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Spurious correlation #3,698 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in National League West Division and the second variable is Wins for the Los Angeles Dodgers.  The chart goes from 1975 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

Maybe the Dodgers realized that winning more games actually leads to winning more games. It's like they say, "a win in the hand is worth two in the bush league!" It's a classic case of success breeding success, or as they call it in baseball circles, a home run domino effect!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image of Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles on a bright, sunny day. The focus is on a large electronic board in the outfield displaying the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division, steadily increasing. On the field, the players are shown celebrating a hard-earned win, their high-fives and excited shouts reflecting their confidence and morale. The positive energy spreads through the team, propelling them to more wins as they continue to give their best on the field. The scene is depicted in a comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern, reminiscent of the 1960s. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in National League West Division and Wins for the Los Angeles Dodgers. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Data cyber art Vaporwave Celtic art A comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s Magic realism
ChatGPT: A comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in National League West Division and Wins for the Los Angeles Dodgers, in the following situation: Because as the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division increases, the team's confidence and morale also rise, leading to improved performance and ultimately more wins on the field. The positive energy is contagious, fueling the players to give their best shot and secure more victories for the team.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: Picture a sunny day at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles. The Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division is shown on a large electronic board in the outfield, steadily increasing. On the field, the players are celebrating a hard-earned win, their high-fives and excited shouts reflecting their confidence and morale. The positive energy spreads through the team, propelling them to more wins as they continue to give their best on the field.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ A comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s ] and depicting this scene: Picture a sunny day at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles. The Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division is shown on a large electronic board in the outfield, steadily increasing. On the field, the players are celebrating a hard-earned win, their high-fives and excited shouts reflecting their confidence and morale. The positive energy spreads through the team, propelling them to more wins as they continue to give their best on the field. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image of Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles on a bright, sunny day. The focus is on a large electronic board in the outfield displaying the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division, steadily increasing. On the field, the players are shown celebrating a hard-earned win, their high-fives and excited shouts reflecting their confidence and morale. The positive energy spreads through the team, propelling them to more wins as they continue to give their best on the field. The scene is depicted in a comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern, reminiscent of the 1960s.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in National League West Division caused Wins for the Los Angeles Dodgers to increase. Include one good pun.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
The Swing of Fate: A Statistical Analysis of the Relationship between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in the National League West Division and Their Overall Wins

The Journal of Sports Analytics and Data Science

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in National League West Division and Wins for the Los Angeles Dodgers. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title seem clever.

Your research team used data from Baseball Reference and Baseball-Reference.com to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9864738 and p < 0.01 for 1975 to 2022.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
"The Swing of Fate: A Statistical Analysis of the Relationship between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in the National League West Division and Their Overall Wins"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research study explores the peculiar and delightful dance between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage and their overall wins within the National League West Division. While the topic may seem light-hearted, the statistical analysis we conducted reveals a strong and unmistakable connection. Utilizing data from Baseball Reference and Baseball-Reference.com spanning from 1975 to 2022, we discovered a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9864738, firmly establishing the link between the Dodgers' performance in their division and their cumulative wins. Furthermore, with a p-value of less than 0.01, the significance of this relationship cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence.

In unraveling this relationship, we have not only unearthed a whimsical synchronicity between baseball statistics, but also shed light on the interplay of factors shaping a team's success. This study ultimately showcases the delightful harmony between the Dodgers' performance in their division and their overall victories, providing a novel perspective on the intricate world of sports statistics.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in National League West Division and Wins for the Los Angeles Dodgers. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"The Swing of Fate: A Statistical Analysis of the Relationship between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in the National League West Division and Their Overall Wins"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research study explores the peculiar and delightful dance between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage and their overall wins within the National League West Division. While the topic may seem light-hearted, the statistical analysis we conducted reveals a strong and unmistakable connection. Utilizing data from Baseball Reference and Baseball-Reference.com spanning from 1975 to 2022, we discovered a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9864738, firmly establishing the link between the Dodgers' performance in their division and their cumulative wins. Furthermore, with a p-value of less than 0.01, the significance of this relationship cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence.

In unraveling this relationship, we have not only unearthed a whimsical synchronicity between baseball statistics, but also shed light on the interplay of factors shaping a team's success. This study ultimately showcases the delightful harmony between the Dodgers' performance in their division and their overall victories, providing a novel perspective on the intricate world of sports statistics.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
INTRODUCTION

The whimsical world of sports statistics never fails to enchant and perplex us. In this study, we delve into the enchanting dance between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division and their overall wins. While on the surface this may appear to be a lighthearted endeavor, there is a profound significance to unraveling the intricate interplay between these seemingly disparate metrics.

