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Spurious correlation #2,729 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Electricity generation in Benin and the second variable is Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion.  The chart goes from 1980 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image

AI explanation

The shocking surge in electricity production in Benin sparked a corresponding surge in the competitive eating world. As more power was being generated, it created a strong link with the reigning champion, who couldn't resist the temptation to beef up his training. This connection was truly an a-maize-ing display of energy at work, leading to a current of hotdog consumption that could not be reined in. It seems the real power behind his impressive feat was none other than Benin-ergy!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: [ Photorealism ] Generate an image showing a bustling scene in Benin where vibrant solar panels and wind turbines dot the landscape, capturing the vibrant energy of renewable power generation. In the foreground, depict the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition as the champion sits at a table piled high with sizzling hotdogs, emanating an aura of intense determination and energy. The contrast between the renewable energy scene and the competitive eating contest should be vividly portrayed, with a focus on the pulsating life force in both situations. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Electricity generation in Benin and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Cutsy art illustration Cute cartoon Macabre Photorealism Art nouveau
ChatGPT: Photorealism

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Electricity generation in Benin and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion, in the following situation: The increase in electricity generation in Benin lit a fire under Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champion, leading to a surge in hotdog consumption. The power boost powered up the champion, shocking everyone with their voracious appetite for victory!. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In Benin, vibrant solar panels and wind turbines spark to life, generating more electricity than ever before. Meanwhile, at the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, the champion sits at a table piled high with sizzling hotdogs, powered by intense determination and energy.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Photorealism ] and depicting this scene: In Benin, vibrant solar panels and wind turbines spark to life, generating more electricity than ever before. Meanwhile, at the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, the champion sits at a table piled high with sizzling hotdogs, powered by intense determination and energy. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: [ Photorealism ] Generate an image showing a bustling scene in Benin where vibrant solar panels and wind turbines dot the landscape, capturing the vibrant energy of renewable power generation. In the foreground, depict the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition as the champion sits at a table piled high with sizzling hotdogs, emanating an aura of intense determination and energy. The contrast between the renewable energy scene and the competitive eating contest should be vividly portrayed, with a focus on the pulsating life force in both situations.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Electricity generation in Benin caused Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion to increase. Include one good pun.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Electricity’s Effect on Nathan’s Notable Noshing: Exploring the Connection between Electricity Generation in Benin and Hotdogs Consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

The Journal of Gastronomic Energy Studies

Jan 2024
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Electricity generation in Benin and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title an alliteration.

Your research team used data from Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.8323881 and p < 0.01 for 1980 to 2021.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
Electricity’s Effect on Nathan’s Notable Noshing: Exploring the Connection between Electricity Generation in Benin and Hotdogs Consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the curious correlation between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by the reigning champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. To analyze this connection, we utilized data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, spanning the years 1980 to 2021. Our research team employed rigorous statistical methods and uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8323881, with a significance level of p < 0.01. While our findings may seem as outlandish as a mustard-covered hotdog, they shed light on the tantalizing relationship between energy production and the consumption of cylindrical meat products. We present this study with the hope of stimulating further investigation into the realm of unexpected connections and the potential for electrifying impacts on competitive eating.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Electricity generation in Benin and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Electricity’s Effect on Nathan’s Notable Noshing: Exploring the Connection between Electricity Generation in Benin and Hotdogs Consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the curious correlation between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by the reigning champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. To analyze this connection, we utilized data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, spanning the years 1980 to 2021. Our research team employed rigorous statistical methods and uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8323881, with a significance level of p < 0.01. While our findings may seem as outlandish as a mustard-covered hotdog, they shed light on the tantalizing relationship between energy production and the consumption of cylindrical meat products. We present this study with the hope of stimulating further investigation into the realm of unexpected connections and the potential for electrifying impacts on competitive eating.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

If it's one thing we know, it's that scientific inquiry often leads us down some unexpected paths. And in the realm of unexpected connections, the correlation between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champion stands out like a neon sign on a dark night. While one might initially assume that these variables have as much in common as a hotdog and a solar panel, our inquisitive minds were stirred by a hunch that there could be a spark of correlation between the two.

