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Spurious correlation #4,789 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Air pollution in Syracuse, New York and the second variable is Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon.  The chart goes from 1987 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As air pollution in Syracuse decreased, the smog particles must have undergone a career change and decided to try their luck as stowaways on international flights. Making their way to the Brazilian Amazon, these wayward particles settled on the lush green leaves, leading to a case of mistaken identity. The once camouflaged trees found themselves constantly being mistaken for towering, photosynthesizing skyscrapers, attracting hordes of disgruntled city-dwelling birds. Faced with noise complaints, airbnb requests, and demands for 24/7 coffee shops, the trees panicked and, in a desperate attempt to reclaim their peace and quiet, decided to downsize. And just like that, the Amazonian forest cover decreased as the trees sought to maintain their status as the Amazon, not the Amazofficedistrict.

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: An image that looks like it is a scene from 'Star Wars'. Depict a dense, lush forest in the Brazilian Amazon where the tree canopies resemble towering city buildings. Disgruntled city-dwelling birds should be seen approaching the "buildings". The scene should clearly convey the confusion between natural foliage and urban structures, with an overall futuristic and otherworldly aesthetic. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Air pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: An image that looks like it is a scene from 'Star Wars' Magic realism Sci-fi fantacy Low poly Scalar art
ChatGPT: An image that looks like it is a scene from 'Star Wars'

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Air pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon, in the following situation: As air pollution in Syracuse decreased, the smog particles must have undergone a career change and decided to try their luck as stowaways on international flights. Making their way to the Brazilian Amazon, these wayward particles settled on the lush green leaves, leading to a case of mistaken identity. The once camouflaged trees found themselves constantly being mistaken for towering, photosynthesizing skyscrapers, attracting hordes of disgruntled city-dwelling birds. Faced with noise complaints, airbnb requests, and demands for 24/7 coffee shops, the trees panicked and, in a desperate attempt to reclaim their peace and quiet, decided to downsize. And just like that, the Amazonian forest cover decreased as the trees sought to maintain their status as the Amazon, not the Amazofficedistrict.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In Syracuse, New York, the air pollution decreased as the smog particles sought a new adventure. They hitched a ride on international flights and ended up settling on the lush green leaves of the Brazilian Amazon. The dense forest cover, now mistaken as towering city buildings, attracted disgruntled city-dwelling birds. In an attempt to reclaim their peace, the trees began to downsize, leading to a decrease in the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ An image that looks like it is a scene from 'Star Wars' ] and depicting this scene: In Syracuse, New York, the air pollution decreased as the smog particles sought a new adventure. They hitched a ride on international flights and ended up settling on the lush green leaves of the Brazilian Amazon. The dense forest cover, now mistaken as towering city buildings, attracted disgruntled city-dwelling birds. In an attempt to reclaim their peace, the trees began to downsize, leading to a decrease in the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: An image that looks like it is a scene from 'Star Wars'. Depict a dense, lush forest in the Brazilian Amazon where the tree canopies resemble towering city buildings. Disgruntled city-dwelling birds should be seen approaching the "buildings". The scene should clearly convey the confusion between natural foliage and urban structures, with an overall futuristic and otherworldly aesthetic.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how a decrease in Air pollution in Syracuse, New York caused Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon to decrease. Make it feel plausible.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Breathe Easy, Save Trees: The Surprising Link Between Air Pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon

The Journal of Ecological Connections

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Make the title seem clever.

Your research team used data from Environmental Protection Agency and Mongabay to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.8178495 and p < 0.01 for 1987 to 2022.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
Breathe Easy, Save Trees: The Surprising Link Between Air Pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the unexpected connection between air pollution levels in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. Our research team, armed with a sense of environmental curiosity and a trunk full of dad jokes, utilized data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Mongabay to investigate this unlikely relationship. To our surprise (and delight), we discovered a significant correlation coefficient of 0.8178495 and p < 0.01 for the period spanning 1987 to 2022. We were positively "blown away" by the strength of this association, much like leaves in a strong gust of wind.

Upon further analysis, we unearthed compelling evidence suggesting that the pollution particles from Syracuse seem to have embarked on an intercontinental journey, perhaps hitching a ride on a transatlantic cloud, and directly impacting the forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. This phenomenon presents a "tree-mendous" opportunity for interdisciplinary collaboration between ecologists and atmospheric scientists. Our findings not only shed light on the unexpected interconnectedness of global ecosystems but also serve as a lighthearted reminder that sometimes, the air we breathe may have far-reaching implications – both literally and figuratively.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Breathe Easy, Save Trees: The Surprising Link Between Air Pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the unexpected connection between air pollution levels in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. Our research team, armed with a sense of environmental curiosity and a trunk full of dad jokes, utilized data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Mongabay to investigate this unlikely relationship. To our surprise (and delight), we discovered a significant correlation coefficient of 0.8178495 and p < 0.01 for the period spanning 1987 to 2022. We were positively "blown away" by the strength of this association, much like leaves in a strong gust of wind.

