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Spurious correlation #2,754 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is GMO use in corn grown in South Dakota and the second variable is Google searches for 'cia hotline'.  The chart goes from 2004 to 2023, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

Without GMOs, the corn in South Dakota developed a kernel of suspicion. This led to a-maize-ing paranoia among the CIA agents, who were convinced that the corn was all ears. As a result, they decided to stalk-atoe instead of using the hotline, decreasing the number of cia hotline searches. It was a cornundrum of espionage proportions!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image of a serene South Dakota cornfield, with a farmer walking through the rows, admiring the pristine non-GMO crops. In the background, depict a small group of people gathered around a picnic table, enjoying a casual conversation and laughter. On the table, show a laptop with the Google search engine open, displaying a search for local events and news. Capture the relaxed atmosphere that reflects decreased government paranoia, stemming from the reduced use of GMOs in corn. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: GMO use in corn grown in South Dakota and Google searches for 'cia hotline'. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Whimsical illustration Pop art Symbolism Cyberpunk A Discovery magazine cover image
ChatGPT: A Discovery magazine cover image

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both GMO use in corn grown in South Dakota and Google searches for 'cia hotline', in the following situation: Because fewer GMOs in South Dakota corn reduces government paranoia, leading to decreased interest in CIA hotline searches.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: A farmer in South Dakota walks through his non-GMO cornfield, smiling as he inspects the healthy crop. In the background, a group of people gather around a picnic table, casually chatting and laughing. There's a laptop on the table with the Google search engine open, but instead of typing in "cia hotline," they're searching for local events and news. The relaxed atmosphere reflects the decreased interest in CIA hotline searches due to reduced government paranoia from the decreased use of GMOs in corn.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ A Discovery magazine cover image ] and depicting this scene: A farmer in South Dakota walks through his non-GMO cornfield, smiling as he inspects the healthy crop. In the background, a group of people gather around a picnic table, casually chatting and laughing. There's a laptop on the table with the Google search engine open, but instead of typing in "cia hotline," they're searching for local events and news. The relaxed atmosphere reflects the decreased interest in CIA hotline searches due to reduced government paranoia from the decreased use of GMOs in corn. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image of a serene South Dakota cornfield, with a farmer walking through the rows, admiring the pristine non-GMO crops. In the background, depict a small group of people gathered around a picnic table, enjoying a casual conversation and laughter. On the table, show a laptop with the Google search engine open, displaying a search for local events and news. Capture the relaxed atmosphere that reflects decreased government paranoia, stemming from the reduced use of GMOs in corn.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how a decrease in GMO use in corn grown in South Dakota caused cia hotline (Google searches for 'cia hotline') to decrease. Include one good pun.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
GMO Crop or Google Mischief? Unveiling the 'Maize'y Connection Between GMO Corn in South Dakota and Google Searches for 'CIA Hotline'

The Journal of Agricultural Conspiracies

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GMO use in corn grown in South Dakota and Google searches for 'cia hotline'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Include a pun in the title.

Your research team used data from USDA and Google Trends to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.8898840 and p < 0.01 for 2004 to 2023.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
"GMO Crop or Google Mischief? Unveiling the 'Maize'y Connection Between GMO Corn in South Dakota and Google Searches for 'CIA Hotline'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we dive into the enigmatic relationship between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline.' Our aim was to unravel whether there exists a significant correlation between the two seemingly disparate phenomena. Utilizing data from the USDA and Google Trends, we employed rigorous statistical analysis and uncovered a conspicuous connection between the two, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8898840 and p-value less than 0.01 from 2004 to 2023.

The findings of our research shed light on a maize-ngly unexpected correlation, sparking curiosity and prompting us to wonder whether we inadvertently stumbled across a kernel of truth in an ear-resistible mystery. While the exact causative mechanism behind this correlation remains elusive, our study highlights the curiosity-arousing nature of the relationship between agricultural practices and online behavior, proving that the study of GMO crops and internet search trends can yield results as corn-y as they are thought-provoking. The results of our investigation may serve as a kernel of inspiration for further research in this emerging field, showing that even in the world of academia, a little humor can pop up unexpectedly, reminding us that curiosity is the cob-nerstone of scholarly pursuit!

So, what did the farmer say after discovering the correlation between GMO corn and 'CIA Hotline' searches? "Well, shucks, I guess the truth really is out there!"


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GMO use in corn grown in South Dakota and Google searches for 'cia hotline'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"GMO Crop or Google Mischief? Unveiling the 'Maize'y Connection Between GMO Corn in South Dakota and Google Searches for 'CIA Hotline'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we dive into the enigmatic relationship between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline.' Our aim was to unravel whether there exists a significant correlation between the two seemingly disparate phenomena. Utilizing data from the USDA and Google Trends, we employed rigorous statistical analysis and uncovered a conspicuous connection between the two, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8898840 and p-value less than 0.01 from 2004 to 2023.

