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Spurious correlation #3,899 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is UFO sightings in South Dakota and the second variable is Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion.  The chart goes from 1979 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image

AI explanation

As more UFOs zipped through South Dakota skies, they unknowingly beamed down extra appetites, giving the locals a hankering for some out-of-this-world hotdogs. This sparked a chain reaction, boosting the overall hotdog demand across the state. Little did we know, these UFOs were the real wurst-omental factor behind the champion's record-breaking hotdog consumption. Turns out, when it comes to devouring hotdogs, the sky's the limit!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image of a festive South Dakota town, with a gigantic UFO hovering in the sky. The streets are packed with alien tourists eagerly lining up to witness Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. The reigning champion stands confidently at the center of a bustling stage, consuming hot dogs at an incredible pace while the crowd cheers on. The aroma of sizzling hot dogs fills the air, blending with the UFO's hum, creating an otherworldly atmosphere as the champion and the alien tourists engage in a close encounter of the hunger kind. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: UFO sightings in South Dakota and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Data cyber art a Polaroid photo An image that looks like it is a scene from A Disney Movie An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie Steampunk
ChatGPT: A Disney Movie

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both UFO sightings in South Dakota and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion, in the following situation: Because when UFO sightings in South Dakota increased, it caused a surge in alien tourism. These extraterrestrial visitors were big fans of Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition and couldn't resist getting in on the action. Their out-of-this-world appetite for hotdogs led to a skyrocketing demand, inspiring the champion to consume even more to defend their title. It was a close encounter of the hunger kind!. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In a bustling South Dakota town, a UFO hovers in the sky as alien tourists gather excitedly on the streets below. They are eagerly lining up to witness Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, their eyes gleaming with anticipation. The reigning champion stands proudly at the center of a crowded stage, devouring hotdogs at an astonishing pace while the crowd cheers on. The aroma of sizzling hotdogs wafts through the air, mixing with the hum of the UFO, creating an otherworldly atmosphere as the champion and the alien tourists engage in a close encounter of the hunger kind.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ A Disney Movie ] and depicting this scene: In a bustling South Dakota town, a UFO hovers in the sky as alien tourists gather excitedly on the streets below. They are eagerly lining up to witness Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, their eyes gleaming with anticipation. The reigning champion stands proudly at the center of a crowded stage, devouring hotdogs at an astonishing pace while the crowd cheers on. The aroma of sizzling hotdogs wafts through the air, mixing with the hum of the UFO, creating an otherworldly atmosphere as the champion and the alien tourists engage in a close encounter of the hunger kind. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image of a festive South Dakota town, with a gigantic UFO hovering in the sky. The streets are packed with alien tourists eagerly lining up to witness Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition. The reigning champion stands confidently at the center of a bustling stage, consuming hot dogs at an incredible pace while the crowd cheers on. The aroma of sizzling hot dogs fills the air, blending with the UFO's hum, creating an otherworldly atmosphere as the champion and the alien tourists engage in a close encounter of the hunger kind.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how increases in UFO sightings in South Dakota positively influenced Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Include one good pun.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Exploring the Link Between Extraterrestrial Sightings and Hotdog Consumption: A Close Encounter of the Culinary Kind

The International Journal of Gastronomic Anomalies

Jan 2024
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between UFO sightings in South Dakota and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Make the title seem clever.

Your research team used data from National UFO Reporting Center and Wikipedia to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.8472202 and p < 0.01 for 1979 to 2021.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
Exploring the Link Between Extraterrestrial Sightings and Hotdog Consumption: A Close Encounter of the Culinary Kind

[[ABSTRACT]]
The curious relationship between unidentified flying objects (UFOs) and the consumption of hotdogs by the infamous Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion has long puzzled both researchers and enthusiasts alike. In this study, we sought to investigate the potential association between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the hotdog consumption patterns of the reigning champion. The data utilized in this analysis spanned over four decades, from 1979 to 2021, drawing from the National UFO Reporting Center and Wikipedia for comprehensive coverage.

Our findings revealed a remarkable correlation coefficient of 0.8472202 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a robust connection between these seemingly disparate phenomena. This unexpected linkage may provide a novel perspective on the culinary choices of extraterrestrial visitors, and perhaps offer insight into the champion's astronomical appetite for hotdogs. As the data illuminates the synergy between UFO sightings and hotdog consumption, one might jest that the champion's celestial prowess is truly out of this world.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between UFO sightings in South Dakota and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Exploring the Link Between Extraterrestrial Sightings and Hotdog Consumption: A Close Encounter of the Culinary Kind

[[ABSTRACT]]
The curious relationship between unidentified flying objects (UFOs) and the consumption of hotdogs by the infamous Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion has long puzzled both researchers and enthusiasts alike. In this study, we sought to investigate the potential association between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the hotdog consumption patterns of the reigning champion. The data utilized in this analysis spanned over four decades, from 1979 to 2021, drawing from the National UFO Reporting Center and Wikipedia for comprehensive coverage.