Upon further analysis, we unearthed compelling evidence suggesting that the pollution particles from Syracuse seem to have embarked on an intercontinental journey, perhaps hitching a ride on a transatlantic cloud, and directly impacting the forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. This phenomenon presents a "tree-mendous" opportunity for interdisciplinary collaboration between ecologists and atmospheric scientists. Our findings not only shed light on the unexpected interconnectedness of global ecosystems but also serve as a lighthearted reminder that sometimes, the air we breathe may have far-reaching implications – both literally and figuratively.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

The air we breathe is not just a local affair. It can have far-reaching effects, even embarking on unexpected journeys across continents. In this study, we venture into the world of environmental interconnectedness to uncover the surprising link between air pollution levels in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon.

As the saying goes, "Where there's smoke, there's fire," but we took it a step further, and boy, did we find some smokin' hot results! Our research team, armed with an insatiable curiosity for the environment and a "leaf" of faith in the power of data, set out on this adventure. We quickly realized that tackling this topic required thinking outside the "bark." Our approach was certainly not "pine" in the sky, but rather grounded in sound scientific methodology and an abundance of good-natured puns.

With data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Mongabay in hand, we delved into the ambiguous realm of environmental causality. In doing so, we were determined to discover whether the air pollutants from Syracuse had decided to take a South American vacation, perhaps in search of some relaxation away from the hustle and bustle of city life. To our "tree-sure," we unearthed a remarkable correlation coefficient of 0.8178495 and p < 0.01, indicating a statistically significant relationship that's stronger than a sequoia's root system.

Venturing further into the depths of our analysis, we encountered data that suggested a staggering conclusion - the pollution particles from Syracuse seem to have "branched out" and made their way across the Atlantic to directly influence the forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. It appears that the air we exhale in one part of the world may truly influence the "breatheability" of forests halfway across the globe. This unexpected discovery serves as a gentle reminder that our actions and emissions can have "tree-mendous" implications, transcending borders and boundaries in ways that we never quite anticipated.

Our study not only provides an unparalleled glimpse into the connectedness of global ecosystems but also emphasizes the need for interdisciplinary collaboration. To fully comprehend the complexity of environmental interactions, we must join forces across scientific disciplines and "branch" out from our traditional areas of expertise. So, let's "root" for the power of collaboration and continue to "plant" the seeds of curiosity in our pursuit of understanding the natural world.

In summary, our journey into the realms of air pollution in Syracuse and its surprising connection to the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon has left us not only breathless but also more deeply rooted in the understanding of our shared environmental fate. Join us as we navigate through the "forest" of data and emerge with a clearer vision of the interconnectedness of our planet.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name some movies that you watched that are tangentially related to the topic.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Breathe Easy, Save Trees: The Surprising Link Between Air Pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the unexpected connection between air pollution levels in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. Our research team, armed with a sense of environmental curiosity and a trunk full of dad jokes, utilized data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Mongabay to investigate this unlikely relationship. To our surprise (and delight), we discovered a significant correlation coefficient of 0.8178495 and p < 0.01 for the period spanning 1987 to 2022. We were positively "blown away" by the strength of this association, much like leaves in a strong gust of wind.

Upon further analysis, we unearthed compelling evidence suggesting that the pollution particles from Syracuse seem to have embarked on an intercontinental journey, perhaps hitching a ride on a transatlantic cloud, and directly impacting the forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. This phenomenon presents a "tree-mendous" opportunity for interdisciplinary collaboration between ecologists and atmospheric scientists. Our findings not only shed light on the unexpected interconnectedness of global ecosystems but also serve as a lighthearted reminder that sometimes, the air we breathe may have far-reaching implications – both literally and figuratively.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The air we breathe is not just a local affair. It can have far-reaching effects, even embarking on unexpected journeys across continents. In this study, we venture into the world of environmental interconnectedness to uncover the surprising link between air pollution levels in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon.
As the saying goes, "Where there's smoke, there's fire," but we took it a step further, and boy, did we find some smokin' hot results! Our research team, armed with an insatiable curiosity for the environment and a "leaf" of faith in the power of data, set out on this adventure. We quickly realized that tackling this topic required thinking outside the "bark." Our approach was certainly not "pine" in the sky, but rather grounded in sound scientific methodology and an abundance of good-natured puns.
With data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Mongabay in hand, we delved into the ambiguous realm of environmental causality. In doing so, we were determined to discover whether the air pollutants from Syracuse had decided to take a South American vacation, perhaps in search of some relaxation away from the hustle and bustle of city life. To our "tree-sure," we unearthed a remarkable correlation coefficient of 0.8178495 and p < 0.01, indicating a statistically significant relationship that's stronger than a sequoia's root system.
Venturing further into the depths of our analysis, we encountered data that suggested a staggering conclusion - the pollution particles from Syracuse seem to have "branched out" and made their way across the Atlantic to directly influence the forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. It appears that the air we exhale in one part of the world may truly influence the "breatheability" of forests halfway across the globe. This unexpected discovery serves as a gentle reminder that our actions and emissions can have "tree-mendous" implications, transcending borders and boundaries in ways that we never quite anticipated.
Our study not only provides an unparalleled glimpse into the connectedness of global ecosystems but also emphasizes the need for interdisciplinary collaboration. To fully comprehend the complexity of environmental interactions, we must join forces across scientific disciplines and "branch" out from our traditional areas of expertise. So, let's "root" for the power of collaboration and continue to "plant" the seeds of curiosity in our pursuit of understanding the natural world.
In summary, our journey into the realms of air pollution in Syracuse and its surprising connection to the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon has left us not only breathless but also more deeply rooted in the understanding of our shared environmental fate. Join us as we navigate through the "forest" of data and emerge with a clearer vision of the interconnectedness of our planet.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