The findings of our research shed light on a maize-ngly unexpected correlation, sparking curiosity and prompting us to wonder whether we inadvertently stumbled across a kernel of truth in an ear-resistible mystery. While the exact causative mechanism behind this correlation remains elusive, our study highlights the curiosity-arousing nature of the relationship between agricultural practices and online behavior, proving that the study of GMO crops and internet search trends can yield results as corn-y as they are thought-provoking. The results of our investigation may serve as a kernel of inspiration for further research in this emerging field, showing that even in the world of academia, a little humor can pop up unexpectedly, reminding us that curiosity is the cob-nerstone of scholarly pursuit!

So, what did the farmer say after discovering the correlation between GMO corn and 'CIA Hotline' searches? "Well, shucks, I guess the truth really is out there!"

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

The pursuit of knowledge often leads us down unusual paths, from the serendipitous discovery of penicillin to the accidental invention of the slinky. In the realm of scientific inquiry, it is not uncommon to stumble upon unexpected correlations, much like finding a pun in a scientist's notebook – it's simply a matter of paradigms. With this in mind, we embark on a journey to unravel the perplexing connection between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline.' It seems that this corn-undrum has certainly popped!

As researchers, we are accustomed to delving into the nitty-gritty of data, sifting through statistical peculiarities, and untangling the web of variables with the same enthusiasm as a cat playing with a ball of yarn. Unraveling the threads of this unanticipated bond between GMO corn and internet searches for government agencies, we found ourselves saying, "It's amaize-ing what we corn discover when we ear-mark our attention to the right places!"

One might be inclined to ask, "What's all the hullabaloo about GMO corn and 'CIA Hotline' searches?" and we can't help but reply, "Well, it's a-maize-ing what you can find when you look thresherly!" The enigmatic correlation we have unearthed leaves us pondering whether there might be an underlying kernel of truth in these seemingly disconnected phenomena.

As much as we love a good pun, we can assure readers that this study is no corny matter. In the spirit of scientific inquiry, we sought to plough through the data – right, left, and kernel – to understand whether this correlation is mere happenstance or if there exists a deeper, root-y cause. Our findings might just husk the skeptics and sow the seeds of curiosity about the intriguing interplay between agricultural practices and online behavior.

So let's embark on this scientific journey with an open mind, a healthy sense of humor, and a willingness to embrace the unexpected. After all, in the field of research, just like in a cornfield, expect to find a few husks and kernels of truth under the scientific sun.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GMO use in corn grown in South Dakota and Google searches for 'cia hotline'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then you might move on to cartoons and children's shows that you watched for research.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"GMO Crop or Google Mischief? Unveiling the 'Maize'y Connection Between GMO Corn in South Dakota and Google Searches for 'CIA Hotline'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we dive into the enigmatic relationship between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline.' Our aim was to unravel whether there exists a significant correlation between the two seemingly disparate phenomena. Utilizing data from the USDA and Google Trends, we employed rigorous statistical analysis and uncovered a conspicuous connection between the two, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8898840 and p-value less than 0.01 from 2004 to 2023.

The findings of our research shed light on a maize-ngly unexpected correlation, sparking curiosity and prompting us to wonder whether we inadvertently stumbled across a kernel of truth in an ear-resistible mystery. While the exact causative mechanism behind this correlation remains elusive, our study highlights the curiosity-arousing nature of the relationship between agricultural practices and online behavior, proving that the study of GMO crops and internet search trends can yield results as corn-y as they are thought-provoking. The results of our investigation may serve as a kernel of inspiration for further research in this emerging field, showing that even in the world of academia, a little humor can pop up unexpectedly, reminding us that curiosity is the cob-nerstone of scholarly pursuit!

So, what did the farmer say after discovering the correlation between GMO corn and 'CIA Hotline' searches? "Well, shucks, I guess the truth really is out there!"

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The pursuit of knowledge often leads us down unusual paths, from the serendipitous discovery of penicillin to the accidental invention of the slinky. In the realm of scientific inquiry, it is not uncommon to stumble upon unexpected correlations, much like finding a pun in a scientist's notebook – it's simply a matter of paradigms. With this in mind, we embark on a journey to unravel the perplexing connection between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline.' It seems that this corn-undrum has certainly popped!
As researchers, we are accustomed to delving into the nitty-gritty of data, sifting through statistical peculiarities, and untangling the web of variables with the same enthusiasm as a cat playing with a ball of yarn. Unraveling the threads of this unanticipated bond between GMO corn and internet searches for government agencies, we found ourselves saying, "It's amaize-ing what we corn discover when we ear-mark our attention to the right places!"
One might be inclined to ask, "What's all the hullabaloo about GMO corn and 'CIA Hotline' searches?" and we can't help but reply, "Well, it's a-maize-ing what you can find when you look thresherly!" The enigmatic correlation we have unearthed leaves us pondering whether there might be an underlying kernel of truth in these seemingly disconnected phenomena.
As much as we love a good pun, we can assure readers that this study is no corny matter. In the spirit of scientific inquiry, we sought to plough through the data – right, left, and kernel – to understand whether this correlation is mere happenstance or if there exists a deeper, root-y cause. Our findings might just husk the skeptics and sow the seeds of curiosity about the intriguing interplay between agricultural practices and online behavior.
So let's embark on this scientific journey with an open mind, a healthy sense of humor, and a willingness to embrace the unexpected. After all, in the field of research, just like in a cornfield, expect to find a few husks and kernels of truth under the scientific sun.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

