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Spurious correlation #1,639 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Google searches for 'that is sus' and the second variable is MSCI Inc.'s stock price (MSCI).  The chart goes from 2008 to 2023, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

Teenagers are the primary demographic for both Among Us (the popular game with the catchphrase "that is sus") and MSCI Inc. stock, leading to a surge in stock interest whenever there's a spike in gaming slang usage. It's a case of 'meme power' driving the stock market, as investors subconsciously yolo their way into MSCI every time they hear the word 'sus' being susprisingly used in everyday conversations. It's a real 'imposter syndrome' for traditional market analysts, but hey, at least MSCI stock is venting all the way to the moon!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image using the [Cute cartoon] style depicting a person sitting at a computer with a playful expression. They are interacting with the Google search bar, typing "that is sus." In the foreground, the Google search bar is the focus. On a separate monitor or a TV screen, display the stock price chart of MSCI Inc. with a dynamic line graph, showcasing the fluctuations in the stock price. Ensure that the cartoon style maintains a light-hearted and charming aesthetic. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Google searches for 'that is sus' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Cute cartoon Steampunk inspired by bauhaus Glitch art Cute cartoon
ChatGPT: Cute cartoon

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Google searches for 'that is sus' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price together. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In the scene, we see a person sitting at a computer, with the Google search bar in the foreground showing "that is sus" being typed in. Meanwhile, on a TV screen or a separate monitor, the stock price chart of MSCI Inc. is displayed, with the line graph showing fluctuations in the stock price.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Cute cartoon ] and depicting this scene: In the scene, we see a person sitting at a computer, with the Google search bar in the foreground showing "that is sus" being typed in. Meanwhile, on a TV screen or a separate monitor, the stock price chart of MSCI Inc. is displayed, with the line graph showing fluctuations in the stock price. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image using the [Cute cartoon] style depicting a person sitting at a computer with a playful expression. They are interacting with the Google search bar, typing "that is sus." In the foreground, the Google search bar is the focus. On a separate monitor or a TV screen, display the stock price chart of MSCI Inc. with a dynamic line graph, showcasing the fluctuations in the stock price. Ensure that the cartoon style maintains a light-hearted and charming aesthetic.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in that is sus (Google searches for 'that is sus') caused MSCI Inc.'s stock price (MSCI) to increase.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Searchin' for Suspicion: The SUS-picious Connection Between Google Searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Stock Price

Journal of Internet Linguistics and Market Analysis

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Google searches for 'that is sus' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price (MSCI). You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Make the title punny if you can come up with clever pun. If not, just make it sound clever.

Your research team used data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9822179 and p < 0.01 for 2008 to 2023.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
"Searchin' for Suspicion: The SUS-picious Connection Between Google Searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study delves into the mysteriously captivating relationship between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price. Through an interdisciplinary approach, utilizing data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we embarked on exploring this seemingly bizarre and whimsical connection. Our findings revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9822179 and statistically significant p-value < 0.01 for the period from 2008 to 2023. It appears that the utterance of 'That is SUS' might hold sway not only in the online gaming community but also in the financial realm, influencing stock price movements. The synergy between internet memes and market dynamics uncovers an unexpected interplay that tickles the fancy of economists and meme enthusiasts alike.

The robust correlation we discovered prompts contemplation on the quirks of market behavior and the permeating influence of internet culture. As we peel back the layers of this unusual association, one cannot help but exclaim, "SUS-picious, isn't it?" We, therefore, hope that our amusing findings add a dash of levity to the serious world of economic research – after all, who would have thought that a phrase popularized in video gaming could send ripples through the stock market? Stay tuned for further investigations into the enigmatic world of meme finance.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Google searches for 'that is sus' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price (MSCI). You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Searchin' for Suspicion: The SUS-picious Connection Between Google Searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study delves into the mysteriously captivating relationship between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price. Through an interdisciplinary approach, utilizing data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we embarked on exploring this seemingly bizarre and whimsical connection. Our findings revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9822179 and statistically significant p-value < 0.01 for the period from 2008 to 2023. It appears that the utterance of 'That is SUS' might hold sway not only in the online gaming community but also in the financial realm, influencing stock price movements. The synergy between internet memes and market dynamics uncovers an unexpected interplay that tickles the fancy of economists and meme enthusiasts alike.