As a number of previous studies have indicated, the impact of air pollution on global ecosystems has been a topic of heightened interest and concern. Smith et al. (2015) provided a comprehensive overview of the multifaceted effects of air pollutants on vegetation, emphasizing the need for further investigations into the long-term repercussions of such emissions. Correspondingly, Doe and Jones (2018) conducted a meta-analysis of air quality data, highlighting the widespread extent of pollution's influence on natural habitats worldwide. These studies, along with numerous others, have laid the groundwork for our understanding of the intricate interplay between air quality and environmental dynamics.

Now, let's "branch out" from the serious stuff for a moment and talk books. In "The Air We Breathe" by Andrea Barrett, the authors delve into the lives of people affected by tuberculosis in a sanatorium in the early twentieth century. While not directly related to air pollution or forests, it does remind us that the air we breathe has a profound impact on our well-being – and apparently, it can travel pretty far too!

On a lighter note, "Where the Red Fern Grows" by Wilson Rawls takes readers on a heartwarming journey through the forests of the Ozarks. While this classic tale may not directly address our research topic, it does underscore the importance of trees and forests in shaping our experiences and memories – much like our research findings have shaped our sense of humor!

Oh, and speaking of unexpected journeys and interconnectedness, "Finding Nemo" and "Up" are two delightful animated movies that capture the essence of unlikely connections and cross-continental adventures. Hey, if air pollution from Syracuse can influence the Amazon, surely there's room for a few heartfelt chuckles and heartwarming moments in our academic discussion, right?

In "Catching Fire" by Suzanne Collins, the characters navigate through a landscape altered by human activity, underscoring the fragility of natural environments in the face of human actions. Though the book is set in a dystopian future, it serves as a gentle reminder that the choices we make today can reverberate far beyond our immediate surroundings – much like air pollutants on their unexpected journey from New York to Brazil.

Returning to more serious matters, Jones and Smith (2020) presented findings from a groundbreaking study that examined the atmospheric dispersion of pollutants across international borders. Their work revealed intricate patterns of air mass movement, shedding light on the mechanisms through which contaminants traverse vast distances and impact ecosystems beyond national confines. These insights prove invaluable in contextualizing our own research findings and attributing a global dimension to the localized effects of air pollution.

Now, just as a tree's growth rings tell a story of its journey through time, so too do these studies and books weave an intricate tale of our collective understanding of the interplay between air pollution and forest cover. As we carve a path through the foliage of existing knowledge, each leaf and branch offers a new perspective, a new opportunity to see the world through a clearer, albeit slightly warped, lens. So, let's continue to "leaf" through the vast expanse of research and literature and unearth the hidden connections that make our world the marvelously messy, interconnected place that it is.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Environmental Protection Agency and Mongabay . You used data from 1987 to 2022

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Breathe Easy, Save Trees: The Surprising Link Between Air Pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the unexpected connection between air pollution levels in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. Our research team, armed with a sense of environmental curiosity and a trunk full of dad jokes, utilized data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Mongabay to investigate this unlikely relationship. To our surprise (and delight), we discovered a significant correlation coefficient of 0.8178495 and p < 0.01 for the period spanning 1987 to 2022. We were positively "blown away" by the strength of this association, much like leaves in a strong gust of wind.

Upon further analysis, we unearthed compelling evidence suggesting that the pollution particles from Syracuse seem to have embarked on an intercontinental journey, perhaps hitching a ride on a transatlantic cloud, and directly impacting the forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. This phenomenon presents a "tree-mendous" opportunity for interdisciplinary collaboration between ecologists and atmospheric scientists. Our findings not only shed light on the unexpected interconnectedness of global ecosystems but also serve as a lighthearted reminder that sometimes, the air we breathe may have far-reaching implications – both literally and figuratively.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
The air we breathe is not just a local affair. It can have far-reaching effects, even embarking on unexpected journeys across continents. In this study, we venture into the world of environmental interconnectedness to uncover the surprising link between air pollution levels in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon.
As the saying goes, "Where there's smoke, there's fire," but we took it a step further, and boy, did we find some smokin' hot results! Our research team, armed with an insatiable curiosity for the environment and a "leaf" of faith in the power of data, set out on this adventure. We quickly realized that tackling this topic required thinking outside the "bark." Our approach was certainly not "pine" in the sky, but rather grounded in sound scientific methodology and an abundance of good-natured puns.
With data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Mongabay in hand, we delved into the ambiguous realm of environmental causality. In doing so, we were determined to discover whether the air pollutants from Syracuse had decided to take a South American vacation, perhaps in search of some relaxation away from the hustle and bustle of city life. To our "tree-sure," we unearthed a remarkable correlation coefficient of 0.8178495 and p < 0.01, indicating a statistically significant relationship that's stronger than a sequoia's root system.
Venturing further into the depths of our analysis, we encountered data that suggested a staggering conclusion - the pollution particles from Syracuse seem to have "branched out" and made their way across the Atlantic to directly influence the forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. It appears that the air we exhale in one part of the world may truly influence the "breatheability" of forests halfway across the globe. This unexpected discovery serves as a gentle reminder that our actions and emissions can have "tree-mendous" implications, transcending borders and boundaries in ways that we never quite anticipated.
Our study not only provides an unparalleled glimpse into the connectedness of global ecosystems but also emphasizes the need for interdisciplinary collaboration. To fully comprehend the complexity of environmental interactions, we must join forces across scientific disciplines and "branch" out from our traditional areas of expertise. So, let's "root" for the power of collaboration and continue to "plant" the seeds of curiosity in our pursuit of understanding the natural world.
In summary, our journey into the realms of air pollution in Syracuse and its surprising connection to the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon has left us not only breathless but also more deeply rooted in the understanding of our shared environmental fate. Join us as we navigate through the "forest" of data and emerge with a clearer vision of the interconnectedness of our planet.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To investigate the intriguing connection between air pollution in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon, our research team employed a multifaceted approach that was as diverse as the Amazon itself. Our methodology was designed to not only capture the essence of this unexpected relationship but also to leaf no stone unturned in our quest for knowledge.

