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Spurious correlation #5,533 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Popularity of the first name Lesley and the second variable is Air pollution in Mobile, Alabama.  The chart goes from 1980 to 2007, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As the popularity of the name Lesley waned, so did the love for using leaf blowers in Mobile, Alabama. With fewer people named Lesley, there were fewer fans of outdoor power equipment, leading to a noticeable decrease in air pollution. It seems the connection between Lesley and less-ley pollution is truly blowing in the wind!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: An image that looks like it is a scene from a Disney movie: Generate an illustration of a tranquil neighborhood in Mobile, Alabama. The setting shows an idyllic scene with fewer people using leaf blowers in their yards. The air is visibly clearer, with less smog and pollutants. Focus on depicting a gentle breeze carrying clean air through the peaceful streets. In the foreground, showcase a baby girl named Lesley being cradled in a hammock, with the pure air and serene atmosphere surrounding her. Additionally, illustrate subtle elements that symbolize the connection between the decreasing popularity of the name Lesley and the reduction in air pollution, reflecting the harmony and purity of the environment. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Popularity of the first name Lesley and Air pollution in Mobile, Alabama. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Low poly An image that looks like it is a scene from A Disney Movie Charcoal 3D Pixar Style Scalar art
ChatGPT: An image that looks like it is a scene from A Disney Movie

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Popularity of the first name Lesley and Air pollution in Mobile, Alabama, in the following situation: As the popularity of the name Lesley waned, so did the love for using leaf blowers in Mobile, Alabama. With fewer people named Lesley, there were fewer fans of outdoor power equipment, leading to a noticeable decrease in air pollution. It seems the connection between Lesley and less-ley pollution is truly blowing in the wind!. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: A serene scene in Mobile, Alabama, shows fewer people using leaf blowers in their yards. The air is noticeably clearer, with less smog and pollution lingering in the air. At the same time, a baby girl named Lesley is being swayed gently in a hammock nearby, surrounded by the fresh, clean air. The connection between the decreasing popularity of the name Lesley and the reduction in air pollution is evident in the peaceful, cleaner atmosphere.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ An image that looks like it is a scene from A Disney Movie ] and depicting this scene: A serene scene in Mobile, Alabama, shows fewer people using leaf blowers in their yards. The air is noticeably clearer, with less smog and pollution lingering in the air. At the same time, a baby girl named Lesley is being swayed gently in a hammock nearby, surrounded by the fresh, clean air. The connection between the decreasing popularity of the name Lesley and the reduction in air pollution is evident in the peaceful, cleaner atmosphere. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: An image that looks like it is a scene from a Disney movie: Generate an illustration of a tranquil neighborhood in Mobile, Alabama. The setting shows an idyllic scene with fewer people using leaf blowers in their yards. The air is visibly clearer, with less smog and pollutants. Focus on depicting a gentle breeze carrying clean air through the peaceful streets. In the foreground, showcase a baby girl named Lesley being cradled in a hammock, with the pure air and serene atmosphere surrounding her. Additionally, illustrate subtle elements that symbolize the connection between the decreasing popularity of the name Lesley and the reduction in air pollution, reflecting the harmony and purity of the environment.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how a decrease in Popularity of the first name Lesley caused Air pollution in Mobile, Alabama to decrease.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Breathing Easy: The Lesley Effect on Air Quality in Mobile, Alabama

The Journal of Environmental Quirks and Curiosities

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Lesley and Air pollution in Mobile, Alabama. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Make the title punny if you can come up with clever pun. If not, make it sound serious.

Your research team used data from US Social Security Administration and Environmental Protection Agency to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.8102473 and p < 0.01 for 1980 to 2007.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
"Breathing Easy: The Lesley Effect on Air Quality in Mobile, Alabama"

[[ABSTRACT]]
Introducing a groundbreaking study that explores the mysterious relationship between the popularity of the first name Lesley and air pollution levels in Mobile, Alabama. This research project has ventured into uncharted territory to uncover whether the prevalence of this particular moniker holds any sway over the environmental condition of the city. Given the esoteric nature of this inquiry, one could say our team was both name-dropping and air-dropping at the same time! *It's a breath of fresh air when statistics yield unexpected connections...and dad jokes.*

Utilizing a unique blend of data sourced from the US Social Security Administration and the Environmental Protection Agency, our investigation spanned the years from 1980 to 2007. Our rigorous analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8102473 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. This robust statistical evidence substantiates the existence of a compelling association between the abundance of individuals bearing the name Lesley and the pattern of air pollution within the Mobile region.

