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Spurious correlation #1,175 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Jet fuel used in Senegal and the second variable is Automotive recalls for issues with the Engine And Engine Cooling.  The chart goes from 1980 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

Well, it's simple really. As the saying goes, "Senegal's jet-setters are revving up the automotive industry!" The more jet fuel Senegal uses, the greater the need for top-notch engine performance. It's like their car engines are saying, "Jet me to the mechanic, I need some high-octane lovin'!" Who knew that Senegal's skies were fueling a recall revolution on the roads? Looks like the connection between jet fuel and automotive recalls is just taking off!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image of a cybernetic artwork that features a bustling airport in Senegal. In the scene, airplanes are captured taking off and landing, leaving vibrant trails of jet fuel in the sky. As the jets soar overhead, whimsical creatures resembling mischievous cybernetic gremlins appear in the air, seemingly formed from the jet fuel. These enchanting creatures joyfully drift down to the ground and stealthily infiltrate car engines, causing chaos and mischief. Concurrently, automotive engineers are showcased scratching their heads and brainstorming ways to combat these troublesome cybernetic gremlins. This imagery embodies the unexpected correlation between increased jet fuel utilization and an escalation in automotive recalls due to engine issues. The representation should be simple and devoid of any text or dialogue. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the situation described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here is a situation: The increase in jet fuel used in Senegal caused automotive recalls for issues with the Engine And Engine Cooling to also increase because high-flying airplanes are unknowingly spitting out bits of jet fuel that magically transform into tiny engine gremlins upon entering the atmosphere. These mischievous little critters then sneak into car engines and wreak havoc, prompting a sudden surge in recalls. It's a little-known side effect of air travel, and unfortunately, automotive engineers are still trying to figure out a way to fend off these pesky sky-fuel creatures.. Given that situation, which of the following image descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand and the tone of the explanation. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Cybernetic art Cybernetic art Macabre Concept art Parallax art
ChatGPT: Cybernetic art

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated and the explanation described. Do not reference graphs or charts; describe physical objects.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that depicts the following situation. Keep the description simple. The increase in jet fuel used in Senegal caused automotive recalls for issues with the Engine And Engine Cooling to also increase because high-flying airplanes are unknowingly spitting out bits of jet fuel that magically transform into tiny engine gremlins upon entering the atmosphere. These mischievous little critters then sneak into car engines and wreak havoc, prompting a sudden surge in recalls. It's a little-known side effect of air travel, and unfortunately, automotive engineers are still trying to figure out a way to fend off these pesky sky-fuel creatures.
ChatGPT: Imagine a scene where a bustling airport in Senegal is depicted with airplanes taking off and landing, leaving trails of jet fuel in the sky. As the jets soar overhead, tiny magical creatures resembling gremlins appear in the air, seemingly formed from the jet fuel. These mischievous gremlins then gleefully zip down to the ground and sneak into car engines, causing chaos and mischief. Meanwhile, automotive engineers are shown scratching their heads and brainstorming ways to fend off these troublesome creatures. This whimsical scene captures the unexpected link between increased jet fuel usage and a surge in automotive recalls due to engine issues.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Cybernetic art ] and depicting this scene: Imagine a scene where a bustling airport in Senegal is depicted with airplanes taking off and landing, leaving trails of jet fuel in the sky. As the jets soar overhead, tiny magical creatures resembling gremlins appear in the air, seemingly formed from the jet fuel. These mischievous gremlins then gleefully zip down to the ground and sneak into car engines, causing chaos and mischief. Meanwhile, automotive engineers are shown scratching their heads and brainstorming ways to fend off these troublesome creatures. This whimsical scene captures the unexpected link between increased jet fuel usage and a surge in automotive recalls due to engine issues. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image of a cybernetic artwork that features a bustling airport in Senegal. In the scene, airplanes are captured taking off and landing, leaving vibrant trails of jet fuel in the sky. As the jets soar overhead, whimsical creatures resembling mischievous cybernetic gremlins appear in the air, seemingly formed from the jet fuel. These enchanting creatures joyfully drift down to the ground and stealthily infiltrate car engines, causing chaos and mischief. Concurrently, automotive engineers are showcased scratching their heads and brainstorming ways to combat these troublesome cybernetic gremlins. This imagery embodies the unexpected correlation between increased jet fuel utilization and an escalation in automotive recalls due to engine issues. The representation should be simple and devoid of any text or dialogue.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how increases in Jet fuel used in Senegal positively influenced Automotive recalls for issues with the Engine And Engine Cooling. Include one good pun.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Fuelling the Engine: A Study on the Relationship Between Jet Fuel Usage in Senegal and Automotive Recalls for Engine and Engine Cooling Issues

The International Journal of Transportation and Engineering Research

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Jet fuel used in Senegal and Automotive recalls for issues with the Engine And Engine Cooling. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title punny if you can come up with clever pun. If not, make it sound serious.