As any seasoned baseball enthusiast can attest, the fate of a team is often thought to be interwoven with the ebb and flow of their performance within their division. The Los Angeles Dodgers, a formidable force in the realm of Major League Baseball, embody this sentiment with their storied history and fluctuating fortunes. Delving into this relationship, however, requires more than just a whimsical curiosity; it demands a rigorous approach that unearths the deeply entrenched connection between win/loss percentage and total wins.

By employing a robust statistical analysis, we aim to shine a light on the hidden correlations and patterns that underpin the Dodgers' performance. Our study spans nearly five decades, drawing upon a wealth of data from Baseball Reference and Baseball-Reference.com. The sheer scope of this dataset lends depth and credibility to our findings, allowing us to discern the intricate threads of causality that tie the Dodgers' divisional performance to their overall victories.

Beyond the realms of sport, the insights gleaned from this analysis reverberate with broader implications. The marriage of statistical rigor and the boundless spirit of baseball invites us to contemplate the deeper complexities that shape success in any competitive arena. As we embark on this journey, it is our hope that the revelation of this delightful harmony will not only captivate the minds of sports enthusiasts but also inspire a renewed appreciation for the statistical poetry hidden within the game.

In the pages that follow, we invite you to join us in unraveling this perplexing yet poignant relationship, as we venture into the heart of statistical synchronicity and the ever-unpredictable game of baseball.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in National League West Division and Wins for the Los Angeles Dodgers. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name a few real TV shows that sound like they might be relevant to the topic that you watched as research.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"The Swing of Fate: A Statistical Analysis of the Relationship between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in the National League West Division and Their Overall Wins"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research study explores the peculiar and delightful dance between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage and their overall wins within the National League West Division. While the topic may seem light-hearted, the statistical analysis we conducted reveals a strong and unmistakable connection. Utilizing data from Baseball Reference and Baseball-Reference.com spanning from 1975 to 2022, we discovered a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9864738, firmly establishing the link between the Dodgers' performance in their division and their cumulative wins. Furthermore, with a p-value of less than 0.01, the significance of this relationship cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence.

In unraveling this relationship, we have not only unearthed a whimsical synchronicity between baseball statistics, but also shed light on the interplay of factors shaping a team's success. This study ultimately showcases the delightful harmony between the Dodgers' performance in their division and their overall victories, providing a novel perspective on the intricate world of sports statistics.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The whimsical world of sports statistics never fails to enchant and perplex us. In this study, we delve into the enchanting dance between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division and their overall wins. While on the surface this may appear to be a lighthearted endeavor, there is a profound significance to unraveling the intricate interplay between these seemingly disparate metrics.
As any seasoned baseball enthusiast can attest, the fate of a team is often thought to be interwoven with the ebb and flow of their performance within their division. The Los Angeles Dodgers, a formidable force in the realm of Major League Baseball, embody this sentiment with their storied history and fluctuating fortunes. Delving into this relationship, however, requires more than just a whimsical curiosity; it demands a rigorous approach that unearths the deeply entrenched connection between win/loss percentage and total wins.
By employing a robust statistical analysis, we aim to shine a light on the hidden correlations and patterns that underpin the Dodgers' performance. Our study spans nearly five decades, drawing upon a wealth of data from Baseball Reference and Baseball-Reference.com. The sheer scope of this dataset lends depth and credibility to our findings, allowing us to discern the intricate threads of causality that tie the Dodgers' divisional performance to their overall victories.
Beyond the realms of sport, the insights gleaned from this analysis reverberate with broader implications. The marriage of statistical rigor and the boundless spirit of baseball invites us to contemplate the deeper complexities that shape success in any competitive arena. As we embark on this journey, it is our hope that the revelation of this delightful harmony will not only captivate the minds of sports enthusiasts but also inspire a renewed appreciation for the statistical poetry hidden within the game.
In the pages that follow, we invite you to join us in unraveling this perplexing yet poignant relationship, as we venture into the heart of statistical synchronicity and the ever-unpredictable game of baseball.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

The connection between a sports team's win/loss percentage and its overall wins has been a subject of fascination and inquiry among sports enthusiasts and statisticians alike. Smith et al. (2015) examined the correlation between team performance metrics in Major League Baseball and identified compelling patterns that hint at the interdependence of these variables. Similarly, Doe and Jones (2018) extended the exploration to specific divisions within the league, shedding light on the nuanced dynamics that govern a team's success within its competitive domain.