We invite readers to don their speculative caps and ponder what may lie beneath the surface of this unexpected nexus between nomenclature and atmospheric quality. The upshot of this investigation may resound as a clarion call for further interdisciplinary research, as we seek to disentangle the intricate web of factors influencing local air quality. *Did you know that air pollution is a secret admirer of Lesley? It just can't help but gravitate towards her!*


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Lesley and Air pollution in Mobile, Alabama. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Breathing Easy: The Lesley Effect on Air Quality in Mobile, Alabama"

[[ABSTRACT]]
Introducing a groundbreaking study that explores the mysterious relationship between the popularity of the first name Lesley and air pollution levels in Mobile, Alabama. This research project has ventured into uncharted territory to uncover whether the prevalence of this particular moniker holds any sway over the environmental condition of the city. Given the esoteric nature of this inquiry, one could say our team was both name-dropping and air-dropping at the same time! *It's a breath of fresh air when statistics yield unexpected connections...and dad jokes.*

Utilizing a unique blend of data sourced from the US Social Security Administration and the Environmental Protection Agency, our investigation spanned the years from 1980 to 2007. Our rigorous analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8102473 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. This robust statistical evidence substantiates the existence of a compelling association between the abundance of individuals bearing the name Lesley and the pattern of air pollution within the Mobile region.

We invite readers to don their speculative caps and ponder what may lie beneath the surface of this unexpected nexus between nomenclature and atmospheric quality. The upshot of this investigation may resound as a clarion call for further interdisciplinary research, as we seek to disentangle the intricate web of factors influencing local air quality. *Did you know that air pollution is a secret admirer of Lesley? It just can't help but gravitate towards her!*

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

The effects of air pollution on human health and the environment are well-documented, with numerous studies emphasizing the importance of mitigating the sources of pollutants in urban and industrial areas. However, little attention has been given to the potential influences of seemingly unrelated variables, such as the popularity of certain names, on the levels of air contaminants. *Who knew that a person's name could leave such an impression on the air they breathe? It's enough to make one wheeze with laughter.*

In this study, we delve into the peculiar and hitherto unexplored terrain of naming conventions and their purported connection to air quality in the city of Mobile, Alabama. Specifically, we focus our attention on the frequency of the first name Lesley and its intriguing correlation with air pollution levels. Armed with a blend of statistical analyses and a dash of dad humor, we aim to shed light on this unanticipated relationship. *Who would have thought that Lesley's popularity could be more than just hot air?*

As we navigate through this investigation, it is essential to consider the wider implications of our findings. The potential inseparability of human characteristics and environmental phenomena warrants further scrutiny, challenging conventional wisdom and prompting a rethink of the factors that mold our surroundings. *It's like the air in Mobile just can't resist basking in the popularity of the name Lesley. Talk about an air of anticipation!*

This inquiry is not just an exercise in statistical curiosity; it serves as a reminder that serendipitous discoveries can arise from the most unexpected intersections of data. By drawing attention to a hitherto overlooked correlation, this study seeks to spur continued inquiry into the multifaceted nature of factors shaping air quality and, in doing so, open the doors to new avenues of exploration. *In the realm of scientific research, sometimes the most unlikely pairings yield the most compelling outcomes. It's a breath of fresh air, in more ways than one!*


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Lesley and Air pollution in Mobile, Alabama. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then cite some social media posts you read that seem to be related.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Breathing Easy: The Lesley Effect on Air Quality in Mobile, Alabama"

[[ABSTRACT]]
Introducing a groundbreaking study that explores the mysterious relationship between the popularity of the first name Lesley and air pollution levels in Mobile, Alabama. This research project has ventured into uncharted territory to uncover whether the prevalence of this particular moniker holds any sway over the environmental condition of the city. Given the esoteric nature of this inquiry, one could say our team was both name-dropping and air-dropping at the same time! *It's a breath of fresh air when statistics yield unexpected connections...and dad jokes.*

Utilizing a unique blend of data sourced from the US Social Security Administration and the Environmental Protection Agency, our investigation spanned the years from 1980 to 2007. Our rigorous analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8102473 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. This robust statistical evidence substantiates the existence of a compelling association between the abundance of individuals bearing the name Lesley and the pattern of air pollution within the Mobile region.

We invite readers to don their speculative caps and ponder what may lie beneath the surface of this unexpected nexus between nomenclature and atmospheric quality. The upshot of this investigation may resound as a clarion call for further interdisciplinary research, as we seek to disentangle the intricate web of factors influencing local air quality. *Did you know that air pollution is a secret admirer of Lesley? It just can't help but gravitate towards her!*

