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Spurious correlation #2,360 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Bachelor's degrees awarded in gender studies and the second variable is Kerosene used in Libya.  The chart goes from 2012 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As fewer students pursued these degrees, there was a noticeable decline in the creation of overly specialized gender and ethnic study committees. These committees were known for organizing outrageously themed international conferences in exotic locations, complete with extravagant kerosene-fueled fire performances to represent cultural unity. Without these events, the demand for kerosene in Libya plummeted, leading to a decrease in production to match. It just goes to show, sometimes the hottest flames of change are sparked by unconventional academic pursuits!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image of a woodblock-style painting portraying a classroom scene. Within the classroom, a group of students adorned in traditional Libyan clothing engages in an animated conversation about the historical and cultural importance of kerosene in Libyan society. The students are surrounded by various books and artifacts related to ethnic and gender studies, symbolizing their expertise in these areas. As the number of students dwindles, the once lively discussion grows dimmer, and the flame representing their enthusiasm for kerosene usage begins to fade, leaving the room in darkness. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, ethnic, cultural, gender, and group studies and Kerosene used in Libya. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Parallax art A comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s 3D Pixar Style Cubism Woodblock painting
ChatGPT: Woodblock painting

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, ethnic, cultural, gender, and group studies and Kerosene used in Libya, in the following situation: As the number of graduates in those fields dwindled, so did their ability to "ignite" passion for kerosene use in Libya. With fewer experts in cultural studies, there was a "diminished capacity" to appreciate the historical significance of kerosene in Libyan society. Additionally, the decline in gender studies degrees meant there were less "fuelled" discussions on traditional gender roles in kerosene usage. This ultimately led to a "burning" out of interest in utilizing kerosene, as the once "flame-fanning" knowledge and enthusiasm fizzled like a damp wick in the desert night.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In a classroom, a group of students dressed in traditional Libyan attire engage in a lively discussion about the history and cultural significance of kerosene in Libyan society. They are surrounded by books and artifacts related to ethnic and gender studies, symbolizing their expertise in these areas. However, as their numbers dwindle, the once vibrant discussion becomes dimmer, and the flame that once fueled their enthusiasm for kerosene usage begins to fade, leaving the room in darkness.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Woodblock painting ] and depicting this scene: In a classroom, a group of students dressed in traditional Libyan attire engage in a lively discussion about the history and cultural significance of kerosene in Libyan society. They are surrounded by books and artifacts related to ethnic and gender studies, symbolizing their expertise in these areas. However, as their numbers dwindle, the once vibrant discussion becomes dimmer, and the flame that once fueled their enthusiasm for kerosene usage begins to fade, leaving the room in darkness. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image of a woodblock-style painting portraying a classroom scene. Within the classroom, a group of students adorned in traditional Libyan clothing engages in an animated conversation about the historical and cultural importance of kerosene in Libyan society. The students are surrounded by various books and artifacts related to ethnic and gender studies, symbolizing their expertise in these areas. As the number of students dwindles, the once lively discussion grows dimmer, and the flame representing their enthusiasm for kerosene usage begins to fade, leaving the room in darkness.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how a decrease in Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, ethnic, cultural, gender, and group studies caused Kerosene used in Libya to decrease.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Bridging the Gap: Bachelor's Degrees in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the Baffling Boom in Kerosene Consumption in Libya

The Journal of Interdisciplinary Quirkiness

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, ethnic, cultural, gender, and group studies and Kerosene used in Libya. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title an alliteration.

Your research team used data from National Center for Education Statistics and Energy Information Administration to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9699386 and p < 0.01 for 2012 to 2021.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
Bridging the Gap: Bachelor's Degrees in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the Baffling Boom in Kerosene Consumption in Libya

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the confounding connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the per capita consumption of kerosene in the beautiful and bewildering country of Libya. Despite the apparent mismatch between these two variables, our research team has uncovered a startlingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9699386 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the period spanning from 2012 to 2021. The results of this analysis give rise to a plethora of perplexing questions and puzzling possibilities: Could the pursuit of knowledge in these specialized fields somehow fuel the demand for kerosene in Libyan households? Is it possible that the illumination of diverse cultures and identities has sparked an increased reliance on kerosene for lighting? Our findings raise more questions than answers, and while we seek to illuminate this enigmatic nexus, we are left pondering the interplay of education and energy in a truly captivating and curious context.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, ethnic, cultural, gender, and group studies and Kerosene used in Libya. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Bridging the Gap: Bachelor's Degrees in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the Baffling Boom in Kerosene Consumption in Libya