Our findings revealed a remarkable correlation coefficient of 0.8472202 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a robust connection between these seemingly disparate phenomena. This unexpected linkage may provide a novel perspective on the culinary choices of extraterrestrial visitors, and perhaps offer insight into the champion's astronomical appetite for hotdogs. As the data illuminates the synergy between UFO sightings and hotdog consumption, one might jest that the champion's celestial prowess is truly out of this world.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

The enigmatic allure of unidentified flying objects (UFOs) has captivated the imagination of the public for decades, prompting countless speculations and theories. Simultaneously, the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition has garnered attention for its display of gastronomic fortitude. The unexpected convergence of these two disparate subjects has sparked considerable interest among researchers, leading to the present investigation of the potential relationship between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the consumption of hotdogs by the reigning champion.

As we embark on this scholarly exploration, it is essential to maintain a critical and inquisitive disposition, as well as a healthy sense of humor. After all, it is said that the truth is out there – not unlike a well-grilled hotdog on a summer's day.

The nexus of these phenomena is not to be taken lightly, as it may shed light on hitherto unexplored aspects of human-alien interaction. This investigation seeks to address the following question: Could there be a meaningful connection between UFO sightings and the consumption of hotdogs by the champion, or are we merely observing a statistical fluke of cosmic proportions? One could say we are taking an "intergalactic" approach to gastronomic analysis.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between UFO sightings in South Dakota and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name a couple popular internet memes that are related to one of the topics.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Exploring the Link Between Extraterrestrial Sightings and Hotdog Consumption: A Close Encounter of the Culinary Kind

[[ABSTRACT]]
The curious relationship between unidentified flying objects (UFOs) and the consumption of hotdogs by the infamous Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion has long puzzled both researchers and enthusiasts alike. In this study, we sought to investigate the potential association between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the hotdog consumption patterns of the reigning champion. The data utilized in this analysis spanned over four decades, from 1979 to 2021, drawing from the National UFO Reporting Center and Wikipedia for comprehensive coverage.

Our findings revealed a remarkable correlation coefficient of 0.8472202 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a robust connection between these seemingly disparate phenomena. This unexpected linkage may provide a novel perspective on the culinary choices of extraterrestrial visitors, and perhaps offer insight into the champion's astronomical appetite for hotdogs. As the data illuminates the synergy between UFO sightings and hotdog consumption, one might jest that the champion's celestial prowess is truly out of this world.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The enigmatic allure of unidentified flying objects (UFOs) has captivated the imagination of the public for decades, prompting countless speculations and theories. Simultaneously, the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition has garnered attention for its display of gastronomic fortitude. The unexpected convergence of these two disparate subjects has sparked considerable interest among researchers, leading to the present investigation of the potential relationship between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the consumption of hotdogs by the reigning champion.
As we embark on this scholarly exploration, it is essential to maintain a critical and inquisitive disposition, as well as a healthy sense of humor. After all, it is said that the truth is out there – not unlike a well-grilled hotdog on a summer's day.
The nexus of these phenomena is not to be taken lightly, as it may shed light on hitherto unexplored aspects of human-alien interaction. This investigation seeks to address the following question: Could there be a meaningful connection between UFO sightings and the consumption of hotdogs by the champion, or are we merely observing a statistical fluke of cosmic proportions? One could say we are taking an "intergalactic" approach to gastronomic analysis.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

Previous research on the connection between UFO sightings and unusual food consumption has been relatively scarce. In their seminal work, Smith and Doe (2005) failed to uncover any substantial link between extraterrestrial activity and competitive eating habits. However, it is worth noting that their study did not specifically focus on the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, leaving open the possibility of an overlooked association.

Jones et al. (2012) conducted a comprehensive analysis of anomalous dietary patterns in relation to UFO sightings, albeit within a global context. Their findings suggested a tenuous correlation between alien spacecraft sightings and unexplained spikes in ice cream consumption, leading to a reevaluation of popular notions of extraterrestrial gastronomy and preferences. This illustrates that there are a plethora of culinary curiosities within the realm of UFO studies that continue to unfold.

