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Spurious correlation #2,709 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Associates degrees awarded in History and the second variable is Centene's stock price (CNC).  The chart goes from 2011 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As the number of history buffs with Associate's degrees rises, so does their appreciation for the importance of coverage. It's like these grads are creating a health insurance Renaissance, leading to a boom in demand for Centene's services. It's clear that when it comes to shaping Centene's success, these history-minded individuals are making a real, ahistorical impact on the stock price.

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image of a bustling college auditorium in a vibrant pop art style. Graduates proudly hold their Associates degrees in History, while a nearby screen displays Centene's stock price steadily rising, symbolizing success in the healthcare field. The scene should burst with vivid colors and bold, graphic patterns, capturing the energy and excitement of the graduates' accomplishments and the success in the healthcare industry. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Surrealism Celtic art 3D Pixar Style Pop art Parallax art
ChatGPT: Pop art

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price together. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In a bustling college auditorium, graduates proudly hold their Associates degrees in History, while on a nearby screen, Centene's stock price steadily rises, indicating success in the healthcare field.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Pop art ] and depicting this scene: In a bustling college auditorium, graduates proudly hold their Associates degrees in History, while on a nearby screen, Centene's stock price steadily rises, indicating success in the healthcare field. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image of a bustling college auditorium in a vibrant pop art style. Graduates proudly hold their Associates degrees in History, while a nearby screen displays Centene's stock price steadily rising, symbolizing success in the healthcare field. The scene should burst with vivid colors and bold, graphic patterns, capturing the energy and excitement of the graduates' accomplishments and the success in the healthcare industry.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Associates degrees awarded in History caused Centene's stock price (CNC) to increase. Include one good pun.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
: Historical Histories: A Hilarious Hodgepodge of Associates degrees and Centene's Stock Price

The Journal of Hilarity Studies

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title an alliteration.

Your research team used data from National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9884005 and p < 0.01 for 2011 to 2021.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]: Historical Histories: A Hilarious Hodgepodge of Associates degrees and Centene's Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]:
The research at hand seeks to unravel the perplexing relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), this study unveils a correlation coefficient of 0.9884005 and p < 0.01 for the time period spanning 2011 to 2021. The findings, while initially unexpected, draw attention to the potential influence of historical knowledge on stock market trends, stirring up a mix of mirth and skepticism among academics and investors alike. This paper aims to shed light on this peculiar correlation, blending the seriousness of econometric analysis with a dash of whimsy and a smattering of historical humor. Let's explore this intriguing interplay between the annals of academia and the fluctuations of financial fortune with due diligence and just a touch of jest.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]: Historical Histories: A Hilarious Hodgepodge of Associates degrees and Centene's Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]:
The research at hand seeks to unravel the perplexing relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), this study unveils a correlation coefficient of 0.9884005 and p < 0.01 for the time period spanning 2011 to 2021. The findings, while initially unexpected, draw attention to the potential influence of historical knowledge on stock market trends, stirring up a mix of mirth and skepticism among academics and investors alike. This paper aims to shed light on this peculiar correlation, blending the seriousness of econometric analysis with a dash of whimsy and a smattering of historical humor. Let's explore this intriguing interplay between the annals of academia and the fluctuations of financial fortune with due diligence and just a touch of jest.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

As the saying goes, "History repeats itself." But who would have thought that the repetition of history could have a direct correlation with the fluctuations in stock prices? This paper delves into the seemingly whimsical yet surprisingly robust relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. The mere juxtaposition of academia and finance might seem as unusual as trying to determine the correlation between the number of pencils in a classroom and the price of oil - which, by the way, might also be an interesting research idea for another day.

The divide between the world of historical narratives and the world of financial markets has traditionally been as wide as the Grand Canyon, with the former filled with tales, anecdotes, and, of course, questionable accounts of accuracy, and the latter swirling with numbers, graphs, and the occasional Wall Street quip. However, this paper aims to bridge this chasm, challenging the conventional wisdom and raising eyebrows in the academic and professional spheres.

We begin this inquiry by diving headfirst into the abyss of statistical analysis, armed with our trusty cohort of p-values, regression coefficients, and confidence intervals. However, fear not - we promise to keep this statistical expedition as light and breezy as a summer read, with the occasional quip and jest to keep both the reader and the researcher entertained.

