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Spurious correlation #1,284 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Geothermal power generated in Portugal and the second variable is Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion.  The chart goes from 1980 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As Portugal tapped into more geothermal energy, it sent a surge of heat underground, coincidentally cooking more hotdogs. This led to a bun-believable rise in the hotdog supply, ultimately fueling the champion's record-breaking consumption. It seems they couldn't resist riding the wave of wiener prosperity!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: "Generate a surrealistic image of a small town nestled within the lush hills of Portugal. Envision steam rising from the ground and several geothermal power plants set against the stunning landscape. The turbines should be depicted as spinning rapidly, generating clean, renewable energy. In the foreground, include a bustling hot dog stand with people eagerly waiting in line to sample succulent hotdogs being grilled by a local vendor. Surround the area with the alluring aroma of sizzling sausages and a sign proudly displaying the renowned brand, Nathan's hotdogs. Keep the visual depiction simple and avoid any words or speech bubbles." The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the situation described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here is a situation: Portugal's Surging Geothermal Power Output Linked to Spike in Hotdogs Devoured by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Given that situation, which of the following image descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand and the tone of the explanation. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Scalar art Surrealism Surrealism Art nouveau Celtic art
ChatGPT: Surrealism

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated and the explanation described. Do not reference graphs or charts; describe physical objects.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that depicts the following situation. Keep the description simple. Portugal's Surging Geothermal Power Output Linked to Spike in Hotdogs Devoured by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion
ChatGPT: Imagine a small town nestled in the lush hills of Portugal, with steam rising from the ground and several geothermal power plants lined up against the backdrop of the beautiful landscape. You can see the turbines spinning rapidly, pushing out clean, renewable energy. Meanwhile, at a bustling hot dog stand, a line of people eagerly awaits their turn to taste the succulent hotdogs being grilled by the local vendor. The smell of sizzling sausages fills the air, and a sign proudly announces that these are the famous Nathan's hotdogs.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Surrealism ] and depicting this scene: Imagine a small town nestled in the lush hills of Portugal, with steam rising from the ground and several geothermal power plants lined up against the backdrop of the beautiful landscape. You can see the turbines spinning rapidly, pushing out clean, renewable energy. Meanwhile, at a bustling hot dog stand, a line of people eagerly awaits their turn to taste the succulent hotdogs being grilled by the local vendor. The smell of sizzling sausages fills the air, and a sign proudly announces that these are the famous Nathan's hotdogs. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: "Generate a surrealistic image of a small town nestled within the lush hills of Portugal. Envision steam rising from the ground and several geothermal power plants set against the stunning landscape. The turbines should be depicted as spinning rapidly, generating clean, renewable energy. In the foreground, include a bustling hot dog stand with people eagerly waiting in line to sample succulent hotdogs being grilled by a local vendor. Surround the area with the alluring aroma of sizzling sausages and a sign proudly displaying the renowned brand, Nathan's hotdogs. Keep the visual depiction simple and avoid any words or speech bubbles."

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Geothermal power generated in Portugal caused Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion to increase. Include one good pun.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Bun-believable Connections: Unveiling the Correlation Between Geothermal Power in Portugal and Hotdog Consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

Journal of Culinary Energy Studies

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Geothermal power generated in Portugal and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title punny if you can come up with clever pun. If not, just make it sound clever.

Your research team used data from Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9438854 and p < 0.01 for 1980 to 2021.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
Bun-believable Connections: Unveiling the Correlation Between Geothermal Power in Portugal and Hotdog Consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

[[ABSTRACT]]
The intricacies of human behavior and the environment continue to captivate researchers across disciplines. This study delves into the perplexing relationship between geothermal power generated in Portugal and the hotdog consumption patterns of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Drawing on data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, our research team rigorously analyzed the trends spanning from 1980 to 2021. The findings reveal a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9438854, with a significance level of p < 0.01, highlighting a compelling association that may prompt both mirth and contemplation within the scientific community. As we progress toward a deeper understanding of these seemingly incongruous elements, this investigation paves the way for further exploration into the unforeseen interplay between alternative energy sources and culinary triumphs.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Geothermal power generated in Portugal and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Bun-believable Connections: Unveiling the Correlation Between Geothermal Power in Portugal and Hotdog Consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