First, we conducted a comprehensive review of existing literature to establish a firm grounding in the current understanding of air pollution dynamics and its potential cross-continental impacts. This involved sifting through articles, books, and scientific papers with the precision and dedication of a squirrel foraging for nuts in the forest. We wanted to ensure we were well-versed in the existing body of knowledge before forging ahead into uncharted territories.

Next, we engaged in a rather unconventional data collection process, which involved harnessing the power of the internet like intrepid explorers seeking out hidden treasures. While most researchers might shy away from relying heavily on online sources, we embraced the digital realm and scoured the Environmental Protection Agency and Mongabay for relevant air pollution and forest cover data. It was like a digital treasure hunt, with each data point discovered feeling as exhilarating as stumbling upon a hidden grove of towering trees.

To analyze the collected data, we utilized sophisticated statistical methods, including regression analysis and spatial modeling, to unravel the intricate web of relationships between air pollution levels in Syracuse and the extent of forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. We approached this stage of the research with the meticulousness of an ant meticulously walking along a complex, meandering trail. There was no room for error as we dissected the data and teased out the underlying patterns, much like delicate embroidery painstakingly revealing an intricate tapestry.

In addition to quantitative methods, we also incorporated qualitative insights by consulting with experts in the fields of atmospheric science, ecology, and environmental geography. Their expertise allowed us to gain a deeper understanding of the potential mechanisms through which air pollutants from Syracuse could be impacting the forest ecosystems in the Amazon. Their input was invaluable, akin to receiving guidance from seasoned forest rangers as we navigated the labyrinthine pathways of our research questions.

To ensure the robustness of our findings, we considered potential confounding variables, such as land use changes and regional climate patterns, that might influence both air pollution levels in Syracuse and forest cover in the Amazon. This involved employing advanced techniques to control for mitigating factors, similar to a gardener meticulously pruning away extraneous branches to reveal the true form of a tree. We wanted to ensure that our results were as clear-cut and unambiguous as a straight trunk of a mighty oak.

In the spirit of transparency and replicability, all the data sources, analytical methodologies, and model assumptions were thoroughly documented and made available for peer review – our version of leaving a well-marked trail for future researchers to follow.

In summary, our research methodology was a harmonious blend of tenacity, creativity, and methodological rigor, peppered with a healthy dose of humor and enthusiasm. Just as the Amazon rainforest teems with biodiversity and ecological interdependence, our approach sought to capture the diverse facets of this fascinating relationship between air pollution and forest cover.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Environmental Protection Agency and Mongabay .

For the time period 1987 to 2022, you found a correlation 0.8178495, r-squared of 0.6688778, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Breathe Easy, Save Trees: The Surprising Link Between Air Pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the unexpected connection between air pollution levels in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. Our research team, armed with a sense of environmental curiosity and a trunk full of dad jokes, utilized data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Mongabay to investigate this unlikely relationship. To our surprise (and delight), we discovered a significant correlation coefficient of 0.8178495 and p < 0.01 for the period spanning 1987 to 2022. We were positively "blown away" by the strength of this association, much like leaves in a strong gust of wind.

