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Spurious correlation #1,956 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Popularity of the first name Cruz and the second variable is Associates degrees awarded in Transportation.  The chart goes from 2011 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As the name "Cruz" gained popularity, more and more babies were subconsciously imbued with an inexplicable talent for operating forklifts and navigating traffic cones. This naturally led to a surge in individuals pursuing careers in transportation and materials moving, as if drawn to their true calling on the road and in the warehouse.

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image that resembles a scene from a Pixar movie. Depict a bustling graduation ceremony filled with joyful graduates receiving their associates degrees in transportation and materials moving. Among the crowd, highlight a prominent figure named Cruz, who is surrounded by a group of cheering friends and family. Capture the celebratory atmosphere and the popularity of the first name Cruz in this particular field of study. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Popularity of the first name Cruz and Associates degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Hyper-realistic Data cyber art Cubism inspired by bauhaus An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie
ChatGPT: An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Popularity of the first name Cruz and Associates degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving together. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In the scene, there is a crowded graduation ceremony where many individuals are receiving their associates degrees in transportation and materials moving. Among the graduates, there is a prominent figure named Cruz who is surrounded by a group of cheering friends and family, showing the popularity of the first name Cruz in this particular field of study.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie ] and depicting this scene: In the scene, there is a crowded graduation ceremony where many individuals are receiving their associates degrees in transportation and materials moving. Among the graduates, there is a prominent figure named Cruz who is surrounded by a group of cheering friends and family, showing the popularity of the first name Cruz in this particular field of study. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image that resembles a scene from a Pixar movie. Depict a bustling graduation ceremony filled with joyful graduates receiving their associates degrees in transportation and materials moving. Among the crowd, highlight a prominent figure named Cruz, who is surrounded by a group of cheering friends and family. Capture the celebratory atmosphere and the popularity of the first name Cruz in this particular field of study.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how increases in Popularity of the first name Cruz positively influenced Associates degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Cruzin' down the Degree Path: Exploring the Relation between the Name Cruz and Transportation and Materials Moving Associate Degrees

Journal of Names and Occupational Paths

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Cruz and Associates degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title punny if you can come up with clever pun. If not, just make it sound clever.

Your research team used data from US Social Security Administration and National Center for Education Statistics to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9337594 and p < 0.01 for 2011 to 2021.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
Cruzin' down the Degree Path: Exploring the Relation between the Name Cruz and Transportation and Materials Moving Associate Degrees

[[ABSTRACT]]
The synergistic blend of statistical analysis and whimsical exploration led our research voyage to delve into the intriguing correlation between the prevalence of the first name Cruz and the conferral of associate degrees in the field of transportation and materials moving. Leveraging data from the esteemed US Social Security Administration and the venerable National Center for Education Statistics, our intrepid band of researchers unveiled a robust correlation coefficient of 0.9337594, accompanied by the unequivocal relevance of p < 0.01 for the ten-year period spanning from 2011 to 2021. The empirical evidence unraveled a remarkable connection, as if the stars had aligned to bestow a cosmic link between the moniker "Cruz" and diplomas in the arena of movement. This study's findings both fascinate and amuse, inviting further investigation into the peculiar cadence of nomenclature and its dance with academic pursuits.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Cruz and Associates degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Cruzin' down the Degree Path: Exploring the Relation between the Name Cruz and Transportation and Materials Moving Associate Degrees

[[ABSTRACT]]
The synergistic blend of statistical analysis and whimsical exploration led our research voyage to delve into the intriguing correlation between the prevalence of the first name Cruz and the conferral of associate degrees in the field of transportation and materials moving. Leveraging data from the esteemed US Social Security Administration and the venerable National Center for Education Statistics, our intrepid band of researchers unveiled a robust correlation coefficient of 0.9337594, accompanied by the unequivocal relevance of p < 0.01 for the ten-year period spanning from 2011 to 2021. The empirical evidence unraveled a remarkable connection, as if the stars had aligned to bestow a cosmic link between the moniker "Cruz" and diplomas in the arena of movement. This study's findings both fascinate and amuse, inviting further investigation into the peculiar cadence of nomenclature and its dance with academic pursuits.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

In the realm of scholarly inquiry, the interplay between names and academic disciplines has long been a source of curious fascination. The influence of nomenclature, though often overlooked, can proffer insights and spawn unexpected correlations. Our foray into this enigmatic realm has led us to unfurl the intriguing bond between the appellation "Cruz" and the conveyance of associate degrees in the sphere of transportation and materials moving.

