Spurious correlation #1,295 · View random
A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is The distance between Neptune and Uranus and the second variable is Automotive recalls issued by Keystone RV Company. The chart goes from 1998 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time.

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is The distance between Neptune and Uranus and the second variable is Automotive recalls issued by Keystone RV Company. The chart goes from 1998 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time.

Download png, svg

AI explanation

As the gap widened, Keystone RVs were feeling a gravitational pull towards a new recall! It seems the cosmic chaos was driving some real issues in their vehicles, perhaps leading to a spike in interplanetary breakdowns. It's like the planets were saying, "Uranus, Neptune-d to step up our game when it comes to vehicle safety!" Maybe they just needed some space to figure out how to revamp their manufacturing process.

^{Show image generation prompt} Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Prompt: Create an image of a serene night sky with a radiant full moon casting a soft glow. Two massive balloons, one resembling Neptune and the other Uranus, loom in the air, each pulling in opposite directions. They are anchored to a small Earth, encircled by tiny RVs in motion. The RVs appear to be having difficulty maintaining their balance, swerving and toppling as if caught in a celestial struggle. The Earth seems to teeter and waver on its axis as the RVs navigate the chaotic cosmic forces. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.

This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the situation described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here is a situation: Astronomical anomaly causes terrestrial troubles! As Neptune and Uranus part ways, Keystone RV Company recalls soar. Experts hypothesize that the gravitational tug-of-war between the distant planets disrupts the cosmic balance, leading to malfunctions in the RVs on Earth. It seems even space couldn't keep its distance from the chaos on our roads!. Given that situation, which of the following image descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand and the tone of the explanation. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Parallax art High-tech Celtic art Cute 2D animation A comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s
ChatGPT: High-tech

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated and the explanation described. Do not reference graphs or charts; describe physical objects.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that depicts the following situation. Keep the description simple. Astronomical anomaly causes terrestrial troubles! As Neptune and Uranus part ways, Keystone RV Company recalls soar. Experts hypothesize that the gravitational tug-of-war between the distant planets disrupts the cosmic balance, leading to malfunctions in the RVs on Earth. It seems even space couldn't keep its distance from the chaos on our roads!
ChatGPT: In a picturesque scene, imagine a clear night sky with a bright full moon hanging low. Suddenly, the gentle calm is disrupted as two colossal balloons shaped like Neptune and Uranus start tugging in opposite directions. They are tied to a miniature Earth, which is surrounded by tiny RVs zipping around. As the planetary balloons pull and push, the RVs start swerving and toppling over as if caught in a cosmic tug-of-war. The tiny Earth seems to wobble on its axis as the RVs struggle to stay upright amidst the celestial commotion.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ High-tech ] and depicting this scene: In a picturesque scene, imagine a clear night sky with a bright full moon hanging low. Suddenly, the gentle calm is disrupted as two colossal balloons shaped like Neptune and Uranus start tugging in opposite directions. They are tied to a miniature Earth, which is surrounded by tiny RVs zipping around. As the planetary balloons pull and push, the RVs start swerving and toppling over as if caught in a cosmic tug-of-war. The tiny Earth seems to wobble on its axis as the RVs struggle to stay upright amidst the celestial commotion. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Prompt: Create an image of a serene night sky with a radiant full moon casting a soft glow. Two massive balloons, one resembling Neptune and the other Uranus, loom in the air, each pulling in opposite directions. They are anchored to a small Earth, encircled by tiny RVs in motion. The RVs appear to be having difficulty maintaining their balance, swerving and toppling as if caught in a celestial struggle. The Earth seems to teeter and waver on its axis as the RVs navigate the chaotic cosmic forces.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.
^{Show prompt for explanation} Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in The distance between Neptune and Uranus caused Automotive recalls issued by Keystone RV Company to increase. Include one good pun.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)

Out of this World Recalls: Exploring the Quirky Connection Between Planetary Positioning and Keystone RV Company's Automotive Recalls

The Journal of Cosmic Automotive Anomalies

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!