Expanding the scope of inquiry beyond traditional statistical analyses, Lorem and Ipsum (2020) delved into the psychological underpinnings of athletic performance, revealing the profound impact of team dynamics and morale on win/loss outcomes. The authors' interdisciplinary approach offers a fresh perspective on the intricate dance between the quantitative and qualitative aspects of sports success.

In a parallel vein, works such as "Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game" by Michael Lewis and "The MVP Machine: How Baseball’s New Nonconformists Are Using Data to Build Better Players" by Ben Lindbergh and Travis Sawchik have illuminated the transformative power of data-driven strategies in shaping team outcomes. These insightful accounts underscore the multifaceted nature of statistical analyses in sports and the profound influence of innovative methodologies on competitive performance.

Veering into the realm of fiction, novels such as "The Art of Fielding" by Chad Harbach and "The Natural" by Bernard Malamud offer poignant narratives that delve into the captivating drama of baseball. While these literary works may not directly contribute to statistical analyses, they provide a rich tapestry of human experiences and emotions intertwined with the game, reminding us of the profound cultural significance of sports.

On a more entertaining note, the TV shows "Pitch" and "Brockmire" offer an engaging exploration of baseball's ethos and the intricate web of relationships that define the sport. While not academic in nature, these televised depictions provide a colorful backdrop against which the statistical synchronicity within the game can be further appreciated and contextualized.

As we navigate the diverse landscape of scholarly inquiries, literary narratives, and popular media, it becomes evident that the relationship between a team's win/loss percentage in its division and its overall victories transcends the boundaries of mere numbers. With this multifaceted understanding in mind, we embark on our own analytical odyssey, seeking to unravel the enchanting dance between the Los Angeles Dodgers' performance within the National League West Division and their cumulative wins.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in National League West Division and Wins for the Los Angeles Dodgers. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Baseball Reference and Baseball-Reference.com . You used data from 1975 to 2022

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"The Swing of Fate: A Statistical Analysis of the Relationship between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in the National League West Division and Their Overall Wins"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research study explores the peculiar and delightful dance between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage and their overall wins within the National League West Division. While the topic may seem light-hearted, the statistical analysis we conducted reveals a strong and unmistakable connection. Utilizing data from Baseball Reference and Baseball-Reference.com spanning from 1975 to 2022, we discovered a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9864738, firmly establishing the link between the Dodgers' performance in their division and their cumulative wins. Furthermore, with a p-value of less than 0.01, the significance of this relationship cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence.

In unraveling this relationship, we have not only unearthed a whimsical synchronicity between baseball statistics, but also shed light on the interplay of factors shaping a team's success. This study ultimately showcases the delightful harmony between the Dodgers' performance in their division and their overall victories, providing a novel perspective on the intricate world of sports statistics.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The whimsical world of sports statistics never fails to enchant and perplex us. In this study, we delve into the enchanting dance between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division and their overall wins. While on the surface this may appear to be a lighthearted endeavor, there is a profound significance to unraveling the intricate interplay between these seemingly disparate metrics.
As any seasoned baseball enthusiast can attest, the fate of a team is often thought to be interwoven with the ebb and flow of their performance within their division. The Los Angeles Dodgers, a formidable force in the realm of Major League Baseball, embody this sentiment with their storied history and fluctuating fortunes. Delving into this relationship, however, requires more than just a whimsical curiosity; it demands a rigorous approach that unearths the deeply entrenched connection between win/loss percentage and total wins.
By employing a robust statistical analysis, we aim to shine a light on the hidden correlations and patterns that underpin the Dodgers' performance. Our study spans nearly five decades, drawing upon a wealth of data from Baseball Reference and Baseball-Reference.com. The sheer scope of this dataset lends depth and credibility to our findings, allowing us to discern the intricate threads of causality that tie the Dodgers' divisional performance to their overall victories.
Beyond the realms of sport, the insights gleaned from this analysis reverberate with broader implications. The marriage of statistical rigor and the boundless spirit of baseball invites us to contemplate the deeper complexities that shape success in any competitive arena. As we embark on this journey, it is our hope that the revelation of this delightful harmony will not only captivate the minds of sports enthusiasts but also inspire a renewed appreciation for the statistical poetry hidden within the game.
In the pages that follow, we invite you to join us in unraveling this perplexing yet poignant relationship, as we venture into the heart of statistical synchronicity and the ever-unpredictable game of baseball.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

METHODOLOGY

Data Collection
The data for this study was meticulously gathered from various sources across the internet, with a predominant reliance on the venerable repositories of baseball statistics, Baseball Reference and Baseball-Reference.com. The period under scrutiny spans from 1975 to 2022, encompassing a treasure trove of historical game outcomes, win/loss percentages, and divisional standings. This expansive temporal scope affords us a panoramic view of the Los Angeles Dodgers' performance within the National League West Division, allowing for a comprehensive analysis of their wins and losses.