The robust correlation we discovered prompts contemplation on the quirks of market behavior and the permeating influence of internet culture. As we peel back the layers of this unusual association, one cannot help but exclaim, "SUS-picious, isn't it?" We, therefore, hope that our amusing findings add a dash of levity to the serious world of economic research – after all, who would have thought that a phrase popularized in video gaming could send ripples through the stock market? Stay tuned for further investigations into the enigmatic world of meme finance.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

In the ever-expanding realm of meme culture and its curious interactions with the financial universe, we often find ourselves diving into unexpected rabbit holes. The present study unravels the enigmatic linkage between Google searches for the phrase 'That is SUS' and the stock price movements of MSCI Inc. Curiously captivating and unexpectedly synergistic, the apparent correlation between internet memes and market dynamics gave rise to an inquiry that left us wondering if there's an algorithm for humor in finance, or if our findings are just "SUS-picious".

Diving into the world of meme finance, it's essential to tank up with a dad joke or two. Why did the meme investor bring a ladder to the stock market? Because they heard the stakes were high! As we venture forth into this hybrid sphere of internet culture and economic phenomena, we are drawn to examining the interplay between linguistic trends and market behaviors, typically unexplored by staid financial analysts.

The intriguing nature of this intersection brings to mind the age-old question – what came first, the chicken or the EGG-siting stock price movements? As we embark on this journey, one can't help but admire the whimsy of delving into the financial implications of phrases born in the online gaming community. Our quest aims to bring a touch of levity and amusement to the typically earnest world of economic research – after all, who would have thought that a simple phrase could potentially shake the very foundations of the stock market?


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Google searches for 'that is sus' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price (MSCI). You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then you might move on to cartoons and children's shows that you watched for research.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Searchin' for Suspicion: The SUS-picious Connection Between Google Searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study delves into the mysteriously captivating relationship between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price. Through an interdisciplinary approach, utilizing data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we embarked on exploring this seemingly bizarre and whimsical connection. Our findings revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9822179 and statistically significant p-value < 0.01 for the period from 2008 to 2023. It appears that the utterance of 'That is SUS' might hold sway not only in the online gaming community but also in the financial realm, influencing stock price movements. The synergy between internet memes and market dynamics uncovers an unexpected interplay that tickles the fancy of economists and meme enthusiasts alike.

The robust correlation we discovered prompts contemplation on the quirks of market behavior and the permeating influence of internet culture. As we peel back the layers of this unusual association, one cannot help but exclaim, "SUS-picious, isn't it?" We, therefore, hope that our amusing findings add a dash of levity to the serious world of economic research – after all, who would have thought that a phrase popularized in video gaming could send ripples through the stock market? Stay tuned for further investigations into the enigmatic world of meme finance.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
In the ever-expanding realm of meme culture and its curious interactions with the financial universe, we often find ourselves diving into unexpected rabbit holes. The present study unravels the enigmatic linkage between Google searches for the phrase 'That is SUS' and the stock price movements of MSCI Inc. Curiously captivating and unexpectedly synergistic, the apparent correlation between internet memes and market dynamics gave rise to an inquiry that left us wondering if there's an algorithm for humor in finance, or if our findings are just "SUS-picious".
Diving into the world of meme finance, it's essential to tank up with a dad joke or two. Why did the meme investor bring a ladder to the stock market? Because they heard the stakes were high! As we venture forth into this hybrid sphere of internet culture and economic phenomena, we are drawn to examining the interplay between linguistic trends and market behaviors, typically unexplored by staid financial analysts.
The intriguing nature of this intersection brings to mind the age-old question – what came first, the chicken or the EGG-siting stock price movements? As we embark on this journey, one can't help but admire the whimsy of delving into the financial implications of phrases born in the online gaming community. Our quest aims to bring a touch of levity and amusement to the typically earnest world of economic research – after all, who would have thought that a simple phrase could potentially shake the very foundations of the stock market?

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

In their comprehensive study, Smith et al. (2015) examined linguistic trends in internet culture and their potential impact on market dynamics. The authors found a significant correlation between the usage of internet slang and stock price movements, shedding light on the previously overlooked influence of online memes in the financial realm. Despite the serious tone of the study, the authors surprisingly did not include any dad jokes – perhaps they missed the opportunity to inject some humor into their analysis.

Doe and Johnson (2018) expanded on this research, delving into the specific phrase 'That is SUS' and its emergence as a cultural phenomenon. They posited that the adoption of this phrase in various online communities could have broader implications, potentially influencing consumer sentiment and, subsequently, stock prices. It's almost as if the stock market is saying, "I'm not SUSpicious, you are!"

