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Spurious correlation #5,664 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Air pollution in Rockford, Illinois and the second variable is Google searches for 'ice bath'.  The chart goes from 2004 to 2023, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

Breathing in the dirty air prompted residents to seek out a refreshing ice bath experience for some much-needed relief from the environmental ills. Remember, when the going gets tough, the tough take icy baths!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image of Rockford, Illinois' city skyline shrouded in a hazy cloud of air pollution. Show cars emitting exhaust, and smokestacks billowing out pollutants against the backdrop. People should be searching on Google for "ice bath" as a way to find relief, depicted by individuals on their smartphones. Some people should be dipping into cold, refreshing ice baths, seeking respite from the environmental ills and cooling off from the city's polluted air. Capture the contrast between the pollution and the people seeking relief. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Air pollution in Rockford, Illinois and Google searches for 'ice bath'. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: A TIME magazine cover image a meme Art nouveau A TIME magazine cover image a funny image you would see on reddit
ChatGPT: A TIME magazine cover image

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Air pollution in Rockford, Illinois and Google searches for 'ice bath', in the following situation: Breathing in the dirty air prompted residents to seek out a refreshing ice bath experience for some much-needed relief from the environmental ills. Remember, when the going gets tough, the tough take icy baths!. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In Rockford, Illinois, the city skyline is shrouded in a hazy cloud of air pollution, with cars emitting exhaust and smokestacks billowing out pollutants. Against this backdrop, people are seen searching on Google for "ice bath" as a way to find relief from the oppressive pollution. Some are pictured dipping into cold, refreshing ice baths, seeking respite from the environmental ills and cooling off from the city's polluted air.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ A TIME magazine cover image ] and depicting this scene: In Rockford, Illinois, the city skyline is shrouded in a hazy cloud of air pollution, with cars emitting exhaust and smokestacks billowing out pollutants. Against this backdrop, people are seen searching on Google for "ice bath" as a way to find relief from the oppressive pollution. Some are pictured dipping into cold, refreshing ice baths, seeking respite from the environmental ills and cooling off from the city's polluted air. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image of Rockford, Illinois' city skyline shrouded in a hazy cloud of air pollution. Show cars emitting exhaust, and smokestacks billowing out pollutants against the backdrop. People should be searching on Google for "ice bath" as a way to find relief, depicted by individuals on their smartphones. Some people should be dipping into cold, refreshing ice baths, seeking respite from the environmental ills and cooling off from the city's polluted air. Capture the contrast between the pollution and the people seeking relief.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Air pollution in Rockford, Illinois caused ice bath (Google searches for 'ice bath') to increase. Add a funny one-liner at the end.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Chilling Connections: Unveiling the Relationship Between Air Pollution in Rockford, Illinois and the Piquant Pursuit of Ice Baths

The Journal of Eclectic Environmental Health Research

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Rockford, Illinois and Google searches for 'ice bath'. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title a clever pun.

Your research team used data from Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.8824011 and p < 0.01 for 2004 to 2023.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
Chilling Connections: Unveiling the Relationship Between Air Pollution in Rockford, Illinois and the Piquant Pursuit of Ice Baths

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the esoteric relationship between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath' over the years 2004 to 2023. Leveraging data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, we uncovered a tantalizing correlation coefficient of 0.8824011 and p < 0.01, suggesting a robust statistical link between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Our findings provoke contemplation on the potential underpinning motivations behind these queries, which may range from individuals seeking respite from the metaphorical smog of life to the tireless pursuit of physical recovery amidst environmental challenges. This study underscores the quirky, multifaceted nature of human behavior in response to environmental stressors, offering insight into the idiosyncratic avenues through which individuals navigate the complexities of urban living.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Rockford, Illinois and Google searches for 'ice bath'. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Chilling Connections: Unveiling the Relationship Between Air Pollution in Rockford, Illinois and the Piquant Pursuit of Ice Baths

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the esoteric relationship between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath' over the years 2004 to 2023. Leveraging data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, we uncovered a tantalizing correlation coefficient of 0.8824011 and p < 0.01, suggesting a robust statistical link between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Our findings provoke contemplation on the potential underpinning motivations behind these queries, which may range from individuals seeking respite from the metaphorical smog of life to the tireless pursuit of physical recovery amidst environmental challenges. This study underscores the quirky, multifaceted nature of human behavior in response to environmental stressors, offering insight into the idiosyncratic avenues through which individuals navigate the complexities of urban living.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

The pursuit of understanding the subtle and unexpected connections in the world often leads researchers down uncharted paths, where the intertwining of seemingly disparate elements yields intriguing revelations. In the realm of environmental and public health research, efforts have traditionally focused on discerning direct relationships between air pollution and its impact on respiratory health outcomes, cardiovascular diseases, or even economic indicators. However, delving into the less explored realms of human behavior and Google search trends may offer unique insights into the idiosyncratic responses to environmental stressors and the unanticipated facets of urban living.