As we aim to navigate this uncharted territory, it is imperative to establish a humorous ambiance. After all, what better way to tackle the formidable task of scholarly inquiry than with a touch of levity and puns? As the adage goes, "All's fair in pun and research" – a maxim we wholeheartedly embrace.

The study's impetus was rooted in the peculiar juxtaposition of the name "Cruz" and the multifaceted domain of transportation and materials moving. Could it be mere happenstance, or does the name "Cruz" harbor an unseen force that propels individuals toward careers in the art of movement? Our inquisitive spirits were stirred, and thus, we set forth on a data-driven odyssey to unravel this enigma.

We must acknowledge the goofy serendipity that infused our research endeavor, as we sifted through copious data sets and embarked on a whimsical quest to decipher the cryptic link between nomenclature and vocational pursuits. With a fervent desire to unearth statistical nuggets and unearthly correlations, we embarked on this cosmic escapade, armed with spreadsheets and an irrepressible sense of scientific whimsy.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Cruz and Associates degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Perhaps you also got inspiration from some board games that are vaugely related.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Cruzin' down the Degree Path: Exploring the Relation between the Name Cruz and Transportation and Materials Moving Associate Degrees

[[ABSTRACT]]
The synergistic blend of statistical analysis and whimsical exploration led our research voyage to delve into the intriguing correlation between the prevalence of the first name Cruz and the conferral of associate degrees in the field of transportation and materials moving. Leveraging data from the esteemed US Social Security Administration and the venerable National Center for Education Statistics, our intrepid band of researchers unveiled a robust correlation coefficient of 0.9337594, accompanied by the unequivocal relevance of p < 0.01 for the ten-year period spanning from 2011 to 2021. The empirical evidence unraveled a remarkable connection, as if the stars had aligned to bestow a cosmic link between the moniker "Cruz" and diplomas in the arena of movement. This study's findings both fascinate and amuse, inviting further investigation into the peculiar cadence of nomenclature and its dance with academic pursuits.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
In the realm of scholarly inquiry, the interplay between names and academic disciplines has long been a source of curious fascination. The influence of nomenclature, though often overlooked, can proffer insights and spawn unexpected correlations. Our foray into this enigmatic realm has led us to unfurl the intriguing bond between the appellation "Cruz" and the conveyance of associate degrees in the sphere of transportation and materials moving.
As we aim to navigate this uncharted territory, it is imperative to establish a humorous ambiance. After all, what better way to tackle the formidable task of scholarly inquiry than with a touch of levity and puns? As the adage goes, "All's fair in pun and research" – a maxim we wholeheartedly embrace.
The study's impetus was rooted in the peculiar juxtaposition of the name "Cruz" and the multifaceted domain of transportation and materials moving. Could it be mere happenstance, or does the name "Cruz" harbor an unseen force that propels individuals toward careers in the art of movement? Our inquisitive spirits were stirred, and thus, we set forth on a data-driven odyssey to unravel this enigma.
We must acknowledge the goofy serendipity that infused our research endeavor, as we sifted through copious data sets and embarked on a whimsical quest to decipher the cryptic link between nomenclature and vocational pursuits. With a fervent desire to unearth statistical nuggets and unearthly correlations, we embarked on this cosmic escapade, armed with spreadsheets and an irrepressible sense of scientific whimsy.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

In their seminal work, Smith et al. (2018) shed light on the complex interplay between names and career trajectories, hinting at the potential influence of nomenclature on vocational choices. Expanding on this notion, Doe's (2016) comprehensive analysis illuminated the intricate bond between appellations and professional paths, providing the groundwork for our present inquiry into the alluring correlation between the first name Cruz and the awarding of associate degrees in transportation and materials moving.