In the pursuit of understanding the enigmatic relationship between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline,' our research journey has taken us through an array of scholarly works and reference materials that have at first appeared as serious as an economist at a corn convention, but have proved to be as unexpected and entertaining as a clown in a corn maze.

Smith and Doe (2015) present a comprehensive analysis of GMO adoption in corn cultivation, shedding light on the impact of genetic modifications on crop yield and pest resistance. Meanwhile, Jones (2017) delves into the technological advancements in agricultural practices, elucidating the potential benefits and controversies surrounding GMO implementation.

As we wade deeper into the literature, we encounter a-maize-ing titles such as "The Omnivore's Dilemma" by Michael Pollan and "GMO Sapiens" by Paul Knoepfler, inviting us to contemplate the interconnectedness of human consumption habits with biotechnological innovations. Pondering over the implications of GMO crops, we wonder if maybe, just maybe, curiosity didn't kill the cat but rather led it to an ear-resistible discovery.

In a twist that rivals the plot of a suspenseful novel, we find ourselves leafing through fictional works such as "The Corn Maiden and Other Nightmares" by Joyce Carol Oates and "Children of the Corn" by Stephen King. These literary escapades have led us to contemplate the parallels between fictional narratives and our own research journey, with kernels of truth nestled within the pages of imagination.

In an effort to grasp the broader societal implications of GMO adoption, we turned to unexpected sources, including classic cartoons like "Pinky and the Brain" and children's shows like "Eek! The Cat," hoping to find hints of scientific insight hidden behind the guise of humor. Little did we expect to stumble upon a cornucopia of inspiration in the unlikeliest of places. It seems that even in the world of academia, a little bit of fun can pop up unexpectedly, like finding a surprise kernel in a box of popcorn.

So, what did the farmer say after discovering the correlation between GMO corn and 'CIA Hotline' searches? "Well, shucks, I guess the truth really is out there!"


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GMO use in corn grown in South Dakota and Google searches for 'cia hotline'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from USDA and Google Trends . You used data from 2004 to 2023

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"GMO Crop or Google Mischief? Unveiling the 'Maize'y Connection Between GMO Corn in South Dakota and Google Searches for 'CIA Hotline'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we dive into the enigmatic relationship between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline.' Our aim was to unravel whether there exists a significant correlation between the two seemingly disparate phenomena. Utilizing data from the USDA and Google Trends, we employed rigorous statistical analysis and uncovered a conspicuous connection between the two, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8898840 and p-value less than 0.01 from 2004 to 2023.

The findings of our research shed light on a maize-ngly unexpected correlation, sparking curiosity and prompting us to wonder whether we inadvertently stumbled across a kernel of truth in an ear-resistible mystery. While the exact causative mechanism behind this correlation remains elusive, our study highlights the curiosity-arousing nature of the relationship between agricultural practices and online behavior, proving that the study of GMO crops and internet search trends can yield results as corn-y as they are thought-provoking. The results of our investigation may serve as a kernel of inspiration for further research in this emerging field, showing that even in the world of academia, a little humor can pop up unexpectedly, reminding us that curiosity is the cob-nerstone of scholarly pursuit!

So, what did the farmer say after discovering the correlation between GMO corn and 'CIA Hotline' searches? "Well, shucks, I guess the truth really is out there!"

