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Spurious correlation #3,227 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Golden State Warriors' Seasonal Total Wins and the second variable is Jet fuel used in Iceland.  The chart goes from 1980 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

The Warriors' winning streak sparked a surge in fan excitement, leading to a spike in demand for replica championship trophies. This prompted Icelandic souvenir manufacturers to ramp up production, resulting in greater use of jet fuel for international shipping. Remember, when the Warriors bring the heat, even Iceland feels the burn!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Prompt: Generate an image in the style of Art Nouveau depicting a bustling arena where the Golden State Warriors celebrate a victorious season. Confetti rain down, fans cheer, and fireworks light up the night sky. In the background, a line of planes eagerly awaits takeoff, fueled up and ready to transport eager fans to Iceland. The surge in demand for jet fuel is evident as planes take off one after another, their engines roaring to life amidst the celebration. Capture the energy and movement of this vibrant scene with the elegant, organic lines and motifs characteristic of Art Nouveau. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Golden State Warriors' Seasonal Total Wins and Jet fuel used in Iceland. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Parallax art a funny image you would see on reddit Art nouveau A Discovery magazine cover image Art nouveau
ChatGPT: Art nouveau

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Golden State Warriors' Seasonal Total Wins and Jet fuel used in Iceland, in the following situation: Jet fuel used in Iceland increased because as the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins increased, fans celebrated by setting off fireworks, leading to a surge in demand for jet fuel to power the planes flying over Iceland to catch a glimpse of the team's victory. The soaring success of the Warriors led to a fuel frenzy that lit up the skies and burned through supplies faster than Chef Curry's three-pointers.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In a bustling arena, the Golden State Warriors celebrate a victorious season with confetti raining down. Fans cheer and set off fireworks, illuminating the night sky. Meanwhile, a line of planes eagerly await takeoff, fueled up and ready to transport eager fans to Iceland. The surge in demand for jet fuel is evident as planes take off one after another, their engines roaring to life amidst the celebration.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Art nouveau ] and depicting this scene: In a bustling arena, the Golden State Warriors celebrate a victorious season with confetti raining down. Fans cheer and set off fireworks, illuminating the night sky. Meanwhile, a line of planes eagerly await takeoff, fueled up and ready to transport eager fans to Iceland. The surge in demand for jet fuel is evident as planes take off one after another, their engines roaring to life amidst the celebration. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Prompt: Generate an image in the style of Art Nouveau depicting a bustling arena where the Golden State Warriors celebrate a victorious season. Confetti rain down, fans cheer, and fireworks light up the night sky. In the background, a line of planes eagerly awaits takeoff, fueled up and ready to transport eager fans to Iceland. The surge in demand for jet fuel is evident as planes take off one after another, their engines roaring to life amidst the celebration. Capture the energy and movement of this vibrant scene with the elegant, organic lines and motifs characteristic of Art Nouveau.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Golden State Warriors' Seasonal Total Wins caused Jet fuel used in Iceland to increase.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Shooting for Wins: Does the Golden State Warriors' On-Court Glory Fuel Iceland's Sky Story?

The Journal of Sports Astrology

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Golden State Warriors' Seasonal Total Wins and Jet fuel used in Iceland. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Rhyme words in the title.

Your research team used data from NBA and Energy Information Administration to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.6383584 and p < 0.01 for 1980 to 2022.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
Shooting for Wins: Does the Golden State Warriors' On-Court Glory Fuel Iceland's Sky Story?

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper delves into the eyebrow-raising connection between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and jet fuel usage in Iceland. Employing data from the NBA and the Energy Information Administration, our research team rigorously examines this peculiar pairing. Our findings reveal a statistically significant correlation coefficient of 0.6383584 with a p-value of less than 0.01 from the years 1980 to 2022. While the empirically derived relationship between basketball triumphs and the consumption of jet fuel in a distant island nation may seem as improbable as a full-court buzzer-beater, the numbers speak for themselves. Our analysis uncovers a surprising link that merits further investigation and underscores the unanticipated connections that emerge when data from disparate domains are compared.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Golden State Warriors' Seasonal Total Wins and Jet fuel used in Iceland. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Shooting for Wins: Does the Golden State Warriors' On-Court Glory Fuel Iceland's Sky Story?

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper delves into the eyebrow-raising connection between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and jet fuel usage in Iceland. Employing data from the NBA and the Energy Information Administration, our research team rigorously examines this peculiar pairing. Our findings reveal a statistically significant correlation coefficient of 0.6383584 with a p-value of less than 0.01 from the years 1980 to 2022. While the empirically derived relationship between basketball triumphs and the consumption of jet fuel in a distant island nation may seem as improbable as a full-court buzzer-beater, the numbers speak for themselves. Our analysis uncovers a surprising link that merits further investigation and underscores the unanticipated connections that emerge when data from disparate domains are compared.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

In the world of sports, the dynamics of a team's success on the court are often attributed to a combination of skill, strategy, and sheer determination. The Golden State Warriors, a perennial powerhouse in the NBA, have consistently demonstrated their prowess through multiple championship titles and formidable win-loss records. Conversely, in the realm of energy consumption, the utilization of jet fuel carries its own set of implications, particularly in the context of transportation and environmental sustainability. The unlikely intertwining of these seemingly unrelated domains forms the basis of our investigation, as we endeavor to unravel the enigmatic correlation between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and the consumption of jet fuel in Iceland.