Drawing from non-fiction literature, books such as "The Humor Code" by Peter McGraw and Joel Warner and "Freakonomics" by Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner have intricately explored the intersection of humor and economics. Surprisingly, none of these books made a pun as catchy as 'That is SUS' in relation to stock market movements. It seems we've stumbled upon a humorous peculiarity worth contemplating further.

In a different vein, fictional works such as "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" by Douglas Adams and "Catch-22" by Joseph Heller humorously navigate through the absurdities and paradoxes of human behavior, perhaps providing an apt parallel to the implausible connection we are investigating. Who would have thought that a phrase popularized in online gaming could pertain to the stock market, right? It's no wonder that we're left feeling like we're in an episode of "The Twilight Zone" as we ponder the SUS-picious nature of this correlation.

In the spirit of thorough research, we delved into cartoons and children's shows as well. After watching countless hours of "SpongeBob SquarePants," we couldn't help but draw a parallel between the mysterious stock market movements and the unpredictable antics of Squidward Tentacles. It's as if the stock market is shouting, "I'm feeling a little SUS-picious and might just pull a Squidward move on you!" This whimsical comparison only adds to the intrigue of our findings and brings a lighthearted touch to our investigation.

Stay tuned as we reveal more unexpected connections, all while keeping our dad jokes as strong as a bull market!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Google searches for 'that is sus' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price (MSCI). You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) . You used data from 2008 to 2023

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Searchin' for Suspicion: The SUS-picious Connection Between Google Searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study delves into the mysteriously captivating relationship between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price. Through an interdisciplinary approach, utilizing data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we embarked on exploring this seemingly bizarre and whimsical connection. Our findings revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9822179 and statistically significant p-value < 0.01 for the period from 2008 to 2023. It appears that the utterance of 'That is SUS' might hold sway not only in the online gaming community but also in the financial realm, influencing stock price movements. The synergy between internet memes and market dynamics uncovers an unexpected interplay that tickles the fancy of economists and meme enthusiasts alike.

The robust correlation we discovered prompts contemplation on the quirks of market behavior and the permeating influence of internet culture. As we peel back the layers of this unusual association, one cannot help but exclaim, "SUS-picious, isn't it?" We, therefore, hope that our amusing findings add a dash of levity to the serious world of economic research – after all, who would have thought that a phrase popularized in video gaming could send ripples through the stock market? Stay tuned for further investigations into the enigmatic world of meme finance.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
In the ever-expanding realm of meme culture and its curious interactions with the financial universe, we often find ourselves diving into unexpected rabbit holes. The present study unravels the enigmatic linkage between Google searches for the phrase 'That is SUS' and the stock price movements of MSCI Inc. Curiously captivating and unexpectedly synergistic, the apparent correlation between internet memes and market dynamics gave rise to an inquiry that left us wondering if there's an algorithm for humor in finance, or if our findings are just "SUS-picious".
Diving into the world of meme finance, it's essential to tank up with a dad joke or two. Why did the meme investor bring a ladder to the stock market? Because they heard the stakes were high! As we venture forth into this hybrid sphere of internet culture and economic phenomena, we are drawn to examining the interplay between linguistic trends and market behaviors, typically unexplored by staid financial analysts.
The intriguing nature of this intersection brings to mind the age-old question – what came first, the chicken or the EGG-siting stock price movements? As we embark on this journey, one can't help but admire the whimsy of delving into the financial implications of phrases born in the online gaming community. Our quest aims to bring a touch of levity and amusement to the typically earnest world of economic research – after all, who would have thought that a simple phrase could potentially shake the very foundations of the stock market?

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To unravel the perplexing connection between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price, we embarked on a multidimensional journey, employing a blend of quantitative analysis, linguistic semantics, and a sprinkle of meme magic. Our data sources included Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) from the period spanning 2008 to 2023. These platforms provided a fertile ground for extracting search volume data and stock price movements, allowing us to delve deep into the SUS-picious amalgamation of internet jargon and market dynamics.

First, we amassed Google search volume data for the phrase 'That is SUS' and meticulously cross-referenced this with MSCI Inc.'s stock price movements over the same timeframe. The juxtaposition of these seemingly incongruent datasets yielded a statistically robust correlation, akin to finding a hidden Easter egg in a maze of financial spaghetti. We performed a rigorous time series analysis, employing sophisticated statistical techniques to discern patterns and anomalies in the data, all while keeping an eagle eye out for potential SUS-penseful moments.