[[INTRODUCTION]]
The pursuit of knowledge often leads us down unusual paths, from the serendipitous discovery of penicillin to the accidental invention of the slinky. In the realm of scientific inquiry, it is not uncommon to stumble upon unexpected correlations, much like finding a pun in a scientist's notebook – it's simply a matter of paradigms. With this in mind, we embark on a journey to unravel the perplexing connection between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline.' It seems that this corn-undrum has certainly popped!
As researchers, we are accustomed to delving into the nitty-gritty of data, sifting through statistical peculiarities, and untangling the web of variables with the same enthusiasm as a cat playing with a ball of yarn. Unraveling the threads of this unanticipated bond between GMO corn and internet searches for government agencies, we found ourselves saying, "It's amaize-ing what we corn discover when we ear-mark our attention to the right places!"
One might be inclined to ask, "What's all the hullabaloo about GMO corn and 'CIA Hotline' searches?" and we can't help but reply, "Well, it's a-maize-ing what you can find when you look thresherly!" The enigmatic correlation we have unearthed leaves us pondering whether there might be an underlying kernel of truth in these seemingly disconnected phenomena.
As much as we love a good pun, we can assure readers that this study is no corny matter. In the spirit of scientific inquiry, we sought to plough through the data – right, left, and kernel – to understand whether this correlation is mere happenstance or if there exists a deeper, root-y cause. Our findings might just husk the skeptics and sow the seeds of curiosity about the intriguing interplay between agricultural practices and online behavior.
So let's embark on this scientific journey with an open mind, a healthy sense of humor, and a willingness to embrace the unexpected. After all, in the field of research, just like in a cornfield, expect to find a few husks and kernels of truth under the scientific sun.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To unravel the ear-resistible mystery behind the connection between GMO corn in South Dakota and Google searches for 'CIA Hotline,' our research team engaged in a series of meticulous and, dare we say, corn-plexing methodologies. We collected data from the USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service, spanning the years 2004 to 2023, regarding the adoption of GMO technology in corn cultivation in South Dakota. Our team meticulously combed through the data as though we were searching for a kernel of truth in a haystack.

In tandem with this agrarian expedition, we harnessed the power of Google Trends to harvest information about the frequency of searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline' within the same timeframe. Our approach aimed to cast a light on the interconnected nature of online behavior and agricultural practices, a pursuit that required us to sift through virtual haystacks in search of that elusive online kernel. As the saying goes, "Seek, and ye shall maize!"

Utilizing this harvested data, we subjected the information to a rigorous statistical analysis, seeking to separate the wheat from the chaff and discern whether there lurked a significant correlation between GMO adoption in corn cultivation and the frequency of 'CIA Hotline' searches. We employed a variety of cutting-edge statistical methods, including correlation analysis, regression modeling, and time series analysis to shell a light on this enigmatic relationship. Our statistical approach was as meticulously crafted as a farmer's scarecrow, aiming to ward off any erroneous conclusions akin to crows in a cornfield.

The findings of our research, much like a ripe ear of corn in a field, shucked away layers of doubt, revealing a tantalizing correlation between the two variables. Our statistical analysis unveiled a correlation coefficient of 0.8898840 with a p-value less than 0.01, indicating a robust relationship that couldn't be husked off as mere coincidence. The results provoked us to ponder whether we had stumbled upon a cob-nerstone of truth in an unexpected place.

Our statistical methods, while intricate, were akin to navigating a maize maze and led us to glean meaningful insights from this unearthing of data. Like the act of shucking corn, our analytical techniques allowed us to peel away the layers of uncertainty, revealing the glimmering kernels of truth within the statistical cob.

In summary, our methodology engaged in a relentless pursuit of correlation, employing statistical tools as sharp as a farmer's scythe to glean meaningful insights from the abundance of data at our disposal. As we present our findings, we hope to sow the seeds of curiosity and inspire further research in this burgeoning field, daring to unravel the secrets hidden within the husks of scientific inquiry. And remember, in the world of research, as in a cornfield, the kernel of truth is waiting to be discovered!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GMO use in corn grown in South Dakota and Google searches for 'cia hotline'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from USDA and Google Trends .

For the time period 2004 to 2023, you found a correlation 0.8898840, r-squared of 0.7918935, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"GMO Crop or Google Mischief? Unveiling the 'Maize'y Connection Between GMO Corn in South Dakota and Google Searches for 'CIA Hotline'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we dive into the enigmatic relationship between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline.' Our aim was to unravel whether there exists a significant correlation between the two seemingly disparate phenomena. Utilizing data from the USDA and Google Trends, we employed rigorous statistical analysis and uncovered a conspicuous connection between the two, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8898840 and p-value less than 0.01 from 2004 to 2023.

The findings of our research shed light on a maize-ngly unexpected correlation, sparking curiosity and prompting us to wonder whether we inadvertently stumbled across a kernel of truth in an ear-resistible mystery. While the exact causative mechanism behind this correlation remains elusive, our study highlights the curiosity-arousing nature of the relationship between agricultural practices and online behavior, proving that the study of GMO crops and internet search trends can yield results as corn-y as they are thought-provoking. The results of our investigation may serve as a kernel of inspiration for further research in this emerging field, showing that even in the world of academia, a little humor can pop up unexpectedly, reminding us that curiosity is the cob-nerstone of scholarly pursuit!

So, what did the farmer say after discovering the correlation between GMO corn and 'CIA Hotline' searches? "Well, shucks, I guess the truth really is out there!"

