the term has found its way into the lexicon of digital natives and has become emblematic of skepticism and suspicion. Intriguingly, the potential link between the prevalence of this catchphrase in online discourse and the behavior of Monolithic Power Systems' (MPWR) stock price has, until now, evaded comprehensive investigation.
As we delve into this unconventional yet compelling research inquiry, we aim to uncover insights that may enhance our understanding of the intricate interplay between digital trends and financial market movements. Leveraging data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), our study endeavors to shed light on the cryptic relationship between the "that is sus" search buzz and the stock price fluctuations of Monolithic Power Systems. Through rigorous statistical analysis, we seek to unravel the mysterious correlation that appears to exist between a lighthearted internet expression and the more somber realm of stock market dynamics.
While the notion of a connection between internet phenomena and stock performance may elicit skepticism, our preliminary findings hint at a robust association, warranting further exploration. This investigation represents a departure from traditional analytics but underscores the ever-evolving landscape of data-driven inquiry. Thus, the emergence of the "that is sus" Google search buzz as a potential harbinger of stock price movements serves as an engaging and unexpected avenue for investigation, punctuating the traditionally serious realm of financial analysis with a dash of pop culture relevance.
In light of the distinctive nature of this study, our findings stand to offer original perspectives that broaden the horizons of data-driven market analysis, all while infusing a touch of internet whimsy into the convoluted world of stock market research. As we embark on this unconventional journey of discovery, we invite readers to join us in unraveling the enigma of the "that is sus" Google search buzz and its unsuspecting link to Monolithic Power Systems' stock price fuzz.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

METHODOLOGY

Data Collection and Preprocessing
The process of gathering and preprocessing data for this study involved traversing the labyrinthine networks of the internet in search of the elusive connection between Google searches for "that is sus" and Monolithic Power Systems' stock price movements. Our intrepid research team scoured Google Trends, and for added zest, delved into the realms of LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), to procure a comprehensive dataset spanning the years 2005 to 2023. As with any endeavor through the digital wilderness, we encountered countless distractions, from trending memes to algorithmic rabbit holes, but steadfastly maintained our focus on the task at hand.

In our data preprocessing phase, we meticulously cleansed and organized the raw data, sifting through copious mounds of search metrics and market indicators to distill the essence of the enigmatic relationship under investigation. This involved restructuring temporal data, addressing missing values, and smoothing out anomalies with the meticulousness of a diamond cutter, to ensure the integrity of our dataset.

Statistical Analysis
Our endeavor to untangle the web of suspicion led us to deploy an arsenal of statistical tools and models, each more formidable than the last. Our primary objective was to gauge the strength of association between the "that is sus" Google search buzz and the gyrations of Monolithic Power Systems' stock price. Through rigorous analytical procedures, including time series analysis, correlation matrices, and regression models, we navigated the undulating terrain of statistical inference with dexterity and resolve, all the while maintaining a watchful eye for unexpected hiccups in the data – a mission akin to seeking hidden treasures in the brambles of statistical exposition.

Integration of Exogenous Variables
In our quest to understand the intricate relationship between "that is sus" search buzz and MPWR's stock price fluctuations, we recognized the need to incorporate exogenous variables that could potentially confound or elucidate the observed associations. Factors such as market volatility, macroeconomic indicators, and the ebb and flow of internet culture were deftly woven into our analytical tapestry, adding layers of complexity akin to a finely aged wine – not that we were sipping wine amidst our scholarly pursuits, of course.

Robustness Checks and Sensitivity Analyses
As we danced through the statistical thicket, we piloted a suite of robustness checks and sensitivity analyses to scrutinize the resilience of our findings in the face of perturbations and uncertainties. Sensing the swirling eddies of skepticism that can accompany unusual research pursuits, we sought to fortify our results against possible alternative explanations and unsettling doubts – echoing the meticulous craftsmanship of a master artisan honing his masterpiece.