At first glance, one might be inclined to dismiss the notion of any meaningful connection between the achievements of a basketball team and the utilization of jet fuel in a remote island nation. However, as renowned physicist Richard Feynman famously quipped, "Nature uses only the longest threads to weave her patterns, so that each small piece of her fabric reveals the organization of the entire tapestry." Our research seeks to heed Feynman's wisdom by scrutinizing the intricacies of these disparate variables and uncovering the underlying thread that binds them together, much like a well-executed pick-and-roll play on the court.

The initial spark for this investigation arose not from a fevered dream of conspiracy theories or wild conjectures, but rather from a meticulous examination of diverse datasets. Leveraging information from the vast repository of NBA game statistics and the meticulously documented figures on jet fuel usage compiled by the Energy Information Administration, we set out to scrutinize this unusual juxtaposition. As we delved further into the data, a tantalizing pattern began to emerge, beckoning us to explore this captivating conundrum with the rigor and curiosity that defines scientific inquiry.

In the annals of scientific exploration, serendipitous discoveries and unexpected revelations have often been the catalysts for groundbreaking advancements. As we traverse the landscape of unconventional research pursuits, our expedition into the interplay between athletic triumphs and energy consumption serves as a testament to the boundless potential of interdisciplinary inquiry. Our pursuit is driven not only by the quest for knowledge but also by an unwavering commitment to unraveling the peculiarities that lie hidden within the fabric of empirical evidence, regardless of how peculiar or unorthodox they may appear at first blush.

Join us as we embark on a journey that promises to shed light on an intriguing intersection of sporting glory and energy utilization, where the golden gleam of victory illuminates the jet-fueled skies of Iceland, creating a mosaic of mystery that beckons forth the inquisitive minds of research aficionados and skeptics alike.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Golden State Warriors' Seasonal Total Wins and Jet fuel used in Iceland. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Perhaps you also got inspiration from some board games that are vaugely related.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Shooting for Wins: Does the Golden State Warriors' On-Court Glory Fuel Iceland's Sky Story?

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper delves into the eyebrow-raising connection between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and jet fuel usage in Iceland. Employing data from the NBA and the Energy Information Administration, our research team rigorously examines this peculiar pairing. Our findings reveal a statistically significant correlation coefficient of 0.6383584 with a p-value of less than 0.01 from the years 1980 to 2022. While the empirically derived relationship between basketball triumphs and the consumption of jet fuel in a distant island nation may seem as improbable as a full-court buzzer-beater, the numbers speak for themselves. Our analysis uncovers a surprising link that merits further investigation and underscores the unanticipated connections that emerge when data from disparate domains are compared.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
In the world of sports, the dynamics of a team's success on the court are often attributed to a combination of skill, strategy, and sheer determination. The Golden State Warriors, a perennial powerhouse in the NBA, have consistently demonstrated their prowess through multiple championship titles and formidable win-loss records. Conversely, in the realm of energy consumption, the utilization of jet fuel carries its own set of implications, particularly in the context of transportation and environmental sustainability. The unlikely intertwining of these seemingly unrelated domains forms the basis of our investigation, as we endeavor to unravel the enigmatic correlation between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and the consumption of jet fuel in Iceland.
At first glance, one might be inclined to dismiss the notion of any meaningful connection between the achievements of a basketball team and the utilization of jet fuel in a remote island nation. However, as renowned physicist Richard Feynman famously quipped, "Nature uses only the longest threads to weave her patterns, so that each small piece of her fabric reveals the organization of the entire tapestry." Our research seeks to heed Feynman's wisdom by scrutinizing the intricacies of these disparate variables and uncovering the underlying thread that binds them together, much like a well-executed pick-and-roll play on the court.
The initial spark for this investigation arose not from a fevered dream of conspiracy theories or wild conjectures, but rather from a meticulous examination of diverse datasets. Leveraging information from the vast repository of NBA game statistics and the meticulously documented figures on jet fuel usage compiled by the Energy Information Administration, we set out to scrutinize this unusual juxtaposition. As we delved further into the data, a tantalizing pattern began to emerge, beckoning us to explore this captivating conundrum with the rigor and curiosity that defines scientific inquiry.
In the annals of scientific exploration, serendipitous discoveries and unexpected revelations have often been the catalysts for groundbreaking advancements. As we traverse the landscape of unconventional research pursuits, our expedition into the interplay between athletic triumphs and energy consumption serves as a testament to the boundless potential of interdisciplinary inquiry. Our pursuit is driven not only by the quest for knowledge but also by an unwavering commitment to unraveling the peculiarities that lie hidden within the fabric of empirical evidence, regardless of how peculiar or unorthodox they may appear at first blush.
Join us as we embark on a journey that promises to shed light on an intriguing intersection of sporting glory and energy utilization, where the golden gleam of victory illuminates the jet-fueled skies of Iceland, creating a mosaic of mystery that beckons forth the inquisitive minds of research aficionados and skeptics alike.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

The investigation of seemingly unrelated variables has long captured the imagination of researchers across various disciplines. Smith and Doe (2010) assert that the pursuit of unconventional correlations often yields unexpected insights, akin to stumbling upon a hidden passage in the labyrinth of empirical inquiry. As we traverse this uncharted territory of interconnections, we turn our attention to the curious juxtaposition of the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and the consumption of jet fuel in Iceland, a pairing that appears as peculiar as a platypus in a pack of penguins.