Turning to the body of literature, "The Namesake" by Jhumpa Lahiri offers a fictional narrative that explores the significance of names and their impact on individual identities, mirroring the theme of our study in an unexpected literary twist. Furthermore, in "The Catcher in the Rye" by J.D. Salinger, the protagonist's name, Holden Caulfield, plays a pivotal role in shaping the character's worldview, resonating with the undercurrent of our investigation into the influence of names on academic pursuits.

As we navigate this scholarly landscape, we must also consider the influence of board games such as "Ticket to Ride" and "TransAmerica," which, although unrelated to the specific focus of our research, infuse our academic endeavors with a whimsical reminder of the ubiquitous presence of transportation-related themes.

On a more serious note, "The Geography of Bliss" by Eric Weiner presents a non-fiction exploration of happiness across various countries, subtly evoking the broader notion of movement and geographical exploration, albeit tangentially related to our current study.

As we weave through this tapestry of literature, it becomes evident that the fusion of serious inquiry and lighthearted introspection guides our path, paving the way for an academic exploration that is as informative as it is entertaining.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Cruz and Associates degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and National Center for Education Statistics . You used data from 2011 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Cruzin' down the Degree Path: Exploring the Relation between the Name Cruz and Transportation and Materials Moving Associate Degrees

[[ABSTRACT]]
The synergistic blend of statistical analysis and whimsical exploration led our research voyage to delve into the intriguing correlation between the prevalence of the first name Cruz and the conferral of associate degrees in the field of transportation and materials moving. Leveraging data from the esteemed US Social Security Administration and the venerable National Center for Education Statistics, our intrepid band of researchers unveiled a robust correlation coefficient of 0.9337594, accompanied by the unequivocal relevance of p < 0.01 for the ten-year period spanning from 2011 to 2021. The empirical evidence unraveled a remarkable connection, as if the stars had aligned to bestow a cosmic link between the moniker "Cruz" and diplomas in the arena of movement. This study's findings both fascinate and amuse, inviting further investigation into the peculiar cadence of nomenclature and its dance with academic pursuits.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
In the realm of scholarly inquiry, the interplay between names and academic disciplines has long been a source of curious fascination. The influence of nomenclature, though often overlooked, can proffer insights and spawn unexpected correlations. Our foray into this enigmatic realm has led us to unfurl the intriguing bond between the appellation "Cruz" and the conveyance of associate degrees in the sphere of transportation and materials moving.
As we aim to navigate this uncharted territory, it is imperative to establish a humorous ambiance. After all, what better way to tackle the formidable task of scholarly inquiry than with a touch of levity and puns? As the adage goes, "All's fair in pun and research" – a maxim we wholeheartedly embrace.
The study's impetus was rooted in the peculiar juxtaposition of the name "Cruz" and the multifaceted domain of transportation and materials moving. Could it be mere happenstance, or does the name "Cruz" harbor an unseen force that propels individuals toward careers in the art of movement? Our inquisitive spirits were stirred, and thus, we set forth on a data-driven odyssey to unravel this enigma.
We must acknowledge the goofy serendipity that infused our research endeavor, as we sifted through copious data sets and embarked on a whimsical quest to decipher the cryptic link between nomenclature and vocational pursuits. With a fervent desire to unearth statistical nuggets and unearthly correlations, we embarked on this cosmic escapade, armed with spreadsheets and an irrepressible sense of scientific whimsy.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

Our research methodology was a tapestry woven with threads of empirical examination and statistical wizardry, garnished with a sprinkling of whimsy. To unravel the mysterious connection between the name "Cruz" and the conferral of associate degrees in transportation and materials moving, we embarked on an expedition through the annals of data collection and analysis.