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The effects of air pollution on human health and the environment are well-documented, with numerous studies emphasizing the importance of mitigating the sources of pollutants in urban and industrial areas. However, little attention has been given to the potential influences of seemingly unrelated variables, such as the popularity of certain names, on the levels of air contaminants. *Who knew that a person's name could leave such an impression on the air they breathe? It's enough to make one wheeze with laughter.*
In this study, we delve into the peculiar and hitherto unexplored terrain of naming conventions and their purported connection to air quality in the city of Mobile, Alabama. Specifically, we focus our attention on the frequency of the first name Lesley and its intriguing correlation with air pollution levels. Armed with a blend of statistical analyses and a dash of dad humor, we aim to shed light on this unanticipated relationship. *Who would have thought that Lesley's popularity could be more than just hot air?*
As we navigate through this investigation, it is essential to consider the wider implications of our findings. The potential inseparability of human characteristics and environmental phenomena warrants further scrutiny, challenging conventional wisdom and prompting a rethink of the factors that mold our surroundings. *It's like the air in Mobile just can't resist basking in the popularity of the name Lesley. Talk about an air of anticipation!*
This inquiry is not just an exercise in statistical curiosity; it serves as a reminder that serendipitous discoveries can arise from the most unexpected intersections of data. By drawing attention to a hitherto overlooked correlation, this study seeks to spur continued inquiry into the multifaceted nature of factors shaping air quality and, in doing so, open the doors to new avenues of exploration. *In the realm of scientific research, sometimes the most unlikely pairings yield the most compelling outcomes. It's a breath of fresh air, in more ways than one!*

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

In "The Environmental Impact of Name Trends" by Smith et al., the authors find that there is a surprising correlation between the popularity of certain names and environmental conditions in specific regions. This pioneering study introduces the notion that our names might have a more significant impact on the world around us than previously imagined.

*What do you call someone who tortures people by endlessly discussing the correlation between names and air pollution? A "smogger"!*

Doe and Jones further explore this idea in "The Social Significance of Names," where they propose that individual names could potentially influence environmental factors, including air quality, through unspecified mechanisms. Despite the initial skepticism surrounding this hypothesis, the evidence presented in their study is compelling, leading to a new realm of inquiry.

*Why did the statistician name his dog "Five Miles"? Because the dog had a 5-mile fetch!*

Expanding beyond academic research, "The Air-Name Connection" by Johnson et al. presents a multidisciplinary examination of the intersection between personal nomenclature and atmospheric elements. This in-depth analysis includes a survey of participants with names related to air quality, shedding light on the potential consequences of specific names on environmental phenomena.

*What did the zero say to the eight? Nice belt! It's all about that statistical significance!*

In "The Name Game" by Smith, the author speculates on the implications of the study's findings for public policy and urban planning, emphasizing the need for further investigation into this unconventional link. The intersection of personal identity and environmental factors sparks a wave of curiosity and prompts a redefinition of the boundaries of environmental research.

*Why don't statisticians like using the quadratic formula? Because they don't want to go off on a tangent!*

Turning to non-fiction works, "The Air We Breathe" by Anabel Allum delves into the anthropogenic influences on air quality and environmental health. While not directly related to the impact of names, this exploration of human activities and their consequences provides valuable context for understanding the complexities of environmental dynamics.

*Why don't environmental scientists tell secrets in public? Because there is too much eutrophication!*

In the fictional realm, "The Name Connection" by Veronica Vento offers a whimsical narrative that imagines a world where names hold unexpected sway over natural phenomena. Through the adventures of characters with peculiar names, the story weaves a tapestry of quirky connections and unanticipated consequences, inviting readers to contemplate the enigmatic interplay between personal identity and environmental realities.

*What do you call a statistical analysis of name preferences? A name-dropper!*

Lastly, in a recent social media post, a user shared an anecdote about encountering an unusually high number of individuals named Lesley in Mobile, Alabama, and speculated about the potential correlations between this name trend and the city's air quality. Although posted in a lighthearted manner, the comment sparked curiosity and prompted a lively discussion about unexpected variables that might influence environmental conditions.

*Why don't statisticians trust atoms? Because they make up everything!*

As the literature surrounding the connection between the popularity of the first name Lesley and air pollution in Mobile, Alabama continues to expand, it becomes increasingly clear that there is more to this unique relationship than meets the eye. The fusion of rigorous research, playful imagination, and unexpected revelations underscores the importance of approaching scientific inquiry with an open mind and a willingness to embrace the unconventional.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Lesley and Air pollution in Mobile, Alabama. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and Environmental Protection Agency . You used data from 1980 to 2007

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Breathing Easy: The Lesley Effect on Air Quality in Mobile, Alabama"

[[ABSTRACT]]
Introducing a groundbreaking study that explores the mysterious relationship between the popularity of the first name Lesley and air pollution levels in Mobile, Alabama. This research project has ventured into uncharted territory to uncover whether the prevalence of this particular moniker holds any sway over the environmental condition of the city. Given the esoteric nature of this inquiry, one could say our team was both name-dropping and air-dropping at the same time! *It's a breath of fresh air when statistics yield unexpected connections...and dad jokes.*

Utilizing a unique blend of data sourced from the US Social Security Administration and the Environmental Protection Agency, our investigation spanned the years from 1980 to 2007. Our rigorous analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8102473 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. This robust statistical evidence substantiates the existence of a compelling association between the abundance of individuals bearing the name Lesley and the pattern of air pollution within the Mobile region.

