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Spurious correlation #2,195 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is GMO use in cotton in Missouri and the second variable is Total geothermal power generated globally.  The chart goes from 2005 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As Missouri cotton farmers embraced GMOs, their fields became so incredibly efficient at producing cotton that they inadvertently generated a surplus of bio-mass. This excess plant material was then used in some top-secret, cutting-edge geothermal power technology, leading to a global revolution in renewable energy. Who knew that the key to a greener, more sustainable world lay in the humble GMO cotton plant in the heart of the United States?

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Image Generation Prompt: Style: A Discovery magazine cover image Description: In a vast cotton field in Missouri, towering geothermal power plants rise in the distance. Crops of genetically modified cotton sway in the breeze as steam billows out from the geothermal plants, symbolizing the coexistence of modern agricultural practices and sustainable renewable energy on a global scale. Enhanced Visual Direction: Create an aerial view of a sprawling cotton field, with lush green rows of genetically modified cotton plants extending into the horizon. In the background, futuristic geothermal power plants rise from the earth, emitting billowing clouds of steam. The contrasting elements of nature and technology should be visible, showcasing the harmonious coexistence of modern agriculture and sustainable energy production. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: GMO use in cotton in Missouri and Total geothermal power generated globally. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Glitch art A Discovery magazine cover image Concept art Hyper-realistic Symbolism
ChatGPT: A Discovery magazine cover image

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both GMO use in cotton in Missouri and Total geothermal power generated globally together. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In a vast cotton field in Missouri, towering geothermal power plants rise in the distance. Crops of genetically modified cotton sway in the breeze as steam billows out from the geothermal plants, symbolizing the coexistence of modern agricultural practices and sustainable renewable energy on a global scale.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ A Discovery magazine cover image ] and depicting this scene: In a vast cotton field in Missouri, towering geothermal power plants rise in the distance. Crops of genetically modified cotton sway in the breeze as steam billows out from the geothermal plants, symbolizing the coexistence of modern agricultural practices and sustainable renewable energy on a global scale. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Image Generation Prompt: Style: A Discovery magazine cover image Description: In a vast cotton field in Missouri, towering geothermal power plants rise in the distance. Crops of genetically modified cotton sway in the breeze as steam billows out from the geothermal plants, symbolizing the coexistence of modern agricultural practices and sustainable renewable energy on a global scale. Enhanced Visual Direction: Create an aerial view of a sprawling cotton field, with lush green rows of genetically modified cotton plants extending into the horizon. In the background, futuristic geothermal power plants rise from the earth, emitting billowing clouds of steam. The contrasting elements of nature and technology should be visible, showcasing the harmonious coexistence of modern agriculture and sustainable energy production.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in GMO use in cotton in Missouri caused Total geothermal power generated globally to increase.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Seeding Success: The Cotton Connection - Exploring the GMO-Green Energy Nexus

The Journal of Agricultural Innovation and Sustainability

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GMO use in cotton in Missouri and Total geothermal power generated globally. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Include a pun in the title.

Your research team used data from USDA and Energy Information Administration to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9537849 and p < 0.01 for 2005 to 2021.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
"Seeding Success: The Cotton Connection - Exploring the GMO-Green Energy Nexus"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper ventures into the unexpected realms of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in the heart of Missouri's cotton fields and its surprising correlation with the total geothermal power generated globally. While the punnet square of GMOs and geothermal energy may seem like an unlikely pairing, our research unearths an intriguing relationship that leaves us spinning like a cotton gin in a storm.

Utilizing data from the USDA and Energy Information Administration, we scrutinized the developments from 2005 to 2021. Surprisingly, we calculated a correlation coefficient of 0.9537849 and p-value less than 0.01, raising eyebrows and cotton threads alike. It's a result so striking, we could say it's as unexpected as finding a cotton ball in a geothermal spring, but the numbers don't lie, much like a fiber's tensile strength.

In the world of academic research, we often find ourselves in uncharted territories, akin to navigating a cotton maze. We hope that this study not only sheds light on the budding potential of genetically modified cotton but also sparks a little curiosity, much like the sudden itch from an ill-placed cotton thread. With that being said, we urge readers to approach this discovery with an open mind - after all, it's not every day you stumble upon a correlation as surprising as finding a cotton candy machine at a geothermal power plant.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GMO use in cotton in Missouri and Total geothermal power generated globally. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Seeding Success: The Cotton Connection - Exploring the GMO-Green Energy Nexus"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper ventures into the unexpected realms of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in the heart of Missouri's cotton fields and its surprising correlation with the total geothermal power generated globally. While the punnet square of GMOs and geothermal energy may seem like an unlikely pairing, our research unearths an intriguing relationship that leaves us spinning like a cotton gin in a storm.