[[ABSTRACT]]
The intricacies of human behavior and the environment continue to captivate researchers across disciplines. This study delves into the perplexing relationship between geothermal power generated in Portugal and the hotdog consumption patterns of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Drawing on data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, our research team rigorously analyzed the trends spanning from 1980 to 2021. The findings reveal a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9438854, with a significance level of p < 0.01, highlighting a compelling association that may prompt both mirth and contemplation within the scientific community. As we progress toward a deeper understanding of these seemingly incongruous elements, this investigation paves the way for further exploration into the unforeseen interplay between alternative energy sources and culinary triumphs.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
INTRODUCTION

The interconnectedness of seemingly disparate phenomena has long been a source of fascination for researchers. In this vein, our study embarks on a quest to unravel the enigmatic correlation between geothermal power production in Portugal and the consumption of hotdogs by the illustrious Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. While this curious pursuit may raise a few eyebrows, it is precisely such unorthodox investigations that invigorate the scientific landscape and lend a touch of whimsy to the realm of empirical inquiry.

As the global pursuit of sustainable energy sources gains momentum, geothermal power has emerged as a hot topic – pardon the pun – within the field of renewable energy. Portugal, in particular, has made noteworthy strides in harnessing the Earth's natural heat for electricity generation, positioning itself as a noteworthy player in the geothermal energy arena. Simultaneously, the world of competitive eating has garnered attention for its larger-than-life personalities and, in the case of hotdog consumption, its larger-than-life quantities ingested. At the apex of this gastronomic prowess resides the iconic Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, an event that commands both awe and incredulity from spectators worldwide.

While it may initially seem far-fetched to posit a connection between these two spheres, our scrutiny of the data underscores the potential for meaningful associations. By employing sophisticated statistical methods and drawing upon a robust dataset spanning four decades, we intend to explicate the heretofore unexplored ties between geothermal power and the consumptive habits of a competitive hotdog eater. Given the mirthful intrigue inherent to this investigation, we anticipate that our findings will prompt a blend of amusement and contemplation among peers in the scientific community.

The implications of our inquiry extend beyond mere academic curiosity; they beckon us to reimagine the intersections between sustainability and sensational eating feats. As we delve into the statistical nuances and tease out the correlations, we invite our readers to embark on this scholarly escapade with us, eager to uncover the savory secrets and bun-believable connections that await within the annals of empirical investigation.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Geothermal power generated in Portugal and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then devolve ever further, and mention something completely ridiculous, like you conducted literature review by reading CVS receipts.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Bun-believable Connections: Unveiling the Correlation Between Geothermal Power in Portugal and Hotdog Consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

[[ABSTRACT]]
The intricacies of human behavior and the environment continue to captivate researchers across disciplines. This study delves into the perplexing relationship between geothermal power generated in Portugal and the hotdog consumption patterns of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Drawing on data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, our research team rigorously analyzed the trends spanning from 1980 to 2021. The findings reveal a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9438854, with a significance level of p < 0.01, highlighting a compelling association that may prompt both mirth and contemplation within the scientific community. As we progress toward a deeper understanding of these seemingly incongruous elements, this investigation paves the way for further exploration into the unforeseen interplay between alternative energy sources and culinary triumphs.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The interconnectedness of seemingly disparate phenomena has long been a source of fascination for researchers. In this vein, our study embarks on a quest to unravel the enigmatic correlation between geothermal power production in Portugal and the consumption of hotdogs by the illustrious Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. While this curious pursuit may raise a few eyebrows, it is precisely such unorthodox investigations that invigorate the scientific landscape and lend a touch of whimsy to the realm of empirical inquiry.
As the global pursuit of sustainable energy sources gains momentum, geothermal power has emerged as a hot topic – pardon the pun – within the field of renewable energy. Portugal, in particular, has made noteworthy strides in harnessing the Earth's natural heat for electricity generation, positioning itself as a noteworthy player in the geothermal energy arena. Simultaneously, the world of competitive eating has garnered attention for its larger-than-life personalities and, in the case of hotdog consumption, its larger-than-life quantities ingested. At the apex of this gastronomic prowess resides the iconic Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, an event that commands both awe and incredulity from spectators worldwide.
While it may initially seem far-fetched to posit a connection between these two spheres, our scrutiny of the data underscores the potential for meaningful associations. By employing sophisticated statistical methods and drawing upon a robust dataset spanning four decades, we intend to explicate the heretofore unexplored ties between geothermal power and the consumptive habits of a competitive hotdog eater. Given the mirthful intrigue inherent to this investigation, we anticipate that our findings will prompt a blend of amusement and contemplation among peers in the scientific community.
The implications of our inquiry extend beyond mere academic curiosity; they beckon us to reimagine the intersections between sustainability and sensational eating feats. As we delve into the statistical nuances and tease out the correlations, we invite our readers to embark on this scholarly escapade with us, eager to uncover the savory secrets and bun-believable connections that await within the annals of empirical investigation.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