Your research team used data from Energy Information Administration and US DOT to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.8426202 and p < 0.01 for 1980 to 2021.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
Fuelling the Engine: A Study on the Relationship Between Jet Fuel Usage in Senegal and Automotive Recalls for Engine and Engine Cooling Issues

[[ABSTRACT]]
This empirical study delves into the often overlooked, yet intriguing connection between the consumption of jet fuel in Senegal and the prevalence of automotive recalls related to engine and engine cooling issues. Using data meticulously gathered from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation spanning over four decades, we sought to uncover the correlation that has kept the automotive and aviation industries in suspense. Our findings, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8426202 and p < 0.01, reveal a surprisingly strong link between the two, prompting us to question whether the jet fuel ignites more than just airplane engines. The implications of our research extend beyond the mere statistical significance, shedding light on the potential unforeseen side effects of jet fuel consumption that transcend the skies into the realms of automotive engineering.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Jet fuel used in Senegal and Automotive recalls for issues with the Engine And Engine Cooling. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Fuelling the Engine: A Study on the Relationship Between Jet Fuel Usage in Senegal and Automotive Recalls for Engine and Engine Cooling Issues

[[ABSTRACT]]
This empirical study delves into the often overlooked, yet intriguing connection between the consumption of jet fuel in Senegal and the prevalence of automotive recalls related to engine and engine cooling issues. Using data meticulously gathered from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation spanning over four decades, we sought to uncover the correlation that has kept the automotive and aviation industries in suspense. Our findings, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8426202 and p < 0.01, reveal a surprisingly strong link between the two, prompting us to question whether the jet fuel ignites more than just airplane engines. The implications of our research extend beyond the mere statistical significance, shedding light on the potential unforeseen side effects of jet fuel consumption that transcend the skies into the realms of automotive engineering.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
Ah, the mysteries of science and the marvels of statistical analysis never cease to amaze us. It seems that the universe is always ready to surprise us with its unexpected connections and correlations. In this paper, we dive headfirst into the intriguing and somewhat baffling relationship between the consumption of jet fuel in Senegal and the frequency of automotive recalls regarding engine and engine cooling issues. It's a tale of two seemingly disparate realms - the roaring skies and the rumbling roads - coming together in a statistical tango that has left our team of researchers scratching their heads and chuckling in equal measure.

As we pondered the curious coalescence of jet fuel and engine troubles, we couldn't help but be reminded of the age-old saying, "What goes up must come down." But who would have thought that this adage would take on a whole new meaning in the context of our research? From the soaring heights of jet propulsion to the down-to-earth woes of engine malfunctions, it's as if the two domains were engaged in a cosmic game of tug-of-war, with statistics as the referee ensuring a fair match.

The idea for this investigation sprouted from a whimsical water cooler conversation, as all great research inquiries do. One of our team members, perhaps in a fit of caffeine-induced delirium, mused, "I wonder if jet fuel could be behind all those pesky engine recalls." Little did we know that this light-hearted remark would lead us down a statistical rabbit hole, where the coefficients and p-values danced to a tune that even our most seasoned data analysts found hard to resist.

Armed with data from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation spanning decades, we embarked on a quest to unravel the mystery that had tantalized our curious minds. The results of our analysis, with a correlation coefficient that practically jumped off the charts (0.8426202, to be exact), left us in disbelief. This correlation was not just a casual nod of recognition; it was a firm handshake between two unlikely companions, jet fuel and engine troubles, that had us nodding our heads in amused bewilderment.

So, buckle up (pun intended) as we take you on a journey through the wacky world of scientific correlations, where jet fuel ignites not only airplane engines but also the flames of statistical curiosity. Our findings promise to leave you pondering the ripple effects that reach beyond the skies, raising eyebrow-shaped clouds of uncertainty over the unsuspecting realm of automotive engineering.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Jet fuel used in Senegal and Automotive recalls for issues with the Engine And Engine Cooling. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Perhaps you also got inspiration from some board games that are vaugely related.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Fuelling the Engine: A Study on the Relationship Between Jet Fuel Usage in Senegal and Automotive Recalls for Engine and Engine Cooling Issues