Utilizing data from the USDA and Energy Information Administration, we scrutinized the developments from 2005 to 2021. Surprisingly, we calculated a correlation coefficient of 0.9537849 and p-value less than 0.01, raising eyebrows and cotton threads alike. It's a result so striking, we could say it's as unexpected as finding a cotton ball in a geothermal spring, but the numbers don't lie, much like a fiber's tensile strength.

In the world of academic research, we often find ourselves in uncharted territories, akin to navigating a cotton maze. We hope that this study not only sheds light on the budding potential of genetically modified cotton but also sparks a little curiosity, much like the sudden itch from an ill-placed cotton thread. With that being said, we urge readers to approach this discovery with an open mind - after all, it's not every day you stumble upon a correlation as surprising as finding a cotton candy machine at a geothermal power plant.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

The intersection of agriculture and energy production may seem about as likely as a cornfield in the Arctic, but our study delves into the unexpected connection between the use of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in Missouri's cotton industry and the total geothermal power generated globally. Our quest for understanding this surprising relationship led us down the less traveled path of statistics, where we've unearthed a revelation that's as rare as finding a needle in a haystack - or should we say, a cottonseed in a geothermal well?

As we tiptoe into the labyrinth of data analysis, we couldn't resist pondering: what do you call a genetically modified cotton plant? A Frankin-cotton! But rest assured, our investigation is far from a joke. We've meticulously combed through data from the USDA and the Energy Information Administration, scrutinizing developments from 2005 to 2021. In a twist befitting the most unexpected plotline, we were met with a correlation coefficient of 0.9537849 and a p-value less than 0.01 - a result so pronounced, it deserves a standing ovation, or at least a standing bale of cotton.

Stepping into the world of empirical research is akin to walking through a molecular garden of surprises. It's a journey that prompts us to question the very fabric of scientific understanding, much like realizing that a cotton boll and a geothermal vent have more in common than meets the eye. And speaking of uncommon discoveries, have you heard the one about the geologist with a great sense of humor? He's really good at finding gneiss in all the schist places.

We trust that our findings not only highlight the blossoming potential of genetically modified cotton but also plant the seeds of curiosity in the minds of our esteemed readers - perhaps even sparking a laugh or two, akin to discovering an unexpectedly amusing pun in a scholarly paper. So, let's embark on this research journey with open minds and open hearts, and embrace the unexpected like stumbling upon a lint roller in the midst of a geothermal oasis.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GMO use in cotton in Missouri and Total geothermal power generated globally. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name some movies that you watched that are tangentially related to the topic.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Seeding Success: The Cotton Connection - Exploring the GMO-Green Energy Nexus"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper ventures into the unexpected realms of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in the heart of Missouri's cotton fields and its surprising correlation with the total geothermal power generated globally. While the punnet square of GMOs and geothermal energy may seem like an unlikely pairing, our research unearths an intriguing relationship that leaves us spinning like a cotton gin in a storm.

Utilizing data from the USDA and Energy Information Administration, we scrutinized the developments from 2005 to 2021. Surprisingly, we calculated a correlation coefficient of 0.9537849 and p-value less than 0.01, raising eyebrows and cotton threads alike. It's a result so striking, we could say it's as unexpected as finding a cotton ball in a geothermal spring, but the numbers don't lie, much like a fiber's tensile strength.

In the world of academic research, we often find ourselves in uncharted territories, akin to navigating a cotton maze. We hope that this study not only sheds light on the budding potential of genetically modified cotton but also sparks a little curiosity, much like the sudden itch from an ill-placed cotton thread. With that being said, we urge readers to approach this discovery with an open mind - after all, it's not every day you stumble upon a correlation as surprising as finding a cotton candy machine at a geothermal power plant.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The intersection of agriculture and energy production may seem about as likely as a cornfield in the Arctic, but our study delves into the unexpected connection between the use of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in Missouri's cotton industry and the total geothermal power generated globally. Our quest for understanding this surprising relationship led us down the less traveled path of statistics, where we've unearthed a revelation that's as rare as finding a needle in a haystack - or should we say, a cottonseed in a geothermal well?
As we tiptoe into the labyrinth of data analysis, we couldn't resist pondering: what do you call a genetically modified cotton plant? A Frankin-cotton! But rest assured, our investigation is far from a joke. We've meticulously combed through data from the USDA and the Energy Information Administration, scrutinizing developments from 2005 to 2021. In a twist befitting the most unexpected plotline, we were met with a correlation coefficient of 0.9537849 and a p-value less than 0.01 - a result so pronounced, it deserves a standing ovation, or at least a standing bale of cotton.
Stepping into the world of empirical research is akin to walking through a molecular garden of surprises. It's a journey that prompts us to question the very fabric of scientific understanding, much like realizing that a cotton boll and a geothermal vent have more in common than meets the eye. And speaking of uncommon discoveries, have you heard the one about the geologist with a great sense of humor? He's really good at finding gneiss in all the schist places.
We trust that our findings not only highlight the blossoming potential of genetically modified cotton but also plant the seeds of curiosity in the minds of our esteemed readers - perhaps even sparking a laugh or two, akin to discovering an unexpectedly amusing pun in a scholarly paper. So, let's embark on this research journey with open minds and open hearts, and embrace the unexpected like stumbling upon a lint roller in the midst of a geothermal oasis.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