Our foray into this enigmatic alliance prompts us to consider the works of Jones (2015), who examines the flux and flow of unconventional associations within disparate domains. It is within this realm of unconventional associations that we embark on our analysis, propelled by an equal measure of skepticism and curiosity, much like embarking on a quest to unearth buried treasure in the unlikeliest of places.

Turning to more specialized literature, "Basketball and Beyond: Unearthing Unlikely Links" by Smith delves into the intricacies of unexpected connections in the world of sports. Meanwhile, "Energy Alchemy: Unveiling Mysteries of Fuel Consumption" by Doe sheds light on the complex interplay of energy utilization in diverse contexts, evoking a sense of unraveling a riddle wrapped in an enigma, encased in a jet-fueled mystery.

While these empirical and theoretical pursuits provide a foundation for our exploration, we also draw inspiration from a different breed of sources. "The Hoops Hypothesis" by J.K. Rowling, a fictional narrative weaving together the magical world of basketball championships with the inexplicable forces of jet-fueled occurrences, serves as a whimsical departure from the conventional literature.

In the realm of games, the parallels between the Golden State Warriors' on-court triumphs and Iceland's jet fuel usage find a curious reflection in the board game "Crossing Court and Skies," where players navigate the uncertain terrain of athletic dominance and fuel consumption, encapsulating the capricious nature of our research endeavor.

In the midst of our scholarly pursuit, we remain mindful of the adage that "truth is often stranger than fiction," and in the intricate web of correlations, lies the potential for unexpected revelations that transcend the boundaries of conventional wisdom. As we delve deeper into the union of these seemingly divergent domains, we are reminded of the timeless wisdom encapsulated in the words of William Shakespeare: "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."

Thus, armed with scholarly insight, literary whimsy, and a sprinkle of irreverent humor, we propel forward into the uncharted expanse where the golden glow of sporting triumph meets the jet-fueled skies of Iceland, an improbable tableau that beckons forth the nimble minds of research connoisseurs and skeptics alike.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Golden State Warriors' Seasonal Total Wins and Jet fuel used in Iceland. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from NBA and Energy Information Administration . You used data from 1980 to 2022

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Shooting for Wins: Does the Golden State Warriors' On-Court Glory Fuel Iceland's Sky Story?

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper delves into the eyebrow-raising connection between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and jet fuel usage in Iceland. Employing data from the NBA and the Energy Information Administration, our research team rigorously examines this peculiar pairing. Our findings reveal a statistically significant correlation coefficient of 0.6383584 with a p-value of less than 0.01 from the years 1980 to 2022. While the empirically derived relationship between basketball triumphs and the consumption of jet fuel in a distant island nation may seem as improbable as a full-court buzzer-beater, the numbers speak for themselves. Our analysis uncovers a surprising link that merits further investigation and underscores the unanticipated connections that emerge when data from disparate domains are compared.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
In the world of sports, the dynamics of a team's success on the court are often attributed to a combination of skill, strategy, and sheer determination. The Golden State Warriors, a perennial powerhouse in the NBA, have consistently demonstrated their prowess through multiple championship titles and formidable win-loss records. Conversely, in the realm of energy consumption, the utilization of jet fuel carries its own set of implications, particularly in the context of transportation and environmental sustainability. The unlikely intertwining of these seemingly unrelated domains forms the basis of our investigation, as we endeavor to unravel the enigmatic correlation between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and the consumption of jet fuel in Iceland.
At first glance, one might be inclined to dismiss the notion of any meaningful connection between the achievements of a basketball team and the utilization of jet fuel in a remote island nation. However, as renowned physicist Richard Feynman famously quipped, "Nature uses only the longest threads to weave her patterns, so that each small piece of her fabric reveals the organization of the entire tapestry." Our research seeks to heed Feynman's wisdom by scrutinizing the intricacies of these disparate variables and uncovering the underlying thread that binds them together, much like a well-executed pick-and-roll play on the court.
The initial spark for this investigation arose not from a fevered dream of conspiracy theories or wild conjectures, but rather from a meticulous examination of diverse datasets. Leveraging information from the vast repository of NBA game statistics and the meticulously documented figures on jet fuel usage compiled by the Energy Information Administration, we set out to scrutinize this unusual juxtaposition. As we delved further into the data, a tantalizing pattern began to emerge, beckoning us to explore this captivating conundrum with the rigor and curiosity that defines scientific inquiry.
In the annals of scientific exploration, serendipitous discoveries and unexpected revelations have often been the catalysts for groundbreaking advancements. As we traverse the landscape of unconventional research pursuits, our expedition into the interplay between athletic triumphs and energy consumption serves as a testament to the boundless potential of interdisciplinary inquiry. Our pursuit is driven not only by the quest for knowledge but also by an unwavering commitment to unraveling the peculiarities that lie hidden within the fabric of empirical evidence, regardless of how peculiar or unorthodox they may appear at first blush.
Join us as we embark on a journey that promises to shed light on an intriguing intersection of sporting glory and energy utilization, where the golden gleam of victory illuminates the jet-fueled skies of Iceland, creating a mosaic of mystery that beckons forth the inquisitive minds of research aficionados and skeptics alike.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To scrutinize the seemingly whimsical confluence of the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and the consumption of jet fuel in Iceland, our research harnessed an eclectic array of methodological approaches and statistical analyses. We meticulously amassed data pertaining to the Golden State Warriors' win-loss records over the years, drawing from the comprehensive archives of the NBA's statistical repository. Additionally, we ventured into the realms of energy consumption and transportation infrastructure by sourcing pertinent figures from the Energy Information Administration, which diligently documents the utilization of jet fuel in various geographical regions, including the far-flung Nordic landscapes of Iceland. By juxtaposing these disparate datasets, we sought to unravel the potential intertwined patterns that might underlie this unexpected correlation, akin to a fundamentally improbable alley-oop maneuver on the statistical court of inquiry.

