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Spurious correlation #1,266 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Popularity of the first name Walker and the second variable is ASML Holding's stock price (ASML).  The chart goes from 2002 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
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AI explanation

As the popularity of the name Walker rose, so did the urge to get moving and investing. This drove up the demand for stock in ASML Holding, leading to a notable impact on their stock price. It's clear that the connection between the name Walker and ASML's stock performance is just a step in the right direction for the market!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate a scene that captures the bustling energy of a vintage comic-book-style baby store, with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern. Illustrate the rows of colorful strollers and baby accessories, with eager parents browsing through the selection. The "Walker" stroller model should stand out as a focal point, drawing the attention of many customers. Show the store owner taking decisive action by placing a larger order for strollers with a semiconductor manufacturing equipment supplier, showcasing the surge in demand. Depict the supplier's warehouse filled with high-tech machinery, highlighting the intricate production process. In the background, feature investors discussing the company's impressive sales growth and future potential, with rising stock prices displayed on a digital ticker overhead. Create a rich, visually interesting comic-book-style illustration that brings this bustling and dynamic scene to life. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the situation described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here is a situation: Because the increase in popularity of the first name Walker led to a surge in demand for baby strollers, which in turn drove up sales for ASML Holding's semiconductor manufacturing equipment used in the production of high-tech stroller components. This unexpected baby boom boosted investor confidence and sent the stock price climbing as the market anticipated a promising future for the company in the burgeoning stroller-tech sector.. Given that situation, which of the following image descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand and the tone of the explanation. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: An image that looks like it is a scene from 'Star Wars' Cute cartoon An image that looks like it is a scene from A Disney Movie A comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s A scene from Skyrim
ChatGPT: A comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated and the explanation described. Do not reference graphs or charts; describe physical objects.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that depicts the following situation. Keep the description simple. Because the increase in popularity of the first name Walker led to a surge in demand for baby strollers, which in turn drove up sales for ASML Holding's semiconductor manufacturing equipment used in the production of high-tech stroller components. This unexpected baby boom boosted investor confidence and sent the stock price climbing as the market anticipated a promising future for the company in the burgeoning stroller-tech sector.
ChatGPT: Imagine a bustling baby store, where parents are eagerly browsing through rows of colorful strollers and baby accessories. There is a noticeable increase in the number of customers, with many of them showing interest in a specific stroller model called "Walker." As the demand for the "Walker" stroller surges, the store owner is seen placing an order for a higher quantity of strollers with a semiconductor manufacturing equipment supplier. This supplier's warehouse is filled with high-tech machinery used to produce the intricate components of the strollers. In the background, investors are discussing the impressive sales growth and future potential of the company, evident from the rising stock prices displayed on a digital ticker overhead.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ A comic-book-style illustration with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern from the 1960s ] and depicting this scene: Imagine a bustling baby store, where parents are eagerly browsing through rows of colorful strollers and baby accessories. There is a noticeable increase in the number of customers, with many of them showing interest in a specific stroller model called "Walker." As the demand for the "Walker" stroller surges, the store owner is seen placing an order for a higher quantity of strollers with a semiconductor manufacturing equipment supplier. This supplier's warehouse is filled with high-tech machinery used to produce the intricate components of the strollers. In the background, investors are discussing the impressive sales growth and future potential of the company, evident from the rising stock prices displayed on a digital ticker overhead. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate a scene that captures the bustling energy of a vintage comic-book-style baby store, with muted colors and a dotted halftone pattern. Illustrate the rows of colorful strollers and baby accessories, with eager parents browsing through the selection. The "Walker" stroller model should stand out as a focal point, drawing the attention of many customers. Show the store owner taking decisive action by placing a larger order for strollers with a semiconductor manufacturing equipment supplier, showcasing the surge in demand. Depict the supplier's warehouse filled with high-tech machinery, highlighting the intricate production process. In the background, feature investors discussing the company's impressive sales growth and future potential, with rising stock prices displayed on a digital ticker overhead. Create a rich, visually interesting comic-book-style illustration that brings this bustling and dynamic scene to life.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Popularity of the first name Walker caused ASML Holding's stock price (ASML) to increase. Include one good pun.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Walk-ing the Talk: A Punny Investigation into the Connection between the Popularity of the Name Walker and ASML Holding's Stock Price

International Journal of Linguistic Puns and Financial Speculation

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Walker and ASML Holding's stock price (ASML). You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Include a pun in the title.

Your research team used data from US Social Security Administration and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9918453 and p < 0.01 for 2002 to 2022.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
"Walk-ing the Talk: A Punny Investigation into the Connection between the Popularity of the Name Walker and ASML Holding's Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the curious relationship between the popularity of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we analyzed the correlation between the prevalence of the name "Walker" and the fluctuations in ASML Holding's stock price from 2002 to 2022. Our findings reveal a staggering correlation coefficient of 0.9918453 with p < 0.01, emphasizing a remarkably strong association between these seemingly unrelated variables.

To our astonishment, we discovered that as the popularity of the name "Walker" surged, ASML Holding's stock price mirrored this upward trend. It seems that the name "Walker" has been more than just a popular choice for parents; it has also acted as a peculiar harbinger for the stock performance of ASML Holding. This correlation, ridiculous as it may seem, defies traditional financial logic and calls for further investigation into the underlying reasons behind this unlikely rapport. Perhaps the name "Walker" truly does have the remarkable ability to, quite literally, "walk" ASML Holding's stock price up the charts!

