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Spurious correlation #1,385 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Bachelor's degrees awarded in Military technologies and the second variable is The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price (EL).  The chart goes from 2012 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As more military tech experts received their Bachelor's degrees, they developed highly effective camouflage makeup techniques. This led to a surge in demand for Estée Lauder's products from both the military and civilian sectors, driving up their stock price.

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image of a group of cyber folk graduates, dressed in sleek military uniforms adorned with futuristic embellishments, proudly displaying their bachelor's degree certificates. They are standing in front of a large holographic screen projecting the dynamic stock price chart of The Estée Lauder Companies. In the background, an innovative cityscape infused with neon lights and digital billboards creates a futuristic and vibrant atmosphere. The graduates are smiling and celebrating their achievement with a mix of pride and excitement, while also maintaining a focused composure as they observe the fluctuating stock prices. The scene exudes a sense of accomplishment, ambition, and technological advancement within the cyber folk community. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Bachelor's degrees awarded in Military technologies and applied sciences and The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: A photo-realistic image Cyber folk Realistic Voxel art Low poly
ChatGPT: Cyber folk

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Bachelor's degrees awarded in Military technologies and applied sciences and The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price together. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: A group of proud graduates in military uniforms, holding their bachelor's degree certificates, are standing in front of a large screen showing the stock price of The Estée Lauder Companies. They are smiling and celebrating their achievement while also keeping an eye on the stock price.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Cyber folk ] and depicting this scene: A group of proud graduates in military uniforms, holding their bachelor's degree certificates, are standing in front of a large screen showing the stock price of The Estée Lauder Companies. They are smiling and celebrating their achievement while also keeping an eye on the stock price. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image of a group of cyber folk graduates, dressed in sleek military uniforms adorned with futuristic embellishments, proudly displaying their bachelor's degree certificates. They are standing in front of a large holographic screen projecting the dynamic stock price chart of The Estée Lauder Companies. In the background, an innovative cityscape infused with neon lights and digital billboards creates a futuristic and vibrant atmosphere. The graduates are smiling and celebrating their achievement with a mix of pride and excitement, while also maintaining a focused composure as they observe the fluctuating stock prices. The scene exudes a sense of accomplishment, ambition, and technological advancement within the cyber folk community.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Bachelor's degrees awarded in Military technologies and applied sciences caused The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price (EL) to increase.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
The Beauty of Military Knowledge: A Close Inspection of the Influence of Bachelor's Degrees in Military Technologies and Applied Sciences on The Estée Lauder Companies' Stock Price

Journal of Interdisciplinary Military Studies

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Military technologies and applied sciences and The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title a clever pun.

Your research team used data from National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9842123 and p < 0.01 for 2012 to 2021.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
The Beauty of Military Knowledge: A Close Inspection of the Influence of Bachelor's Degrees in Military Technologies and Applied Sciences on The Estée Lauder Companies' Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper delves into the unexpected relationship between academic pursuits in military technologies and applied sciences and the fluctuation of stock prices for The Estée Lauder Companies. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we conducted a thorough analysis covering the period from 2012 to 2021. Our findings revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9842123 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, suggesting a strong connection between the two seemingly unrelated subjects. This study not only sheds light on the often overlooked interplay between military education and stock market trends, but also highlights the intriguing complexities of the economic landscape.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Military technologies and applied sciences and The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Beauty of Military Knowledge: A Close Inspection of the Influence of Bachelor's Degrees in Military Technologies and Applied Sciences on The Estée Lauder Companies' Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper delves into the unexpected relationship between academic pursuits in military technologies and applied sciences and the fluctuation of stock prices for The Estée Lauder Companies. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we conducted a thorough analysis covering the period from 2012 to 2021. Our findings revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9842123 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, suggesting a strong connection between the two seemingly unrelated subjects. This study not only sheds light on the often overlooked interplay between military education and stock market trends, but also highlights the intriguing complexities of the economic landscape.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

In the realm of academic inquiry, it is not uncommon to encounter unexpected correlations and intriguing relationships between seemingly disparate subjects. This study embarks on an unconventional exploration, delving into the interplay between academic degrees in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price fluctuations of The Estée Lauder Companies. While at first glance, the connection may appear as elusive as a sniper in the fog, our analysis uncovers a compelling link that demands further scrutiny.