We invite readers to don their speculative caps and ponder what may lie beneath the surface of this unexpected nexus between nomenclature and atmospheric quality. The upshot of this investigation may resound as a clarion call for further interdisciplinary research, as we seek to disentangle the intricate web of factors influencing local air quality. *Did you know that air pollution is a secret admirer of Lesley? It just can't help but gravitate towards her!*

[[INTRODUCTION]]
The effects of air pollution on human health and the environment are well-documented, with numerous studies emphasizing the importance of mitigating the sources of pollutants in urban and industrial areas. However, little attention has been given to the potential influences of seemingly unrelated variables, such as the popularity of certain names, on the levels of air contaminants. *Who knew that a person's name could leave such an impression on the air they breathe? It's enough to make one wheeze with laughter.*
In this study, we delve into the peculiar and hitherto unexplored terrain of naming conventions and their purported connection to air quality in the city of Mobile, Alabama. Specifically, we focus our attention on the frequency of the first name Lesley and its intriguing correlation with air pollution levels. Armed with a blend of statistical analyses and a dash of dad humor, we aim to shed light on this unanticipated relationship. *Who would have thought that Lesley's popularity could be more than just hot air?*
As we navigate through this investigation, it is essential to consider the wider implications of our findings. The potential inseparability of human characteristics and environmental phenomena warrants further scrutiny, challenging conventional wisdom and prompting a rethink of the factors that mold our surroundings. *It's like the air in Mobile just can't resist basking in the popularity of the name Lesley. Talk about an air of anticipation!*
This inquiry is not just an exercise in statistical curiosity; it serves as a reminder that serendipitous discoveries can arise from the most unexpected intersections of data. By drawing attention to a hitherto overlooked correlation, this study seeks to spur continued inquiry into the multifaceted nature of factors shaping air quality and, in doing so, open the doors to new avenues of exploration. *In the realm of scientific research, sometimes the most unlikely pairings yield the most compelling outcomes. It's a breath of fresh air, in more ways than one!*

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To embark on our peculiar quest of unraveling the enigmatic bond between the popularity of the first name Lesley and air pollution levels in Mobile, Alabama, we employed a methodology as unique and eclectic as the study itself. Our approach comprised not only the standard statistical analyses but also a touch of whimsy and unexpected flair – much like the appearance of a Lesley in an EPA database.

Firstly, we scoured data archives from the US Social Security Administration to extract historical records of birth names, meticulously documenting the frequency of occurrences of the name Lesley within the pertinent timeframe. Our team often found themselves musing, "Is this data mining or name mining?" *It's a pun-tastic expedition through the annals of nomenclature!*

Simultaneously, we delved into the labyrinthine troves of the Environmental Protection Agency to cull comprehensive air quality metrics for the Mobile, Alabama region. The juxtaposition of perusing databases of names and atmospheric statistics inspired our team to coin the term "nomenclatural meteorology" – a marriage of etymology and environmental science. *Who knew that parsing through data could be such a breath of fresh air?*

The next phase of our methodological odyssey involved the employment of multivariate regression analyses, factor extraction algorithms, and time-series modeling – all with the intent of discerning discernible patterns and associations. If our model could talk, it might have exclaimed, "I'm just air to be a part of this groundbreaking analysis!"

Armed with sets of statistical indicators, exploratory factor analysis, and a robust suite of diagnostic tests, we meticulously assessed the correlation between the frequency of the name Lesley and ambient air pollution levels. Dad jokes were in abundance at this stage, with quips such as, "This study's got enough factors to make Ozone himself blush" frequently peppering our discussions.

The heart of our analytical wizardry lies in the deployment of the Pearson correlation coefficient to unveil the strength and direction of the relationship between our two seemingly disparate variables. Our approach mirrored a serendipitous encounter – for just as one might unexpectedly stumble upon a Lesley in an unexpected place, our data unveiled a statistically persuasive connection between name frequency and air quality indices. *When it comes to forging correlations, it seems the Lesleys are air-repressible!*

Finally, we subjected our findings to rigorous hypothesis testing, basking in the suspense of whether our discovery would defy expectations or succumb to statistical happenstance. The outcome, much like the city's atmospheric conditions, proved to be remarkably clear – a resounding affirmation of a significant association. All in all, our methodology encapsulated a blend of curiosity, rigor, and just a pinch of absurdity – a fitting testament to the surprising sentiment that propels this unusual investigation forward.

In summary, unconventional times call for unconventional measures, and our methodology stands as a testament to the unexpected paths that academia may tread. For, in the realm of Lesleys and air pollution correlations, it seems that the uncharted territories of knowledge can often yield the most striking revelations!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Lesley and Air pollution in Mobile, Alabama. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and Environmental Protection Agency .

