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Spurious correlation #3,755 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is US per-person consumption of bottled water and the second variable is Corning's stock price (GLW).  The chart goes from 2002 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As the demand for bottled water rose, so did the need for Corning's glass to contain it, leading to a surge in stock price. It's a glass act for Corning as they ride the wave of hydration!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image of a futuristic cybernetic city street, where people are carrying transparent bottles of water and sipping from them as they walk. Alongside the street, there is a holographic stock market board displaying Corning's stock price (GLW) steadily rising. In the background, cybernetic construction workers are seen installing translucent and sleek pipes and toilets, all made with Corning's innovative glass and ceramic products, in response to the increased demand. The scene should be illuminated with vibrant neon lights and have a techno-organic aesthetic. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: US per-person consumption of bottled water and Corning's stock price (GLW). Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Oragami Charcoal Surrealism Cybernetic art Concept art
ChatGPT: Cybernetic art

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both US per-person consumption of bottled water and Corning's stock price (GLW), in the following situation: Because the rise in bottled water consumption led to an uptick in thirst, causing people to drink more and thus visit the bathroom more frequently. This increased demand for toilets and pipes, which are made with Corning's products, thus boosting their stock price. More bottles, more pottles!. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In the scene, we see people carrying bottles of water and sipping from them as they walk down the street. On the side, there is a stock market board displaying Corning's stock price (GLW) steadily rising. In the background, there are construction workers installing pipes and toilets, all made with Corning's products, in response to the increased demand.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Cybernetic art ] and depicting this scene: In the scene, we see people carrying bottles of water and sipping from them as they walk down the street. On the side, there is a stock market board displaying Corning's stock price (GLW) steadily rising. In the background, there are construction workers installing pipes and toilets, all made with Corning's products, in response to the increased demand. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image of a futuristic cybernetic city street, where people are carrying transparent bottles of water and sipping from them as they walk. Alongside the street, there is a holographic stock market board displaying Corning's stock price (GLW) steadily rising. In the background, cybernetic construction workers are seen installing translucent and sleek pipes and toilets, all made with Corning's innovative glass and ceramic products, in response to the increased demand. The scene should be illuminated with vibrant neon lights and have a techno-organic aesthetic.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in US per-person consumption of bottled water caused Corning's stock price (GLW) to increase. Include one good pun.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Pouring Over the Data: The Bottled Water-Corning's GLW Connection

The Journal of Liquid Analysis

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between US per-person consumption of bottled water and Corning's stock price (GLW). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Include a pun in the title.

Your research team used data from Statista and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.8883985 and p < 0.01 for 2002 to 2022.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
Pouring Over the Data: The Bottled Water-Corning's GLW Connection

[[ABSTRACT]]
Thirsty for knowledge, we embarked on a quest to unravel the mysterious link between per-person consumption of bottled water in the US and Corning's stock price (GLW). Armed with data from Statista and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we dug deep into the statistics and unearthed an astonishing correlation coefficient of 0.8883985, with a significance level of p < 0.01 for the period spanning from 2002 to 2022. Our findings not only quench the curiosity of financial analysts but also bubble up unexpected insights into the interplay between hydration habits and the stock market. Join us on this refreshing journey through the realms of economic whimsy and statistical serendipity!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between US per-person consumption of bottled water and Corning's stock price (GLW). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Pouring Over the Data: The Bottled Water-Corning's GLW Connection

[[ABSTRACT]]
Thirsty for knowledge, we embarked on a quest to unravel the mysterious link between per-person consumption of bottled water in the US and Corning's stock price (GLW). Armed with data from Statista and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we dug deep into the statistics and unearthed an astonishing correlation coefficient of 0.8883985, with a significance level of p < 0.01 for the period spanning from 2002 to 2022. Our findings not only quench the curiosity of financial analysts but also bubble up unexpected insights into the interplay between hydration habits and the stock market. Join us on this refreshing journey through the realms of economic whimsy and statistical serendipity!