The burgeoning field of interdisciplinary research has paved the way for a wide array of curious investigations, among them being the correlation between geothermal power in Portugal and the hotdog consumption patterns of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Smith et al. (2015) examined the economic implications of geothermal power production, shedding light on its potential impact on national energy independence. Similarly, Doe and Jones (2018) meticulously scrutinized the dietary habits of competitive eaters, unraveling the physiological and psychological underpinnings of their extraordinary feats.

Turning to more specialized sources, "Geothermal Energy: An Overview" by Renewable Resources Research Institute thoroughly expounds upon the technological advancements and environmental implications of geothermal energy extraction (Johnson, 2017). Furthermore, "The Science of Competitive Eating" by Culinary Studies Institute delves into the biomechanics and gastronomic strategies employed by professional eaters to conquer staggering quantities of food within constrained timeframes (Brown, 2019).

In the realm of fiction that tangentially relates to this peculiar inquiry, one cannot overlook the classic novel "The Hot Zone" by Richard Preston, although unfortunately, its content pertains to something entirely unrelated – the terrifying outbreak of a deadly virus. On a lighter note, the whimsical tale of "The Curious Case of the Correlation Conundrum" by J.K. Rowland simulates an academic investigation into inexplicable connections, albeit in the realm of magical realism.

In the spirit of unconventional scholarly pursuits, it is worth noting that this literature review was also informally guided by a thorough perusal of supermarket receipts, fortune cookie fortunes, and the cryptic prophecies of Magic 8-Balls. While these unconventional sources failed to yield substantial empirical evidence, they did reinforce the importance of maintaining a sense of humor and whimsy in the rigorous pursuit of knowledge.

As we navigate through this scholarly labyrinth, the authors remain committed to upholding the highest standards of empirical inquiry, all while indulging in the occasional hotdog – strictly for research purposes, of course. With an eye toward unraveling the secrets of the universe, we march forth with unwavering determination and a healthy dose of skepticism.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Geothermal power generated in Portugal and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia . You used data from 1980 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Bun-believable Connections: Unveiling the Correlation Between Geothermal Power in Portugal and Hotdog Consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

[[ABSTRACT]]
The intricacies of human behavior and the environment continue to captivate researchers across disciplines. This study delves into the perplexing relationship between geothermal power generated in Portugal and the hotdog consumption patterns of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Drawing on data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, our research team rigorously analyzed the trends spanning from 1980 to 2021. The findings reveal a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9438854, with a significance level of p < 0.01, highlighting a compelling association that may prompt both mirth and contemplation within the scientific community. As we progress toward a deeper understanding of these seemingly incongruous elements, this investigation paves the way for further exploration into the unforeseen interplay between alternative energy sources and culinary triumphs.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The interconnectedness of seemingly disparate phenomena has long been a source of fascination for researchers. In this vein, our study embarks on a quest to unravel the enigmatic correlation between geothermal power production in Portugal and the consumption of hotdogs by the illustrious Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. While this curious pursuit may raise a few eyebrows, it is precisely such unorthodox investigations that invigorate the scientific landscape and lend a touch of whimsy to the realm of empirical inquiry.
As the global pursuit of sustainable energy sources gains momentum, geothermal power has emerged as a hot topic – pardon the pun – within the field of renewable energy. Portugal, in particular, has made noteworthy strides in harnessing the Earth's natural heat for electricity generation, positioning itself as a noteworthy player in the geothermal energy arena. Simultaneously, the world of competitive eating has garnered attention for its larger-than-life personalities and, in the case of hotdog consumption, its larger-than-life quantities ingested. At the apex of this gastronomic prowess resides the iconic Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, an event that commands both awe and incredulity from spectators worldwide.
While it may initially seem far-fetched to posit a connection between these two spheres, our scrutiny of the data underscores the potential for meaningful associations. By employing sophisticated statistical methods and drawing upon a robust dataset spanning four decades, we intend to explicate the heretofore unexplored ties between geothermal power and the consumptive habits of a competitive hotdog eater. Given the mirthful intrigue inherent to this investigation, we anticipate that our findings will prompt a blend of amusement and contemplation among peers in the scientific community.
The implications of our inquiry extend beyond mere academic curiosity; they beckon us to reimagine the intersections between sustainability and sensational eating feats. As we delve into the statistical nuances and tease out the correlations, we invite our readers to embark on this scholarly escapade with us, eager to uncover the savory secrets and bun-believable connections that await within the annals of empirical investigation.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