For the time period 1980 to 2007, you found a correlation 0.8102473, r-squared of 0.6565007, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Breathing Easy: The Lesley Effect on Air Quality in Mobile, Alabama"

[[ABSTRACT]]
Introducing a groundbreaking study that explores the mysterious relationship between the popularity of the first name Lesley and air pollution levels in Mobile, Alabama. This research project has ventured into uncharted territory to uncover whether the prevalence of this particular moniker holds any sway over the environmental condition of the city. Given the esoteric nature of this inquiry, one could say our team was both name-dropping and air-dropping at the same time! *It's a breath of fresh air when statistics yield unexpected connections...and dad jokes.*

Utilizing a unique blend of data sourced from the US Social Security Administration and the Environmental Protection Agency, our investigation spanned the years from 1980 to 2007. Our rigorous analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8102473 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. This robust statistical evidence substantiates the existence of a compelling association between the abundance of individuals bearing the name Lesley and the pattern of air pollution within the Mobile region.

We invite readers to don their speculative caps and ponder what may lie beneath the surface of this unexpected nexus between nomenclature and atmospheric quality. The upshot of this investigation may resound as a clarion call for further interdisciplinary research, as we seek to disentangle the intricate web of factors influencing local air quality. *Did you know that air pollution is a secret admirer of Lesley? It just can't help but gravitate towards her!*

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
The effects of air pollution on human health and the environment are well-documented, with numerous studies emphasizing the importance of mitigating the sources of pollutants in urban and industrial areas. However, little attention has been given to the potential influences of seemingly unrelated variables, such as the popularity of certain names, on the levels of air contaminants. *Who knew that a person's name could leave such an impression on the air they breathe? It's enough to make one wheeze with laughter.*
In this study, we delve into the peculiar and hitherto unexplored terrain of naming conventions and their purported connection to air quality in the city of Mobile, Alabama. Specifically, we focus our attention on the frequency of the first name Lesley and its intriguing correlation with air pollution levels. Armed with a blend of statistical analyses and a dash of dad humor, we aim to shed light on this unanticipated relationship. *Who would have thought that Lesley's popularity could be more than just hot air?*
As we navigate through this investigation, it is essential to consider the wider implications of our findings. The potential inseparability of human characteristics and environmental phenomena warrants further scrutiny, challenging conventional wisdom and prompting a rethink of the factors that mold our surroundings. *It's like the air in Mobile just can't resist basking in the popularity of the name Lesley. Talk about an air of anticipation!*
This inquiry is not just an exercise in statistical curiosity; it serves as a reminder that serendipitous discoveries can arise from the most unexpected intersections of data. By drawing attention to a hitherto overlooked correlation, this study seeks to spur continued inquiry into the multifaceted nature of factors shaping air quality and, in doing so, open the doors to new avenues of exploration. *In the realm of scientific research, sometimes the most unlikely pairings yield the most compelling outcomes. It's a breath of fresh air, in more ways than one!*

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The thorough analysis of the relationship between the frequency of the first name Lesley and air pollution levels in Mobile, Alabama has yielded compelling revelations. From 1980 to 2007, our research uncovered a remarkably strong correlation coefficient of 0.8102473, with an r-squared value of 0.6565007. The associated p-value, found to be less than 0.01, attests to the statistical significance of the observed association.

An illustrative visualization, presented in Fig. 1, showcases the conspicuous correlation through a scatterplot, affirming the pronounced and impactful relationship between the prevalence of the name Lesley and the environmental quality of the Mobile region.

This unexpected and peculiar bond between the popularity of a name and atmospheric conditions presents a fascinating conundrum, prompting contemplation of the intricate interplay between seemingly disparate variables. *Who would have guessed that Lesley's popularity could have such far-reaching implications? It's almost as astounding as the air pollution levels themselves!*


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Lesley and Air pollution in Mobile, Alabama. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"Breathing Easy: The Lesley Effect on Air Quality in Mobile, Alabama"

[[ABSTRACT]]
Introducing a groundbreaking study that explores the mysterious relationship between the popularity of the first name Lesley and air pollution levels in Mobile, Alabama. This research project has ventured into uncharted territory to uncover whether the prevalence of this particular moniker holds any sway over the environmental condition of the city. Given the esoteric nature of this inquiry, one could say our team was both name-dropping and air-dropping at the same time! *It's a breath of fresh air when statistics yield unexpected connections...and dad jokes.*

Utilizing a unique blend of data sourced from the US Social Security Administration and the Environmental Protection Agency, our investigation spanned the years from 1980 to 2007. Our rigorous analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8102473 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. This robust statistical evidence substantiates the existence of a compelling association between the abundance of individuals bearing the name Lesley and the pattern of air pollution within the Mobile region.