The temporal scope of our investigation spanned the years 1980 to 2022, encompassing an expansive timeline that allowed for the comprehensive exploration of seasonal variations and long-term trends in both the Golden State Warriors' on-court triumphs and Iceland's airborne propellants. Leveraging state-of-the-art statistical software, our team conducted a meticulous examination of the dataset, employing advanced regression analyses and time-series modeling techniques to ascertain the presence of any discernible patterns or causal relationships between the variables of interest. Our analytical endeavors were complemented by rigorous diagnostic assessments to verify the robustness and reliability of the derived statistical inferences, ensuring that our findings were not merely as capricious as a last-second half-court heave, but rather firmly anchored in sound methodological rigour.

Furthermore, in an endeavor to mitigate the potential influence of extraneous factors and confounding variables, we integrated control measures and covariate adjustments into our statistical models, akin to an adept ball handler deftly navigating through a crowded defense. This strategic maneuver served to isolate the effect of the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins on Iceland's jet fuel consumption, while accounting for plausible mediating factors such as economic fluctuations, geopolitical events, and seasonal climatic variations. The harmonious interplay of these methodological considerations and analytical techniques facilitated a comprehensive dissection of the purported relationship, allowing us to discern whether the association between sporting prowess and aviation fuel represented a genuine statistical slam dunk or merely a fortuitous occurrence akin to an accidental half-court bank shot.

In essence, our methodological approach was undergirded by a judicious fusion of statistical methodologies, domain-specific expertise, and an unwavering commitment to scientific inquiry, crafting a testament to the capacious landscape of interdisciplinary research and the intriguing junctures it unveils, akin to the swift maneuvering of a precision-tuned fast break on the courts of academic exploration.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Golden State Warriors' Seasonal Total Wins and Jet fuel used in Iceland. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from NBA and Energy Information Administration .

For the time period 1980 to 2022, you found a correlation 0.6383584, r-squared of 0.4075015, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Shooting for Wins: Does the Golden State Warriors' On-Court Glory Fuel Iceland's Sky Story?

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper delves into the eyebrow-raising connection between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and jet fuel usage in Iceland. Employing data from the NBA and the Energy Information Administration, our research team rigorously examines this peculiar pairing. Our findings reveal a statistically significant correlation coefficient of 0.6383584 with a p-value of less than 0.01 from the years 1980 to 2022. While the empirically derived relationship between basketball triumphs and the consumption of jet fuel in a distant island nation may seem as improbable as a full-court buzzer-beater, the numbers speak for themselves. Our analysis uncovers a surprising link that merits further investigation and underscores the unanticipated connections that emerge when data from disparate domains are compared.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
In the world of sports, the dynamics of a team's success on the court are often attributed to a combination of skill, strategy, and sheer determination. The Golden State Warriors, a perennial powerhouse in the NBA, have consistently demonstrated their prowess through multiple championship titles and formidable win-loss records. Conversely, in the realm of energy consumption, the utilization of jet fuel carries its own set of implications, particularly in the context of transportation and environmental sustainability. The unlikely intertwining of these seemingly unrelated domains forms the basis of our investigation, as we endeavor to unravel the enigmatic correlation between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and the consumption of jet fuel in Iceland.
At first glance, one might be inclined to dismiss the notion of any meaningful connection between the achievements of a basketball team and the utilization of jet fuel in a remote island nation. However, as renowned physicist Richard Feynman famously quipped, "Nature uses only the longest threads to weave her patterns, so that each small piece of her fabric reveals the organization of the entire tapestry." Our research seeks to heed Feynman's wisdom by scrutinizing the intricacies of these disparate variables and uncovering the underlying thread that binds them together, much like a well-executed pick-and-roll play on the court.
The initial spark for this investigation arose not from a fevered dream of conspiracy theories or wild conjectures, but rather from a meticulous examination of diverse datasets. Leveraging information from the vast repository of NBA game statistics and the meticulously documented figures on jet fuel usage compiled by the Energy Information Administration, we set out to scrutinize this unusual juxtaposition. As we delved further into the data, a tantalizing pattern began to emerge, beckoning us to explore this captivating conundrum with the rigor and curiosity that defines scientific inquiry.
In the annals of scientific exploration, serendipitous discoveries and unexpected revelations have often been the catalysts for groundbreaking advancements. As we traverse the landscape of unconventional research pursuits, our expedition into the interplay between athletic triumphs and energy consumption serves as a testament to the boundless potential of interdisciplinary inquiry. Our pursuit is driven not only by the quest for knowledge but also by an unwavering commitment to unraveling the peculiarities that lie hidden within the fabric of empirical evidence, regardless of how peculiar or unorthodox they may appear at first blush.
Join us as we embark on a journey that promises to shed light on an intriguing intersection of sporting glory and energy utilization, where the golden gleam of victory illuminates the jet-fueled skies of Iceland, creating a mosaic of mystery that beckons forth the inquisitive minds of research aficionados and skeptics alike.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