In a bid to add an element of unpredictability to our research – much like the world of memes itself – we also incorporated sentiment analysis of internet forums and gaming communities to gauge the zeitgeist surrounding the phrase 'That is SUS'. This qualitative exploration allowed us to capture the elusive essence of SUS-ception, fathoming the extent to which linguistic trends pervade market sentiment and potential investor behavior. It's safe to say that we were navigating uncharted waters, sailing the seas of online discourse in search of the fabled SUS-tained market impact.

In the spirit of meme cultivation, we also resorted to some unconventional means: conducting in-depth interviews with self-proclaimed meme aficionados and finance enthusiasts to grasp the underlying psychology and potentially meme-driven investment decisions. Engaging in such candid conversations not only provided a cornucopia of anecdotal anecdotes but also offered a glimpse into the enigmatic world of meme finance. It's almost as if we were peering into the SUS-pended disbelief that characterizes this interplay between digital culture and market trends.

Lastly, in a wink to the meme lords of the internet, we sprinkled a dash of humor and light-heartedness throughout our methodology. Given the inherently whimsical nature of our research, we couldn't resist the temptation to infuse a measure of playfulness into our data collection and analysis processes. After all, what's research without a pinch of mirth? Or in the context of stock prices and internet memes, a stock “PUN”d-it would be rather apropos!

So, armed with a treasure trove of data, a sprinkle of internet meme phenomenon, and a hearty dose of statistical wizardry, we set sail to unravel the SUS-picious connection between linguistic trends and stock price movements. Our methodology stands as a testament to the fusion of scientific rigor and meme-inspired joviality.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Google searches for 'that is sus' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price (MSCI). You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) .

For the time period 2008 to 2023, you found a correlation 0.9822179, r-squared of 0.9647520, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Searchin' for Suspicion: The SUS-picious Connection Between Google Searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study delves into the mysteriously captivating relationship between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price. Through an interdisciplinary approach, utilizing data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we embarked on exploring this seemingly bizarre and whimsical connection. Our findings revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9822179 and statistically significant p-value < 0.01 for the period from 2008 to 2023. It appears that the utterance of 'That is SUS' might hold sway not only in the online gaming community but also in the financial realm, influencing stock price movements. The synergy between internet memes and market dynamics uncovers an unexpected interplay that tickles the fancy of economists and meme enthusiasts alike.

The robust correlation we discovered prompts contemplation on the quirks of market behavior and the permeating influence of internet culture. As we peel back the layers of this unusual association, one cannot help but exclaim, "SUS-picious, isn't it?" We, therefore, hope that our amusing findings add a dash of levity to the serious world of economic research – after all, who would have thought that a phrase popularized in video gaming could send ripples through the stock market? Stay tuned for further investigations into the enigmatic world of meme finance.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
In the ever-expanding realm of meme culture and its curious interactions with the financial universe, we often find ourselves diving into unexpected rabbit holes. The present study unravels the enigmatic linkage between Google searches for the phrase 'That is SUS' and the stock price movements of MSCI Inc. Curiously captivating and unexpectedly synergistic, the apparent correlation between internet memes and market dynamics gave rise to an inquiry that left us wondering if there's an algorithm for humor in finance, or if our findings are just "SUS-picious".
Diving into the world of meme finance, it's essential to tank up with a dad joke or two. Why did the meme investor bring a ladder to the stock market? Because they heard the stakes were high! As we venture forth into this hybrid sphere of internet culture and economic phenomena, we are drawn to examining the interplay between linguistic trends and market behaviors, typically unexplored by staid financial analysts.
The intriguing nature of this intersection brings to mind the age-old question – what came first, the chicken or the EGG-siting stock price movements? As we embark on this journey, one can't help but admire the whimsy of delving into the financial implications of phrases born in the online gaming community. Our quest aims to bring a touch of levity and amusement to the typically earnest world of economic research – after all, who would have thought that a simple phrase could potentially shake the very foundations of the stock market?

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The analysis of the data revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9822179 between the Google searches for 'That is SUS' and the stock price of MSCI Inc. This finding suggests a strong positive relationship between the two variables, indicating that the online buzz surrounding the phrase 'That is SUS' may be associated with movements in MSCI's stock price. It seems that the SUS-pense of online memes extends beyond the realm of social interactions and into the financial markets.

The r-squared value of 0.9647520 further confirms the robustness of the relationship, indicating that approximately 96.48% of the variability in MSCI's stock price can be explained by the volume of Google searches for 'That is SUS'. This finding underscores the remarkable degree to which the online memetic landscape may be intertwined with market dynamics, leading one to ponder the possibility of a memetic enlightenment in the world of finance.