The question emerged: could the wattage in Benin's electricity generation have an effect on the hotdog consumption of the reigning Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champion? It might appear as improbable as trying to fit a whole hotdog into a typical kitchen toaster, but we decided to delve into this mystery with the fervor of a hungry attendee at a hotdog eating contest.

The combination of these seemingly unrelated factors evoked a sense of scholarly curiosity not unlike witnessing someone attempt to eat a hotdog with a pair of chopsticks – puzzling, intriguing, and undeniably entertaining. That being said, our research team embraced this offbeat conundrum with the same gravity as a scientific experiment involving lab coats and Bunsen burners.

In this study, we draw upon data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, combining the high voltage of electrifying statistics with the sizzle of hotdog consumption numbers. Our methods pored over datasets stretching from 1980 to 2021, employing rigorous statistical analyses that would make even the most seasoned competitive eater's eyes water with admiration.

The resounding outcome of our investigation revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.8323881, with a significance level of p < 0.01. This discovery is as eye-catching as a bright neon sign, prompting us to ponder the implications of this unexpected relationship. Much like uncovering a hidden sausage in a vegetarian dish, these findings shine a light on the tantalizing possibility of energy production's impact on the domain of competitive eating.

Our commitment to presenting this study is not merely grounded in academic solemnity; rather, it is fueled by the desire to ignite further inquiry into the enigmatic realm of unexpected connections, provoking future explorations as electrifying as a lightning storm and as deliciously satisfying as a perfectly grilled hotdog.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Electricity generation in Benin and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then cite some social media posts you read that seem to be related.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Electricity’s Effect on Nathan’s Notable Noshing: Exploring the Connection between Electricity Generation in Benin and Hotdogs Consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the curious correlation between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by the reigning champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. To analyze this connection, we utilized data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, spanning the years 1980 to 2021. Our research team employed rigorous statistical methods and uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8323881, with a significance level of p < 0.01. While our findings may seem as outlandish as a mustard-covered hotdog, they shed light on the tantalizing relationship between energy production and the consumption of cylindrical meat products. We present this study with the hope of stimulating further investigation into the realm of unexpected connections and the potential for electrifying impacts on competitive eating.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
If it's one thing we know, it's that scientific inquiry often leads us down some unexpected paths. And in the realm of unexpected connections, the correlation between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champion stands out like a neon sign on a dark night. While one might initially assume that these variables have as much in common as a hotdog and a solar panel, our inquisitive minds were stirred by a hunch that there could be a spark of correlation between the two.
The question emerged: could the wattage in Benin's electricity generation have an effect on the hotdog consumption of the reigning Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champion? It might appear as improbable as trying to fit a whole hotdog into a typical kitchen toaster, but we decided to delve into this mystery with the fervor of a hungry attendee at a hotdog eating contest.
The combination of these seemingly unrelated factors evoked a sense of scholarly curiosity not unlike witnessing someone attempt to eat a hotdog with a pair of chopsticks – puzzling, intriguing, and undeniably entertaining. That being said, our research team embraced this offbeat conundrum with the same gravity as a scientific experiment involving lab coats and Bunsen burners.
In this study, we draw upon data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, combining the high voltage of electrifying statistics with the sizzle of hotdog consumption numbers. Our methods pored over datasets stretching from 1980 to 2021, employing rigorous statistical analyses that would make even the most seasoned competitive eater's eyes water with admiration.
The resounding outcome of our investigation revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.8323881, with a significance level of p < 0.01. This discovery is as eye-catching as a bright neon sign, prompting us to ponder the implications of this unexpected relationship. Much like uncovering a hidden sausage in a vegetarian dish, these findings shine a light on the tantalizing possibility of energy production's impact on the domain of competitive eating.
Our commitment to presenting this study is not merely grounded in academic solemnity; rather, it is fueled by the desire to ignite further inquiry into the enigmatic realm of unexpected connections, provoking future explorations as electrifying as a lightning storm and as deliciously satisfying as a perfectly grilled hotdog.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

In "The Impact of Electricity Generation on Global Consumption Patterns" by Smith et al., the authors find a compelling relationship between electricity generation and various consumption behaviors. While the primary focus of the study is on broader consumer trends, it hints at the potential for electricity production to influence specific dietary choices, albeit without delving into the realm of competitive eating or hotdogs in particular.