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
The pursuit of knowledge often leads us down unusual paths, from the serendipitous discovery of penicillin to the accidental invention of the slinky. In the realm of scientific inquiry, it is not uncommon to stumble upon unexpected correlations, much like finding a pun in a scientist's notebook – it's simply a matter of paradigms. With this in mind, we embark on a journey to unravel the perplexing connection between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline.' It seems that this corn-undrum has certainly popped!
As researchers, we are accustomed to delving into the nitty-gritty of data, sifting through statistical peculiarities, and untangling the web of variables with the same enthusiasm as a cat playing with a ball of yarn. Unraveling the threads of this unanticipated bond between GMO corn and internet searches for government agencies, we found ourselves saying, "It's amaize-ing what we corn discover when we ear-mark our attention to the right places!"
One might be inclined to ask, "What's all the hullabaloo about GMO corn and 'CIA Hotline' searches?" and we can't help but reply, "Well, it's a-maize-ing what you can find when you look thresherly!" The enigmatic correlation we have unearthed leaves us pondering whether there might be an underlying kernel of truth in these seemingly disconnected phenomena.
As much as we love a good pun, we can assure readers that this study is no corny matter. In the spirit of scientific inquiry, we sought to plough through the data – right, left, and kernel – to understand whether this correlation is mere happenstance or if there exists a deeper, root-y cause. Our findings might just husk the skeptics and sow the seeds of curiosity about the intriguing interplay between agricultural practices and online behavior.
So let's embark on this scientific journey with an open mind, a healthy sense of humor, and a willingness to embrace the unexpected. After all, in the field of research, just like in a cornfield, expect to find a few husks and kernels of truth under the scientific sun.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The analysis of the data revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8898840, indicating a strong positive relationship between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline.' In other words, it seems that GMO corn and government agency inquiries are as tightly linked as kernel and cob. The r-squared value of 0.7918935 further elucidates that approximately 79.2% of the variation in 'CIA Hotline' searches can be explained by the variation in GMO corn adoption. It's a-maize-ing to observe such a substantial proportion of variability accounted for in an unexpected connection.

Figure 1 illustrates the unmistakable correlation we uncovered, and it's safe to say that the lines in the scatterplot are as crisp and clean as a well-groomed cornfield. The upward trend is as clear as day, almost as if the data itself is shouting, "Hey, you there - seed this correlation yet?"

Our findings indicate that the relationship between GMO corn in South Dakota and 'CIA Hotline' searches is statistically significant, with p < 0.01. We were so startled by this outcome that, for a moment, we felt like a kernel caught in the cobs - utterly surprised and completely corn-fused!

In conclusion, this study has brought to light a previously unforeseen link between agricultural practices and online behavior, demonstrating that the world of data analysis can indeed be as full of surprises as a corn maze. As for the implications of this correlation, it's clear that we may need to plant some new ideas about the potential impact of genetically modified crops on public curiosity about clandestine activities. Our research has certainly ear-ned its place in the annals of scientific inquiry, showing that even in the world of academia, a little humor can pop up unexpectedly, reminding us that curiosity is the cob-nerstone of scholarly pursuit!

Why did the scientist bring a stalk of corn to the lab? He wanted to ear-mark his experiments!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GMO use in corn grown in South Dakota and Google searches for 'cia hotline'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"GMO Crop or Google Mischief? Unveiling the 'Maize'y Connection Between GMO Corn in South Dakota and Google Searches for 'CIA Hotline'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we dive into the enigmatic relationship between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline.' Our aim was to unravel whether there exists a significant correlation between the two seemingly disparate phenomena. Utilizing data from the USDA and Google Trends, we employed rigorous statistical analysis and uncovered a conspicuous connection between the two, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8898840 and p-value less than 0.01 from 2004 to 2023.

The findings of our research shed light on a maize-ngly unexpected correlation, sparking curiosity and prompting us to wonder whether we inadvertently stumbled across a kernel of truth in an ear-resistible mystery. While the exact causative mechanism behind this correlation remains elusive, our study highlights the curiosity-arousing nature of the relationship between agricultural practices and online behavior, proving that the study of GMO crops and internet search trends can yield results as corn-y as they are thought-provoking. The results of our investigation may serve as a kernel of inspiration for further research in this emerging field, showing that even in the world of academia, a little humor can pop up unexpectedly, reminding us that curiosity is the cob-nerstone of scholarly pursuit!

So, what did the farmer say after discovering the correlation between GMO corn and 'CIA Hotline' searches? "Well, shucks, I guess the truth really is out there!"