Smith and Doe (2020) examined the impact of genetically modified cotton on agricultural productivity in Missouri. Their study delved into the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) and their influence on crop yields and pesticide use. Likewise, Jones (2018) investigated the use of GMOs in cotton cultivation and its economic implications for farmers in the region. The authors found substantial evidence to suggest that GMO adoption has significantly altered the landscape of cotton farming, akin to how a cotton shirt alters our wardrobe on a hot summer day.

In "The GMO Revolution" by Daniel Charles and "The Economics of Biotechnology" by David Zilberman, the authors provide a comprehensive overview of the agricultural and economic impacts of GMO adoption. These seminal works offer valuable insights into the broader implications of genetically modified crops, including cotton, on modern agricultural practices and market dynamics. It's almost like peeling back the layers of a genetically modified onion - you never know what you might find!

Moving from the non-fiction to the world of fiction, "The Cotton Queen" by Pamela Morsi and "Geothermal Giggles" by Terry Meetz are two fictional pieces that, if they existed, would surely offer an entertaining take on the unexpected relationship between cotton and geothermal energy. It's almost as unexpected as finding a geothermal vent in the fictional town of Cottonwood Springs!

On a cinematic note, "Cotton Fields and Hot Springs: An Unlikely Love Story" and "The Geothermal Cotton Connection" are two imaginary films that we would have loved to have seen. Perhaps they would have hilariously illustrated the surprising correlation between genetically modified cotton in Missouri and global geothermal power generation. As unexpected as finding a cotton candy machine at a geothermal power plant, the connection between these two seemingly disparate realms continues to pique our curiosity and prompt a chuckle or two.

In summary, while the literature on the relationship between GMO use in cotton in Missouri and total geothermal power generated globally may be limited, the existing evidence, both real and imagined, hints at a connection worthy of further exploration. Much like the unexpected punchline of a dad joke, the intertwining threads of GMO cotton and geothermal energy weave a tale that challenges conventional wisdom and sparks a sense of wonder.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GMO use in cotton in Missouri and Total geothermal power generated globally. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from USDA and Energy Information Administration . You used data from 2005 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Seeding Success: The Cotton Connection - Exploring the GMO-Green Energy Nexus"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper ventures into the unexpected realms of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in the heart of Missouri's cotton fields and its surprising correlation with the total geothermal power generated globally. While the punnet square of GMOs and geothermal energy may seem like an unlikely pairing, our research unearths an intriguing relationship that leaves us spinning like a cotton gin in a storm.

Utilizing data from the USDA and Energy Information Administration, we scrutinized the developments from 2005 to 2021. Surprisingly, we calculated a correlation coefficient of 0.9537849 and p-value less than 0.01, raising eyebrows and cotton threads alike. It's a result so striking, we could say it's as unexpected as finding a cotton ball in a geothermal spring, but the numbers don't lie, much like a fiber's tensile strength.

In the world of academic research, we often find ourselves in uncharted territories, akin to navigating a cotton maze. We hope that this study not only sheds light on the budding potential of genetically modified cotton but also sparks a little curiosity, much like the sudden itch from an ill-placed cotton thread. With that being said, we urge readers to approach this discovery with an open mind - after all, it's not every day you stumble upon a correlation as surprising as finding a cotton candy machine at a geothermal power plant.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
The intersection of agriculture and energy production may seem about as likely as a cornfield in the Arctic, but our study delves into the unexpected connection between the use of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in Missouri's cotton industry and the total geothermal power generated globally. Our quest for understanding this surprising relationship led us down the less traveled path of statistics, where we've unearthed a revelation that's as rare as finding a needle in a haystack - or should we say, a cottonseed in a geothermal well?
As we tiptoe into the labyrinth of data analysis, we couldn't resist pondering: what do you call a genetically modified cotton plant? A Frankin-cotton! But rest assured, our investigation is far from a joke. We've meticulously combed through data from the USDA and the Energy Information Administration, scrutinizing developments from 2005 to 2021. In a twist befitting the most unexpected plotline, we were met with a correlation coefficient of 0.9537849 and a p-value less than 0.01 - a result so pronounced, it deserves a standing ovation, or at least a standing bale of cotton.
Stepping into the world of empirical research is akin to walking through a molecular garden of surprises. It's a journey that prompts us to question the very fabric of scientific understanding, much like realizing that a cotton boll and a geothermal vent have more in common than meets the eye. And speaking of uncommon discoveries, have you heard the one about the geologist with a great sense of humor? He's really good at finding gneiss in all the schist places.
We trust that our findings not only highlight the blossoming potential of genetically modified cotton but also plant the seeds of curiosity in the minds of our esteemed readers - perhaps even sparking a laugh or two, akin to discovering an unexpectedly amusing pun in a scholarly paper. So, let's embark on this research journey with open minds and open hearts, and embrace the unexpected like stumbling upon a lint roller in the midst of a geothermal oasis.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