Statistical Analysis
A delightfully convoluted dance of statistical methods was employed to disentangle the intertwined fates of the Dodgers' win/loss percentage and their overall victories. We began by calculating the correlation coefficient between the Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division and their cumulative wins, revealing an astoundingly high coefficient of 0.9864738. This resounding figure emphatically attests to the interconnectedness of these two metrics, lending credence to the narrative of fate that permeates the world of baseball. Furthermore, with a p-value of less than 0.01, the significance of this relationship is irrefutable, akin to a sharply hit home run that leaves no room for doubt.

Causality Investigation
Beyond merely establishing a correlation, we ventured into the tangled underbrush of causality, seeking to unravel the intricate web of influence between divisional performance and total wins for the Los Angeles Dodgers. Utilizing a curious blend of regression analyses and time series modeling, we untangled the temporal nuances that underpin this relationship. The resulting insights, akin to the spirited quickstep of a baseball match, shed light on the nuanced ways in which win/loss percentages within the division shape the Dodgers' overall triumphs.

In essence, our methodology embraced the whimsical yet disciplined spirit of baseball, entwining robust statistical analyses with a passionate pursuit of uncovering the interconnected tapestry of wins, losses, and divisional standings. This harmonious fusion allowed us to uncover the enthralling relationship between the Los Angeles Dodgers' performance in their division and their resounding victories, thus contributing a new note to the symphony of sports statistics.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in National League West Division and Wins for the Los Angeles Dodgers. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Baseball Reference and Baseball-Reference.com .

For the time period 1975 to 2022, you found a correlation 0.9864738, r-squared of 0.9731305, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"The Swing of Fate: A Statistical Analysis of the Relationship between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in the National League West Division and Their Overall Wins"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research study explores the peculiar and delightful dance between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage and their overall wins within the National League West Division. While the topic may seem light-hearted, the statistical analysis we conducted reveals a strong and unmistakable connection. Utilizing data from Baseball Reference and Baseball-Reference.com spanning from 1975 to 2022, we discovered a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9864738, firmly establishing the link between the Dodgers' performance in their division and their cumulative wins. Furthermore, with a p-value of less than 0.01, the significance of this relationship cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence.

In unraveling this relationship, we have not only unearthed a whimsical synchronicity between baseball statistics, but also shed light on the interplay of factors shaping a team's success. This study ultimately showcases the delightful harmony between the Dodgers' performance in their division and their overall victories, providing a novel perspective on the intricate world of sports statistics.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
INTRODUCTION
The whimsical world of sports statistics never fails to enchant and perplex us. In this study, we delve into the enchanting dance between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division and their overall wins. While on the surface this may appear to be a lighthearted endeavor, there is a profound significance to unraveling the intricate interplay between these seemingly disparate metrics.
As any seasoned baseball enthusiast can attest, the fate of a team is often thought to be interwoven with the ebb and flow of their performance within their division. The Los Angeles Dodgers, a formidable force in the realm of Major League Baseball, embody this sentiment with their storied history and fluctuating fortunes. Delving into this relationship, however, requires more than just a whimsical curiosity; it demands a rigorous approach that unearths the deeply entrenched connection between win/loss percentage and total wins.
By employing a robust statistical analysis, we aim to shine a light on the hidden correlations and patterns that underpin the Dodgers' performance. Our study spans nearly five decades, drawing upon a wealth of data from Baseball Reference and Baseball-Reference.com. The sheer scope of this dataset lends depth and credibility to our findings, allowing us to discern the intricate threads of causality that tie the Dodgers' divisional performance to their overall victories.
Beyond the realms of sport, the insights gleaned from this analysis reverberate with broader implications. The marriage of statistical rigor and the boundless spirit of baseball invites us to contemplate the deeper complexities that shape success in any competitive arena. As we embark on this journey, it is our hope that the revelation of this delightful harmony will not only captivate the minds of sports enthusiasts but also inspire a renewed appreciation for the statistical poetry hidden within the game.
In the pages that follow, we invite you to join us in unraveling this perplexing yet poignant relationship, as we venture into the heart of statistical synchronicity and the ever-unpredictable game of baseball.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The analysis of the relationship between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division and their overall wins revealed a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9864738. This correlation, combined with an r-squared value of 0.9731305, indicates a remarkable level of association between these two variables, emphasizing the profound influence of divisional performance on the Dodgers' cumulative wins. The statistical significance of this relationship was further underscored by a p-value of less than 0.01, dispelling any notions of mere coincidental alignment.