In this study, we embark on a captivating exploration into the curious relationship between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath'. While the initial juxtaposition of these variables may elicit a quizzical expression, our rigorous analysis aims to reveal the enchanting interplay between atmospheric quality and the virtual quest for an invigorating plunge into icy waters. As we delve into the labyrinthine avenues of statistical analysis and data visualization, we unravel a tapestry of correlations that extends beyond traditional environmental health paradigms and into the realm of human behavior under environmental duress.

The city of Rockford, nestled among the verdant landscapes of Illinois, presents an ideal backdrop for our inquiry, as it grapples with the perennial challenge of air pollution amid its urban sprawl. Against this backdrop, the circulation and accumulation of pollutants in the atmosphere may wield subtle influences on the populace, prompting introspective searches for unconventional palliatives, such as the enigmatic allure of the ice bath. Our study extols the virtues of leveraging Google search data as a portal into the collective consciousness, unveiling the intangible motivations that propel individuals to seek solace in unconventional remedies amidst the mundanity of everyday environmental stressors.

As we embark on this scholarly odyssey, we invite the reader to cast aside preconceived notions and embark on a journey of whimsical contemplation, where the staid world of pollution and public health intersects with the esoteric pursuit of icy rejuvenation. With statistical rigor as our compass and a playful spirit as our guide, we aim to unearth the subtleties of human response to environmental challenges and the intriguing dynamics that underlie our quest for equilibrium in the face of environmental adversities. Join us as we venture into the inimitable world of 'chilling connections', where the frosty embrace of statistical analysis meets the enigmatic allure of Google search trends in a quest for scholarly enlightenment.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Rockford, Illinois and Google searches for 'ice bath'. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name some movies that you watched that are tangentially related to the topic.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Chilling Connections: Unveiling the Relationship Between Air Pollution in Rockford, Illinois and the Piquant Pursuit of Ice Baths

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the esoteric relationship between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath' over the years 2004 to 2023. Leveraging data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, we uncovered a tantalizing correlation coefficient of 0.8824011 and p < 0.01, suggesting a robust statistical link between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Our findings provoke contemplation on the potential underpinning motivations behind these queries, which may range from individuals seeking respite from the metaphorical smog of life to the tireless pursuit of physical recovery amidst environmental challenges. This study underscores the quirky, multifaceted nature of human behavior in response to environmental stressors, offering insight into the idiosyncratic avenues through which individuals navigate the complexities of urban living.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The pursuit of understanding the subtle and unexpected connections in the world often leads researchers down uncharted paths, where the intertwining of seemingly disparate elements yields intriguing revelations. In the realm of environmental and public health research, efforts have traditionally focused on discerning direct relationships between air pollution and its impact on respiratory health outcomes, cardiovascular diseases, or even economic indicators. However, delving into the less explored realms of human behavior and Google search trends may offer unique insights into the idiosyncratic responses to environmental stressors and the unanticipated facets of urban living.
In this study, we embark on a captivating exploration into the curious relationship between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath'. While the initial juxtaposition of these variables may elicit a quizzical expression, our rigorous analysis aims to reveal the enchanting interplay between atmospheric quality and the virtual quest for an invigorating plunge into icy waters. As we delve into the labyrinthine avenues of statistical analysis and data visualization, we unravel a tapestry of correlations that extends beyond traditional environmental health paradigms and into the realm of human behavior under environmental duress.
The city of Rockford, nestled among the verdant landscapes of Illinois, presents an ideal backdrop for our inquiry, as it grapples with the perennial challenge of air pollution amid its urban sprawl. Against this backdrop, the circulation and accumulation of pollutants in the atmosphere may wield subtle influences on the populace, prompting introspective searches for unconventional palliatives, such as the enigmatic allure of the ice bath. Our study extols the virtues of leveraging Google search data as a portal into the collective consciousness, unveiling the intangible motivations that propel individuals to seek solace in unconventional remedies amidst the mundanity of everyday environmental stressors.
As we embark on this scholarly odyssey, we invite the reader to cast aside preconceived notions and embark on a journey of whimsical contemplation, where the staid world of pollution and public health intersects with the esoteric pursuit of icy rejuvenation. With statistical rigor as our compass and a playful spirit as our guide, we aim to unearth the subtleties of human response to environmental challenges and the intriguing dynamics that underlie our quest for equilibrium in the face of environmental adversities. Join us as we venture into the inimitable world of 'chilling connections', where the frosty embrace of statistical analysis meets the enigmatic allure of Google search trends in a quest for scholarly enlightenment.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

Efforts to unravel the enigmatic relationship between air pollution and seemingly incongruous human behaviors have led researchers down a labyrinthine path, where the convergence of environmental stressors and idiosyncratic responses creates a beguiling tableau. In the seminal work of Smith et al., a comprehensive analysis of the impact of air pollution on respiratory health outcomes offers a foundational understanding of the direct physiological effects of environmental contaminants. Similarly, Doe's investigation into the economic ramifications of air quality provides a cogent exploration of the tangible repercussions of atmospheric pollution on societal well-being. Building upon this bedrock of research, Jones et al. delve into the multidimensional facets of urban living, illuminating the complex interplay between environmental stressors and human behavior.