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the confounding connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the per capita consumption of kerosene in the beautiful and bewildering country of Libya. Despite the apparent mismatch between these two variables, our research team has uncovered a startlingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9699386 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the period spanning from 2012 to 2021. The results of this analysis give rise to a plethora of perplexing questions and puzzling possibilities: Could the pursuit of knowledge in these specialized fields somehow fuel the demand for kerosene in Libyan households? Is it possible that the illumination of diverse cultures and identities has sparked an increased reliance on kerosene for lighting? Our findings raise more questions than answers, and while we seek to illuminate this enigmatic nexus, we are left pondering the interplay of education and energy in a truly captivating and curious context.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

As we delve into the fascinating world of academic pursuits and energy consumption, we are confronted with a puzzling connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the rather unexpected surge in kerosene consumption in the vibrant nation of Libya. While one might initially dismiss such a correlation as a mere coincidence, our rigorous analysis has yielded some eyebrow-raising results.

The enigma of this association leads us down a rabbit hole of speculation and surprise. One cannot help but marvel at the curious juxtaposition of studies focused on diverse groups and cultures with the seemingly unrelated realm of kerosene consumption. The quizzical nature of this relationship, akin to a riddle wrapped in an enigma, has captivated our research team and propelled us into an intellectual odyssey through an unlikely intersection of academia and energy dynamics.

While the initial observations of this correlation may elicit a quizzical expression, the robustness of our statistical findings demands serious consideration. We unearthed a correlation coefficient of 0.9699386, a figure so strikingly high that it might even prompt some to question whether the statistical software had indulged in a bit of late-night revelry. Yet, there it stands, as sturdy as a camel in the Libyan desert, along with a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, underscoring the perplexing relationship between these seemingly disparate variables.

However, before we embark on this academic journey, it is imperative to recognize the weighty implications of our findings. The potential ramifications of such a connection, if indeed it proves to be more than an amusing statistical fluke, are as elusive as a desert mirage. Could the pursuit of knowledge in these specialized fields somehow ignite the demand for kerosene in Libyan households? Is it within the realm of possibility that the illumination of diverse cultures and identities has sparked an increased reliance on kerosene for lighting, casting a literal and metaphorical light on this peculiar relationship?

Our efforts to shed light on this unforeseen correlation open the door to a labyrinth of questions, puzzles, and paradoxes. While we bring the torch of scholarly inquiry to this shadowy tangle of data, we are acutely aware that our findings evoke more intrigue than resolution. The interplay of education and energy in this unusual context invites us to question assumptions, ponder possibilities, and embrace the intellectual adventure that lies ahead.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, ethnic, cultural, gender, and group studies and Kerosene used in Libya. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name some movies that you watched that are tangentially related to the topic.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Bridging the Gap: Bachelor's Degrees in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the Baffling Boom in Kerosene Consumption in Libya

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the confounding connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the per capita consumption of kerosene in the beautiful and bewildering country of Libya. Despite the apparent mismatch between these two variables, our research team has uncovered a startlingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9699386 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the period spanning from 2012 to 2021. The results of this analysis give rise to a plethora of perplexing questions and puzzling possibilities: Could the pursuit of knowledge in these specialized fields somehow fuel the demand for kerosene in Libyan households? Is it possible that the illumination of diverse cultures and identities has sparked an increased reliance on kerosene for lighting? Our findings raise more questions than answers, and while we seek to illuminate this enigmatic nexus, we are left pondering the interplay of education and energy in a truly captivating and curious context.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
As we delve into the fascinating world of academic pursuits and energy consumption, we are confronted with a puzzling connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the rather unexpected surge in kerosene consumption in the vibrant nation of Libya. While one might initially dismiss such a correlation as a mere coincidence, our rigorous analysis has yielded some eyebrow-raising results.
The enigma of this association leads us down a rabbit hole of speculation and surprise. One cannot help but marvel at the curious juxtaposition of studies focused on diverse groups and cultures with the seemingly unrelated realm of kerosene consumption. The quizzical nature of this relationship, akin to a riddle wrapped in an enigma, has captivated our research team and propelled us into an intellectual odyssey through an unlikely intersection of academia and energy dynamics.
While the initial observations of this correlation may elicit a quizzical expression, the robustness of our statistical findings demands serious consideration. We unearthed a correlation coefficient of 0.9699386, a figure so strikingly high that it might even prompt some to question whether the statistical software had indulged in a bit of late-night revelry. Yet, there it stands, as sturdy as a camel in the Libyan desert, along with a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, underscoring the perplexing relationship between these seemingly disparate variables.
However, before we embark on this academic journey, it is imperative to recognize the weighty implications of our findings. The potential ramifications of such a connection, if indeed it proves to be more than an amusing statistical fluke, are as elusive as a desert mirage. Could the pursuit of knowledge in these specialized fields somehow ignite the demand for kerosene in Libyan households? Is it within the realm of possibility that the illumination of diverse cultures and identities has sparked an increased reliance on kerosene for lighting, casting a literal and metaphorical light on this peculiar relationship?
Our efforts to shed light on this unforeseen correlation open the door to a labyrinth of questions, puzzles, and paradoxes. While we bring the torch of scholarly inquiry to this shadowy tangle of data, we are acutely aware that our findings evoke more intrigue than resolution. The interplay of education and energy in this unusual context invites us to question assumptions, ponder possibilities, and embrace the intellectual adventure that lies ahead.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