In pursuit of unraveling the mysterious entanglement between geothermal power production in Portugal and the consumption of hotdogs by the renowned Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion, our research team employed a multifaceted methodology that balanced rigor with a dash of whimsy. The data collection process involved scouring various online sources, with particular emphasis on relevant information from the Energy Information Administration and the ubiquitous repository of knowledge, Wikipedia. While some may question the veracity of data extracted from such platforms, we assure our esteemed readers that our discerning eyes sieved through the digital sea of information, sifting out the nuggets of truth from the chaff of misinformation.

To establish a robust foundation for our investigation, we meticulously assembled a dataset spanning the years 1980 to 2021, capturing the ebb and flow of geothermal power production in Portugal and the annual feats of hotdog consumption by the reigning champion of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. The confluence of these disparate variables presented both a challenge and an opportunity for our research team to showcase the analytical prowess that we had honed through tireless nights of sifting through spreadsheets and chowing down on the occasional hotdog – strictly for research purposes, of course.

Having amassed our treasure trove of data, we proceeded to employ statistical techniques that would make even the most seasoned mathematician nod in approval. With bated breath and a sprinkle of statistical magic, we calculated the correlation coefficients and associated p-values, eagerly anticipating the unveiling of insights that might just raise some eyebrows – or, indeed, inspire a chuckle or two.

While the exact details of our statistical methods may seem as inscrutable as a magician's sleight of hand, we assure you that we adhered to the time-honored principles of hypothesis testing and regression analysis, casting a discerning eye on the patterns that emerged from the depths of our data. As we navigated the labyrinth of numerical manipulations, we remained vigilant against the temptation to succumb to the siren call of spurious correlations, ensuring that our findings stood firm against the scrutiny of scholarly skepticism.

In the spirit of scientific inquiry and a penchant for the unexpected, our research methodology embraced the delightful marriage of scholarly rigor and a touch of playfulness, underscoring the inherent joy of delving into the unpredictable interplay between disparate domains. Through this mirthful yet methodical approach, we endeavored to uncover the bun-believable connections that lie concealed within the seemingly ordinary – and, dare we say, mundane – realms of geothermal power and hotdog consumption.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Geothermal power generated in Portugal and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia .

For the time period 1980 to 2021, you found a correlation 0.9438854, r-squared of 0.8909196, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Bun-believable Connections: Unveiling the Correlation Between Geothermal Power in Portugal and Hotdog Consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

[[ABSTRACT]]
The intricacies of human behavior and the environment continue to captivate researchers across disciplines. This study delves into the perplexing relationship between geothermal power generated in Portugal and the hotdog consumption patterns of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Drawing on data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, our research team rigorously analyzed the trends spanning from 1980 to 2021. The findings reveal a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9438854, with a significance level of p < 0.01, highlighting a compelling association that may prompt both mirth and contemplation within the scientific community. As we progress toward a deeper understanding of these seemingly incongruous elements, this investigation paves the way for further exploration into the unforeseen interplay between alternative energy sources and culinary triumphs.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
INTRODUCTION
The interconnectedness of seemingly disparate phenomena has long been a source of fascination for researchers. In this vein, our study embarks on a quest to unravel the enigmatic correlation between geothermal power production in Portugal and the consumption of hotdogs by the illustrious Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. While this curious pursuit may raise a few eyebrows, it is precisely such unorthodox investigations that invigorate the scientific landscape and lend a touch of whimsy to the realm of empirical inquiry.
As the global pursuit of sustainable energy sources gains momentum, geothermal power has emerged as a hot topic – pardon the pun – within the field of renewable energy. Portugal, in particular, has made noteworthy strides in harnessing the Earth's natural heat for electricity generation, positioning itself as a noteworthy player in the geothermal energy arena. Simultaneously, the world of competitive eating has garnered attention for its larger-than-life personalities and, in the case of hotdog consumption, its larger-than-life quantities ingested. At the apex of this gastronomic prowess resides the iconic Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, an event that commands both awe and incredulity from spectators worldwide.
While it may initially seem far-fetched to posit a connection between these two spheres, our scrutiny of the data underscores the potential for meaningful associations. By employing sophisticated statistical methods and drawing upon a robust dataset spanning four decades, we intend to explicate the heretofore unexplored ties between geothermal power and the consumptive habits of a competitive hotdog eater. Given the mirthful intrigue inherent to this investigation, we anticipate that our findings will prompt a blend of amusement and contemplation among peers in the scientific community.
The implications of our inquiry extend beyond mere academic curiosity; they beckon us to reimagine the intersections between sustainability and sensational eating feats. As we delve into the statistical nuances and tease out the correlations, we invite our readers to embark on this scholarly escapade with us, eager to uncover the savory secrets and bun-believable connections that await within the annals of empirical investigation.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The statistical analysis of the relationship between geothermal power generation in Portugal and the hotdog consumption by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion yielded some truly fascinating results. Our research uncovered a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9438854, indicating a strong positive association between these seemingly incongruous variables. The r-squared value of 0.8909196 further underscored the robustness of this correlation, evidencing a substantial proportion of the variability in hotdog consumption being explained by geothermal power generation. Furthermore, with a p-value of < 0.01, we can assert with confidence that this correlation is not a mere fluke, but a genuinely significant finding.

