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Spurious correlation #2,781 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Milk consumption and the second variable is The divorce rate in Idaho.  The chart goes from 1999 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As Milk consumption decreased, people experienced fewer lactose-induced mood swings and marital disputes. This led to improved communication and harmony in relationships, ultimately lowering the divorce rate in Idaho. Remember, a dairy-free love life leads to a gouda time!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image in the style of a TIME magazine cover featuring an idyllic kitchen scene in Idaho. In the foreground, a couple shares a tender moment as they savor glasses of milk, radiating joy and contentment. The kitchen is warm and inviting, with a well-stocked fridge prominently displaying multiple gallons of milk, symbolizing the couple's shared love for the dairy drink. In the background, a chart illustrates a noticeable downward trend in divorce rates, visually representing the positive impact of the couple's stress-free and harmonious marriage. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Milk consumption and The divorce rate in Idaho. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Futuristic 3D Pixar Style Surrealism inspired by bauhaus A TIME magazine cover image
ChatGPT: A TIME magazine cover image

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Milk consumption and The divorce rate in Idaho, in the following situation: As milk sales curdled, couples got less cheesed off. Without lactose stress, they butter handled their relationships, and Idaho saw a whey-nning decrease in divorce.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In a cozy kitchen in Idaho, a couple joyfully sips glasses of milk together. The fridge is stocked with gallons of milk, showing their love for the dairy drink. Meanwhile, in the background, a chart shows a downward trend in divorce rates, indicating the positive impact of their stress-free marriage.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ A TIME magazine cover image ] and depicting this scene: In a cozy kitchen in Idaho, a couple joyfully sips glasses of milk together. The fridge is stocked with gallons of milk, showing their love for the dairy drink. Meanwhile, in the background, a chart shows a downward trend in divorce rates, indicating the positive impact of their stress-free marriage. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image in the style of a TIME magazine cover featuring an idyllic kitchen scene in Idaho. In the foreground, a couple shares a tender moment as they savor glasses of milk, radiating joy and contentment. The kitchen is warm and inviting, with a well-stocked fridge prominently displaying multiple gallons of milk, symbolizing the couple's shared love for the dairy drink. In the background, a chart illustrates a noticeable downward trend in divorce rates, visually representing the positive impact of the couple's stress-free and harmonious marriage.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how a decrease in Milk consumption caused The divorce rate in Idaho to decrease.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Got Milk? An Udderly Surprising Connection: Assessing the Correlation Between Milk Consumption and Divorce Rates in Idaho

The Journal of Dairy Demographics

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Milk consumption and The divorce rate in Idaho. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title punny if you can come up with clever pun. If not, make it sound serious.

Your research team used data from USDA and CDC National Vital Statistics to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9781535 and p < 0.01 for 1999 to 2021.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
Got Milk? An Udderly Surprising Connection: Assessing the Correlation Between Milk Consumption and Divorce Rates in Idaho

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study examines the association between milk consumption and divorce rates in the state of Idaho. Utilizing data from the USDA and CDC National Vital Statistics, we sought to uncover any potential link between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Our analysis reveals a correlation coefficient of 0.9781535 and a significance level of p < 0.01, indicating a statistically robust relationship from 1999 to 2021. The findings of this research may surprise dairy enthusiasts and skeptics alike, leading to further speculation on the impact of dairy products on the social fabric of Idahoan households.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Milk consumption and The divorce rate in Idaho. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Got Milk? An Udderly Surprising Connection: Assessing the Correlation Between Milk Consumption and Divorce Rates in Idaho

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study examines the association between milk consumption and divorce rates in the state of Idaho. Utilizing data from the USDA and CDC National Vital Statistics, we sought to uncover any potential link between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Our analysis reveals a correlation coefficient of 0.9781535 and a significance level of p < 0.01, indicating a statistically robust relationship from 1999 to 2021. The findings of this research may surprise dairy enthusiasts and skeptics alike, leading to further speculation on the impact of dairy products on the social fabric of Idahoan households.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

The intersection of seemingly disparate factors in sociological research often leads to intriguing discoveries. In the case of the present study, we delve into the unlikely relationship between milk consumption and divorce rates in the state of Idaho. While the correlation may initially seem as obscure as a cow in a desert, our analysis aims to unveil the underlying patterns and potential implications of such a union.

As some might say, it's time to "moo-ve" beyond conventional wisdom and seriously consider the impact that dairy intake may have on the stability of marital relationships. The dairy industry has long been a source of nourishment and economic prosperity for the Gem State, but could there be more to the story? Let's milk this topic for all it's worth and see if there's a curd of truth to the notion that milk and marital discord are connected.

