about · email me · subscribe
Spurious correlation #3,720 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Air quality in New York City and the second variable is Google searches for 'i have a headache'.  The chart goes from 2004 to 2023, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

The increase in air quality led to an influx of tourists wearing strong cologne and perfume, overwhelming the senses of New Yorkers and causing their headaches to worsen. "They said to stop and smell the roses, but all I got was a headache from the tourists!"

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Sure, here's an image generation prompt for DALL·E-3: Prompt: Generate a hyper-realistic image of a crowded street in New York City enveloped in thick smog. Show towering skyscrapers casting long shadows over the bustling sidewalks, where people are depicted typing 'I have a headache' into their smartphones. The scene should capture the fusion of urban chaos and the struggle for relief amidst the city's air pollution. The atmosphere should convey a sense of frenetic energy and urban exhaustion. By keeping the visual depiction simple, DALL·E-3 can focus on rendering the intricate details of the cityscape and the expressions of individuals seeking solace from the relentless urban environment. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'i have a headache'. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Sci-fi fantacy Glitch art A scene from Skyrim Hyper-realistic Celtic art
ChatGPT: Hyper-realistic

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'i have a headache', in the following situation: Because the air in New York City is so full of noise and honking, it's no wonder people are searching for headaches! The city's bustling energy is enough to make anyone's head pound, and with all those hot dog carts and pizza places on every corner, it's no wonder New Yorkers are constantly complaining about headaches. Plus, have you seen the size of those skyscrapers? Talk about a headache-inducing view! Maybe it's time for the Big Apple to take a bite out of some fresher air to clear up those search queries.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In the bustling streets of New York City, thick smog hangs in the air, blending with the constant honking of cars and chatter of passersby. Amidst the towering skyscrapers, people are shown typing 'I have a headache' into their smartphones, seeking relief from the urban cacophony. The city's air pollution and frenetic pace combine to fuel these search queries, reflecting the struggle for respite from the city's relentless energy.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Hyper-realistic ] and depicting this scene: In the bustling streets of New York City, thick smog hangs in the air, blending with the constant honking of cars and chatter of passersby. Amidst the towering skyscrapers, people are shown typing 'I have a headache' into their smartphones, seeking relief from the urban cacophony. The city's air pollution and frenetic pace combine to fuel these search queries, reflecting the struggle for respite from the city's relentless energy. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Sure, here's an image generation prompt for DALL·E-3: Prompt: Generate a hyper-realistic image of a crowded street in New York City enveloped in thick smog. Show towering skyscrapers casting long shadows over the bustling sidewalks, where people are depicted typing 'I have a headache' into their smartphones. The scene should capture the fusion of urban chaos and the struggle for relief amidst the city's air pollution. The atmosphere should convey a sense of frenetic energy and urban exhaustion. By keeping the visual depiction simple, DALL·E-3 can focus on rendering the intricate details of the cityscape and the expressions of individuals seeking solace from the relentless urban environment.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Air quality in New York City caused i have a headache (Google searches for 'i have a headache') to increase. Add a funny one-liner at the end.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
The City's Air and a Headache's Flair: A Correlation Between New York City Air Quality and Google Searches for 'I Have a Headache'

The Journal of Urban Health and Wellness

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'i have a headache'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Rhyme words in the title.

Your research team used data from Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9619211 and p < 0.01 for 2004 to 2023.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
The City's Air and a Headache's Flair: A Correlation Between New York City Air Quality and Google Searches for 'I Have a Headache'

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study explores the connection between air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'I have a headache', aiming to shed light on the impact of environmental factors on reported headaches. Leveraging data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, our research team delved into this pressing matter with wit and whimsy.

Our analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9619211 and p < 0.01 for the time span of 2004 to 2023, demonstrating a strong link between instances of reported headaches and air quality indicators in the Big Apple. It appears that the city's air quality may indeed have an undeniable influence on individuals' head discomfort levels.

The findings of this study emphasize the need for further investigation into the complex interplay between atmospheric conditions and human well-being, reminding us that sometimes a breath of fresh air can truly make a headache disappear. Ah, the sweet smell of causation—no need to sniff out alternative explanations here!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'i have a headache'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The City's Air and a Headache's Flair: A Correlation Between New York City Air Quality and Google Searches for 'I Have a Headache'

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study explores the connection between air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'I have a headache', aiming to shed light on the impact of environmental factors on reported headaches. Leveraging data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, our research team delved into this pressing matter with wit and whimsy.

Our analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9619211 and p < 0.01 for the time span of 2004 to 2023, demonstrating a strong link between instances of reported headaches and air quality indicators in the Big Apple. It appears that the city's air quality may indeed have an undeniable influence on individuals' head discomfort levels.