Our study not only uncovers this uncanny connection but also sheds light on the whimsical side of statistical analysis, reminding us that sometimes the most unexpected correlations can lead to fruitful insights. After all, when it comes to the stock market, it seems that the name "Walker" is not just a pedestrian variable after all – it's a stock-picking powerhouse!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Walker and ASML Holding's stock price (ASML). You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Walk-ing the Talk: A Punny Investigation into the Connection between the Popularity of the Name Walker and ASML Holding's Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the curious relationship between the popularity of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we analyzed the correlation between the prevalence of the name "Walker" and the fluctuations in ASML Holding's stock price from 2002 to 2022. Our findings reveal a staggering correlation coefficient of 0.9918453 with p < 0.01, emphasizing a remarkably strong association between these seemingly unrelated variables.

To our astonishment, we discovered that as the popularity of the name "Walker" surged, ASML Holding's stock price mirrored this upward trend. It seems that the name "Walker" has been more than just a popular choice for parents; it has also acted as a peculiar harbinger for the stock performance of ASML Holding. This correlation, ridiculous as it may seem, defies traditional financial logic and calls for further investigation into the underlying reasons behind this unlikely rapport. Perhaps the name "Walker" truly does have the remarkable ability to, quite literally, "walk" ASML Holding's stock price up the charts!

Our study not only uncovers this uncanny connection but also sheds light on the whimsical side of statistical analysis, reminding us that sometimes the most unexpected correlations can lead to fruitful insights. After all, when it comes to the stock market, it seems that the name "Walker" is not just a pedestrian variable after all – it's a stock-picking powerhouse!

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

Economic and financial analyses often seek to unravel the complex relationships between various factors that influence stock prices. While the causal factors typically encompass economic indicators, industry performance, and company-specific events, one might not expect the popularity of a first name to play a significant role in predicting stock price movement. However, in what can only be described as a truly whimsical turn of events, our investigation has uncovered a remarkably strong association between the prevalence of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding.

As we delve into this peculiar phenomenon, we are reminded of the words of an esteemed economist who once said, "The stock market is filled with ups and downs, but sometimes it's the unexpected correlations that really leave us feeling 'punny'." Indeed, it appears that the name "Walker" has defied conventional financial wisdom, tiptoeing its way into a position of unexpected influence within the stock market.

But before we embark on this deliriously delightful journey of statistical merriment, we must emphasize the utmost seriousness and rigor with which this study has been conducted. Our findings are not to be taken lightly; they are a product of meticulous data analysis and an unwavering commitment to statistical integrity. However, in the spirit of a well-timed jest, we cannot resist the temptation to sprinkle a few puns and lighthearted observations as we navigate this extraordinary relationship between a simple name and a multinational corporation's stock performance. After all, as renowned investor Warren Buffett once quipped, "In the world of investing, it is important to have a good sense of humor – preferably a whoopie cushion tied to a stock portfolio."

In the following sections, we will present a thorough exploration of the connection between the popularity of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. Additionally, we will unravel the statistical intricacies underlying this correlation and propose potential mechanisms through which such a link could manifest. As we embark on this journey, we invite our readers to indulge in a moment of statistical levity and appreciate the unanticipated humor that can arise from the most seemingly serious of subjects. So, let us venture forth, with a name like "Walker" leading the way, and perhaps stumble upon a statistical revelation that leaves us all grinning from ear to ear.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Walker and ASML Holding's stock price (ASML). You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name some movies that you watched that are tangentially related to the topic.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Walk-ing the Talk: A Punny Investigation into the Connection between the Popularity of the Name Walker and ASML Holding's Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the curious relationship between the popularity of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we analyzed the correlation between the prevalence of the name "Walker" and the fluctuations in ASML Holding's stock price from 2002 to 2022. Our findings reveal a staggering correlation coefficient of 0.9918453 with p < 0.01, emphasizing a remarkably strong association between these seemingly unrelated variables.

To our astonishment, we discovered that as the popularity of the name "Walker" surged, ASML Holding's stock price mirrored this upward trend. It seems that the name "Walker" has been more than just a popular choice for parents; it has also acted as a peculiar harbinger for the stock performance of ASML Holding. This correlation, ridiculous as it may seem, defies traditional financial logic and calls for further investigation into the underlying reasons behind this unlikely rapport. Perhaps the name "Walker" truly does have the remarkable ability to, quite literally, "walk" ASML Holding's stock price up the charts!

Our study not only uncovers this uncanny connection but also sheds light on the whimsical side of statistical analysis, reminding us that sometimes the most unexpected correlations can lead to fruitful insights. After all, when it comes to the stock market, it seems that the name "Walker" is not just a pedestrian variable after all – it's a stock-picking powerhouse!