Our foray into the bewildering nexus of Bachelor's degrees in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the idiosyncratic surge in kerosene consumption in Libya leads us to traverse a diverse landscape of scholarly investigations and fictional narratives alike. Initially, we sink our teeth into the serious and substantial work of Smith, Doe, and Jones, who cogently expound upon the intricate dynamics of cultural education and its potential impact on energy preferences. In "Cultural Education and Socio-Economic Dynamics," Smith et al. deftly examine the nuanced relationship between educational pursuits in the realm of cultural studies and societal behavior, inspiring a reflective pause in our scholarly expedition.

As we wade deeper into the murky waters of academic inquiry, we encounter the prolific oeuvre of non-fiction literature pertinent to the enigmatic connection at hand. "Ethnic Diversity and its Effects on Household Energy Choices" by Lorem and Ipsum furnishes an illuminating dissection of how diverse cultural education may influence domestic energy consumption patterns, serving as a beacon in our search for understanding (and definitely not a light for igniting kerosene lamps).

Venturing further into the labyrinthine annals of scholarly literature, we encounter a bevy of fictional works that seem almost uncannily germane to our subject matter. Titles such as "Kerosene Dreaming: A Tale of Academic Enlightenment" and "Cultural Illumination: A Novel Exploration of Energy and Education" by renowned authors travel along the cusp of plausibility and preposterousness, showcasing the whimsical serendipity of bibliographic meanderings.

Beyond the confines of printed prose, we draw inspiration from the celluloid realm, where motion pictures embody narratives that intersect with our curious inquiry. Films such as "Cultural Conundrum: The Kerosene Chronicles" and "Enlightened Energies: A Cinematic Odyssey Through Academic Tangents" beckon us into the realm of cinematic imagination, enriching our understanding through their visual tales.

This melange of factual treatises, fanciful narratives, and celluloid companions expands our cerebral horizons, infusing levity into our scholarly pursuit without compromising the rigor of our academic inquiry. With this eclectic mosaic of references at our disposal, we set our sights on uncovering the comically confounding connection between these seemingly incongruous realms of study and substance.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, ethnic, cultural, gender, and group studies and Kerosene used in Libya. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from National Center for Education Statistics and Energy Information Administration . You used data from 2012 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Bridging the Gap: Bachelor's Degrees in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the Baffling Boom in Kerosene Consumption in Libya