The Estée Lauder Companies, renowned for their iconic beauty and skincare products, stand as a glowing beacon in the consumer goods sector. Meanwhile, the pursuit of knowledge in military technologies and applied sciences often remains concealed in the trenches of academia, away from the glitz and glamour of the business world. However, as we draw back the curtain on this unlikely pairing, we uncover a correlation that raises not only eyebrows but also questions about the underlying mechanisms at play.

The central premise of this investigation is as intriguing as a well-done magic trick at a military academy talent show. Our hypothesis is as follows: there exists a substantial relationship between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price of The Estée Lauder Companies. Given the unpredictable nature of the stock market, discovering any form of predictability is akin to finding a diamond in a minefield - rare and valuable.

Through a comprehensive analysis of data obtained from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we aim to shed light on this mysterious connection and its potential implications. This study not only promises to inform our understanding of market dynamics but also adds a splash of military flair to the otherwise serene world of cosmetics and consumerism. In doing so, it establishes a bridge between the disciplined precision of military academia and the artful elegance of the beauty industry, inviting us to rethink the boundaries of influence and inspiration.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Military technologies and applied sciences and The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name a few real TV shows that sound like they might be relevant to the topic that you watched as research.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Beauty of Military Knowledge: A Close Inspection of the Influence of Bachelor's Degrees in Military Technologies and Applied Sciences on The Estée Lauder Companies' Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper delves into the unexpected relationship between academic pursuits in military technologies and applied sciences and the fluctuation of stock prices for The Estée Lauder Companies. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we conducted a thorough analysis covering the period from 2012 to 2021. Our findings revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9842123 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, suggesting a strong connection between the two seemingly unrelated subjects. This study not only sheds light on the often overlooked interplay between military education and stock market trends, but also highlights the intriguing complexities of the economic landscape.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
In the realm of academic inquiry, it is not uncommon to encounter unexpected correlations and intriguing relationships between seemingly disparate subjects. This study embarks on an unconventional exploration, delving into the interplay between academic degrees in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price fluctuations of The Estée Lauder Companies. While at first glance, the connection may appear as elusive as a sniper in the fog, our analysis uncovers a compelling link that demands further scrutiny.
The Estée Lauder Companies, renowned for their iconic beauty and skincare products, stand as a glowing beacon in the consumer goods sector. Meanwhile, the pursuit of knowledge in military technologies and applied sciences often remains concealed in the trenches of academia, away from the glitz and glamour of the business world. However, as we draw back the curtain on this unlikely pairing, we uncover a correlation that raises not only eyebrows but also questions about the underlying mechanisms at play.
The central premise of this investigation is as intriguing as a well-done magic trick at a military academy talent show. Our hypothesis is as follows: there exists a substantial relationship between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price of The Estée Lauder Companies. Given the unpredictable nature of the stock market, discovering any form of predictability is akin to finding a diamond in a minefield - rare and valuable.
Through a comprehensive analysis of data obtained from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we aim to shed light on this mysterious connection and its potential implications. This study not only promises to inform our understanding of market dynamics but also adds a splash of military flair to the otherwise serene world of cosmetics and consumerism. In doing so, it establishes a bridge between the disciplined precision of military academia and the artful elegance of the beauty industry, inviting us to rethink the boundaries of influence and inspiration.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

As we delve into the unexpected relationship between academic pursuits in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price fluctuation of The Estée Lauder Companies, it is imperative to first examine the existing literature on seemingly incongruous correlations.

In "The Military-Industrial Complex and the Stock Market," Smith et al. discussed the traditional influence of military expenditures on stock performance, laying a foundation for exploring the connection between military education and market trends. Similarly, Doe's work, "Applied Sciences in Modern Economies," highlighted the impact of technological advancements on corporate success, providing valuable insights into the potential ties between applied sciences education and stock prices.

To further enrich our understanding, Jones et al. conducted a comprehensive analysis in "The Interdisciplinary Influence: Exploring Unconventional Ties in Education and Business," which illuminated the intricate interplay between academic disciplines and market dynamics. These foundational studies set the stage for our investigation, prompting us to expand our inquiry beyond conventional boundaries, much like a soldier stepping into uncharted terrain.

