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AI explanation

^{Show image generation prompt} Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image of a worn-out, abandoned shag carpet hung up on a clothesline against a blue sky, with tufts of green grass peeking out from under the carpet. The focus of the image should be on the texture and color of the carpet, showcasing the mixture of dust and grime trapped within the fibers. Surrounding the carpet, there should be hints of 70s-inspired decor, such as vintage furniture or retro patterns, to evoke a sense of nostalgia. The overall aesthetic should resemble a Polaroid photo, with a soft, vintage filter applied to the image. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.

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This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: US household spending on floor coverings and Air pollution in Williamsport, Pennsylvania. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: a meme Futuristic Scalar art Scalar art a Polaroid photo
ChatGPT: a Polaroid photo

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both US household spending on floor coverings and Air pollution in Williamsport, Pennsylvania, in the following situation: As households across the US cut back on floor covering expenses, there was a notable surge in the use of old, abandoned shag carpets as makeshift air filters. These furry relics, long believed to be extinct, found a new purpose in trapping pollutants and allergens, effectively purifying the air. Coincidentally, the collected grime and dust formed a peculiar homage to the 70s, complete with a kaleidoscope of colors and mysterious odors. This unintended upcycling trend not only revived fond memories of retro decor but also led to cleaner, groovier air in Williamsport, Pennsylvania. It's a case of environmental improvement, one shaggy carpet at a time.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In households across the US, spending on floor coverings has decreased, leading to a surge in the use of old shag carpets as makeshift air filters. In Williamsport, Pennsylvania, these abandoned shag carpets are being used to trap pollutants and allergens, purifying the air. The collected grime and dust form a peculiar homage to the 70s, reviving memories of retro decor and leading to cleaner air in Williamsport.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ a Polaroid photo ] and depicting this scene: In households across the US, spending on floor coverings has decreased, leading to a surge in the use of old shag carpets as makeshift air filters. In Williamsport, Pennsylvania, these abandoned shag carpets are being used to trap pollutants and allergens, purifying the air. The collected grime and dust form a peculiar homage to the 70s, reviving memories of retro decor and leading to cleaner air in Williamsport. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image of a worn-out, abandoned shag carpet hung up on a clothesline against a blue sky, with tufts of green grass peeking out from under the carpet. The focus of the image should be on the texture and color of the carpet, showcasing the mixture of dust and grime trapped within the fibers. Surrounding the carpet, there should be hints of 70s-inspired decor, such as vintage furniture or retro patterns, to evoke a sense of nostalgia. The overall aesthetic should resemble a Polaroid photo, with a soft, vintage filter applied to the image.

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*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

AI academic paper

Treading on Thin Carpets: The Rug-eous Relationship Between Household Spending on Floor Coverings and Air Pollution in Williamsport, Pennsylvania The Journal of Eclectic Domestic Studies Jan 2024 Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!

Problem variable:	Which variable has a problem? US household spending on floor coverings Air pollution in Williamsport, Pennsylvania Neither / both
Issue:	What is the issue? The data is incorrect The chart isn't displaying properly There is a typo The source link is incorrect A calculation is wrong Something else
Additional details: Optional
Confirm you are a human:

Data details

Why this works

1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably^Note Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
   no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple^Note Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
   p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.

Try it yourself

# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([0.115653,0.10122,0.0983357,0.127398,0.119829,0.120666,0.0991736,0.0926709,0.0891336,0.0611409,0.0748301,0.0402374,0.031103,0.0391389,0.033648,0.0321555,0.0348973,0.04995,0.0408337,0.0396599,0.0489125,0.0493067,0.0465964,])
array_2 = np.array([14.3498,28.8136,33.1933,22.5941,23.2759,34.6154,21.6102,25.1101,20.6009,7.20339,23.1441,7.32484,13.2184,8.58726,5.75342,6.33609,8.46994,5.76923,5.21739,5.81717,10.1093,16.9492,10.8553,])
array_1_name = "US household spending on floor coverings"
array_2_name = "Air pollution in Williamsport, Pennsylvania"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)

Reuseable content

• High resolution line chart ^Note The image linked here is a Scalable Vector Graphic (SVG). It is the highest resolution that is possible to achieve. It scales up beyond the size of the observable universe without pixelating. You do not need to email me asking if I have a higher resolution image. I do not. The physical limitations of our universe prevent me from providing you with an image that is any higher resolution than this one.
  
  If you insert it into a PowerPoint presentation (a tool well-known for managing things that are the scale of the universe), you can right-click > "Ungroup" or "Create Shape" and then edit the lines and text directly. You can also change the colors this way.
  
  Alternatively you can use a tool like Inkscape.
  
• High resolution line chart, optimized for mobile
• Alternative high resolution line chart
• Scatterplot
• Portable line chart (png)
• Portable line chart (png), optimized for mobile
• Line chart for only US household spending on floor coverings
• Line chart for only Air pollution in Williamsport, Pennsylvania
• AI-generated correlation image
• The spurious research paper: Treading on Thin Carpets: The Rug-eous Relationship Between Household Spending on Floor Coverings and Air Pollution in Williamsport, Pennsylvania