Expanding beyond academic research, popular non-fiction works such as "The UFO Phenomenon: Fact, Fantasy, and Disinformation" by John E. Mack and "Competitive Eating: The Ins and Outs of Gluttony" by Hodges Gales offer insightful perspectives on the intricacies of both UFO phenomena and competitive eating, respectively. These works serve as valuable resources for contextualizing our investigation within the broader societal and cultural spectrum.

Furthermore, the fictional realm has not been immune to exploring the intersection of UFOs and culinary exploits. Novels such as "The Restaurant at the End of the Universe" by Douglas Adams and "Diners After Dark: Close Encounters of the Culinary Kind" by T.A. Sturgeon bring forth imaginative narratives that blur the boundaries between cosmic mysteries and gastronomic revelations. These literary contributions impart a whimsical yet thought-provoking dimension to our quest for understanding.

In the realm of internet culture, the pervasive "Aliens Guy" meme, attributable to Giorgio A. Tsoukalos from the television series "Ancient Aliens," humorously underscores the enduring fascination with extraterrestrial phenomena. The meme's ubiquity serves as a testament to the enduring allure of considering otherworldly influences in various aspects of human life, including dietary predilections.

With these diverse influences in mind, the present inquiry endeavors to weave together the threads of UFO sightings and hotdog consumption by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion, offering a nod to both scholarly rigor and a spirit of lighthearted inquiry. The reality may be stranger than fiction, but we shall endeavor to unravel the cosmic conundrum with relish.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between UFO sightings in South Dakota and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from National UFO Reporting Center and Wikipedia . You used data from 1979 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Exploring the Link Between Extraterrestrial Sightings and Hotdog Consumption: A Close Encounter of the Culinary Kind

[[ABSTRACT]]
The curious relationship between unidentified flying objects (UFOs) and the consumption of hotdogs by the infamous Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion has long puzzled both researchers and enthusiasts alike. In this study, we sought to investigate the potential association between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the hotdog consumption patterns of the reigning champion. The data utilized in this analysis spanned over four decades, from 1979 to 2021, drawing from the National UFO Reporting Center and Wikipedia for comprehensive coverage.

Our findings revealed a remarkable correlation coefficient of 0.8472202 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a robust connection between these seemingly disparate phenomena. This unexpected linkage may provide a novel perspective on the culinary choices of extraterrestrial visitors, and perhaps offer insight into the champion's astronomical appetite for hotdogs. As the data illuminates the synergy between UFO sightings and hotdog consumption, one might jest that the champion's celestial prowess is truly out of this world.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
The enigmatic allure of unidentified flying objects (UFOs) has captivated the imagination of the public for decades, prompting countless speculations and theories. Simultaneously, the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition has garnered attention for its display of gastronomic fortitude. The unexpected convergence of these two disparate subjects has sparked considerable interest among researchers, leading to the present investigation of the potential relationship between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the consumption of hotdogs by the reigning champion.
As we embark on this scholarly exploration, it is essential to maintain a critical and inquisitive disposition, as well as a healthy sense of humor. After all, it is said that the truth is out there – not unlike a well-grilled hotdog on a summer's day.
The nexus of these phenomena is not to be taken lightly, as it may shed light on hitherto unexplored aspects of human-alien interaction. This investigation seeks to address the following question: Could there be a meaningful connection between UFO sightings and the consumption of hotdogs by the champion, or are we merely observing a statistical fluke of cosmic proportions? One could say we are taking an "intergalactic" approach to gastronomic analysis.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To investigate the purported correlation between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the consumption of hotdogs by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion, a comprehensive and methodical approach was employed. The data utilized in this study encompassed a 42-year timeframe, spanning from 1979 to 2021, and was primarily sourced from the National UFO Reporting Center and Wikipedia. The comprehensive nature of these sources ensured a broad coverage of UFO sightings and hotdog consumption trends, allowing for a robust analysis of the potential association between these phenomena.

The first step in the analysis involved the compilation of UFO sighting reports from South Dakota over the specified period. These reports ranged from various sources, including eyewitness testimonies, official documentation, and, on occasion, the occasional grainy photograph or video. The weather balloon reports were particularly scrutinized with the utmost care – after all, we don't want to conflate extraterrestrial visitations with mundane atmospheric conditions!

Simultaneously, the hotdog consumption patterns of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion were meticulously collated, taking into account the annual consumption figures, competitive performance data, and any notable media coverage of the champion's gastronomic endeavors. This involved a deep dive into the annals of competitive eating competitions, as well as an analysis of the cultural impact of hotdog consumption on the champion’s public image.