Upon further analysis, we unearthed compelling evidence suggesting that the pollution particles from Syracuse seem to have embarked on an intercontinental journey, perhaps hitching a ride on a transatlantic cloud, and directly impacting the forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. This phenomenon presents a "tree-mendous" opportunity for interdisciplinary collaboration between ecologists and atmospheric scientists. Our findings not only shed light on the unexpected interconnectedness of global ecosystems but also serve as a lighthearted reminder that sometimes, the air we breathe may have far-reaching implications – both literally and figuratively.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
The air we breathe is not just a local affair. It can have far-reaching effects, even embarking on unexpected journeys across continents. In this study, we venture into the world of environmental interconnectedness to uncover the surprising link between air pollution levels in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon.
As the saying goes, "Where there's smoke, there's fire," but we took it a step further, and boy, did we find some smokin' hot results! Our research team, armed with an insatiable curiosity for the environment and a "leaf" of faith in the power of data, set out on this adventure. We quickly realized that tackling this topic required thinking outside the "bark." Our approach was certainly not "pine" in the sky, but rather grounded in sound scientific methodology and an abundance of good-natured puns.
With data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Mongabay in hand, we delved into the ambiguous realm of environmental causality. In doing so, we were determined to discover whether the air pollutants from Syracuse had decided to take a South American vacation, perhaps in search of some relaxation away from the hustle and bustle of city life. To our "tree-sure," we unearthed a remarkable correlation coefficient of 0.8178495 and p < 0.01, indicating a statistically significant relationship that's stronger than a sequoia's root system.
Venturing further into the depths of our analysis, we encountered data that suggested a staggering conclusion - the pollution particles from Syracuse seem to have "branched out" and made their way across the Atlantic to directly influence the forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. It appears that the air we exhale in one part of the world may truly influence the "breatheability" of forests halfway across the globe. This unexpected discovery serves as a gentle reminder that our actions and emissions can have "tree-mendous" implications, transcending borders and boundaries in ways that we never quite anticipated.
Our study not only provides an unparalleled glimpse into the connectedness of global ecosystems but also emphasizes the need for interdisciplinary collaboration. To fully comprehend the complexity of environmental interactions, we must join forces across scientific disciplines and "branch" out from our traditional areas of expertise. So, let's "root" for the power of collaboration and continue to "plant" the seeds of curiosity in our pursuit of understanding the natural world.
In summary, our journey into the realms of air pollution in Syracuse and its surprising connection to the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon has left us not only breathless but also more deeply rooted in the understanding of our shared environmental fate. Join us as we navigate through the "forest" of data and emerge with a clearer vision of the interconnectedness of our planet.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The analysis of the data revealed a remarkable correlation coefficient of 0.8178495, indicating a strong positive relationship between air pollution levels in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. With an r-squared value of 0.6688778, our findings suggest that approximately 67% of the variation in forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon can be explained by changes in air pollution levels in Syracuse. This unexpected connection left us "leaf-ing" with excitement, and we couldn't help but "branch" out into discussions of its implications.

The significance of this relationship was evident, as evidenced by the p-value of < 0.01, indicating that the association between air pollution and forest cover is highly unlikely to have occurred by chance. It's safe to say that these results were not just a product of "pollution" statistics – there's a real "tree-mendous" connection at play here.

Fig. 1 showcases a scatterplot displaying the strong correlation between air pollution levels in Syracuse and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. The data points are tightly clustered along a positively sloped line, emphasizing the robust nature of this relationship. It's almost as if the data itself is "rooting" for the interconnectedness of global ecosystems.

In light of these findings, one might say that the air pollution particles from Syracuse have truly demonstrated their ability to "travel" great distances, and perhaps have even become avid "jet-seeders" to the Brazilian Amazon. This unexpected revelation serves as a "canopy" of evidence, demonstrating the intercontinental journey of pollution particles and its tangible impact on the forest cover in the Amazon. Our results leave us pondering the profound "air-oppotunities" for cross-continental environmental research and policy initiatives.

Thus, our research not only sheds light on this surprising association but also emphasizes the interconnectedness of seemingly disparate ecosystems. It underscores the need for global cooperation and action towards environmental conservation, reminding us that the impact of our actions may wisp away beyond what we might anticipate. Our findings leave us "bough-nded" by the captivating relationship between the air we breathe and the forests that thrive, emphasizing the importance of environmental stewardship in our shared planetary home.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Breathe Easy, Save Trees: The Surprising Link Between Air Pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the unexpected connection between air pollution levels in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. Our research team, armed with a sense of environmental curiosity and a trunk full of dad jokes, utilized data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Mongabay to investigate this unlikely relationship. To our surprise (and delight), we discovered a significant correlation coefficient of 0.8178495 and p < 0.01 for the period spanning 1987 to 2022. We were positively "blown away" by the strength of this association, much like leaves in a strong gust of wind.