The p-value of less than 0.01 provides strong evidence against the null hypothesis, indicating that the observed correlation is statistically significant. This result suggests that the association between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI's stock price is unlikely to have occurred by chance, further supporting the notion of a concrete relationship between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. It appears that the influence of internet culture may manifest in the financial sphere in ways that demand further investigation.

As they say, "When it comes to memes and markets, there's more than meets the 'aye'." The high correlation and statistical significance observed in this study point to an intriguing link between online meme activity and stock price movements, reminding us that the whims of the internet may reach further than previously imagined. In the immortal words of meme enthusiasts and stock traders everywhere, "That is SUS-pectacular!"

The scatterplot in Fig. 1 visually depicts the strong positive correlation between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI's stock price, affirming the compelling relationship observed in the statistical analysis. This visualization emphasizes the magnitude of the association and the potential impact of meme culture on financial markets, providing a graphical representation of the SUS-tained influence of online phenomena on investment dynamics.

The unexpected alignment of internet linguistics and market trends unearthed in this research not only prompts a reconsideration of traditional economic analyses but also invites a chuckle or two regarding the idiosyncrasies of financial behavior. As we continue to explore the whimsical world of meme finance, one thing remains abundantly clear – when it comes to the influence of internet culture on the stock market, things are definitely 'sus'pectacular!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Google searches for 'that is sus' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price (MSCI). You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"Searchin' for Suspicion: The SUS-picious Connection Between Google Searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study delves into the mysteriously captivating relationship between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price. Through an interdisciplinary approach, utilizing data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we embarked on exploring this seemingly bizarre and whimsical connection. Our findings revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9822179 and statistically significant p-value < 0.01 for the period from 2008 to 2023. It appears that the utterance of 'That is SUS' might hold sway not only in the online gaming community but also in the financial realm, influencing stock price movements. The synergy between internet memes and market dynamics uncovers an unexpected interplay that tickles the fancy of economists and meme enthusiasts alike.

The robust correlation we discovered prompts contemplation on the quirks of market behavior and the permeating influence of internet culture. As we peel back the layers of this unusual association, one cannot help but exclaim, "SUS-picious, isn't it?" We, therefore, hope that our amusing findings add a dash of levity to the serious world of economic research – after all, who would have thought that a phrase popularized in video gaming could send ripples through the stock market? Stay tuned for further investigations into the enigmatic world of meme finance.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
In their comprehensive study, Smith et al. (2015) examined linguistic trends in internet culture and their potential impact on market dynamics. The authors found a significant correlation between the usage of internet slang and stock price movements, shedding light on the previously overlooked influence of online memes in the financial realm. Despite the serious tone of the study, the authors surprisingly did not include any dad jokes – perhaps they missed the opportunity to inject some humor into their analysis.
Doe and Johnson (2018) expanded on this research, delving into the specific phrase 'That is SUS' and its emergence as a cultural phenomenon. They posited that the adoption of this phrase in various online communities could have broader implications, potentially influencing consumer sentiment and, subsequently, stock prices. It's almost as if the stock market is saying, "I'm not SUSpicious, you are!"
Drawing from non-fiction literature, books such as "The Humor Code" by Peter McGraw and Joel Warner and "Freakonomics" by Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner have intricately explored the intersection of humor and economics. Surprisingly, none of these books made a pun as catchy as 'That is SUS' in relation to stock market movements. It seems we've stumbled upon a humorous peculiarity worth contemplating further.
In a different vein, fictional works such as "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" by Douglas Adams and "Catch-22" by Joseph Heller humorously navigate through the absurdities and paradoxes of human behavior, perhaps providing an apt parallel to the implausible connection we are investigating. Who would have thought that a phrase popularized in online gaming could pertain to the stock market, right? It's no wonder that we're left feeling like we're in an episode of "The Twilight Zone" as we ponder the SUS-picious nature of this correlation.
In the spirit of thorough research, we delved into cartoons and children's shows as well. After watching countless hours of "SpongeBob SquarePants," we couldn't help but draw a parallel between the mysterious stock market movements and the unpredictable antics of Squidward Tentacles. It's as if the stock market is shouting, "I'm feeling a little SUS-picious and might just pull a Squidward move on you!" This whimsical comparison only adds to the intrigue of our findings and brings a lighthearted touch to our investigation.
Stay tuned as we reveal more unexpected connections, all while keeping our dad jokes as strong as a bull market!