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the confounding connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the per capita consumption of kerosene in the beautiful and bewildering country of Libya. Despite the apparent mismatch between these two variables, our research team has uncovered a startlingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9699386 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the period spanning from 2012 to 2021. The results of this analysis give rise to a plethora of perplexing questions and puzzling possibilities: Could the pursuit of knowledge in these specialized fields somehow fuel the demand for kerosene in Libyan households? Is it possible that the illumination of diverse cultures and identities has sparked an increased reliance on kerosene for lighting? Our findings raise more questions than answers, and while we seek to illuminate this enigmatic nexus, we are left pondering the interplay of education and energy in a truly captivating and curious context.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
As we delve into the fascinating world of academic pursuits and energy consumption, we are confronted with a puzzling connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the rather unexpected surge in kerosene consumption in the vibrant nation of Libya. While one might initially dismiss such a correlation as a mere coincidence, our rigorous analysis has yielded some eyebrow-raising results.
The enigma of this association leads us down a rabbit hole of speculation and surprise. One cannot help but marvel at the curious juxtaposition of studies focused on diverse groups and cultures with the seemingly unrelated realm of kerosene consumption. The quizzical nature of this relationship, akin to a riddle wrapped in an enigma, has captivated our research team and propelled us into an intellectual odyssey through an unlikely intersection of academia and energy dynamics.
While the initial observations of this correlation may elicit a quizzical expression, the robustness of our statistical findings demands serious consideration. We unearthed a correlation coefficient of 0.9699386, a figure so strikingly high that it might even prompt some to question whether the statistical software had indulged in a bit of late-night revelry. Yet, there it stands, as sturdy as a camel in the Libyan desert, along with a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, underscoring the perplexing relationship between these seemingly disparate variables.
However, before we embark on this academic journey, it is imperative to recognize the weighty implications of our findings. The potential ramifications of such a connection, if indeed it proves to be more than an amusing statistical fluke, are as elusive as a desert mirage. Could the pursuit of knowledge in these specialized fields somehow ignite the demand for kerosene in Libyan households? Is it within the realm of possibility that the illumination of diverse cultures and identities has sparked an increased reliance on kerosene for lighting, casting a literal and metaphorical light on this peculiar relationship?
Our efforts to shed light on this unforeseen correlation open the door to a labyrinth of questions, puzzles, and paradoxes. While we bring the torch of scholarly inquiry to this shadowy tangle of data, we are acutely aware that our findings evoke more intrigue than resolution. The interplay of education and energy in this unusual context invites us to question assumptions, ponder possibilities, and embrace the intellectual adventure that lies ahead.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To uncover the enigmatic link between the confounding variables of Bachelor's degrees in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and kerosene consumption in Libya, our research team embarked on an odyssey through a kaleidoscope of methodologies, aiming to shed light on this unprecedented correlation. Our approach, like a camel navigating the treacherous dunes of the Sahara, required precision, rigor, and a touch of audacity.

Firstly, we scoured the vast expanse of the internet, much like intrepid explorers seeking treasure in uncharted territories, to assemble datasets capturing the awarding of Bachelor's degrees in the aforementioned specialized fields. The National Center for Education Statistics emerged as our beacon in this quest, providing us with a trove of data spanning the years 2012 to 2021. With the diligence of scholars unearthing long-lost manuscripts, we meticulously curated and organized this information, ensuring its fidelity and comprehensiveness.

Simultaneously, our search for data regarding kerosene consumption in Libya led us to the Energy Information Administration, an oasis of energy statistics amidst the digital desert. We gathered per capita kerosene consumption figures, endeavoring to construct a comprehensive timeline mirroring the years of our academic pursuit.

With these prodigious datasets in hand, we gingerly approached the statistical analysis phase, akin to alchemists delicately mixing rare substances in pursuit of gold. Embracing the venerable methods of correlation analysis, we readily employed Pearson's correlation coefficient to discern the relationship between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded and per capita kerosene consumption. As the statistical software dutifully crunched numbers with remarkable alacrity, we held our collective breath, half expecting the program to quip, "Are you sure about this one?" in a moment of sentient whimsy.

Furthermore, to augment our understanding of this mysterious connection, we exerted robust efforts to control for potential confounding variables. Like delicately balancing a stack of academic tomes, we meticulously considered factors such as economic development, population dynamics, and changes in household energy infrastructure. These additional analyses, performed with scholarly insight and statistical acumen, served as bulwarks against spurious conclusions and erroneous assumptions.

Our methodology, while rigorous and thorough, resembled a captivating puzzle, entwining meticulous data collection, judicious statistical analysis, and scholarly scrutiny. By navigating this intricate methodology, our research team endeavored to unravel the perplexing association between academic pursuits and the burn of kerosene, illuminating a landscape ripe with intellectual intrigue and scholarly surprise.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, ethnic, cultural, gender, and group studies and Kerosene used in Libya. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from National Center for Education Statistics and Energy Information Administration .

For the time period 2012 to 2021, you found a correlation 0.9699386, r-squared of 0.9407808, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Bridging the Gap: Bachelor's Degrees in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the Baffling Boom in Kerosene Consumption in Libya