In exploring the correlation between the use of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in Missouri's cotton industry and the total geothermal power generated globally, our research team embarked on a statistical odyssey that would make Odysseus jealous. First, we scoured the digital fields of the USDA and the Energy Information Administration, sifting through data like a farmer inspecting a harvest. Then, armed with our trusty calculators and an insatiable appetite for discovery, we sauntered through the intricate maze of statistical analysis, much like a scientist in a GMO field.

To capture the essence of this unlikely connection, we employed a time-series analysis, scrutinizing developments from 2005 to 2021. Much like a skilled geneticist, we carefully observed the changes and trends in GMO cotton cultivation in Missouri and the corresponding fluctuations in geothermal power generation globally. Our analysis sought to unveil any underlying patterns, akin to deciphering the hidden genetic code of a cotton plant, with the added thrill of uncovering unexpected revelations, not unlike finding a high-yield cotton cultivar in a field of wildflowers.

To tease out the intricacies of this correlation, we calculated the Pearson correlation coefficient and associated p-values, using a captivating blend of statistical software and mathematical prowess. Our quest was not merely to crunch numbers, but to understand the narrative woven by the data, much like a farmer interpreting the rustling of cotton plants in the wind. The striking correlation coefficient of 0.9537849 and a p-value less than 0.01 emerged as the golden threads in our statistical quilt, weaving a story of connection as compelling as the intertwining of cotton fibers.

In homage to the unconventional nature of our research, we couldn't resist injecting a bit of humor into our methods. After all, what do you call a group of genetically modified cotton plants? A gene pool! While the research process was no laughing matter, we believe that a dash of levity can make even the most complex statistical analyses feel as light and airy as a cotton ball.

Lastly, we ensured that our methodology adhered to the rigorous standards of empirical research, with a meticulous attention to detail that would make even the most fastidious statistician nod approvingly. We meticulously accounted for potential confounding variables, cultivated a robust dataset, and pruned any outliers that threatened to disrupt the statistical harvest. Our approach was akin to nurturing a delicate plant, tending to it with care and precision, and reaping the fruits of our labor in the form of revelatory statistical findings.

In summary, our methodology blended the rigors of statistical analysis with the spirit of scientific exploration, much like a genetically modified cotton plant flourishing in unexpected terrain. We hope that our methodological journey not only illuminates the path for future research but also plants the seed of statistical curiosity in the minds of our esteemed readers, much like stumbling upon a hidden treasure in the fields of empirical inquiry.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GMO use in cotton in Missouri and Total geothermal power generated globally. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from USDA and Energy Information Administration .

For the time period 2005 to 2021, you found a correlation 0.9537849, r-squared of 0.9097056, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Seeding Success: The Cotton Connection - Exploring the GMO-Green Energy Nexus"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper ventures into the unexpected realms of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in the heart of Missouri's cotton fields and its surprising correlation with the total geothermal power generated globally. While the punnet square of GMOs and geothermal energy may seem like an unlikely pairing, our research unearths an intriguing relationship that leaves us spinning like a cotton gin in a storm.

Utilizing data from the USDA and Energy Information Administration, we scrutinized the developments from 2005 to 2021. Surprisingly, we calculated a correlation coefficient of 0.9537849 and p-value less than 0.01, raising eyebrows and cotton threads alike. It's a result so striking, we could say it's as unexpected as finding a cotton ball in a geothermal spring, but the numbers don't lie, much like a fiber's tensile strength.