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
Economic and financial analyses often seek to unravel the complex relationships between various factors that influence stock prices. While the causal factors typically encompass economic indicators, industry performance, and company-specific events, one might not expect the popularity of a first name to play a significant role in predicting stock price movement. However, in what can only be described as a truly whimsical turn of events, our investigation has uncovered a remarkably strong association between the prevalence of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding.
As we delve into this peculiar phenomenon, we are reminded of the words of an esteemed economist who once said, "The stock market is filled with ups and downs, but sometimes it's the unexpected correlations that really leave us feeling 'punny'." Indeed, it appears that the name "Walker" has defied conventional financial wisdom, tiptoeing its way into a position of unexpected influence within the stock market.
But before we embark on this deliriously delightful journey of statistical merriment, we must emphasize the utmost seriousness and rigor with which this study has been conducted. Our findings are not to be taken lightly; they are a product of meticulous data analysis and an unwavering commitment to statistical integrity. However, in the spirit of a well-timed jest, we cannot resist the temptation to sprinkle a few puns and lighthearted observations as we navigate this extraordinary relationship between a simple name and a multinational corporation's stock performance. After all, as renowned investor Warren Buffett once quipped, "In the world of investing, it is important to have a good sense of humor – preferably a whoopie cushion tied to a stock portfolio."
In the following sections, we will present a thorough exploration of the connection between the popularity of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. Additionally, we will unravel the statistical intricacies underlying this correlation and propose potential mechanisms through which such a link could manifest. As we embark on this journey, we invite our readers to indulge in a moment of statistical levity and appreciate the unanticipated humor that can arise from the most seemingly serious of subjects. So, let us venture forth, with a name like "Walker" leading the way, and perhaps stumble upon a statistical revelation that leaves us all grinning from ear to ear.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

In their seminal work, Smith and Doe (2010) examined the societal impact of first names on various aspects of life, touching upon fields such as psychology, sociology, and linguistics. Their comprehensive analysis delved into the cultural and psychological nuances associated with names, shedding light on the subtle yet profound influence they exert on individuals' perceptions and experiences. Despite the gravity of their research, one cannot help but ponder: "Did they consider the impact of names on stock prices, or were they too wrapped up in the psychological implications of nomenclature?"

Speaking of wrapped up, did you hear about the economist who got entangled in his own data? He really couldn't handle the correlation co-efficient!

Expanding on this theme, Jones (2015) explored the correlations between seemingly disparate variables in the financial realm. His work sought to challenge conventional wisdom and expose the interconnectivity of factors that are often overlooked in traditional economic analyses. While Jones' research delved into complex economic indicators and market trends, one wonders if he ever stumbled upon a correlation as charmingly absurd as the one we have uncovered regarding the name "Walker" and ASML Holding's stock performance.

It's like the stock market has a "Walker" in the park, leading it in unexpected directions!

In "The Power of Names," the authors delved into the historical significance and social perceptions of names, illuminating the profound impact that a simple moniker can have on an individual's life. Could it be that the name "Walker" holds a power beyond personal identity – one that extends its reach into the realm of multinational corporations and stock markets? The implications of such an assertion verge on the comical, yet the statistical evidence cannot be ignored.

As we wade into the realm of fiction, it is intriguing to consider the potential influence of fictional adventurers with the name "Walker" on the collective consciousness. Characters such as "Johnny Walker" and "Taylor Walker" have roamed through the imaginary landscapes of novels, possessing an irresistible charm and a knack for winding up in delightfully whimsical situations. Could it be that the name "Walker" has conjured a similar aura of allure that captivates the stock market's sentiments, leading to unforeseen fluctuations in ASML Holding's stock price?

It's like the stock market is taking a stroll with "Walker" and finding itself in an unexpected place!

In the age of visual storytelling, movies have captured the essence of "walking" in numerous captivating narratives. From "The Walker" to "Walking Tall," cinematic portrayals of characters embracing the act of walking have left an indelible mark on our cultural consciousness. As we ponder this correlation between a name and a stock price, we cannot help but envisage a cinematic adaptation of this unlikely connection, where the protagonist's name yields the power to sway entire financial markets.

It's like the stock market is following the script of "Walker's" story, hook, line, and sinker!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Walker and ASML Holding's stock price (ASML). You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) . You used data from 2002 to 2022

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Walk-ing the Talk: A Punny Investigation into the Connection between the Popularity of the Name Walker and ASML Holding's Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the curious relationship between the popularity of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we analyzed the correlation between the prevalence of the name "Walker" and the fluctuations in ASML Holding's stock price from 2002 to 2022. Our findings reveal a staggering correlation coefficient of 0.9918453 with p < 0.01, emphasizing a remarkably strong association between these seemingly unrelated variables.

To our astonishment, we discovered that as the popularity of the name "Walker" surged, ASML Holding's stock price mirrored this upward trend. It seems that the name "Walker" has been more than just a popular choice for parents; it has also acted as a peculiar harbinger for the stock performance of ASML Holding. This correlation, ridiculous as it may seem, defies traditional financial logic and calls for further investigation into the underlying reasons behind this unlikely rapport. Perhaps the name "Walker" truly does have the remarkable ability to, quite literally, "walk" ASML Holding's stock price up the charts!

Our study not only uncovers this uncanny connection but also sheds light on the whimsical side of statistical analysis, reminding us that sometimes the most unexpected correlations can lead to fruitful insights. After all, when it comes to the stock market, it seems that the name "Walker" is not just a pedestrian variable after all – it's a stock-picking powerhouse!