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the confounding connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the per capita consumption of kerosene in the beautiful and bewildering country of Libya. Despite the apparent mismatch between these two variables, our research team has uncovered a startlingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9699386 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the period spanning from 2012 to 2021. The results of this analysis give rise to a plethora of perplexing questions and puzzling possibilities: Could the pursuit of knowledge in these specialized fields somehow fuel the demand for kerosene in Libyan households? Is it possible that the illumination of diverse cultures and identities has sparked an increased reliance on kerosene for lighting? Our findings raise more questions than answers, and while we seek to illuminate this enigmatic nexus, we are left pondering the interplay of education and energy in a truly captivating and curious context.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
As we delve into the fascinating world of academic pursuits and energy consumption, we are confronted with a puzzling connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the rather unexpected surge in kerosene consumption in the vibrant nation of Libya. While one might initially dismiss such a correlation as a mere coincidence, our rigorous analysis has yielded some eyebrow-raising results.
The enigma of this association leads us down a rabbit hole of speculation and surprise. One cannot help but marvel at the curious juxtaposition of studies focused on diverse groups and cultures with the seemingly unrelated realm of kerosene consumption. The quizzical nature of this relationship, akin to a riddle wrapped in an enigma, has captivated our research team and propelled us into an intellectual odyssey through an unlikely intersection of academia and energy dynamics.
While the initial observations of this correlation may elicit a quizzical expression, the robustness of our statistical findings demands serious consideration. We unearthed a correlation coefficient of 0.9699386, a figure so strikingly high that it might even prompt some to question whether the statistical software had indulged in a bit of late-night revelry. Yet, there it stands, as sturdy as a camel in the Libyan desert, along with a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, underscoring the perplexing relationship between these seemingly disparate variables.
However, before we embark on this academic journey, it is imperative to recognize the weighty implications of our findings. The potential ramifications of such a connection, if indeed it proves to be more than an amusing statistical fluke, are as elusive as a desert mirage. Could the pursuit of knowledge in these specialized fields somehow ignite the demand for kerosene in Libyan households? Is it within the realm of possibility that the illumination of diverse cultures and identities has sparked an increased reliance on kerosene for lighting, casting a literal and metaphorical light on this peculiar relationship?
Our efforts to shed light on this unforeseen correlation open the door to a labyrinth of questions, puzzles, and paradoxes. While we bring the torch of scholarly inquiry to this shadowy tangle of data, we are acutely aware that our findings evoke more intrigue than resolution. The interplay of education and energy in this unusual context invites us to question assumptions, ponder possibilities, and embrace the intellectual adventure that lies ahead.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The results of our investigation into the perplexing link between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the consumption of kerosene in Libya are nothing short of astounding. Our comprehensive analysis spanning the years 2012 to 2021 revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9699386, indicating a strikingly strong positive relationship between these seemingly incongruous variables. The r-squared value of 0.9407808 further underscores the robustness of this association, leaving us in a state of both bewildered fascination and incredulity.

Moreover, the statistical significance of this correlation, with a p-value of less than 0.01, solidifies the validity and importance of our findings. The implications of these results are as confounding as they are compelling, prompting us to consider depths of inquiry previously uncharted in the intersection of education and energy consumption.

Figure 1 visually encapsulates the unexpected yet undeniable correlation between the two variables, depicting a clear and compelling relationship that defies traditional expectations. This visual representation is a testament to the paradoxical nature of our findings and highlights the need for further exploration in this captivating area of study.

We are left with a plethora of intriguing questions as we grapple with the implications of this correlation. Could it be that the pursuit of knowledge and understanding in these specialized fields has inadvertently fueled the demand for kerosene in Libyan households? Does the illumination of diverse cultures and identities through academic inquiry hold sway over the consumption of kerosene for lighting purposes? These questions linger in our minds, tickling our intellectual curiosity and beckoning us into the enigmatic depths of this unforeseen nexus.

Nevertheless, while our findings present a truly perplexing conundrum, they also lay the groundwork for future research endeavors and the exploration of uncharted intellectual terrain. The unexpected correlation between Bachelor's degrees in specialized studies and kerosene consumption in Libya stands as a testament to the intricate and often confounding interplay between education and energy dynamics, inviting further investigation and opening the door to a realm of scholarly inquiry that is as intriguing as it is unexpected.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, ethnic, cultural, gender, and group studies and Kerosene used in Libya. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Bridging the Gap: Bachelor's Degrees in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the Baffling Boom in Kerosene Consumption in Libya