The strength of this connection is visually depicted in Figure 1, a scatterplot that elegantly captures the near-linear relationship between the Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division and their total wins. The scatterplot serves as a compelling visual confirmation of the robust correlation unveiled through our analysis, offering a graphic representation of the delightful dance between these intertwined metrics.

While on the surface, this may seem like a routine statistical inquiry, the results of our investigation breathe life into the oft-unseen harmony between a team's divisional performance and their overall successes. The captivating nature of this correlation goes beyond mere numbers, hinting at the whimsical synchronicities that underpin the captivating realm of baseball statistics. In uncovering this relationship, we have not only illuminated a statistical convergence but also painted a portrait of the elegant interplay between a team's performance within their division and their victories on a grander scale.

These findings stand as a testament to the complex undercurrents that shape a team's journey to triumph, offering a compelling reflection of the entwined destinies of the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division and their overall wins.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in National League West Division and Wins for the Los Angeles Dodgers. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"The Swing of Fate: A Statistical Analysis of the Relationship between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in the National League West Division and Their Overall Wins"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research study explores the peculiar and delightful dance between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage and their overall wins within the National League West Division. While the topic may seem light-hearted, the statistical analysis we conducted reveals a strong and unmistakable connection. Utilizing data from Baseball Reference and Baseball-Reference.com spanning from 1975 to 2022, we discovered a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9864738, firmly establishing the link between the Dodgers' performance in their division and their cumulative wins. Furthermore, with a p-value of less than 0.01, the significance of this relationship cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence.

In unraveling this relationship, we have not only unearthed a whimsical synchronicity between baseball statistics, but also shed light on the interplay of factors shaping a team's success. This study ultimately showcases the delightful harmony between the Dodgers' performance in their division and their overall victories, providing a novel perspective on the intricate world of sports statistics.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
The connection between a sports team's win/loss percentage and its overall wins has been a subject of fascination and inquiry among sports enthusiasts and statisticians alike. Smith et al. (2015) examined the correlation between team performance metrics in Major League Baseball and identified compelling patterns that hint at the interdependence of these variables. Similarly, Doe and Jones (2018) extended the exploration to specific divisions within the league, shedding light on the nuanced dynamics that govern a team's success within its competitive domain.
Expanding the scope of inquiry beyond traditional statistical analyses, Lorem and Ipsum (2020) delved into the psychological underpinnings of athletic performance, revealing the profound impact of team dynamics and morale on win/loss outcomes. The authors' interdisciplinary approach offers a fresh perspective on the intricate dance between the quantitative and qualitative aspects of sports success.
In a parallel vein, works such as "Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game" by Michael Lewis and "The MVP Machine: How Baseball’s New Nonconformists Are Using Data to Build Better Players" by Ben Lindbergh and Travis Sawchik have illuminated the transformative power of data-driven strategies in shaping team outcomes. These insightful accounts underscore the multifaceted nature of statistical analyses in sports and the profound influence of innovative methodologies on competitive performance.
Veering into the realm of fiction, novels such as "The Art of Fielding" by Chad Harbach and "The Natural" by Bernard Malamud offer poignant narratives that delve into the captivating drama of baseball. While these literary works may not directly contribute to statistical analyses, they provide a rich tapestry of human experiences and emotions intertwined with the game, reminding us of the profound cultural significance of sports.
On a more entertaining note, the TV shows "Pitch" and "Brockmire" offer an engaging exploration of baseball's ethos and the intricate web of relationships that define the sport. While not academic in nature, these televised depictions provide a colorful backdrop against which the statistical synchronicity within the game can be further appreciated and contextualized.
As we navigate the diverse landscape of scholarly inquiries, literary narratives, and popular media, it becomes evident that the relationship between a team's win/loss percentage in its division and its overall victories transcends the boundaries of mere numbers. With this multifaceted understanding in mind, we embark on our own analytical odyssey, seeking to unravel the enchanting dance between the Los Angeles Dodgers' performance within the National League West Division and their cumulative wins.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the relationship between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division and their overall wins revealed a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9864738. This correlation, combined with an r-squared value of 0.9731305, indicates a remarkable level of association between these two variables, emphasizing the profound influence of divisional performance on the Dodgers' cumulative wins. The statistical significance of this relationship was further underscored by a p-value of less than 0.01, dispelling any notions of mere coincidental alignment.
The strength of this connection is visually depicted in Figure 1, a scatterplot that elegantly captures the near-linear relationship between the Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division and their total wins. The scatterplot serves as a compelling visual confirmation of the robust correlation unveiled through our analysis, offering a graphic representation of the delightful dance between these intertwined metrics.
While on the surface, this may seem like a routine statistical inquiry, the results of our investigation breathe life into the oft-unseen harmony between a team's divisional performance and their overall successes. The captivating nature of this correlation goes beyond mere numbers, hinting at the whimsical synchronicities that underpin the captivating realm of baseball statistics. In uncovering this relationship, we have not only illuminated a statistical convergence but also painted a portrait of the elegant interplay between a team's performance within their division and their victories on a grander scale.
These findings stand as a testament to the complex undercurrents that shape a team's journey to triumph, offering a compelling reflection of the entwined destinies of the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division and their overall wins.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The results of our analysis emphasize the significant relationship between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division and their total wins. This connection, with a correlation coefficient of 0.9864738 and a p-value of less than 0.01, not only corroborates prior research but also portrays a clear and robust association between these variables. While our inquiry may appear as a mere statistical endeavor, the whimsical synchronicity uncovered underscores the intricate nature of baseball statistics and their delightful dance.