In considering relevant non-fiction works, "Military Technologies in the Modern Era" by Lorem delves into the evolution of military innovations, offering a backdrop to our exploration of academic pursuits in this field. Additionally, "The Beauty Industry: A Comprehensive Guide" by Ipsum provides valuable insights into the nuances of cosmetic business, framing our investigation within the context of the dynamic consumer market.

Turning to the realm of fictional literature, "The Art of War" by Sun Tzu presents timeless principles of strategy and influence, drawing intriguing parallels to the complexities of market dynamics. "Cosmetics and Consequences" by Anna May Aveda weaves a tale of ambition and glamour in the beauty industry, resonating with the allure of The Estée Lauder Companies' stock performance.

In the pursuit of insights, the researchers turned to television shows for inspiration, immersing themselves in series like "Military Makeovers," "Cosmetics Confidential," and "Stocks and the City." These diverse sources of entertainment provided valuable perspectives, enriching our approach to uncovering the underlying link between military education and stock market trends while injecting doses of humor and unexpected connections into the research process.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Military technologies and applied sciences and The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) . You used data from 2012 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Beauty of Military Knowledge: A Close Inspection of the Influence of Bachelor's Degrees in Military Technologies and Applied Sciences on The Estée Lauder Companies' Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper delves into the unexpected relationship between academic pursuits in military technologies and applied sciences and the fluctuation of stock prices for The Estée Lauder Companies. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we conducted a thorough analysis covering the period from 2012 to 2021. Our findings revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9842123 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, suggesting a strong connection between the two seemingly unrelated subjects. This study not only sheds light on the often overlooked interplay between military education and stock market trends, but also highlights the intriguing complexities of the economic landscape.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
In the realm of academic inquiry, it is not uncommon to encounter unexpected correlations and intriguing relationships between seemingly disparate subjects. This study embarks on an unconventional exploration, delving into the interplay between academic degrees in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price fluctuations of The Estée Lauder Companies. While at first glance, the connection may appear as elusive as a sniper in the fog, our analysis uncovers a compelling link that demands further scrutiny.
The Estée Lauder Companies, renowned for their iconic beauty and skincare products, stand as a glowing beacon in the consumer goods sector. Meanwhile, the pursuit of knowledge in military technologies and applied sciences often remains concealed in the trenches of academia, away from the glitz and glamour of the business world. However, as we draw back the curtain on this unlikely pairing, we uncover a correlation that raises not only eyebrows but also questions about the underlying mechanisms at play.
The central premise of this investigation is as intriguing as a well-done magic trick at a military academy talent show. Our hypothesis is as follows: there exists a substantial relationship between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price of The Estée Lauder Companies. Given the unpredictable nature of the stock market, discovering any form of predictability is akin to finding a diamond in a minefield - rare and valuable.
Through a comprehensive analysis of data obtained from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we aim to shed light on this mysterious connection and its potential implications. This study not only promises to inform our understanding of market dynamics but also adds a splash of military flair to the otherwise serene world of cosmetics and consumerism. In doing so, it establishes a bridge between the disciplined precision of military academia and the artful elegance of the beauty industry, inviting us to rethink the boundaries of influence and inspiration.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To uncover the enigmatic relationship between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price of The Estée Lauder Companies, our research team constructed a methodological framework as solid as a well-fortified bunker. We embarked on an analytical odyssey, navigating through vast oceans of data with the agility of a navy seal, utilizing information stretching across the years 2012 to 2021. The journey commenced with the acquisition of data from the National Center for Education Statistics, resembling a treasure hunt in the sea of information, from which we extracted the annual tally of Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences. Alongside this, stock price data for The Estée Lauder Companies was sourced from the esteemed LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), akin to unearthing buried treasure in the ever-changing tides of the stock market.

In a strategic move, we deployed statistical weaponry to gauge the strength of association between these seemingly disparate variables. Utilizing the robust Pearson correlation coefficient, we sought to measure the degree of linear association between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded and the stock price. Our choice of sophistication in statistical analysis was as deliberate as a chess grandmaster's opening move, ensuring that our findings were not merely a roll of the dice.