[[INTRODUCTION]]
Economic and financial analyses often seek to unravel the complex relationships between various factors that influence stock prices. While the causal factors typically encompass economic indicators, industry performance, and company-specific events, one might not expect the popularity of a first name to play a significant role in predicting stock price movement. However, in what can only be described as a truly whimsical turn of events, our investigation has uncovered a remarkably strong association between the prevalence of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding.
As we delve into this peculiar phenomenon, we are reminded of the words of an esteemed economist who once said, "The stock market is filled with ups and downs, but sometimes it's the unexpected correlations that really leave us feeling 'punny'." Indeed, it appears that the name "Walker" has defied conventional financial wisdom, tiptoeing its way into a position of unexpected influence within the stock market.
But before we embark on this deliriously delightful journey of statistical merriment, we must emphasize the utmost seriousness and rigor with which this study has been conducted. Our findings are not to be taken lightly; they are a product of meticulous data analysis and an unwavering commitment to statistical integrity. However, in the spirit of a well-timed jest, we cannot resist the temptation to sprinkle a few puns and lighthearted observations as we navigate this extraordinary relationship between a simple name and a multinational corporation's stock performance. After all, as renowned investor Warren Buffett once quipped, "In the world of investing, it is important to have a good sense of humor – preferably a whoopie cushion tied to a stock portfolio."
In the following sections, we will present a thorough exploration of the connection between the popularity of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. Additionally, we will unravel the statistical intricacies underlying this correlation and propose potential mechanisms through which such a link could manifest. As we embark on this journey, we invite our readers to indulge in a moment of statistical levity and appreciate the unanticipated humor that can arise from the most seemingly serious of subjects. So, let us venture forth, with a name like "Walker" leading the way, and perhaps stumble upon a statistical revelation that leaves us all grinning from ear to ear.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To investigate the uncanny connection between the popularity of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding, we utilized a mix of traditional statistical analyses and a touch of whimsical wit. Our data collection spanned from 2002 to 2022, encompassing a robust time frame for comprehensive analysis.

First, we employed data retrieval techniques that were as meticulous as a father steak-grilling for a family barbecue – we sought information from the US Social Security Administration to acquire the prevalence of the name "Walker" over the specified time period. This involved sifting through vast databases with the precision of a pun-slinging wordsmith searching for material to craft the perfect joke. Additionally, stock price data for ASML Holding was obtained from LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), ensuring a comprehensive and reliable source for our analysis.

We employed a series of statistical methodologies to unearth any potential correlations between the popularity of the name "Walker" and ASML Holding's stock price. Utilizing regression analyses, we sought to quantify the strength of the relationship, keeping in mind that uncovering a strong correlation would be as surprising as finding a hidden gem in a dad joke – utterly delightful and entirely unexpected.

The analysis confronted a series of challenges, much like a merchant navigating a sea of financial data in search of the elusive treasure of statistical significance. We wrangled with complexities, identifying potential confounding variables and employing robust techniques to mitigate their impact. Our approach balanced robustness and levity, much like a tightrope walker with a flair for the comical – maintaining stability while embracing the unexpected.

In conjunction with traditional statistical methods, we injected a dose of creative reasoning and speculative exploration – much like a father earnestly trying to convince his kids that his dad jokes are, in fact, hilarious. We delved into potential behavioral and psychological underpinnings, considering the influence of cultural and societal trends on both the naming of children and investment behaviors. We explored these avenues of inquiry with the diligence of a researcher focused on unraveling the enigmatic layers of this unexpected correlation.

The reliability and validity of our findings were rigorously scrutinized, with statistical significance thresholds upheld with the vigilance of a dedicated dad watching the barbecue to ensure the perfect doneness of the steaks. Ultimately, our methodology sought to bring a dash of statistical mirth to the investigation while upholding the steadfast principles of academic rigor and intellectual inquiry.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Walker and ASML Holding's stock price (ASML). You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv) .

For the time period 2002 to 2022, you found a correlation 0.9918453, r-squared of 0.9837570, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Walk-ing the Talk: A Punny Investigation into the Connection between the Popularity of the Name Walker and ASML Holding's Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the curious relationship between the popularity of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we analyzed the correlation between the prevalence of the name "Walker" and the fluctuations in ASML Holding's stock price from 2002 to 2022. Our findings reveal a staggering correlation coefficient of 0.9918453 with p < 0.01, emphasizing a remarkably strong association between these seemingly unrelated variables.

To our astonishment, we discovered that as the popularity of the name "Walker" surged, ASML Holding's stock price mirrored this upward trend. It seems that the name "Walker" has been more than just a popular choice for parents; it has also acted as a peculiar harbinger for the stock performance of ASML Holding. This correlation, ridiculous as it may seem, defies traditional financial logic and calls for further investigation into the underlying reasons behind this unlikely rapport. Perhaps the name "Walker" truly does have the remarkable ability to, quite literally, "walk" ASML Holding's stock price up the charts!

Our study not only uncovers this uncanny connection but also sheds light on the whimsical side of statistical analysis, reminding us that sometimes the most unexpected correlations can lead to fruitful insights. After all, when it comes to the stock market, it seems that the name "Walker" is not just a pedestrian variable after all – it's a stock-picking powerhouse!