Upon analyzing the extensive datasets from the NBA and the Energy Information Administration, we uncovered a correlation coefficient of 0.6383584 between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and jet fuel consumption in Iceland. The r-squared value of 0.4075015 provides further support for a meaningful relationship between these seemingly unrelated variables. With a p-value of less than 0.01, our findings indicate a statistically significant association, much like a perfect three-point shot swishing through the net.

Our examination reveals a compelling pattern, akin to a well-executed play unfolding on the basketball court, linking the success of the Golden State Warriors to the utilization of jet fuel in Iceland. The scatterplot depicted in Fig. 1 illustrates this surprising correlation, aligning with our empirical findings as seamlessly as a well-coordinated team executing a fast break.

Despite the initial incredulity that may accompany the juxtaposition of athletic achievement and energy consumption, our results unequivocally demonstrate the existence of an intriguing connection. The unexpected nature of this relationship underscores the inherent unpredictability and complexity that permeate the world of statistics, reminding us that even the most unconventional pairings can yield meaningful insights.

In conclusion, our research establishes a robust statistical association between the Golden State Warriors' on-court triumphs and the consumption of jet fuel in Iceland, highlighting the unanticipated interplay between these disparate domains. These findings not only pique the curiosity of inquisitive minds but also exemplify the serendipitous discoveries that can emerge from interdisciplinary investigations. As we continue to unravel the mysteries concealed within the tapestry of data, this study serves as a testament to the vibrant and unpredictable landscape of statistical exploration, where the quest for knowledge often leads to unexpected connections and illuminating discoveries.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Golden State Warriors' Seasonal Total Wins and Jet fuel used in Iceland. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Shooting for Wins: Does the Golden State Warriors' On-Court Glory Fuel Iceland's Sky Story?

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper delves into the eyebrow-raising connection between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and jet fuel usage in Iceland. Employing data from the NBA and the Energy Information Administration, our research team rigorously examines this peculiar pairing. Our findings reveal a statistically significant correlation coefficient of 0.6383584 with a p-value of less than 0.01 from the years 1980 to 2022. While the empirically derived relationship between basketball triumphs and the consumption of jet fuel in a distant island nation may seem as improbable as a full-court buzzer-beater, the numbers speak for themselves. Our analysis uncovers a surprising link that merits further investigation and underscores the unanticipated connections that emerge when data from disparate domains are compared.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
The investigation of seemingly unrelated variables has long captured the imagination of researchers across various disciplines. Smith and Doe (2010) assert that the pursuit of unconventional correlations often yields unexpected insights, akin to stumbling upon a hidden passage in the labyrinth of empirical inquiry. As we traverse this uncharted territory of interconnections, we turn our attention to the curious juxtaposition of the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and the consumption of jet fuel in Iceland, a pairing that appears as peculiar as a platypus in a pack of penguins.
Our foray into this enigmatic alliance prompts us to consider the works of Jones (2015), who examines the flux and flow of unconventional associations within disparate domains. It is within this realm of unconventional associations that we embark on our analysis, propelled by an equal measure of skepticism and curiosity, much like embarking on a quest to unearth buried treasure in the unlikeliest of places.
Turning to more specialized literature, "Basketball and Beyond: Unearthing Unlikely Links" by Smith delves into the intricacies of unexpected connections in the world of sports. Meanwhile, "Energy Alchemy: Unveiling Mysteries of Fuel Consumption" by Doe sheds light on the complex interplay of energy utilization in diverse contexts, evoking a sense of unraveling a riddle wrapped in an enigma, encased in a jet-fueled mystery.
While these empirical and theoretical pursuits provide a foundation for our exploration, we also draw inspiration from a different breed of sources. "The Hoops Hypothesis" by J.K. Rowling, a fictional narrative weaving together the magical world of basketball championships with the inexplicable forces of jet-fueled occurrences, serves as a whimsical departure from the conventional literature.
In the realm of games, the parallels between the Golden State Warriors' on-court triumphs and Iceland's jet fuel usage find a curious reflection in the board game "Crossing Court and Skies," where players navigate the uncertain terrain of athletic dominance and fuel consumption, encapsulating the capricious nature of our research endeavor.
In the midst of our scholarly pursuit, we remain mindful of the adage that "truth is often stranger than fiction," and in the intricate web of correlations, lies the potential for unexpected revelations that transcend the boundaries of conventional wisdom. As we delve deeper into the union of these seemingly divergent domains, we are reminded of the timeless wisdom encapsulated in the words of William Shakespeare: "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
Thus, armed with scholarly insight, literary whimsy, and a sprinkle of irreverent humor, we propel forward into the uncharted expanse where the golden glow of sporting triumph meets the jet-fueled skies of Iceland, an improbable tableau that beckons forth the nimble minds of research connoisseurs and skeptics alike.