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

Water, water everywhere, but what's the deal with bottled water's impact on Corning's stock price? This seemingly quixotic question has beguiled curious minds and perplexed financial wizards for years. However, armed with an insatiable thirst for knowledge and an unyielding determination to quench our intellectual curiosity, we set out on a journey to demystify this enigmatic relationship.

As we dive into the data, we find ourselves swimming in a sea of surprising revelations. Our study uncovers a correlation between per-person consumption of bottled water in the US and Corning's stock price (GLW) that is so strong, it's making waves in the financial world. With a correlation coefficient of 0.8883985 and a significance level of p < 0.01 over a two-decade period, we can't help but be drawn into the depths of this unexpected interplay.

Perhaps this connection is a twist in the tide of economic trends, a ripple effect of consumer behavior, or a splash of statistical serendipity. Whatever it may be, one thing is clear – this correlation is making a splash in the academic community and leaving us thirsty for a deeper understanding of the underlying mechanisms at play.

So, grab a bottled water, raise a glass to economic whimsy, and join us as we pour over the data to unravel the mysteries of this intriguing relationship. In the words of the great philosopher H2O-vid: "Just keep swimming... in the sea of data."


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between US per-person consumption of bottled water and Corning's stock price (GLW). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then you might move on to cartoons and children's shows that you watched for research.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Pouring Over the Data: The Bottled Water-Corning's GLW Connection

[[ABSTRACT]]
Thirsty for knowledge, we embarked on a quest to unravel the mysterious link between per-person consumption of bottled water in the US and Corning's stock price (GLW). Armed with data from Statista and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we dug deep into the statistics and unearthed an astonishing correlation coefficient of 0.8883985, with a significance level of p < 0.01 for the period spanning from 2002 to 2022. Our findings not only quench the curiosity of financial analysts but also bubble up unexpected insights into the interplay between hydration habits and the stock market. Join us on this refreshing journey through the realms of economic whimsy and statistical serendipity!

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
Water, water everywhere, but what's the deal with bottled water's impact on Corning's stock price? This seemingly quixotic question has beguiled curious minds and perplexed financial wizards for years. However, armed with an insatiable thirst for knowledge and an unyielding determination to quench our intellectual curiosity, we set out on a journey to demystify this enigmatic relationship.
As we dive into the data, we find ourselves swimming in a sea of surprising revelations. Our study uncovers a correlation between per-person consumption of bottled water in the US and Corning's stock price (GLW) that is so strong, it's making waves in the financial world. With a correlation coefficient of 0.8883985 and a significance level of p < 0.01 over a two-decade period, we can't help but be drawn into the depths of this unexpected interplay.
Perhaps this connection is a twist in the tide of economic trends, a ripple effect of consumer behavior, or a splash of statistical serendipity. Whatever it may be, one thing is clear – this correlation is making a splash in the academic community and leaving us thirsty for a deeper understanding of the underlying mechanisms at play.
So, grab a bottled water, raise a glass to economic whimsy, and join us as we pour over the data to unravel the mysteries of this intriguing relationship. In the words of the great philosopher H2O-vid: "Just keep swimming... in the sea of data."

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

Smith et al. (2010) shed light on the complexities of consumer behavior, untangling the influences of convenience, health consciousness, and marketing strategies in driving the surge in bottled water consumption. Their in-depth analysis unveils a thirst for portability, a quest for hydration, and a marketing deluge that has inundated the beverage industry. As we drink in their findings, it becomes clear that the rise in bottled water consumption is not merely a drop in the economic bucket, but rather a tidal wave of consumer preferences shaping the market.

Doe and Jones (2015) further quench our curiosity by delving into the financial implications of consumer habits, illuminating the potential impact on stock prices. Their study not only makes a splash in the world of economics but also serves as a refreshing reminder that market trends are often influenced by the ebb and flow of consumer choices. The ripples caused by changing hydration habits may indeed create waves in the stock market, stirring up a whirlpool of economic implications.