Turning our attention to the world of literature, "The Air We Breathe" by Julia Mason provides a compelling narrative that intertwines the struggles of individuals in polluted urban landscapes with their quest for unexpected remedies. In a similar vein, "Bathing in Fresh Air" by Thomas Green underscores the timeless allure of rejuvenation amidst environmental challenges, offering poignant insights into the human psyche in the face of atmospheric adversity.

As we tiptoe into the realm of fiction, "Ice Bath Chronicles" by A. Winter offers a whimsical portrayal of individuals embarking on soul-searching journeys that lead them to the unconventional refuge of ice baths. In a parallel dimension, "Misty Mornings and Icy Plunges" by S. Frost invites readers to immerse themselves in the metaphysical world of chilly introspection, where the icy realms of environmental stress intersect with the warmth of human resilience.

Unexpectedly, tangential insights into the intertwining of urban living and personal rejuvenation emerge from cinematic masterpieces. The cinematic portrayal of urban life and environmental challenges in "City of Mist" provides a tantalizing glimpse into the enigmatic motivations that propel individuals to seek solace amidst the ebb and flow of atmospheric whims. Furthermore, "Frozen Reveries" depicts the intertwining of environmental perils and the human quest for solace, offering a provocative window into the complexities of urban living.

Amidst the scholarly musings and literary escapades, this eclectic tapestry of investigations conveys the multifaceted nature of human response to environmental stressors and the quirky nuances that underpin our pursuit of equilibrium in the face of atmospheric tribulations.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Rockford, Illinois and Google searches for 'ice bath'. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends . You used data from 2004 to 2023

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Chilling Connections: Unveiling the Relationship Between Air Pollution in Rockford, Illinois and the Piquant Pursuit of Ice Baths

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the esoteric relationship between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath' over the years 2004 to 2023. Leveraging data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, we uncovered a tantalizing correlation coefficient of 0.8824011 and p < 0.01, suggesting a robust statistical link between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Our findings provoke contemplation on the potential underpinning motivations behind these queries, which may range from individuals seeking respite from the metaphorical smog of life to the tireless pursuit of physical recovery amidst environmental challenges. This study underscores the quirky, multifaceted nature of human behavior in response to environmental stressors, offering insight into the idiosyncratic avenues through which individuals navigate the complexities of urban living.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
The pursuit of understanding the subtle and unexpected connections in the world often leads researchers down uncharted paths, where the intertwining of seemingly disparate elements yields intriguing revelations. In the realm of environmental and public health research, efforts have traditionally focused on discerning direct relationships between air pollution and its impact on respiratory health outcomes, cardiovascular diseases, or even economic indicators. However, delving into the less explored realms of human behavior and Google search trends may offer unique insights into the idiosyncratic responses to environmental stressors and the unanticipated facets of urban living.
In this study, we embark on a captivating exploration into the curious relationship between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath'. While the initial juxtaposition of these variables may elicit a quizzical expression, our rigorous analysis aims to reveal the enchanting interplay between atmospheric quality and the virtual quest for an invigorating plunge into icy waters. As we delve into the labyrinthine avenues of statistical analysis and data visualization, we unravel a tapestry of correlations that extends beyond traditional environmental health paradigms and into the realm of human behavior under environmental duress.
The city of Rockford, nestled among the verdant landscapes of Illinois, presents an ideal backdrop for our inquiry, as it grapples with the perennial challenge of air pollution amid its urban sprawl. Against this backdrop, the circulation and accumulation of pollutants in the atmosphere may wield subtle influences on the populace, prompting introspective searches for unconventional palliatives, such as the enigmatic allure of the ice bath. Our study extols the virtues of leveraging Google search data as a portal into the collective consciousness, unveiling the intangible motivations that propel individuals to seek solace in unconventional remedies amidst the mundanity of everyday environmental stressors.
As we embark on this scholarly odyssey, we invite the reader to cast aside preconceived notions and embark on a journey of whimsical contemplation, where the staid world of pollution and public health intersects with the esoteric pursuit of icy rejuvenation. With statistical rigor as our compass and a playful spirit as our guide, we aim to unearth the subtleties of human response to environmental challenges and the intriguing dynamics that underlie our quest for equilibrium in the face of environmental adversities. Join us as we venture into the inimitable world of 'chilling connections', where the frosty embrace of statistical analysis meets the enigmatic allure of Google search trends in a quest for scholarly enlightenment.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

In this section, we elucidate the methodology deployed to investigate the peculiar correlation between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath'. Our approach encompassed a multifaceted analysis spanning environmental data collection, statistical modeling, and exploratory data analysis, albeit with a few unexpected detours and comical twists along the way.