In Figure 1, the scatterplot visually represents the compelling correlation between geothermal power generation in Portugal and the hotdog consumption by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. The tight clustering of data points around a positively sloped trendline vividly illustrates the strong relationship between the two variables. One could almost say it's as comforting as a warm bun snugly cradling a sizzling hotdog – a correlation that's as enticing as the aroma of a hotdog stand on a summer day at the beach.

It is important to emphasize that while correlation does not imply causation, the strength of the association discovered in this study invites further exploration into the underlying mechanisms driving this unlikely connection. The implications for sustainable energy and the world of competitive eating are nothing short of mouth-watering, perhaps paving the way for a new era of "green" gastronomic achievements. Just imagine a world where hotdog-eating champions are fueled not just by passion and mustard but also by the earth's natural heat – truly a feast for the imagination!

The uncanny relationship unveiled in this investigation challenges traditional boundaries of scientific inquiry, reminding us that sometimes the most unexpected connections can yield the most illuminating insights. As we savor the implications of these findings, we encourage our peers and the broader scientific community to join us in pondering these unexpected interconnections and embracing the delightful mysteries that lie at the intersection of alternative energy and competitive eating.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Geothermal power generated in Portugal and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Bun-believable Connections: Unveiling the Correlation Between Geothermal Power in Portugal and Hotdog Consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

[[ABSTRACT]]
The intricacies of human behavior and the environment continue to captivate researchers across disciplines. This study delves into the perplexing relationship between geothermal power generated in Portugal and the hotdog consumption patterns of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Drawing on data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, our research team rigorously analyzed the trends spanning from 1980 to 2021. The findings reveal a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9438854, with a significance level of p < 0.01, highlighting a compelling association that may prompt both mirth and contemplation within the scientific community. As we progress toward a deeper understanding of these seemingly incongruous elements, this investigation paves the way for further exploration into the unforeseen interplay between alternative energy sources and culinary triumphs.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
The burgeoning field of interdisciplinary research has paved the way for a wide array of curious investigations, among them being the correlation between geothermal power in Portugal and the hotdog consumption patterns of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Smith et al. (2015) examined the economic implications of geothermal power production, shedding light on its potential impact on national energy independence. Similarly, Doe and Jones (2018) meticulously scrutinized the dietary habits of competitive eaters, unraveling the physiological and psychological underpinnings of their extraordinary feats.
Turning to more specialized sources, "Geothermal Energy: An Overview" by Renewable Resources Research Institute thoroughly expounds upon the technological advancements and environmental implications of geothermal energy extraction (Johnson, 2017). Furthermore, "The Science of Competitive Eating" by Culinary Studies Institute delves into the biomechanics and gastronomic strategies employed by professional eaters to conquer staggering quantities of food within constrained timeframes (Brown, 2019).
In the realm of fiction that tangentially relates to this peculiar inquiry, one cannot overlook the classic novel "The Hot Zone" by Richard Preston, although unfortunately, its content pertains to something entirely unrelated – the terrifying outbreak of a deadly virus. On a lighter note, the whimsical tale of "The Curious Case of the Correlation Conundrum" by J.K. Rowland simulates an academic investigation into inexplicable connections, albeit in the realm of magical realism.
In the spirit of unconventional scholarly pursuits, it is worth noting that this literature review was also informally guided by a thorough perusal of supermarket receipts, fortune cookie fortunes, and the cryptic prophecies of Magic 8-Balls. While these unconventional sources failed to yield substantial empirical evidence, they did reinforce the importance of maintaining a sense of humor and whimsy in the rigorous pursuit of knowledge.
As we navigate through this scholarly labyrinth, the authors remain committed to upholding the highest standards of empirical inquiry, all while indulging in the occasional hotdog – strictly for research purposes, of course. With an eye toward unraveling the secrets of the universe, we march forth with unwavering determination and a healthy dose of skepticism.