^{Show prompt used to generate this paper} Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Neptune and Uranus and Automotive recalls issued by Keystone RV Company. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then cite some social media posts you read that seem to be related.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Out of this World Recalls: Exploring the Quirky Connection Between Planetary Positioning and Keystone RV Company's Automotive Recalls

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study delves into the unexpected correlation between the distance between Neptune and Uranus and automotive recalls issued by Keystone RV Company. Using data from Astropy and US DOT, we calculated the correlation coefficient and identified a statistically significant relationship from 1998 to 2022. Our findings suggest that the cosmic dance of the outer planets may have a quirky influence on the occurrence of automotive recalls in a specific company. Join us on a journey through the solar system as we explore this celestial-automotive connection and ponder the enigmatic forces at play.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The realm of academic research often takes us to unexpected and peculiar places, and this study is no exception. While one might typically associate automotive recalls with manufacturing defects or engineering oversights, our investigation reveals a rather quirky connection between the celestial bodies of our solar system and automotive recalls issued by the Keystone RV Company. It's as if the planets themselves have decided to throw a cosmic wrench into the world of automotive manufacturing!
As researchers, we are accustomed to exploring the inner workings of statistical analyses and data correlations, but delving into the cosmic dance of Neptune and Uranus was a welcome departure from the ordinary. Our journey began by harnessing the power of Astropy to track the distance between these distant ice giants, and then venturing into the realm of automotive recalls using data from the US Department of Transportation.
The juxtaposition of these seemingly disparate variables might seem like a cosmic joke, but our findings have unveiled a statistically significant relationship that has left us pondering the celestial forces at play. Could it be that the gravitational pull and alignment of the outer planets have a quirk of influence on the automotive industry, or are we merely witnessing an astronomical anomaly that just happens to coincide with automotive malfunctions?
In the following sections, we will unravel the data, delve into the statistical intricacies, and take a lighthearted journey through the cosmos to contemplate the enigmatic relationship between the movements of planets and the issuance of automotive recalls. So, fasten your seat belts and prepare for a cosmic adventure through the world of automotive recalls, where statistical significance and celestial positions converge in a manner that is truly out of this world.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

In "Astronomical Journal," the authors find that the distance between Neptune and Uranus has been a subject of fascination for astronomers and astrophysicists alike. The gravitational interactions and orbital dynamics of these distant ice giants have long been a source of speculation and study within the scientific community. This celestial dance has captured the curiosity of researchers, leading to extensive investigations into the patterns and rhythms of the outer planets.

Similarly, in "Automotive Engineering," Smith and Doe delve into the complexities of automotive recalls and the multifaceted factors that contribute to their occurrence. The intricacies of manufacturing processes, design flaws, and regulatory standards are among the chief considerations in the analysis of automotive recalls. This body of literature provides a comprehensive foundation for understanding the conventional factors influencing automotive quality control and recall protocols.

However, as we traverse the cosmic expanse and journey into the world of automotive manufacturing, we encounter a whimsical fusion of celestial phenomena and industrial anomalies. It is at this juncture that we are prompted to consider an array of literature that expands the boundaries of conventional research and plunges into the uncharted territory of the cosmic-automotive interface.

In "Cosmic Collisions" by John Doe, the author contemplates the intriguing possibility of cosmic influences on terrestrial events. While the book primarily focuses on asteroid impacts and cosmic catastrophes, the underlying theme of celestial effects on Earth's systems prompts us to ponder the broader implications of planetary interactions.

Turning to fictional works, "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" by Douglas Adams introduces readers to a universe teeming with absurdity and cosmic caprice. As we embark on our unconventional exploration of the intersecting realms of space and automotive recalls, the wit and whimsy of science fiction beckon us to consider the cosmic machinations that may intertwine with the mechanisms of automotive malfunctions.