In addition, we harnessed the power of a two-tailed t-test to determine the statistical significance of the relationship uncovered. This approach allowed us to gauge the probability of observing such a strong association purely by chance, akin to separating signal from noise in the fog of uncertainty. The adoption of this method stood as a testament to our commitment to scientific rigor, ensuring that our conclusions were not merely illusions akin to a magician's sleight of hand.

Furthermore, as an auxiliary measure, we plotted time-series graphs to visually inspect the fluctuation of both variables over the study period. This visual exploration served as an insightful companion to our quantitative analysis, providing a panoramic view of the temporal dynamics and illustrating the journey of these variables through time, akin to a visual trip through the corridors of history.

Lastly, we executed robustness checks by employing alternative statistical models to confirm the robustness of our findings. This approach was akin to fortifying our argument with additional layers of defense, ensuring that our conclusions withstood the barrage of skepticism and scrutiny. We recognize that the unexpected nature of our investigation lends itself to a heightened level of skepticism, and therefore, we armored our methodology with multiple layers of statistical rigor to withstand the scrutiny that comes hand in hand with such an unorthodox inquiry.

In summation, our methodology was an intricate tapestry woven from the threads of statistical rigor, data acquisition strategies, and analytical acumen, tailored to unravel the perplexing relationship between military academia and the stock market. This approach facilitated the extraction of empirical insights that not only pushed the boundaries of conventional wisdom but also added a touch of intrigue to the often monotonous landscape of academic inquiry.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Military technologies and applied sciences and The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) .

For the time period 2012 to 2021, you found a correlation 0.9842123, r-squared of 0.9686739, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Beauty of Military Knowledge: A Close Inspection of the Influence of Bachelor's Degrees in Military Technologies and Applied Sciences on The Estée Lauder Companies' Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper delves into the unexpected relationship between academic pursuits in military technologies and applied sciences and the fluctuation of stock prices for The Estée Lauder Companies. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we conducted a thorough analysis covering the period from 2012 to 2021. Our findings revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9842123 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, suggesting a strong connection between the two seemingly unrelated subjects. This study not only sheds light on the often overlooked interplay between military education and stock market trends, but also highlights the intriguing complexities of the economic landscape.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
In the realm of academic inquiry, it is not uncommon to encounter unexpected correlations and intriguing relationships between seemingly disparate subjects. This study embarks on an unconventional exploration, delving into the interplay between academic degrees in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price fluctuations of The Estée Lauder Companies. While at first glance, the connection may appear as elusive as a sniper in the fog, our analysis uncovers a compelling link that demands further scrutiny.
The Estée Lauder Companies, renowned for their iconic beauty and skincare products, stand as a glowing beacon in the consumer goods sector. Meanwhile, the pursuit of knowledge in military technologies and applied sciences often remains concealed in the trenches of academia, away from the glitz and glamour of the business world. However, as we draw back the curtain on this unlikely pairing, we uncover a correlation that raises not only eyebrows but also questions about the underlying mechanisms at play.
The central premise of this investigation is as intriguing as a well-done magic trick at a military academy talent show. Our hypothesis is as follows: there exists a substantial relationship between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price of The Estée Lauder Companies. Given the unpredictable nature of the stock market, discovering any form of predictability is akin to finding a diamond in a minefield - rare and valuable.
Through a comprehensive analysis of data obtained from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we aim to shed light on this mysterious connection and its potential implications. This study not only promises to inform our understanding of market dynamics but also adds a splash of military flair to the otherwise serene world of cosmetics and consumerism. In doing so, it establishes a bridge between the disciplined precision of military academia and the artful elegance of the beauty industry, inviting us to rethink the boundaries of influence and inspiration.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The results of our analysis yield a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9842123 between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price of The Estée Lauder Companies. This correlation, akin to a military parade marching in step, indicates a strong positive relationship between these seemingly unrelated domains. Additionally, the r-squared value of 0.9686739 elucidates that a sizable proportion of the variability in The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price can be explained by the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences. With a p-value of less than 0.01, we can confidently conclude that this relationship is statistically significant, standing out like a lone soldier in a cosmopolitan square.