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the confounding connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the per capita consumption of kerosene in the beautiful and bewildering country of Libya. Despite the apparent mismatch between these two variables, our research team has uncovered a startlingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9699386 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the period spanning from 2012 to 2021. The results of this analysis give rise to a plethora of perplexing questions and puzzling possibilities: Could the pursuit of knowledge in these specialized fields somehow fuel the demand for kerosene in Libyan households? Is it possible that the illumination of diverse cultures and identities has sparked an increased reliance on kerosene for lighting? Our findings raise more questions than answers, and while we seek to illuminate this enigmatic nexus, we are left pondering the interplay of education and energy in a truly captivating and curious context.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
Our foray into the bewildering nexus of Bachelor's degrees in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the idiosyncratic surge in kerosene consumption in Libya leads us to traverse a diverse landscape of scholarly investigations and fictional narratives alike. Initially, we sink our teeth into the serious and substantial work of Smith, Doe, and Jones, who cogently expound upon the intricate dynamics of cultural education and its potential impact on energy preferences. In "Cultural Education and Socio-Economic Dynamics," Smith et al. deftly examine the nuanced relationship between educational pursuits in the realm of cultural studies and societal behavior, inspiring a reflective pause in our scholarly expedition.
As we wade deeper into the murky waters of academic inquiry, we encounter the prolific oeuvre of non-fiction literature pertinent to the enigmatic connection at hand. "Ethnic Diversity and its Effects on Household Energy Choices" by Lorem and Ipsum furnishes an illuminating dissection of how diverse cultural education may influence domestic energy consumption patterns, serving as a beacon in our search for understanding (and definitely not a light for igniting kerosene lamps).
Venturing further into the labyrinthine annals of scholarly literature, we encounter a bevy of fictional works that seem almost uncannily germane to our subject matter. Titles such as "Kerosene Dreaming: A Tale of Academic Enlightenment" and "Cultural Illumination: A Novel Exploration of Energy and Education" by renowned authors travel along the cusp of plausibility and preposterousness, showcasing the whimsical serendipity of bibliographic meanderings.
Beyond the confines of printed prose, we draw inspiration from the celluloid realm, where motion pictures embody narratives that intersect with our curious inquiry. Films such as "Cultural Conundrum: The Kerosene Chronicles" and "Enlightened Energies: A Cinematic Odyssey Through Academic Tangents" beckon us into the realm of cinematic imagination, enriching our understanding through their visual tales.
This melange of factual treatises, fanciful narratives, and celluloid companions expands our cerebral horizons, infusing levity into our scholarly pursuit without compromising the rigor of our academic inquiry. With this eclectic mosaic of references at our disposal, we set our sights on uncovering the comically confounding connection between these seemingly incongruous realms of study and substance.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our investigation into the perplexing link between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the consumption of kerosene in Libya are nothing short of astounding. Our comprehensive analysis spanning the years 2012 to 2021 revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9699386, indicating a strikingly strong positive relationship between these seemingly incongruous variables. The r-squared value of 0.9407808 further underscores the robustness of this association, leaving us in a state of both bewildered fascination and incredulity.
Moreover, the statistical significance of this correlation, with a p-value of less than 0.01, solidifies the validity and importance of our findings. The implications of these results are as confounding as they are compelling, prompting us to consider depths of inquiry previously uncharted in the intersection of education and energy consumption.
Figure 1 visually encapsulates the unexpected yet undeniable correlation between the two variables, depicting a clear and compelling relationship that defies traditional expectations. This visual representation is a testament to the paradoxical nature of our findings and highlights the need for further exploration in this captivating area of study.
We are left with a plethora of intriguing questions as we grapple with the implications of this correlation. Could it be that the pursuit of knowledge and understanding in these specialized fields has inadvertently fueled the demand for kerosene in Libyan households? Does the illumination of diverse cultures and identities through academic inquiry hold sway over the consumption of kerosene for lighting purposes? These questions linger in our minds, tickling our intellectual curiosity and beckoning us into the enigmatic depths of this unforeseen nexus.
Nevertheless, while our findings present a truly perplexing conundrum, they also lay the groundwork for future research endeavors and the exploration of uncharted intellectual terrain. The unexpected correlation between Bachelor's degrees in specialized studies and kerosene consumption in Libya stands as a testament to the intricate and often confounding interplay between education and energy dynamics, inviting further investigation and opening the door to a realm of scholarly inquiry that is as intriguing as it is unexpected.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The startlingly high correlation coefficient and statistically significant p-value that emerged from our study provide compelling evidence for a robust connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the consumption of kerosene in Libya. These findings bolster previous research that hinted at the potential influence of cultural education on energy-related behaviors. Our results echo the sentiments expressed by Smith, Doe, and Jones, who aptly emphasized the intricate dynamics of cultural education and its impact on societal behaviors. It appears that our quest for understanding has culminated in the validation of their prescient insights, underlining the profound implications of educational pursuits in shaping energy preferences.

Furthermore, the unanticipated convergence of our findings with the fictional and cinematic realms cannot be overlooked. It is as though the plots of "Kerosene Dreaming: A Tale of Academic Enlightenment" and "Cultural Conundrum: The Kerosene Chronicles" transcended the confines of imagination to find resonance in our empirical endeavors. This unexpected cohesion between academic inquiry and fictional narratives injects a whimsical allure into our scholarly pursuit, blurring the boundaries between reality and speculative narrative.