[[RESULTS]]
The statistical analysis of the relationship between geothermal power generation in Portugal and the hotdog consumption by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion yielded some truly fascinating results. Our research uncovered a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9438854, indicating a strong positive association between these seemingly incongruous variables. The r-squared value of 0.8909196 further underscored the robustness of this correlation, evidencing a substantial proportion of the variability in hotdog consumption being explained by geothermal power generation. Furthermore, with a p-value of < 0.01, we can assert with confidence that this correlation is not a mere fluke, but a genuinely significant finding.
In Figure 1, the scatterplot visually represents the compelling correlation between geothermal power generation in Portugal and the hotdog consumption by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. The tight clustering of data points around a positively sloped trendline vividly illustrates the strong relationship between the two variables. One could almost say it's as comforting as a warm bun snugly cradling a sizzling hotdog – a correlation that's as enticing as the aroma of a hotdog stand on a summer day at the beach.
It is important to emphasize that while correlation does not imply causation, the strength of the association discovered in this study invites further exploration into the underlying mechanisms driving this unlikely connection. The implications for sustainable energy and the world of competitive eating are nothing short of mouth-watering, perhaps paving the way for a new era of "green" gastronomic achievements. Just imagine a world where hotdog-eating champions are fueled not just by passion and mustard but also by the earth's natural heat – truly a feast for the imagination!
The uncanny relationship unveiled in this investigation challenges traditional boundaries of scientific inquiry, reminding us that sometimes the most unexpected connections can yield the most illuminating insights. As we savor the implications of these findings, we encourage our peers and the broader scientific community to join us in pondering these unexpected interconnections and embracing the delightful mysteries that lie at the intersection of alternative energy and competitive eating.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The enthralling confluence of gastronomic triumph and geothermal prowess has captivated scientists and laypersons alike for decades, and our study serves as a beacon of enlightenment in this uncharted territory. The robust correlation coefficient of 0.9438854 unearthed in our analysis aligns with the groundwork laid by previous researchers, such as Smith et al. (2015) and Doe and Jones (2018), who laid bare the consequences of geothermal power production and the dietary habits of competitive eaters, respectively. While the correlation may seem as unlikely as finding a pickle in a haystack, the statistical significance of our findings indicates a compelling relationship that cannot be dismissed as mere happenstance. Our results not only affirm but also amplify the curious ideas put forth in our literature review – ideas so outlandish they almost seem as improbable as finding a vegan hotdog at a Texas barbecue.

As we bask in the glow of these revelatory findings, it is prudent to acknowledge that correlation does not imply causation, lest we fall into the abyss of unwarranted assumptions like a wayward wiener tumbling off the grill. However, the exceptional magnitude of the correlation and the tantalizing implications it elicits warrant further exploration. Could it be that the earth's simmering thermal energy exerts an unseen influence on the culinary feats of competitive eaters, propelling them to consume hotdogs at a pace that defies conventional wisdom? Or perhaps the competitive eater's exuberant consumption sends ripples through the earth, stirring the volcanic depths of geothermal reservoirs? The possibilities are as diverse and abundant as condiments at a hotdog topping bar.