Drawing from the existing literature, the works of Smith et al. (2015) and Doe and Jones (2018) established a framework for understanding the interdependence of team performance metrics and their cumulative victories. Our findings align with their conclusions, amplifying the discourse surrounding the nuanced dynamics that govern a team's success within its division. Furthermore, the interdisciplinary exploration by Lorem and Ipsum (2020), despite its whimsical tendencies, provided invaluable insights into the psychological underpinnings of athletic performance, shedding light on the profound impact of team dynamics on win/loss outcomes.

The results of our study not only add weight to these prior findings but also underscore the multifaceted nature of the relationship between a team's win/loss percentage in its division and its overall wins. The graphical representation of this connection in our scatterplot, akin to a captivating ballet of statistics, offers an engaging visual narrative that further attests to the undeniable alignment between these variables.

In unraveling this connection, we have not only contributed to the academic discourse on sports statistics but also spun a tale of the charming interplay between a team's divisional performance and their grander victories. Our findings vividly illustrate the enchanting harmony between the Los Angeles Dodgers' performance within the National League West Division and their cumulative wins, reaffirming the profound influence of divisional success on a team's overall journey to triumph.

Through this lighthearted exploration of sports statistics, our study serves as a playful reminder of the whimsical intricacies underpinning the game of baseball. As we ponder over the statistical embrace between the Dodgers' win/loss percentage and their overall wins, we are reminded that even in the world of academia, the dance of numbers can often be filled with delightful surprises.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in National League West Division and Wins for the Los Angeles Dodgers. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"The Swing of Fate: A Statistical Analysis of the Relationship between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in the National League West Division and Their Overall Wins"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research study explores the peculiar and delightful dance between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage and their overall wins within the National League West Division. While the topic may seem light-hearted, the statistical analysis we conducted reveals a strong and unmistakable connection. Utilizing data from Baseball Reference and Baseball-Reference.com spanning from 1975 to 2022, we discovered a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9864738, firmly establishing the link between the Dodgers' performance in their division and their cumulative wins. Furthermore, with a p-value of less than 0.01, the significance of this relationship cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence.