Turning towards non-fiction sources, "Bottled Up: How the Water Industry Shaped America" by Sundry and Spring (2020) offers a refreshing perspective on the historical and social factors that have shaped the bottled water phenomenon. From the depths of underground springs to the towering waves of marketing campaigns, the authors navigate the currents of cultural shifts and economic tides, providing a fountain of knowledge for those seeking to untap the deeper currents underlying this liquid asset.

In the realm of fiction, "The Aquatic Adventures of H2O-vid" by A. Seuss (2001) takes readers on a whimsical journey through the anthropomorphic world of water molecules. While the tale may be fictional, its underlying themes of fluid dynamics and the interplay between droplets and waves offer a quirky parallel to the intricate dynamics at play in the bottled water industry and its impact on the financial seas.

Embarking on a more unconventional route, we plunged into the depths of animated allegory with "The Waterbenders" series, a captivating journey of aquatic antics and market manipulation in a mystical world. While ostensibly a children's show, the themes of supply and demand, market forces, and the power of liquid assets reflect a buoyant analogy to the nuances of economic influence and consumer behavior.

As we navigate these eclectic sources, it becomes clear that the world of bottled water and its connection to Corning's stock price is not merely a drop in the ocean of economic phenomena, but rather a quirk of economic hydrodynamics waiting to be explored. So, let's dive deeper into these diverse currents and unearth the hidden treasures of this unexpected correlation, buoyed by the waves of knowledge and a thirst for unconventional economic insights.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between US per-person consumption of bottled water and Corning's stock price (GLW). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Statista and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) . You used data from 2002 to 2022

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Pouring Over the Data: The Bottled Water-Corning's GLW Connection

[[ABSTRACT]]
Thirsty for knowledge, we embarked on a quest to unravel the mysterious link between per-person consumption of bottled water in the US and Corning's stock price (GLW). Armed with data from Statista and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we dug deep into the statistics and unearthed an astonishing correlation coefficient of 0.8883985, with a significance level of p < 0.01 for the period spanning from 2002 to 2022. Our findings not only quench the curiosity of financial analysts but also bubble up unexpected insights into the interplay between hydration habits and the stock market. Join us on this refreshing journey through the realms of economic whimsy and statistical serendipity!

[[INTRODUCTION]]
Water, water everywhere, but what's the deal with bottled water's impact on Corning's stock price? This seemingly quixotic question has beguiled curious minds and perplexed financial wizards for years. However, armed with an insatiable thirst for knowledge and an unyielding determination to quench our intellectual curiosity, we set out on a journey to demystify this enigmatic relationship.
As we dive into the data, we find ourselves swimming in a sea of surprising revelations. Our study uncovers a correlation between per-person consumption of bottled water in the US and Corning's stock price (GLW) that is so strong, it's making waves in the financial world. With a correlation coefficient of 0.8883985 and a significance level of p < 0.01 over a two-decade period, we can't help but be drawn into the depths of this unexpected interplay.
Perhaps this connection is a twist in the tide of economic trends, a ripple effect of consumer behavior, or a splash of statistical serendipity. Whatever it may be, one thing is clear – this correlation is making a splash in the academic community and leaving us thirsty for a deeper understanding of the underlying mechanisms at play.
So, grab a bottled water, raise a glass to economic whimsy, and join us as we pour over the data to unravel the mysteries of this intriguing relationship. In the words of the great philosopher H2O-vid: "Just keep swimming... in the sea of data."

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To understand the interconnected currents of bottled water consumption and Corning's stock price, we undertook an oceanic expedition through the vast data seas. Our methodological anchor was firmly set in the collection and analysis of comprehensive statistical information.

Data Sourcing:
Our voyage began with an extensive trawl through the digital depths, casting our nets across the wide expanse of the internet. We hauled in a bountiful catch of data from reputable sources, primarily drawing from the wells of Statista and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv). The data spanned the years 2002 to 2022, providing a robust dataset to navigate the choppy waters of our investigation.