The findings of this study emphasize the need for further investigation into the complex interplay between atmospheric conditions and human well-being, reminding us that sometimes a breath of fresh air can truly make a headache disappear. Ah, the sweet smell of causation—no need to sniff out alternative explanations here!

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

I always say, "A good pun is its own re-word." In line with that philosophy, this study aims to tackle a not-so-air-y matter: the connection between New York City's air quality and the prevalence of headaches. As we know, New Yorkers are familiar with bustling streets, towering skyscrapers, and the somewhat less glamorous, yet equally impactful, invisible element - air pollution. The city's atmosphere may not always be as fresh as a breath mint, and this can take a toll on the health and well-being of its inhabitants.

I once asked my friend how to stay ahead of a headache, and he told me, "Just stay two steps behind." However, when it comes to understanding the impact of air quality on reported headaches, we need to stay one step ahead of the game. With the ever-growing concern about environmental factors and their effects on public health, it is crucial to explore potential associations between air quality and reported headaches. And that's exactly what we set out to do in this study.

Now, let's clear the air about our methodology. Our research team harnessed the power of data from the Environmental Protection Agency, delving into the troves of air quality measurements to get a breath of insight into the atmospheric conditions in the Big Apple. And as if that's not enough, we also turned to Google Trends, where we sifted through an array of 'I have a headache' searches to gauge the frequency of this relatable query.

They say a good laugh is the best medicine, but sometimes all we need is a good correlation. Our analysis uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9619211 and p < 0.01 for the time span of 2004 to 2023, pointing to a robust relationship between reported headaches and air quality indicators. It seems that the air in the city that never sleeps might indeed be contributing to some sleepless nights due to headaches.

I once told my colleague, "I've got a great joke about air quality, but it's a bit polluted." However, I won't subject you to that. Instead, let's focus on the significance of our findings. The implication of a strong correlation between air quality and reported headaches in New York City serves as a wake-up call, reminding us that the quality of our surroundings can have tangible effects on our well-being. This study shines a spotlight on the need for further research into the intricate relationship between atmospheric conditions and human health, underscoring the importance of addressing environmental factors in public health initiatives.

So, keep your eyes on the skies and your breaths fresh, because as we all know, sometimes a breath of fresh air is all it takes to clear the air and dissipate a cloud of headaches.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'i have a headache'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name some cartoons and childrens' shows that you watched that are related to the topic.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The City's Air and a Headache's Flair: A Correlation Between New York City Air Quality and Google Searches for 'I Have a Headache'

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study explores the connection between air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'I have a headache', aiming to shed light on the impact of environmental factors on reported headaches. Leveraging data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, our research team delved into this pressing matter with wit and whimsy.

Our analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9619211 and p < 0.01 for the time span of 2004 to 2023, demonstrating a strong link between instances of reported headaches and air quality indicators in the Big Apple. It appears that the city's air quality may indeed have an undeniable influence on individuals' head discomfort levels.

The findings of this study emphasize the need for further investigation into the complex interplay between atmospheric conditions and human well-being, reminding us that sometimes a breath of fresh air can truly make a headache disappear. Ah, the sweet smell of causation—no need to sniff out alternative explanations here!

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
I always say, "A good pun is its own re-word." In line with that philosophy, this study aims to tackle a not-so-air-y matter: the connection between New York City's air quality and the prevalence of headaches. As we know, New Yorkers are familiar with bustling streets, towering skyscrapers, and the somewhat less glamorous, yet equally impactful, invisible element - air pollution. The city's atmosphere may not always be as fresh as a breath mint, and this can take a toll on the health and well-being of its inhabitants.
I once asked my friend how to stay ahead of a headache, and he told me, "Just stay two steps behind." However, when it comes to understanding the impact of air quality on reported headaches, we need to stay one step ahead of the game. With the ever-growing concern about environmental factors and their effects on public health, it is crucial to explore potential associations between air quality and reported headaches. And that's exactly what we set out to do in this study.
Now, let's clear the air about our methodology. Our research team harnessed the power of data from the Environmental Protection Agency, delving into the troves of air quality measurements to get a breath of insight into the atmospheric conditions in the Big Apple. And as if that's not enough, we also turned to Google Trends, where we sifted through an array of 'I have a headache' searches to gauge the frequency of this relatable query.
They say a good laugh is the best medicine, but sometimes all we need is a good correlation. Our analysis uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9619211 and p < 0.01 for the time span of 2004 to 2023, pointing to a robust relationship between reported headaches and air quality indicators. It seems that the air in the city that never sleeps might indeed be contributing to some sleepless nights due to headaches.
I once told my colleague, "I've got a great joke about air quality, but it's a bit polluted." However, I won't subject you to that. Instead, let's focus on the significance of our findings. The implication of a strong correlation between air quality and reported headaches in New York City serves as a wake-up call, reminding us that the quality of our surroundings can have tangible effects on our well-being. This study shines a spotlight on the need for further research into the intricate relationship between atmospheric conditions and human health, underscoring the importance of addressing environmental factors in public health initiatives.
So, keep your eyes on the skies and your breaths fresh, because as we all know, sometimes a breath of fresh air is all it takes to clear the air and dissipate a cloud of headaches.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