Ethical Considerations
In the pursuit of knowledge and enlightenment, we remained steadfast in upholding ethical standards and integrity, ensuring the responsible and judicious use of data throughout our odyssey. Utmost care was taken to uphold the privacy and confidentiality of individuals whose digital footprints contributed to our analyses, embodying the ethical fortitude reminiscent of a knight in the noble pursuit of truth.

In summary, our methodological expedition embarked upon a trajectory that was as rigorous and robust as it was daring and unconventional. Through our innovative blend of data mining, statistical acrobatics, and unwavering dedication, we endeavored to unearth the hidden symbiosis between internet parlance and stock market dynamics, all while sprinkling in a touch of levity and whimsy – because, after all, even the most serious of scholarly pursuits could use a hint of mirth.

Next, the paper will discuss the results and findings of our research outing with due earnestness and a measure of scholarly flair.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Google searches for 'that is sus' and Monolithic Power Systems' stock price (MPWR). Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) .

For the time period 2005 to 2023, you found a correlation 0.9730311, r-squared of 0.9467896, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"That is Sus" Google Search Buzz: A Correlation with Monolithic Power Systems' Stock Fuzz

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the hitherto unforeseen association between Google searches for "that is sus" and the stock price movements of Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR). Leveraging data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), our analysis spans the period 2005 to 2023. Our findings reveal a remarkably sturdy correlation coefficient of 0.9730311 and a p-value less than 0.01, indicating a strong link between the popularity of the pop culture phrase "that is sus" and the fluctuations in MPWR's stock price. Our analysis showcases an unconventional but compelling discovery, shedding light on the cryptic interplay between internet search trends and financial markets.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
INTRODUCTION
In recent years, the intersection of internet culture and financial market dynamics has garnered increasing attention from researchers and investors alike. The proliferation of social media platforms and digital communication channels has provided a novel lens through which to observe and analyze market sentiment and consumer behavior. This trend has led to an exploration of unconventional data sources, such as Google search trends, as potential indicators of stock price movements. However, amidst this burgeoning field of inquiry, the association between a popular internet catchphrase and a specific stock's performance has remained largely unexplored.
The phrase "that is sus" has permeated internet forums, social media interactions, and gaming communities with remarkable ubiquity. Originating from the popular game "Among Us," the term has found its way into the lexicon of digital natives and has become emblematic of skepticism and suspicion. Intriguingly, the potential link between the prevalence of this catchphrase in online discourse and the behavior of Monolithic Power Systems' (MPWR) stock price has, until now, evaded comprehensive investigation.
As we delve into this unconventional yet compelling research inquiry, we aim to uncover insights that may enhance our understanding of the intricate interplay between digital trends and financial market movements. Leveraging data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), our study endeavors to shed light on the cryptic relationship between the "that is sus" search buzz and the stock price fluctuations of Monolithic Power Systems. Through rigorous statistical analysis, we seek to unravel the mysterious correlation that appears to exist between a lighthearted internet expression and the more somber realm of stock market dynamics.
While the notion of a connection between internet phenomena and stock performance may elicit skepticism, our preliminary findings hint at a robust association, warranting further exploration. This investigation represents a departure from traditional analytics but underscores the ever-evolving landscape of data-driven inquiry. Thus, the emergence of the "that is sus" Google search buzz as a potential harbinger of stock price movements serves as an engaging and unexpected avenue for investigation, punctuating the traditionally serious realm of financial analysis with a dash of pop culture relevance.
In light of the distinctive nature of this study, our findings stand to offer original perspectives that broaden the horizons of data-driven market analysis, all while infusing a touch of internet whimsy into the convoluted world of stock market research. As we embark on this unconventional journey of discovery, we invite readers to join us in unraveling the enigma of the "that is sus" Google search buzz and its unsuspecting link to Monolithic Power Systems' stock price fuzz.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

RESULTS

The examination of the relationship between Google searches for "that is sus" and the stock price of Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) reveals a strikingly robust correlation. The analysis, spanning from 2005 to 2023, yielded a correlation coefficient of 0.9730311, signifying a strong positive relationship between the two variables. The R-squared value of 0.9467896 indicates that approximately 94.68% of the variability in MPWR stock price movements can be explained by the fluctuations in the popularity of the phrase "that is sus" in Google searches.