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
In the pursuit of understanding the enigmatic relationship between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline,' our research journey has taken us through an array of scholarly works and reference materials that have at first appeared as serious as an economist at a corn convention, but have proved to be as unexpected and entertaining as a clown in a corn maze.
Smith and Doe (2015) present a comprehensive analysis of GMO adoption in corn cultivation, shedding light on the impact of genetic modifications on crop yield and pest resistance. Meanwhile, Jones (2017) delves into the technological advancements in agricultural practices, elucidating the potential benefits and controversies surrounding GMO implementation.
As we wade deeper into the literature, we encounter a-maize-ing titles such as "The Omnivore's Dilemma" by Michael Pollan and "GMO Sapiens" by Paul Knoepfler, inviting us to contemplate the interconnectedness of human consumption habits with biotechnological innovations. Pondering over the implications of GMO crops, we wonder if maybe, just maybe, curiosity didn't kill the cat but rather led it to an ear-resistible discovery.
In a twist that rivals the plot of a suspenseful novel, we find ourselves leafing through fictional works such as "The Corn Maiden and Other Nightmares" by Joyce Carol Oates and "Children of the Corn" by Stephen King. These literary escapades have led us to contemplate the parallels between fictional narratives and our own research journey, with kernels of truth nestled within the pages of imagination.
In an effort to grasp the broader societal implications of GMO adoption, we turned to unexpected sources, including classic cartoons like "Pinky and the Brain" and children's shows like "Eek! The Cat," hoping to find hints of scientific insight hidden behind the guise of humor. Little did we expect to stumble upon a cornucopia of inspiration in the unlikeliest of places. It seems that even in the world of academia, a little bit of fun can pop up unexpectedly, like finding a surprise kernel in a box of popcorn.
So, what did the farmer say after discovering the correlation between GMO corn and 'CIA Hotline' searches? "Well, shucks, I guess the truth really is out there!"

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the data revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8898840, indicating a strong positive relationship between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline.' In other words, it seems that GMO corn and government agency inquiries are as tightly linked as kernel and cob. The r-squared value of 0.7918935 further elucidates that approximately 79.2% of the variation in 'CIA Hotline' searches can be explained by the variation in GMO corn adoption. It's a-maize-ing to observe such a substantial proportion of variability accounted for in an unexpected connection.
Figure 1 illustrates the unmistakable correlation we uncovered, and it's safe to say that the lines in the scatterplot are as crisp and clean as a well-groomed cornfield. The upward trend is as clear as day, almost as if the data itself is shouting, "Hey, you there - seed this correlation yet?"
Our findings indicate that the relationship between GMO corn in South Dakota and 'CIA Hotline' searches is statistically significant, with p < 0.01. We were so startled by this outcome that, for a moment, we felt like a kernel caught in the cobs - utterly surprised and completely corn-fused!
In conclusion, this study has brought to light a previously unforeseen link between agricultural practices and online behavior, demonstrating that the world of data analysis can indeed be as full of surprises as a corn maze. As for the implications of this correlation, it's clear that we may need to plant some new ideas about the potential impact of genetically modified crops on public curiosity about clandestine activities. Our research has certainly ear-ned its place in the annals of scientific inquiry, showing that even in the world of academia, a little humor can pop up unexpectedly, reminding us that curiosity is the cob-nerstone of scholarly pursuit!
Why did the scientist bring a stalk of corn to the lab? He wanted to ear-mark his experiments!

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The findings of our research have corn-firmed a significant correlation between the adoption of GMO corn in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline.' Our results align with prior literature, showing that genetically modified organisms have a kernel of influence not only on agricultural productivity but also on the curiosity of internet users. It seems that the link between GMO corn and clandestine government inquiries is as undeniable as the connection between a joke and a corny punchline.

Our study has sparked surprising ex-citement and has spurred further questions about the underlying mechanism driving this correlation. Could it be that as GMO corn technology becomes more prevalent, individuals are becoming more curious about the activities of government agencies, or are we simply witnessing a "maize rush" of internet users exploring a-maize-ing conspiracy theories? These questions, once mere kernels of thought, have now sprouted into the forefront of our inquiries.

The "ear"-resistible link between GMO corn and 'CIA Hotline' searches provides a kernel of insight into the intersection of agricultural practices and internet behavior. Much like the surprising twists found in a complex corn maze, our research uncovers a web of interconnectedness between seemingly unrelated variables, demonstrating that the study of GMO crops and internet search trends can yield results as thought-provoking as they are "corny."

In embracing the unexpected twists and turns of our findings, we are reminded that the world of scientific inquiry is as full of surprises as a cornfield during harvest season. Our research serves as a reminder that even in the serious realm of academia, there is room for a-maize-ing discoveries and the occasional dad joke.

Why was the statistics book so good at solving corn-related problems? It knew how to make a-maize-ing calculations!

In this discussion, we have only begun to peel back the husk of the relationship between GMO corn and internet search behavior. Further research and analysis are needed to fully corn-prehend the intricate web of influences at play. It is evident that our findings have ear-ned their place in the scientific community and piqued curiosity in an unexpected subject matter. With a little bit of humor and a whole lot of scientific rigor, we have managed to turn what initially seemed like a cornundrum into a thought-provoking and fruitful avenue for future research.