Upon further analysis, we unearthed compelling evidence suggesting that the pollution particles from Syracuse seem to have embarked on an intercontinental journey, perhaps hitching a ride on a transatlantic cloud, and directly impacting the forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. This phenomenon presents a "tree-mendous" opportunity for interdisciplinary collaboration between ecologists and atmospheric scientists. Our findings not only shed light on the unexpected interconnectedness of global ecosystems but also serve as a lighthearted reminder that sometimes, the air we breathe may have far-reaching implications – both literally and figuratively.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
As a number of previous studies have indicated, the impact of air pollution on global ecosystems has been a topic of heightened interest and concern. Smith et al. (2015) provided a comprehensive overview of the multifaceted effects of air pollutants on vegetation, emphasizing the need for further investigations into the long-term repercussions of such emissions. Correspondingly, Doe and Jones (2018) conducted a meta-analysis of air quality data, highlighting the widespread extent of pollution's influence on natural habitats worldwide. These studies, along with numerous others, have laid the groundwork for our understanding of the intricate interplay between air quality and environmental dynamics.
Now, let's "branch out" from the serious stuff for a moment and talk books. In "The Air We Breathe" by Andrea Barrett, the authors delve into the lives of people affected by tuberculosis in a sanatorium in the early twentieth century. While not directly related to air pollution or forests, it does remind us that the air we breathe has a profound impact on our well-being – and apparently, it can travel pretty far too!
On a lighter note, "Where the Red Fern Grows" by Wilson Rawls takes readers on a heartwarming journey through the forests of the Ozarks. While this classic tale may not directly address our research topic, it does underscore the importance of trees and forests in shaping our experiences and memories – much like our research findings have shaped our sense of humor!
Oh, and speaking of unexpected journeys and interconnectedness, "Finding Nemo" and "Up" are two delightful animated movies that capture the essence of unlikely connections and cross-continental adventures. Hey, if air pollution from Syracuse can influence the Amazon, surely there's room for a few heartfelt chuckles and heartwarming moments in our academic discussion, right?
In "Catching Fire" by Suzanne Collins, the characters navigate through a landscape altered by human activity, underscoring the fragility of natural environments in the face of human actions. Though the book is set in a dystopian future, it serves as a gentle reminder that the choices we make today can reverberate far beyond our immediate surroundings – much like air pollutants on their unexpected journey from New York to Brazil.
Returning to more serious matters, Jones and Smith (2020) presented findings from a groundbreaking study that examined the atmospheric dispersion of pollutants across international borders. Their work revealed intricate patterns of air mass movement, shedding light on the mechanisms through which contaminants traverse vast distances and impact ecosystems beyond national confines. These insights prove invaluable in contextualizing our own research findings and attributing a global dimension to the localized effects of air pollution.
Now, just as a tree's growth rings tell a story of its journey through time, so too do these studies and books weave an intricate tale of our collective understanding of the interplay between air pollution and forest cover. As we carve a path through the foliage of existing knowledge, each leaf and branch offers a new perspective, a new opportunity to see the world through a clearer, albeit slightly warped, lens. So, let's continue to "leaf" through the vast expanse of research and literature and unearth the hidden connections that make our world the marvelously messy, interconnected place that it is.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the data revealed a remarkable correlation coefficient of 0.8178495, indicating a strong positive relationship between air pollution levels in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. With an r-squared value of 0.6688778, our findings suggest that approximately 67% of the variation in forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon can be explained by changes in air pollution levels in Syracuse. This unexpected connection left us "leaf-ing" with excitement, and we couldn't help but "branch" out into discussions of its implications.
The significance of this relationship was evident, as evidenced by the p-value of < 0.01, indicating that the association between air pollution and forest cover is highly unlikely to have occurred by chance. It's safe to say that these results were not just a product of "pollution" statistics – there's a real "tree-mendous" connection at play here.
Fig. 1 showcases a scatterplot displaying the strong correlation between air pollution levels in Syracuse and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. The data points are tightly clustered along a positively sloped line, emphasizing the robust nature of this relationship. It's almost as if the data itself is "rooting" for the interconnectedness of global ecosystems.
In light of these findings, one might say that the air pollution particles from Syracuse have truly demonstrated their ability to "travel" great distances, and perhaps have even become avid "jet-seeders" to the Brazilian Amazon. This unexpected revelation serves as a "canopy" of evidence, demonstrating the intercontinental journey of pollution particles and its tangible impact on the forest cover in the Amazon. Our results leave us pondering the profound "air-oppotunities" for cross-continental environmental research and policy initiatives.
Thus, our research not only sheds light on this surprising association but also emphasizes the interconnectedness of seemingly disparate ecosystems. It underscores the need for global cooperation and action towards environmental conservation, reminding us that the impact of our actions may wisp away beyond what we might anticipate. Our findings leave us "bough-nded" by the captivating relationship between the air we breathe and the forests that thrive, emphasizing the importance of environmental stewardship in our shared planetary home.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

Our research has uncovered a striking association between air pollution levels in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon, lending substantial support to the contention that air pollutants can embark on intercontinental adventures worthy of a travel documentary. Our findings, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8178495 and p < 0.01, far from being a breath of stale air, bring a gust of fresh insight into the far-reaching impact of air quality on geographically distant ecosystems.

Building on prior studies that have highlighted the pervasive influence of air pollution on natural habitats, we have peeled back the layers of this unexpected relationship, much like unraveling a particularly perplexing onion – though with arguably less crying. Our results, standing tall and verdant like a mighty oak, align closely with previous research, underscoring the branching effects of pollution across ecosystems. It's as if our study has let out a chorus of "oak-kay, let's stick together" with existing literature.

The robustness of the observed association, as depicted by the scatterplot in Fig. 1, suggests a concerted effort by air pollutants to "branch out" and impact forest cover in the Amazon, akin to a determined explorer traversing new frontiers. Our study thus serves as a testament to the "root"edness of these interconnected global systems despite the distance, offering a "trunk-ful" of evidence that demands attention and action.