Bottled Water Consumption:
In our analysis, we quenched our thirst for knowledge by examining the per-person consumption of bottled water in the United States. We dove deep into the statistics, surfacing with a comprehensive understanding of the fluctuations in this liquid market over the two-decade period. Our approach involved tracking the ebb and flow of bottled water consumption, considering various factors such as changing consumer preferences, health trends, and environmental awareness.

Corning's Stock Price (GLW):
Navigating the erratic winds and turbulent tides of the stock market, we meticulously charted the course of Corning's stock price (GLW) over the same temporal span. We anchored our analysis in the fluctuating values, scrutinizing the peaks and troughs of the stock price with a keen eye for detail. This involved navigating the choppy waters of market dynamics, corporate developments, and macroeconomic influences that may have contributed to the undulating patterns in GLW's stock price.

Statistical Analysis:
With our data treasure trove securely stowed, we employed rigorous statistical methods to chart the correlations and illuminate the causal undercurrents between bottled water consumption and Corning's stock price. Embracing the tools of regression analysis and correlation coefficients, we measured the degree of association between these seemingly distant economic eddies.

Multivariate Modeling (The Fun Part):
In a nautical twist, our expedition ventured into the domain of multivariate modeling, embarking on a mathematical voyage to untangle the interwoven influences of numerous variables. Our model, affectionately named the "SS Statisticus," incorporated not just bottled water consumption and stock prices, but also factors such as market trends, consumer sentiment, and possibly even the phase of the moon (for an added dash of lunacy).

Ethical Considerations:
To ensure the integrity of our academic voyage, we maintained a steadfast commitment to ethical conduct throughout our research. All data handling and analysis adhered to the principles of transparency, accuracy, and respect for intellectual property. Our data-driven odyssey was guided by the North Star of academic integrity, steering clear of any treacherous currents of bias or dishonesty.

In summary, our methodology blended the precision of statistical analysis with the spirit of adventurous exploration, guiding us through the turbulent waters of economic inquiry. As we set sail on this scholarly endeavor, we encountered challenges, surprises, and revelations, all of which contributed to the richness of our research findings. With the wind at our backs and the compass of curiosity as our guide, we navigated the tumultuous data seas to bring forth the insights that illuminate the peculiar connection between bottled water consumption and Corning's stock price.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between US per-person consumption of bottled water and Corning's stock price (GLW). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Statista and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) .

For the time period 2002 to 2022, you found a correlation 0.8883985, r-squared of 0.7892520, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Pouring Over the Data: The Bottled Water-Corning's GLW Connection

[[ABSTRACT]]
Thirsty for knowledge, we embarked on a quest to unravel the mysterious link between per-person consumption of bottled water in the US and Corning's stock price (GLW). Armed with data from Statista and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we dug deep into the statistics and unearthed an astonishing correlation coefficient of 0.8883985, with a significance level of p < 0.01 for the period spanning from 2002 to 2022. Our findings not only quench the curiosity of financial analysts but also bubble up unexpected insights into the interplay between hydration habits and the stock market. Join us on this refreshing journey through the realms of economic whimsy and statistical serendipity!

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
Water, water everywhere, but what's the deal with bottled water's impact on Corning's stock price? This seemingly quixotic question has beguiled curious minds and perplexed financial wizards for years. However, armed with an insatiable thirst for knowledge and an unyielding determination to quench our intellectual curiosity, we set out on a journey to demystify this enigmatic relationship.
As we dive into the data, we find ourselves swimming in a sea of surprising revelations. Our study uncovers a correlation between per-person consumption of bottled water in the US and Corning's stock price (GLW) that is so strong, it's making waves in the financial world. With a correlation coefficient of 0.8883985 and a significance level of p < 0.01 over a two-decade period, we can't help but be drawn into the depths of this unexpected interplay.
Perhaps this connection is a twist in the tide of economic trends, a ripple effect of consumer behavior, or a splash of statistical serendipity. Whatever it may be, one thing is clear – this correlation is making a splash in the academic community and leaving us thirsty for a deeper understanding of the underlying mechanisms at play.
So, grab a bottled water, raise a glass to economic whimsy, and join us as we pour over the data to unravel the mysteries of this intriguing relationship. In the words of the great philosopher H2O-vid: "Just keep swimming... in the sea of data."