The dataset at the heart of this investigation was sourced from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), providing us with a plethora of data on the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price across the years 2011 to 2021. We let the numbers tell their stories and gradually uncovered a rather startling correlation coefficient of 0.9884005, with a p-value that is not just statistically significant but practically shouting for attention at p < 0.01. This astonishing revelation prompted us to hold a mirror to the enigmatic relationship between historical education and the ebb and flow of stock prices. It goes without saying that this correlation is as unexpected as finding hidden treasure in a history textbook - a delightful surprise indeed.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then devolve ever further, and mention something completely ridiculous, like you conducted literature review by reading CVS receipts.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]: Historical Histories: A Hilarious Hodgepodge of Associates degrees and Centene's Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]:
The research at hand seeks to unravel the perplexing relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), this study unveils a correlation coefficient of 0.9884005 and p < 0.01 for the time period spanning 2011 to 2021. The findings, while initially unexpected, draw attention to the potential influence of historical knowledge on stock market trends, stirring up a mix of mirth and skepticism among academics and investors alike. This paper aims to shed light on this peculiar correlation, blending the seriousness of econometric analysis with a dash of whimsy and a smattering of historical humor. Let's explore this intriguing interplay between the annals of academia and the fluctuations of financial fortune with due diligence and just a touch of jest.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
As the saying goes, "History repeats itself." But who would have thought that the repetition of history could have a direct correlation with the fluctuations in stock prices? This paper delves into the seemingly whimsical yet surprisingly robust relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. The mere juxtaposition of academia and finance might seem as unusual as trying to determine the correlation between the number of pencils in a classroom and the price of oil - which, by the way, might also be an interesting research idea for another day.
The divide between the world of historical narratives and the world of financial markets has traditionally been as wide as the Grand Canyon, with the former filled with tales, anecdotes, and, of course, questionable accounts of accuracy, and the latter swirling with numbers, graphs, and the occasional Wall Street quip. However, this paper aims to bridge this chasm, challenging the conventional wisdom and raising eyebrows in the academic and professional spheres.
We begin this inquiry by diving headfirst into the abyss of statistical analysis, armed with our trusty cohort of p-values, regression coefficients, and confidence intervals. However, fear not - we promise to keep this statistical expedition as light and breezy as a summer read, with the occasional quip and jest to keep both the reader and the researcher entertained.
The dataset at the heart of this investigation was sourced from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), providing us with a plethora of data on the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price across the years 2011 to 2021. We let the numbers tell their stories and gradually uncovered a rather startling correlation coefficient of 0.9884005, with a p-value that is not just statistically significant but practically shouting for attention at p < 0.01. This astonishing revelation prompted us to hold a mirror to the enigmatic relationship between historical education and the ebb and flow of stock prices. It goes without saying that this correlation is as unexpected as finding hidden treasure in a history textbook - a delightful surprise indeed.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

The search for the elusive link between Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price has led us down a winding path of academic research, economic analysis, and a touch of whimsy. We begin our literature review by delving into the serious realm of scholarly articles, starting with Smith's "The Influence of Academic Disciplines on Stock Market Trends," where the authors find a relationship between historical education and stock market performance. Similarly, Doe's "Historical Perspectives on Financial Markets" offers insights into the potential impact of historical knowledge on investment behavior, setting the stage for our investigation.

Moving onto non-fiction works, Jones' "The Role of History in Economic Forecasting" provides a thoughtful exploration of how historical narratives shape economic predictions, perhaps hinting at the underlying mechanisms of our observed correlation. Additionally, "The History of Capitalism" by Dasgupta offers a broader historical context by examining the intersection of economic forces and historical events, giving rise to intriguing speculations about the intertwined fates of historical education and market dynamics.

Transitioning to fictional works, "The Black Swan" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, though not directly related to historical education, reminds us of the unpredictable nature of financial markets, much like the surprising correlation we have uncovered. Similarly, "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" by Douglas Adams, while predominantly a work of science fiction, playfully prompts us to question the nature of causation and correlation in our scholarly pursuit, even across the vast expanse of the universe.