Additionally, the statistical significance of the correlation was confirmed through a p-value of less than 0.01, reaffirming the strength of the relationship. These findings emphasize the noteworthy association between the whimsical internet colloquialism "that is sus" and the fluctuations in MPWR stock price, underscoring the unexpected but compelling nature of this unexplored linkage.

Furthermore, the scatterplot (see Fig. 1) visually illustrates the strong positive correlation between Google searches for "that is sus" and MPWR stock price movements, providing a graphical representation of the intriguing connection unearthed by this study.

The robustness of the correlation and the statistical significance of the findings underscore the enigmatic interplay between internet culture and financial market dynamics, emphasizing the value of unorthodox data sources in uncovering unexpected correlations. The compelling association between the "that is sus" Google search buzz and MPWR stock price movements sheds light on the potential influence of internet trends on market sentiment, offering a novel perspective that encapsulates the whimsy of internet culture within the serious realm of financial analysis.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Google searches for 'that is sus' and Monolithic Power Systems' stock price (MPWR). Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"That is Sus" Google Search Buzz: A Correlation with Monolithic Power Systems' Stock Fuzz

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the hitherto unforeseen association between Google searches for "that is sus" and the stock price movements of Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR). Leveraging data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), our analysis spans the period 2005 to 2023. Our findings reveal a remarkably sturdy correlation coefficient of 0.9730311 and a p-value less than 0.01, indicating a strong link between the popularity of the pop culture phrase "that is sus" and the fluctuations in MPWR's stock price. Our analysis showcases an unconventional but compelling discovery, shedding light on the cryptic interplay between internet search trends and financial markets.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
LITERATURE REVIEW
The exploration of the interplay between online culture and financial markets has increasingly captivated the attention of researchers and investors. Given the surge in digital communication channels and social media platforms, unconventional data sources, such as Google search trends, have garnered significant interest as potential indicators of stock price movements. However, amidst this burgeoning field of inquiry, the notion of a connection between a contemporary internet catchphrase and a specific stock's performance remains a relatively uncharted territory.
Smith (2018) conducted a seminal study on the utilization of non-traditional data sources for predicting stock price movements, laying the groundwork for the present investigation. In a similar vein, Doe (2020) delved into the correlation between internet memes and consumer sentiment, offering intriguing insights into the unorthodox dynamics shaping contemporary financial markets.
Beyond the realm of academic literature, several non-fiction books have addressed the evolving relationship between digital culture and economic phenomena. "The Age of Cryptocurrency" by Paul Vigna and Michael J. Casey delves into the transformative impact of digital currencies on financial markets, while "Tubes: A Journey to the Center of the Internet" by Andrew Blum paints a vivid picture of the interconnectedness of online interactions and its potential implications on various facets of modern society.
Venturing into the realm of fiction, works like "Cryptonomicon" by Neal Stephenson and "The Circle" by Dave Eggers offer speculative portrayals of the convergence of digital culture and economic systems, posing thought-provoking scenarios that blur the boundaries between virtual and tangible realities.
Additionally, several cinematic works have traversed the terrain of technological intrigue and financial intrigue, including "The Social Network," which chronicles the rise of Facebook and its impact on both social interactions and financial landscapes, and "The Big Short," a darkly comedic exploration of the complexities underpinning the 2008 financial crisis.
Amidst this rich tapestry of literature and media, the present study embarks on a peculiar but captivating inquiry into the correlation between Google searches for "that is sus" and the stock price movements of Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR). This research endeavor endeavors to elevate the discourse surrounding unconventional data sources and financial market behavior, enriching the scholarly landscape with an unconventional, albeit whimsical, lens through which to perceive the enigmatic world of stock market dynamics.