In an unexpected twist, the insightful musings of social media posts have also offered a peculiar lens through which to view the cosmic-automotive connection. A tweet by @StellarAutoMusings quips, "Perhaps the cosmic dance of the outer planets is behind those mysterious automotive recalls! #CelestialConspiracies #SpaceSolutions." This humorous yet thought-provoking observation serves as a testament to the intrigue that surrounds the unconventional correlation we are exploring.

As we navigate the uncharted territory of the celestial-automotive nexus, we are drawn to unconventional sources that illuminate the peculiar interplay of cosmic forces and industrial irregularities. The eclectic blend of literature and musings invites us to ponder the unexpected and embrace the whimsical nature of our cosmic journey.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Neptune and Uranus and Automotive recalls issued by Keystone RV Company. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Out of this World Recalls: Exploring the Quirky Connection Between Planetary Positioning and Keystone RV Company's Automotive Recalls

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study delves into the unexpected correlation between the distance between Neptune and Uranus and automotive recalls issued by Keystone RV Company. Using data from Astropy and US DOT, we calculated the correlation coefficient and identified a statistically significant relationship from 1998 to 2022. Our findings suggest that the cosmic dance of the outer planets may have a quirky influence on the occurrence of automotive recalls in a specific company. Join us on a journey through the solar system as we explore this celestial-automotive connection and ponder the enigmatic forces at play.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
In "Astronomical Journal," the authors find that the distance between Neptune and Uranus has been a subject of fascination for astronomers and astrophysicists alike. The gravitational interactions and orbital dynamics of these distant ice giants have long been a source of speculation and study within the scientific community. This celestial dance has captured the curiosity of researchers, leading to extensive investigations into the patterns and rhythms of the outer planets.
Similarly, in "Automotive Engineering," Smith and Doe delve into the complexities of automotive recalls and the multifaceted factors that contribute to their occurrence. The intricacies of manufacturing processes, design flaws, and regulatory standards are among the chief considerations in the analysis of automotive recalls. This body of literature provides a comprehensive foundation for understanding the conventional factors influencing automotive quality control and recall protocols.
However, as we traverse the cosmic expanse and journey into the world of automotive manufacturing, we encounter a whimsical fusion of celestial phenomena and industrial anomalies. It is at this juncture that we are prompted to consider an array of literature that expands the boundaries of conventional research and plunges into the uncharted territory of the cosmic-automotive interface.
In "Cosmic Collisions" by John Doe, the author contemplates the intriguing possibility of cosmic influences on terrestrial events. While the book primarily focuses on asteroid impacts and cosmic catastrophes, the underlying theme of celestial effects on Earth's systems prompts us to ponder the broader implications of planetary interactions.
Turning to fictional works, "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" by Douglas Adams introduces readers to a universe teeming with absurdity and cosmic caprice. As we embark on our unconventional exploration of the intersecting realms of space and automotive recalls, the wit and whimsy of science fiction beckon us to consider the cosmic machinations that may intertwine with the mechanisms of automotive malfunctions.
In an unexpected twist, the insightful musings of social media posts have also offered a peculiar lens through which to view the cosmic-automotive connection. A tweet by @StellarAutoMusings quips, "Perhaps the cosmic dance of the outer planets is behind those mysterious automotive recalls! #CelestialConspiracies #SpaceSolutions." This humorous yet thought-provoking observation serves as a testament to the intrigue that surrounds the unconventional correlation we are exploring.
As we navigate the uncharted territory of the celestial-automotive nexus, we are drawn to unconventional sources that illuminate the peculiar interplay of cosmic forces and industrial irregularities. The eclectic blend of literature and musings invites us to ponder the unexpected and embrace the whimsical nature of our cosmic journey.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the data revealed a statistically significant correlation between the distance separating Neptune and Uranus and the automotive recalls issued by the Keystone RV Company from 1998 to 2022. The correlation coefficient of 0.8256344 indicates a strong positive relationship, suggesting that as the distance between these outer planets fluctuated, so too did the number of automotive recalls. It's as if the cosmic disturbances among Neptune and Uranus were causing a celestial ripple effect that reverberated all the way to the production lines of Keystone RV Company!
The r-squared value of 0.6816721 further supports this relationship, indicating that approximately 68.17% of the variation in automotive recalls can be explained by the changing distance between the two planets. It seems that when Neptune and Uranus decide to engage in an interplanetary tango, the automotive industry at Keystone RV Company experiences a synchronised dance of recalls and repairs. Who would have thought that the movements of celestial bodies could have such an impact on terrestrial machinery?
With a p-value of less than 0.01, our findings are not just a fluke or a lucky alignment of data points; they hold up under statistical scrutiny. The data paints a clear picture of a quirky connection that transcends the typical realm of automotive recalls and ventures into the celestial unknown. It's as if the gravitational pull of these distant gas giants reaches across the expanse of space to exert its influence on the manufacturing floors of Keystone RV Company, perhaps causing cosmic hiccups in their production processes.
Furthermore, the scatterplot (Fig. 1) visually illustrates this unexpected relationship, with data points coalescing into a pattern that follows the undulating dance of Neptune and Uranus. It's a sight to behold, seeing the whims of planetary motion mirrored in the occurrences of automotive recalls.
In conclusion, our analysis unravels a mystifying correlation between the positioning of Neptune and Uranus and the issuance of automotive recalls by Keystone RV Company. This bizarre cosmic connection challenges conventional wisdom and beckons us to contemplate the cosmic forces at play in the automotive industry. It seems that while we may have a grasp on statistical analyses and data correlations, the cosmic tapestry continues to weave its enigmatic influence into the fabric of our earthly endeavors.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]

ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

Our study has taken an expedition through the cosmic expanse to uncover the intricacies of the celestial-automotive nexus, unearthing a surprising connection between the distance separating Neptune and Uranus and the issuance of automotive recalls by the Keystone RV Company. The statistical analysis has furnished compelling evidence supporting the notion that the movements of these outer planets may indeed exert a profound influence on the occurrence of automotive recalls, much to the amusement of celestial spectators.

The significant correlation coefficient of 0.8256344 substantiates the assertion that as the interplanetary gap fluctuated, the number of recalls issued by Keystone RV Company followed suit. It appears that the cosmic ballet of Neptune and Uranus choreographs a peculiar symphony that resonates with the production lines of this automotive entity. This cosmic correlation has indeed defied conventional expectations, leading us to speculate on the cosmic forces clandestinely influencing earthly machinations.

Building on the precedents set by the astronomical and automotive literature, our findings coalesce with the broader discourse on the intersections of cosmic phenomena and terrestrial events. The depiction of the outer planets as celestial puppeteers in the automotive realm transcends the traditional bounds of scientific inquiry and ventures into the realm of celestial whim. Indeed, the musings of both astrophysicists and automotive engineers have converged in our investigation, aligning with the peculiar coincidences and unexpected marvels that often animate scientific inquiry.

The r-squared value of 0.6816721 further buttresses this connection, evoking images of a cosmic tug-of-war between the distant giants and the earthly machinery they appear to influence. It seems that approximately 68.17% of the variation in automotive recalls can be attributed to the celestial choreography of Neptune and Uranus, painting a vivid portrait of a cosmic waltz that reverberates in the realm of automotive manufacturing.

Our study has lent credence to the fanciful speculations found in "Cosmic Collisions" and "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy," offering empirical support to the whimsical notion of cosmic interplays with terrestrial endeavors. The unconventional yet statistically robust relationship uncovered in our analysis has validated, albeit in an unexpected fashion, the offbeat musings of the scientific and literary communities.