After the data collection phase, the next crucial step was to establish a robust methodology for assessing the potential correlation between UFO sightings and hotdog consumption. Given the unorthodox nature of this investigation, a bespoke statistical approach was devised, incorporating elements of time-series analysis, spatial correlation, and the whimsical art of celestial humor.

The dataset was subjected to rigorous statistical analysis, employing advanced techniques to detect temporal and spatial patterns in UFO sightings and hotdog consumption. The correlation coefficient was calculated to quantify the strength and direction of the relationship, while the p-value was utilized to assess the statistical significance of any observed associations. Our approach allowed for the identification of any peculiar patterns that may reveal a deeper connection between these seemingly unrelated phenomena.

Furthermore, to account for potential confounding variables and spurious correlations, sensitivity analyses were conducted, considering external factors such as major celestial events, changes in hotdog consumption trends, and any significant shifts in UFO reporting practices. This approach ensured that our findings were grounded in rigorous empirical analysis, free from the gravitational pull of spurious associations.

In adhering to the principles of scientific inquiry, the limitations of the study were also carefully considered. While the data provided a comprehensive overview of UFO sightings and hotdog consumption, inherent biases and reporting discrepancies could not be entirely mitigated. Nevertheless, the alignment of the observed correlation with theoretical expectations and previous anecdotal evidence bolstered the confidence in our findings.

In closing, the methodology employed in this investigation aimed to offer a systematic, albeit lighthearted, approach to exploring the potential connection between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the hotdog consumption habits of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. Our analytical framework defied convention, embracing the whimsy of the unknown while endeavoring to shed light on this celestial conundrum. After all, what better way to probe the mysteries of the universe than through the lens of gastronomic indulgence and cosmic curiosity?


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between UFO sightings in South Dakota and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from National UFO Reporting Center and Wikipedia .

For the time period 1979 to 2021, you found a correlation 0.8472202, r-squared of 0.7177820, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Exploring the Link Between Extraterrestrial Sightings and Hotdog Consumption: A Close Encounter of the Culinary Kind

[[ABSTRACT]]
The curious relationship between unidentified flying objects (UFOs) and the consumption of hotdogs by the infamous Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion has long puzzled both researchers and enthusiasts alike. In this study, we sought to investigate the potential association between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the hotdog consumption patterns of the reigning champion. The data utilized in this analysis spanned over four decades, from 1979 to 2021, drawing from the National UFO Reporting Center and Wikipedia for comprehensive coverage.

Our findings revealed a remarkable correlation coefficient of 0.8472202 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a robust connection between these seemingly disparate phenomena. This unexpected linkage may provide a novel perspective on the culinary choices of extraterrestrial visitors, and perhaps offer insight into the champion's astronomical appetite for hotdogs. As the data illuminates the synergy between UFO sightings and hotdog consumption, one might jest that the champion's celestial prowess is truly out of this world.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
The enigmatic allure of unidentified flying objects (UFOs) has captivated the imagination of the public for decades, prompting countless speculations and theories. Simultaneously, the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition has garnered attention for its display of gastronomic fortitude. The unexpected convergence of these two disparate subjects has sparked considerable interest among researchers, leading to the present investigation of the potential relationship between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the consumption of hotdogs by the reigning champion.
As we embark on this scholarly exploration, it is essential to maintain a critical and inquisitive disposition, as well as a healthy sense of humor. After all, it is said that the truth is out there – not unlike a well-grilled hotdog on a summer's day.
The nexus of these phenomena is not to be taken lightly, as it may shed light on hitherto unexplored aspects of human-alien interaction. This investigation seeks to address the following question: Could there be a meaningful connection between UFO sightings and the consumption of hotdogs by the champion, or are we merely observing a statistical fluke of cosmic proportions? One could say we are taking an "intergalactic" approach to gastronomic analysis.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The correlation analysis conducted on the data collected from the National UFO Reporting Center and Wikipedia yielded a correlation coefficient of 0.8472202 between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the consumption of hotdogs by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion, indicating a strong positive relationship between these variables. This statistical finding suggests that as the number of reported UFO sightings in South Dakota increased, the quantity of hotdogs consumed by the champion also rose in a corresponding fashion. One might jest that the extraterrestrial visitors have a penchant for a good ol' hotdog roast, even if it's out of this world.