In their seminal work, Smith and Doe (2015) examined the impacts of air quality on public health in urban settings, shedding light on the potential health ramifications of polluted air. Their findings underscore the importance of scrutinizing the atmospheric conditions in densely populated areas, providing a solid foundation for exploring the correlation between air quality and reported headaches. Jones et al. (2018) expanded on this notion by delving into the specific case of New York City, drawing attention to the unique environmental challenges faced by its residents.

Moving away from the purely academic realm, the works of "Breath and Health" by Environmental Institute and "Air Quality and Human Well-being" by Public Health Organization offer comprehensive overviews of the interplay between air quality and human health. Now, I'm not saying that reading these books will give you a headache, but they might just leave you breathless.

On a more lighthearted note, the narrative of air quality and its impact on well-being has also found its way into fiction. "The Air We Breathe" by A. Novel and "Headaches and Hilarity" by P. Lotty delve into the imaginative realms of air-related health quirks. And who could forget the classic children's tale "The Little Engine That Could-not-breathe-clean-air", teaching young readers about the importance of clean air in a whimsical way.

Now, I know what you're thinking - how could we discuss air quality without mentioning everyone's favorite sneezing skunk, Flower, from "Bambi"? Flower's sniffly adventures may not directly relate to headaches, but they certainly remind us of the importance of clean air. And let's not overlook the iconic duo of Bert and Ernie from "Sesame Street" as they navigate the air quality challenges of life in the city. Who knew puppets could be so instructive about environmental issues?


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'i have a headache'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends . You used data from 2004 to 2023

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The City's Air and a Headache's Flair: A Correlation Between New York City Air Quality and Google Searches for 'I Have a Headache'

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study explores the connection between air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'I have a headache', aiming to shed light on the impact of environmental factors on reported headaches. Leveraging data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, our research team delved into this pressing matter with wit and whimsy.

Our analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9619211 and p < 0.01 for the time span of 2004 to 2023, demonstrating a strong link between instances of reported headaches and air quality indicators in the Big Apple. It appears that the city's air quality may indeed have an undeniable influence on individuals' head discomfort levels.

The findings of this study emphasize the need for further investigation into the complex interplay between atmospheric conditions and human well-being, reminding us that sometimes a breath of fresh air can truly make a headache disappear. Ah, the sweet smell of causation—no need to sniff out alternative explanations here!

[[INTRODUCTION]]
I always say, "A good pun is its own re-word." In line with that philosophy, this study aims to tackle a not-so-air-y matter: the connection between New York City's air quality and the prevalence of headaches. As we know, New Yorkers are familiar with bustling streets, towering skyscrapers, and the somewhat less glamorous, yet equally impactful, invisible element - air pollution. The city's atmosphere may not always be as fresh as a breath mint, and this can take a toll on the health and well-being of its inhabitants.
I once asked my friend how to stay ahead of a headache, and he told me, "Just stay two steps behind." However, when it comes to understanding the impact of air quality on reported headaches, we need to stay one step ahead of the game. With the ever-growing concern about environmental factors and their effects on public health, it is crucial to explore potential associations between air quality and reported headaches. And that's exactly what we set out to do in this study.
Now, let's clear the air about our methodology. Our research team harnessed the power of data from the Environmental Protection Agency, delving into the troves of air quality measurements to get a breath of insight into the atmospheric conditions in the Big Apple. And as if that's not enough, we also turned to Google Trends, where we sifted through an array of 'I have a headache' searches to gauge the frequency of this relatable query.
They say a good laugh is the best medicine, but sometimes all we need is a good correlation. Our analysis uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9619211 and p < 0.01 for the time span of 2004 to 2023, pointing to a robust relationship between reported headaches and air quality indicators. It seems that the air in the city that never sleeps might indeed be contributing to some sleepless nights due to headaches.
I once told my colleague, "I've got a great joke about air quality, but it's a bit polluted." However, I won't subject you to that. Instead, let's focus on the significance of our findings. The implication of a strong correlation between air quality and reported headaches in New York City serves as a wake-up call, reminding us that the quality of our surroundings can have tangible effects on our well-being. This study shines a spotlight on the need for further research into the intricate relationship between atmospheric conditions and human health, underscoring the importance of addressing environmental factors in public health initiatives.
So, keep your eyes on the skies and your breaths fresh, because as we all know, sometimes a breath of fresh air is all it takes to clear the air and dissipate a cloud of headaches.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To unravel the mysterious connection between air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'I have a headache', our research team embarked on a data collection journey that was as ambitious as trying to navigate the city's subway system on a snowy day. We gathered air quality data from the Environmental Protection Agency, including measurements of pollutants such as sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, nitrogen dioxide, and ozone. Our team also mined Google Trends for information on the frequency of searches for 'I have a headache', hoping to dig up some statistical nuggets that would shed light on this intriguing correlation.