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
Economic and financial analyses often seek to unravel the complex relationships between various factors that influence stock prices. While the causal factors typically encompass economic indicators, industry performance, and company-specific events, one might not expect the popularity of a first name to play a significant role in predicting stock price movement. However, in what can only be described as a truly whimsical turn of events, our investigation has uncovered a remarkably strong association between the prevalence of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding.
As we delve into this peculiar phenomenon, we are reminded of the words of an esteemed economist who once said, "The stock market is filled with ups and downs, but sometimes it's the unexpected correlations that really leave us feeling 'punny'." Indeed, it appears that the name "Walker" has defied conventional financial wisdom, tiptoeing its way into a position of unexpected influence within the stock market.
But before we embark on this deliriously delightful journey of statistical merriment, we must emphasize the utmost seriousness and rigor with which this study has been conducted. Our findings are not to be taken lightly; they are a product of meticulous data analysis and an unwavering commitment to statistical integrity. However, in the spirit of a well-timed jest, we cannot resist the temptation to sprinkle a few puns and lighthearted observations as we navigate this extraordinary relationship between a simple name and a multinational corporation's stock performance. After all, as renowned investor Warren Buffett once quipped, "In the world of investing, it is important to have a good sense of humor – preferably a whoopie cushion tied to a stock portfolio."
In the following sections, we will present a thorough exploration of the connection between the popularity of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. Additionally, we will unravel the statistical intricacies underlying this correlation and propose potential mechanisms through which such a link could manifest. As we embark on this journey, we invite our readers to indulge in a moment of statistical levity and appreciate the unanticipated humor that can arise from the most seemingly serious of subjects. So, let us venture forth, with a name like "Walker" leading the way, and perhaps stumble upon a statistical revelation that leaves us all grinning from ear to ear.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The results of our analysis revealed a striking correlation between the popularity of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. Over the time period of 2002 to 2022, we found a correlation coefficient of 0.9918453, indicating an exceptionally strong positive relationship. This finding was supported by an r-squared value of 0.9837570, further underscoring the robustness of the observed association. In addition, the p-value of less than 0.01 signified a highly significant relationship between the two variables, providing compelling evidence for the unlikely but undeniable connection.

Fig. 1 showcases the scatterplot illustrating the remarkable correlation between the prevalence of the name "Walker" and ASML Holding's stock price.

Now, let's "walk" through these results together, shall we? It seems that the name "Walker" has not only been making strides in the realm of popular monikers but has also been leaving an impressively consistent footprint on the stock price of ASML Holding. One might even say that this correlation is nothing short of a "step" in the right direction for those intrigued by the intersection of nomenclature and finance.

Given the strength of this correlation, one might wonder whether ASML Holding's stock price responds to the whims of baby-naming trends. Could it be that an influx of baby Walkers leads to a surge in stock performance, or is it merely a delightful statistical coincidence? The answer may elude us, but one thing is certain – the name "Walker" appears to have taken a leisurely stroll into the limelight of stock market correlations.

In conclusion, these results highlight the surprising and inexplicable relationship between the popularity of the first name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. This discovery not only prompts further investigation into the underlying mechanisms driving this correlation but also serves as a reminder that statistical analysis, much like life itself, can often be filled with unexpected and wonderfully amusing surprises. It seems that sometimes, even in the world of finance, a name can leave an indelible mark – and in the case of "Walker," it's a mark that seems to make stock prices trot along in perfect harmony.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Walker and ASML Holding's stock price (ASML). You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"Walk-ing the Talk: A Punny Investigation into the Connection between the Popularity of the Name Walker and ASML Holding's Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the curious relationship between the popularity of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we analyzed the correlation between the prevalence of the name "Walker" and the fluctuations in ASML Holding's stock price from 2002 to 2022. Our findings reveal a staggering correlation coefficient of 0.9918453 with p < 0.01, emphasizing a remarkably strong association between these seemingly unrelated variables.

To our astonishment, we discovered that as the popularity of the name "Walker" surged, ASML Holding's stock price mirrored this upward trend. It seems that the name "Walker" has been more than just a popular choice for parents; it has also acted as a peculiar harbinger for the stock performance of ASML Holding. This correlation, ridiculous as it may seem, defies traditional financial logic and calls for further investigation into the underlying reasons behind this unlikely rapport. Perhaps the name "Walker" truly does have the remarkable ability to, quite literally, "walk" ASML Holding's stock price up the charts!

Our study not only uncovers this uncanny connection but also sheds light on the whimsical side of statistical analysis, reminding us that sometimes the most unexpected correlations can lead to fruitful insights. After all, when it comes to the stock market, it seems that the name "Walker" is not just a pedestrian variable after all – it's a stock-picking powerhouse!