The eye-catching scatterplot (Fig. 1) satisfactorily encapsulates the whimsical and improbable nature of our findings, depicting a visual narrative of the cosmic dance mirrored in the terrestrial fabric of automotive recalls. It serves as a testament to the unforeseen and often humbling dynamics that underlie the mysteries of statistical inquiry and cosmic phenomena, a synthesis of empirical rigor and celestial jest.

In conclusion, our study has ventured into the uncharted reaches of cosmic influence, uncovering a correlation that challenges established paradigms and prompts a reconsideration of the intricate interplay between celestial mechanics and industrial irregularities. The enigmatic forces governing our cosmic tapestry continue to inject elements of unpredictability and whimsy into the ostensibly rational domain of statistical analysis, leaving us to marvel at the cosmic mischievousness that permeates the fabric of our terrestrial pursuits.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Neptune and Uranus and Automotive recalls issued by Keystone RV Company. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Out of this World Recalls: Exploring the Quirky Connection Between Planetary Positioning and Keystone RV Company's Automotive Recalls

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study delves into the unexpected correlation between the distance between Neptune and Uranus and automotive recalls issued by Keystone RV Company. Using data from Astropy and US DOT, we calculated the correlation coefficient and identified a statistically significant relationship from 1998 to 2022. Our findings suggest that the cosmic dance of the outer planets may have a quirky influence on the occurrence of automotive recalls in a specific company. Join us on a journey through the solar system as we explore this celestial-automotive connection and ponder the enigmatic forces at play.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The realm of academic research often takes us to unexpected and peculiar places, and this study is no exception. While one might typically associate automotive recalls with manufacturing defects or engineering oversights, our investigation reveals a rather quirky connection between the celestial bodies of our solar system and automotive recalls issued by the Keystone RV Company. It's as if the planets themselves have decided to throw a cosmic wrench into the world of automotive manufacturing!
As researchers, we are accustomed to exploring the inner workings of statistical analyses and data correlations, but delving into the cosmic dance of Neptune and Uranus was a welcome departure from the ordinary. Our journey began by harnessing the power of Astropy to track the distance between these distant ice giants, and then venturing into the realm of automotive recalls using data from the US Department of Transportation.
The juxtaposition of these seemingly disparate variables might seem like a cosmic joke, but our findings have unveiled a statistically significant relationship that has left us pondering the celestial forces at play. Could it be that the gravitational pull and alignment of the outer planets have a quirk of influence on the automotive industry, or are we merely witnessing an astronomical anomaly that just happens to coincide with automotive malfunctions?
In the following sections, we will unravel the data, delve into the statistical intricacies, and take a lighthearted journey through the cosmos to contemplate the enigmatic relationship between the movements of planets and the issuance of automotive recalls. So, fasten your seat belts and prepare for a cosmic adventure through the world of automotive recalls, where statistical significance and celestial positions converge in a manner that is truly out of this world.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the data revealed a statistically significant correlation between the distance separating Neptune and Uranus and the automotive recalls issued by the Keystone RV Company from 1998 to 2022. The correlation coefficient of 0.8256344 indicates a strong positive relationship, suggesting that as the distance between these outer planets fluctuated, so too did the number of automotive recalls. It's as if the cosmic disturbances among Neptune and Uranus were causing a celestial ripple effect that reverberated all the way to the production lines of Keystone RV Company!
The r-squared value of 0.6816721 further supports this relationship, indicating that approximately 68.17% of the variation in automotive recalls can be explained by the changing distance between the two planets. It seems that when Neptune and Uranus decide to engage in an interplanetary tango, the automotive industry at Keystone RV Company experiences a synchronised dance of recalls and repairs. Who would have thought that the movements of celestial bodies could have such an impact on terrestrial machinery?
With a p-value of less than 0.01, our findings are not just a fluke or a lucky alignment of data points; they hold up under statistical scrutiny. The data paints a clear picture of a quirky connection that transcends the typical realm of automotive recalls and ventures into the celestial unknown. It's as if the gravitational pull of these distant gas giants reaches across the expanse of space to exert its influence on the manufacturing floors of Keystone RV Company, perhaps causing cosmic hiccups in their production processes.
Furthermore, the scatterplot (Fig. 1) visually illustrates this unexpected relationship, with data points coalescing into a pattern that follows the undulating dance of Neptune and Uranus. It's a sight to behold, seeing the whims of planetary motion mirrored in the occurrences of automotive recalls.
In conclusion, our analysis unravels a mystifying correlation between the positioning of Neptune and Uranus and the issuance of automotive recalls by Keystone RV Company. This bizarre cosmic connection challenges conventional wisdom and beckons us to contemplate the cosmic forces at play in the automotive industry. It seems that while we may have a grasp on statistical analyses and data correlations, the cosmic tapestry continues to weave its enigmatic influence into the fabric of our earthly endeavors.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]

ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In summarizing our findings, it is clear that the quirky connection between the distance separating Neptune and Uranus and the automotive recalls issued by Keystone RV Company transcends the mundane realm of statistical analyses and data correlations. Our results demonstrate that the cosmic dance of these outer planets exerts a remarkable influence on the occurrence of automotive recalls, making the manufacturing process seem not just down-to-earth, but downright otherworldly!

The statistically significant correlation coefficient of 0.8256344 indicates an unanticipated bond, as if the very gravity of the situation defies rational explanation, and the r-squared value of 0.6816721 suggests that approximately 68.17% of the variation in recalls can be attributed to the cosmic choreography of Neptune and Uranus. It's as if the celestial bodies are not just stargazing, but also gazing under the hoods of RVs from afar.

The scatterplot (Fig. 1) further portrays this celestial influence, with data points aligning in a manner that evokes the swirling motion of these distant planets. It's almost as if the very cosmos is telling us, "You don't need to be an astronaut to encounter stellar malfunctions!"

Our noses buried in data and our heads in the clouds of statistical analysis, this investigation has surely been a voyage through uncharted territories, where the astronomical and the automotive converge in a puzzling waltz. But as the data unfolded, it became clear that this is not an anomaly, but a consistent quirk of the cosmos. It's as if the stars have aligned to remind us that life's enigmas extend far beyond the earthbound variables of conventional science and logic.

In conclusion, our study sheds light on a mysterious link that challenges traditional understandings and beckons us to embrace the whimsy of the universe. The celestial harmony of Neptune and Uranus may hold the keys to unlocking the cosmic riddles that ripple through the world of automotive recalls. But fear not, for our findings provide an enlightening conclusion, putting the cosmic capers to rest and proclaiming that no further research is needed in this otherworldly domain.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Out of this World Recalls: Exploring the Quirky Connection Between Planetary Positioning and Keystone RV Company's Automotive Recalls. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Cosmic Automotive Anomalies

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Out of this World Recalls: Exploring the Quirky Connection Between Planetary Positioning and Keystone RV Company's Automotive Recalls. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Celestial Confluence Studies

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Out of this World Recalls: Exploring the Quirky Connection Between Planetary Positioning and Keystone RV Company's Automotive Recalls with an abstract of This study delves into the unexpected correlation between the distance between Neptune and Uranus and automotive recalls issued by Keystone RV Company. Using data from Astropy and US DOT, we calculated the correlation coefficient and identified a statistically significant relationship from 1998 to 2022. Our findings suggest that the cosmic dance of the outer planets may have a quirky influence on the occurrence of automotive recalls in a specific company. Join us on a journey through the solar system as we explore this celestial-automotive connection and ponder the enigmatic forces at play.

ChatGPT:

planetary positioning, Neptune, Uranus, automotive recalls, Keystone RV Company, Astropy, US DOT, correlation coefficient, statistical relationship, cosmic influence, solar system, celestial-automotive connection

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.

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Data details

The distance between Neptune and Uranus
Detailed data title: The average distance between Neptune and Uranus as measured on the first day of each month
Source: Caclculated using Astropy
Additional Info: ^{See full details} I wrote a Python script using Astropy to calculate the distance between the named planets on the first day of each month for every year.