We recognize that our results provoke more questions than answers, much like the inexplicable and oftentimes comedic twists found in "Cultural Illumination: A Novel Exploration of Energy and Education." Yet, as we tread this perplexing path, it becomes clear that our scholarly odyssey is not merely a measure of correlation, but also a testament to the capricious charm of intellectual inquiry. The intriguing juxtaposition of specialized education and household energy consumption in Libya beckons further exploration, shedding light on the enigmatic interplay between knowledge and energy dynamics in a manner as captivating as it is confounding.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, ethnic, cultural, gender, and group studies and Kerosene used in Libya. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Bridging the Gap: Bachelor's Degrees in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the Baffling Boom in Kerosene Consumption in Libya

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the confounding connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the per capita consumption of kerosene in the beautiful and bewildering country of Libya. Despite the apparent mismatch between these two variables, our research team has uncovered a startlingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9699386 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the period spanning from 2012 to 2021. The results of this analysis give rise to a plethora of perplexing questions and puzzling possibilities: Could the pursuit of knowledge in these specialized fields somehow fuel the demand for kerosene in Libyan households? Is it possible that the illumination of diverse cultures and identities has sparked an increased reliance on kerosene for lighting? Our findings raise more questions than answers, and while we seek to illuminate this enigmatic nexus, we are left pondering the interplay of education and energy in a truly captivating and curious context.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
As we delve into the fascinating world of academic pursuits and energy consumption, we are confronted with a puzzling connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the rather unexpected surge in kerosene consumption in the vibrant nation of Libya. While one might initially dismiss such a correlation as a mere coincidence, our rigorous analysis has yielded some eyebrow-raising results.
The enigma of this association leads us down a rabbit hole of speculation and surprise. One cannot help but marvel at the curious juxtaposition of studies focused on diverse groups and cultures with the seemingly unrelated realm of kerosene consumption. The quizzical nature of this relationship, akin to a riddle wrapped in an enigma, has captivated our research team and propelled us into an intellectual odyssey through an unlikely intersection of academia and energy dynamics.
While the initial observations of this correlation may elicit a quizzical expression, the robustness of our statistical findings demands serious consideration. We unearthed a correlation coefficient of 0.9699386, a figure so strikingly high that it might even prompt some to question whether the statistical software had indulged in a bit of late-night revelry. Yet, there it stands, as sturdy as a camel in the Libyan desert, along with a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, underscoring the perplexing relationship between these seemingly disparate variables.
However, before we embark on this academic journey, it is imperative to recognize the weighty implications of our findings. The potential ramifications of such a connection, if indeed it proves to be more than an amusing statistical fluke, are as elusive as a desert mirage. Could the pursuit of knowledge in these specialized fields somehow ignite the demand for kerosene in Libyan households? Is it within the realm of possibility that the illumination of diverse cultures and identities has sparked an increased reliance on kerosene for lighting, casting a literal and metaphorical light on this peculiar relationship?
Our efforts to shed light on this unforeseen correlation open the door to a labyrinth of questions, puzzles, and paradoxes. While we bring the torch of scholarly inquiry to this shadowy tangle of data, we are acutely aware that our findings evoke more intrigue than resolution. The interplay of education and energy in this unusual context invites us to question assumptions, ponder possibilities, and embrace the intellectual adventure that lies ahead.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our investigation into the perplexing link between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the consumption of kerosene in Libya are nothing short of astounding. Our comprehensive analysis spanning the years 2012 to 2021 revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9699386, indicating a strikingly strong positive relationship between these seemingly incongruous variables. The r-squared value of 0.9407808 further underscores the robustness of this association, leaving us in a state of both bewildered fascination and incredulity.
Moreover, the statistical significance of this correlation, with a p-value of less than 0.01, solidifies the validity and importance of our findings. The implications of these results are as confounding as they are compelling, prompting us to consider depths of inquiry previously uncharted in the intersection of education and energy consumption.
Figure 1 visually encapsulates the unexpected yet undeniable correlation between the two variables, depicting a clear and compelling relationship that defies traditional expectations. This visual representation is a testament to the paradoxical nature of our findings and highlights the need for further exploration in this captivating area of study.
We are left with a plethora of intriguing questions as we grapple with the implications of this correlation. Could it be that the pursuit of knowledge and understanding in these specialized fields has inadvertently fueled the demand for kerosene in Libyan households? Does the illumination of diverse cultures and identities through academic inquiry hold sway over the consumption of kerosene for lighting purposes? These questions linger in our minds, tickling our intellectual curiosity and beckoning us into the enigmatic depths of this unforeseen nexus.
Nevertheless, while our findings present a truly perplexing conundrum, they also lay the groundwork for future research endeavors and the exploration of uncharted intellectual terrain. The unexpected correlation between Bachelor's degrees in specialized studies and kerosene consumption in Libya stands as a testament to the intricate and often confounding interplay between education and energy dynamics, inviting further investigation and opening the door to a realm of scholarly inquiry that is as intriguing as it is unexpected.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our exploration of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the peculiar surge in kerosene consumption in Libya has led us down a fascinating path of inquiry. The exceptionally high correlation coefficient and statistically significant p-value unearthed in our analysis have left us both astounded and bemused. It appears that the pursuit of knowledge in these specialized fields is as illuminating as it is perplexing, shedding light on a correlation that seems to defy conventional wisdom. The nebulous link between academic pursuits and energy dynamics beckons us into a realm of puzzling possibilities and enigmatic intersections.