To ensure the robustness of our findings, we employed a unique combination of statistical methods reminiscent of a captivating magic trick. Using a time-series analysis approach, we meticulously examined the data from 2004 to 2023, allowing us to capture the subtle nuances of both air quality fluctuations and headache-related Google searches over the years. Our analysis involved some intricate statistical wizardry, including autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models, Granger causality tests, and cross-correlation functions. It was as if we were trying to decode the mysterious language of the atmosphere and its impact on human cranial discomfort.

I once heard a joke about statistics, but it had too many variables to make it worth the deviation. Nevertheless, our diligent approach enabled us to reveal a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9619211 and p < 0.01, signaling a compelling association between air quality indicators and reported headaches. It appears that the city's air quality may indeed have a not-so-subtle influence on the likelihood of experiencing a headache. With such compelling statistical evidence, one might even say that this correlation is as clear as the air on a crisp fall morning in Central Park.

In addition to the quantitative analysis, we also conducted a qualitative assessment of the environmental and social factors that could potentially confound or mediate the observed link between air quality and reported headaches. We thoughtfully considered variables such as temperature, humidity, population density, and socio-economic factors, akin to analyzing the layers of a particularly complex New York City cheesecake. This comprehensive approach allowed us to gain a deeper understanding of the multi-faceted nature of the relationship between atmospheric conditions and headache queries.

In the realm of peer-reviewed research, transparency and reproducibility are as essential as a sturdy umbrella in a city known for its unexpected weather changes. Therefore, we made all our data sources, analysis codes, and statistical models openly available, ensuring that our findings can withstand the rigorous scrutiny of the academic community. After all, in the world of research, it's better to reveal all the cards you hold rather than leaving any statistical sleight of hand up your sleeve.

In closing, our methodological approach combined the rigorous application of statistical techniques with a nuanced consideration of potential confounders, yielding compelling insights into the interconnectedness of air quality and reported headaches in New York City. This study paves the way for future investigations into the complex dynamics of atmospheric conditions and human health, reminding us that sometimes, the data can breathe new life into our understanding of everyday afflictions.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'i have a headache'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends .

For the time period 2004 to 2023, you found a correlation 0.9619211, r-squared of 0.9252923, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The City's Air and a Headache's Flair: A Correlation Between New York City Air Quality and Google Searches for 'I Have a Headache'

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study explores the connection between air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'I have a headache', aiming to shed light on the impact of environmental factors on reported headaches. Leveraging data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, our research team delved into this pressing matter with wit and whimsy.

Our analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9619211 and p < 0.01 for the time span of 2004 to 2023, demonstrating a strong link between instances of reported headaches and air quality indicators in the Big Apple. It appears that the city's air quality may indeed have an undeniable influence on individuals' head discomfort levels.

The findings of this study emphasize the need for further investigation into the complex interplay between atmospheric conditions and human well-being, reminding us that sometimes a breath of fresh air can truly make a headache disappear. Ah, the sweet smell of causation—no need to sniff out alternative explanations here!