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

We dove headfirst into the data, hoping to separate the drops of truth from the ocean of speculation and skepticism surrounding the connection between US per-person consumption of bottled water and Corning's stock price (GLW). Lo and behold, what we found was a wave of statistical significance that stunned even the most seasoned analysts.

Our analysis revealed a robust correlation coefficient of 0.8883985, indicating a remarkably strong positive relationship between the two variables. The R-squared value of 0.7892520 underscores the power of this association, explaining almost 80% of the variability in Corning's stock price based on the consumption of bottled water alone. And with a p-value less than 0.01, it's safe to say that this relationship is as significant as finding a message in a bottle.

Additionally, our findings are graphically depicted in Figure 1, a scatterplot that vividly captures the unmistakable trend between US per-person bottled water consumption and Corning's stock price (GLW). This figure stands as a testament to the tangible connection that exists between seemingly disparate realms - H2Oh my!

It's clear that there's more to this than mere coincidence. Whether it's a case of a rising tide lifting all boats or a mere wet coincidence, it's crystal clear that the thirst for knowledge extends far beyond the human need for hydration. We've made a splash with our discovery, but the real challenge lies in plumbing the depths of this hitherto uncharted economic territory. So, let's raise a toast – preferably a bottled water – to the unanticipated waves of economic and statistical serendipity and dive deeper into this enigmatic relationship. In the immortal words of Bob Marley, "In every drop of water, there is a story of life." And, it seems, in every drop of stock price, there may just be a splash of hydration.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between US per-person consumption of bottled water and Corning's stock price (GLW). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Pouring Over the Data: The Bottled Water-Corning's GLW Connection

[[ABSTRACT]]
Thirsty for knowledge, we embarked on a quest to unravel the mysterious link between per-person consumption of bottled water in the US and Corning's stock price (GLW). Armed with data from Statista and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we dug deep into the statistics and unearthed an astonishing correlation coefficient of 0.8883985, with a significance level of p < 0.01 for the period spanning from 2002 to 2022. Our findings not only quench the curiosity of financial analysts but also bubble up unexpected insights into the interplay between hydration habits and the stock market. Join us on this refreshing journey through the realms of economic whimsy and statistical serendipity!

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
Smith et al. (2010) shed light on the complexities of consumer behavior, untangling the influences of convenience, health consciousness, and marketing strategies in driving the surge in bottled water consumption. Their in-depth analysis unveils a thirst for portability, a quest for hydration, and a marketing deluge that has inundated the beverage industry. As we drink in their findings, it becomes clear that the rise in bottled water consumption is not merely a drop in the economic bucket, but rather a tidal wave of consumer preferences shaping the market.
Doe and Jones (2015) further quench our curiosity by delving into the financial implications of consumer habits, illuminating the potential impact on stock prices. Their study not only makes a splash in the world of economics but also serves as a refreshing reminder that market trends are often influenced by the ebb and flow of consumer choices. The ripples caused by changing hydration habits may indeed create waves in the stock market, stirring up a whirlpool of economic implications.
Turning towards non-fiction sources, "Bottled Up: How the Water Industry Shaped America" by Sundry and Spring (2020) offers a refreshing perspective on the historical and social factors that have shaped the bottled water phenomenon. From the depths of underground springs to the towering waves of marketing campaigns, the authors navigate the currents of cultural shifts and economic tides, providing a fountain of knowledge for those seeking to untap the deeper currents underlying this liquid asset.
In the realm of fiction, "The Aquatic Adventures of H2O-vid" by A. Seuss (2001) takes readers on a whimsical journey through the anthropomorphic world of water molecules. While the tale may be fictional, its underlying themes of fluid dynamics and the interplay between droplets and waves offer a quirky parallel to the intricate dynamics at play in the bottled water industry and its impact on the financial seas.
Embarking on a more unconventional route, we plunged into the depths of animated allegory with "The Waterbenders" series, a captivating journey of aquatic antics and market manipulation in a mystical world. While ostensibly a children's show, the themes of supply and demand, market forces, and the power of liquid assets reflect a buoyant analogy to the nuances of economic influence and consumer behavior.
As we navigate these eclectic sources, it becomes clear that the world of bottled water and its connection to Corning's stock price is not merely a drop in the ocean of economic phenomena, but rather a quirk of economic hydrodynamics waiting to be explored. So, let's dive deeper into these diverse currents and unearth the hidden treasures of this unexpected correlation, buoyed by the waves of knowledge and a thirst for unconventional economic insights.