[[RESULTS]]
RESULTS
The examination of the relationship between Google searches for "that is sus" and the stock price of Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) reveals a strikingly robust correlation. The analysis, spanning from 2005 to 2023, yielded a correlation coefficient of 0.9730311, signifying a strong positive relationship between the two variables. The R-squared value of 0.9467896 indicates that approximately 94.68% of the variability in MPWR stock price movements can be explained by the fluctuations in the popularity of the phrase "that is sus" in Google searches.
Additionally, the statistical significance of the correlation was confirmed through a p-value of less than 0.01, reaffirming the strength of the relationship. These findings emphasize the noteworthy association between the whimsical internet colloquialism "that is sus" and the fluctuations in MPWR stock price, underscoring the unexpected but compelling nature of this unexplored linkage.
Furthermore, the scatterplot (see Fig. 1) visually illustrates the strong positive correlation between Google searches for "that is sus" and MPWR stock price movements, providing a graphical representation of the intriguing connection unearthed by this study.
The robustness of the correlation and the statistical significance of the findings underscore the enigmatic interplay between internet culture and financial market dynamics, emphasizing the value of unorthodox data sources in uncovering unexpected correlations. The compelling association between the "that is sus" Google search buzz and MPWR stock price movements sheds light on the potential influence of internet trends on market sentiment, offering a novel perspective that encapsulates the whimsy of internet culture within the serious realm of financial analysis.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The results of this study provide compelling evidence of a noteworthy correlation between the prevalence of the colloquial phrase "that is sus" in Google searches and the fluctuation in the stock price of Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR). The remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9730311 and the statistically significant p-value below 0.01 underscore the robustness of this relationship and highlight the potential influence of internet culture on financial market dynamics. This peculiar association elucidates the intricate and often surprising interplay between online trends and stock price movements.

The unexpected strength of this correlation aligns with prior research indicating the potential for non-traditional data sources to serve as indicators of stock price movements. Smith's (2018) pioneering work paved the way for the utilization of unconventional data sources in predicting stock performance, and the present study further solidifies the relevance of internet culture as a potential influencer of market sentiment. Doe's (2020) exploration of the correlation between internet memes and consumer sentiment also resonates with the findings of this study, emphasizing the unorthodox yet impactful dynamics that shape contemporary financial markets. The richness of these prior studies, although conducted with a more traditional lens, offers invaluable context for understanding the significance of the association revealed in our investigation.

Venturing into the whimsical aspect alluded to in the literature review, the strong correlation between a seemingly playful internet colloquialism and a specific stock's performance adds an element of intrigue to the often austere domain of financial analysis. It is through these unexpected discoveries that we are reminded of the subtle yet profound influences that internet culture can exert on various facets of modern society, including financial systems. The parallel drawn between our findings and the speculative portrayals in works of fiction and cinema further underscores the captivating nature of this seemingly whimsical inquiry, unlocking a refreshing perspective on the intersection of digital culture and economic phenomena.

In conclusion, the compelling relationship uncovered in this study not only affirms the potential of unconventional data sources in elucidating market dynamics but also underscores the multifaceted influence of internet culture on financial landscapes. This notable association, though initially surprising, sheds light on the idiosyncratic dynamics shaping modern financial markets and encourages a broader recognition of the interconnectedness between seemingly disparate spheres of contemporary society.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Google searches for 'that is sus' and Monolithic Power Systems' stock price (MPWR). Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"That is Sus" Google Search Buzz: A Correlation with Monolithic Power Systems' Stock Fuzz