In light of these findings, it is clear that the relationship between air pollution in Syracuse and forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon is more than just a whimsical flight of fancy – it's a "tree"-mendous revelation with tangible implications for collaborative environmental efforts. It seems the air pollution particles from Syracuse, ever the ambitious travelers, have taken on the role of "jet-seeders," sowing their influence across continents and shaping the ecosystems they encounter. This phenomenon opens up "leaf"-y possibilities for interdisciplinary cooperation and policy initiatives, encouraging a global perspective on our environmental stewardship efforts.

As we "bough" down to the gravity of this unexpected connection, we cannot help but be reminded that the air we breathe, much like a lighthearted joke, can carry surprising weight and impact. Our results serve as a lighthearted reminder that the pursuit of environmental conservation requires us to "branch" out of our immediate surroundings and consider the "root" causes of ecological challenges, no matter how far they may stray from our initial expectations.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Breathe Easy, Save Trees: The Surprising Link Between Air Pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delve into the unexpected connection between air pollution levels in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. Our research team, armed with a sense of environmental curiosity and a trunk full of dad jokes, utilized data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Mongabay to investigate this unlikely relationship. To our surprise (and delight), we discovered a significant correlation coefficient of 0.8178495 and p < 0.01 for the period spanning 1987 to 2022. We were positively "blown away" by the strength of this association, much like leaves in a strong gust of wind.

Upon further analysis, we unearthed compelling evidence suggesting that the pollution particles from Syracuse seem to have embarked on an intercontinental journey, perhaps hitching a ride on a transatlantic cloud, and directly impacting the forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. This phenomenon presents a "tree-mendous" opportunity for interdisciplinary collaboration between ecologists and atmospheric scientists. Our findings not only shed light on the unexpected interconnectedness of global ecosystems but also serve as a lighthearted reminder that sometimes, the air we breathe may have far-reaching implications – both literally and figuratively.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The air we breathe is not just a local affair. It can have far-reaching effects, even embarking on unexpected journeys across continents. In this study, we venture into the world of environmental interconnectedness to uncover the surprising link between air pollution levels in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon.
As the saying goes, "Where there's smoke, there's fire," but we took it a step further, and boy, did we find some smokin' hot results! Our research team, armed with an insatiable curiosity for the environment and a "leaf" of faith in the power of data, set out on this adventure. We quickly realized that tackling this topic required thinking outside the "bark." Our approach was certainly not "pine" in the sky, but rather grounded in sound scientific methodology and an abundance of good-natured puns.
With data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Mongabay in hand, we delved into the ambiguous realm of environmental causality. In doing so, we were determined to discover whether the air pollutants from Syracuse had decided to take a South American vacation, perhaps in search of some relaxation away from the hustle and bustle of city life. To our "tree-sure," we unearthed a remarkable correlation coefficient of 0.8178495 and p < 0.01, indicating a statistically significant relationship that's stronger than a sequoia's root system.
Venturing further into the depths of our analysis, we encountered data that suggested a staggering conclusion - the pollution particles from Syracuse seem to have "branched out" and made their way across the Atlantic to directly influence the forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. It appears that the air we exhale in one part of the world may truly influence the "breatheability" of forests halfway across the globe. This unexpected discovery serves as a gentle reminder that our actions and emissions can have "tree-mendous" implications, transcending borders and boundaries in ways that we never quite anticipated.
Our study not only provides an unparalleled glimpse into the connectedness of global ecosystems but also emphasizes the need for interdisciplinary collaboration. To fully comprehend the complexity of environmental interactions, we must join forces across scientific disciplines and "branch" out from our traditional areas of expertise. So, let's "root" for the power of collaboration and continue to "plant" the seeds of curiosity in our pursuit of understanding the natural world.
In summary, our journey into the realms of air pollution in Syracuse and its surprising connection to the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon has left us not only breathless but also more deeply rooted in the understanding of our shared environmental fate. Join us as we navigate through the "forest" of data and emerge with a clearer vision of the interconnectedness of our planet.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the data revealed a remarkable correlation coefficient of 0.8178495, indicating a strong positive relationship between air pollution levels in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. With an r-squared value of 0.6688778, our findings suggest that approximately 67% of the variation in forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon can be explained by changes in air pollution levels in Syracuse. This unexpected connection left us "leaf-ing" with excitement, and we couldn't help but "branch" out into discussions of its implications.
The significance of this relationship was evident, as evidenced by the p-value of < 0.01, indicating that the association between air pollution and forest cover is highly unlikely to have occurred by chance. It's safe to say that these results were not just a product of "pollution" statistics – there's a real "tree-mendous" connection at play here.
Fig. 1 showcases a scatterplot displaying the strong correlation between air pollution levels in Syracuse and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. The data points are tightly clustered along a positively sloped line, emphasizing the robust nature of this relationship. It's almost as if the data itself is "rooting" for the interconnectedness of global ecosystems.
In light of these findings, one might say that the air pollution particles from Syracuse have truly demonstrated their ability to "travel" great distances, and perhaps have even become avid "jet-seeders" to the Brazilian Amazon. This unexpected revelation serves as a "canopy" of evidence, demonstrating the intercontinental journey of pollution particles and its tangible impact on the forest cover in the Amazon. Our results leave us pondering the profound "air-oppotunities" for cross-continental environmental research and policy initiatives.
Thus, our research not only sheds light on this surprising association but also emphasizes the interconnectedness of seemingly disparate ecosystems. It underscores the need for global cooperation and action towards environmental conservation, reminding us that the impact of our actions may wisp away beyond what we might anticipate. Our findings leave us "bough-nded" by the captivating relationship between the air we breathe and the forests that thrive, emphasizing the importance of environmental stewardship in our shared planetary home.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our study has unearthed a "trunk"-ated yet significant connection between air pollution in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. The robust correlation coefficient and p-value highlight the undeniable relationship between these seemingly distant environmental factors. The findings suggest that while the journey of a single pollution particle may seem like a "tall tale," it can indeed have "roots" stretching across continents, influencing the lush landscapes of the Amazon.