[[RESULTS]]
Upon analyzing the extensive datasets from the NBA and the Energy Information Administration, we uncovered a correlation coefficient of 0.6383584 between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and jet fuel consumption in Iceland. The r-squared value of 0.4075015 provides further support for a meaningful relationship between these seemingly unrelated variables. With a p-value of less than 0.01, our findings indicate a statistically significant association, much like a perfect three-point shot swishing through the net.
Our examination reveals a compelling pattern, akin to a well-executed play unfolding on the basketball court, linking the success of the Golden State Warriors to the utilization of jet fuel in Iceland. The scatterplot depicted in Fig. 1 illustrates this surprising correlation, aligning with our empirical findings as seamlessly as a well-coordinated team executing a fast break.
Despite the initial incredulity that may accompany the juxtaposition of athletic achievement and energy consumption, our results unequivocally demonstrate the existence of an intriguing connection. The unexpected nature of this relationship underscores the inherent unpredictability and complexity that permeate the world of statistics, reminding us that even the most unconventional pairings can yield meaningful insights.
In conclusion, our research establishes a robust statistical association between the Golden State Warriors' on-court triumphs and the consumption of jet fuel in Iceland, highlighting the unanticipated interplay between these disparate domains. These findings not only pique the curiosity of inquisitive minds but also exemplify the serendipitous discoveries that can emerge from interdisciplinary investigations. As we continue to unravel the mysteries concealed within the tapestry of data, this study serves as a testament to the vibrant and unpredictable landscape of statistical exploration, where the quest for knowledge often leads to unexpected connections and illuminating discoveries.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The robust correlation between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and jet fuel usage in Iceland, as revealed by our analysis, is as surprising as an unexpected buzzer-beater, yet our findings support and extend prior research in unexpected ways.

Our investigation aligns with the scholarly works of Smith and Doe (2010), who advocate for the exploration of unconventional correlations as a means to unveil unforeseen insights, much like stumbling upon a rare gem amidst the rocky terrain of empirical inquiry. Just as Smith and Doe (2010) suggest, our study has unearthed a statistically significant relationship that transcends conventional wisdom.

Additionally, our whimsical literary departure into the fictional world of "The Hoops Hypothesis" by J.K. Rowling echoes the enigmatic forces at play in our empirical pursuits. While the narrative serves as a departure from conventional literature, it resonates with the notion that truth can indeed be stranger than fiction, and our findings lend credibility to this sentiment.

Furthermore, the parallel drawn between our research and the board game "Crossing Court and Skies" underscores the capricious nature of our venture into the uncharted terrain of athletic triumph and fuel consumption. The unexpected correlations discovered in our study not only support prior research but also exemplify the serendipitous nature of interdisciplinary investigations.

The statistical association between the Golden State Warriors' victories and the utilization of jet fuel in Iceland, highlighted by our analysis, underscores the profound unpredictability and complexity inherent in the world of statistics. Our findings serve as a testament to the vibrant and unpredictable landscape of statistical exploration, reaffirming the adage that truth is often stranger than fiction and that even incongruent pairings can yield meaningful insights.

Our investigation has opened the door to a multitude of questions and opportunities for further exploration, reflecting the continual quest for knowledge, serendipitous discoveries, and illuminating connections that lie at the heart of scientific inquiry. As we contemplate the unanticipated connections that have emerged from this study, we are reminded that in the enigmatic tapestry of data, lies the potential for countless extraordinary revelations, waiting to be unveiled by the nimble minds of research connoisseurs and skeptics alike.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Golden State Warriors' Seasonal Total Wins and Jet fuel used in Iceland. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Shooting for Wins: Does the Golden State Warriors' On-Court Glory Fuel Iceland's Sky Story?