The primary wellspring of data was the revered US Social Security Administration, from which we gathered the frequency and popularity of the first name "Cruz" over the span of a decade, encapsulating the years 2011 to 2021. The frequency of this name feature was collated and meticulously packaged for bountiful statistical scrutiny.

In parallel, the esteemed National Center for Education Statistics became our port of call for enlisting the tally of associate degrees awarded in the field of transportation and materials moving. The amassing of this data engendered an expansive trove of information, from which we teased out the trends and patterns inherent in the conferral of such degrees.

The nexus between these disparate data sets was forged through the enchanting art of correlation analysis. With a flourish, we calculated the Pearson correlation coefficient to discern the strength and direction of the relationship between the name "Cruz" and the bestowment of transportation and materials moving associate degrees. The X-factors at play were the frequency of the name "Cruz" and the number of degrees awarded, and the results astounded even the most stoic members of our research cohort.

The statistical significance of our findings was as unmistakable as a shooting star on a moonless night, with p-values shimmering at levels well below the conventional threshold of 0.05. In fact, we were met with the resplendence of p < 0.01, signifying that the unearthed correlation was not a mere mirage amidst the statistical sands.

With this gallant joust against the specter of chance, we dug deeper to explore potential confounding variables and extraneous influences. Our statistical models were sculpted with robustness in mind, fortified against the tempestuous winds of spurious associations and confounding misdirections.

Moreover, we engaged in a playful dance with the time series analysis, pirouetting through the annual variations in name popularity and degree conferrals, uncovering the subtle fluctuations that might elucidate the cosmic connection between the name "Cruz" and the world of transportation and materials moving.

Our data wrangling and statistical escapades flung open the doors of understanding, revealing a cosmic symphony harmonizing the name "Cruz" with the academic pursuit of motion. The wit and whimsy inherent in our methods were as essential as the numbers themselves, for they animated our odyssey and lent a dash of levity to the somber halls of scholarly inquiry.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Cruz and Associates degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and National Center for Education Statistics .

For the time period 2011 to 2021, you found a correlation 0.9337594, r-squared of 0.8719066, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Cruzin' down the Degree Path: Exploring the Relation between the Name Cruz and Transportation and Materials Moving Associate Degrees

[[ABSTRACT]]
The synergistic blend of statistical analysis and whimsical exploration led our research voyage to delve into the intriguing correlation between the prevalence of the first name Cruz and the conferral of associate degrees in the field of transportation and materials moving. Leveraging data from the esteemed US Social Security Administration and the venerable National Center for Education Statistics, our intrepid band of researchers unveiled a robust correlation coefficient of 0.9337594, accompanied by the unequivocal relevance of p < 0.01 for the ten-year period spanning from 2011 to 2021. The empirical evidence unraveled a remarkable connection, as if the stars had aligned to bestow a cosmic link between the moniker "Cruz" and diplomas in the arena of movement. This study's findings both fascinate and amuse, inviting further investigation into the peculiar cadence of nomenclature and its dance with academic pursuits.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
In the realm of scholarly inquiry, the interplay between names and academic disciplines has long been a source of curious fascination. The influence of nomenclature, though often overlooked, can proffer insights and spawn unexpected correlations. Our foray into this enigmatic realm has led us to unfurl the intriguing bond between the appellation "Cruz" and the conveyance of associate degrees in the sphere of transportation and materials moving.
As we aim to navigate this uncharted territory, it is imperative to establish a humorous ambiance. After all, what better way to tackle the formidable task of scholarly inquiry than with a touch of levity and puns? As the adage goes, "All's fair in pun and research" – a maxim we wholeheartedly embrace.
The study's impetus was rooted in the peculiar juxtaposition of the name "Cruz" and the multifaceted domain of transportation and materials moving. Could it be mere happenstance, or does the name "Cruz" harbor an unseen force that propels individuals toward careers in the art of movement? Our inquisitive spirits were stirred, and thus, we set forth on a data-driven odyssey to unravel this enigma.
We must acknowledge the goofy serendipity that infused our research endeavor, as we sifted through copious data sets and embarked on a whimsical quest to decipher the cryptic link between nomenclature and vocational pursuits. With a fervent desire to unearth statistical nuggets and unearthly correlations, we embarked on this cosmic escapade, armed with spreadsheets and an irrepressible sense of scientific whimsy.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The correlation analysis culminated in a coefficient of 0.9337594, indicating a robust and undeniable relationship between the prevalence of the first name Cruz and the conferral of associate degrees in transportation and materials moving. With an r-squared value of 0.8719066, our statistical foray revealed that over 87% of the variance in associate degree awards in this field could be attributed to the cosmic alignment of the name "Cruz."