The coefficient of determination (r-squared) was calculated to be 0.7177820, signifying that approximately 71.78% of the variability in hotdog consumption by the champion can be explained by the variability in UFO sightings in South Dakota. Thus, while there may be other factors at play, the relationship between UFO sightings and the champion's hotdog consumption cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence. This substantial explanatory power paints a clear picture of the influence of celestial visitations on culinary preferences, leading one to ponder whether the champion's diet might be considered "alien-approved."

Furthermore, the p-value obtained from the analysis was less than 0.01, indicating that the observed correlation is statistically significant at the 99% confidence level. This suggests that the correlation between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the consumption of hotdogs by the champion is not likely due to random chance. It is as if the cosmos themselves have conspired to reveal this intriguing union, prompting one to wonder about the extraterrestrial culinary delights that may be yet to be discovered. It seems that the stars have aligned to uncover the cosmic connection between UFO sightings and the champion's voracious appetite for hotdogs.

The scatterplot in Figure 1 visually depicts the strong correlation between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the consumption of hotdogs by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. As expected, the data points form a noticeable positive trend, affirming the statistical findings and providing a compelling illustration of the close association between these unusual variables. The visual representation of this correlation brings to mind the age-old question: if a hotdog disappeared in a UFO, would it be considered an "unidentified feeding object"?


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between UFO sightings in South Dakota and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Exploring the Link Between Extraterrestrial Sightings and Hotdog Consumption: A Close Encounter of the Culinary Kind

[[ABSTRACT]]
The curious relationship between unidentified flying objects (UFOs) and the consumption of hotdogs by the infamous Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion has long puzzled both researchers and enthusiasts alike. In this study, we sought to investigate the potential association between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the hotdog consumption patterns of the reigning champion. The data utilized in this analysis spanned over four decades, from 1979 to 2021, drawing from the National UFO Reporting Center and Wikipedia for comprehensive coverage.

Our findings revealed a remarkable correlation coefficient of 0.8472202 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a robust connection between these seemingly disparate phenomena. This unexpected linkage may provide a novel perspective on the culinary choices of extraterrestrial visitors, and perhaps offer insight into the champion's astronomical appetite for hotdogs. As the data illuminates the synergy between UFO sightings and hotdog consumption, one might jest that the champion's celestial prowess is truly out of this world.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
Previous research on the connection between UFO sightings and unusual food consumption has been relatively scarce. In their seminal work, Smith and Doe (2005) failed to uncover any substantial link between extraterrestrial activity and competitive eating habits. However, it is worth noting that their study did not specifically focus on the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, leaving open the possibility of an overlooked association.
Jones et al. (2012) conducted a comprehensive analysis of anomalous dietary patterns in relation to UFO sightings, albeit within a global context. Their findings suggested a tenuous correlation between alien spacecraft sightings and unexplained spikes in ice cream consumption, leading to a reevaluation of popular notions of extraterrestrial gastronomy and preferences. This illustrates that there are a plethora of culinary curiosities within the realm of UFO studies that continue to unfold.
Expanding beyond academic research, popular non-fiction works such as "The UFO Phenomenon: Fact, Fantasy, and Disinformation" by John E. Mack and "Competitive Eating: The Ins and Outs of Gluttony" by Hodges Gales offer insightful perspectives on the intricacies of both UFO phenomena and competitive eating, respectively. These works serve as valuable resources for contextualizing our investigation within the broader societal and cultural spectrum.
Furthermore, the fictional realm has not been immune to exploring the intersection of UFOs and culinary exploits. Novels such as "The Restaurant at the End of the Universe" by Douglas Adams and "Diners After Dark: Close Encounters of the Culinary Kind" by T.A. Sturgeon bring forth imaginative narratives that blur the boundaries between cosmic mysteries and gastronomic revelations. These literary contributions impart a whimsical yet thought-provoking dimension to our quest for understanding.
In the realm of internet culture, the pervasive "Aliens Guy" meme, attributable to Giorgio A. Tsoukalos from the television series "Ancient Aliens," humorously underscores the enduring fascination with extraterrestrial phenomena. The meme's ubiquity serves as a testament to the enduring allure of considering otherworldly influences in various aspects of human life, including dietary predilections.
With these diverse influences in mind, the present inquiry endeavors to weave together the threads of UFO sightings and hotdog consumption by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion, offering a nod to both scholarly rigor and a spirit of lighthearted inquiry. The reality may be stranger than fiction, but we shall endeavor to unravel the cosmic conundrum with relish.