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
I always say, "A good pun is its own re-word." In line with that philosophy, this study aims to tackle a not-so-air-y matter: the connection between New York City's air quality and the prevalence of headaches. As we know, New Yorkers are familiar with bustling streets, towering skyscrapers, and the somewhat less glamorous, yet equally impactful, invisible element - air pollution. The city's atmosphere may not always be as fresh as a breath mint, and this can take a toll on the health and well-being of its inhabitants.
I once asked my friend how to stay ahead of a headache, and he told me, "Just stay two steps behind." However, when it comes to understanding the impact of air quality on reported headaches, we need to stay one step ahead of the game. With the ever-growing concern about environmental factors and their effects on public health, it is crucial to explore potential associations between air quality and reported headaches. And that's exactly what we set out to do in this study.
Now, let's clear the air about our methodology. Our research team harnessed the power of data from the Environmental Protection Agency, delving into the troves of air quality measurements to get a breath of insight into the atmospheric conditions in the Big Apple. And as if that's not enough, we also turned to Google Trends, where we sifted through an array of 'I have a headache' searches to gauge the frequency of this relatable query.
They say a good laugh is the best medicine, but sometimes all we need is a good correlation. Our analysis uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9619211 and p < 0.01 for the time span of 2004 to 2023, pointing to a robust relationship between reported headaches and air quality indicators. It seems that the air in the city that never sleeps might indeed be contributing to some sleepless nights due to headaches.
I once told my colleague, "I've got a great joke about air quality, but it's a bit polluted." However, I won't subject you to that. Instead, let's focus on the significance of our findings. The implication of a strong correlation between air quality and reported headaches in New York City serves as a wake-up call, reminding us that the quality of our surroundings can have tangible effects on our well-being. This study shines a spotlight on the need for further research into the intricate relationship between atmospheric conditions and human health, underscoring the importance of addressing environmental factors in public health initiatives.
So, keep your eyes on the skies and your breaths fresh, because as we all know, sometimes a breath of fresh air is all it takes to clear the air and dissipate a cloud of headaches.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The data analysis of the connection between air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'I have a headache' revealed a strong correlation coefficient of 0.9619211, indicative of a robust relationship between these two variables. This finding suggests that variations in air quality may indeed be associated with the frequency of reported headaches in the urban environment.

Our research team also calculated an r-squared value of 0.9252923, indicating that approximately 92.53% of the variability in 'I have a headache' searches can be explained by changes in air quality indicators. This high r-squared value further strengthens the evidence for a substantial link between air quality and reported headaches.

Now, I must say, the correlation we found is quite breathtaking! It seems that the city's air quality may have more of an impact on headache-related Google searches than we previously thought. It's almost as if the city's air is saying, "I have a headache" to its inhabitants. Quite the headache-inducing pun, isn't it?

Moreover, the p-value of less than 0.01 indicates that the observed correlation is statistically significant. This provides confidence in the strength of the relationship between air quality in New York City and the frequency of 'I have a headache' searches on Google.

Fig. 1 presents a scatterplot displaying the strong positive correlation between air quality indicators and the volume of 'I have a headache' searches over the period from 2004 to 2023. The data points align closely with the upward trend line, further illustrating the consistency of the relationship between these variables.

In conclusion, our analysis demonstrates a compelling association between air quality in New York City and reported headaches, urging further exploration of the impact of environmental factors on public health. This study affirms that sometimes a breath of fresh air may not only clear the skies but also alleviate a cloud of headaches, offering a breath of relief amidst the hustle and bustle of the city.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'i have a headache'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
The City's Air and a Headache's Flair: A Correlation Between New York City Air Quality and Google Searches for 'I Have a Headache'

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study explores the connection between air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'I have a headache', aiming to shed light on the impact of environmental factors on reported headaches. Leveraging data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, our research team delved into this pressing matter with wit and whimsy.

Our analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9619211 and p < 0.01 for the time span of 2004 to 2023, demonstrating a strong link between instances of reported headaches and air quality indicators in the Big Apple. It appears that the city's air quality may indeed have an undeniable influence on individuals' head discomfort levels.

The findings of this study emphasize the need for further investigation into the complex interplay between atmospheric conditions and human well-being, reminding us that sometimes a breath of fresh air can truly make a headache disappear. Ah, the sweet smell of causation—no need to sniff out alternative explanations here!

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
In their seminal work, Smith and Doe (2015) examined the impacts of air quality on public health in urban settings, shedding light on the potential health ramifications of polluted air. Their findings underscore the importance of scrutinizing the atmospheric conditions in densely populated areas, providing a solid foundation for exploring the correlation between air quality and reported headaches. Jones et al. (2018) expanded on this notion by delving into the specific case of New York City, drawing attention to the unique environmental challenges faced by its residents.
Moving away from the purely academic realm, the works of "Breath and Health" by Environmental Institute and "Air Quality and Human Well-being" by Public Health Organization offer comprehensive overviews of the interplay between air quality and human health. Now, I'm not saying that reading these books will give you a headache, but they might just leave you breathless.
On a more lighthearted note, the narrative of air quality and its impact on well-being has also found its way into fiction. "The Air We Breathe" by A. Novel and "Headaches and Hilarity" by P. Lotty delve into the imaginative realms of air-related health quirks. And who could forget the classic children's tale "The Little Engine That Could-not-breathe-clean-air", teaching young readers about the importance of clean air in a whimsical way.
Now, I know what you're thinking - how could we discuss air quality without mentioning everyone's favorite sneezing skunk, Flower, from "Bambi"? Flower's sniffly adventures may not directly relate to headaches, but they certainly remind us of the importance of clean air. And let's not overlook the iconic duo of Bert and Ernie from "Sesame Street" as they navigate the air quality challenges of life in the city. Who knew puppets could be so instructive about environmental issues?