As we descend further down the rabbit hole of literature review, we must acknowledge the unconventional sources that have shaped our understanding of this peculiar correlation. While perusing the haphazard miscellany of wisdom found in the margins of ancient scrolls and the cryptic musings of eccentric scholars, a revelation struck us - the hidden truths of academia and finance are as mysterious and convoluted as deciphering the gibberish printed on the back of a CVS receipt. With this newfound understanding, we approach our analysis with a healthy dose of skepticism and a sprinkle of humor, aiming to unravel the enigma of historical histories with a twinkle in our eye and a quip on our lips.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) . You used data from 2011 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]: Historical Histories: A Hilarious Hodgepodge of Associates degrees and Centene's Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]:
The research at hand seeks to unravel the perplexing relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), this study unveils a correlation coefficient of 0.9884005 and p < 0.01 for the time period spanning 2011 to 2021. The findings, while initially unexpected, draw attention to the potential influence of historical knowledge on stock market trends, stirring up a mix of mirth and skepticism among academics and investors alike. This paper aims to shed light on this peculiar correlation, blending the seriousness of econometric analysis with a dash of whimsy and a smattering of historical humor. Let's explore this intriguing interplay between the annals of academia and the fluctuations of financial fortune with due diligence and just a touch of jest.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
As the saying goes, "History repeats itself." But who would have thought that the repetition of history could have a direct correlation with the fluctuations in stock prices? This paper delves into the seemingly whimsical yet surprisingly robust relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. The mere juxtaposition of academia and finance might seem as unusual as trying to determine the correlation between the number of pencils in a classroom and the price of oil - which, by the way, might also be an interesting research idea for another day.
The divide between the world of historical narratives and the world of financial markets has traditionally been as wide as the Grand Canyon, with the former filled with tales, anecdotes, and, of course, questionable accounts of accuracy, and the latter swirling with numbers, graphs, and the occasional Wall Street quip. However, this paper aims to bridge this chasm, challenging the conventional wisdom and raising eyebrows in the academic and professional spheres.
We begin this inquiry by diving headfirst into the abyss of statistical analysis, armed with our trusty cohort of p-values, regression coefficients, and confidence intervals. However, fear not - we promise to keep this statistical expedition as light and breezy as a summer read, with the occasional quip and jest to keep both the reader and the researcher entertained.
The dataset at the heart of this investigation was sourced from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), providing us with a plethora of data on the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price across the years 2011 to 2021. We let the numbers tell their stories and gradually uncovered a rather startling correlation coefficient of 0.9884005, with a p-value that is not just statistically significant but practically shouting for attention at p < 0.01. This astonishing revelation prompted us to hold a mirror to the enigmatic relationship between historical education and the ebb and flow of stock prices. It goes without saying that this correlation is as unexpected as finding hidden treasure in a history textbook - a delightful surprise indeed.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To unearth the connection between Associates degrees in History and Centene's stock price, our research team delved into a myriad of data sources, embracing a treacherous journey through the labyrinth of statistical analysis and econometric wizardry. Armed with our trusty calculators and a penchant for uncovering hidden correlations, we embarked on a mission as audacious as discovering the lost city of Atlantis.

Firstly, we scoured the untamed wilderness of the internet, deploying advanced search algorithms akin to a band of intrepid explorers navigating uncharted territory. We combed through the hallowed archives of the National Center for Education Statistics, mining data on the conferral of Associates degrees in History. This endeavor required a keen eye for detail and the resilience of a seasoned treasure hunter, as historical data can often be as elusive as a well-told ghost story.

Simultaneously, we harnessed the data-gathering prowess of LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), harnessing their robust platform to acquire historical stock prices for the enigmatic Centene Corporation. Just like a connoisseur of fine wines carefully selecting the choicest grapes, we meticulously gathered and curated our dataset, ensuring that no stray decimal point or misplaced comma could dampen our statistical spirits.

Having corralled this veritable menagerie of data, we subjected them to a rigorous battery of statistical tests that rival the complexity of deciphering a cryptic ancient script. Our analysis journeyed through the dense jungles of correlation coefficients, danced amongst the scattered embers of p-values, and peeked into the labyrinthine tunnels of regression models. Yet, amidst this scholarly expedition, we did not forget to sprinkle in the occasional statistical pun or dabble in a bit of witty wordplay to keep the mood light and the atmosphere jovial.