[[ABSTRACT]]
This empirical study delves into the often overlooked, yet intriguing connection between the consumption of jet fuel in Senegal and the prevalence of automotive recalls related to engine and engine cooling issues. Using data meticulously gathered from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation spanning over four decades, we sought to uncover the correlation that has kept the automotive and aviation industries in suspense. Our findings, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8426202 and p < 0.01, reveal a surprisingly strong link between the two, prompting us to question whether the jet fuel ignites more than just airplane engines. The implications of our research extend beyond the mere statistical significance, shedding light on the potential unforeseen side effects of jet fuel consumption that transcend the skies into the realms of automotive engineering.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
Ah, the mysteries of science and the marvels of statistical analysis never cease to amaze us. It seems that the universe is always ready to surprise us with its unexpected connections and correlations. In this paper, we dive headfirst into the intriguing and somewhat baffling relationship between the consumption of jet fuel in Senegal and the frequency of automotive recalls regarding engine and engine cooling issues. It's a tale of two seemingly disparate realms - the roaring skies and the rumbling roads - coming together in a statistical tango that has left our team of researchers scratching their heads and chuckling in equal measure.
As we pondered the curious coalescence of jet fuel and engine troubles, we couldn't help but be reminded of the age-old saying, "What goes up must come down." But who would have thought that this adage would take on a whole new meaning in the context of our research? From the soaring heights of jet propulsion to the down-to-earth woes of engine malfunctions, it's as if the two domains were engaged in a cosmic game of tug-of-war, with statistics as the referee ensuring a fair match.
The idea for this investigation sprouted from a whimsical water cooler conversation, as all great research inquiries do. One of our team members, perhaps in a fit of caffeine-induced delirium, mused, "I wonder if jet fuel could be behind all those pesky engine recalls." Little did we know that this light-hearted remark would lead us down a statistical rabbit hole, where the coefficients and p-values danced to a tune that even our most seasoned data analysts found hard to resist.
Armed with data from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation spanning decades, we embarked on a quest to unravel the mystery that had tantalized our curious minds. The results of our analysis, with a correlation coefficient that practically jumped off the charts (0.8426202, to be exact), left us in disbelief. This correlation was not just a casual nod of recognition; it was a firm handshake between two unlikely companions, jet fuel and engine troubles, that had us nodding our heads in amused bewilderment.
So, buckle up (pun intended) as we take you on a journey through the wacky world of scientific correlations, where jet fuel ignites not only airplane engines but also the flames of statistical curiosity. Our findings promise to leave you pondering the ripple effects that reach beyond the skies, raising eyebrow-shaped clouds of uncertainty over the unsuspecting realm of automotive engineering.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

Within the realm of automotive engineering and energy consumption, scholars have long delved into the intricate connections that govern the performance and reliability of engines. Smith et al. (2017) discuss the impact of fuel quality on engine functionality, while Doe and Jones (2015) examine the systemic factors contributing to automotive recalls. However, the intersection of these two spheres, particularly in the context of jet fuel usage in Senegal and its correlation to engine and engine cooling issues, has been woefully neglected in the academic discourse.

Turning to the literary world, realist works such as "Energy Matters" by John W. Belser and "Automotive Failures: An Engineering Perspective" by Richard H. Field provide valuable insights into the technical aspects of energy consumption and automotive malfunctions. On the other hand, we must not discount the potential influence of fictional narratives on our understanding of these phenomena. Who could forget the classic "Trouble in Turbulencia" by Sandra Engine, which, despite being a work of fiction, seems to eerily resonate with our research findings? Furthermore, the subtle thematic parallels between the mystery and suspense of "The Engine Conspiracy" by Arthur Recalls and the enigmatic relationship between jet fuel and engine malfunctions cannot be dismissed outright.

While conventional wisdom dictates that board games offer little in the way of scholarly inspiration, we must acknowledge the thought-provoking lessons that can be gleaned from seemingly unrelated sources. Take, for instance, the game "Jet Set Recall," a whimsical yet surprisingly relevant exploration of parallel universes where jet fuel woes and automotive recalls collide in a cacophony of statistical chaos.

As we traverse the landscape of existing literature and unconventional sources, it becomes abundantly clear that the interplay between jet fuel consumption in Senegal and automotive recalls for engine and engine cooling issues warrants further investigation. Our findings not only challenge established conventions but also invite us to embrace the whimsical and unexpected nature of scientific inquiry. Armed with statistical rigor and a dash of quirkiness, we aim to propel this curious correlation from the periphery of academic discourse into the spotlight of scientific intrigue. So, buckle up (pun intended) for a rollicking ride through the entwined realms of statistical oddities and vehicular mysteries.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Jet fuel used in Senegal and Automotive recalls for issues with the Engine And Engine Cooling. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Energy Information Administration and US DOT . You used data from 1980 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Fuelling the Engine: A Study on the Relationship Between Jet Fuel Usage in Senegal and Automotive Recalls for Engine and Engine Cooling Issues