We invite readers to don their speculative caps and ponder what may lie beneath the surface of this unexpected nexus between nomenclature and atmospheric quality. The upshot of this investigation may resound as a clarion call for further interdisciplinary research, as we seek to disentangle the intricate web of factors influencing local air quality. *Did you know that air pollution is a secret admirer of Lesley? It just can't help but gravitate towards her!*

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
In "The Environmental Impact of Name Trends" by Smith et al., the authors find that there is a surprising correlation between the popularity of certain names and environmental conditions in specific regions. This pioneering study introduces the notion that our names might have a more significant impact on the world around us than previously imagined.
*What do you call someone who tortures people by endlessly discussing the correlation between names and air pollution? A "smogger"!*
Doe and Jones further explore this idea in "The Social Significance of Names," where they propose that individual names could potentially influence environmental factors, including air quality, through unspecified mechanisms. Despite the initial skepticism surrounding this hypothesis, the evidence presented in their study is compelling, leading to a new realm of inquiry.
*Why did the statistician name his dog "Five Miles"? Because the dog had a 5-mile fetch!*
Expanding beyond academic research, "The Air-Name Connection" by Johnson et al. presents a multidisciplinary examination of the intersection between personal nomenclature and atmospheric elements. This in-depth analysis includes a survey of participants with names related to air quality, shedding light on the potential consequences of specific names on environmental phenomena.
*What did the zero say to the eight? Nice belt! It's all about that statistical significance!*
In "The Name Game" by Smith, the author speculates on the implications of the study's findings for public policy and urban planning, emphasizing the need for further investigation into this unconventional link. The intersection of personal identity and environmental factors sparks a wave of curiosity and prompts a redefinition of the boundaries of environmental research.
*Why don't statisticians like using the quadratic formula? Because they don't want to go off on a tangent!*
Turning to non-fiction works, "The Air We Breathe" by Anabel Allum delves into the anthropogenic influences on air quality and environmental health. While not directly related to the impact of names, this exploration of human activities and their consequences provides valuable context for understanding the complexities of environmental dynamics.
*Why don't environmental scientists tell secrets in public? Because there is too much eutrophication!*
In the fictional realm, "The Name Connection" by Veronica Vento offers a whimsical narrative that imagines a world where names hold unexpected sway over natural phenomena. Through the adventures of characters with peculiar names, the story weaves a tapestry of quirky connections and unanticipated consequences, inviting readers to contemplate the enigmatic interplay between personal identity and environmental realities.
*What do you call a statistical analysis of name preferences? A name-dropper!*
Lastly, in a recent social media post, a user shared an anecdote about encountering an unusually high number of individuals named Lesley in Mobile, Alabama, and speculated about the potential correlations between this name trend and the city's air quality. Although posted in a lighthearted manner, the comment sparked curiosity and prompted a lively discussion about unexpected variables that might influence environmental conditions.
*Why don't statisticians trust atoms? Because they make up everything!*
As the literature surrounding the connection between the popularity of the first name Lesley and air pollution in Mobile, Alabama continues to expand, it becomes increasingly clear that there is more to this unique relationship than meets the eye. The fusion of rigorous research, playful imagination, and unexpected revelations underscores the importance of approaching scientific inquiry with an open mind and a willingness to embrace the unconventional.

[[RESULTS]]
The thorough analysis of the relationship between the frequency of the first name Lesley and air pollution levels in Mobile, Alabama has yielded compelling revelations. From 1980 to 2007, our research uncovered a remarkably strong correlation coefficient of 0.8102473, with an r-squared value of 0.6565007. The associated p-value, found to be less than 0.01, attests to the statistical significance of the observed association.
An illustrative visualization, presented in Fig. 1, showcases the conspicuous correlation through a scatterplot, affirming the pronounced and impactful relationship between the prevalence of the name Lesley and the environmental quality of the Mobile region.
This unexpected and peculiar bond between the popularity of a name and atmospheric conditions presents a fascinating conundrum, prompting contemplation of the intricate interplay between seemingly disparate variables. *Who would have guessed that Lesley's popularity could have such far-reaching implications? It's almost as astounding as the air pollution levels themselves!*

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The results of our investigation corroborate and extend the prior academic discourse on the relationship between personal nomenclature and environmental conditions. By offering a statistical basis for the surprising correlation between the popularity of the first name Lesley and air pollution levels in Mobile, Alabama, our study aligns with the pioneering work of Smith et al. *It appears that Lesley isn't just a popular name; she's also a trendsetter for air pollution!* The robust correlation coefficient and r-squared value affirm the substantial and noteworthy connection between this specific name trend and atmospheric quality.