In unraveling this relationship, we have not only unearthed a whimsical synchronicity between baseball statistics, but also shed light on the interplay of factors shaping a team's success. This study ultimately showcases the delightful harmony between the Dodgers' performance in their division and their overall victories, providing a novel perspective on the intricate world of sports statistics.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The whimsical world of sports statistics never fails to enchant and perplex us. In this study, we delve into the enchanting dance between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division and their overall wins. While on the surface this may appear to be a lighthearted endeavor, there is a profound significance to unraveling the intricate interplay between these seemingly disparate metrics.
As any seasoned baseball enthusiast can attest, the fate of a team is often thought to be interwoven with the ebb and flow of their performance within their division. The Los Angeles Dodgers, a formidable force in the realm of Major League Baseball, embody this sentiment with their storied history and fluctuating fortunes. Delving into this relationship, however, requires more than just a whimsical curiosity; it demands a rigorous approach that unearths the deeply entrenched connection between win/loss percentage and total wins.
By employing a robust statistical analysis, we aim to shine a light on the hidden correlations and patterns that underpin the Dodgers' performance. Our study spans nearly five decades, drawing upon a wealth of data from Baseball Reference and Baseball-Reference.com. The sheer scope of this dataset lends depth and credibility to our findings, allowing us to discern the intricate threads of causality that tie the Dodgers' divisional performance to their overall victories.
Beyond the realms of sport, the insights gleaned from this analysis reverberate with broader implications. The marriage of statistical rigor and the boundless spirit of baseball invites us to contemplate the deeper complexities that shape success in any competitive arena. As we embark on this journey, it is our hope that the revelation of this delightful harmony will not only captivate the minds of sports enthusiasts but also inspire a renewed appreciation for the statistical poetry hidden within the game.
In the pages that follow, we invite you to join us in unraveling this perplexing yet poignant relationship, as we venture into the heart of statistical synchronicity and the ever-unpredictable game of baseball.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the relationship between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division and their overall wins revealed a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9864738. This correlation, combined with an r-squared value of 0.9731305, indicates a remarkable level of association between these two variables, emphasizing the profound influence of divisional performance on the Dodgers' cumulative wins. The statistical significance of this relationship was further underscored by a p-value of less than 0.01, dispelling any notions of mere coincidental alignment.
The strength of this connection is visually depicted in Figure 1, a scatterplot that elegantly captures the near-linear relationship between the Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division and their total wins. The scatterplot serves as a compelling visual confirmation of the robust correlation unveiled through our analysis, offering a graphic representation of the delightful dance between these intertwined metrics.
While on the surface, this may seem like a routine statistical inquiry, the results of our investigation breathe life into the oft-unseen harmony between a team's divisional performance and their overall successes. The captivating nature of this correlation goes beyond mere numbers, hinting at the whimsical synchronicities that underpin the captivating realm of baseball statistics. In uncovering this relationship, we have not only illuminated a statistical convergence but also painted a portrait of the elegant interplay between a team's performance within their division and their victories on a grander scale.
These findings stand as a testament to the complex undercurrents that shape a team's journey to triumph, offering a compelling reflection of the entwined destinies of the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division and their overall wins.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our investigation into the whimsical world of baseball statistics has unearthed a delightful dance between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage in the National League West Division and their overall wins. The robust correlation coefficient of 0.9864738 and the strikingly high r-squared value of 0.9731305 affirm the deep intertwining of these two metrics, suggesting a harmonious relationship akin to a well-choreographed ballet - or perhaps, in this case, a flawless double play.

This study demonstrates that the Dodgers' triumphs and tribulations within their division hold a remarkable sway over their cumulative victories, hinting at a balletic synchronization between their performance in the National League West Division and their successes on the grand stage of Major League Baseball. The scatterplot, a visual testament to this captivating correlation, serves as a captivating snapshot of this statistical dance, akin to a perfectly timed swing connecting with a fastball – a match made in statistical heaven.
While this inquiry may appear to be a lighthearted exploration of America's favorite pastime, it certainly leaves us with a profound appreciation for the unseen forces at play in the realm of baseball statistics. With a p-value of less than 0.01, we can firmly assert that the connection between the Dodgers' divisional performance and their overall wins is not merely a fortuitous coincidence, but a well-crafted narrative with statistical significance.

As we hang up our statistical gloves and bid adieu to this playful foray into the world of baseball statistics, it is abundantly clear that further research in this area would be akin to overanalyzing the trajectory of a well-hit ball – unnecessary and perhaps even a touch melodramatic. With the whimsical dance of statistical synchronicity between the Dodgers' divisional performance and their overall wins firmly established, we can confidently say that our work here is as secure as a comfortable lead going into the ninth inning.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited The Swing of Fate: A Statistical Analysis of the Relationship between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in the National League West Division and Their Overall Wins. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Sports Analytics and Data Science


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited The Swing of Fate: A Statistical Analysis of the Relationship between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in the National League West Division and Their Overall Wins. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The League of Statistical Sports Analysts (LOSSA)


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled The Swing of Fate: A Statistical Analysis of the Relationship between Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in the National League West Division and Their Overall Wins with an abstract of This research study explores the peculiar and delightful dance between the Los Angeles Dodgers' win/loss percentage and their overall wins within the National League West Division. While the topic may seem light-hearted, the statistical analysis we conducted reveals a strong and unmistakable connection. Utilizing data from Baseball Reference and Baseball-Reference.com spanning from 1975 to 2022, we discovered a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9864738, firmly establishing the link between the Dodgers' performance in their division and their cumulative wins. Furthermore, with a p-value of less than 0.01, the significance of this relationship cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence.
In unraveling this relationship, we have not only unearthed a whimsical synchronicity between baseball statistics, but also shed light on the interplay of factors shaping a team's success. This study ultimately showcases the delightful harmony between the Dodgers' performance in their division and their overall victories, providing a novel perspective on the intricate world of sports statistics.