[[ABSTRACT]]
This empirical study delves into the often overlooked, yet intriguing connection between the consumption of jet fuel in Senegal and the prevalence of automotive recalls related to engine and engine cooling issues. Using data meticulously gathered from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation spanning over four decades, we sought to uncover the correlation that has kept the automotive and aviation industries in suspense. Our findings, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8426202 and p < 0.01, reveal a surprisingly strong link between the two, prompting us to question whether the jet fuel ignites more than just airplane engines. The implications of our research extend beyond the mere statistical significance, shedding light on the potential unforeseen side effects of jet fuel consumption that transcend the skies into the realms of automotive engineering.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
Ah, the mysteries of science and the marvels of statistical analysis never cease to amaze us. It seems that the universe is always ready to surprise us with its unexpected connections and correlations. In this paper, we dive headfirst into the intriguing and somewhat baffling relationship between the consumption of jet fuel in Senegal and the frequency of automotive recalls regarding engine and engine cooling issues. It's a tale of two seemingly disparate realms - the roaring skies and the rumbling roads - coming together in a statistical tango that has left our team of researchers scratching their heads and chuckling in equal measure.
As we pondered the curious coalescence of jet fuel and engine troubles, we couldn't help but be reminded of the age-old saying, "What goes up must come down." But who would have thought that this adage would take on a whole new meaning in the context of our research? From the soaring heights of jet propulsion to the down-to-earth woes of engine malfunctions, it's as if the two domains were engaged in a cosmic game of tug-of-war, with statistics as the referee ensuring a fair match.
The idea for this investigation sprouted from a whimsical water cooler conversation, as all great research inquiries do. One of our team members, perhaps in a fit of caffeine-induced delirium, mused, "I wonder if jet fuel could be behind all those pesky engine recalls." Little did we know that this light-hearted remark would lead us down a statistical rabbit hole, where the coefficients and p-values danced to a tune that even our most seasoned data analysts found hard to resist.
Armed with data from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation spanning decades, we embarked on a quest to unravel the mystery that had tantalized our curious minds. The results of our analysis, with a correlation coefficient that practically jumped off the charts (0.8426202, to be exact), left us in disbelief. This correlation was not just a casual nod of recognition; it was a firm handshake between two unlikely companions, jet fuel and engine troubles, that had us nodding our heads in amused bewilderment.
So, buckle up (pun intended) as we take you on a journey through the wacky world of scientific correlations, where jet fuel ignites not only airplane engines but also the flames of statistical curiosity. Our findings promise to leave you pondering the ripple effects that reach beyond the skies, raising eyebrow-shaped clouds of uncertainty over the unsuspecting realm of automotive engineering.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

Now, dear reader, let us lift the veil and unveil the meticulously convoluted yet amusingly comprehensive methodology behind our offbeat exploration of the relationship between jet fuel usage in Senegal and automotive recalls for engine and engine cooling issues. Brace yourself for a rollercoaster ride through the wacky world of research methods, where statistical mysteries meet scientific mayhem!

1. Data Collection:
Our intrepid journey began with the collection of data from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation, which, as we all know, is akin to embarking on a quest for the elusive golden fleece in the labyrinth of data repositories. We gathered information covering the years 1980 to 2021, sifting through a trove of numbers, graphs, and spreadsheets with the steely determination of a data mining prospector seeking nuggets of statistical significance.

2. Jet Fuel Consumption in Senegal:
To quantify the jet fuel consumption in Senegal, we navigated the intricacies of energy consumption reports, navigating through the digital jungle of data points to distill the annual usage of jet fuel in this exotic West African setting. It was akin to playing a high-stakes game of "Where's Waldo?" with energy statistics, and our team emerged victorious, armed with a trove of jet fuel consumption data that sparkled like buried treasure.

3. Automotive Recalls for Engine and Engine Cooling Issues:
Ah, the realm of automotive recalls – a domain as enigmatic as it is omnipresent. With the tenacity of a detective hot on the trail of a cunning suspect, we combed through recall notices, manufacturer statements, and regulatory filings to compile a comprehensive inventory of automotive recalls specifically related to engine and engine cooling issues. It was a quest fraught with danger – danger of falling down the rabbit hole of fine print and technical jargon – but we emerged unscathed, armed with a trove of automotive recall data that glittered like a pearl in the treasure trove of statistics.

4. Statistical Analysis:
Armed with our troves of meticulously gathered data, we unleashed the formidable powers of statistical analysis upon the unsuspecting numbers. We employed correlation analysis to measure the degree of relationship between jet fuel consumption in Senegal and automotive recalls for engine and engine cooling issues. This entailed skillfully maneuvering through the labyrinth of statistical software, where the variables danced like capricious sprites, and the p-values unveiled their enigmatic secrets, whispering tales of significance and relevance.

5. Interpretation of Findings:
As the statistical dust settled, the correlation coefficient of 0.8426202 emerged like a triumphant peacock, strutting its feathers of significance. The p < 0.01 declaration added a flourish of statistical drama, underscoring the robustness of our findings. With a sense of scholarly glee, we interpreted these results, drawing connections and implications that transcended the mere numerical dance of data. It was akin to uncovering buried treasure, where the implications shone like precious gems in the realm of empirical inquiry.

In conclusion, our methodology may have been as whimsical as a carnival, but the findings that emerged from this scientific extravaganza hold the potential to shake the very foundations of automotive and aviation industries. Join us as we delve into the unexpected correlation between jet fuel and engine troubles, where statistical amusement meets scientific astonishment in a research journey unlike any other.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Jet fuel used in Senegal and Automotive recalls for issues with the Engine And Engine Cooling. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Energy Information Administration and US DOT .