Doe's work, "Energy Economics and Societal Impacts," highlights the intricate interplay between energy production and societal activities. Although the study primarily addresses the broader economic and environmental effects of electricity generation, it inadvertently drifts into the tantalizing territory of gastronomic implications, leaving readers to ponder the potential impact on the culinary preferences of hotdog aficionados.

Jones's comprehensive analysis, "Powering Nations: A Comparative Study of Electricity Generation," provides a thorough examination of electricity production across different countries. While the focus is on national energy policies and infrastructure, the study touches on the cultural influences of energy availability, leaving a hint of the potential impact on the gustatory proclivities of competitive eaters around the globe.

Turning to non-fiction literature related to culinary culture, "Hot Dogs: A Global History" by Book offers insights into the enduring appeal of hotdogs across various cultures and time periods. The book traverses the historical, social, and culinary dimensions of hotdog consumption, shedding light on the enduring allure of cylindrical meat products and the individuals who consume them, perhaps even inadvertently hinting at the potential impact of electricity generation on hotdog-centric events.

In the realm of fiction, "A Shocking Feast" by Writer delves into the whimsical tale of a competitive eater who discovers a bizarre connection between electrical storms and an insatiable craving for hotdogs. While undoubtedly a work of fiction, its portrayal of unexpected connections and zany correlations may hold a kernel of relevance to our investigation, albeit wrapped in a layer of literary embellishment.

Social media has also proven to be an unexpected wellspring of insightful musings. In a Twitter post by @GourmetGuzzler, the user playfully speculates on the potential link between electrical surges and the urge to consume copious amounts of hotdogs, infusing a lighthearted yet thought-provoking angle to our inquiry.

These diverse sources, while varying in seriousness and intent, collectively offer glimpses into the uncharted territory of our investigation, where the seemingly improbable connection between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by a competitive eating champion may just be as tantalizing as the mustard drizzled on a perfectly grilled sausage.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Electricity generation in Benin and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia . You used data from 1980 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Electricity’s Effect on Nathan’s Notable Noshing: Exploring the Connection between Electricity Generation in Benin and Hotdogs Consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the curious correlation between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by the reigning champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. To analyze this connection, we utilized data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, spanning the years 1980 to 2021. Our research team employed rigorous statistical methods and uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8323881, with a significance level of p < 0.01. While our findings may seem as outlandish as a mustard-covered hotdog, they shed light on the tantalizing relationship between energy production and the consumption of cylindrical meat products. We present this study with the hope of stimulating further investigation into the realm of unexpected connections and the potential for electrifying impacts on competitive eating.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
If it's one thing we know, it's that scientific inquiry often leads us down some unexpected paths. And in the realm of unexpected connections, the correlation between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champion stands out like a neon sign on a dark night. While one might initially assume that these variables have as much in common as a hotdog and a solar panel, our inquisitive minds were stirred by a hunch that there could be a spark of correlation between the two.
The question emerged: could the wattage in Benin's electricity generation have an effect on the hotdog consumption of the reigning Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champion? It might appear as improbable as trying to fit a whole hotdog into a typical kitchen toaster, but we decided to delve into this mystery with the fervor of a hungry attendee at a hotdog eating contest.
The combination of these seemingly unrelated factors evoked a sense of scholarly curiosity not unlike witnessing someone attempt to eat a hotdog with a pair of chopsticks – puzzling, intriguing, and undeniably entertaining. That being said, our research team embraced this offbeat conundrum with the same gravity as a scientific experiment involving lab coats and Bunsen burners.
In this study, we draw upon data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, combining the high voltage of electrifying statistics with the sizzle of hotdog consumption numbers. Our methods pored over datasets stretching from 1980 to 2021, employing rigorous statistical analyses that would make even the most seasoned competitive eater's eyes water with admiration.
The resounding outcome of our investigation revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.8323881, with a significance level of p < 0.01. This discovery is as eye-catching as a bright neon sign, prompting us to ponder the implications of this unexpected relationship. Much like uncovering a hidden sausage in a vegetarian dish, these findings shine a light on the tantalizing possibility of energy production's impact on the domain of competitive eating.
Our commitment to presenting this study is not merely grounded in academic solemnity; rather, it is fueled by the desire to ignite further inquiry into the enigmatic realm of unexpected connections, provoking future explorations as electrifying as a lightning storm and as deliciously satisfying as a perfectly grilled hotdog.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To illuminate the mysterious link between electricity generation in Benin and the prodigious consumption of hotdogs by the reigning Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champion, our research team embarked on a quest as formidable as navigating an amusement park maze with a condiment-stained map. While the variables at play might seem as unrelated as attempting to measure a hotdog's length in volts, we sought to employ methods as rigorous as a crash course in quantum physics.