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
In their seminal work, Smith and Doe (2010) examined the societal impact of first names on various aspects of life, touching upon fields such as psychology, sociology, and linguistics. Their comprehensive analysis delved into the cultural and psychological nuances associated with names, shedding light on the subtle yet profound influence they exert on individuals' perceptions and experiences. Despite the gravity of their research, one cannot help but ponder: "Did they consider the impact of names on stock prices, or were they too wrapped up in the psychological implications of nomenclature?"
Speaking of wrapped up, did you hear about the economist who got entangled in his own data? He really couldn't handle the correlation co-efficient!
Expanding on this theme, Jones (2015) explored the correlations between seemingly disparate variables in the financial realm. His work sought to challenge conventional wisdom and expose the interconnectivity of factors that are often overlooked in traditional economic analyses. While Jones' research delved into complex economic indicators and market trends, one wonders if he ever stumbled upon a correlation as charmingly absurd as the one we have uncovered regarding the name "Walker" and ASML Holding's stock performance.
It's like the stock market has a "Walker" in the park, leading it in unexpected directions!
In "The Power of Names," the authors delved into the historical significance and social perceptions of names, illuminating the profound impact that a simple moniker can have on an individual's life. Could it be that the name "Walker" holds a power beyond personal identity – one that extends its reach into the realm of multinational corporations and stock markets? The implications of such an assertion verge on the comical, yet the statistical evidence cannot be ignored.
As we wade into the realm of fiction, it is intriguing to consider the potential influence of fictional adventurers with the name "Walker" on the collective consciousness. Characters such as "Johnny Walker" and "Taylor Walker" have roamed through the imaginary landscapes of novels, possessing an irresistible charm and a knack for winding up in delightfully whimsical situations. Could it be that the name "Walker" has conjured a similar aura of allure that captivates the stock market's sentiments, leading to unforeseen fluctuations in ASML Holding's stock price?
It's like the stock market is taking a stroll with "Walker" and finding itself in an unexpected place!
In the age of visual storytelling, movies have captured the essence of "walking" in numerous captivating narratives. From "The Walker" to "Walking Tall," cinematic portrayals of characters embracing the act of walking have left an indelible mark on our cultural consciousness. As we ponder this correlation between a name and a stock price, we cannot help but envisage a cinematic adaptation of this unlikely connection, where the protagonist's name yields the power to sway entire financial markets.
It's like the stock market is following the script of "Walker's" story, hook, line, and sinker!

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our analysis revealed a striking correlation between the popularity of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. Over the time period of 2002 to 2022, we found a correlation coefficient of 0.9918453, indicating an exceptionally strong positive relationship. This finding was supported by an r-squared value of 0.9837570, further underscoring the robustness of the observed association. In addition, the p-value of less than 0.01 signified a highly significant relationship between the two variables, providing compelling evidence for the unlikely but undeniable connection.
Fig. 1 showcases the scatterplot illustrating the remarkable correlation between the prevalence of the name "Walker" and ASML Holding's stock price.
Now, let's "walk" through these results together, shall we? It seems that the name "Walker" has not only been making strides in the realm of popular monikers but has also been leaving an impressively consistent footprint on the stock price of ASML Holding. One might even say that this correlation is nothing short of a "step" in the right direction for those intrigued by the intersection of nomenclature and finance.
Given the strength of this correlation, one might wonder whether ASML Holding's stock price responds to the whims of baby-naming trends. Could it be that an influx of baby Walkers leads to a surge in stock performance, or is it merely a delightful statistical coincidence? The answer may elude us, but one thing is certain – the name "Walker" appears to have taken a leisurely stroll into the limelight of stock market correlations.
In conclusion, these results highlight the surprising and inexplicable relationship between the popularity of the first name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. This discovery not only prompts further investigation into the underlying mechanisms driving this correlation but also serves as a reminder that statistical analysis, much like life itself, can often be filled with unexpected and wonderfully amusing surprises. It seems that sometimes, even in the world of finance, a name can leave an indelible mark – and in the case of "Walker," it's a mark that seems to make stock prices trot along in perfect harmony.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The remarkable findings of this study unearth a compelling connection between the prevalence of the first name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding, shedding light on a hitherto unexplored avenue of statistical inquiry. Our results provide striking confirmation of an exceptionally strong positive correlation, with a correlation coefficient of 0.9918453 and an r-squared value of 0.9837570, underscoring the robustness of this peculiar relationship.

The correlation identified in this study not only echoes the findings of Smith and Doe (2010) regarding the societal impact of first names but also adds a new dimension to the influence of names on broader sociocultural phenomena. It appears that the impact of names extends far beyond individual psychology and societal dynamics; it appears that they can even infiltrate the domain of financial markets. As we uncover this unexpected correlation, one cannot help but marvel at the far-reaching implications of something as seemingly trivial as a name.

Speaking of reaching, one might say that our findings "walk" a fine line between the rational and the whimsical, delving into the fantastical realm of correlations where the name "Walker" stands as a steadfast protagonist leading ASML Holding's stock price along an enthralling narrative. Much like a popular TV show, it seems that the stock market has been captivated by the compelling allure of the name "Walker," following its lead with unwavering enthusiasm.

The statistical evidence presented in this study not only supports the correlation observed but also invites further speculation and playful contemplation. Could it be that the sheer prevalence of the name "Walker" has unwittingly transformed it into a financial influencer, swaying the tendencies of ASML Holding's stock price with each newborn bearer of this auspicious name? It may sound like the plot of an improbable sitcom, but our findings compel us to entertain such whimsical musings.

Moreover, our results affirm the work of Jones (2015) on the exploration of correlations between apparently unrelated variables in the financial realm. While Jones may not have anticipated a correlation as whimsical as the one we have uncovered, our findings certainly align with his call to challenge conventional economic wisdom and embrace the unexpected interconnections that underpin market dynamics. In the continuum of scholarly research, our work presents an intriguing addition, engaging with the quirky intersection of nomenclature and stock performance, much to the delight of those who appreciate a touch of statistical whimsy.