See what else correlates with The distance between Neptune and Uranus

Automotive recalls issued by Keystone RV Company
Detailed data title: Automotive recals issued by Keystone RV Company
Source: US DOT
See what else correlates with Automotive recalls issued by Keystone RV Company

Correlation r = 0.8256344 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r² = 0.6816721 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 68.2% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Automotive recalls issued by Keystone RV Company) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., The distance between Neptune and Uranus) over the 25 years from 1998 through 2022.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 3.8E-7.^Show 0.0000003756961481274917000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme.^Note More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.83 in 3.8E-5% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 2,661,725 random variables^Note You don't actually need 2 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 24 degrees of freedom, ^Note Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 24 because we have two variables measured over a period of 25 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.64, 0.92 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
^{Read more about the confidence interval} The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!

All values for the years included above: ^Note If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.

	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022
The distance between Neptune and Uranus (Planetary distance (AU))	11.0862	11.3499	11.6596	12.0092	12.3947	12.8119	13.2579	13.7275	14.218	14.727	15.2532	15.7925	16.3438	16.906	17.4791	18.0597	18.6476	19.2423	19.8443	20.4507	21.0616	21.6768	22.2973	22.9204	23.5465
Automotive recalls issued by Keystone RV Company (Recalls)	1	0	1	0	0	1	3	6	9	13	8	8	15	10	5	5	8	8	13	19	24	19	17	14	15

Why this works

Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
Lack of causal connection: There is probably^Note Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple^Note Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. ^Note Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.

Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. ^{Show the steps to do this.} Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."

# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([11.0862,11.3499,11.6596,12.0092,12.3947,12.8119,13.2579,13.7275,14.218,14.727,15.2532,15.7925,16.3438,16.906,17.4791,18.0597,18.6476,19.2423,19.8443,20.4507,21.0616,21.6768,22.2973,22.9204,23.5465,])
array_2 = np.array([1,0,1,0,0,1,3,6,9,13,8,8,15,10,5,5,8,8,13,19,24,19,17,14,15,])
array_1_name = "The distance between Neptune and Uranus"
array_2_name = "Automotive recalls issued by Keystone RV Company"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)

Reuseable content

You may re-use the images on this page for any purpose, even commercial purposes, without asking for permission. The only requirement is that you attribute Tyler Vigen. ^Note Attribution can take many different forms. If you leave the "tylervigen.com" link in the image, that satisfies it just fine. If you remove it and move it to a footnote, that's fine too. You can also just write "Charts courtesy of Tyler Vigen" at the bottom of an article.

You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

Full license details.
For more on re-use permissions, or to get a signed release form, see tylervigen.com/permission.

Download images for these variables:

High resolution line chart ^Note The image linked here is a Scalable Vector Graphic (SVG). It is the highest resolution that is possible to achieve. It scales up beyond the size of the observable universe without pixelating. You do not need to email me asking if I have a higher resolution image. I do not. The physical limitations of our universe prevent me from providing you with an image that is any higher resolution than this one.

If you insert it into a PowerPoint presentation (a tool well-known for managing things that are the scale of the universe), you can right-click > "Ungroup" or "Create Shape" and then edit the lines and text directly. You can also change the colors this way.

Alternatively you can use a tool like Inkscape.
High resolution line chart, optimized for mobile
Alternative high resolution line chart
Scatterplot
Portable line chart (png)
Portable line chart (png), optimized for mobile
Line chart for only The distance between Neptune and Uranus
Line chart for only Automotive recalls issued by Keystone RV Company
The spurious research paper: Out of this World Recalls: Exploring the Quirky Connection Between Planetary Positioning and Keystone RV Company's Automotive Recalls

View another random correlation

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Correlation ID: 1295 · Black Variable ID: 1967 · Red Variable ID: 1129


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