Data Collection:
We began by scouring the depths of the internet, navigating through the virtual labyrinth akin to hunting for the hidden pickle in a jar of gherkins. The Energy Information Administration served as our fountain of electrifying knowledge, providing us with a trove of data on Benin's electricity generation from 1980 to 2021. Despite the tantalizing allure of crafting a makeshift hotdog stand in the midst of our research endeavors, we also delved into the substantial repository of knowledge found on Wikipedia, extracting information on the perennially jaw-dropping hotdog consumption at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition.

Data Analysis:
With our data in hand, we rolled up our sleeves and donned our metaphorical lab coats to unleash a barrage of statistical techniques that would leave a mathematician's eyebrows arched in astonishment. From the classic Pearson correlation coefficient to the riveting world of linear regression, our analyses conjured a symphony of numbers as harmonious as a choir of condiment connoisseurs chanting the virtues of ketchup and mustard.

Despite the temptation to succumb to the allure of researching the optimal bun-to-meat ratio or the trajectory of flying condiments, we diligently pursued the noble pursuit of uncovering the underlying relationship between electricity generation and hotdog consumption. Our models accounted for confounding variables such as GDP per capita, temperature fluctuations, and international hotdog diplomacy, ensuring that our findings stood as resolute as a condiment bar at a respectable barbecue.

Findings:
Upon contemplation of our statistical brew, we beheld a correlation coefficient of 0.8323881, shining as brightly as an LED bulb amidst a sea of dim data points. The significance level of p < 0.01 left us as stunned as stumbling upon a rare vintage collection of hotdog-themed memorabilia. Our findings danced before us like a dazzling fireworks display, nudging us to ponder the profound implications of this eyebrow-raising correlation.

Despite the seemingly absurd nature of our inquiry, our commitment to presenting these findings is underlined not just by academic fervor, but also by the sheer joy of uncovering unexpected connections that challenge conventional wisdom. In doing so, we hope to inspire future research as scintillating as a 4th of July firework and as mouthwatering as a perfectly charred hotdog on a summer day.

In conclusion, our methodological expedition wove together the threads of statistical rigor and unyielding curiosity, creating a tapestry as vibrant as a condiment splattered tablecloth at a hotdog eating contest.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Electricity generation in Benin and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia .

For the time period 1980 to 2021, you found a correlation 0.8323881, r-squared of 0.6928699, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Electricity’s Effect on Nathan’s Notable Noshing: Exploring the Connection between Electricity Generation in Benin and Hotdogs Consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the curious correlation between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by the reigning champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. To analyze this connection, we utilized data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, spanning the years 1980 to 2021. Our research team employed rigorous statistical methods and uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8323881, with a significance level of p < 0.01. While our findings may seem as outlandish as a mustard-covered hotdog, they shed light on the tantalizing relationship between energy production and the consumption of cylindrical meat products. We present this study with the hope of stimulating further investigation into the realm of unexpected connections and the potential for electrifying impacts on competitive eating.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
If it's one thing we know, it's that scientific inquiry often leads us down some unexpected paths. And in the realm of unexpected connections, the correlation between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champion stands out like a neon sign on a dark night. While one might initially assume that these variables have as much in common as a hotdog and a solar panel, our inquisitive minds were stirred by a hunch that there could be a spark of correlation between the two.
The question emerged: could the wattage in Benin's electricity generation have an effect on the hotdog consumption of the reigning Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champion? It might appear as improbable as trying to fit a whole hotdog into a typical kitchen toaster, but we decided to delve into this mystery with the fervor of a hungry attendee at a hotdog eating contest.
The combination of these seemingly unrelated factors evoked a sense of scholarly curiosity not unlike witnessing someone attempt to eat a hotdog with a pair of chopsticks – puzzling, intriguing, and undeniably entertaining. That being said, our research team embraced this offbeat conundrum with the same gravity as a scientific experiment involving lab coats and Bunsen burners.
In this study, we draw upon data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, combining the high voltage of electrifying statistics with the sizzle of hotdog consumption numbers. Our methods pored over datasets stretching from 1980 to 2021, employing rigorous statistical analyses that would make even the most seasoned competitive eater's eyes water with admiration.
The resounding outcome of our investigation revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.8323881, with a significance level of p < 0.01. This discovery is as eye-catching as a bright neon sign, prompting us to ponder the implications of this unexpected relationship. Much like uncovering a hidden sausage in a vegetarian dish, these findings shine a light on the tantalizing possibility of energy production's impact on the domain of competitive eating.
Our commitment to presenting this study is not merely grounded in academic solemnity; rather, it is fueled by the desire to ignite further inquiry into the enigmatic realm of unexpected connections, provoking future explorations as electrifying as a lightning storm and as deliciously satisfying as a perfectly grilled hotdog.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The statistical analysis of the data revealed a noteworthy correlation between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by the reigning champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. The correlation coefficient of 0.8323881 highlighted a strong positive relationship, indicating that as electricity generation in Benin increased, so did the consumption of hotdogs by the champion. This correlation was further supported by an r-squared value of 0.6928699, signifying that approximately 69.3% of the variability in hotdog consumption could be explained by the variability in electricity generation in Benin.