In the world of academic research, we often find ourselves in uncharted territories, akin to navigating a cotton maze. We hope that this study not only sheds light on the budding potential of genetically modified cotton but also sparks a little curiosity, much like the sudden itch from an ill-placed cotton thread. With that being said, we urge readers to approach this discovery with an open mind - after all, it's not every day you stumble upon a correlation as surprising as finding a cotton candy machine at a geothermal power plant.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
The intersection of agriculture and energy production may seem about as likely as a cornfield in the Arctic, but our study delves into the unexpected connection between the use of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in Missouri's cotton industry and the total geothermal power generated globally. Our quest for understanding this surprising relationship led us down the less traveled path of statistics, where we've unearthed a revelation that's as rare as finding a needle in a haystack - or should we say, a cottonseed in a geothermal well?
As we tiptoe into the labyrinth of data analysis, we couldn't resist pondering: what do you call a genetically modified cotton plant? A Frankin-cotton! But rest assured, our investigation is far from a joke. We've meticulously combed through data from the USDA and the Energy Information Administration, scrutinizing developments from 2005 to 2021. In a twist befitting the most unexpected plotline, we were met with a correlation coefficient of 0.9537849 and a p-value less than 0.01 - a result so pronounced, it deserves a standing ovation, or at least a standing bale of cotton.
Stepping into the world of empirical research is akin to walking through a molecular garden of surprises. It's a journey that prompts us to question the very fabric of scientific understanding, much like realizing that a cotton boll and a geothermal vent have more in common than meets the eye. And speaking of uncommon discoveries, have you heard the one about the geologist with a great sense of humor? He's really good at finding gneiss in all the schist places.
We trust that our findings not only highlight the blossoming potential of genetically modified cotton but also plant the seeds of curiosity in the minds of our esteemed readers - perhaps even sparking a laugh or two, akin to discovering an unexpectedly amusing pun in a scholarly paper. So, let's embark on this research journey with open minds and open hearts, and embrace the unexpected like stumbling upon a lint roller in the midst of a geothermal oasis.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The intersection of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in Missouri's cotton industry and the total geothermal power generated globally has unveiled a remarkable correlation. It's as if we've stumbled upon the scientific equivalent of a "dad joke" - unexpected but undeniably intriguing. Our analysis, based on data from the USDA and the Energy Information Administration spanning from 2005 to 2021, revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9537849, an r-squared of 0.9097056, and a p-value less than 0.01. It's a result so astounding that it might just make you exclaim, "Well, butter my biscuit!"

Moreover, the relationship between GMO use in cotton in Missouri and total geothermal power generated globally is as clear as day, much like the transparency of a pristine cotton fiber. The strength of the correlation suggests that there's more to this connection than mere coincidence. It's a bit like finding a needle in a haystack, but instead, we've uncovered a bountiful harvest of statistical significance.

In Figure 1, the scatterplot prominently displays the strong positive correlation between GMO use in cotton in Missouri and total geothermal power generated globally. It's a sight to behold, much like finding a four-leaf clover in a field of standard deviations. The data points align like the stars in the night sky, guiding us toward a newfound understanding of this unexpected correlation.

In the grand scheme of research, stumbling upon such a compelling relationship is akin to discovering a rare gem in the rough. This association may seem unconventional, but like a successful stand-up routine, it has certainly left an impression. Just as a touch of humor can enliven a scholarly discussion, the unexpected linkage between GMO use in cotton and geothermal power has added a delightful twist to our scientific exploration.

It's as if the stars have aligned to reveal this surprising connection, leaving us marveling at the unexpected correlations that can be found in the vast tapestry of scientific inquiry. Much like a magician pulling a rabbit out of a hat, this unanticipated relationship reminds us that the world of research is full of delightful surprises - and maybe a few good "dad jokes" along the way.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GMO use in cotton in Missouri and Total geothermal power generated globally. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"Seeding Success: The Cotton Connection - Exploring the GMO-Green Energy Nexus"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper ventures into the unexpected realms of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in the heart of Missouri's cotton fields and its surprising correlation with the total geothermal power generated globally. While the punnet square of GMOs and geothermal energy may seem like an unlikely pairing, our research unearths an intriguing relationship that leaves us spinning like a cotton gin in a storm.

Utilizing data from the USDA and Energy Information Administration, we scrutinized the developments from 2005 to 2021. Surprisingly, we calculated a correlation coefficient of 0.9537849 and p-value less than 0.01, raising eyebrows and cotton threads alike. It's a result so striking, we could say it's as unexpected as finding a cotton ball in a geothermal spring, but the numbers don't lie, much like a fiber's tensile strength.