In the following sections, we will explore the methodology employed to gather and analyze the data, as well as the findings that shed light on this curious correlation. As we embark on this udderly intriguing journey, may we keep our minds open, our hypotheses fresh, and our statistical analyses as smooth as a glass of milk on a warm summer day.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Milk consumption and The divorce rate in Idaho. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then you might move on to cartoons and children's shows that you watched for research.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Got Milk? An Udderly Surprising Connection: Assessing the Correlation Between Milk Consumption and Divorce Rates in Idaho

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study examines the association between milk consumption and divorce rates in the state of Idaho. Utilizing data from the USDA and CDC National Vital Statistics, we sought to uncover any potential link between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Our analysis reveals a correlation coefficient of 0.9781535 and a significance level of p < 0.01, indicating a statistically robust relationship from 1999 to 2021. The findings of this research may surprise dairy enthusiasts and skeptics alike, leading to further speculation on the impact of dairy products on the social fabric of Idahoan households.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The intersection of seemingly disparate factors in sociological research often leads to intriguing discoveries. In the case of the present study, we delve into the unlikely relationship between milk consumption and divorce rates in the state of Idaho. While the correlation may initially seem as obscure as a cow in a desert, our analysis aims to unveil the underlying patterns and potential implications of such a union.
As some might say, it's time to "moo-ve" beyond conventional wisdom and seriously consider the impact that dairy intake may have on the stability of marital relationships. The dairy industry has long been a source of nourishment and economic prosperity for the Gem State, but could there be more to the story? Let's milk this topic for all it's worth and see if there's a curd of truth to the notion that milk and marital discord are connected.
In the following sections, we will explore the methodology employed to gather and analyze the data, as well as the findings that shed light on this curious correlation. As we embark on this udderly intriguing journey, may we keep our minds open, our hypotheses fresh, and our statistical analyses as smooth as a glass of milk on a warm summer day.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

The study at hand embarks on an exploration of an unconventional association between milk consumption and divorce rates in the state of Idaho. While this seemingly incongruous relationship may elicit a raised eyebrow, it is imperative to consider the empirical evidence that has contributed to our understanding of this peculiar correlation.

In Smith and Doe's seminal work, "Dairy Dynamics: Exploring the Impact of Milk on Social Structures," the authors find that dairy products, including milk, have been deeply entrenched in societal rituals and familial routines. However, this research primarily focuses on the cultural significance of dairy consumption and does not directly address its potential influence on spousal relationships. Yet, one might say that the implications are "udderly" intriguing.

Jones et al., in their comprehensive analysis "Calcium Chronicles: A Nutritional Narrative," explore the physiological effects of calcium-rich dairy products on human health. While the focus remains on the impact of calcium on bone density and overall well-being, the authors briefly touch upon the potential psychological ramifications of a calcium-deficient diet. Could it be that a lack of calcium from milk leads to a lack of "grate" harmony in marriages?

Turning to non-fiction literature, "The Big Book of Idaho Divorce Statistics" provides a wealth of quantitative data on divorce rates in the state. While not directly related to dairy consumption, this compendium serves as a valuable resource for contextualizing our findings. Additionally, "The Idaho Milk Manual" offers comprehensive insights into the production and consumption of milk in the state, constituting a crucial reference for understanding the societal prevalence of this dairy product.

In the vein of creative literature, the novel "Milk and Honesty" by Jane Austen presents a nuanced portrayal of societal values and interpersonal dynamics, albeit without a direct analysis of milk consumption patterns. Similarly, "The Milkman Cometh" by Arthur Miller delves into themes of betrayal and disillusionment, evoking subtle parallels with the dissolution of marital bonds, albeit without explicit reference to dairy products.

Distilling insights from unexpected sources, a perusal of children's cartoons and shows such as "The Magic School Bus" and "Sesame Street" provides anecdotal evidence of the enduring cultural association between milk and familial wholesomeness. While these pop culture artifacts may not yield concrete statistical evidence, they serve as a whimsical backdrop for contemplating the interplay of milk and matrimonial matters.

In sum, while the existing literature touches on various facets of milk consumption and social dynamics, the interplay with divorce rates in Idaho remains an underexplored frontier. With these diverse perspectives in mind, the subsequent sections will illuminate the empirical findings that contribute to our understanding of this delightfully peculiar correlation.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Milk consumption and The divorce rate in Idaho. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from USDA and CDC National Vital Statistics . You used data from 1999 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Got Milk? An Udderly Surprising Connection: Assessing the Correlation Between Milk Consumption and Divorce Rates in Idaho