These results provide compelling evidence of a connection between these seemingly disparate variables, akin to discovering the perfect balance of condiments for an unexpectedly delicious hotdog. The significance level of p < 0.01 further solidified the robustness of this relationship, indicating that the likelihood of observing such a strong correlation by random chance alone is less than 1 in 100.

To visually depict this striking relationship, a scatterplot (Fig. 1) was generated to illustrate the positive correlation between electricity generation in Benin and hotdog consumption by the champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. The scatterplot, akin to a culinary masterpiece, showcases a clear and consistent pattern of increasing hotdog consumption as electricity generation in Benin rises, defining a delectable trend that cannot be ignored.

The findings of this study not only provoke a sense of scientific wonder akin to witnessing a magician pull a hotdog out of an empty hat but also underscore the tantalizing possibilities of unexpected connections in the realm of competitive eating and energy production. These results invite further investigation into the potential mechanisms underlying this intriguing correlation, inspiring researchers to dive deeper into the sizzling world of curious relationships and the electrifying impact of energy production on the champion's hotdog consumption.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Electricity generation in Benin and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Electricity’s Effect on Nathan’s Notable Noshing: Exploring the Connection between Electricity Generation in Benin and Hotdogs Consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the curious correlation between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by the reigning champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. To analyze this connection, we utilized data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, spanning the years 1980 to 2021. Our research team employed rigorous statistical methods and uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8323881, with a significance level of p < 0.01. While our findings may seem as outlandish as a mustard-covered hotdog, they shed light on the tantalizing relationship between energy production and the consumption of cylindrical meat products. We present this study with the hope of stimulating further investigation into the realm of unexpected connections and the potential for electrifying impacts on competitive eating.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
In "The Impact of Electricity Generation on Global Consumption Patterns" by Smith et al., the authors find a compelling relationship between electricity generation and various consumption behaviors. While the primary focus of the study is on broader consumer trends, it hints at the potential for electricity production to influence specific dietary choices, albeit without delving into the realm of competitive eating or hotdogs in particular.
Doe's work, "Energy Economics and Societal Impacts," highlights the intricate interplay between energy production and societal activities. Although the study primarily addresses the broader economic and environmental effects of electricity generation, it inadvertently drifts into the tantalizing territory of gastronomic implications, leaving readers to ponder the potential impact on the culinary preferences of hotdog aficionados.
Jones's comprehensive analysis, "Powering Nations: A Comparative Study of Electricity Generation," provides a thorough examination of electricity production across different countries. While the focus is on national energy policies and infrastructure, the study touches on the cultural influences of energy availability, leaving a hint of the potential impact on the gustatory proclivities of competitive eaters around the globe.
Turning to non-fiction literature related to culinary culture, "Hot Dogs: A Global History" by Book offers insights into the enduring appeal of hotdogs across various cultures and time periods. The book traverses the historical, social, and culinary dimensions of hotdog consumption, shedding light on the enduring allure of cylindrical meat products and the individuals who consume them, perhaps even inadvertently hinting at the potential impact of electricity generation on hotdog-centric events.
In the realm of fiction, "A Shocking Feast" by Writer delves into the whimsical tale of a competitive eater who discovers a bizarre connection between electrical storms and an insatiable craving for hotdogs. While undoubtedly a work of fiction, its portrayal of unexpected connections and zany correlations may hold a kernel of relevance to our investigation, albeit wrapped in a layer of literary embellishment.
Social media has also proven to be an unexpected wellspring of insightful musings. In a Twitter post by @GourmetGuzzler, the user playfully speculates on the potential link between electrical surges and the urge to consume copious amounts of hotdogs, infusing a lighthearted yet thought-provoking angle to our inquiry.
These diverse sources, while varying in seriousness and intent, collectively offer glimpses into the uncharted territory of our investigation, where the seemingly improbable connection between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by a competitive eating champion may just be as tantalizing as the mustard drizzled on a perfectly grilled sausage.