Our study not only upholds the tradition of rigorous empirical inquiry but also pays homage to the art of indulging in the quirks and curiosities that dance at the fringes of scholarly endeavor. Just as competitive eaters push the boundaries of human capacity, we, too, push the boundaries of scientific exploration while maintaining a lighthearted reverence for the unexpected and the delightful. As we embrace the whimsy of this inquiry, we extend an invitation to fellow researchers and aficionados of culinary and geologic marvels to join us in this intellectual feast. For it is at the intersection of geothermal power and hotdog consumption that the mysteries of both nature and nurture converge, leaving us to savor the unexplored flavors of this captivating union.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Geothermal power generated in Portugal and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Bun-believable Connections: Unveiling the Correlation Between Geothermal Power in Portugal and Hotdog Consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

[[ABSTRACT]]
The intricacies of human behavior and the environment continue to captivate researchers across disciplines. This study delves into the perplexing relationship between geothermal power generated in Portugal and the hotdog consumption patterns of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Drawing on data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, our research team rigorously analyzed the trends spanning from 1980 to 2021. The findings reveal a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9438854, with a significance level of p < 0.01, highlighting a compelling association that may prompt both mirth and contemplation within the scientific community. As we progress toward a deeper understanding of these seemingly incongruous elements, this investigation paves the way for further exploration into the unforeseen interplay between alternative energy sources and culinary triumphs.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The interconnectedness of seemingly disparate phenomena has long been a source of fascination for researchers. In this vein, our study embarks on a quest to unravel the enigmatic correlation between geothermal power production in Portugal and the consumption of hotdogs by the illustrious Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. While this curious pursuit may raise a few eyebrows, it is precisely such unorthodox investigations that invigorate the scientific landscape and lend a touch of whimsy to the realm of empirical inquiry.
As the global pursuit of sustainable energy sources gains momentum, geothermal power has emerged as a hot topic – pardon the pun – within the field of renewable energy. Portugal, in particular, has made noteworthy strides in harnessing the Earth's natural heat for electricity generation, positioning itself as a noteworthy player in the geothermal energy arena. Simultaneously, the world of competitive eating has garnered attention for its larger-than-life personalities and, in the case of hotdog consumption, its larger-than-life quantities ingested. At the apex of this gastronomic prowess resides the iconic Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, an event that commands both awe and incredulity from spectators worldwide.
While it may initially seem far-fetched to posit a connection between these two spheres, our scrutiny of the data underscores the potential for meaningful associations. By employing sophisticated statistical methods and drawing upon a robust dataset spanning four decades, we intend to explicate the heretofore unexplored ties between geothermal power and the consumptive habits of a competitive hotdog eater. Given the mirthful intrigue inherent to this investigation, we anticipate that our findings will prompt a blend of amusement and contemplation among peers in the scientific community.
The implications of our inquiry extend beyond mere academic curiosity; they beckon us to reimagine the intersections between sustainability and sensational eating feats. As we delve into the statistical nuances and tease out the correlations, we invite our readers to embark on this scholarly escapade with us, eager to uncover the savory secrets and bun-believable connections that await within the annals of empirical investigation.

[[RESULTS]]
The statistical analysis of the relationship between geothermal power generation in Portugal and the hotdog consumption by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion yielded some truly fascinating results. Our research uncovered a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9438854, indicating a strong positive association between these seemingly incongruous variables. The r-squared value of 0.8909196 further underscored the robustness of this correlation, evidencing a substantial proportion of the variability in hotdog consumption being explained by geothermal power generation. Furthermore, with a p-value of < 0.01, we can assert with confidence that this correlation is not a mere fluke, but a genuinely significant finding.
In Figure 1, the scatterplot visually represents the compelling correlation between geothermal power generation in Portugal and the hotdog consumption by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. The tight clustering of data points around a positively sloped trendline vividly illustrates the strong relationship between the two variables. One could almost say it's as comforting as a warm bun snugly cradling a sizzling hotdog – a correlation that's as enticing as the aroma of a hotdog stand on a summer day at the beach.
It is important to emphasize that while correlation does not imply causation, the strength of the association discovered in this study invites further exploration into the underlying mechanisms driving this unlikely connection. The implications for sustainable energy and the world of competitive eating are nothing short of mouth-watering, perhaps paving the way for a new era of "green" gastronomic achievements. Just imagine a world where hotdog-eating champions are fueled not just by passion and mustard but also by the earth's natural heat – truly a feast for the imagination!
The uncanny relationship unveiled in this investigation challenges traditional boundaries of scientific inquiry, reminding us that sometimes the most unexpected connections can yield the most illuminating insights. As we savor the implications of these findings, we encourage our peers and the broader scientific community to join us in pondering these unexpected interconnections and embracing the delightful mysteries that lie at the intersection of alternative energy and competitive eating.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, this study has unveiled a tantalizing correlation between geothermal power production in Portugal and hotdog consumption by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. The robust statistical findings, with a correlation coefficient of 0.9438854 and a p-value of < 0.01, point to an intriguing relationship that is as captivating as a competitive eater's victory dance.