Upon conducting our analysis, we uncovered a correlation coefficient of 0.9884005, akin to stumbling upon a hidden treasure chest of statistical significance. With a p-value boasting the seductive allure of p < 0.01, we couldn't help but marvel at the serendipitous nature of our findings. Our discovery was as unexpected as a punchline in a history lecture, fueling our curiosity and compelling us to shine a probing light into the mysterious interplay between degrees in History and the capricious tides of stock prices.

In summary, our methodological approach involved a harmonious blend of meticulous data collection, rigorous statistical analysis, and just a dash of scholarly jest. This modus operandi allowed us to unravel the tantalizing relationship between historical education and the capricious dance of stock prices, culminating in a discovery that is as captivating as it is quizzical.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) .

For the time period 2011 to 2021, you found a correlation 0.9884005, r-squared of 0.9769356, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]: Historical Histories: A Hilarious Hodgepodge of Associates degrees and Centene's Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]:
The research at hand seeks to unravel the perplexing relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), this study unveils a correlation coefficient of 0.9884005 and p < 0.01 for the time period spanning 2011 to 2021. The findings, while initially unexpected, draw attention to the potential influence of historical knowledge on stock market trends, stirring up a mix of mirth and skepticism among academics and investors alike. This paper aims to shed light on this peculiar correlation, blending the seriousness of econometric analysis with a dash of whimsy and a smattering of historical humor. Let's explore this intriguing interplay between the annals of academia and the fluctuations of financial fortune with due diligence and just a touch of jest.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
As the saying goes, "History repeats itself." But who would have thought that the repetition of history could have a direct correlation with the fluctuations in stock prices? This paper delves into the seemingly whimsical yet surprisingly robust relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. The mere juxtaposition of academia and finance might seem as unusual as trying to determine the correlation between the number of pencils in a classroom and the price of oil - which, by the way, might also be an interesting research idea for another day.
The divide between the world of historical narratives and the world of financial markets has traditionally been as wide as the Grand Canyon, with the former filled with tales, anecdotes, and, of course, questionable accounts of accuracy, and the latter swirling with numbers, graphs, and the occasional Wall Street quip. However, this paper aims to bridge this chasm, challenging the conventional wisdom and raising eyebrows in the academic and professional spheres.
We begin this inquiry by diving headfirst into the abyss of statistical analysis, armed with our trusty cohort of p-values, regression coefficients, and confidence intervals. However, fear not - we promise to keep this statistical expedition as light and breezy as a summer read, with the occasional quip and jest to keep both the reader and the researcher entertained.
The dataset at the heart of this investigation was sourced from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), providing us with a plethora of data on the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price across the years 2011 to 2021. We let the numbers tell their stories and gradually uncovered a rather startling correlation coefficient of 0.9884005, with a p-value that is not just statistically significant but practically shouting for attention at p < 0.01. This astonishing revelation prompted us to hold a mirror to the enigmatic relationship between historical education and the ebb and flow of stock prices. It goes without saying that this correlation is as unexpected as finding hidden treasure in a history textbook - a delightful surprise indeed.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The statistical analysis of the data collected revealed a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9884005 between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price for the period 2011 to 2021. The r-squared value of 0.9769356 signifies that a whopping 97.69% of the variance in Centene's stock price can be explained by the number of these historical degrees. Now, that's a tighter bond than the double helix of a DNA molecule!

If we were to translate this into layman's terms, it means that the movement of Centene's stock price has shown an almost uncanny synchronization with the fluctuation in the number of Associates degrees in History. In simpler words, it's as if the stock market is, metaphorically speaking, sitting in on a history lecture and taking notes - clearly demonstrating a keen interest in historical events and narratives.

The p-value of less than 0.01 further accentuates the significance of this relationship. The probability of observing such a strong correlation purely by chance is slim pickings, akin to stumbling across a four-leaf clover in a field of statistics.

To visually encapsulate this astoundingly strong correlation, the scatterplot depicted in Figure 1 showcases a near-perfect linear relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. It's a match made in statistical heaven, akin to finding the missing puzzle piece in a sea of data points.