"Cruzin' down the Degree Path" takes on a whole new meaning as our findings unveil a connection that is as clear as a cloudless sky on a blissful day. The p-value of less than 0.01 stands as a formidable and unequivocal testament to the significance and impact of the association we've uncovered. This is a correlation that one simply cannot Cruz by.

In Fig. 1, our scatterplot graphically captures the strong correlation between the prevalence of the name Cruz and the conferral of associate degrees in transportation and materials moving. The plot's beauty lies not only in its visually compelling nature but also in the hidden message it carries – a name may truly hold the key to one's vocational journey, steering them toward a career in the ever-moving world of transportation and materials.

Our findings, akin to a scientific serendipity, are filled with a dash of statistical flavor and a sprinkle of whimsy. As we pour over the data, we are reminded that even in the world of academia, there is room for the unexpected, the unlikely, and the downright curious. This study's results beckon further exploration and contemplation, inviting researchers to embrace the elusive dance between nomenclature and professional pathways with a lighthearted spirit and an open mind.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Cruz and Associates degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Cruzin' down the Degree Path: Exploring the Relation between the Name Cruz and Transportation and Materials Moving Associate Degrees

[[ABSTRACT]]
The synergistic blend of statistical analysis and whimsical exploration led our research voyage to delve into the intriguing correlation between the prevalence of the first name Cruz and the conferral of associate degrees in the field of transportation and materials moving. Leveraging data from the esteemed US Social Security Administration and the venerable National Center for Education Statistics, our intrepid band of researchers unveiled a robust correlation coefficient of 0.9337594, accompanied by the unequivocal relevance of p < 0.01 for the ten-year period spanning from 2011 to 2021. The empirical evidence unraveled a remarkable connection, as if the stars had aligned to bestow a cosmic link between the moniker "Cruz" and diplomas in the arena of movement. This study's findings both fascinate and amuse, inviting further investigation into the peculiar cadence of nomenclature and its dance with academic pursuits.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
In their seminal work, Smith et al. (2018) shed light on the complex interplay between names and career trajectories, hinting at the potential influence of nomenclature on vocational choices. Expanding on this notion, Doe's (2016) comprehensive analysis illuminated the intricate bond between appellations and professional paths, providing the groundwork for our present inquiry into the alluring correlation between the first name Cruz and the awarding of associate degrees in transportation and materials moving.
Turning to the body of literature, "The Namesake" by Jhumpa Lahiri offers a fictional narrative that explores the significance of names and their impact on individual identities, mirroring the theme of our study in an unexpected literary twist. Furthermore, in "The Catcher in the Rye" by J.D. Salinger, the protagonist's name, Holden Caulfield, plays a pivotal role in shaping the character's worldview, resonating with the undercurrent of our investigation into the influence of names on academic pursuits.
As we navigate this scholarly landscape, we must also consider the influence of board games such as "Ticket to Ride" and "TransAmerica," which, although unrelated to the specific focus of our research, infuse our academic endeavors with a whimsical reminder of the ubiquitous presence of transportation-related themes.
On a more serious note, "The Geography of Bliss" by Eric Weiner presents a non-fiction exploration of happiness across various countries, subtly evoking the broader notion of movement and geographical exploration, albeit tangentially related to our current study.
As we weave through this tapestry of literature, it becomes evident that the fusion of serious inquiry and lighthearted introspection guides our path, paving the way for an academic exploration that is as informative as it is entertaining.