The implications of this discovery extend beyond the confines of conventional research inquiries and beckon us to contemplate the uncharted realms of environmental sustainability and epicurean triumphs. Perhaps the energy harnessed from beneath the Earth's crust has secretly been fueling the remarkable feats of hotdog consumption, adding a literal twist to the concept of "sustainable eating."

As we relish the amusing and thought-provoking nature of these findings, we are compelled to acknowledge the serendipitous connections that permeate the fabric of our existence. Sometimes, it is in the most unexpected junctions that we find the crux of intricate interplays – much like uncovering a secret ingredient in an age-old recipe.

In light of these revelatory findings, it is evident that the arcane web of connections between geothermal power and competitive hotdog consumption merits further examination and scholarly contemplation. However, with all due respect to the academic pursuit, we boldly assert that no additional research in this area is required. For now, let us savor the enigmatic bond between geothermal power and hotdog consumption, content with the knowledge that, indeed, truth can be weirder than fiction.

I mean, who would have thought that underneath the Earth's surface lay the not-so-secret sauce to hotdog-eating prowess? But alas, the data speaks for itself - the connection is as real as the toppings on a loaded hotdog!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Bun-believable Connections: Unveiling the Correlation Between Geothermal Power in Portugal and Hotdog Consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

Journal of Culinary Energy Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Bun-believable Connections: Unveiling the Correlation Between Geothermal Power in Portugal and Hotdog Consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Association for Quirky Studies and Eccentric Research


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Bun-believable Connections: Unveiling the Correlation Between Geothermal Power in Portugal and Hotdog Consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion with an abstract of The intricacies of human behavior and the environment continue to captivate researchers across disciplines. This study delves into the perplexing relationship between geothermal power generated in Portugal and the hotdog consumption patterns of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Drawing on data from the Energy Information Administration and Wikipedia, our research team rigorously analyzed the trends spanning from 1980 to 2021. The findings reveal a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9438854, with a significance level of p < 0.01, highlighting a compelling association that may prompt both mirth and contemplation within the scientific community. As we progress toward a deeper understanding of these seemingly incongruous elements, this investigation paves the way for further exploration into the unforeseen interplay between alternative energy sources and culinary triumphs.

ChatGPT:

geothermal power Portugal, hotdog consumption trends, Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, correlation study, alternative energy consumption, culinary consumption patterns

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Geothermal power generated in Portugal
Detailed data title: Total geothermal power generated in Portugal in billion kWh
Source: Energy Information Administration
See what else correlates with Geothermal power generated in Portugal

Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion
Detailed data title: Hotdog Consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion
Source: Wikipedia
See what else correlates with Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

Correlation r = 0.9438854 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.8909196 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 89.1% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Geothermal power generated in Portugal) over the 42 years from 1980 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 7.5E-21. 0.0000000000000000000075327887
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.94 in 7.5E-19% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 132,752,960,400,973,414,400 random variables You don't actually need 132 quintillion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 41 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 41 because we have two variables measured over a period of 42 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.9, 0.97 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
Geothermal power generated in Portugal (Billion kWh)0.0010000.0030.0040.0020.0010.00200.0040.0050.0050.0040.0330.0420.0490.0510.0580.080.080.1050.0960.090.0840.0710.0850.2010.1920.1840.1970.210.1460.1970.2050.2040.1720.2170.230.2150.2170.178
Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion (Hotdogs eaten)9.5111110.59.511.7515.513.51015.51621.519172019.522.2524.51920.25255050.544.553.334953.75665968546268696162707274717576




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([0.001,0,0,0,0.003,0.004,0.002,0.001,0.002,0,0.004,0.005,0.005,0.004,0.033,0.042,0.049,0.051,0.058,0.08,0.08,0.105,0.096,0.09,0.084,0.071,0.085,0.201,0.192,0.184,0.197,0.21,0.146,0.197,0.205,0.204,0.172,0.217,0.23,0.215,0.217,0.178,])
array_2 = np.array([9.5,11,11,10.5,9.5,11.75,15.5,13.5,10,15.5,16,21.5,19,17,20,19.5,22.25,24.5,19,20.25,25,50,50.5,44.5,53.33,49,53.75,66,59,68,54,62,68,69,61,62,70,72,74,71,75,76,])
array_1_name = "Geothermal power generated in Portugal"
array_2_name = "Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

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Correlation ID: 1284 · Black Variable ID: 23907 · Red Variable ID: 500
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