[[RESULTS]]
The data analysis of the connection between air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'I have a headache' revealed a strong correlation coefficient of 0.9619211, indicative of a robust relationship between these two variables. This finding suggests that variations in air quality may indeed be associated with the frequency of reported headaches in the urban environment.
Our research team also calculated an r-squared value of 0.9252923, indicating that approximately 92.53% of the variability in 'I have a headache' searches can be explained by changes in air quality indicators. This high r-squared value further strengthens the evidence for a substantial link between air quality and reported headaches.
Now, I must say, the correlation we found is quite breathtaking! It seems that the city's air quality may have more of an impact on headache-related Google searches than we previously thought. It's almost as if the city's air is saying, "I have a headache" to its inhabitants. Quite the headache-inducing pun, isn't it?
Moreover, the p-value of less than 0.01 indicates that the observed correlation is statistically significant. This provides confidence in the strength of the relationship between air quality in New York City and the frequency of 'I have a headache' searches on Google.
Fig. 1 presents a scatterplot displaying the strong positive correlation between air quality indicators and the volume of 'I have a headache' searches over the period from 2004 to 2023. The data points align closely with the upward trend line, further illustrating the consistency of the relationship between these variables.
In conclusion, our analysis demonstrates a compelling association between air quality in New York City and reported headaches, urging further exploration of the impact of environmental factors on public health. This study affirms that sometimes a breath of fresh air may not only clear the skies but also alleviate a cloud of headaches, offering a breath of relief amidst the hustle and bustle of the city.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The robust correlation between air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'I have a headache' uncovered in our study reinforces the pressing nature of understanding the implications of atmospheric conditions on human health. Our findings align with prior research, solidifying the link between environmental factors and reported headaches. Smith and Doe's (2015) foundational work, alongside Jones et al.'s (2018) examination of New York City's unique environmental challenges, have provided the groundwork for our investigation. Their research, though academically rigorous, may have left readers wishing for a little breather amidst the dense analysis.

On a more lighthearted note, our findings tangentially corroborate the whimsical narratives of "The Air We Breathe" by A. Novel and "Headaches and Hilarity" by P. Lotty, albeit in a decidedly less fictional manner. Our work, while firmly rooted in statistical analysis, adds a touch of reality to the imaginative essence of these literary depictions. Who knew that the air quality headache continuum could stand as a whimsical narrative in its own right?

The significant correlation coefficient of 0.9619211 emphasizes the compelling influence of air quality on reported headaches, warranting a closer examination of the factors mediating this relationship. Our results provide a breath of fresh air in understanding the tangible impact of environmental variables on public health. Speaking of a breath of fresh air, did you hear about the study on headaches in areas with high pollen count? It really brought a new meaning to the term "pollen-induced headache."

Furthermore, the substantial r-squared value and statistically significant p-value fortify the strength and credibility of the observed association. It's as if the statistical tests themselves are echoing the sentiment – 'I have a headache' – in affirmation of the pronounced link between air quality and reported headaches. Though the statistics may not have a sense of humor, they sure can inadvertently produce some punny conclusions.

Our findings have practical implications for urban planning and public health interventions. By acknowledging the impact of air quality on reported headaches, policymakers can craft targeted initiatives to mitigate the potential health burden posed by suboptimal atmospheric conditions. A more comprehensive understanding of this connection may lead to innovative strategies for improved air quality management in urban environments. It’s almost as if a hearty laugh about the correlations could relieve a headache or two!

In summary, our study contributes to the growing body of research elucidating the intricate interplay between environmental factors and human well-being. Our serious investigations have certainly uncovered some whimsical outcomes that remind us of the whimsy nature of our world. As we delve into the complexities of urban environmental health, let us not forget to appreciate the occasional unexpected twist, much like a dad joke in the midst of serious academic discussion.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'i have a headache'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
The City's Air and a Headache's Flair: A Correlation Between New York City Air Quality and Google Searches for 'I Have a Headache'

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study explores the connection between air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'I have a headache', aiming to shed light on the impact of environmental factors on reported headaches. Leveraging data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, our research team delved into this pressing matter with wit and whimsy.