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the hitherto unforeseen association between Google searches for "that is sus" and the stock price movements of Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR). Leveraging data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), our analysis spans the period 2005 to 2023. Our findings reveal a remarkably sturdy correlation coefficient of 0.9730311 and a p-value less than 0.01, indicating a strong link between the popularity of the pop culture phrase "that is sus" and the fluctuations in MPWR's stock price. Our analysis showcases an unconventional but compelling discovery, shedding light on the cryptic interplay between internet search trends and financial markets.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
In recent years, the intersection of internet culture and financial market dynamics has garnered increasing attention from researchers and investors alike. The proliferation of social media platforms and digital communication channels has provided a novel lens through which to observe and analyze market sentiment and consumer behavior. This trend has led to an exploration of unconventional data sources, such as Google search trends, as potential indicators of stock price movements. However, amidst this burgeoning field of inquiry, the association between a popular internet catchphrase and a specific stock's performance has remained largely unexplored.
The phrase "that is sus" has permeated internet forums, social media interactions, and gaming communities with remarkable ubiquity. Originating from the popular game "Among Us," the term has found its way into the lexicon of digital natives and has become emblematic of skepticism and suspicion. Intriguingly, the potential link between the prevalence of this catchphrase in online discourse and the behavior of Monolithic Power Systems' (MPWR) stock price has, until now, evaded comprehensive investigation.
As we delve into this unconventional yet compelling research inquiry, we aim to uncover insights that may enhance our understanding of the intricate interplay between digital trends and financial market movements. Leveraging data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), our study endeavors to shed light on the cryptic relationship between the "that is sus" search buzz and the stock price fluctuations of Monolithic Power Systems. Through rigorous statistical analysis, we seek to unravel the mysterious correlation that appears to exist between a lighthearted internet expression and the more somber realm of stock market dynamics.
While the notion of a connection between internet phenomena and stock performance may elicit skepticism, our preliminary findings hint at a robust association, warranting further exploration. This investigation represents a departure from traditional analytics but underscores the ever-evolving landscape of data-driven inquiry. Thus, the emergence of the "that is sus" Google search buzz as a potential harbinger of stock price movements serves as an engaging and unexpected avenue for investigation, punctuating the traditionally serious realm of financial analysis with a dash of pop culture relevance.
In light of the distinctive nature of this study, our findings stand to offer original perspectives that broaden the horizons of data-driven market analysis, all while infusing a touch of internet whimsy into the convoluted world of stock market research. As we embark on this unconventional journey of discovery, we invite readers to join us in unraveling the enigma of the "that is sus" Google search buzz and its unsuspecting link to Monolithic Power Systems' stock price fuzz.

[[RESULTS]]
RESULTS
The examination of the relationship between Google searches for "that is sus" and the stock price of Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) reveals a strikingly robust correlation. The analysis, spanning from 2005 to 2023, yielded a correlation coefficient of 0.9730311, signifying a strong positive relationship between the two variables. The R-squared value of 0.9467896 indicates that approximately 94.68% of the variability in MPWR stock price movements can be explained by the fluctuations in the popularity of the phrase "that is sus" in Google searches.
Additionally, the statistical significance of the correlation was confirmed through a p-value of less than 0.01, reaffirming the strength of the relationship. These findings emphasize the noteworthy association between the whimsical internet colloquialism "that is sus" and the fluctuations in MPWR stock price, underscoring the unexpected but compelling nature of this unexplored linkage.
Furthermore, the scatterplot (see Fig. 1) visually illustrates the strong positive correlation between Google searches for "that is sus" and MPWR stock price movements, providing a graphical representation of the intriguing connection unearthed by this study.
The robustness of the correlation and the statistical significance of the findings underscore the enigmatic interplay between internet culture and financial market dynamics, emphasizing the value of unorthodox data sources in uncovering unexpected correlations. The compelling association between the "that is sus" Google search buzz and MPWR stock price movements sheds light on the potential influence of internet trends on market sentiment, offering a novel perspective that encapsulates the whimsy of internet culture within the serious realm of financial analysis.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In summary, our investigation has illuminated an unexpectedly robust correlation between Google searches for "that is sus" and the stock price movements of Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR). The findings indicate a strong positive relationship, with approximately 94.68% of the variability in MPWR stock price movements being explained by the fluctuations in the "that is sus" search buzz. The statistical significance of the correlation, as evidenced by the p-value of less than 0.01, further underscores the substantial link between these seemingly disparate phenomena.

The unearthing of this connection not only underscores the compelling nature of the interplay between internet culture and financial market dynamics but also injects a touch of whimsy into the traditionally serious realm of stock market analysis. The unexpected correlation serves as a poignant reminder that in the labyrinthine landscape of data-driven market analysis, peculiar and uncharted avenues can often lead to remarkable discoveries.