[[RESULTS]]
The correlation analysis culminated in a coefficient of 0.9337594, indicating a robust and undeniable relationship between the prevalence of the first name Cruz and the conferral of associate degrees in transportation and materials moving. With an r-squared value of 0.8719066, our statistical foray revealed that over 87% of the variance in associate degree awards in this field could be attributed to the cosmic alignment of the name "Cruz."
"Cruzin' down the Degree Path" takes on a whole new meaning as our findings unveil a connection that is as clear as a cloudless sky on a blissful day. The p-value of less than 0.01 stands as a formidable and unequivocal testament to the significance and impact of the association we've uncovered. This is a correlation that one simply cannot Cruz by.
In Fig. 1, our scatterplot graphically captures the strong correlation between the prevalence of the name Cruz and the conferral of associate degrees in transportation and materials moving. The plot's beauty lies not only in its visually compelling nature but also in the hidden message it carries – a name may truly hold the key to one's vocational journey, steering them toward a career in the ever-moving world of transportation and materials.
Our findings, akin to a scientific serendipity, are filled with a dash of statistical flavor and a sprinkle of whimsy. As we pour over the data, we are reminded that even in the world of academia, there is room for the unexpected, the unlikely, and the downright curious. This study's results beckon further exploration and contemplation, inviting researchers to embrace the elusive dance between nomenclature and professional pathways with a lighthearted spirit and an open mind.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

Upon embarking on this research endeavor, our team was awash with curiosity, fueled by the desire to slice through the fog of mystery surrounding the link between the name "Cruz" and the enchanting world of transportation and materials moving. Our results, wielding a correlation coefficient reminiscent of a formidable force of nature, have provided substantive support for the existing literature on the role of nomenclature in shaping vocational choices.

The interplay between one's name and career trajectory has often been dismissed as mere whimsy or happenstance, akin to a serendipitous roll of the scientific dice. However, our findings fortify the growing body of evidence, fueling the argument that nomenclature may wield a more profound influence than previously acknowledged. The work of Smith et al. (2018) and Doe (2016) set the stage, and our results have gracefully pirouetted onto the scholarly canvas to amplify the resonance of these earlier endeavors.

Subtly weaving in the literary musings of Jhumpa Lahiri and J.D. Salinger, we've endeavored to accentuate the whimsical undertones present in our exploration, knitting together the ostensibly divergent realms of literature and empirical research. The weighty implications of a name extending its tendrils into the intricate web of academic pursuits are indeed worth contemplating with a hint of levity and a nod to the unexpected whims of scientific inquiry.

As we peer into the realm of statistical significance, our results unfold with a flourish like the dramatic unveiling of a scientific mystery. The magnitude of our correlation coefficient and the beguiling allure of the p-value etch a compelling narrative, one that beckons further inquiry with an undeniable note of cheekiness. It appears that, in the grand orchestration of academic pursuits, a name may indeed play a starring role, nudging individuals toward the bustling thoroughfares of transportation and materials moving.

In delightfully scrutinizing our scatterplot, akin to savoring a Sherlockian puzzle, we are reminded that even the most unlikely of dance partners – in this case, the musings of nomenclature and academic pathways – may execute an enthralling tango under the observant gaze of statistical scrutiny. Our findings, infused with a subtle dash of scientific humor, beckon researchers to partake in this intellectual waltz with an open mind and an infectious sense of mirth.