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper delves into the eyebrow-raising connection between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and jet fuel usage in Iceland. Employing data from the NBA and the Energy Information Administration, our research team rigorously examines this peculiar pairing. Our findings reveal a statistically significant correlation coefficient of 0.6383584 with a p-value of less than 0.01 from the years 1980 to 2022. While the empirically derived relationship between basketball triumphs and the consumption of jet fuel in a distant island nation may seem as improbable as a full-court buzzer-beater, the numbers speak for themselves. Our analysis uncovers a surprising link that merits further investigation and underscores the unanticipated connections that emerge when data from disparate domains are compared.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
In the world of sports, the dynamics of a team's success on the court are often attributed to a combination of skill, strategy, and sheer determination. The Golden State Warriors, a perennial powerhouse in the NBA, have consistently demonstrated their prowess through multiple championship titles and formidable win-loss records. Conversely, in the realm of energy consumption, the utilization of jet fuel carries its own set of implications, particularly in the context of transportation and environmental sustainability. The unlikely intertwining of these seemingly unrelated domains forms the basis of our investigation, as we endeavor to unravel the enigmatic correlation between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and the consumption of jet fuel in Iceland.
At first glance, one might be inclined to dismiss the notion of any meaningful connection between the achievements of a basketball team and the utilization of jet fuel in a remote island nation. However, as renowned physicist Richard Feynman famously quipped, "Nature uses only the longest threads to weave her patterns, so that each small piece of her fabric reveals the organization of the entire tapestry." Our research seeks to heed Feynman's wisdom by scrutinizing the intricacies of these disparate variables and uncovering the underlying thread that binds them together, much like a well-executed pick-and-roll play on the court.
The initial spark for this investigation arose not from a fevered dream of conspiracy theories or wild conjectures, but rather from a meticulous examination of diverse datasets. Leveraging information from the vast repository of NBA game statistics and the meticulously documented figures on jet fuel usage compiled by the Energy Information Administration, we set out to scrutinize this unusual juxtaposition. As we delved further into the data, a tantalizing pattern began to emerge, beckoning us to explore this captivating conundrum with the rigor and curiosity that defines scientific inquiry.
In the annals of scientific exploration, serendipitous discoveries and unexpected revelations have often been the catalysts for groundbreaking advancements. As we traverse the landscape of unconventional research pursuits, our expedition into the interplay between athletic triumphs and energy consumption serves as a testament to the boundless potential of interdisciplinary inquiry. Our pursuit is driven not only by the quest for knowledge but also by an unwavering commitment to unraveling the peculiarities that lie hidden within the fabric of empirical evidence, regardless of how peculiar or unorthodox they may appear at first blush.
Join us as we embark on a journey that promises to shed light on an intriguing intersection of sporting glory and energy utilization, where the golden gleam of victory illuminates the jet-fueled skies of Iceland, creating a mosaic of mystery that beckons forth the inquisitive minds of research aficionados and skeptics alike.

[[RESULTS]]
Upon analyzing the extensive datasets from the NBA and the Energy Information Administration, we uncovered a correlation coefficient of 0.6383584 between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and jet fuel consumption in Iceland. The r-squared value of 0.4075015 provides further support for a meaningful relationship between these seemingly unrelated variables. With a p-value of less than 0.01, our findings indicate a statistically significant association, much like a perfect three-point shot swishing through the net.
Our examination reveals a compelling pattern, akin to a well-executed play unfolding on the basketball court, linking the success of the Golden State Warriors to the utilization of jet fuel in Iceland. The scatterplot depicted in Fig. 1 illustrates this surprising correlation, aligning with our empirical findings as seamlessly as a well-coordinated team executing a fast break.
Despite the initial incredulity that may accompany the juxtaposition of athletic achievement and energy consumption, our results unequivocally demonstrate the existence of an intriguing connection. The unexpected nature of this relationship underscores the inherent unpredictability and complexity that permeate the world of statistics, reminding us that even the most unconventional pairings can yield meaningful insights.
In conclusion, our research establishes a robust statistical association between the Golden State Warriors' on-court triumphs and the consumption of jet fuel in Iceland, highlighting the unanticipated interplay between these disparate domains. These findings not only pique the curiosity of inquisitive minds but also exemplify the serendipitous discoveries that can emerge from interdisciplinary investigations. As we continue to unravel the mysteries concealed within the tapestry of data, this study serves as a testament to the vibrant and unpredictable landscape of statistical exploration, where the quest for knowledge often leads to unexpected connections and illuminating discoveries.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our investigation into the perplexing relationship between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and jet fuel usage in Iceland has unveiled a statistically significant correlation, akin to a slam dunk in the world of unconventional statistical associations. Our findings illuminate a connection that is as surprising as a mid-court shot swishing through the net at the buzzer. While the initial juxtaposition of athletic prowess and energy consumption may elicit skepticism, our results underscore the enchanting unpredictability that underpins the fabric of statistical inquiry. Our research has brought to light an unanticipated intersection between sporting achievement and energy utilization, emphasizing the intricate tapestry of statistical exploration. As we traverse the uncharted territories of interdisciplinary investigations, our study stands as a testament to the captivating revelations that emerge when diverse datasets are interwoven, much like the seamless execution of a well-coordinated play on the basketball court.