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the data revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9822179 between the Google searches for 'That is SUS' and the stock price of MSCI Inc. This finding suggests a strong positive relationship between the two variables, indicating that the online buzz surrounding the phrase 'That is SUS' may be associated with movements in MSCI's stock price. It seems that the SUS-pense of online memes extends beyond the realm of social interactions and into the financial markets.
The r-squared value of 0.9647520 further confirms the robustness of the relationship, indicating that approximately 96.48% of the variability in MSCI's stock price can be explained by the volume of Google searches for 'That is SUS'. This finding underscores the remarkable degree to which the online memetic landscape may be intertwined with market dynamics, leading one to ponder the possibility of a memetic enlightenment in the world of finance.
The p-value of less than 0.01 provides strong evidence against the null hypothesis, indicating that the observed correlation is statistically significant. This result suggests that the association between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI's stock price is unlikely to have occurred by chance, further supporting the notion of a concrete relationship between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. It appears that the influence of internet culture may manifest in the financial sphere in ways that demand further investigation.
As they say, "When it comes to memes and markets, there's more than meets the 'aye'." The high correlation and statistical significance observed in this study point to an intriguing link between online meme activity and stock price movements, reminding us that the whims of the internet may reach further than previously imagined. In the immortal words of meme enthusiasts and stock traders everywhere, "That is SUS-pectacular!"
The scatterplot in Fig. 1 visually depicts the strong positive correlation between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI's stock price, affirming the compelling relationship observed in the statistical analysis. This visualization emphasizes the magnitude of the association and the potential impact of meme culture on financial markets, providing a graphical representation of the SUS-tained influence of online phenomena on investment dynamics.
The unexpected alignment of internet linguistics and market trends unearthed in this research not only prompts a reconsideration of traditional economic analyses but also invites a chuckle or two regarding the idiosyncrasies of financial behavior. As we continue to explore the whimsical world of meme finance, one thing remains abundantly clear – when it comes to the influence of internet culture on the stock market, things are definitely 'sus'pectacular!

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The correlation between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and the stock price of MSCI Inc. uncovers a peculiar interplay between internet culture and financial market dynamics. While at first glance, it may seem whimsical to draw a connection between a popular online phrase and stock prices, our study has revealed a remarkably strong and statistically significant association between the two. It appears that the phrase 'That is SUS' wields influence beyond the gaming world, making the stock market raise an eyebrow in SUS-picion. Like a duck that tells a joke, this relationship may seem a bit quacking at first, but the statistical evidence suggests otherwise.

Our findings support and build upon previous research that has hinted at the influence of internet memes on market behavior. Smith et al.'s (2015) work hinted at the impact of internet slang on stock prices, and our study adds credence to this notion with a firm handshake. Additionally, Doe and Johnson (2018) were on the right track when suggesting that the adoption of the phrase 'That is SUS' in online communities might have broader implications. It's almost as if the stock market is nudging us, saying, "I'll be the one suspecting here!" Our findings not only corroborate these previous suspicions but also add a touch of humor to the serious realm of economic research.

The r-squared value of 0.9647520 in our study, akin to a dad’s quick wit, further emphasizes the robustness of the relationship between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI's stock price. The statistical significance, akin to a well-timed dad joke, of the observed correlation points not to mere chance but to a tangible relationship between online memetic activity and market movements. It's almost as if the stock market is saying, "I’m not falling for any 'That is SUS' tricks, but I’ll definitely take this correlation seriously."

The scatterplot in Fig. 1 vividly illustrates the strong positive correlation between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI's stock price, akin to a visually stunning dad joke, reinforcing the robustness of the observed relationship. It's as if the graph is saying, "Behold, the SUS-picious connection in all its plotted glory!" These results spur further reflection on the interplay between internet culture and market trends, prompting us to embrace the unexpected quirks and nuances of economic behavior with a good-natured chuckle.

In conclusion, the SUS-picious connection uncovered in this study showcases the unexpected and thrilling synergies between internet memes and market dynamics. Our research not only adds a humorous touch to the serious world of economic analysis but also emphasizes the importance of considering non-traditional factors in understanding market movements, 'punnily' reminding us that when it comes to economics and internet culture, there's more than meets the 'aye'. Who knew that a phrase popularized in online gaming could hold such intriguing implications for the stock market? It appears that when it comes to the influence of internet culture on the financial world, things are indeed 'sus'pectacular!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Google searches for 'that is sus' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price (MSCI). You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"Searchin' for Suspicion: The SUS-picious Connection Between Google Searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study delves into the mysteriously captivating relationship between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price. Through an interdisciplinary approach, utilizing data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we embarked on exploring this seemingly bizarre and whimsical connection. Our findings revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9822179 and statistically significant p-value < 0.01 for the period from 2008 to 2023. It appears that the utterance of 'That is SUS' might hold sway not only in the online gaming community but also in the financial realm, influencing stock price movements. The synergy between internet memes and market dynamics uncovers an unexpected interplay that tickles the fancy of economists and meme enthusiasts alike.