In the spirit of scientific serendipity and scholarly whimsy, our study not only augments the scientific discourse but also invites a moment of delightful introspection. Who would have surmised that a name could carry such weight in the realm of academia, guiding individuals on a trajectory of transportation and materials moving? This is a correlation that even the most seasoned statistician cannot help but marvel at, as it unfurls before us like a captivating scientific limerick, urging further exploration and contemplation. And thus, we encourage our fellow researchers to approach this scholarly pas de deux with a cheerful skip in their step, as we continue to unlock the beguiling narrative that lies at the whimsical intersection of nomenclature and vocational journeys.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Cruz and Associates degrees awarded in Transportation and materials moving. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Cruzin' down the Degree Path: Exploring the Relation between the Name Cruz and Transportation and Materials Moving Associate Degrees

[[ABSTRACT]]
The synergistic blend of statistical analysis and whimsical exploration led our research voyage to delve into the intriguing correlation between the prevalence of the first name Cruz and the conferral of associate degrees in the field of transportation and materials moving. Leveraging data from the esteemed US Social Security Administration and the venerable National Center for Education Statistics, our intrepid band of researchers unveiled a robust correlation coefficient of 0.9337594, accompanied by the unequivocal relevance of p < 0.01 for the ten-year period spanning from 2011 to 2021. The empirical evidence unraveled a remarkable connection, as if the stars had aligned to bestow a cosmic link between the moniker "Cruz" and diplomas in the arena of movement. This study's findings both fascinate and amuse, inviting further investigation into the peculiar cadence of nomenclature and its dance with academic pursuits.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
In the realm of scholarly inquiry, the interplay between names and academic disciplines has long been a source of curious fascination. The influence of nomenclature, though often overlooked, can proffer insights and spawn unexpected correlations. Our foray into this enigmatic realm has led us to unfurl the intriguing bond between the appellation "Cruz" and the conveyance of associate degrees in the sphere of transportation and materials moving.
As we aim to navigate this uncharted territory, it is imperative to establish a humorous ambiance. After all, what better way to tackle the formidable task of scholarly inquiry than with a touch of levity and puns? As the adage goes, "All's fair in pun and research" – a maxim we wholeheartedly embrace.
The study's impetus was rooted in the peculiar juxtaposition of the name "Cruz" and the multifaceted domain of transportation and materials moving. Could it be mere happenstance, or does the name "Cruz" harbor an unseen force that propels individuals toward careers in the art of movement? Our inquisitive spirits were stirred, and thus, we set forth on a data-driven odyssey to unravel this enigma.
We must acknowledge the goofy serendipity that infused our research endeavor, as we sifted through copious data sets and embarked on a whimsical quest to decipher the cryptic link between nomenclature and vocational pursuits. With a fervent desire to unearth statistical nuggets and unearthly correlations, we embarked on this cosmic escapade, armed with spreadsheets and an irrepressible sense of scientific whimsy.

[[RESULTS]]
The correlation analysis culminated in a coefficient of 0.9337594, indicating a robust and undeniable relationship between the prevalence of the first name Cruz and the conferral of associate degrees in transportation and materials moving. With an r-squared value of 0.8719066, our statistical foray revealed that over 87% of the variance in associate degree awards in this field could be attributed to the cosmic alignment of the name "Cruz."
"Cruzin' down the Degree Path" takes on a whole new meaning as our findings unveil a connection that is as clear as a cloudless sky on a blissful day. The p-value of less than 0.01 stands as a formidable and unequivocal testament to the significance and impact of the association we've uncovered. This is a correlation that one simply cannot Cruz by.
In Fig. 1, our scatterplot graphically captures the strong correlation between the prevalence of the name Cruz and the conferral of associate degrees in transportation and materials moving. The plot's beauty lies not only in its visually compelling nature but also in the hidden message it carries – a name may truly hold the key to one's vocational journey, steering them toward a career in the ever-moving world of transportation and materials.
Our findings, akin to a scientific serendipity, are filled with a dash of statistical flavor and a sprinkle of whimsy. As we pour over the data, we are reminded that even in the world of academia, there is room for the unexpected, the unlikely, and the downright curious. This study's results beckon further exploration and contemplation, inviting researchers to embrace the elusive dance between nomenclature and professional pathways with a lighthearted spirit and an open mind.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

Cruz-ial findings have illuminated a scintillating correlation between the name "Cruz" and the conferral of associate degrees in transportation and materials moving. This curious discovery has injected a dose of whimsy into the otherwise staid realm of statistical analysis, demonstrating that one cannot Cruz by the significance of nomenclature in vocational pursuits.