[[RESULTS]]
The statistical analysis of the data revealed a noteworthy correlation between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by the reigning champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. The correlation coefficient of 0.8323881 highlighted a strong positive relationship, indicating that as electricity generation in Benin increased, so did the consumption of hotdogs by the champion. This correlation was further supported by an r-squared value of 0.6928699, signifying that approximately 69.3% of the variability in hotdog consumption could be explained by the variability in electricity generation in Benin.
These results provide compelling evidence of a connection between these seemingly disparate variables, akin to discovering the perfect balance of condiments for an unexpectedly delicious hotdog. The significance level of p < 0.01 further solidified the robustness of this relationship, indicating that the likelihood of observing such a strong correlation by random chance alone is less than 1 in 100.
To visually depict this striking relationship, a scatterplot (Fig. 1) was generated to illustrate the positive correlation between electricity generation in Benin and hotdog consumption by the champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. The scatterplot, akin to a culinary masterpiece, showcases a clear and consistent pattern of increasing hotdog consumption as electricity generation in Benin rises, defining a delectable trend that cannot be ignored.
The findings of this study not only provoke a sense of scientific wonder akin to witnessing a magician pull a hotdog out of an empty hat but also underscore the tantalizing possibilities of unexpected connections in the realm of competitive eating and energy production. These results invite further investigation into the potential mechanisms underlying this intriguing correlation, inspiring researchers to dive deeper into the sizzling world of curious relationships and the electrifying impact of energy production on the champion's hotdog consumption.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

The investigation into the curious linkage between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champion has opened a veritable smorgasbord of unexpected connections. Building upon the whimsical but tantalizing leads from our literature review, which wittingly traversed the realms of fiction, social media musings, and non-fiction culinary history, our findings have lent empirical support to the improbable correlation that may seem as enigmatic as a hotdog disappearing into thin air at a magic show. Our statistical analysis revealed a strikingly high correlation coefficient, resembling a perfectly assembled hotdog with all the right condiments, highlighting the robust relationship between these seemingly unrelated variables. This correlation coefficient, like a perfectly executed pun, emphasizes the compelling nature of this connection and suggests that electricity generation in Benin exerts a noteworthy influence on the consumption of cylindrical meat products by the reigning hotdog-eating champion.

The robustness of our results, akin to a well-cooked hotdog that withstands the test of scrutiny, was further reinforced by the r-squared value, which elucidated that approximately 69.3% of the variability in hotdog consumption could be explained by variations in electricity generation in Benin. Such compelling evidence, akin to a delightfully unexpected twist in a detective novel, underscores the potential for energy production to exert an electrifying influence on the champion's gustatory exploits. The significance level of p < 0.01, as rare as an unblemished hotdog in a competitive eating contest, further fortified the credibility of this connection, affirming that the likelihood of this robust correlation occurring by random chance alone is as improbable as finding a pickle in a haystack.

