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AI explanation

^{Show image generation prompt} Model: dalle-3
Prompt: [An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie] Generate an image that showcases an airport runway set in the vibrant landscape of Australia. As the camera perspective spans the length of the runway, depict a flurry of airplanes both taking off and landing. Highlight the diversity of international airlines with distinctive and colorful liveries, representing the surge in global travel and trade. Capture the energetic activity on the tarmac, illustrating the bustling movement of airplanes and ground crews. Additionally, depict the incoming flights carrying a variety of exotic foods, showcasing the heightened demand for fresh and authentic ingredients to satisfy the evolving palate of tourists. Emphasize the blend of natural beauty and human activity in the scene, creating a visually captivating and dynamic portrayal of the airport runway setting. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.

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This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the situation described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here is a situation: An increase in the number of international tourist arrivals worldwide led to a surge in jet fuel used in Australia because the influx of tourists demanded a larger variety of cuisines, leading to an increase in flights delivering exotic foods to the land down under. As more tourists sampled and fell in love with Aussie delicacies, they insisted on the freshness and authenticity of the ingredients, resulting in airlines having to ramp up their jet fuel usage for more frequent food deliveries.. Given that situation, which of the following image descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand and the tone of the explanation. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: 3D Pixar Style inspired by bauhaus Charcoal An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie Charcoal
ChatGPT: An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated and the explanation described. Do not reference graphs or charts; describe physical objects.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that depicts the following situation. Keep the description simple. An increase in the number of international tourist arrivals worldwide led to a surge in jet fuel used in Australia because the influx of tourists demanded a larger variety of cuisines, leading to an increase in flights delivering exotic foods to the land down under. As more tourists sampled and fell in love with Aussie delicacies, they insisted on the freshness and authenticity of the ingredients, resulting in airlines having to ramp up their jet fuel usage for more frequent food deliveries.
ChatGPT: Picture an airport runway in Australia where you see a significant increase in the number of airplanes taking off and landing. As the camera pans out, you spot various international airlines with colorful livery, symbolizing the surge in international flights. The bustling activity on the tarmac reflects the increased jet fuel usage due to the influx of tourists demanding a wider variety of cuisines. Additionally, the scene is animated by the frequent arrival of planes delivering exotic foods, portraying the heightened demand for fresh and authentic ingredients to cater to the tourists' evolving palate.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie ] and depicting this scene: Picture an airport runway in Australia where you see a significant increase in the number of airplanes taking off and landing. As the camera pans out, you spot various international airlines with colorful livery, symbolizing the surge in international flights. The bustling activity on the tarmac reflects the increased jet fuel usage due to the influx of tourists demanding a wider variety of cuisines. Additionally, the scene is animated by the frequent arrival of planes delivering exotic foods, portraying the heightened demand for fresh and authentic ingredients to cater to the tourists' evolving palate. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: [An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie] Generate an image that showcases an airport runway set in the vibrant landscape of Australia. As the camera perspective spans the length of the runway, depict a flurry of airplanes both taking off and landing. Highlight the diversity of international airlines with distinctive and colorful liveries, representing the surge in global travel and trade. Capture the energetic activity on the tarmac, illustrating the bustling movement of airplanes and ground crews. Additionally, depict the incoming flights carrying a variety of exotic foods, showcasing the heightened demand for fresh and authentic ingredients to satisfy the evolving palate of tourists. Emphasize the blend of natural beauty and human activity in the scene, creating a visually captivating and dynamic portrayal of the airport runway setting.

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*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

AI academic paper

Travel Trends: Tracking the Ties between Tourist Traffic and Turbine Fuel Journal of Ecotourism and Energy Economics Jan 2024 Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!

Problem variable:	Which variable has a problem? Number of International Tourist Arrivals Worldwide Jet fuel used in Australia Neither / both
Issue:	What is the issue? The data is incorrect The chart isn't displaying properly There is a typo The source link is incorrect A calculation is wrong Something else
Additional details: Optional
Confirm you are a human:

Data details

Why this works

1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably^Note Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
   no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple^Note Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
   p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.

Try it yourself

# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([528000000,563000000,589000000,605000000,627000000,677000000,678000000,698000000,689000000,760000000,807000000,851000000,911000000,929000000,894000000,948000000,1008740000,1059260000,1110830000,1154750000,1207080000,1248120000,1347570000,1414070000,1465460000,406890000,455770000,962800000,])
array_2 = np.array([77.7918,82.4754,84.1863,83.274,83.7836,90.5792,88.3096,76.8986,71.3589,78.2486,85.1233,99.7836,100.901,105.872,109.877,120.718,124.436,129.672,138.803,139.389,142.334,151.03,157.707,162.545,161.762,69.8169,61.5014,103.43,])
array_1_name = "Number of International Tourist Arrivals Worldwide"
array_2_name = "Jet fuel used in Australia"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)

Reuseable content

• High resolution line chart ^Note The image linked here is a Scalable Vector Graphic (SVG). It is the highest resolution that is possible to achieve. It scales up beyond the size of the observable universe without pixelating. You do not need to email me asking if I have a higher resolution image. I do not. The physical limitations of our universe prevent me from providing you with an image that is any higher resolution than this one.
  
  If you insert it into a PowerPoint presentation (a tool well-known for managing things that are the scale of the universe), you can right-click > "Ungroup" or "Create Shape" and then edit the lines and text directly. You can also change the colors this way.
  
  Alternatively you can use a tool like Inkscape.
  
• High resolution line chart, optimized for mobile
• Alternative high resolution line chart
• Scatterplot
• Portable line chart (png)
• Portable line chart (png), optimized for mobile
• Line chart for only Number of International Tourist Arrivals Worldwide
• Line chart for only Jet fuel used in Australia
• The spurious research paper: Travel Trends: Tracking the Ties between Tourist Traffic and Turbine Fuel