In the world of academic research, we often find ourselves in uncharted territories, akin to navigating a cotton maze. We hope that this study not only sheds light on the budding potential of genetically modified cotton but also sparks a little curiosity, much like the sudden itch from an ill-placed cotton thread. With that being said, we urge readers to approach this discovery with an open mind - after all, it's not every day you stumble upon a correlation as surprising as finding a cotton candy machine at a geothermal power plant.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
Smith and Doe (2020) examined the impact of genetically modified cotton on agricultural productivity in Missouri. Their study delved into the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) and their influence on crop yields and pesticide use. Likewise, Jones (2018) investigated the use of GMOs in cotton cultivation and its economic implications for farmers in the region. The authors found substantial evidence to suggest that GMO adoption has significantly altered the landscape of cotton farming, akin to how a cotton shirt alters our wardrobe on a hot summer day.
In "The GMO Revolution" by Daniel Charles and "The Economics of Biotechnology" by David Zilberman, the authors provide a comprehensive overview of the agricultural and economic impacts of GMO adoption. These seminal works offer valuable insights into the broader implications of genetically modified crops, including cotton, on modern agricultural practices and market dynamics. It's almost like peeling back the layers of a genetically modified onion - you never know what you might find!
Moving from the non-fiction to the world of fiction, "The Cotton Queen" by Pamela Morsi and "Geothermal Giggles" by Terry Meetz are two fictional pieces that, if they existed, would surely offer an entertaining take on the unexpected relationship between cotton and geothermal energy. It's almost as unexpected as finding a geothermal vent in the fictional town of Cottonwood Springs!
On a cinematic note, "Cotton Fields and Hot Springs: An Unlikely Love Story" and "The Geothermal Cotton Connection" are two imaginary films that we would have loved to have seen. Perhaps they would have hilariously illustrated the surprising correlation between genetically modified cotton in Missouri and global geothermal power generation. As unexpected as finding a cotton candy machine at a geothermal power plant, the connection between these two seemingly disparate realms continues to pique our curiosity and prompt a chuckle or two.
In summary, while the literature on the relationship between GMO use in cotton in Missouri and total geothermal power generated globally may be limited, the existing evidence, both real and imagined, hints at a connection worthy of further exploration. Much like the unexpected punchline of a dad joke, the intertwining threads of GMO cotton and geothermal energy weave a tale that challenges conventional wisdom and sparks a sense of wonder.

[[RESULTS]]
The intersection of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in Missouri's cotton industry and the total geothermal power generated globally has unveiled a remarkable correlation. It's as if we've stumbled upon the scientific equivalent of a "dad joke" - unexpected but undeniably intriguing. Our analysis, based on data from the USDA and the Energy Information Administration spanning from 2005 to 2021, revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9537849, an r-squared of 0.9097056, and a p-value less than 0.01. It's a result so astounding that it might just make you exclaim, "Well, butter my biscuit!"
Moreover, the relationship between GMO use in cotton in Missouri and total geothermal power generated globally is as clear as day, much like the transparency of a pristine cotton fiber. The strength of the correlation suggests that there's more to this connection than mere coincidence. It's a bit like finding a needle in a haystack, but instead, we've uncovered a bountiful harvest of statistical significance.
In Figure 1, the scatterplot prominently displays the strong positive correlation between GMO use in cotton in Missouri and total geothermal power generated globally. It's a sight to behold, much like finding a four-leaf clover in a field of standard deviations. The data points align like the stars in the night sky, guiding us toward a newfound understanding of this unexpected correlation.
In the grand scheme of research, stumbling upon such a compelling relationship is akin to discovering a rare gem in the rough. This association may seem unconventional, but like a successful stand-up routine, it has certainly left an impression. Just as a touch of humor can enliven a scholarly discussion, the unexpected linkage between GMO use in cotton and geothermal power has added a delightful twist to our scientific exploration.
It's as if the stars have aligned to reveal this surprising connection, leaving us marveling at the unexpected correlations that can be found in the vast tapestry of scientific inquiry. Much like a magician pulling a rabbit out of a hat, this unanticipated relationship reminds us that the world of research is full of delightful surprises - and maybe a few good "dad jokes" along the way.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The findings of our study have uncovered a remarkable and unexpectedly strong correlation between the use of genetically modified cotton in Missouri and the total geothermal power generated worldwide. It's as if we've stumbled upon the scientific equivalent of a "dad joke" - surprisingly delightful and undeniably memorable. Our results not only validate the prior research by Smith and Doe (2020) and Jones (2018) on the agricultural and economic impacts of GMO adoption in cotton farming but also align with the unexpected allure of fictional literary works and cinematic creations that tantalizingly hinted at this unorthodox connection. It's like finding the punchline of a dad joke in an academic journal - unexpected, yet strangely fitting.

The correlation coefficient of 0.9537849, an r-squared of 0.9097056, and a p-value less than 0.01 are as robust as a scientist's coffee addiction - statistically significant and difficult to ignore. It's as if the statistical gods have conspired to reveal this surprising relationship, leaving researchers and readers equally puzzled and amused. The statistical significance of our findings is no joke, much like a well-crafted pun in an otherwise serious discussion.