Our scatterplot, reminiscent of a visually appetizing culinary masterpiece, vividly captures the tantalizing pattern of increasing hotdog consumption as electricity generation in Benin rises, illustrating the captivating nature of this relationship. These findings, akin to an unexpected punchline in a scientific joke, not only prompt a sense of scientific wonder but also beckon researchers to delve deeper into the mechanisms underlying this curious correlation, inspiring further exploration in the sizzling realm of unexpected connections and the electrifying impact of energy production on competitive eating. Just as a perfectly assembled hotdog draws admiration, our study beckons further investigation into the tantalizing potential of unanticipated connections and improbable correlations in the realm of gastronomic excursions and energy dynamics.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Electricity generation in Benin and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Electricity’s Effect on Nathan’s Notable Noshing: Exploring the Connection between Electricity Generation in Benin and Hotdogs Consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the curious correlation between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by the reigning champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. To analyze this connection, we utilized data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, spanning the years 1980 to 2021. Our research team employed rigorous statistical methods and uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8323881, with a significance level of p < 0.01. While our findings may seem as outlandish as a mustard-covered hotdog, they shed light on the tantalizing relationship between energy production and the consumption of cylindrical meat products. We present this study with the hope of stimulating further investigation into the realm of unexpected connections and the potential for electrifying impacts on competitive eating.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
If it's one thing we know, it's that scientific inquiry often leads us down some unexpected paths. And in the realm of unexpected connections, the correlation between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champion stands out like a neon sign on a dark night. While one might initially assume that these variables have as much in common as a hotdog and a solar panel, our inquisitive minds were stirred by a hunch that there could be a spark of correlation between the two.
The question emerged: could the wattage in Benin's electricity generation have an effect on the hotdog consumption of the reigning Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition champion? It might appear as improbable as trying to fit a whole hotdog into a typical kitchen toaster, but we decided to delve into this mystery with the fervor of a hungry attendee at a hotdog eating contest.
The combination of these seemingly unrelated factors evoked a sense of scholarly curiosity not unlike witnessing someone attempt to eat a hotdog with a pair of chopsticks – puzzling, intriguing, and undeniably entertaining. That being said, our research team embraced this offbeat conundrum with the same gravity as a scientific experiment involving lab coats and Bunsen burners.
In this study, we draw upon data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, combining the high voltage of electrifying statistics with the sizzle of hotdog consumption numbers. Our methods pored over datasets stretching from 1980 to 2021, employing rigorous statistical analyses that would make even the most seasoned competitive eater's eyes water with admiration.
The resounding outcome of our investigation revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.8323881, with a significance level of p < 0.01. This discovery is as eye-catching as a bright neon sign, prompting us to ponder the implications of this unexpected relationship. Much like uncovering a hidden sausage in a vegetarian dish, these findings shine a light on the tantalizing possibility of energy production's impact on the domain of competitive eating.
Our commitment to presenting this study is not merely grounded in academic solemnity; rather, it is fueled by the desire to ignite further inquiry into the enigmatic realm of unexpected connections, provoking future explorations as electrifying as a lightning storm and as deliciously satisfying as a perfectly grilled hotdog.

[[RESULTS]]
The statistical analysis of the data revealed a noteworthy correlation between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by the reigning champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. The correlation coefficient of 0.8323881 highlighted a strong positive relationship, indicating that as electricity generation in Benin increased, so did the consumption of hotdogs by the champion. This correlation was further supported by an r-squared value of 0.6928699, signifying that approximately 69.3% of the variability in hotdog consumption could be explained by the variability in electricity generation in Benin.
These results provide compelling evidence of a connection between these seemingly disparate variables, akin to discovering the perfect balance of condiments for an unexpectedly delicious hotdog. The significance level of p < 0.01 further solidified the robustness of this relationship, indicating that the likelihood of observing such a strong correlation by random chance alone is less than 1 in 100.
To visually depict this striking relationship, a scatterplot (Fig. 1) was generated to illustrate the positive correlation between electricity generation in Benin and hotdog consumption by the champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. The scatterplot, akin to a culinary masterpiece, showcases a clear and consistent pattern of increasing hotdog consumption as electricity generation in Benin rises, defining a delectable trend that cannot be ignored.
The findings of this study not only provoke a sense of scientific wonder akin to witnessing a magician pull a hotdog out of an empty hat but also underscore the tantalizing possibilities of unexpected connections in the realm of competitive eating and energy production. These results invite further investigation into the potential mechanisms underlying this intriguing correlation, inspiring researchers to dive deeper into the sizzling world of curious relationships and the electrifying impact of energy production on the champion's hotdog consumption.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our research has illuminated a surprising and tantalizing connection between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by the reigning champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. The striking correlation coefficient of 0.8323881, akin to the perfect ratio of mustard to ketchup on a hotdog, hints at a compelling relationship between these seemingly disparate variables. Our statistical analysis, as rigorous as a hotdog eating contest, emphasizes the robustness and significance of this correlation.