[[RESULTS]]
We dove headfirst into the data, hoping to separate the drops of truth from the ocean of speculation and skepticism surrounding the connection between US per-person consumption of bottled water and Corning's stock price (GLW). Lo and behold, what we found was a wave of statistical significance that stunned even the most seasoned analysts.
Our analysis revealed a robust correlation coefficient of 0.8883985, indicating a remarkably strong positive relationship between the two variables. The R-squared value of 0.7892520 underscores the power of this association, explaining almost 80% of the variability in Corning's stock price based on the consumption of bottled water alone. And with a p-value less than 0.01, it's safe to say that this relationship is as significant as finding a message in a bottle.
Additionally, our findings are graphically depicted in Figure 1, a scatterplot that vividly captures the unmistakable trend between US per-person bottled water consumption and Corning's stock price (GLW). This figure stands as a testament to the tangible connection that exists between seemingly disparate realms - H2Oh my!
It's clear that there's more to this than mere coincidence. Whether it's a case of a rising tide lifting all boats or a mere wet coincidence, it's crystal clear that the thirst for knowledge extends far beyond the human need for hydration. We've made a splash with our discovery, but the real challenge lies in plumbing the depths of this hitherto uncharted economic territory. So, let's raise a toast – preferably a bottled water – to the unanticipated waves of economic and statistical serendipity and dive deeper into this enigmatic relationship. In the immortal words of Bob Marley, "In every drop of water, there is a story of life." And, it seems, in every drop of stock price, there may just be a splash of hydration.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

Our study sets sail on the high seas of economic data, navigating through the ebbs and flows of consumer behavior and stock market dynamics. The connection we have uncovered between US per-person consumption of bottled water and Corning's stock price (GLW) not only quenches the thirst for unorthodox economic insights but also holds buoyant implications for both the finance and beverage industries.

As we set out to navigate this uncharted territory, we encountered various humorous and seemingly obscure references in the literature review. At first glance, it may seem like we were dipping our toes into the realms of fiction and anthropomorphism. Still, surprisingly, the underlying themes of fluid dynamics and market forces in these quirky references offered an unexpected parallel to the intricate dynamics of the bottled water industry and its impact on the financial seas. These whimsical sources hinted at the broader influence of consumer habits on market trends, foreshadowing our own findings with an element of whimsy and wit.

Our results not only reaffirm the prior research by Smith et al. and Doe and Jones but also add a refreshing twist with the robust statistical evidence. The approximately 80% variability in Corning's stock price explained by the per-person consumption of bottled water suggests a deep-seated link between liquid assets and market phenomena, a correlation as pronounced as spotting a message in a bottle. It's as though the economy were a bottle of water, filled to the brim with surprises and market currents waiting to be uncorked.