This remarkable correlation prompts a closer examination of the potential mechanisms underlying this unexpected association. One plausible explanation could be the influence of military innovation and technological advancements on the broader market dynamics, as if military precision and strategic maneuvers were marching in sync with the ebbs and flows of stock prices. Alternatively, it is conceivable that the discipline and rigor instilled by military technologies and applied sciences education find their echo in the meticulous business strategies and decision-making processes within The Estée Lauder Companies, creating an intriguing dance of influence between academia and industry.

To visually capture the robust correlation uncovered in our analysis, Figure 1 displays a scatterplot that unmistakably illustrates the strong positive relationship between Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences and The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price. The tightly clustered data points on the scatterplot mirror the harmonious partnership between military knowledge and the fluctuation of stock prices, akin to a well-coordinated military operation on the financial battlefield.

Furthermore, our findings not only raise eyebrows but also pose thought-provoking questions about the intricate interconnections within the economic landscape. The unexpected convergence of military education and stock price dynamics challenges conventional wisdom, illustrating the potential for unconventional influences to shape market behaviors. This study underscores the need to broaden our perspectives and remain open to unanticipated sources of inspiration, much like stumbling upon a hidden treasure trove amidst the unlikeliest of terrains.

In light of these compelling results, this research not only contributes to the academic discourse but also invites further exploration into the uncharted territories of interdisciplinary influences on stock market trends. The correlations uncovered in this study serve as a testament to the intricate interplay between domains that, at first glance, may appear as distant as a battleship and a beauty salon.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Military technologies and applied sciences and The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
The Beauty of Military Knowledge: A Close Inspection of the Influence of Bachelor's Degrees in Military Technologies and Applied Sciences on The Estée Lauder Companies' Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper delves into the unexpected relationship between academic pursuits in military technologies and applied sciences and the fluctuation of stock prices for The Estée Lauder Companies. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we conducted a thorough analysis covering the period from 2012 to 2021. Our findings revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9842123 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, suggesting a strong connection between the two seemingly unrelated subjects. This study not only sheds light on the often overlooked interplay between military education and stock market trends, but also highlights the intriguing complexities of the economic landscape.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
As we delve into the unexpected relationship between academic pursuits in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price fluctuation of The Estée Lauder Companies, it is imperative to first examine the existing literature on seemingly incongruous correlations.
In "The Military-Industrial Complex and the Stock Market," Smith et al. discussed the traditional influence of military expenditures on stock performance, laying a foundation for exploring the connection between military education and market trends. Similarly, Doe's work, "Applied Sciences in Modern Economies," highlighted the impact of technological advancements on corporate success, providing valuable insights into the potential ties between applied sciences education and stock prices.
To further enrich our understanding, Jones et al. conducted a comprehensive analysis in "The Interdisciplinary Influence: Exploring Unconventional Ties in Education and Business," which illuminated the intricate interplay between academic disciplines and market dynamics. These foundational studies set the stage for our investigation, prompting us to expand our inquiry beyond conventional boundaries, much like a soldier stepping into uncharted terrain.
In considering relevant non-fiction works, "Military Technologies in the Modern Era" by Lorem delves into the evolution of military innovations, offering a backdrop to our exploration of academic pursuits in this field. Additionally, "The Beauty Industry: A Comprehensive Guide" by Ipsum provides valuable insights into the nuances of cosmetic business, framing our investigation within the context of the dynamic consumer market.
Turning to the realm of fictional literature, "The Art of War" by Sun Tzu presents timeless principles of strategy and influence, drawing intriguing parallels to the complexities of market dynamics. "Cosmetics and Consequences" by Anna May Aveda weaves a tale of ambition and glamour in the beauty industry, resonating with the allure of The Estée Lauder Companies' stock performance.
In the pursuit of insights, the researchers turned to television shows for inspiration, immersing themselves in series like "Military Makeovers," "Cosmetics Confidential," and "Stocks and the City." These diverse sources of entertainment provided valuable perspectives, enriching our approach to uncovering the underlying link between military education and stock market trends while injecting doses of humor and unexpected connections into the research process.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our analysis yield a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9842123 between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price of The Estée Lauder Companies. This correlation, akin to a military parade marching in step, indicates a strong positive relationship between these seemingly unrelated domains. Additionally, the r-squared value of 0.9686739 elucidates that a sizable proportion of the variability in The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price can be explained by the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences. With a p-value of less than 0.01, we can confidently conclude that this relationship is statistically significant, standing out like a lone soldier in a cosmopolitan square.
This remarkable correlation prompts a closer examination of the potential mechanisms underlying this unexpected association. One plausible explanation could be the influence of military innovation and technological advancements on the broader market dynamics, as if military precision and strategic maneuvers were marching in sync with the ebbs and flows of stock prices. Alternatively, it is conceivable that the discipline and rigor instilled by military technologies and applied sciences education find their echo in the meticulous business strategies and decision-making processes within The Estée Lauder Companies, creating an intriguing dance of influence between academia and industry.
To visually capture the robust correlation uncovered in our analysis, Figure 1 displays a scatterplot that unmistakably illustrates the strong positive relationship between Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences and The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price. The tightly clustered data points on the scatterplot mirror the harmonious partnership between military knowledge and the fluctuation of stock prices, akin to a well-coordinated military operation on the financial battlefield.
Furthermore, our findings not only raise eyebrows but also pose thought-provoking questions about the intricate interconnections within the economic landscape. The unexpected convergence of military education and stock price dynamics challenges conventional wisdom, illustrating the potential for unconventional influences to shape market behaviors. This study underscores the need to broaden our perspectives and remain open to unanticipated sources of inspiration, much like stumbling upon a hidden treasure trove amidst the unlikeliest of terrains.
In light of these compelling results, this research not only contributes to the academic discourse but also invites further exploration into the uncharted territories of interdisciplinary influences on stock market trends. The correlations uncovered in this study serve as a testament to the intricate interplay between domains that, at first glance, may appear as distant as a battleship and a beauty salon.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The unexpected and robust correlation between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price of The Estée Lauder Companies presents an intriguing conundrum that demands deeper exploration. Our findings are in line with existing literature that has hinted at the influence of military expenditures on stock performance, albeit in a more unorthodox manner than previously considered. The remarkable correlation coefficient of 0.9842123 not only supports the groundwork laid by Smith et al. in "The Military-Industrial Complex and the Stock Market," but it also adds a whimsical twist to the conventional narrative, much like an unexpected plot development in a bestselling novel.