Our results align with the prior literature suggesting that GMO adoption has revolutionized the cotton farming landscape, much like how a cleverly delivered pun revolutionizes a lackluster conversation. The robust correlation we've unveiled is no less remarkable than finding a geothermal spring in the midst of a cotton field - unexpected but undeniably captivating. It's a bit like the unexpected twist in a captivating mystery novel - it leaves you spellbound and yearning for more.

While the connection between genetically modified cotton and geothermal power may seem as unlikely as a physicist at a comedy club, our findings offer a compelling argument for further exploration of this uncharted territory. It's much like embarking on a scientific journey with a good sense of humor - unexpected and exhilarating. Just as a well-timed dad joke can enliven a dull moment, the unexpected correlation we've discovered has injected a sense of wonder and amusement into the realm of scientific inquiry.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GMO use in cotton in Missouri and Total geothermal power generated globally. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"Seeding Success: The Cotton Connection - Exploring the GMO-Green Energy Nexus"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper ventures into the unexpected realms of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in the heart of Missouri's cotton fields and its surprising correlation with the total geothermal power generated globally. While the punnet square of GMOs and geothermal energy may seem like an unlikely pairing, our research unearths an intriguing relationship that leaves us spinning like a cotton gin in a storm.

Utilizing data from the USDA and Energy Information Administration, we scrutinized the developments from 2005 to 2021. Surprisingly, we calculated a correlation coefficient of 0.9537849 and p-value less than 0.01, raising eyebrows and cotton threads alike. It's a result so striking, we could say it's as unexpected as finding a cotton ball in a geothermal spring, but the numbers don't lie, much like a fiber's tensile strength.

In the world of academic research, we often find ourselves in uncharted territories, akin to navigating a cotton maze. We hope that this study not only sheds light on the budding potential of genetically modified cotton but also sparks a little curiosity, much like the sudden itch from an ill-placed cotton thread. With that being said, we urge readers to approach this discovery with an open mind - after all, it's not every day you stumble upon a correlation as surprising as finding a cotton candy machine at a geothermal power plant.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The intersection of agriculture and energy production may seem about as likely as a cornfield in the Arctic, but our study delves into the unexpected connection between the use of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in Missouri's cotton industry and the total geothermal power generated globally. Our quest for understanding this surprising relationship led us down the less traveled path of statistics, where we've unearthed a revelation that's as rare as finding a needle in a haystack - or should we say, a cottonseed in a geothermal well?
As we tiptoe into the labyrinth of data analysis, we couldn't resist pondering: what do you call a genetically modified cotton plant? A Frankin-cotton! But rest assured, our investigation is far from a joke. We've meticulously combed through data from the USDA and the Energy Information Administration, scrutinizing developments from 2005 to 2021. In a twist befitting the most unexpected plotline, we were met with a correlation coefficient of 0.9537849 and a p-value less than 0.01 - a result so pronounced, it deserves a standing ovation, or at least a standing bale of cotton.
Stepping into the world of empirical research is akin to walking through a molecular garden of surprises. It's a journey that prompts us to question the very fabric of scientific understanding, much like realizing that a cotton boll and a geothermal vent have more in common than meets the eye. And speaking of uncommon discoveries, have you heard the one about the geologist with a great sense of humor? He's really good at finding gneiss in all the schist places.
We trust that our findings not only highlight the blossoming potential of genetically modified cotton but also plant the seeds of curiosity in the minds of our esteemed readers - perhaps even sparking a laugh or two, akin to discovering an unexpectedly amusing pun in a scholarly paper. So, let's embark on this research journey with open minds and open hearts, and embrace the unexpected like stumbling upon a lint roller in the midst of a geothermal oasis.

[[RESULTS]]
The intersection of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in Missouri's cotton industry and the total geothermal power generated globally has unveiled a remarkable correlation. It's as if we've stumbled upon the scientific equivalent of a "dad joke" - unexpected but undeniably intriguing. Our analysis, based on data from the USDA and the Energy Information Administration spanning from 2005 to 2021, revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9537849, an r-squared of 0.9097056, and a p-value less than 0.01. It's a result so astounding that it might just make you exclaim, "Well, butter my biscuit!"
Moreover, the relationship between GMO use in cotton in Missouri and total geothermal power generated globally is as clear as day, much like the transparency of a pristine cotton fiber. The strength of the correlation suggests that there's more to this connection than mere coincidence. It's a bit like finding a needle in a haystack, but instead, we've uncovered a bountiful harvest of statistical significance.
In Figure 1, the scatterplot prominently displays the strong positive correlation between GMO use in cotton in Missouri and total geothermal power generated globally. It's a sight to behold, much like finding a four-leaf clover in a field of standard deviations. The data points align like the stars in the night sky, guiding us toward a newfound understanding of this unexpected correlation.
In the grand scheme of research, stumbling upon such a compelling relationship is akin to discovering a rare gem in the rough. This association may seem unconventional, but like a successful stand-up routine, it has certainly left an impression. Just as a touch of humor can enliven a scholarly discussion, the unexpected linkage between GMO use in cotton and geothermal power has added a delightful twist to our scientific exploration.
It's as if the stars have aligned to reveal this surprising connection, leaving us marveling at the unexpected correlations that can be found in the vast tapestry of scientific inquiry. Much like a magician pulling a rabbit out of a hat, this unanticipated relationship reminds us that the world of research is full of delightful surprises - and maybe a few good "dad jokes" along the way.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our study has unearthed a correlation of striking magnitude between the use of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in Missouri's cotton industry and the total geothermal power generated globally. It's a discovery so unexpected, it's like finding a polyester shirt in a field of natural fibers - a real synthetic surprise! Our findings, based on data from 2005 to 2021, have revealed a relationship as intriguing as a scientist's favorite joke - it's statistically significant and leaves quite an impression.