This unexpected discovery serves as a reminder that scientific inquiry often leads us down unanticipated paths, not unlike biting into a hotdog only to discover an unexpected burst of flavor. While the implications of this correlation may seem as elusive as the perfect hotdog bun, our findings spark further curiosity into the potential impact of energy production on the champion's voracious hotdog consumption.

However, despite the sizzle and pop of our research, we must acknowledge the limits of our study. As tempting as it may be to dive into the realm of hotdog-eating champions and electricity generation, we assert that no more research is needed in this area. Our findings, like a well-grilled hotdog, stand as a flavorful testament to the curious and often surprising relationships that permeate the scientific world.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Electricity’s Effect on Nathan’s Notable Noshing: Exploring the Connection between Electricity Generation in Benin and Hotdogs Consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Gastronomic Energy Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Electricity’s Effect on Nathan’s Notable Noshing: Exploring the Connection between Electricity Generation in Benin and Hotdogs Consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Global Gastronomic Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Electricity’s Effect on Nathan’s Notable Noshing: Exploring the Connection between Electricity Generation in Benin and Hotdogs Consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion with an abstract of This paper investigates the curious correlation between electricity generation in Benin and the consumption of hotdogs by the reigning champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. To analyze this connection, we utilized data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, spanning the years 1980 to 2021. Our research team employed rigorous statistical methods and uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8323881, with a significance level of p < 0.01. While our findings may seem as outlandish as a mustard-covered hotdog, they shed light on the tantalizing relationship between energy production and the consumption of cylindrical meat products. We present this study with the hope of stimulating further investigation into the realm of unexpected connections and the potential for electrifying impacts on competitive eating.

ChatGPT:

electricity generation, Benin, hotdog consumption, Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, champion, correlation, statistical analysis, significance level, energy production, cylindrical meat products

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Electricity generation in Benin
Detailed data title: Total electricity generation in Benin in billion kWh
Source: Energy Information Administration
See what else correlates with Electricity generation in Benin

Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion
Detailed data title: Hotdog Consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion
Source: Wikipedia
See what else correlates with Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

Correlation r = 0.8323881 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.6928699 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 69.3% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Electricity generation in Benin) over the 42 years from 1980 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 8.3E-12. 0.0000000000083146317107666440
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.83 in 8.3E-10% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 120,269,909,094 random variables You don't actually need 120 billion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 41 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 41 because we have two variables measured over a period of 42 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.71, 0.91 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
Electricity generation in Benin (Billion kWh)0.0050.0050.0050.0050.0050.0050.0050.0050.0050.0050.0190.0220.0230.0240.0480.0290.04870.05170.05970.06770.079080.062160.059340.075320.07620.100640.1420.204980.213440.120380.108160.095940.046120.088480.226660.310560.260040.31150.190280.20170.226080.241097
Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion (Hotdogs eaten)9.5111110.59.511.7515.513.51015.51621.519172019.522.2524.51920.25255050.544.553.334953.75665968546268696162707274717576




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([0.005,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.019,0.022,0.023,0.024,0.048,0.029,0.0487,0.0517,0.0597,0.0677,0.07908,0.06216,0.05934,0.07532,0.0762,0.10064,0.142,0.20498,0.21344,0.12038,0.10816,0.09594,0.04612,0.08848,0.22666,0.31056,0.26004,0.3115,0.19028,0.2017,0.22608,0.241097,])
array_2 = np.array([9.5,11,11,10.5,9.5,11.75,15.5,13.5,10,15.5,16,21.5,19,17,20,19.5,22.25,24.5,19,20.25,25,50,50.5,44.5,53.33,49,53.75,66,59,68,54,62,68,69,61,62,70,72,74,71,75,76,])
array_1_name = "Electricity generation in Benin"
array_2_name = "Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

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Correlation ID: 2729 · Black Variable ID: 23516 · Red Variable ID: 500
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