In light of the foundational insights provided by Doe's work on the impact of technological advancements on corporate success, our results offer a fresh and unexpected perspective on the influence of applied sciences education on market dynamics. This unanticipated linkage, akin to stumbling upon a hidden treasure while navigating the labyrinth of academic inquiry, challenges longstanding assumptions and underscores the need for a broadened approach to understanding the complexities of the economic landscape.

Indeed, our findings shine a spotlight on the often overlooked interplay between military education and stock market trends, fostering new conversations and raising arching eyebrows in academic circles, much like a well-placed comedic interlude in the midst of a serious discourse. The r-squared value of 0.9686739 indicates that a substantial proportion of the variability in The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price can be attributed to the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences, offering a compelling case for the influence of academic pursuits on market fluctuations.

Given the statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, the deviation from the null hypothesis is as stark as a soldier's salute, underscoring the robustness of the observed relationship. The implications of this unexpected convergence prompt reflections on the potential mechanisms at play, spanning from the strategic influence of military innovation on the market dynamics to the parallelism between the discipline instilled by military education and the meticulous business strategies within The Estée Lauder Companies, offering a refreshing alternative to the conventional narratives in economic literature.

The visually striking scatterplot, akin to a well-choreographed ballet performance, illustrates the strong positive relationship between military knowledge and the fluctuation of stock prices, inviting contemplation on the intricate interplay between academic disciplines and market behaviors. This paradoxical correlation not only challenges longstanding assumptions but also underscores the need for a reevaluation of the conventional boundaries of academic inquiry, prompting researchers to embrace unconventional sources of inspiration and embark on intellectual journeys that transcend disciplinary confines.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Bachelor's degrees awarded in Military technologies and applied sciences and The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
The Beauty of Military Knowledge: A Close Inspection of the Influence of Bachelor's Degrees in Military Technologies and Applied Sciences on The Estée Lauder Companies' Stock Price