Our results, as captivating as a cosmic tango, beckon researchers to ponder the enigma of nomenclatural influence with a lighthearted spirit and an unwavering determination to uncover the unexpected. As we close this chapter, it is evident that the stars have aligned to guide us toward a conclusion that is as clear as day – the name "Cruz" and the realm of transportation and materials moving share a peculiar yet undeniable bond.

In the ceaseless dance of academic inquiry, our study urges a chuckle, a raised eyebrow, and a lingering curiosity about the oddities that permeate the scientific landscape. As we bid adieu to this peculiar voyage, we assert with confidence and a twinkle in our eyes that no further research is needed in this utterly enjoyable and delightfully absurd arena of investigation.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Cruzin' down the Degree Path: Exploring the Relation between the Name Cruz and Transportation and Materials Moving Associate Degrees. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

Journal of Names and Occupational Paths


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Cruzin' down the Degree Path: Exploring the Relation between the Name Cruz and Transportation and Materials Moving Associate Degrees. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Name-Occupation Correlation Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Cruzin' down the Degree Path: Exploring the Relation between the Name Cruz and Transportation and Materials Moving Associate Degrees with an abstract of The synergistic blend of statistical analysis and whimsical exploration led our research voyage to delve into the intriguing correlation between the prevalence of the first name Cruz and the conferral of associate degrees in the field of transportation and materials moving. Leveraging data from the esteemed US Social Security Administration and the venerable National Center for Education Statistics, our intrepid band of researchers unveiled a robust correlation coefficient of 0.9337594, accompanied by the unequivocal relevance of p < 0.01 for the ten-year period spanning from 2011 to 2021. The empirical evidence unraveled a remarkable connection, as if the stars had aligned to bestow a cosmic link between the moniker "Cruz" and diplomas in the arena of movement. This study's findings both fascinate and amuse, inviting further investigation into the peculiar cadence of nomenclature and its dance with academic pursuits.

ChatGPT:

"Cruz name association with transportation degrees, Cruz name correlation with materials moving degrees, statistical analysis on Cruz name and transportation degrees, transportation degrees conferred 2011-2021, materials moving associate degrees and name Cruz, correlation between name Cruz and academic pursuits"

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Popularity of the first name Cruz
Detailed data title: Babies of all sexes born in the US named Cruz
Source: US Social Security Administration
See what else correlates with Popularity of the first name Cruz

Associates degrees awarded in Transportation
Detailed data title: Associate's degrees conferred by postsecondary institutions with a field of study of Transportation and materials moving
Source: National Center for Education Statistics
See what else correlates with Associates degrees awarded in Transportation

Correlation r = 0.9337594 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.8719066 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 87.2% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Associates degrees awarded in Transportation) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Popularity of the first name Cruz) over the 11 years from 2011 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 2.6E-5. 0.0000263491092047759780000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.93 in 0.0026% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 37,952 random variables You don't actually need 37 thousand variables to find a correlation like this one. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 10 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 10 because we have two variables measured over a period of 11 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.76, 0.98 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
20112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
Popularity of the first name Cruz (Babies born)1127126412771251109210369941045113411211149
Associates degrees awarded in Transportation (Degrees awarded)16982098211921021810149715471610192617201999




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([1127,1264,1277,1251,1092,1036,994,1045,1134,1121,1149,])
array_2 = np.array([1698,2098,2119,2102,1810,1497,1547,1610,1926,1720,1999,])
array_1_name = "Popularity of the first name Cruz"
array_2_name = "Associates degrees awarded in Transportation"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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You may re-use the images on this page for any purpose, even commercial purposes, without asking for permission. The only requirement is that you attribute Tyler Vigen. Attribution can take many different forms. If you leave the "tylervigen.com" link in the image, that satisfies it just fine. If you remove it and move it to a footnote, that's fine too. You can also just write "Charts courtesy of Tyler Vigen" at the bottom of an article.

You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 1956 · Black Variable ID: 3452 · Red Variable ID: 1259
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