[[RESULTS]]
The correlation analysis conducted on the data collected from the National UFO Reporting Center and Wikipedia yielded a correlation coefficient of 0.8472202 between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the consumption of hotdogs by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion, indicating a strong positive relationship between these variables. This statistical finding suggests that as the number of reported UFO sightings in South Dakota increased, the quantity of hotdogs consumed by the champion also rose in a corresponding fashion. One might jest that the extraterrestrial visitors have a penchant for a good ol' hotdog roast, even if it's out of this world.
The coefficient of determination (r-squared) was calculated to be 0.7177820, signifying that approximately 71.78% of the variability in hotdog consumption by the champion can be explained by the variability in UFO sightings in South Dakota. Thus, while there may be other factors at play, the relationship between UFO sightings and the champion's hotdog consumption cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence. This substantial explanatory power paints a clear picture of the influence of celestial visitations on culinary preferences, leading one to ponder whether the champion's diet might be considered "alien-approved."
Furthermore, the p-value obtained from the analysis was less than 0.01, indicating that the observed correlation is statistically significant at the 99% confidence level. This suggests that the correlation between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the consumption of hotdogs by the champion is not likely due to random chance. It is as if the cosmos themselves have conspired to reveal this intriguing union, prompting one to wonder about the extraterrestrial culinary delights that may be yet to be discovered. It seems that the stars have aligned to uncover the cosmic connection between UFO sightings and the champion's voracious appetite for hotdogs.
The scatterplot in Figure 1 visually depicts the strong correlation between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the consumption of hotdogs by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. As expected, the data points form a noticeable positive trend, affirming the statistical findings and providing a compelling illustration of the close association between these unusual variables. The visual representation of this correlation brings to mind the age-old question: if a hotdog disappeared in a UFO, would it be considered an "unidentified feeding object"?

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The results of the current investigation offer compelling evidence in support of the theoretical framework that posits a connection between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the prodigious consumption of hotdogs by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. The robust correlation coefficient underlines the substantial relationship between these seemingly unrelated phenomena, shedding light on a celestial culinary affinity that transcends terrestrial boundaries. This unexpected linkage prompts one to ponder whether extraterrestrial visitors harbor an appetite for terrestrial fare, or if the champion's gustatory feats have drawn cosmic attention in a manner hitherto unforeseen.

Building upon the prior research by Smith and Doe (2005) and Jones et al. (2012), the present study extends the exploration of anomalous dietary patterns in the context of UFO activity, albeit with a focus on the unique proclivity for hotdogs. While previous inquiries have probed the enigmatic connection between extraterrestrial phenomena and gastronomic idiosyncrasies with mixed results, the current findings provide a novel perspective on the cosmic culinary landscape, emphasizing the need to consider the intersection of interstellar visitors and earthly sustenance with scholarly rigor and a dash of relish.

The substantial coefficient of determination obtained in this study elucidates the extent to which UFO sightings in South Dakota explain the variation in hotdog consumption by the champion, exhibiting a noteworthy explanatory power that signifies the salience of celestial influences on dietary choices. This statistical insight prompts one to contemplate whether the champion's unwavering appetite for hotdogs reflects an otherworldly predilection, or if indeed, the stars themselves exert an indelible influence on the champion's gustatory accomplishments. One might playfully muse that the champion's success may owe itself to a "close encounter of the culinary kind."

The statistically significant p-value further fortifies the credibility of the observed correlation between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the hotdog consumption patterns of the champion. Such a finding alludes to a cosmic conspiration that beckons contemplation of the enigmatic relationship between celestial visitations and human consumption habits. It seems that the statistical evidence is as persuasive as a well-told dad joke, leaving little room for skepticism regarding the intertwined nature of UFO sightings and the curious lure of hotdogs.

In light of the visually compelling scatterplot that graphically depicts the positive trend between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the consumption of hotdogs by the champion, one cannot help but marvel at the cosmic choreography that seems to blend extraterrestrial observances with earthly appetites. The intriguing association between these variables adds a whimsical dimension to the oft-mundane realm of statistical analyses, underscoring the idiosyncratic interplay between celestial phenomena and terrestrial indulgences. As the data paints a vivid picture of the close correspondence between these seemingly disparate dynamics, one might jest that the champion's culinary feats are truly "out of this world."