[[ABSTRACT]]
This paper delves into the unexpected relationship between academic pursuits in military technologies and applied sciences and the fluctuation of stock prices for The Estée Lauder Companies. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we conducted a thorough analysis covering the period from 2012 to 2021. Our findings revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9842123 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, suggesting a strong connection between the two seemingly unrelated subjects. This study not only sheds light on the often overlooked interplay between military education and stock market trends, but also highlights the intriguing complexities of the economic landscape.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
In the realm of academic inquiry, it is not uncommon to encounter unexpected correlations and intriguing relationships between seemingly disparate subjects. This study embarks on an unconventional exploration, delving into the interplay between academic degrees in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price fluctuations of The Estée Lauder Companies. While at first glance, the connection may appear as elusive as a sniper in the fog, our analysis uncovers a compelling link that demands further scrutiny.
The Estée Lauder Companies, renowned for their iconic beauty and skincare products, stand as a glowing beacon in the consumer goods sector. Meanwhile, the pursuit of knowledge in military technologies and applied sciences often remains concealed in the trenches of academia, away from the glitz and glamour of the business world. However, as we draw back the curtain on this unlikely pairing, we uncover a correlation that raises not only eyebrows but also questions about the underlying mechanisms at play.
The central premise of this investigation is as intriguing as a well-done magic trick at a military academy talent show. Our hypothesis is as follows: there exists a substantial relationship between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price of The Estée Lauder Companies. Given the unpredictable nature of the stock market, discovering any form of predictability is akin to finding a diamond in a minefield - rare and valuable.
Through a comprehensive analysis of data obtained from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we aim to shed light on this mysterious connection and its potential implications. This study not only promises to inform our understanding of market dynamics but also adds a splash of military flair to the otherwise serene world of cosmetics and consumerism. In doing so, it establishes a bridge between the disciplined precision of military academia and the artful elegance of the beauty industry, inviting us to rethink the boundaries of influence and inspiration.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our analysis yield a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9842123 between the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price of The Estée Lauder Companies. This correlation, akin to a military parade marching in step, indicates a strong positive relationship between these seemingly unrelated domains. Additionally, the r-squared value of 0.9686739 elucidates that a sizable proportion of the variability in The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price can be explained by the number of Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences. With a p-value of less than 0.01, we can confidently conclude that this relationship is statistically significant, standing out like a lone soldier in a cosmopolitan square.
This remarkable correlation prompts a closer examination of the potential mechanisms underlying this unexpected association. One plausible explanation could be the influence of military innovation and technological advancements on the broader market dynamics, as if military precision and strategic maneuvers were marching in sync with the ebbs and flows of stock prices. Alternatively, it is conceivable that the discipline and rigor instilled by military technologies and applied sciences education find their echo in the meticulous business strategies and decision-making processes within The Estée Lauder Companies, creating an intriguing dance of influence between academia and industry.
To visually capture the robust correlation uncovered in our analysis, Figure 1 displays a scatterplot that unmistakably illustrates the strong positive relationship between Bachelor's degrees awarded in military technologies and applied sciences and The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price. The tightly clustered data points on the scatterplot mirror the harmonious partnership between military knowledge and the fluctuation of stock prices, akin to a well-coordinated military operation on the financial battlefield.
Furthermore, our findings not only raise eyebrows but also pose thought-provoking questions about the intricate interconnections within the economic landscape. The unexpected convergence of military education and stock price dynamics challenges conventional wisdom, illustrating the potential for unconventional influences to shape market behaviors. This study underscores the need to broaden our perspectives and remain open to unanticipated sources of inspiration, much like stumbling upon a hidden treasure trove amidst the unlikeliest of terrains.
In light of these compelling results, this research not only contributes to the academic discourse but also invites further exploration into the uncharted territories of interdisciplinary influences on stock market trends. The correlations uncovered in this study serve as a testament to the intricate interplay between domains that, at first glance, may appear as distant as a battleship and a beauty salon.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our investigation has cast a spotlight on the captivating relationship between the attainment of Bachelor's degrees in military technologies and applied sciences and the stock price fluctuations of The Estée Lauder Companies. Our findings, akin to uncovering a hidden gem in the desert of statistical analysis, have unveiled a remarkably high correlation coefficient and a statistically significant p-value, underscoring the robustness of this unexpected association. As we peel back the layers of this unique correlation, we are reminded of the adage that truth can indeed be stranger than fiction and perhaps even more intriguing.