The robust correlation we discovered prompts contemplation on the quirks of market behavior and the permeating influence of internet culture. As we peel back the layers of this unusual association, one cannot help but exclaim, "SUS-picious, isn't it?" We, therefore, hope that our amusing findings add a dash of levity to the serious world of economic research – after all, who would have thought that a phrase popularized in video gaming could send ripples through the stock market? Stay tuned for further investigations into the enigmatic world of meme finance.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
In the ever-expanding realm of meme culture and its curious interactions with the financial universe, we often find ourselves diving into unexpected rabbit holes. The present study unravels the enigmatic linkage between Google searches for the phrase 'That is SUS' and the stock price movements of MSCI Inc. Curiously captivating and unexpectedly synergistic, the apparent correlation between internet memes and market dynamics gave rise to an inquiry that left us wondering if there's an algorithm for humor in finance, or if our findings are just "SUS-picious".
Diving into the world of meme finance, it's essential to tank up with a dad joke or two. Why did the meme investor bring a ladder to the stock market? Because they heard the stakes were high! As we venture forth into this hybrid sphere of internet culture and economic phenomena, we are drawn to examining the interplay between linguistic trends and market behaviors, typically unexplored by staid financial analysts.
The intriguing nature of this intersection brings to mind the age-old question – what came first, the chicken or the EGG-siting stock price movements? As we embark on this journey, one can't help but admire the whimsy of delving into the financial implications of phrases born in the online gaming community. Our quest aims to bring a touch of levity and amusement to the typically earnest world of economic research – after all, who would have thought that a simple phrase could potentially shake the very foundations of the stock market?

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the data revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9822179 between the Google searches for 'That is SUS' and the stock price of MSCI Inc. This finding suggests a strong positive relationship between the two variables, indicating that the online buzz surrounding the phrase 'That is SUS' may be associated with movements in MSCI's stock price. It seems that the SUS-pense of online memes extends beyond the realm of social interactions and into the financial markets.
The r-squared value of 0.9647520 further confirms the robustness of the relationship, indicating that approximately 96.48% of the variability in MSCI's stock price can be explained by the volume of Google searches for 'That is SUS'. This finding underscores the remarkable degree to which the online memetic landscape may be intertwined with market dynamics, leading one to ponder the possibility of a memetic enlightenment in the world of finance.
The p-value of less than 0.01 provides strong evidence against the null hypothesis, indicating that the observed correlation is statistically significant. This result suggests that the association between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI's stock price is unlikely to have occurred by chance, further supporting the notion of a concrete relationship between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. It appears that the influence of internet culture may manifest in the financial sphere in ways that demand further investigation.
As they say, "When it comes to memes and markets, there's more than meets the 'aye'." The high correlation and statistical significance observed in this study point to an intriguing link between online meme activity and stock price movements, reminding us that the whims of the internet may reach further than previously imagined. In the immortal words of meme enthusiasts and stock traders everywhere, "That is SUS-pectacular!"
The scatterplot in Fig. 1 visually depicts the strong positive correlation between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI's stock price, affirming the compelling relationship observed in the statistical analysis. This visualization emphasizes the magnitude of the association and the potential impact of meme culture on financial markets, providing a graphical representation of the SUS-tained influence of online phenomena on investment dynamics.
The unexpected alignment of internet linguistics and market trends unearthed in this research not only prompts a reconsideration of traditional economic analyses but also invites a chuckle or two regarding the idiosyncrasies of financial behavior. As we continue to explore the whimsical world of meme finance, one thing remains abundantly clear – when it comes to the influence of internet culture on the stock market, things are definitely 'sus'pectacular!

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our study has unveiled the remarkable connection between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price. The SUS-tained correlation between these seemingly contrasting phenomena prompts us to ponder if, in the world of finance, meme-ing can indeed be found in the unlikeliest of places. Our findings not only shed light on the intriguing interplay between internet culture and market dynamics but also instigate a rethinking of the traditional tools of financial analysis. It seems that in the realm of meme finance, there's more than meets the 'aye' indeed!