For the time period 1980 to 2021, you found a correlation 0.8426202, r-squared of 0.7100088, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Fuelling the Engine: A Study on the Relationship Between Jet Fuel Usage in Senegal and Automotive Recalls for Engine and Engine Cooling Issues

[[ABSTRACT]]
This empirical study delves into the often overlooked, yet intriguing connection between the consumption of jet fuel in Senegal and the prevalence of automotive recalls related to engine and engine cooling issues. Using data meticulously gathered from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation spanning over four decades, we sought to uncover the correlation that has kept the automotive and aviation industries in suspense. Our findings, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8426202 and p < 0.01, reveal a surprisingly strong link between the two, prompting us to question whether the jet fuel ignites more than just airplane engines. The implications of our research extend beyond the mere statistical significance, shedding light on the potential unforeseen side effects of jet fuel consumption that transcend the skies into the realms of automotive engineering.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
Ah, the mysteries of science and the marvels of statistical analysis never cease to amaze us. It seems that the universe is always ready to surprise us with its unexpected connections and correlations. In this paper, we dive headfirst into the intriguing and somewhat baffling relationship between the consumption of jet fuel in Senegal and the frequency of automotive recalls regarding engine and engine cooling issues. It's a tale of two seemingly disparate realms - the roaring skies and the rumbling roads - coming together in a statistical tango that has left our team of researchers scratching their heads and chuckling in equal measure.
As we pondered the curious coalescence of jet fuel and engine troubles, we couldn't help but be reminded of the age-old saying, "What goes up must come down." But who would have thought that this adage would take on a whole new meaning in the context of our research? From the soaring heights of jet propulsion to the down-to-earth woes of engine malfunctions, it's as if the two domains were engaged in a cosmic game of tug-of-war, with statistics as the referee ensuring a fair match.
The idea for this investigation sprouted from a whimsical water cooler conversation, as all great research inquiries do. One of our team members, perhaps in a fit of caffeine-induced delirium, mused, "I wonder if jet fuel could be behind all those pesky engine recalls." Little did we know that this light-hearted remark would lead us down a statistical rabbit hole, where the coefficients and p-values danced to a tune that even our most seasoned data analysts found hard to resist.
Armed with data from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation spanning decades, we embarked on a quest to unravel the mystery that had tantalized our curious minds. The results of our analysis, with a correlation coefficient that practically jumped off the charts (0.8426202, to be exact), left us in disbelief. This correlation was not just a casual nod of recognition; it was a firm handshake between two unlikely companions, jet fuel and engine troubles, that had us nodding our heads in amused bewilderment.
So, buckle up (pun intended) as we take you on a journey through the wacky world of scientific correlations, where jet fuel ignites not only airplane engines but also the flames of statistical curiosity. Our findings promise to leave you pondering the ripple effects that reach beyond the skies, raising eyebrow-shaped clouds of uncertainty over the unsuspecting realm of automotive engineering.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

Our data analysis has unveiled a remarkably robust correlation between the usage of jet fuel in Senegal and the issuance of automotive recalls for engine and engine cooling issues. With a correlation coefficient of 0.8426202 and an r-squared of 0.7100088, it is safe to say that the link between these two seemingly unrelated variables is stronger than an airplane's fuselage. The p-value of less than 0.01 leaves us with a statistical confidence greater than the aerodynamic lift of a jumbo jet.

The scatterplot (Fig. 1) that we proudly present reveals a strikingly linear relationship between jet fuel consumption in Senegal and the frequency of automotive recalls for engine and engine cooling issues. Each data point on the plot seems to echo the rumble of an engine, reminding us that statistical significance can sometimes be as clear as a car engine's sputtering.

It's as if statistical probability and mechanical malfunctions have joined forces to perform an unexpected duet, leaving us to ponder whether the jet fuel's powers extend beyond propelling planes into influencing the revs and roars of land-based vehicles. The implications of these findings are as wide-ranging as an aircraft's flight path, casting shadows of doubt and curiosity over the tangled interplay between skyward propulsion and terrestrial mechanics.

In conclusion, the results of our investigation defy traditional boundaries and soar beyond the limits of conventional scientific expectations. The statistical kinship between jet fuel consumption in Senegal and automotive recalls related to engine and engine cooling issues is not merely a curiosity but a revelation that propels us into a realm of inquiry that stretches far beyond the confines of our initial hypotheses. As we step back to gaze upon the statistical landscape we've uncovered, we are left in awe of the unexpected synergy between two distant worlds – the ethereal realm of aviation and the grounded domain of automotive engineering – each whispering its enigmatic secrets into the ears of statistical analysis.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Jet fuel used in Senegal and Automotive recalls for issues with the Engine And Engine Cooling. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Fuelling the Engine: A Study on the Relationship Between Jet Fuel Usage in Senegal and Automotive Recalls for Engine and Engine Cooling Issues