In summary, the results of this investigation thrust the connection between historical education and stock market performance into the spotlight, prompting a hearty chuckle from the realm of academia and finance. This unlikely bond between the annals of history and the hustle and bustle of the stock market raises eyebrows and elicits a grin, serving as a reminder that in the world of research, sometimes truth is indeed stranger than fiction.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]: Historical Histories: A Hilarious Hodgepodge of Associates degrees and Centene's Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]:
The research at hand seeks to unravel the perplexing relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), this study unveils a correlation coefficient of 0.9884005 and p < 0.01 for the time period spanning 2011 to 2021. The findings, while initially unexpected, draw attention to the potential influence of historical knowledge on stock market trends, stirring up a mix of mirth and skepticism among academics and investors alike. This paper aims to shed light on this peculiar correlation, blending the seriousness of econometric analysis with a dash of whimsy and a smattering of historical humor. Let's explore this intriguing interplay between the annals of academia and the fluctuations of financial fortune with due diligence and just a touch of jest.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
The search for the elusive link between Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price has led us down a winding path of academic research, economic analysis, and a touch of whimsy. We begin our literature review by delving into the serious realm of scholarly articles, starting with Smith's "The Influence of Academic Disciplines on Stock Market Trends," where the authors find a relationship between historical education and stock market performance. Similarly, Doe's "Historical Perspectives on Financial Markets" offers insights into the potential impact of historical knowledge on investment behavior, setting the stage for our investigation.
Moving onto non-fiction works, Jones' "The Role of History in Economic Forecasting" provides a thoughtful exploration of how historical narratives shape economic predictions, perhaps hinting at the underlying mechanisms of our observed correlation. Additionally, "The History of Capitalism" by Dasgupta offers a broader historical context by examining the intersection of economic forces and historical events, giving rise to intriguing speculations about the intertwined fates of historical education and market dynamics.
Transitioning to fictional works, "The Black Swan" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, though not directly related to historical education, reminds us of the unpredictable nature of financial markets, much like the surprising correlation we have uncovered. Similarly, "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" by Douglas Adams, while predominantly a work of science fiction, playfully prompts us to question the nature of causation and correlation in our scholarly pursuit, even across the vast expanse of the universe.
As we descend further down the rabbit hole of literature review, we must acknowledge the unconventional sources that have shaped our understanding of this peculiar correlation. While perusing the haphazard miscellany of wisdom found in the margins of ancient scrolls and the cryptic musings of eccentric scholars, a revelation struck us - the hidden truths of academia and finance are as mysterious and convoluted as deciphering the gibberish printed on the back of a CVS receipt. With this newfound understanding, we approach our analysis with a healthy dose of skepticism and a sprinkle of humor, aiming to unravel the enigma of historical histories with a twinkle in our eye and a quip on our lips.

[[RESULTS]]
The statistical analysis of the data collected revealed a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9884005 between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price for the period 2011 to 2021. The r-squared value of 0.9769356 signifies that a whopping 97.69% of the variance in Centene's stock price can be explained by the number of these historical degrees. Now, that's a tighter bond than the double helix of a DNA molecule!
If we were to translate this into layman's terms, it means that the movement of Centene's stock price has shown an almost uncanny synchronization with the fluctuation in the number of Associates degrees in History. In simpler words, it's as if the stock market is, metaphorically speaking, sitting in on a history lecture and taking notes - clearly demonstrating a keen interest in historical events and narratives.
The p-value of less than 0.01 further accentuates the significance of this relationship. The probability of observing such a strong correlation purely by chance is slim pickings, akin to stumbling across a four-leaf clover in a field of statistics.
To visually encapsulate this astoundingly strong correlation, the scatterplot depicted in Figure 1 showcases a near-perfect linear relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. It's a match made in statistical heaven, akin to finding the missing puzzle piece in a sea of data points.
In summary, the results of this investigation thrust the connection between historical education and stock market performance into the spotlight, prompting a hearty chuckle from the realm of academia and finance. This unlikely bond between the annals of history and the hustle and bustle of the stock market raises eyebrows and elicits a grin, serving as a reminder that in the world of research, sometimes truth is indeed stranger than fiction.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

In this study, we unearthed a striking correlation between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price, shedding light on a peculiar connection that tickles the fancy of both academia and finance. Our results not only affirm the findings of prior research by scholars such as Smith and Doe, but also lend unparalleled support to the notion of historical knowledge shaping market dynamics. It appears that the market is not immune to the allure of historical narratives, as if charting a course through the stock market seas is akin to navigating the high seas of history with an astrolabe in one hand and a stock ticker in the other.