Our research, filled with EGG-siting insights and statistical robustness, demonstrates a correlative relationship that surpasses mere happenstance. The visual representation in Fig. 1 vividly illustrates the 'SUS-picious' influence of online linguistic trends on stock price movements, leaving us with a proposition: Should financial forecasts now come with meme disclaimers?

As we wrap up our exploration into the whimsical world of meme finance, we must acknowledge the importance of ending on a high note. With that in mind, here's a final pun-durous dad joke: Why don't stockbrokers ever leave for vacation? Because they don't want to miss out on the 'stock-tail' party!

In the grand scheme of economical inquiries, it's safe to say that our findings have cracked open a door into a world where internet vernacular and market fluctuations waltz hand in hand. We firmly contend that there's no need for further research in this arena for now, as we've already uncovered the 'SUS-picious' secrets that lie within.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Searchin' for Suspicion: The SUS-picious Connection Between Google Searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Stock Price. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

Journal of Internet Linguistics and Market Analysis


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Searchin' for Suspicion: The SUS-picious Connection Between Google Searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Stock Price. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Society for Internet Slang and Market Analysis


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Searchin' for Suspicion: The SUS-picious Connection Between Google Searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Stock Price with an abstract of This study delves into the mysteriously captivating relationship between Google searches for 'That is SUS' and MSCI Inc.'s stock price. Through an interdisciplinary approach, utilizing data from Google Trends and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we embarked on exploring this seemingly bizarre and whimsical connection. Our findings revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9822179 and statistically significant p-value < 0.01 for the period from 2008 to 2023. It appears that the utterance of 'That is SUS' might hold sway not only in the online gaming community but also in the financial realm, influencing stock price movements. The synergy between internet memes and market dynamics uncovers an unexpected interplay that tickles the fancy of economists and meme enthusiasts alike.
The robust correlation we discovered prompts contemplation on the quirks of market behavior and the permeating influence of internet culture. As we peel back the layers of this unusual association, one cannot help but exclaim, "SUS-picious, isn't it?" We, therefore, hope that our amusing findings add a dash of levity to the serious world of economic research – after all, who would have thought that a phrase popularized in video gaming could send ripples through the stock market? Stay tuned for further investigations into the enigmatic world of meme finance.

ChatGPT:

Google searches, "That is SUS", MSCI stock price, correlation coefficient, Google Trends, LSEG Analytics, Refinitiv, market behavior, internet culture, meme finance

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Google searches for 'that is sus'
Detailed data title: Relative volume of Google searches for 'that is sus' (Worldwide, without quotes)
Source: Google Trends
Additional Info: Relative search volume (not absolute numbers)

See what else correlates with Google searches for 'that is sus'

MSCI Inc.'s stock price (MSCI)
Detailed data title: Opening price of MSCI Inc. (MSCI) on the first trading day of the year
Source: LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv)
Additional Info: Via Microsoft Excel Stockhistory function

See what else correlates with MSCI Inc.'s stock price (MSCI)

Correlation r = 0.9822179 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9647520 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 96.5% of the change in the one variable (i.e., MSCI Inc.'s stock price (MSCI)) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Google searches for 'that is sus') over the 16 years from 2008 through 2023.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 1.4E-11. 0.0000000000143837715510041980
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.98 in 1.4E-9% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 69,522,794,940 random variables You don't actually need 69 billion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 15 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 15 because we have two variables measured over a period of 16 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.95, 0.99 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
2008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
Google searches for 'that is sus' (Rel. search volume)1.333336.416675.583336.9166710.2510.08338.666678.6666711.083312.515.416714.416740.833358.166781.666779.6
MSCI Inc.'s stock price (MSCI) (Stock price)37.8217.9231.9639.3833.8931.6643.6347.6971.179.78127.51144.69260.09450.76614.33469.57




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([1.33333,6.41667,5.58333,6.91667,10.25,10.0833,8.66667,8.66667,11.0833,12.5,15.4167,14.4167,40.8333,58.1667,81.6667,79.6,])
array_2 = np.array([37.82,17.92,31.96,39.38,33.89,31.66,43.63,47.69,71.1,79.78,127.51,144.69,260.09,450.76,614.33,469.57,])
array_1_name = "Google searches for 'that is sus'"
array_2_name = "MSCI Inc.'s stock price (MSCI)"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

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Correlation ID: 1639 · Black Variable ID: 1367 · Red Variable ID: 1767
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