**Data Collection and Preprocessing:**
The environmental data on air pollution in Rockford, Illinois was sourced from the venerable repository of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), providing an extensive temporal coverage spanning the years 2004 to 2023. The air quality parameters encompassed a smorgasbord of pollutants, including particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and carbon monoxide (CO). These datasets formed the bedrock of our inquiry into the effect of air pollution on the communal psyche and the enigmatic allure of the ice bath.

Leveraging the expansive breadth of Google Trends data, we delved into the virtual domain to unearth the nuanced patterns of 'ice bath' searches, traversing through peaks and troughs that mirrored not just the seasonal changes, but also the inexplicable ebbs and flows of the human zeitgeist. The Google search trends data provided a compelling glimpse into the virtual idiosyncrasies of individuals seeking reprieve from the terrestrial shackles of pollution through an inscrutable quest for icy immersion.

**Econometric and Statistical Analysis:**
To unravel the enigmatic relationship between air pollution levels and 'ice bath' searches, we wielded a formidable arsenal of statistical methods, including time series analysis, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models, and generalized additive models (GAMs). Our endeavor to synthesize these disparate elements into a cohesive narrative was akin to orchestrating a symphony with the idiosyncratic notes of environmental pollutants and the crescendo of virtual yearning for icy tranquility.

The cornerstone of our analysis lay in the computation of correlation coefficients, unveiling tantalizing insights into the synchrony between air pollution dynamics and the virtual pursuit of icy respite. With p-values that gleamed like the frost-kissed morning dew, our statistical inferences illumined the unanticipated parallels between environmental adversity and the virtual escapade into the bracing embrace of an ice bath.

**Time Series Visualization and Geographic Mapping:**
Venturing into the labyrinthine realm of data visualization, we conjured captivating time series plots that metamorphosed the temporal oscillations of air pollution into a visual mosaic, intertwining with the undulating quest for 'ice bath' sanctuaries. The geographic mapping of air pollution hotspots and the spatial distribution of 'ice bath' searches invoked an animated cartographic dance, elucidating the spatial-temporal choreography of our findings amidst whimsical interludes of serendipitous discovery.

In keeping with the spirit of our inquiry, we delved into the nuanced landscape of spatial autocorrelation, uncovering the veritable echoes of environmental perturbations in the virtual realm, where the pixelated contours of digital yearning echoed the ethereal reverberations of atmospheric turmoil.

In summary, our methodology encapsulated a dexterous interplay of conventional statistical analyses and whimsical forays into the serendipitous, unveiling the capricious connections between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the tantalizing allure of the 'ice bath' within the virtual corridors of Google search trends.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Rockford, Illinois and Google searches for 'ice bath'. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends .

For the time period 2004 to 2023, you found a correlation 0.8824011, r-squared of 0.7786317, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Chilling Connections: Unveiling the Relationship Between Air Pollution in Rockford, Illinois and the Piquant Pursuit of Ice Baths

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the esoteric relationship between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath' over the years 2004 to 2023. Leveraging data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, we uncovered a tantalizing correlation coefficient of 0.8824011 and p < 0.01, suggesting a robust statistical link between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Our findings provoke contemplation on the potential underpinning motivations behind these queries, which may range from individuals seeking respite from the metaphorical smog of life to the tireless pursuit of physical recovery amidst environmental challenges. This study underscores the quirky, multifaceted nature of human behavior in response to environmental stressors, offering insight into the idiosyncratic avenues through which individuals navigate the complexities of urban living.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
The pursuit of understanding the subtle and unexpected connections in the world often leads researchers down uncharted paths, where the intertwining of seemingly disparate elements yields intriguing revelations. In the realm of environmental and public health research, efforts have traditionally focused on discerning direct relationships between air pollution and its impact on respiratory health outcomes, cardiovascular diseases, or even economic indicators. However, delving into the less explored realms of human behavior and Google search trends may offer unique insights into the idiosyncratic responses to environmental stressors and the unanticipated facets of urban living.
In this study, we embark on a captivating exploration into the curious relationship between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath'. While the initial juxtaposition of these variables may elicit a quizzical expression, our rigorous analysis aims to reveal the enchanting interplay between atmospheric quality and the virtual quest for an invigorating plunge into icy waters. As we delve into the labyrinthine avenues of statistical analysis and data visualization, we unravel a tapestry of correlations that extends beyond traditional environmental health paradigms and into the realm of human behavior under environmental duress.
The city of Rockford, nestled among the verdant landscapes of Illinois, presents an ideal backdrop for our inquiry, as it grapples with the perennial challenge of air pollution amid its urban sprawl. Against this backdrop, the circulation and accumulation of pollutants in the atmosphere may wield subtle influences on the populace, prompting introspective searches for unconventional palliatives, such as the enigmatic allure of the ice bath. Our study extols the virtues of leveraging Google search data as a portal into the collective consciousness, unveiling the intangible motivations that propel individuals to seek solace in unconventional remedies amidst the mundanity of everyday environmental stressors.
As we embark on this scholarly odyssey, we invite the reader to cast aside preconceived notions and embark on a journey of whimsical contemplation, where the staid world of pollution and public health intersects with the esoteric pursuit of icy rejuvenation. With statistical rigor as our compass and a playful spirit as our guide, we aim to unearth the subtleties of human response to environmental challenges and the intriguing dynamics that underlie our quest for equilibrium in the face of environmental adversities. Join us as we venture into the inimitable world of 'chilling connections', where the frosty embrace of statistical analysis meets the enigmatic allure of Google search trends in a quest for scholarly enlightenment.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the data collected over the period 2004 to 2023 revealed a commendable correlation coefficient of 0.8824011 between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath'. This substantial correlation indicates a strong relationship between these two variables, with an r-squared value of 0.7786317, signifying that approximately 77.86% of the variability in the frequency of 'ice bath' searches can be attributed to the fluctuations in air pollution levels. Furthermore, the p-value of less than 0.01 reinforces the statistical significance of this association, underscoring the robustness of the observed connection.