The unusual connection between military education and market dynamics stirs the imagination, challenging traditional paradigms and prompting us to reevaluate the boundaries of influence in the economic realm. It beckons us to consider the ripple effects of disciplines, seemingly worlds apart, and raises the possibility of unorthodox synergies shaping market behaviors. This revelation, like stumbling upon a rare flower in a desert, urges us to remain open to unanticipated sources of influence and inspiration in our quest for understanding the intricacies of the economic landscape.

The implications of our findings extend beyond the realm of academia and economics, permeating the broader fabric of societal perceptions. They underscore the intricate interplay between seemingly disparate domains, inviting us to reexamine our preconceptions and stay alert to the unexpected harmonies that may emerge from unlikely pairings. Indeed, the world of statistics continues to surprise and delight, much like a symphony orchestra playing in a military bunker.

As we reflect on this unearthing of correlation, it becomes increasingly evident that no more research is needed in this area. The remarkable connection between military education and stock price dynamics has been illuminated, and our pursuit of understanding in this arena can confidently stand as a beacon of statistical exploration, much like a well-polished military insignia.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited The Beauty of Military Knowledge: A Close Inspection of the Influence of Bachelor's Degrees in Military Technologies and Applied Sciences on The Estée Lauder Companies' Stock Price. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

Journal of Interdisciplinary Military Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited The Beauty of Military Knowledge: A Close Inspection of the Influence of Bachelor's Degrees in Military Technologies and Applied Sciences on The Estée Lauder Companies' Stock Price. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

Society for Military Technology and Cosmetics Research


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled The Beauty of Military Knowledge: A Close Inspection of the Influence of Bachelor's Degrees in Military Technologies and Applied Sciences on The Estée Lauder Companies' Stock Price with an abstract of This paper delves into the unexpected relationship between academic pursuits in military technologies and applied sciences and the fluctuation of stock prices for The Estée Lauder Companies. Utilizing data from the National Center for Education Statistics and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we conducted a thorough analysis covering the period from 2012 to 2021. Our findings revealed a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.9842123 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, suggesting a strong connection between the two seemingly unrelated subjects. This study not only sheds light on the often overlooked interplay between military education and stock market trends, but also highlights the intriguing complexities of the economic landscape.

ChatGPT:

military education, bachelor's degrees, applied sciences, military technologies, stock prices, The Estée Lauder Companies, correlation coefficient, National Center for Education Statistics, LSEG Analytics, Refinitiv, stock market trends, economic landscape

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Bachelor's degrees awarded in Military technologies
Detailed data title: Bachelor's degrees conferred by postsecondary institutions, in field of study: Military technologies and applied sciences
Source: National Center for Education Statistics
See what else correlates with Bachelor's degrees awarded in Military technologies

The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price (EL)
Detailed data title: Opening price of The Estée Lauder Companies (EL) on the first trading day of the year
Source: LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv)
Additional Info: Via Microsoft Excel Stockhistory function

See what else correlates with The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price (EL)

Correlation r = 0.9842123 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9686739 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 96.9% of the change in the one variable (i.e., The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price (EL)) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Bachelor's degrees awarded in Military technologies) over the 10 years from 2012 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 2.7E-7. 0.0000002666855294044064000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.98 in 2.7E-5% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 3,749,735 random variables You don't actually need 3 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 9 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 9 because we have two variables measured over a period of 10 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.93, 1 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
2012201320142015201620172018201920202021
Bachelor's degrees awarded in Military technologies (Degrees awarded)8610518527635846965576711561524
The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price (EL) (Stock price)56.9260.3574.9976.5586.9377.26127.64129.9206.54261.05




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([86,105,185,276,358,469,655,767,1156,1524,])
array_2 = np.array([56.92,60.35,74.99,76.55,86.93,77.26,127.64,129.9,206.54,261.05,])
array_1_name = "Bachelor's degrees awarded in Military technologies"
array_2_name = "The Estée Lauder Companies' stock price (EL)"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

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Correlation ID: 1385 · Black Variable ID: 1284 · Red Variable ID: 1720
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