In corroboration with our findings, the prior research illuminated the influence of convenience, health consciousness, and marketing strategies in driving the surge in bottled water consumption. These influences seem to ebb and flow like tidal waves, shaping the market in ways akin to the patterns we've observed in our statistical analysis. The ripples caused by changing hydration habits may indeed create waves in the stock market, transforming seemingly small drops in consumption into impactful swells in market dynamics.

As we navigate through this ocean of economic whimsy, it becomes clear that the bottled water-consumer culture-stock price relationship is not just a splash in the pan, but a deep current shaping the financial tides. While we've surfaced with a significant correlation, there is more to plumb in this aquatic world of economic serendipity. The unanticipated waves of statistical insights beckon us to dive deeper, uncovering the stories of life and liquidity that lay hidden beneath the surface. And, in the immortal words of Bob Marley, these findings remind us that in every drop of water, there is indeed a splash of hydration, and perhaps, a tale of economic significance waiting to be told.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between US per-person consumption of bottled water and Corning's stock price (GLW). Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Pouring Over the Data: The Bottled Water-Corning's GLW Connection

[[ABSTRACT]]
Thirsty for knowledge, we embarked on a quest to unravel the mysterious link between per-person consumption of bottled water in the US and Corning's stock price (GLW). Armed with data from Statista and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we dug deep into the statistics and unearthed an astonishing correlation coefficient of 0.8883985, with a significance level of p < 0.01 for the period spanning from 2002 to 2022. Our findings not only quench the curiosity of financial analysts but also bubble up unexpected insights into the interplay between hydration habits and the stock market. Join us on this refreshing journey through the realms of economic whimsy and statistical serendipity!

[[INTRDUCTION]]
Water, water everywhere, but what's the deal with bottled water's impact on Corning's stock price? This seemingly quixotic question has beguiled curious minds and perplexed financial wizards for years. However, armed with an insatiable thirst for knowledge and an unyielding determination to quench our intellectual curiosity, we set out on a journey to demystify this enigmatic relationship.
As we dive into the data, we find ourselves swimming in a sea of surprising revelations. Our study uncovers a correlation between per-person consumption of bottled water in the US and Corning's stock price (GLW) that is so strong, it's making waves in the financial world. With a correlation coefficient of 0.8883985 and a significance level of p < 0.01 over a two-decade period, we can't help but be drawn into the depths of this unexpected interplay.
Perhaps this connection is a twist in the tide of economic trends, a ripple effect of consumer behavior, or a splash of statistical serendipity. Whatever it may be, one thing is clear – this correlation is making a splash in the academic community and leaving us thirsty for a deeper understanding of the underlying mechanisms at play.
So, grab a bottled water, raise a glass to economic whimsy, and join us as we pour over the data to unravel the mysteries of this intriguing relationship. In the words of the great philosopher H2O-vid: "Just keep swimming... in the sea of data."

[[RESULTS]]
We dove headfirst into the data, hoping to separate the drops of truth from the ocean of speculation and skepticism surrounding the connection between US per-person consumption of bottled water and Corning's stock price (GLW). Lo and behold, what we found was a wave of statistical significance that stunned even the most seasoned analysts.
Our analysis revealed a robust correlation coefficient of 0.8883985, indicating a remarkably strong positive relationship between the two variables. The R-squared value of 0.7892520 underscores the power of this association, explaining almost 80% of the variability in Corning's stock price based on the consumption of bottled water alone. And with a p-value less than 0.01, it's safe to say that this relationship is as significant as finding a message in a bottle.
Additionally, our findings are graphically depicted in Figure 1, a scatterplot that vividly captures the unmistakable trend between US per-person bottled water consumption and Corning's stock price (GLW). This figure stands as a testament to the tangible connection that exists between seemingly disparate realms - H2Oh my!
It's clear that there's more to this than mere coincidence. Whether it's a case of a rising tide lifting all boats or a mere wet coincidence, it's crystal clear that the thirst for knowledge extends far beyond the human need for hydration. We've made a splash with our discovery, but the real challenge lies in plumbing the depths of this hitherto uncharted economic territory. So, let's raise a toast – preferably a bottled water – to the unanticipated waves of economic and statistical serendipity and dive deeper into this enigmatic relationship. In the immortal words of Bob Marley, "In every drop of water, there is a story of life." And, it seems, in every drop of stock price, there may just be a splash of hydration.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our study has uncovered a compelling connection between US per-person consumption of bottled water and Corning's stock price (GLW). This unexpected relationship has made quite the splash in the financial and academic arenas, leaving us all thirsting for more insight into the complexities at play. From the R-squared value to the p-value, our findings have quenched the intellectual curiosity of many, while also sprinkling in a hefty dose of statistical serendipity.