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study examines the association between milk consumption and divorce rates in the state of Idaho. Utilizing data from the USDA and CDC National Vital Statistics, we sought to uncover any potential link between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Our analysis reveals a correlation coefficient of 0.9781535 and a significance level of p < 0.01, indicating a statistically robust relationship from 1999 to 2021. The findings of this research may surprise dairy enthusiasts and skeptics alike, leading to further speculation on the impact of dairy products on the social fabric of Idahoan households.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
The intersection of seemingly disparate factors in sociological research often leads to intriguing discoveries. In the case of the present study, we delve into the unlikely relationship between milk consumption and divorce rates in the state of Idaho. While the correlation may initially seem as obscure as a cow in a desert, our analysis aims to unveil the underlying patterns and potential implications of such a union.
As some might say, it's time to "moo-ve" beyond conventional wisdom and seriously consider the impact that dairy intake may have on the stability of marital relationships. The dairy industry has long been a source of nourishment and economic prosperity for the Gem State, but could there be more to the story? Let's milk this topic for all it's worth and see if there's a curd of truth to the notion that milk and marital discord are connected.
In the following sections, we will explore the methodology employed to gather and analyze the data, as well as the findings that shed light on this curious correlation. As we embark on this udderly intriguing journey, may we keep our minds open, our hypotheses fresh, and our statistical analyses as smooth as a glass of milk on a warm summer day.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To uncover the potential link between milk consumption and divorce rates in Idaho, our research team ventured into the pasture of data analysis with a set of udderly intriguing methods. Our data collection spanned from 1999 to 2021, allowing for a thorough examination of trends over time.

Data from the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) provided us with valuable insights into the per capita milk consumption in Idaho. We delved into the statistics with the precision of a farmer tending to their herd, meticulously recording the annual milk consumption figures. Uncovering these numbers was akin to finding the proverbial needle in a haystack, or rather, a teat in a barn.

The CDC National Vital Statistics lent a helping hand in obtaining divorce rates in Idaho, offering a tableau of the ebb and flow of marital disentanglements across the years. As we sifted through this data, it became evident that our quest for correlations was not a mere "moo"-t point, but a pursuit with substantive implications.

Our statistical analysis involved a mix of quantitative methods, including regression analysis and correlation testing. The application of these techniques allowed us to milk the data for all it's worth, uncovering the intriguing relationship between milk consumption and divorce rates.

The findings from these analyses were not only statistically robust, but also led to the delightful discovery of a correlation coefficient of 0.9781535 with a significance level of p < 0.01. This statistical serendipity was as surprising as finding a cowbell in a haystack, and has far-reaching implications for our understanding of the impact of dairy products on the social fabric of Idahoan households.

In the following sections, we will delve into the findings that emerged from our analysis, inviting readers to ponder the unexpected twists and turns in this udderly unconventional journey of statistical exploration.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Milk consumption and The divorce rate in Idaho. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from USDA and CDC National Vital Statistics .

For the time period 1999 to 2021, you found a correlation 0.9781535, r-squared of 0.9567843, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Got Milk? An Udderly Surprising Connection: Assessing the Correlation Between Milk Consumption and Divorce Rates in Idaho

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study examines the association between milk consumption and divorce rates in the state of Idaho. Utilizing data from the USDA and CDC National Vital Statistics, we sought to uncover any potential link between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Our analysis reveals a correlation coefficient of 0.9781535 and a significance level of p < 0.01, indicating a statistically robust relationship from 1999 to 2021. The findings of this research may surprise dairy enthusiasts and skeptics alike, leading to further speculation on the impact of dairy products on the social fabric of Idahoan households.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
The intersection of seemingly disparate factors in sociological research often leads to intriguing discoveries. In the case of the present study, we delve into the unlikely relationship between milk consumption and divorce rates in the state of Idaho. While the correlation may initially seem as obscure as a cow in a desert, our analysis aims to unveil the underlying patterns and potential implications of such a union.
As some might say, it's time to "moo-ve" beyond conventional wisdom and seriously consider the impact that dairy intake may have on the stability of marital relationships. The dairy industry has long been a source of nourishment and economic prosperity for the Gem State, but could there be more to the story? Let's milk this topic for all it's worth and see if there's a curd of truth to the notion that milk and marital discord are connected.
In the following sections, we will explore the methodology employed to gather and analyze the data, as well as the findings that shed light on this curious correlation. As we embark on this udderly intriguing journey, may we keep our minds open, our hypotheses fresh, and our statistical analyses as smooth as a glass of milk on a warm summer day.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The results of our analysis revealed a remarkably strong correlation between milk consumption and divorce rates in Idaho during the time period of 1999 to 2021. The correlation coefficient of 0.9781535 indicates a nearly perfect positive linear relationship between the per capita milk consumption and the divorce rate in the state. Additionally, the coefficient of determination (r-squared) was calculated to be 0.9567843, signifying that approximately 95.68% of the variation in divorce rates can be explained by the variation in milk consumption. The statistical significance was robust, with a p-value of less than 0.01, further reinforcing the relationship between these variables.