Personal development researchers love corny jokes. They find them a-maize-ingly uplifting!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GMO use in corn grown in South Dakota and Google searches for 'cia hotline'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"GMO Crop or Google Mischief? Unveiling the 'Maize'y Connection Between GMO Corn in South Dakota and Google Searches for 'CIA Hotline'"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we dive into the enigmatic relationship between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline.' Our aim was to unravel whether there exists a significant correlation between the two seemingly disparate phenomena. Utilizing data from the USDA and Google Trends, we employed rigorous statistical analysis and uncovered a conspicuous connection between the two, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8898840 and p-value less than 0.01 from 2004 to 2023.

The findings of our research shed light on a maize-ngly unexpected correlation, sparking curiosity and prompting us to wonder whether we inadvertently stumbled across a kernel of truth in an ear-resistible mystery. While the exact causative mechanism behind this correlation remains elusive, our study highlights the curiosity-arousing nature of the relationship between agricultural practices and online behavior, proving that the study of GMO crops and internet search trends can yield results as corn-y as they are thought-provoking. The results of our investigation may serve as a kernel of inspiration for further research in this emerging field, showing that even in the world of academia, a little humor can pop up unexpectedly, reminding us that curiosity is the cob-nerstone of scholarly pursuit!

So, what did the farmer say after discovering the correlation between GMO corn and 'CIA Hotline' searches? "Well, shucks, I guess the truth really is out there!"

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The pursuit of knowledge often leads us down unusual paths, from the serendipitous discovery of penicillin to the accidental invention of the slinky. In the realm of scientific inquiry, it is not uncommon to stumble upon unexpected correlations, much like finding a pun in a scientist's notebook – it's simply a matter of paradigms. With this in mind, we embark on a journey to unravel the perplexing connection between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline.' It seems that this corn-undrum has certainly popped!
As researchers, we are accustomed to delving into the nitty-gritty of data, sifting through statistical peculiarities, and untangling the web of variables with the same enthusiasm as a cat playing with a ball of yarn. Unraveling the threads of this unanticipated bond between GMO corn and internet searches for government agencies, we found ourselves saying, "It's amaize-ing what we corn discover when we ear-mark our attention to the right places!"
One might be inclined to ask, "What's all the hullabaloo about GMO corn and 'CIA Hotline' searches?" and we can't help but reply, "Well, it's a-maize-ing what you can find when you look thresherly!" The enigmatic correlation we have unearthed leaves us pondering whether there might be an underlying kernel of truth in these seemingly disconnected phenomena.
As much as we love a good pun, we can assure readers that this study is no corny matter. In the spirit of scientific inquiry, we sought to plough through the data – right, left, and kernel – to understand whether this correlation is mere happenstance or if there exists a deeper, root-y cause. Our findings might just husk the skeptics and sow the seeds of curiosity about the intriguing interplay between agricultural practices and online behavior.
So let's embark on this scientific journey with an open mind, a healthy sense of humor, and a willingness to embrace the unexpected. After all, in the field of research, just like in a cornfield, expect to find a few husks and kernels of truth under the scientific sun.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the data revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8898840, indicating a strong positive relationship between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline.' In other words, it seems that GMO corn and government agency inquiries are as tightly linked as kernel and cob. The r-squared value of 0.7918935 further elucidates that approximately 79.2% of the variation in 'CIA Hotline' searches can be explained by the variation in GMO corn adoption. It's a-maize-ing to observe such a substantial proportion of variability accounted for in an unexpected connection.
Figure 1 illustrates the unmistakable correlation we uncovered, and it's safe to say that the lines in the scatterplot are as crisp and clean as a well-groomed cornfield. The upward trend is as clear as day, almost as if the data itself is shouting, "Hey, you there - seed this correlation yet?"
Our findings indicate that the relationship between GMO corn in South Dakota and 'CIA Hotline' searches is statistically significant, with p < 0.01. We were so startled by this outcome that, for a moment, we felt like a kernel caught in the cobs - utterly surprised and completely corn-fused!
In conclusion, this study has brought to light a previously unforeseen link between agricultural practices and online behavior, demonstrating that the world of data analysis can indeed be as full of surprises as a corn maze. As for the implications of this correlation, it's clear that we may need to plant some new ideas about the potential impact of genetically modified crops on public curiosity about clandestine activities. Our research has certainly ear-ned its place in the annals of scientific inquiry, showing that even in the world of academia, a little humor can pop up unexpectedly, reminding us that curiosity is the cob-nerstone of scholarly pursuit!
Why did the scientist bring a stalk of corn to the lab? He wanted to ear-mark his experiments!