Figure 1 visually encapsulates this compelling correlation, portraying a scatterplot that incisively illustrates the marked concordance between air pollution levels and the prevalence of 'ice bath' searches. The tightly clustered data points coalesce to form a discernible pattern, affirming the vibrant relationship between these seemingly incongruous variables. The figure invites contemplation on the underlying motivations driving these searches, evoking a tapestry of interpretations that oscillate between the earnest pursuit of physical rejuvenation and the metaphorical yearning for respite amidst environmental adversities.

The robustness of the correlation we observed underscores the multi-faceted nature of human responses to environmental stressors, offering a nuanced lens through which to decipher the entwined dynamics of urban living and the unconventional pursuit of solace. This unanticipated nexus between air pollution and the virtual quest for invigorating reprieve in the form of 'ice bath' searches resonates with the whimsical intricacies of human behavior, elevating the scholarly exploration of environmental influences on virtual probing to a beguiling enigma that beckons further scrutiny.

These revelatory findings beckon an inquisitive gaze into the idiosyncratic responses to environmental stressors, unearthing the distinctive ways in which individuals navigate the complexities of contemporary urban existence. As we unravel these chilling connections, we are reminded of the latent whimsy interwoven into the fabric of statistical inquiry, enkindling a fervent curiosity in the interplay between the banalities of air pollution and the piquant pursuit of ice baths.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Rockford, Illinois and Google searches for 'ice bath'. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Chilling Connections: Unveiling the Relationship Between Air Pollution in Rockford, Illinois and the Piquant Pursuit of Ice Baths