In conclusion, the present study offers a unique vantage point from which to contemplate the interplay between UFO sightings and hotdog consumption, ushering the discourse into uncharted territory that defies conventional expectations. The celestial culinary conundrum remains ripe for further exploration, beckoning researchers to peer beyond the terrestrial veil and embrace the cosmic quirks that enliven our understanding of both extraterrestrial phenomena and earthly epicurean delights.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a dry but witty academic researcher. You speak in the passive voice, and your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between UFO sightings in South Dakota and Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Exploring the Link Between Extraterrestrial Sightings and Hotdog Consumption: A Close Encounter of the Culinary Kind

[[ABSTRACT]]
The curious relationship between unidentified flying objects (UFOs) and the consumption of hotdogs by the infamous Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion has long puzzled both researchers and enthusiasts alike. In this study, we sought to investigate the potential association between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the hotdog consumption patterns of the reigning champion. The data utilized in this analysis spanned over four decades, from 1979 to 2021, drawing from the National UFO Reporting Center and Wikipedia for comprehensive coverage.

Our findings revealed a remarkable correlation coefficient of 0.8472202 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a robust connection between these seemingly disparate phenomena. This unexpected linkage may provide a novel perspective on the culinary choices of extraterrestrial visitors, and perhaps offer insight into the champion's astronomical appetite for hotdogs. As the data illuminates the synergy between UFO sightings and hotdog consumption, one might jest that the champion's celestial prowess is truly out of this world.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The enigmatic allure of unidentified flying objects (UFOs) has captivated the imagination of the public for decades, prompting countless speculations and theories. Simultaneously, the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition has garnered attention for its display of gastronomic fortitude. The unexpected convergence of these two disparate subjects has sparked considerable interest among researchers, leading to the present investigation of the potential relationship between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the consumption of hotdogs by the reigning champion.
As we embark on this scholarly exploration, it is essential to maintain a critical and inquisitive disposition, as well as a healthy sense of humor. After all, it is said that the truth is out there – not unlike a well-grilled hotdog on a summer's day.
The nexus of these phenomena is not to be taken lightly, as it may shed light on hitherto unexplored aspects of human-alien interaction. This investigation seeks to address the following question: Could there be a meaningful connection between UFO sightings and the consumption of hotdogs by the champion, or are we merely observing a statistical fluke of cosmic proportions? One could say we are taking an "intergalactic" approach to gastronomic analysis.

[[RESULTS]]
The correlation analysis conducted on the data collected from the National UFO Reporting Center and Wikipedia yielded a correlation coefficient of 0.8472202 between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the consumption of hotdogs by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion, indicating a strong positive relationship between these variables. This statistical finding suggests that as the number of reported UFO sightings in South Dakota increased, the quantity of hotdogs consumed by the champion also rose in a corresponding fashion. One might jest that the extraterrestrial visitors have a penchant for a good ol' hotdog roast, even if it's out of this world.
The coefficient of determination (r-squared) was calculated to be 0.7177820, signifying that approximately 71.78% of the variability in hotdog consumption by the champion can be explained by the variability in UFO sightings in South Dakota. Thus, while there may be other factors at play, the relationship between UFO sightings and the champion's hotdog consumption cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence. This substantial explanatory power paints a clear picture of the influence of celestial visitations on culinary preferences, leading one to ponder whether the champion's diet might be considered "alien-approved."
Furthermore, the p-value obtained from the analysis was less than 0.01, indicating that the observed correlation is statistically significant at the 99% confidence level. This suggests that the correlation between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the consumption of hotdogs by the champion is not likely due to random chance. It is as if the cosmos themselves have conspired to reveal this intriguing union, prompting one to wonder about the extraterrestrial culinary delights that may be yet to be discovered. It seems that the stars have aligned to uncover the cosmic connection between UFO sightings and the champion's voracious appetite for hotdogs.
The scatterplot in Figure 1 visually depicts the strong correlation between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the consumption of hotdogs by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. As expected, the data points form a noticeable positive trend, affirming the statistical findings and providing a compelling illustration of the close association between these unusual variables. The visual representation of this correlation brings to mind the age-old question: if a hotdog disappeared in a UFO, would it be considered an "unidentified feeding object"?

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, the present study has uncovered a remarkable and statistically significant correlation between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the consumption of hotdogs by the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion. This unexpected linkage between celestial visitations and astronomical culinary feats prompts one to wonder if these extraterrestrial beings are also passionate fans of mustard and relish. It appears that the cosmic connection between UFO sightings and the champion's voracious appetite for hot dogs is more than just a flight of fancy.

Astoundingly, the data demonstrate an astonishing correlation coefficient of 0.8472202 with a p-value less than 0.01, signaling that this relationship is no mere statistical fluke. It seems that as UFO sightings increase, so does the consumption of hotdogs by the champion, leading one to ponder if aliens have a cosmic craving for processed meat. Perhaps this champion's diet might indeed be "alien-approved," much to the chagrin of traditional intergalactic fare.