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In light of our findings, it appears that the correlation between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for 'CIA Hotline' is as strong as the bond between two peas in a pod. Our statistical analysis has unveiled a maize-ngly conspicuous connection, leading us to wonder if we've inadvertently stumbled upon the kernel of an unsolved mystery. It seems that GMO use in corn and government intrigue searches go together like peas and carrots, or should we say, corn and covert operations?

We can confidently suggest that this 'maize'y correlation is ripe for further investigation, as pushing the boundaries of scientific inquiry can lead to un-ear-thly discoveries. However, given the substantial evidence we've husked up in this study, we can responsibly conclude that no further research is needed – after all, we've already popped the corn and revealed a-maize-ing insights. It seems the truth was indeed out there all along, just waiting to be kernelled!

So, let's raise our ears of corn to the unexpected discoveries that fill the scientific landscape, and remember, when it comes to research, always expect the unexpected – it's the cob-nerstone of scholarly pursuit!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited GMO Crop or Google Mischief? Unveiling the 'Maize'y Connection Between GMO Corn in South Dakota and Google Searches for 'CIA Hotline'. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Agricultural Conspiracies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited GMO Crop or Google Mischief? Unveiling the 'Maize'y Connection Between GMO Corn in South Dakota and Google Searches for 'CIA Hotline'. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Association for Ethical Agriculture and Digital Privacy


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled GMO Crop or Google Mischief? Unveiling the 'Maize'y Connection Between GMO Corn in South Dakota and Google Searches for 'CIA Hotline' with an abstract of In this study, we dive into the enigmatic relationship between the adoption of genetically modified organisms (GMO) in corn cultivation in South Dakota and the frequency of Google searches for the phrase 'CIA Hotline.' Our aim was to unravel whether there exists a significant correlation between the two seemingly disparate phenomena. Utilizing data from the USDA and Google Trends, we employed rigorous statistical analysis and uncovered a conspicuous connection between the two, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8898840 and p-value less than 0.01 from 2004 to 2023.
The findings of our research shed light on a maize-ngly unexpected correlation, sparking curiosity and prompting us to wonder whether we inadvertently stumbled across a kernel of truth in an ear-resistible mystery. While the exact causative mechanism behind this correlation remains elusive, our study highlights the curiosity-arousing nature of the relationship between agricultural practices and online behavior, proving that the study of GMO crops and internet search trends can yield results as corn-y as they are thought-provoking. The results of our investigation may serve as a kernel of inspiration for further research in this emerging field, showing that even in the world of academia, a little humor can pop up unexpectedly, reminding us that curiosity is the cob-nerstone of scholarly pursuit!
So, what did the farmer say after discovering the correlation between GMO corn and 'CIA Hotline' searches? "Well, shucks, I guess the truth really is out there!

ChatGPT:

GMO, GMO crop, genetically modified organisms, corn cultivation, South Dakota, Google searches, CIA Hotline, correlation, statistical analysis, USDA data, Google Trends, agricultural practices, online behavior, research, maize, humor, scholarly pursuit, GMO research.

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

GMO use in corn grown in South Dakota
Detailed data title: Percent of all corn planted in South Dakota that is genetically modified to be insect-resistant (Bt), but not herbicide-tolerant (HT)
Source: USDA
See what else correlates with GMO use in corn grown in South Dakota

Google searches for 'cia hotline'
Detailed data title: Relative volume of Google searches for 'cia hotline' (Worldwide, without quotes)
Source: Google Trends
Additional Info: Relative search volume (not absolute numbers)

See what else correlates with Google searches for 'cia hotline'

Correlation r = 0.8898840 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.7918935 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 79.2% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Google searches for 'cia hotline') is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., GMO use in corn grown in South Dakota) over the 20 years from 2004 through 2023.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 1.51E-7. 0.0000001506481496768196400000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.89 in 1.51E-5% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 6,637,984 random variables You don't actually need 6 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 19 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 19 because we have two variables measured over a period of 20 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.74, 0.96 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
20042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
GMO use in corn grown in South Dakota (GMO corn %)283020167667923143234312
Google searches for 'cia hotline' (Rel. search volume)15.166711.754.083332.08333112.333331.166671.083330.6666670.3333331.251.251.250.50.750.58333311.166671.4




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([28,30,20,16,7,6,6,7,9,2,3,1,4,3,2,3,4,3,1,2,])
array_2 = np.array([15.1667,11.75,4.08333,2.08333,1,1,2.33333,1.16667,1.08333,0.666667,0.333333,1.25,1.25,1.25,0.5,0.75,0.583333,1,1.16667,1.4,])
array_1_name = "GMO use in corn grown in South Dakota"
array_2_name = "Google searches for 'cia hotline'"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

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Correlation ID: 2754 · Black Variable ID: 720 · Red Variable ID: 1394
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