The strong correlation coefficient of 0.9884005 and the near-perfect linear relationship portrayed in our scatterplot illustrate a bond tighter than the grip of a statistician clinging onto their null hypothesis. The r-squared value of 0.9769356 further reinforces the notion that historical education holds a staggering influence over 97.69% of the variance in Centene's stock price, painting a picture of historical knowledge wielding substantial sway in the realm of financial fortune. It's a statistical tango between history and stock price, the kind of dance that leaves statistical outliers green with envy.

This peculiar correlation, with a p-value of less than 0.01, serves as a statistical oddity that elicits a chuckle from the sober world of academic research, much like finding a unicorn in a forest of regression analyses. It beckons us to contemplate the threads of causation woven between historical education and market movements, provoking a bemused furrow of the brow from even the most seasoned of econometricians.

Our findings embody the quintessence of unexpected research discoveries, akin to stumbling upon a treasure trove of statistical significance in an unassuming dataset. As we continue to unravel the enigmatic bond between historical histories and stock market whimsy, we are reminded that in the labyrinth of research, even the most whimsical connections can bear the fruit of empirical truth.

Stay tuned for the next adventure in statistical comedy and financial folly as we traverse the bumpy landscape of academia and finance, armed with nothing but our wits, our data, and maybe just a pinch of levity.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]: Historical Histories: A Hilarious Hodgepodge of Associates degrees and Centene's Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]:
The research at hand seeks to unravel the perplexing relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), this study unveils a correlation coefficient of 0.9884005 and p < 0.01 for the time period spanning 2011 to 2021. The findings, while initially unexpected, draw attention to the potential influence of historical knowledge on stock market trends, stirring up a mix of mirth and skepticism among academics and investors alike. This paper aims to shed light on this peculiar correlation, blending the seriousness of econometric analysis with a dash of whimsy and a smattering of historical humor. Let's explore this intriguing interplay between the annals of academia and the fluctuations of financial fortune with due diligence and just a touch of jest.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
As the saying goes, "History repeats itself." But who would have thought that the repetition of history could have a direct correlation with the fluctuations in stock prices? This paper delves into the seemingly whimsical yet surprisingly robust relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. The mere juxtaposition of academia and finance might seem as unusual as trying to determine the correlation between the number of pencils in a classroom and the price of oil - which, by the way, might also be an interesting research idea for another day.
The divide between the world of historical narratives and the world of financial markets has traditionally been as wide as the Grand Canyon, with the former filled with tales, anecdotes, and, of course, questionable accounts of accuracy, and the latter swirling with numbers, graphs, and the occasional Wall Street quip. However, this paper aims to bridge this chasm, challenging the conventional wisdom and raising eyebrows in the academic and professional spheres.
We begin this inquiry by diving headfirst into the abyss of statistical analysis, armed with our trusty cohort of p-values, regression coefficients, and confidence intervals. However, fear not - we promise to keep this statistical expedition as light and breezy as a summer read, with the occasional quip and jest to keep both the reader and the researcher entertained.
The dataset at the heart of this investigation was sourced from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), providing us with a plethora of data on the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price across the years 2011 to 2021. We let the numbers tell their stories and gradually uncovered a rather startling correlation coefficient of 0.9884005, with a p-value that is not just statistically significant but practically shouting for attention at p < 0.01. This astonishing revelation prompted us to hold a mirror to the enigmatic relationship between historical education and the ebb and flow of stock prices. It goes without saying that this correlation is as unexpected as finding hidden treasure in a history textbook - a delightful surprise indeed.

[[RESULTS]]
The statistical analysis of the data collected revealed a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9884005 between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price for the period 2011 to 2021. The r-squared value of 0.9769356 signifies that a whopping 97.69% of the variance in Centene's stock price can be explained by the number of these historical degrees. Now, that's a tighter bond than the double helix of a DNA molecule!
If we were to translate this into layman's terms, it means that the movement of Centene's stock price has shown an almost uncanny synchronization with the fluctuation in the number of Associates degrees in History. In simpler words, it's as if the stock market is, metaphorically speaking, sitting in on a history lecture and taking notes - clearly demonstrating a keen interest in historical events and narratives.
The p-value of less than 0.01 further accentuates the significance of this relationship. The probability of observing such a strong correlation purely by chance is slim pickings, akin to stumbling across a four-leaf clover in a field of statistics.
To visually encapsulate this astoundingly strong correlation, the scatterplot depicted in Figure 1 showcases a near-perfect linear relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. It's a match made in statistical heaven, akin to finding the missing puzzle piece in a sea of data points.
In summary, the results of this investigation thrust the connection between historical education and stock market performance into the spotlight, prompting a hearty chuckle from the realm of academia and finance. This unlikely bond between the annals of history and the hustle and bustle of the stock market raises eyebrows and elicits a grin, serving as a reminder that in the world of research, sometimes truth is indeed stranger than fiction.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our findings have unraveled a correlation between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price that is as tight as a well-knitted sweater – providing an unexpected twist to the world of economic research. This peculiar connection between the realm of historical knowledge and the dynamics of the stock market has raised more than a few eyebrows, prompting both a chuckle and a contemplative stroke of the chin among the academic and investor communities.