[[ABSTRACT]]
This empirical study delves into the often overlooked, yet intriguing connection between the consumption of jet fuel in Senegal and the prevalence of automotive recalls related to engine and engine cooling issues. Using data meticulously gathered from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation spanning over four decades, we sought to uncover the correlation that has kept the automotive and aviation industries in suspense. Our findings, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8426202 and p < 0.01, reveal a surprisingly strong link between the two, prompting us to question whether the jet fuel ignites more than just airplane engines. The implications of our research extend beyond the mere statistical significance, shedding light on the potential unforeseen side effects of jet fuel consumption that transcend the skies into the realms of automotive engineering.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
Within the realm of automotive engineering and energy consumption, scholars have long delved into the intricate connections that govern the performance and reliability of engines. Smith et al. (2017) discuss the impact of fuel quality on engine functionality, while Doe and Jones (2015) examine the systemic factors contributing to automotive recalls. However, the intersection of these two spheres, particularly in the context of jet fuel usage in Senegal and its correlation to engine and engine cooling issues, has been woefully neglected in the academic discourse.
Turning to the literary world, realist works such as "Energy Matters" by John W. Belser and "Automotive Failures: An Engineering Perspective" by Richard H. Field provide valuable insights into the technical aspects of energy consumption and automotive malfunctions. On the other hand, we must not discount the potential influence of fictional narratives on our understanding of these phenomena. Who could forget the classic "Trouble in Turbulencia" by Sandra Engine, which, despite being a work of fiction, seems to eerily resonate with our research findings? Furthermore, the subtle thematic parallels between the mystery and suspense of "The Engine Conspiracy" by Arthur Recalls and the enigmatic relationship between jet fuel and engine malfunctions cannot be dismissed outright.
While conventional wisdom dictates that board games offer little in the way of scholarly inspiration, we must acknowledge the thought-provoking lessons that can be gleaned from seemingly unrelated sources. Take, for instance, the game "Jet Set Recall," a whimsical yet surprisingly relevant exploration of parallel universes where jet fuel woes and automotive recalls collide in a cacophony of statistical chaos.
As we traverse the landscape of existing literature and unconventional sources, it becomes abundantly clear that the interplay between jet fuel consumption in Senegal and automotive recalls for engine and engine cooling issues warrants further investigation. Our findings not only challenge established conventions but also invite us to embrace the whimsical and unexpected nature of scientific inquiry. Armed with statistical rigor and a dash of quirkiness, we aim to propel this curious correlation from the periphery of academic discourse into the spotlight of scientific intrigue. So, buckle up (pun intended) for a rollicking ride through the entwined realms of statistical oddities and vehicular mysteries.

[[RESULTS]]
Our data analysis has unveiled a remarkably robust correlation between the usage of jet fuel in Senegal and the issuance of automotive recalls for engine and engine cooling issues. With a correlation coefficient of 0.8426202 and an r-squared of 0.7100088, it is safe to say that the link between these two seemingly unrelated variables is stronger than an airplane's fuselage. The p-value of less than 0.01 leaves us with a statistical confidence greater than the aerodynamic lift of a jumbo jet.
The scatterplot (Fig. 1) that we proudly present reveals a strikingly linear relationship between jet fuel consumption in Senegal and the frequency of automotive recalls for engine and engine cooling issues. Each data point on the plot seems to echo the rumble of an engine, reminding us that statistical significance can sometimes be as clear as a car engine's sputtering.
It's as if statistical probability and mechanical malfunctions have joined forces to perform an unexpected duet, leaving us to ponder whether the jet fuel's powers extend beyond propelling planes into influencing the revs and roars of land-based vehicles. The implications of these findings are as wide-ranging as an aircraft's flight path, casting shadows of doubt and curiosity over the tangled interplay between skyward propulsion and terrestrial mechanics.
In conclusion, the results of our investigation defy traditional boundaries and soar beyond the limits of conventional scientific expectations. The statistical kinship between jet fuel consumption in Senegal and automotive recalls related to engine and engine cooling issues is not merely a curiosity but a revelation that propels us into a realm of inquiry that stretches far beyond the confines of our initial hypotheses. As we step back to gaze upon the statistical landscape we've uncovered, we are left in awe of the unexpected synergy between two distant worlds – the ethereal realm of aviation and the grounded domain of automotive engineering – each whispering its enigmatic secrets into the ears of statistical analysis.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

While our results seem to have come out of left field, they go to show that there's more than meets the eye when it comes to the consumption of jet fuel in Senegal and its impact on automotive recalls for engine and engine cooling issues. We set out to bridge the gap between two seemingly unrelated realms – the high-flying world of aviation and the down-to-earth domain of automotive engineering – and boy, did we hit the jackpot!
Now, let's circle back to the literature review. As we delved into the research landscape, we couldn't help but take note of the surprising connections we encountered. Remember "Trouble in Turbulencia" by Sandra Engine? Who knew that a fictional narrative could hold the key to unlocking real-world statistical intrigue? And let's not forget our board game inspiration, the whimsical "Jet Set Recall." Who would have thought we'd find a shimmer of truth in a game?
Going beyond the jokes and puns, our findings brought a level of statistical significance that would make even the staunchest researcher sit up and take notice. The correlation coefficient of 0.8426202 packed a punch, and with a p-value of less than 0.01, we were left with statistical confidence greater than that of a well-engineered aircraft.
With a scatterplot so strikingly linear, it's as if the data points were revving up to tell us a tale of statistical oddities and vehicular mysteries. In the context of prior research, our results not only echo but amplify the whispers of unexpected connections that have been quietly lurking in the shadows of academic discourse.
The implications of our discovery extend further than the realm of statistics; they touch the very essence of scientific inquiry, reminding us that sometimes the most curious correlations can take flight when we least expect them. So, fasten your seatbelts – both literally and figuratively – as we unravel the mysteries of statistical synergy and vehicular revelations that soar beyond the boundaries of conventional scientific expectations.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Jet fuel used in Senegal and Automotive recalls for issues with the Engine And Engine Cooling. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Fuelling the Engine: A Study on the Relationship Between Jet Fuel Usage in Senegal and Automotive Recalls for Engine and Engine Cooling Issues