From a broader perspective, this research sheds light on the unexplored realm of extraterrestrial gastronomy and its influence on earthling consumption patterns. As we ponder the implications of these findings, one cannot help but wonder if the champion's impressive gastronomic feats have been unwittingly supported by otherworldly forces. Perhaps we are witnessing a case of interstellar appetite enhancement, where the cosmos conspire to bolster the hotdog consumption of the champion.

With these findings in mind, one might be compelled to contemplate the prospect of a cosmic cookout, where humans and aliens alike gather for a grand intergalactic barbecue. After all, if a hotdog vanished in a UFO, would that make it an "unidentified feeding object"? This humorous conjecture aside, the robust statistical evidence presented in this study suggests that no further research is needed in this area. It seems that the truth is indeed out there, and it is snuggled cozily between UFO sightings and hotdog consumption by the champion.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Exploring the Link Between Extraterrestrial Sightings and Hotdog Consumption: A Close Encounter of the Culinary Kind. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The International Journal of Gastronomic Anomalies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Exploring the Link Between Extraterrestrial Sightings and Hotdog Consumption: A Close Encounter of the Culinary Kind. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Intergalactic Gastronomy Research Society


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Exploring the Link Between Extraterrestrial Sightings and Hotdog Consumption: A Close Encounter of the Culinary Kind with an abstract of The curious relationship between unidentified flying objects (UFOs) and the consumption of hotdogs by the infamous Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion has long puzzled both researchers and enthusiasts alike. In this study, we sought to investigate the potential association between UFO sightings in South Dakota and the hotdog consumption patterns of the reigning champion. The data utilized in this analysis spanned over four decades, from 1979 to 2021, drawing from the National UFO Reporting Center and Wikipedia for comprehensive coverage.
Our findings revealed a remarkable correlation coefficient of 0.8472202 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a robust connection between these seemingly disparate phenomena. This unexpected linkage may provide a novel perspective on the culinary choices of extraterrestrial visitors, and perhaps offer insight into the champion's astronomical appetite for hotdogs. As the data illuminates the synergy between UFO sightings and hotdog consumption, one might jest that the champion's celestial prowess is truly out of this world.

ChatGPT:

UFO sightings, hotdog consumption, Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition, correlation coefficient, statistical significance, South Dakota, National UFO Reporting Center, Wikipedia, extraterrestrial visitors, culinary choices, champion's appetite

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

UFO sightings in South Dakota
Detailed data title: UFO sightings reported in South Dakota
Source: National UFO Reporting Center
See what else correlates with UFO sightings in South Dakota

Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion
Detailed data title: Hotdog Consumption by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion
Source: Wikipedia
See what else correlates with Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion

Correlation r = 0.8472202 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.7177820 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 71.8% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., UFO sightings in South Dakota) over the 43 years from 1979 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 7.91E-13. 0.0000000000007906833264348501
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.85 in 7.91E-11% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 1,264,728,832,096 random variables You don't actually need 1 trillion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 42 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 42 because we have two variables measured over a period of 43 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.73, 0.91 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
1979198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
UFO sightings in South Dakota (UFO sightings)101011001000011431373758712871281312152420211523171115153
Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion (Hotdogs eaten)99.5111110.59.511.7515.513.51015.51621.519172019.522.2524.51920.25255050.544.553.334953.75665968546268696162707274717576




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Outlandish outliers: There are "outliers" in this data. In concept, "outlier" just means "way different than the rest of your dataset." When calculating a correlation like this, they are particularly impactful because a single outlier can substantially increase your correlation.

    For the purposes of this project, I counted a point as an outlier if it the residual was two standard deviations from the mean.

    (This bullet point only shows up in the details page on charts that do, in fact, have outliers.)
    They stand out on the scatterplot above: notice the dots that are far away from any other dots. I intentionally mishandeled outliers, which makes the correlation look extra strong.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([1,0,1,0,1,1,0,0,1,0,0,0,0,1,1,4,3,1,3,7,3,7,5,8,7,12,8,7,12,8,13,12,15,24,20,21,15,23,17,11,15,15,3,])
array_2 = np.array([9,9.5,11,11,10.5,9.5,11.75,15.5,13.5,10,15.5,16,21.5,19,17,20,19.5,22.25,24.5,19,20.25,25,50,50.5,44.5,53.33,49,53.75,66,59,68,54,62,68,69,61,62,70,72,74,71,75,76,])
array_1_name = "UFO sightings in South Dakota"
array_2_name = "Hotdogs consumed by Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Competition Champion"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 3899 · Black Variable ID: 1196 · Red Variable ID: 500
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