Moreover, our findings add weight to the intriguing speculation raised by Doe and Jones regarding the potential influence of individual names on environmental factors. The statistically significant p-value further bolsters the argument for a genuine association between the prevalence of the name Lesley and the pattern of air pollution in the Mobile region. *Air pollution seems to have a soft spot for Lesley, and the statistics back it up – it's a match made in smoggy heaven!*

Furthermore, our study resonates with the multidisciplinary exploration conducted by Johnson et al., delving into the intersection of personal nomenclature and atmospheric elements. The substantial correlation uncovered in our research reinforces the call for further investigation into the intricate web of factors influencing local air quality. *Who would have thought that deciphering the influence of names on air pollution would take us on such an unexpected statistical journey? It's almost enough to make one want to change their own name to 'Breezy'!*

While the idea of a name holding sway over environmental phenomena may sound whimsical at first glance, our results highlight the substantial and tangible nature of this connection. This study contributes to a redefinition of the boundaries of environmental research, emphasizing the need to consider unconventional variables in understanding and addressing environmental dynamics. *It turns out that when it comes to environmental influences, names aren't just a "textbook" case – they're a compelling element in the statistical narrative of air quality!*

As we navigate the uncharted territory of name-environment connections, our findings prompt further interdisciplinary exploration and a reevaluation of the impact of personal identity on environmental realities. The unexpected nexus between the popularity of the first name Lesley and air pollution levels in Mobile, Alabama underscores the importance of remaining open-minded and receptive to the potential influence of seemingly unrelated factors in scientific inquiry. *The air quality in Mobile might just be Lesley's biggest fan – and our research has given it some statistical substance!*


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Lesley and Air pollution in Mobile, Alabama. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"Breathing Easy: The Lesley Effect on Air Quality in Mobile, Alabama"

[[ABSTRACT]]
Introducing a groundbreaking study that explores the mysterious relationship between the popularity of the first name Lesley and air pollution levels in Mobile, Alabama. This research project has ventured into uncharted territory to uncover whether the prevalence of this particular moniker holds any sway over the environmental condition of the city. Given the esoteric nature of this inquiry, one could say our team was both name-dropping and air-dropping at the same time! *It's a breath of fresh air when statistics yield unexpected connections...and dad jokes.*

Utilizing a unique blend of data sourced from the US Social Security Administration and the Environmental Protection Agency, our investigation spanned the years from 1980 to 2007. Our rigorous analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8102473 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. This robust statistical evidence substantiates the existence of a compelling association between the abundance of individuals bearing the name Lesley and the pattern of air pollution within the Mobile region.

We invite readers to don their speculative caps and ponder what may lie beneath the surface of this unexpected nexus between nomenclature and atmospheric quality. The upshot of this investigation may resound as a clarion call for further interdisciplinary research, as we seek to disentangle the intricate web of factors influencing local air quality. *Did you know that air pollution is a secret admirer of Lesley? It just can't help but gravitate towards her!*

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The effects of air pollution on human health and the environment are well-documented, with numerous studies emphasizing the importance of mitigating the sources of pollutants in urban and industrial areas. However, little attention has been given to the potential influences of seemingly unrelated variables, such as the popularity of certain names, on the levels of air contaminants. *Who knew that a person's name could leave such an impression on the air they breathe? It's enough to make one wheeze with laughter.*
In this study, we delve into the peculiar and hitherto unexplored terrain of naming conventions and their purported connection to air quality in the city of Mobile, Alabama. Specifically, we focus our attention on the frequency of the first name Lesley and its intriguing correlation with air pollution levels. Armed with a blend of statistical analyses and a dash of dad humor, we aim to shed light on this unanticipated relationship. *Who would have thought that Lesley's popularity could be more than just hot air?*
As we navigate through this investigation, it is essential to consider the wider implications of our findings. The potential inseparability of human characteristics and environmental phenomena warrants further scrutiny, challenging conventional wisdom and prompting a rethink of the factors that mold our surroundings. *It's like the air in Mobile just can't resist basking in the popularity of the name Lesley. Talk about an air of anticipation!*
This inquiry is not just an exercise in statistical curiosity; it serves as a reminder that serendipitous discoveries can arise from the most unexpected intersections of data. By drawing attention to a hitherto overlooked correlation, this study seeks to spur continued inquiry into the multifaceted nature of factors shaping air quality and, in doing so, open the doors to new avenues of exploration. *In the realm of scientific research, sometimes the most unlikely pairings yield the most compelling outcomes. It's a breath of fresh air, in more ways than one!*

[[RESULTS]]
The thorough analysis of the relationship between the frequency of the first name Lesley and air pollution levels in Mobile, Alabama has yielded compelling revelations. From 1980 to 2007, our research uncovered a remarkably strong correlation coefficient of 0.8102473, with an r-squared value of 0.6565007. The associated p-value, found to be less than 0.01, attests to the statistical significance of the observed association.
An illustrative visualization, presented in Fig. 1, showcases the conspicuous correlation through a scatterplot, affirming the pronounced and impactful relationship between the prevalence of the name Lesley and the environmental quality of the Mobile region.
This unexpected and peculiar bond between the popularity of a name and atmospheric conditions presents a fascinating conundrum, prompting contemplation of the intricate interplay between seemingly disparate variables. *Who would have guessed that Lesley's popularity could have such far-reaching implications? It's almost as astounding as the air pollution levels themselves!*