In the grand narrative of statistical analysis, it appears that the name "Walker" has etched itself as a compelling protagonist, lending an inexplicable charm to the otherwise rational world of finance. It beckons us to ponder the curious ways in which statistical relationships can manifest and, much like a well-timed joke, leave a lasting impression.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Walker and ASML Holding's stock price (ASML). You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"Walk-ing the Talk: A Punny Investigation into the Connection between the Popularity of the Name Walker and ASML Holding's Stock Price"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the curious relationship between the popularity of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we analyzed the correlation between the prevalence of the name "Walker" and the fluctuations in ASML Holding's stock price from 2002 to 2022. Our findings reveal a staggering correlation coefficient of 0.9918453 with p < 0.01, emphasizing a remarkably strong association between these seemingly unrelated variables.

To our astonishment, we discovered that as the popularity of the name "Walker" surged, ASML Holding's stock price mirrored this upward trend. It seems that the name "Walker" has been more than just a popular choice for parents; it has also acted as a peculiar harbinger for the stock performance of ASML Holding. This correlation, ridiculous as it may seem, defies traditional financial logic and calls for further investigation into the underlying reasons behind this unlikely rapport. Perhaps the name "Walker" truly does have the remarkable ability to, quite literally, "walk" ASML Holding's stock price up the charts!

Our study not only uncovers this uncanny connection but also sheds light on the whimsical side of statistical analysis, reminding us that sometimes the most unexpected correlations can lead to fruitful insights. After all, when it comes to the stock market, it seems that the name "Walker" is not just a pedestrian variable after all – it's a stock-picking powerhouse!

[[INTRDUCTION]]
Economic and financial analyses often seek to unravel the complex relationships between various factors that influence stock prices. While the causal factors typically encompass economic indicators, industry performance, and company-specific events, one might not expect the popularity of a first name to play a significant role in predicting stock price movement. However, in what can only be described as a truly whimsical turn of events, our investigation has uncovered a remarkably strong association between the prevalence of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding.
As we delve into this peculiar phenomenon, we are reminded of the words of an esteemed economist who once said, "The stock market is filled with ups and downs, but sometimes it's the unexpected correlations that really leave us feeling 'punny'." Indeed, it appears that the name "Walker" has defied conventional financial wisdom, tiptoeing its way into a position of unexpected influence within the stock market.
But before we embark on this deliriously delightful journey of statistical merriment, we must emphasize the utmost seriousness and rigor with which this study has been conducted. Our findings are not to be taken lightly; they are a product of meticulous data analysis and an unwavering commitment to statistical integrity. However, in the spirit of a well-timed jest, we cannot resist the temptation to sprinkle a few puns and lighthearted observations as we navigate this extraordinary relationship between a simple name and a multinational corporation's stock performance. After all, as renowned investor Warren Buffett once quipped, "In the world of investing, it is important to have a good sense of humor – preferably a whoopie cushion tied to a stock portfolio."
In the following sections, we will present a thorough exploration of the connection between the popularity of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. Additionally, we will unravel the statistical intricacies underlying this correlation and propose potential mechanisms through which such a link could manifest. As we embark on this journey, we invite our readers to indulge in a moment of statistical levity and appreciate the unanticipated humor that can arise from the most seemingly serious of subjects. So, let us venture forth, with a name like "Walker" leading the way, and perhaps stumble upon a statistical revelation that leaves us all grinning from ear to ear.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our analysis revealed a striking correlation between the popularity of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. Over the time period of 2002 to 2022, we found a correlation coefficient of 0.9918453, indicating an exceptionally strong positive relationship. This finding was supported by an r-squared value of 0.9837570, further underscoring the robustness of the observed association. In addition, the p-value of less than 0.01 signified a highly significant relationship between the two variables, providing compelling evidence for the unlikely but undeniable connection.
Fig. 1 showcases the scatterplot illustrating the remarkable correlation between the prevalence of the name "Walker" and ASML Holding's stock price.
Now, let's "walk" through these results together, shall we? It seems that the name "Walker" has not only been making strides in the realm of popular monikers but has also been leaving an impressively consistent footprint on the stock price of ASML Holding. One might even say that this correlation is nothing short of a "step" in the right direction for those intrigued by the intersection of nomenclature and finance.
Given the strength of this correlation, one might wonder whether ASML Holding's stock price responds to the whims of baby-naming trends. Could it be that an influx of baby Walkers leads to a surge in stock performance, or is it merely a delightful statistical coincidence? The answer may elude us, but one thing is certain – the name "Walker" appears to have taken a leisurely stroll into the limelight of stock market correlations.
In conclusion, these results highlight the surprising and inexplicable relationship between the popularity of the first name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. This discovery not only prompts further investigation into the underlying mechanisms driving this correlation but also serves as a reminder that statistical analysis, much like life itself, can often be filled with unexpected and wonderfully amusing surprises. It seems that sometimes, even in the world of finance, a name can leave an indelible mark – and in the case of "Walker," it's a mark that seems to make stock prices trot along in perfect harmony.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In concluding our investigation into the peculiar relationship between the popularity of the first name "Walker" and ASML Holding's stock price, we must reflect on the unexpected twists and turns that statistical analysis can reveal. The correlation coefficient of 0.9918453 with a p-value of less than 0.01 has left us not only astounded but also somewhat amused by the whimsical nature of this connection. It seems that the name "Walker" has indeed taken a firm stride into the realm of stock market influence, leaving us pondering if ASML Holding's fortunes are, quite literally, "walked" into existence by this seemingly benign name.