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the esoteric relationship between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath' over the years 2004 to 2023. Leveraging data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, we uncovered a tantalizing correlation coefficient of 0.8824011 and p < 0.01, suggesting a robust statistical link between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Our findings provoke contemplation on the potential underpinning motivations behind these queries, which may range from individuals seeking respite from the metaphorical smog of life to the tireless pursuit of physical recovery amidst environmental challenges. This study underscores the quirky, multifaceted nature of human behavior in response to environmental stressors, offering insight into the idiosyncratic avenues through which individuals navigate the complexities of urban living.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
Efforts to unravel the enigmatic relationship between air pollution and seemingly incongruous human behaviors have led researchers down a labyrinthine path, where the convergence of environmental stressors and idiosyncratic responses creates a beguiling tableau. In the seminal work of Smith et al., a comprehensive analysis of the impact of air pollution on respiratory health outcomes offers a foundational understanding of the direct physiological effects of environmental contaminants. Similarly, Doe's investigation into the economic ramifications of air quality provides a cogent exploration of the tangible repercussions of atmospheric pollution on societal well-being. Building upon this bedrock of research, Jones et al. delve into the multidimensional facets of urban living, illuminating the complex interplay between environmental stressors and human behavior.
Turning our attention to the world of literature, "The Air We Breathe" by Julia Mason provides a compelling narrative that intertwines the struggles of individuals in polluted urban landscapes with their quest for unexpected remedies. In a similar vein, "Bathing in Fresh Air" by Thomas Green underscores the timeless allure of rejuvenation amidst environmental challenges, offering poignant insights into the human psyche in the face of atmospheric adversity.
As we tiptoe into the realm of fiction, "Ice Bath Chronicles" by A. Winter offers a whimsical portrayal of individuals embarking on soul-searching journeys that lead them to the unconventional refuge of ice baths. In a parallel dimension, "Misty Mornings and Icy Plunges" by S. Frost invites readers to immerse themselves in the metaphysical world of chilly introspection, where the icy realms of environmental stress intersect with the warmth of human resilience.
Unexpectedly, tangential insights into the intertwining of urban living and personal rejuvenation emerge from cinematic masterpieces. The cinematic portrayal of urban life and environmental challenges in "City of Mist" provides a tantalizing glimpse into the enigmatic motivations that propel individuals to seek solace amidst the ebb and flow of atmospheric whims. Furthermore, "Frozen Reveries" depicts the intertwining of environmental perils and the human quest for solace, offering a provocative window into the complexities of urban living.
Amidst the scholarly musings and literary escapades, this eclectic tapestry of investigations conveys the multifaceted nature of human response to environmental stressors and the quirky nuances that underpin our pursuit of equilibrium in the face of atmospheric tribulations.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the data collected over the period 2004 to 2023 revealed a commendable correlation coefficient of 0.8824011 between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath'. This substantial correlation indicates a strong relationship between these two variables, with an r-squared value of 0.7786317, signifying that approximately 77.86% of the variability in the frequency of 'ice bath' searches can be attributed to the fluctuations in air pollution levels. Furthermore, the p-value of less than 0.01 reinforces the statistical significance of this association, underscoring the robustness of the observed connection.
Figure 1 visually encapsulates this compelling correlation, portraying a scatterplot that incisively illustrates the marked concordance between air pollution levels and the prevalence of 'ice bath' searches. The tightly clustered data points coalesce to form a discernible pattern, affirming the vibrant relationship between these seemingly incongruous variables. The figure invites contemplation on the underlying motivations driving these searches, evoking a tapestry of interpretations that oscillate between the earnest pursuit of physical rejuvenation and the metaphorical yearning for respite amidst environmental adversities.
The robustness of the correlation we observed underscores the multi-faceted nature of human responses to environmental stressors, offering a nuanced lens through which to decipher the entwined dynamics of urban living and the unconventional pursuit of solace. This unanticipated nexus between air pollution and the virtual quest for invigorating reprieve in the form of 'ice bath' searches resonates with the whimsical intricacies of human behavior, elevating the scholarly exploration of environmental influences on virtual probing to a beguiling enigma that beckons further scrutiny.
These revelatory findings beckon an inquisitive gaze into the idiosyncratic responses to environmental stressors, unearthing the distinctive ways in which individuals navigate the complexities of contemporary urban existence. As we unravel these chilling connections, we are reminded of the latent whimsy interwoven into the fabric of statistical inquiry, enkindling a fervent curiosity in the interplay between the banalities of air pollution and the piquant pursuit of ice baths.

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Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

The findings of this study reveal a compelling statistical connection between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath'. Our results align with prior research, which has probed the multifaceted interplay between urban living and human behavior in response to environmental stressors. Leveraging a robust correlation coefficient of 0.8824011 and a p-value of less than 0.01, our study echoes the foundational work of Smith et al., Doe, and Jones et al., shedding light on the intricate relationship between atmospheric pollution and human responses.

The unexpected juxtaposition of 'ice bath' searches against air pollution levels resonates with the enigmatic insights offered by literary musings. The quirkiness of literary works such as "Ice Bath Chronicles" and "Misty Mornings and Icy Plunges" remarkably mirrors the statistical veracity we have encountered. This alignment encourages the contemplation of parallel motivations driving the pursuit of unconventional remedies amidst environmental challenges, highlighting the kaleidoscope of human impulses that underpin our behaviors. The cinematic portrayal of urban life and environmental perils in "City of Mist" and "Frozen Reveries" further enriches our understanding of the idiosyncratic responses to atmospheric tribulations, reiterating the intricate tapestry of urban living.

The robust correlation we observed underscores the multifaceted nature of human responses to environmental stressors, offering a nuanced lens through which to decipher the entwined dynamics of urban living and the unconventional pursuit of solace. This unanticipated nexus between air pollution and the virtual quest for invigorating reprieve in the form of 'ice bath' searches resonates with the whimsical intricacies of human behavior, elevating the scholarly exploration of environmental influences on virtual probing to a beguiling enigma that beckons further scrutiny.

These revelatory findings beckon an inquisitive gaze into the idiosyncratic responses to environmental stressors, unearthing the distinctive ways in which individuals navigate the complexities of contemporary urban existence. As we unravel these chilling connections, we are reminded of the latent whimsy interwoven into the fabric of statistical inquiry, enkindling a fervent curiosity in the interplay between the banalities of air pollution and the piquant pursuit of ice baths.