Our analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9619211 and p < 0.01 for the time span of 2004 to 2023, demonstrating a strong link between instances of reported headaches and air quality indicators in the Big Apple. It appears that the city's air quality may indeed have an undeniable influence on individuals' head discomfort levels.

The findings of this study emphasize the need for further investigation into the complex interplay between atmospheric conditions and human well-being, reminding us that sometimes a breath of fresh air can truly make a headache disappear. Ah, the sweet smell of causation—no need to sniff out alternative explanations here!

[[INTRDUCTION]]
I always say, "A good pun is its own re-word." In line with that philosophy, this study aims to tackle a not-so-air-y matter: the connection between New York City's air quality and the prevalence of headaches. As we know, New Yorkers are familiar with bustling streets, towering skyscrapers, and the somewhat less glamorous, yet equally impactful, invisible element - air pollution. The city's atmosphere may not always be as fresh as a breath mint, and this can take a toll on the health and well-being of its inhabitants.
I once asked my friend how to stay ahead of a headache, and he told me, "Just stay two steps behind." However, when it comes to understanding the impact of air quality on reported headaches, we need to stay one step ahead of the game. With the ever-growing concern about environmental factors and their effects on public health, it is crucial to explore potential associations between air quality and reported headaches. And that's exactly what we set out to do in this study.
Now, let's clear the air about our methodology. Our research team harnessed the power of data from the Environmental Protection Agency, delving into the troves of air quality measurements to get a breath of insight into the atmospheric conditions in the Big Apple. And as if that's not enough, we also turned to Google Trends, where we sifted through an array of 'I have a headache' searches to gauge the frequency of this relatable query.
They say a good laugh is the best medicine, but sometimes all we need is a good correlation. Our analysis uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9619211 and p < 0.01 for the time span of 2004 to 2023, pointing to a robust relationship between reported headaches and air quality indicators. It seems that the air in the city that never sleeps might indeed be contributing to some sleepless nights due to headaches.
I once told my colleague, "I've got a great joke about air quality, but it's a bit polluted." However, I won't subject you to that. Instead, let's focus on the significance of our findings. The implication of a strong correlation between air quality and reported headaches in New York City serves as a wake-up call, reminding us that the quality of our surroundings can have tangible effects on our well-being. This study shines a spotlight on the need for further research into the intricate relationship between atmospheric conditions and human health, underscoring the importance of addressing environmental factors in public health initiatives.
So, keep your eyes on the skies and your breaths fresh, because as we all know, sometimes a breath of fresh air is all it takes to clear the air and dissipate a cloud of headaches.

[[RESULTS]]
The data analysis of the connection between air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'I have a headache' revealed a strong correlation coefficient of 0.9619211, indicative of a robust relationship between these two variables. This finding suggests that variations in air quality may indeed be associated with the frequency of reported headaches in the urban environment.
Our research team also calculated an r-squared value of 0.9252923, indicating that approximately 92.53% of the variability in 'I have a headache' searches can be explained by changes in air quality indicators. This high r-squared value further strengthens the evidence for a substantial link between air quality and reported headaches.
Now, I must say, the correlation we found is quite breathtaking! It seems that the city's air quality may have more of an impact on headache-related Google searches than we previously thought. It's almost as if the city's air is saying, "I have a headache" to its inhabitants. Quite the headache-inducing pun, isn't it?
Moreover, the p-value of less than 0.01 indicates that the observed correlation is statistically significant. This provides confidence in the strength of the relationship between air quality in New York City and the frequency of 'I have a headache' searches on Google.
Fig. 1 presents a scatterplot displaying the strong positive correlation between air quality indicators and the volume of 'I have a headache' searches over the period from 2004 to 2023. The data points align closely with the upward trend line, further illustrating the consistency of the relationship between these variables.
In conclusion, our analysis demonstrates a compelling association between air quality in New York City and reported headaches, urging further exploration of the impact of environmental factors on public health. This study affirms that sometimes a breath of fresh air may not only clear the skies but also alleviate a cloud of headaches, offering a breath of relief amidst the hustle and bustle of the city.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, the findings of this research highlight the significant correlation between air quality in New York City and the frequency of Google searches for 'I have a headache'. The data revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9619211 and an r-squared value of 0.9252923, emphasizing the substantial influence of atmospheric conditions on reported headaches. It's almost as if New York City's air quality is whispering, "I have a headache" to its inhabitants. Quite the atmospheric metaphor, don't you think?

The p-value of less than 0.01 further solidifies the statistical significance of this association, providing a breath of fresh evidence for the impact of environmental factors on public health. It seems that a breath of fresh air may not only clear the skies in the Big Apple but also offer a breath of relief from headaches, figuratively speaking, of course.