The statistical analysis has shown us that the movement of Centene's stock price appears to be more entwined with the waxing and waning of historical education than one might expect – an unexpectedly fascinating waltz of numbers and narratives. It's almost as if the stock market has developed a fondness for antiquity, choosing to mirror the rise and fall of historical degrees with its own undulating patterns. It's a relationship that's as unlikely as finding a pearl in an oyster – a rare and beautiful revelation amidst a sea of data.

However, while this delightful correlation may have sparked a few grins and raised a couple of eyebrows, it seems that the connection between Associates degrees in History and Centene's stock price has been thoroughly unearthed, much like a hidden treasure chest in a historical narrative. As such, it appears that there is no need to dig deeper into this particular intersection of academia and finance. The story has been told, the punchline delivered, and it's time to close this chapter – pun intended!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited : Historical Histories: A Hilarious Hodgepodge of Associates degrees and Centene's Stock Price. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Hilarity Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited : Historical Histories: A Hilarious Hodgepodge of Associates degrees and Centene's Stock Price. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

Association for the Advancement of Absurd Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled : Historical Histories: A Hilarious Hodgepodge of Associates degrees and Centene's Stock Price with an abstract of :
The research at hand seeks to unravel the perplexing relationship between the number of Associates degrees awarded in History and Centene's stock price. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), this study unveils a correlation coefficient of 0.9884005 and p < 0.01 for the time period spanning 2011 to 2021. The findings, while initially unexpected, draw attention to the potential influence of historical knowledge on stock market trends, stirring up a mix of mirth and skepticism among academics and investors alike. This paper aims to shed light on this peculiar correlation, blending the seriousness of econometric analysis with a dash of whimsy and a smattering of historical humor. Let's explore this intriguing interplay between the annals of academia and the fluctuations of financial fortune with due diligence and just a touch of jest.

ChatGPT:

"associates degrees in history, Centene stock price correlation, historical knowledge in stock market trends, National Center for Education Statistics, LSEG Analytics, Refinitiv, historical humor in econometric analysis"

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Associates degrees awarded in History
Detailed data title: Associate's degrees conferred by postsecondary institutions with a field of study of History
Source: National Center for Education Statistics
See what else correlates with Associates degrees awarded in History

Centene's stock price (CNC)
Detailed data title: Opening price of Centene (CNC) on the first trading day of the year
Source: LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv)
Additional Info: Via Microsoft Excel Stockhistory function

See what else correlates with Centene's stock price (CNC)

Correlation r = 0.9884005 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9769356 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 97.7% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Centene's stock price (CNC)) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Associates degrees awarded in History) over the 11 years from 2011 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 1.1E-8. 0.0000000112241921375350590000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.99 in 1.1E-6% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 89,093,272 random variables You don't actually need 89 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 10 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 10 because we have two variables measured over a period of 11 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.95, 1 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
20112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
Associates degrees awarded in History (Degrees awarded)70081191910811285160517562140241325122557
Centene's stock price (CNC) (Stock price)6.3910.1710.4614.7426.5832.3128.6250.3557.0362.9860.61




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([700,811,919,1081,1285,1605,1756,2140,2413,2512,2557,])
array_2 = np.array([6.39,10.17,10.46,14.74,26.58,32.31,28.62,50.35,57.03,62.98,60.61,])
array_1_name = "Associates degrees awarded in History"
array_2_name = "Centene's stock price (CNC)"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

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Correlation ID: 2709 · Black Variable ID: 1257 · Red Variable ID: 1802
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