[[ABSTRACT]]
This empirical study delves into the often overlooked, yet intriguing connection between the consumption of jet fuel in Senegal and the prevalence of automotive recalls related to engine and engine cooling issues. Using data meticulously gathered from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation spanning over four decades, we sought to uncover the correlation that has kept the automotive and aviation industries in suspense. Our findings, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8426202 and p < 0.01, reveal a surprisingly strong link between the two, prompting us to question whether the jet fuel ignites more than just airplane engines. The implications of our research extend beyond the mere statistical significance, shedding light on the potential unforeseen side effects of jet fuel consumption that transcend the skies into the realms of automotive engineering.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
Ah, the mysteries of science and the marvels of statistical analysis never cease to amaze us. It seems that the universe is always ready to surprise us with its unexpected connections and correlations. In this paper, we dive headfirst into the intriguing and somewhat baffling relationship between the consumption of jet fuel in Senegal and the frequency of automotive recalls regarding engine and engine cooling issues. It's a tale of two seemingly disparate realms - the roaring skies and the rumbling roads - coming together in a statistical tango that has left our team of researchers scratching their heads and chuckling in equal measure.
As we pondered the curious coalescence of jet fuel and engine troubles, we couldn't help but be reminded of the age-old saying, "What goes up must come down." But who would have thought that this adage would take on a whole new meaning in the context of our research? From the soaring heights of jet propulsion to the down-to-earth woes of engine malfunctions, it's as if the two domains were engaged in a cosmic game of tug-of-war, with statistics as the referee ensuring a fair match.
The idea for this investigation sprouted from a whimsical water cooler conversation, as all great research inquiries do. One of our team members, perhaps in a fit of caffeine-induced delirium, mused, "I wonder if jet fuel could be behind all those pesky engine recalls." Little did we know that this light-hearted remark would lead us down a statistical rabbit hole, where the coefficients and p-values danced to a tune that even our most seasoned data analysts found hard to resist.
Armed with data from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation spanning decades, we embarked on a quest to unravel the mystery that had tantalized our curious minds. The results of our analysis, with a correlation coefficient that practically jumped off the charts (0.8426202, to be exact), left us in disbelief. This correlation was not just a casual nod of recognition; it was a firm handshake between two unlikely companions, jet fuel and engine troubles, that had us nodding our heads in amused bewilderment.
So, buckle up (pun intended) as we take you on a journey through the wacky world of scientific correlations, where jet fuel ignites not only airplane engines but also the flames of statistical curiosity. Our findings promise to leave you pondering the ripple effects that reach beyond the skies, raising eyebrow-shaped clouds of uncertainty over the unsuspecting realm of automotive engineering.

[[RESULTS]]
Our data analysis has unveiled a remarkably robust correlation between the usage of jet fuel in Senegal and the issuance of automotive recalls for engine and engine cooling issues. With a correlation coefficient of 0.8426202 and an r-squared of 0.7100088, it is safe to say that the link between these two seemingly unrelated variables is stronger than an airplane's fuselage. The p-value of less than 0.01 leaves us with a statistical confidence greater than the aerodynamic lift of a jumbo jet.
The scatterplot (Fig. 1) that we proudly present reveals a strikingly linear relationship between jet fuel consumption in Senegal and the frequency of automotive recalls for engine and engine cooling issues. Each data point on the plot seems to echo the rumble of an engine, reminding us that statistical significance can sometimes be as clear as a car engine's sputtering.
It's as if statistical probability and mechanical malfunctions have joined forces to perform an unexpected duet, leaving us to ponder whether the jet fuel's powers extend beyond propelling planes into influencing the revs and roars of land-based vehicles. The implications of these findings are as wide-ranging as an aircraft's flight path, casting shadows of doubt and curiosity over the tangled interplay between skyward propulsion and terrestrial mechanics.
In conclusion, the results of our investigation defy traditional boundaries and soar beyond the limits of conventional scientific expectations. The statistical kinship between jet fuel consumption in Senegal and automotive recalls related to engine and engine cooling issues is not merely a curiosity but a revelation that propels us into a realm of inquiry that stretches far beyond the confines of our initial hypotheses. As we step back to gaze upon the statistical landscape we've uncovered, we are left in awe of the unexpected synergy between two distant worlds – the ethereal realm of aviation and the grounded domain of automotive engineering – each whispering its enigmatic secrets into the ears of statistical analysis.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

As we close the chapter on our exploration of the link between jet fuel usage in Senegal and automotive recalls for engine and engine cooling issues, it's impossible not to marvel at the zany web of statistical connections and correlations that underpin our scientific endeavors. Our findings have unearthed a correlation coefficient that rivaled the speed of a jet engine (0.8426202, to be precise), leaving us to wonder if we've stumbled upon the missing fuel that ignites not just airplanes, but also the statistical flames of curiosity.