As we wrap up this refreshing journey through the economic and statistical seas, it's clear that no more research is needed in this area. So, let's raise a toast – or perhaps a bottle – to the unanticipated waves of economic whimsy and statistical serendipity we've uncovered. Just remember, when it comes to the interplay between bottled water consumption and stock prices, there's more than meets the eye. And in the wise words of Bruce Lee, "Be water, my friend."


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Pouring Over the Data: The Bottled Water-Corning's GLW Connection. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Liquid Analysis


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Pouring Over the Data: The Bottled Water-Corning's GLW Connection. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Beverage Container Correlation Research


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Pouring Over the Data: The Bottled Water-Corning's GLW Connection with an abstract of Thirsty for knowledge, we embarked on a quest to unravel the mysterious link between per-person consumption of bottled water in the US and Corning's stock price (GLW). Armed with data from Statista and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we dug deep into the statistics and unearthed an astonishing correlation coefficient of 0.8883985, with a significance level of p < 0.01 for the period spanning from 2002 to 2022. Our findings not only quench the curiosity of financial analysts but also bubble up unexpected insights into the interplay between hydration habits and the stock market. Join us on this refreshing journey through the realms of economic whimsy and statistical serendipity!

ChatGPT:

bottled water consumption US, Corning stock price, GLW stock, correlation coefficient, per-person consumption, Statista data, LSEG Analytics, Refinitiv, stock market correlation, hydration habits, economic analysis, statistical insights

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

US per-person consumption of bottled water
Source: Statista
See what else correlates with US per-person consumption of bottled water

Corning's stock price (GLW)
Detailed data title: Opening price of Corning (GLW) on the first trading day of the year
Source: LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv)
Additional Info: Via Microsoft Excel Stockhistory function

See what else correlates with Corning's stock price (GLW)

Correlation r = 0.8883985 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.7892520 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 78.9% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Corning's stock price (GLW)) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., US per-person consumption of bottled water) over the 21 years from 2002 through 2022.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 7.6E-8. 0.0000000756178870639027600000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.89 in 7.6E-6% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 13,224,384 random variables You don't actually need 13 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 20 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 20 because we have two variables measured over a period of 21 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.74, 0.95 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
US per-person consumption of bottled water (Gallons)20.121.623.225.427.62928.527.628.328.730.431.633.635.938.540.642.343.745.24746.5
Corning's stock price (GLW) (Stock price)8.993.4310.5311.8419.9818.9424.029.619.4719.4313.2612.9317.7423.0317.9524.432.3229.5929.3236.0537.4




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
    Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([20.1,21.6,23.2,25.4,27.6,29,28.5,27.6,28.3,28.7,30.4,31.6,33.6,35.9,38.5,40.6,42.3,43.7,45.2,47,46.5,])
array_2 = np.array([8.99,3.43,10.53,11.84,19.98,18.94,24.02,9.6,19.47,19.43,13.26,12.93,17.74,23.03,17.95,24.4,32.32,29.59,29.32,36.05,37.4,])
array_1_name = "US per-person consumption of bottled water"
array_2_name = "Corning's stock price (GLW)"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

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Correlation ID: 3755 · Black Variable ID: 442 · Red Variable ID: 1859
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