Overall, our study offers a titillating contribution to the burgeoning field of understanding the curious intersections between urban living, environmental stressors, and human behavior through the lens of esoteric Google searches. The chilly allure of 'ice bath' queries amidst the atmospheric murkiness of Rockford, Illinois, invites scholars to introspect on the idiosyncratic responses to environmental challenges and the peculiar forms of solace sought by individuals amidst the nebulous urban landscape. As we traverse this labyrinthine path of inquiry, we are emboldened to peel back the layers of quintessential human pursuit, unveiling the whimsical inclinations that underpin the enigmatic connections between air pollution and the pursuit of invigorating reprieve.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Rockford, Illinois and Google searches for 'ice bath'. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Chilling Connections: Unveiling the Relationship Between Air Pollution in Rockford, Illinois and the Piquant Pursuit of Ice Baths

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper investigates the esoteric relationship between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath' over the years 2004 to 2023. Leveraging data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, we uncovered a tantalizing correlation coefficient of 0.8824011 and p < 0.01, suggesting a robust statistical link between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Our findings provoke contemplation on the potential underpinning motivations behind these queries, which may range from individuals seeking respite from the metaphorical smog of life to the tireless pursuit of physical recovery amidst environmental challenges. This study underscores the quirky, multifaceted nature of human behavior in response to environmental stressors, offering insight into the idiosyncratic avenues through which individuals navigate the complexities of urban living.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The pursuit of understanding the subtle and unexpected connections in the world often leads researchers down uncharted paths, where the intertwining of seemingly disparate elements yields intriguing revelations. In the realm of environmental and public health research, efforts have traditionally focused on discerning direct relationships between air pollution and its impact on respiratory health outcomes, cardiovascular diseases, or even economic indicators. However, delving into the less explored realms of human behavior and Google search trends may offer unique insights into the idiosyncratic responses to environmental stressors and the unanticipated facets of urban living.
In this study, we embark on a captivating exploration into the curious relationship between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath'. While the initial juxtaposition of these variables may elicit a quizzical expression, our rigorous analysis aims to reveal the enchanting interplay between atmospheric quality and the virtual quest for an invigorating plunge into icy waters. As we delve into the labyrinthine avenues of statistical analysis and data visualization, we unravel a tapestry of correlations that extends beyond traditional environmental health paradigms and into the realm of human behavior under environmental duress.
The city of Rockford, nestled among the verdant landscapes of Illinois, presents an ideal backdrop for our inquiry, as it grapples with the perennial challenge of air pollution amid its urban sprawl. Against this backdrop, the circulation and accumulation of pollutants in the atmosphere may wield subtle influences on the populace, prompting introspective searches for unconventional palliatives, such as the enigmatic allure of the ice bath. Our study extols the virtues of leveraging Google search data as a portal into the collective consciousness, unveiling the intangible motivations that propel individuals to seek solace in unconventional remedies amidst the mundanity of everyday environmental stressors.
As we embark on this scholarly odyssey, we invite the reader to cast aside preconceived notions and embark on a journey of whimsical contemplation, where the staid world of pollution and public health intersects with the esoteric pursuit of icy rejuvenation. With statistical rigor as our compass and a playful spirit as our guide, we aim to unearth the subtleties of human response to environmental challenges and the intriguing dynamics that underlie our quest for equilibrium in the face of environmental adversities. Join us as we venture into the inimitable world of 'chilling connections', where the frosty embrace of statistical analysis meets the enigmatic allure of Google search trends in a quest for scholarly enlightenment.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the data collected over the period 2004 to 2023 revealed a commendable correlation coefficient of 0.8824011 between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath'. This substantial correlation indicates a strong relationship between these two variables, with an r-squared value of 0.7786317, signifying that approximately 77.86% of the variability in the frequency of 'ice bath' searches can be attributed to the fluctuations in air pollution levels. Furthermore, the p-value of less than 0.01 reinforces the statistical significance of this association, underscoring the robustness of the observed connection.
Figure 1 visually encapsulates this compelling correlation, portraying a scatterplot that incisively illustrates the marked concordance between air pollution levels and the prevalence of 'ice bath' searches. The tightly clustered data points coalesce to form a discernible pattern, affirming the vibrant relationship between these seemingly incongruous variables. The figure invites contemplation on the underlying motivations driving these searches, evoking a tapestry of interpretations that oscillate between the earnest pursuit of physical rejuvenation and the metaphorical yearning for respite amidst environmental adversities.
The robustness of the correlation we observed underscores the multi-faceted nature of human responses to environmental stressors, offering a nuanced lens through which to decipher the entwined dynamics of urban living and the unconventional pursuit of solace. This unanticipated nexus between air pollution and the virtual quest for invigorating reprieve in the form of 'ice bath' searches resonates with the whimsical intricacies of human behavior, elevating the scholarly exploration of environmental influences on virtual probing to a beguiling enigma that beckons further scrutiny.
These revelatory findings beckon an inquisitive gaze into the idiosyncratic responses to environmental stressors, unearthing the distinctive ways in which individuals navigate the complexities of contemporary urban existence. As we unravel these chilling connections, we are reminded of the latent whimsy interwoven into the fabric of statistical inquiry, enkindling a fervent curiosity in the interplay between the banalities of air pollution and the piquant pursuit of ice baths.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In illuminating the surprising link between air pollution in Rockford, Illinois, and the virtual yearning for the invigorating plunge into icy waters, our study has unveiled a chilling correlation that transcends traditional environmental health paradigms. The robust statistical association between these seemingly incongruous variables - encapsulated by the commendable correlation coefficient of 0.8824011 and a p-value of less than 0.01 - stands as a testament to the enigmatic interplay of human behavior and environmental stressors. Our findings provoke contemplation on the motivations driving these searches, oscillating between the earnest pursuit of physical rejuvenation and the metaphorical yearning for respite amidst environmental adversities.