The robust correlation coefficient and p-value less than 0.01 highlight the strength and significance of the association, much like the durability of a well-spun cotton thread. It's a connection so strong, we'd even say it's as reliable as the puns in this paper - they're statistically proven to induce at least one chuckle per reader.

Considering the compelling nature of our results, it's clear that this unexpected relationship merits further exploration, but for now, our findings stand as a testament to the surprising connections that can be uncovered through rigorous research. So, as for the GMO-cotton-geothermal power nexus, we assert that no more research is needed in this area. After all, we've already spun quite the yarn!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Seeding Success: The Cotton Connection - Exploring the GMO-Green Energy Nexus. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Agricultural Innovation and Sustainability


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Seeding Success: The Cotton Connection - Exploring the GMO-Green Energy Nexus. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

Academic Society for Unconventional Botanical Research (ASUBR)


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Seeding Success: The Cotton Connection - Exploring the GMO-Green Energy Nexus with an abstract of This paper ventures into the unexpected realms of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in the heart of Missouri's cotton fields and its surprising correlation with the total geothermal power generated globally. While the punnet square of GMOs and geothermal energy may seem like an unlikely pairing, our research unearths an intriguing relationship that leaves us spinning like a cotton gin in a storm.
Utilizing data from the USDA and Energy Information Administration, we scrutinized the developments from 2005 to 2021. Surprisingly, we calculated a correlation coefficient of 0.9537849 and p-value less than 0.01, raising eyebrows and cotton threads alike. It's a result so striking, we could say it's as unexpected as finding a cotton ball in a geothermal spring, but the numbers don't lie, much like a fiber's tensile strength.
In the world of academic research, we often find ourselves in uncharted territories, akin to navigating a cotton maze. We hope that this study not only sheds light on the budding potential of genetically modified cotton but also sparks a little curiosity, much like the sudden itch from an ill-placed cotton thread. With that being said, we urge readers to approach this discovery with an open mind - after all, it's not every day you stumble upon a correlation as surprising as finding a cotton candy machine at a geothermal power plant.

ChatGPT:

GMO, genetically modified organisms, cotton fields, geothermal power, correlation, USDA data, Energy Information Administration, cotton production, geothermal energy, Missouri, cotton farming, sustainable energy, GMO research

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

GMO use in cotton in Missouri
Detailed data title: Percent of cotton planted in Missouri genetically modified with both Bt and HT
Source: USDA
See what else correlates with GMO use in cotton in Missouri

Total geothermal power generated globally
Detailed data title: Total geothermal power generated globally in billion kWh
Source: Energy Information Administration
See what else correlates with Total geothermal power generated globally

Correlation r = 0.9537849 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9097056 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 91% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Total geothermal power generated globally) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., GMO use in cotton in Missouri) over the 17 years from 2005 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 3.11E-9. 0.0000000031057313159788470000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.95 in 3.11E-7% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 321,985,355 random variables You don't actually need 321 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 16 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 16 because we have two variables measured over a period of 17 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.87, 0.98 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
20052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
GMO use in cotton in Missouri (GMO cotton %)1625231951292933384856485873787780
Total geothermal power generated globally (Billion kWh)56.412657.807760.433363.118165.111964.837965.813366.977668.444573.204777.12179.225681.700785.273887.49790.663291.7838




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
    Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([16,25,23,19,51,29,29,33,38,48,56,48,58,73,78,77,80,])
array_2 = np.array([56.4126,57.8077,60.4333,63.1181,65.1119,64.8379,65.8133,66.9776,68.4445,73.2047,77.121,79.2256,81.7007,85.2738,87.497,90.6632,91.7838,])
array_1_name = "GMO use in cotton in Missouri"
array_2_name = "Total geothermal power generated globally"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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Correlation ID: 2195 · Black Variable ID: 796 · Red Variable ID: 23441
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