As we reflect on the whimsical twist of fate that led us to this astonishing correlation, we are reminded of the immortal words of Isaac Newton, who once remarked, "I do not know what I may appear to the world, but to myself, I seem to have been only like a boy playing on the seashore, and diverting myself in now and then finding a smoother pebble or a prettier shell than ordinary, whilst the great ocean of truth lay all undiscovered before me." Our journey through this unconventional statistical landscape has indeed yielded a smoother pebble, a prettier shell that beckons forth further exploration, amidst the great ocean of statistical unknowns.

In light of our compelling findings, we assert that no further research is warranted in this area. The unexpected nexus between the Golden State Warriors' triumphs and Iceland's jet fuel consumption stands as a testament to the delightful surprises that await within the realm of statistical inquiry, leaving us pondering the mysteries of statistical serendipity and the capricious dance of empirical revelations. With this, we bid adieu to this curious conundrum, content in the knowledge that statistical inquiry, much like a well-crafted joke, is replete with unexpected twists and thought-provoking connections.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Shooting for Wins: Does the Golden State Warriors' On-Court Glory Fuel Iceland's Sky Story?. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Sports Astrology


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Shooting for Wins: Does the Golden State Warriors' On-Court Glory Fuel Iceland's Sky Story?. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The International Institute for Sports and Celestial Phenomena Analysis


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Shooting for Wins: Does the Golden State Warriors' On-Court Glory Fuel Iceland's Sky Story? with an abstract of This paper delves into the eyebrow-raising connection between the Golden State Warriors' seasonal total wins and jet fuel usage in Iceland. Employing data from the NBA and the Energy Information Administration, our research team rigorously examines this peculiar pairing. Our findings reveal a statistically significant correlation coefficient of 0.6383584 with a p-value of less than 0.01 from the years 1980 to 2022. While the empirically derived relationship between basketball triumphs and the consumption of jet fuel in a distant island nation may seem as improbable as a full-court buzzer-beater, the numbers speak for themselves. Our analysis uncovers a surprising link that merits further investigation and underscores the unanticipated connections that emerge when data from disparate domains are compared.

ChatGPT:

Golden State Warriors, seasonal total wins, jet fuel usage, Iceland, correlation coefficient, NBA data, Energy Information Administration, statistically significant, empirical relationship, basketball triumphs, consumption of jet fuel, distant island nation, data analysis, unexpected connections, disparate domains, research paper, statistical analysis

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Golden State Warriors' Seasonal Total Wins
Source: NBA
See what else correlates with Golden State Warriors' Seasonal Total Wins

Jet fuel used in Iceland
Detailed data title: Volume of jet fuel used consumed in Iceland in millions of barrels per day
Source: Energy Information Administration
See what else correlates with Jet fuel used in Iceland

Correlation r = 0.6383584 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.4075015 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 40.8% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Jet fuel used in Iceland) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Golden State Warriors' Seasonal Total Wins) over the 43 years from 1980 through 2022.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 4.1E-6. 0.0000041140269158757900000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.64 in 0.00041% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 243,071 random variables You don't actually need 243 thousand variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 42 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 42 because we have two variables measured over a period of 43 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.42, 0.79 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
1980198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
Golden State Warriors' Seasonal Total Wins (Wins)24394530372230422043374455345026363019211917213837343442482926362347516773675857153953
Jet fuel used in Iceland (Million Barrels/Day)11111.207651.449311.010961.205481.270491.942471.728771.506851.524591.490413.17681.722391.939892.139732.504112.676712.953552.553432.243842.284932.606562.934253.909593.621923.103832.504112.747953.084933.142083.539734.076714.750696.4043788.964386.728771.871592.953426.04658




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Outlandish outliers: There are "outliers" in this data. In concept, "outlier" just means "way different than the rest of your dataset." When calculating a correlation like this, they are particularly impactful because a single outlier can substantially increase your correlation.

    For the purposes of this project, I counted a point as an outlier if it the residual was two standard deviations from the mean.

    (This bullet point only shows up in the details page on charts that do, in fact, have outliers.)
    They stand out on the scatterplot above: notice the dots that are far away from any other dots. I intentionally mishandeled outliers, which makes the correlation look extra strong.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([24,39,45,30,37,22,30,42,20,43,37,44,55,34,50,26,36,30,19,21,19,17,21,38,37,34,34,42,48,29,26,36,23,47,51,67,73,67,58,57,15,39,53,])
array_2 = np.array([1,1,1,1,1.20765,1.44931,1.01096,1.20548,1.27049,1.94247,1.72877,1.50685,1.52459,1.49041,3.1768,1.72239,1.93989,2.13973,2.50411,2.67671,2.95355,2.55343,2.24384,2.28493,2.60656,2.93425,3.90959,3.62192,3.10383,2.50411,2.74795,3.08493,3.14208,3.53973,4.07671,4.75069,6.40437,8,8.96438,6.72877,1.87159,2.95342,6.04658,])
array_1_name = "Golden State Warriors' Seasonal Total Wins"
array_2_name = "Jet fuel used in Iceland"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 3227 · Black Variable ID: 321 · Red Variable ID: 24532
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