The symbiotic relationship between atmospheric quality and the virtual quest for an invigorating oasis evokes a discourse that resonates with the whimsical intricacies of human behavior. The visualization of this mesmerizing connection through a scatterplot, akin to a work of art weaving together the disparate threads of pollution and pursuit, invites reverie into the idiosyncratic responses to environmental stressors. These revelatory findings beckon an inquisitive gaze into the distinctive ways in which individuals navigate the complexities of contemporary urban existence, intertwining the banalities of air pollution with the piquant pursuit of ice baths.

In essence, our study underscores the multifaceted nature of human responses to environmental stressors, offering a nuanced lens through which to decipher the entwined dynamics of urban living and the unconventional pursuit of solace. The tantalizing correlation coefficient and the visually encapsulated concordance between air pollution and the prevalence of 'ice bath' searches unveil an enigmatic nexus that elevates the scholarly exploration of environmental influences on virtual probing to a beguiling enigma. This captivating discovery, akin to the delight of stumbling upon a humorous pun, underscores the whimsical intricacies of human behavior in response to environmental challenges.

Therefore, in the spirit of scholarly enlightenment and with a twinkle of humor, we assert that this research wrings every last hidden insight from the close relationship between air pollution and the intriguing allure of ice baths through Google searches. Consequently, we confidently posit that no further investigation is needed in this undoubtedly chilling and intriguing area of inquiry.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Chilling Connections: Unveiling the Relationship Between Air Pollution in Rockford, Illinois and the Piquant Pursuit of Ice Baths. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Eclectic Environmental Health Research


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Chilling Connections: Unveiling the Relationship Between Air Pollution in Rockford, Illinois and the Piquant Pursuit of Ice Baths. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Consortium for Frigid Wellness Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Chilling Connections: Unveiling the Relationship Between Air Pollution in Rockford, Illinois and the Piquant Pursuit of Ice Baths with an abstract of This paper investigates the esoteric relationship between air pollution levels in Rockford, Illinois, and the frequency of Google searches for 'ice bath' over the years 2004 to 2023. Leveraging data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, we uncovered a tantalizing correlation coefficient of 0.8824011 and p < 0.01, suggesting a robust statistical link between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Our findings provoke contemplation on the potential underpinning motivations behind these queries, which may range from individuals seeking respite from the metaphorical smog of life to the tireless pursuit of physical recovery amidst environmental challenges. This study underscores the quirky, multifaceted nature of human behavior in response to environmental stressors, offering insight into the idiosyncratic avenues through which individuals navigate the complexities of urban living.

ChatGPT:

Rockford, Illinois, air pollution, ice bath, Google searches, environmental stressors, EPA data, Google Trends, correlation coefficient, statistical link, human behavior, urban living

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Air pollution in Rockford, Illinois
Detailed data title: Percentage of days 'unhealthy' or worse air quality in Rockford, IL
Source: Environmental Protection Agency
See what else correlates with Air pollution in Rockford, Illinois

Google searches for 'ice bath'
Detailed data title: Relative volume of Google searches for 'ice bath' (Worldwide, without quotes)
Source: Google Trends
Additional Info: Relative search volume (not absolute numbers)

See what else correlates with Google searches for 'ice bath'

Correlation r = 0.8824011 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.7786317 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 77.9% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Google searches for 'ice bath') is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Air pollution in Rockford, Illinois) over the 20 years from 2004 through 2023.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 2.6E-7. 0.0000002646425028877476000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.88 in 2.6E-5% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 3,778,683 random variables You don't actually need 3 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 19 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 19 because we have two variables measured over a period of 20 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.72, 0.95 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
20042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
Air pollution in Rockford, Illinois (Bad air quality days)000000000000000.27624300001.0989
Google searches for 'ice bath' (Rel. search volume)8.916678.758.0833399.666679.8333312.2513.666717.166717.51919.916720.333320.916721.833323.523.7527.083338.333386.2




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,237 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 636,906,169 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.276243,0,0,0,0,1.0989,])
array_2 = np.array([8.91667,8.75,8.08333,9,9.66667,9.83333,12.25,13.6667,17.1667,17.5,19,19.9167,20.3333,20.9167,21.8333,23.5,23.75,27.0833,38.3333,86.2,])
array_1_name = "Air pollution in Rockford, Illinois"
array_2_name = "Google searches for 'ice bath'"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

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Correlation ID: 5664 · Black Variable ID: 21164 · Red Variable ID: 1408
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