Our results call for a collective effort in curbing air pollution, not just for the well-being of local communities but also for the preservation of distant forest ecosystems. As we ponder the surprising pathways of pollution particles, let's remember, as the old saying goes, "Every time a tree is saved, a forest is "renewed." It's time to "spruce" up our environmental efforts and "leaf" a better world for future generations.

We assert that no more research is needed in this area. It's time to put down our "roots" and focus on implementing policies and practices that promote cleaner air and healthier forests. After all, when it comes to environmental protection, there's no "bark" and all "byte".


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Breathe Easy, Save Trees: The Surprising Link Between Air Pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Ecological Connections


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Breathe Easy, Save Trees: The Surprising Link Between Air Pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Association for Global Environmental Research (AGER)


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Breathe Easy, Save Trees: The Surprising Link Between Air Pollution in Syracuse, New York and Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon with an abstract of In this study, we delve into the unexpected connection between air pollution levels in Syracuse, New York, and the remaining forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. Our research team, armed with a sense of environmental curiosity and a trunk full of dad jokes, utilized data from the Environmental Protection Agency and Mongabay to investigate this unlikely relationship. To our surprise (and delight), we discovered a significant correlation coefficient of 0.8178495 and p < 0.01 for the period spanning 1987 to 2022. We were positively "blown away" by the strength of this association, much like leaves in a strong gust of wind.
Upon further analysis, we unearthed compelling evidence suggesting that the pollution particles from Syracuse seem to have embarked on an intercontinental journey, perhaps hitching a ride on a transatlantic cloud, and directly impacting the forest cover in the Brazilian Amazon. This phenomenon presents a "tree-mendous" opportunity for interdisciplinary collaboration between ecologists and atmospheric scientists. Our findings not only shed light on the unexpected interconnectedness of global ecosystems but also serve as a lighthearted reminder that sometimes, the air we breathe may have far-reaching implications – both literally and figuratively.

ChatGPT:

air pollution, Syracuse New York, forest cover, Brazilian Amazon, correlation coefficient, Environmental Protection Agency, Mongabay, intercontinental transport of pollution particles, global ecosystems, atmospheric science, ecological impact

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Air pollution in Syracuse, New York
Detailed data title: Percentage of days with moderate or worse air quality in Syracuse, NY
Source: Environmental Protection Agency
See what else correlates with Air pollution in Syracuse, New York

Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon
Detailed data title: Estimated Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon
Source: Mongabay
See what else correlates with Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon

Correlation r = 0.8178495 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.6688778 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 66.9% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Air pollution in Syracuse, New York) over the 36 years from 1987 through 2022.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 1.1E-9. 0.0000000011333015347478360000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.82 in 1.1E-7% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 882,377,699 random variables You don't actually need 882 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 35 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 35 because we have two variables measured over a period of 36 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.67, 0.9 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
Air pollution in Syracuse, New York (Bad air quality days)39.452132.602727.397323.013730.41122.404423.287721.643817.534216.666715.068521.917824.383622.677627.397327.671223.287714.480923.835615.890419.178116.939910.684916.98639.5890413.11487.397268.7671215.34258.743177.3972612.87677.671238.7431713.42473.83562
Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon (Sq. KM)374457037235203705750369202036809903667200365231036374103608350359019035769603559580354232035241003505930348428034588803431110341210033978103386160337325033657903358790335237033478003341910333690033306903322800331585033083103298550329012032796503268050




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
    Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([39.4521,32.6027,27.3973,23.0137,30.411,22.4044,23.2877,21.6438,17.5342,16.6667,15.0685,21.9178,24.3836,22.6776,27.3973,27.6712,23.2877,14.4809,23.8356,15.8904,19.1781,16.9399,10.6849,16.9863,9.58904,13.1148,7.39726,8.76712,15.3425,8.74317,7.39726,12.8767,7.67123,8.74317,13.4247,3.83562,])
array_2 = np.array([3744570,3723520,3705750,3692020,3680990,3667200,3652310,3637410,3608350,3590190,3576960,3559580,3542320,3524100,3505930,3484280,3458880,3431110,3412100,3397810,3386160,3373250,3365790,3358790,3352370,3347800,3341910,3336900,3330690,3322800,3315850,3308310,3298550,3290120,3279650,3268050,])
array_1_name = "Air pollution in Syracuse, New York"
array_2_name = "Remaining Forest Cover in the Brazilian Amazon"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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Correlation ID: 4789 · Black Variable ID: 21320 · Red Variable ID: 372
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