ChatGPT:

Los Angeles Dodgers, win/loss percentage, National League West Division, overall wins, statistical analysis, correlation coefficient, p-value, baseball statistics, team success, sports statistics, baseball data, Baseball Reference, Baseball-Reference.com

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in National League West Division
Source: Baseball Reference
See what else correlates with Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in National League West Division

Wins for the Los Angeles Dodgers
Detailed data title: The season win/loss ratio for the Los Angeles Dodgers
Source: Baseball-Reference.com
See what else correlates with Wins for the Los Angeles Dodgers

Correlation r = 0.9864738 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9731305 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 97.3% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Wins for the Los Angeles Dodgers) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in National League West Division) over the 48 years from 1975 through 2022.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 0. 0.0000000000000000000000000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.99 in 0% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated
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inf random variables
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You don't actually need
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INF variables to find a correlation like this one.
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I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.
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In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 47 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 47 because we have two variables measured over a period of 48 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.98, 0.99 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
197519761977197819791980198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in National League West Division (Percentage)54.356.860.558.648.856.457.354.356.248.858.645.145.158.448.153.157.438.95050.954.255.654.351.247.553.153.156.852.557.543.854.350.651.958.649.450.953.156.857.155.255.862.762.466.271.267.271.5
Wins for the Los Angeles Dodgers (Win/Loss Ratio)0.5430.5680.6050.5860.4880.5640.5730.5430.5620.4880.5860.4510.4510.5840.4810.5310.5740.3890.50.5090.5420.5560.5430.5120.4750.5310.5310.5680.5250.5740.4380.5430.5060.5190.5860.4940.5090.5310.5680.580.5680.5620.6420.5640.6540.7170.6540.685




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Confounding variable: 2020 is particularly different from the other years on this graph. Confounding variables (like global pandemics) will cause two variables to look connected when in fact a "sneaky third" variable is influencing both of them behind the scenes.
  5. Outlandish outliers: There are "outliers" in this data. In concept, "outlier" just means "way different than the rest of your dataset." When calculating a correlation like this, they are particularly impactful because a single outlier can substantially increase your correlation.

    For the purposes of this project, I counted a point as an outlier if it the residual was two standard deviations from the mean.

    (This bullet point only shows up in the details page on charts that do, in fact, have outliers.)
    They stand out on the scatterplot above: notice the dots that are far away from any other dots. I intentionally mishandeled outliers, which makes the correlation look extra strong.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([54.3,56.8,60.5,58.6,48.8,56.4,57.3,54.3,56.2,48.8,58.6,45.1,45.1,58.4,48.1,53.1,57.4,38.9,50,50.9,54.2,55.6,54.3,51.2,47.5,53.1,53.1,56.8,52.5,57.5,43.8,54.3,50.6,51.9,58.6,49.4,50.9,53.1,56.8,57.1,55.2,55.8,62.7,62.4,66.2,71.2,67.2,71.5,])
array_2 = np.array([0.543,0.568,0.605,0.586,0.488,0.564,0.573,0.543,0.562,0.488,0.586,0.451,0.451,0.584,0.481,0.531,0.574,0.389,0.5,0.509,0.542,0.556,0.543,0.512,0.475,0.531,0.531,0.568,0.525,0.574,0.438,0.543,0.506,0.519,0.586,0.494,0.509,0.531,0.568,0.58,0.568,0.562,0.642,0.564,0.654,0.717,0.654,0.685,])
array_1_name = "Los Angeles Dodgers' Win/Loss Percentage in National League West Division"
array_2_name = "Wins for the Los Angeles Dodgers"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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You may re-use the images on this page for any purpose, even commercial purposes, without asking for permission. The only requirement is that you attribute Tyler Vigen. Attribution can take many different forms. If you leave the "tylervigen.com" link in the image, that satisfies it just fine. If you remove it and move it to a footnote, that's fine too. You can also just write "Charts courtesy of Tyler Vigen" at the bottom of an article.

You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 3698 · Black Variable ID: 366 · Red Variable ID: 4336
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