Like a well-oiled statistical machine, our analysis has revealed a relationship between these variables that is tighter than a nut and bolt in an engine. The p-value, standing proud at less than 0.01, confidently assures us that this correlation is more solid than a reinforced steel chassis. The implications of our findings are as vast as the open sky, casting a shadow of statistical intrigue that rivals the shadow of a passing aircraft.

It's clear that jet fuel is more than just a propellant; it's a statistical fable waiting to be unraveled. So, to all the skeptics who doubted the potential crossover between the skies and the streets, our statistical evidence stands tall, like a monument to the unexpected connections hiding in plain sight.

In the spirit of scientific discovery, we must boldly declare that no more research is needed in this area. After all, we've already reached statistical nirvana with these findings! And as for the old adage "What goes up must come down," we can confidently say, what goes into a jet engine might just spark some engine trouble on the ground. With that, we bid adieu to this statistical saga, leaving behind a trail of engine-powered puns and a statistical legacy that defies the gravity of conventional scientific expectations.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Fuelling the Engine: A Study on the Relationship Between Jet Fuel Usage in Senegal and Automotive Recalls for Engine and Engine Cooling Issues. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The International Journal of Transportation and Engineering Research


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Fuelling the Engine: A Study on the Relationship Between Jet Fuel Usage in Senegal and Automotive Recalls for Engine and Engine Cooling Issues. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The International Institute for Jet Propulsion and Automotive Research


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Fuelling the Engine: A Study on the Relationship Between Jet Fuel Usage in Senegal and Automotive Recalls for Engine and Engine Cooling Issues with an abstract of This empirical study delves into the often overlooked, yet intriguing connection between the consumption of jet fuel in Senegal and the prevalence of automotive recalls related to engine and engine cooling issues. Using data meticulously gathered from the Energy Information Administration and the US Department of Transportation spanning over four decades, we sought to uncover the correlation that has kept the automotive and aviation industries in suspense. Our findings, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8426202 and p < 0.01, reveal a surprisingly strong link between the two, prompting us to question whether the jet fuel ignites more than just airplane engines. The implications of our research extend beyond the mere statistical significance, shedding light on the potential unforeseen side effects of jet fuel consumption that transcend the skies into the realms of automotive engineering.

ChatGPT:

Senegal jet fuel usage, automotive recalls, engine cooling issues, Senegal energy consumption, correlation between jet fuel and automotive recalls, Energy Information Administration data, US Department of Transportation data, automotive engineering implications

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Jet fuel used in Senegal
Detailed data title: Volume of jet fuel used consumed in Senegal in millions of barrels per day
Source: Energy Information Administration
See what else correlates with Jet fuel used in Senegal

Automotive recalls for issues with the Engine And Engine Cooling
Source: US DOT
See what else correlates with Automotive recalls for issues with the Engine And Engine Cooling

Correlation r = 0.8426202 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.7100088 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 71% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Automotive recalls for issues with the Engine And Engine Cooling) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Jet fuel used in Senegal) over the 42 years from 1980 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 2.61E-12. 0.0000000000026069362115967955
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.84 in 2.61E-10% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 383,592,047,842 random variables You don't actually need 383 billion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 41 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 41 because we have two variables measured over a period of 42 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.72, 0.91 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
Jet fuel used in Senegal (Million Barrels/Day)2.528212.528212.528212.379492.974362.825642.932.83.52.92.92.83.233.23.23.33.93.85.3954.84493.888964.605925.243335.301155.583596.821976.933334.497294.910084.7584.398335.779125.71395654.910084.649374.345213.106823.10682
Automotive recalls for issues with the Engine And Engine Cooling (Recalls)85691110471196447121195191426161321343854695639516139145755343034161526




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Outlandish outliers: There are "outliers" in this data. In concept, "outlier" just means "way different than the rest of your dataset." When calculating a correlation like this, they are particularly impactful because a single outlier can substantially increase your correlation.

    For the purposes of this project, I counted a point as an outlier if it the residual was two standard deviations from the mean.

    (This bullet point only shows up in the details page on charts that do, in fact, have outliers.)
    They stand out on the scatterplot above: notice the dots that are far away from any other dots. I intentionally mishandeled outliers, which makes the correlation look extra strong.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([2.52821,2.52821,2.52821,2.37949,2.97436,2.82564,2.9,3,2.8,3.5,2.9,2.9,2.8,3.2,3,3.2,3.2,3.3,3.9,3.8,5.395,4.8449,3.88896,4.60592,5.24333,5.30115,5.58359,6.82197,6.93333,4.49729,4.91008,4.758,4.39833,5.77912,5.71395,6,5,4.91008,4.64937,4.34521,3.10682,3.10682,])
array_2 = np.array([8,5,6,9,11,10,4,7,11,9,6,4,4,7,12,11,9,5,19,14,26,16,13,21,34,38,54,69,56,39,51,61,39,14,57,55,34,30,34,16,15,26,])
array_1_name = "Jet fuel used in Senegal"
array_2_name = "Automotive recalls for issues with the Engine And Engine Cooling"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

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