Furthermore, the scatterplot depicting the strong positive correlation between air quality indicators and the volume of headache-related Google searches visually encapsulates the consistency of this relationship. It's as clear as the air on a crisp, pollution-free day.

Based on these compelling findings, the research team asserts that no further investigations are needed in this area. We've sniffed out the connection between air quality and headaches, and it's crystal clear. Ah, the sweet smell of definitive conclusions!

In the words of a certain Dr. Seuss, "You're off to Great Places! Today is your day! Your mountain is waiting, so get on your way!" And with that, we'll leave the mountain of air quality and headache research for the next adventurous explorers.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited The City's Air and a Headache's Flair: A Correlation Between New York City Air Quality and Google Searches for 'I Have a Headache'. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Urban Health and Wellness


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited The City's Air and a Headache's Flair: A Correlation Between New York City Air Quality and Google Searches for 'I Have a Headache'. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Urban Environmental Health and Wellness


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled The City's Air and a Headache's Flair: A Correlation Between New York City Air Quality and Google Searches for 'I Have a Headache' with an abstract of This study explores the connection between air quality in New York City and Google searches for 'I have a headache', aiming to shed light on the impact of environmental factors on reported headaches. Leveraging data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Google Trends, our research team delved into this pressing matter with wit and whimsy.
Our analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9619211 and p < 0.01 for the time span of 2004 to 2023, demonstrating a strong link between instances of reported headaches and air quality indicators in the Big Apple. It appears that the city's air quality may indeed have an undeniable influence on individuals' head discomfort levels.
The findings of this study emphasize the need for further investigation into the complex interplay between atmospheric conditions and human well-being, reminding us that sometimes a breath of fresh air can truly make a headache disappear. Ah, the sweet smell of causation—no need to sniff out alternative explanations here!

ChatGPT:

New York City, air quality, headache, Google searches, correlation, environmental factors, EPA data, Google Trends, atmospheric conditions, human well-being, causation, air pollution, health effects, urban environment

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



Random correlation

Discover a new correlation

View all correlations

View all research papers

Report an error


Data details

Air quality in New York City
Detailed data title: Percentage of days with good air quality in New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Source: Environmental Protection Agency
See what else correlates with Air quality in New York City

Google searches for 'i have a headache'
Detailed data title: Relative volume of Google searches for 'i have a headache' (Worldwide), with quotes)
Source: Google Trends
Additional Info: Relative search volume (not absolute numbers)

See what else correlates with Google searches for 'i have a headache'

Correlation r = 0.9619211 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9252923 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 92.5% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Google searches for 'i have a headache') is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Air quality in New York City) over the 20 years from 2004 through 2023.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 1.4E-11. 0.0000000000139215688644453600
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.96 in 1.4E-9% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 71,830,984,693 random variables You don't actually need 71 billion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 19 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 19 because we have two variables measured over a period of 20 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.9, 0.99 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
20042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
Air quality in New York City (Good air quality)26.502723.013721.917818.630114.754125.753431.780826.849332.240441.369935.890436.712342.349742.191842.739746.301460.655754.794553.698649.4506
Google searches for 'i have a headache' (Rel. search volume)8.755.083335.916675.166679.2515.166720.2527.416733.416736.833339.583339.54245.333350.333354.8333818077.583376.7778




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([26.5027,23.0137,21.9178,18.6301,14.7541,25.7534,31.7808,26.8493,32.2404,41.3699,35.8904,36.7123,42.3497,42.1918,42.7397,46.3014,60.6557,54.7945,53.6986,49.4506,])
array_2 = np.array([8.75,5.08333,5.91667,5.16667,9.25,15.1667,20.25,27.4167,33.4167,36.8333,39.5833,39.5,42,45.3333,50.3333,54.8333,81,80,77.5833,76.7778,])
array_1_name = "Air quality in New York City"
array_2_name = "Google searches for 'i have a headache'"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



Reuseable content

You may re-use the images on this page for any purpose, even commercial purposes, without asking for permission. The only requirement is that you attribute Tyler Vigen. Attribution can take many different forms. If you leave the "tylervigen.com" link in the image, that satisfies it just fine. If you remove it and move it to a footnote, that's fine too. You can also just write "Charts courtesy of Tyler Vigen" at the bottom of an article.

You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

Full license details.
For more on re-use permissions, or to get a signed release form, see tylervigen.com/permission.

Download images for these variables:


View another random correlation

How fun was this correlation?

Your correlation inspection deserves a standing ovation!


Correlation ID: 3720 · Black Variable ID: 20977 · Red Variable ID: 1524
about · subscribe · emailme@tylervigen.com · twitter

CC BY 4.0