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our research has unveiled a remarkable correlation between the frequency of the first name Lesley and air pollution levels in Mobile, Alabama. The robust statistical evidence, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8102473 and a p-value of less than 0.01, provides compelling support for this unconventional link. It appears that the name Lesley is not only popular among individuals but also seems to have an intriguing affinity with the atmospheric conditions of Mobile. *Talk about leaving a lasting impression on the city!*

Our findings have opened up a new avenue of inquiry, highlighting the potential influences of seemingly unrelated variables on environmental phenomena. The unexpected nature of this connection serves as a poignant reminder of the serendipitous discoveries that can arise from unconventional intersections of data. *It's like the name Lesley has become a breath of fresh air in the realm of air quality research!*

As with any groundbreaking discovery, our findings beckon further investigation into the multifaceted nature of factors shaping air quality. Nevertheless, it is evident that the prevalence of the first name Lesley is not to be taken lightly in discussions of environmental influence. *Who knew that a name could have such pull, especially in matters of air quality?*

In light of these revelatory findings, we assert that no more research in this quirky realm is needed. After all, the association between the popularity of the name Lesley and air pollution levels in Mobile is as crystal clear as the air after a thunderstorm. *It's time to let this research breathe and air out other mysteries!*


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Breathing Easy: The Lesley Effect on Air Quality in Mobile, Alabama. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Environmental Quirks and Curiosities


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Breathing Easy: The Lesley Effect on Air Quality in Mobile, Alabama. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Society for Atmospheric Preservation and Innovation (SAPI)


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Breathing Easy: The Lesley Effect on Air Quality in Mobile, Alabama with an abstract of Introducing a groundbreaking study that explores the mysterious relationship between the popularity of the first name Lesley and air pollution levels in Mobile, Alabama. This research project has ventured into uncharted territory to uncover whether the prevalence of this particular moniker holds any sway over the environmental condition of the city. Given the esoteric nature of this inquiry, one could say our team was both name-dropping and air-dropping at the same time! *It's a breath of fresh air when statistics yield unexpected connections...and dad jokes.*
Utilizing a unique blend of data sourced from the US Social Security Administration and the Environmental Protection Agency, our investigation spanned the years from 1980 to 2007. Our rigorous analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8102473 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. This robust statistical evidence substantiates the existence of a compelling association between the abundance of individuals bearing the name Lesley and the pattern of air pollution within the Mobile region.
We invite readers to don their speculative caps and ponder what may lie beneath the surface of this unexpected nexus between nomenclature and atmospheric quality. The upshot of this investigation may resound as a clarion call for further interdisciplinary research, as we seek to disentangle the intricate web of factors influencing local air quality. *Did you know that air pollution is a secret admirer of Lesley? It just can't help but gravitate towards her!*

ChatGPT:

Lesley Effect, air quality, Mobile, Alabama, first name Lesley, air pollution levels, mysterious relationship, prevalence of Lesley, environmental condition, statistics, correlation coefficient, p-value, US Social Security Administration, Environmental Protection Agency, interdisciplinary research, atmospheric quality, nomenclature, Mobile region, Lesley's influence, air pollution patterns, groundbreaking study

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Popularity of the first name Lesley
Detailed data title: Babies of all sexes born in the US named Lesley
Source: US Social Security Administration
See what else correlates with Popularity of the first name Lesley

Air pollution in Mobile, Alabama
Detailed data title: Percentage of days 'unhealthy' or worse air quality in Mobile, AL
Source: Environmental Protection Agency
See what else correlates with Air pollution in Mobile, Alabama

Correlation r = 0.8102473 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.6565007 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 65.7% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Air pollution in Mobile, Alabama) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Popularity of the first name Lesley) over the 28 years from 1980 through 2007.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 1.7E-7. 0.0000001741427634544192100000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.81 in 1.7E-5% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 5,742,415 random variables You don't actually need 5 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 27 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 27 because we have two variables measured over a period of 28 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.63, 0.91 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
1980198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007
Popularity of the first name Lesley (Babies born)981929873776647592560496503421466402373336308286606641710703675518482464460390383359
Air pollution in Mobile, Alabama (Bad air quality days)3.875974.972381.12362.670622.554740.3521131.694920.6968640.74074102.061860.346021000010.6172841.941752.238813.157890.34843200.5524861.114210.2923980.8356550.557103




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,237 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 636,906,169 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([981,929,873,776,647,592,560,496,503,421,466,402,373,336,308,286,606,641,710,703,675,518,482,464,460,390,383,359,])
array_2 = np.array([3.87597,4.97238,1.1236,2.67062,2.55474,0.352113,1.69492,0.696864,0.740741,0,2.06186,0.346021,0,0,0,0,1,0.617284,1.94175,2.23881,3.15789,0.348432,0,0.552486,1.11421,0.292398,0.835655,0.557103,])
array_1_name = "Popularity of the first name Lesley"
array_2_name = "Air pollution in Mobile, Alabama"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 5533 · Black Variable ID: 2773 · Red Variable ID: 20914
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