While the statistical rigor of our study demands our utmost respect, we cannot resist the urge to ponder whether future "Walkers" should consider diversifying their portfolios into ASML Holding stock. Perhaps there is a bona fide "Walker effect" at play here, propelling stock prices skyward with each newborn bearing the name. These findings may even lead to a new investment strategy - the "Walker Walk," if you will, where investors closely monitor baby naming trends for stock market insights. Who knew that a stroll through the world of finance could be so pun-derful?

As we conclude this delightfully unexpected journey, we acknowledge the need for further research to unravel the enigmatic connection between the name "Walker" and ASML Holding's stock price. However, in the spirit of statistical merriment, we propose that no more research is needed in this area. Perhaps some mysteries are best left to be enjoyed with a side of statistical humor.

It seems that when it comes to the stock market, statistical analysis, and baby names, there will always be surprises waiting to be uncovered. As we sign off, we hope our readers remember that in the world of research, as in life, it's essential to maintain a good sense of humor, even if it means occasionally taking a "walk" on the punnier side of things.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Walk-ing the Talk: A Punny Investigation into the Connection between the Popularity of the Name Walker and ASML Holding's Stock Price. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

International Journal of Linguistic Puns and Financial Speculation


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Walk-ing the Talk: A Punny Investigation into the Connection between the Popularity of the Name Walker and ASML Holding's Stock Price. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Society for Quirky Quantitative Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Walk-ing the Talk: A Punny Investigation into the Connection between the Popularity of the Name Walker and ASML Holding's Stock Price with an abstract of In this study, we investigate the curious relationship between the popularity of the name "Walker" and the stock price of ASML Holding. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv), we analyzed the correlation between the prevalence of the name "Walker" and the fluctuations in ASML Holding's stock price from 2002 to 2022. Our findings reveal a staggering correlation coefficient of 0.9918453 with p < 0.01, emphasizing a remarkably strong association between these seemingly unrelated variables.
To our astonishment, we discovered that as the popularity of the name "Walker" surged, ASML Holding's stock price mirrored this upward trend. It seems that the name "Walker" has been more than just a popular choice for parents; it has also acted as a peculiar harbinger for the stock performance of ASML Holding. This correlation, ridiculous as it may seem, defies traditional financial logic and calls for further investigation into the underlying reasons behind this unlikely rapport. Perhaps the name "Walker" truly does have the remarkable ability to, quite literally, "walk" ASML Holding's stock price up the charts!
Our study not only uncovers this uncanny connection but also sheds light on the whimsical side of statistical analysis, reminding us that sometimes the most unexpected correlations can lead to fruitful insights. After all, when it comes to the stock market, it seems that the name "Walker" is not just a pedestrian variable after all – it's a stock-picking powerhouse!

ChatGPT:

Walker name popularity, ASML Holding stock price, correlation analysis, US Social Security Administration data, LSEG Analytics, Refinitiv data, stock market prediction, statistical analysis, correlation coefficient, financial logic, stock market trends, whimsical statistical analysis

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Popularity of the first name Walker
Detailed data title: Babies of all sexes born in the US named Walker
Source: US Social Security Administration
See what else correlates with Popularity of the first name Walker

ASML Holding's stock price (ASML)
Detailed data title: Opening price of ASML Holding (ASML) on the first trading day of the year
Source: LSEG Analytics (Refinitiv)
Additional Info: Via Microsoft Excel Stockhistory function

See what else correlates with ASML Holding's stock price (ASML)

Correlation r = 0.9918453 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9837570 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 98.4% of the change in the one variable (i.e., ASML Holding's stock price (ASML)) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Popularity of the first name Walker) over the 21 years from 2002 through 2022.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 1.8E-18. 0.0000000000000000018255119110
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.99 in 1.8E-16% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 547,791,550,399,804,544 random variables You don't actually need 547 quadrillion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 20 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 20 because we have two variables measured over a period of 21 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.98, 1 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
Popularity of the first name Walker (Babies born)628638740812708609559595656686715857106410281062111913681675190729834389
ASML Holding's stock price (ASML) (Stock price)25.6412.7129.8823.4829.7535.6940.7922.9945.1850.455.8165.9892.62107.6787.29110.98174.14154.28301.27499.99795.74




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Outlandish outliers: There are "outliers" in this data. In concept, "outlier" just means "way different than the rest of your dataset." When calculating a correlation like this, they are particularly impactful because a single outlier can substantially increase your correlation.

    For the purposes of this project, I counted a point as an outlier if it the residual was two standard deviations from the mean.

    (This bullet point only shows up in the details page on charts that do, in fact, have outliers.)
    They stand out on the scatterplot above: notice the dots that are far away from any other dots. I intentionally mishandeled outliers, which makes the correlation look extra strong.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([628,638,740,812,708,609,559,595,656,686,715,857,1064,1028,1062,1119,1368,1675,1907,2983,4389,])
array_2 = np.array([25.64,12.71,29.88,23.48,29.75,35.69,40.79,22.99,45.18,50.4,55.81,65.98,92.62,107.67,87.29,110.98,174.14,154.28,301.27,499.99,795.74,])
array_1_name = "Popularity of the first name Walker"
array_2_name = "ASML Holding's stock price (ASML)"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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Correlation ID: 1266 · Black Variable ID: 2876 · Red Variable ID: 1569
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