While our findings may evoke an array of raised eyebrows and quizzical expressions, they undeniably warrant further contemplation and inspection. As we stand at the crossroads of education and energy consumption in Libya, we are confronted with a tantalizing enigma that demands our intellectual attention. Yet, for now, we must come to terms with the fact that this correlation remains an enigmatic quirk in the scholarly landscape, a statistical phenomenon that eludes simple explanation and invites a whimsical sense of wonder.

In the spirit of academic inquiry, we acknowledge that the pursuit of knowledge is not always a straightforward journey, and the unexpected correlations we stumble upon only serve to enhance the rich tapestry of scholarly exploration. As we close the chapter on this inexplicable nexus, we assert with confidence that no further research in this curious area is needed. There is a beauty in the inexplicable, a charm in the unexplainable, and perhaps, in this little corner of academic curiosity, we are best left to marvel at the wondrously weird connections that defy our logical grasp.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Bridging the Gap: Bachelor's Degrees in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the Baffling Boom in Kerosene Consumption in Libya. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Interdisciplinary Quirkiness


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Bridging the Gap: Bachelor's Degrees in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the Baffling Boom in Kerosene Consumption in Libya. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Society for Interdisciplinary Studies on Cultural Phenomena and Resource Utilization


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Bridging the Gap: Bachelor's Degrees in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the Baffling Boom in Kerosene Consumption in Libya with an abstract of In this study, we delve into the confounding connection between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in Area, Ethnic, Cultural, Gender, and Group Studies and the per capita consumption of kerosene in the beautiful and bewildering country of Libya. Despite the apparent mismatch between these two variables, our research team has uncovered a startlingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9699386 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the period spanning from 2012 to 2021. The results of this analysis give rise to a plethora of perplexing questions and puzzling possibilities: Could the pursuit of knowledge in these specialized fields somehow fuel the demand for kerosene in Libyan households? Is it possible that the illumination of diverse cultures and identities has sparked an increased reliance on kerosene for lighting? Our findings raise more questions than answers, and while we seek to illuminate this enigmatic nexus, we are left pondering the interplay of education and energy in a truly captivating and curious context.

ChatGPT:

bachelor's degrees, area studies, ethnic studies, cultural studies, gender studies, group studies, kerosene consumption, Libya, correlation, statistical analysis, education and energy, cultural identity, household energy use

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Bachelor's degrees awarded in gender studies
Detailed data title: Bachelor's degrees conferred by postsecondary institutions, in field of study: Area, ethnic, cultural, gender, and group studies
Source: National Center for Education Statistics
See what else correlates with Bachelor's degrees awarded in gender studies

Kerosene used in Libya
Detailed data title: Volume of kerosene used consumed in Libya in millions of barrels per day
Source: Energy Information Administration
See what else correlates with Kerosene used in Libya

Correlation r = 0.9699386 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9407808 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 94.1% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Kerosene used in Libya) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Bachelor's degrees awarded in gender studies) over the 10 years from 2012 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 3.4E-6. 0.0000034455897785530563000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.97 in 0.00034% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 290,226 random variables You don't actually need 290 thousand variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 9 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 9 because we have two variables measured over a period of 10 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.87, 0.99 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
2012201320142015201620172018201920202021
Bachelor's degrees awarded in gender studies (Degrees awarded)9228885082757783784077207717773377717374
Kerosene used in Libya (Million Barrels/Day)865332.802662.389862.020521.477371.47737




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
    Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([9228,8850,8275,7783,7840,7720,7717,7733,7771,7374,])
array_2 = np.array([8,6,5,3,3,2.80266,2.38986,2.02052,1.47737,1.47737,])
array_1_name = "Bachelor's degrees awarded in gender studies"
array_2_name = "Kerosene used in Libya"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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Correlation ID: 2360 · Black Variable ID: 1266 · Red Variable ID: 24637
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