Furthermore, our study underscores the evolving nature of market research, inviting a broader consideration of unconventional data sources and the potential for tapping into the zeitgeist of internet culture to glean insights into market sentiment. It behooves researchers and investors to remain attuned to the unanticipated reverberations of digital trends in the financial sphere, as the "that is sus" Google search buzz has demonstrated its potential to influence market dynamics in unforeseen ways.

While this study has shed light on the mysterious correlation between "that is sus" searches and MPWR stock price movements, it also serves as a testament to the colorful intersection of internet vernacular and financial analysis. In light of these findings, we assert that further research in this domain is unwarranted, as the profound implications of this correlation have been sufficiently delineated. This, however, does not preclude the continuing appreciation of the uncanny link between internet catchphrases and stock price movements, a peculiar and delightful discovery that has enriched the landscape of market analysis with a dash of unexpected charisma.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited That is Sus Google Search Buzz: A Correlation with Monolithic Power Systems' Stock Fuzz. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Contemporary Internet Culture and Financial Analysis


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited That is Sus Google Search Buzz: A Correlation with Monolithic Power Systems' Stock Fuzz. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Digital Culture and Information Analysis (IDCIA)


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled That is Sus Google Search Buzz: A Correlation with Monolithic Power Systems' Stock Fuzz with an abstract of This paper investigates the hitherto unforeseen association between Google searches for "that is sus" and the stock price movements of Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR). Leveraging data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), our analysis spans the period 2005 to 2023. Our findings reveal a remarkably sturdy correlation coefficient of 0.9730311 and a p-value less than 0.01, indicating a strong link between the popularity of the pop culture phrase "that is sus" and the fluctuations in MPWR's stock price. Our analysis showcases an unconventional but compelling discovery, shedding light on the cryptic interplay between internet search trends and financial markets.

ChatGPT:

Google Trends, "that is sus" search, Monolithic Power Systems stock price, MPWR stock price correlation, internet search trends, financial markets, stock price movements, LSEG Analytics, Refinitiv, correlation coefficient, p-value, pop culture phrase, stock price fluctuations

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Google searches for 'that is sus'
Detailed data title: Relative volume of Google searches for 'that is sus' (Worldwide, without quotes)
Source: Google Trends
Additional Info: Relative search volume (not absolute numbers)

See what else correlates with Google searches for 'that is sus'

Monolithic Power Systems' stock price (MPWR)
Detailed data title: Opening price of Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) on the first trading day of the year
Source: LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv)
Additional Info: Via Microsoft Excel Stockhistory function

See what else correlates with Monolithic Power Systems' stock price (MPWR)

Correlation r = 0.9730311 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9467896 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 94.7% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Monolithic Power Systems' stock price (MPWR)) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Google searches for 'that is sus') over the 19 years from 2005 through 2023.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 2.9E-12. 0.0000000000028966768364540640
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.97 in 2.9E-10% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 345,223,183,827 random variables You don't actually need 345 billion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 18 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 18 because we have two variables measured over a period of 19 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.93, 0.99 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
2005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
Google searches for 'that is sus' (Rel. search volume)7.083338.666673.833331.333336.416675.583336.9166710.2510.08338.666678.6666711.083312.515.416714.416740.833358.166781.666779.6
Monolithic Power Systems' stock price (MPWR) (Stock price)9.3114.7511.221.8512.6324.3516.615.4522.7934.4949.962.4582.89113113.22180.12371.9491.79359.65




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([7.08333,8.66667,3.83333,1.33333,6.41667,5.58333,6.91667,10.25,10.0833,8.66667,8.66667,11.0833,12.5,15.4167,14.4167,40.8333,58.1667,81.6667,79.6,])
array_2 = np.array([9.31,14.75,11.2,21.85,12.63,24.35,16.6,15.45,22.79,34.49,49.9,62.45,82.89,113,113.22,180.12,371.9,491.79,359.65,])
array_1_name = "Google searches for 'that is sus'"
array_2_name = "Monolithic Power Systems' stock price (MPWR)"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 3006 · Black Variable ID: 1367 · Red Variable ID: 1890
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