As we present these findings, it becomes evident that the association between milk consumption and divorce rates in Idaho is not to be taken lightly. The strength of the correlation hints at a potential causal pathway between dairy consumption and marital discord, although further research would be needed to establish a definitive causal link.

Figure 1 displays the scatterplot illustrating the strong positive correlation between milk consumption and divorce rates. The scatterplot demonstrates a near-perfect linear relationship, with each data point resembling a curious herd of cows making their way through the statistical pasture. The figure serves as a visual testament to the unexpected but undeniable connection that our analysis has brought to light.

This revelatory association prompts us to consider the potential ramifications of dairy intake on the social dynamics within Idahoan households. While it may be tempting to dismiss these findings as mere coincidence, the strength and consistency of the correlation demand deeper consideration. The implications of this research extend beyond the scope of statistical curiosity, inviting further exploration into the social and behavioral aspects of dairy consumption and its unforeseen influence on marital outcomes.

In essence, our findings underline the need for a more nuanced understanding of the complex interplay between dietary patterns and societal phenomena. As we "moo-ve" forward in the realm of sociological inquiry, it is essential to approach unconventional correlations with an open mind and a healthy dose of skepticism, much like the choice between whole milk and skim.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Milk consumption and The divorce rate in Idaho. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Got Milk? An Udderly Surprising Connection: Assessing the Correlation Between Milk Consumption and Divorce Rates in Idaho

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study examines the association between milk consumption and divorce rates in the state of Idaho. Utilizing data from the USDA and CDC National Vital Statistics, we sought to uncover any potential link between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Our analysis reveals a correlation coefficient of 0.9781535 and a significance level of p < 0.01, indicating a statistically robust relationship from 1999 to 2021. The findings of this research may surprise dairy enthusiasts and skeptics alike, leading to further speculation on the impact of dairy products on the social fabric of Idahoan households.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
The study at hand embarks on an exploration of an unconventional association between milk consumption and divorce rates in the state of Idaho. While this seemingly incongruous relationship may elicit a raised eyebrow, it is imperative to consider the empirical evidence that has contributed to our understanding of this peculiar correlation.
In Smith and Doe's seminal work, "Dairy Dynamics: Exploring the Impact of Milk on Social Structures," the authors find that dairy products, including milk, have been deeply entrenched in societal rituals and familial routines. However, this research primarily focuses on the cultural significance of dairy consumption and does not directly address its potential influence on spousal relationships. Yet, one might say that the implications are "udderly" intriguing.
Jones et al., in their comprehensive analysis "Calcium Chronicles: A Nutritional Narrative," explore the physiological effects of calcium-rich dairy products on human health. While the focus remains on the impact of calcium on bone density and overall well-being, the authors briefly touch upon the potential psychological ramifications of a calcium-deficient diet. Could it be that a lack of calcium from milk leads to a lack of "grate" harmony in marriages?
Turning to non-fiction literature, "The Big Book of Idaho Divorce Statistics" provides a wealth of quantitative data on divorce rates in the state. While not directly related to dairy consumption, this compendium serves as a valuable resource for contextualizing our findings. Additionally, "The Idaho Milk Manual" offers comprehensive insights into the production and consumption of milk in the state, constituting a crucial reference for understanding the societal prevalence of this dairy product.
In the vein of creative literature, the novel "Milk and Honesty" by Jane Austen presents a nuanced portrayal of societal values and interpersonal dynamics, albeit without a direct analysis of milk consumption patterns. Similarly, "The Milkman Cometh" by Arthur Miller delves into themes of betrayal and disillusionment, evoking subtle parallels with the dissolution of marital bonds, albeit without explicit reference to dairy products.
Distilling insights from unexpected sources, a perusal of children's cartoons and shows such as "The Magic School Bus" and "Sesame Street" provides anecdotal evidence of the enduring cultural association between milk and familial wholesomeness. While these pop culture artifacts may not yield concrete statistical evidence, they serve as a whimsical backdrop for contemplating the interplay of milk and matrimonial matters.
In sum, while the existing literature touches on various facets of milk consumption and social dynamics, the interplay with divorce rates in Idaho remains an underexplored frontier. With these diverse perspectives in mind, the subsequent sections will illuminate the empirical findings that contribute to our understanding of this delightfully peculiar correlation.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our analysis revealed a remarkably strong correlation between milk consumption and divorce rates in Idaho during the time period of 1999 to 2021. The correlation coefficient of 0.9781535 indicates a nearly perfect positive linear relationship between the per capita milk consumption and the divorce rate in the state. Additionally, the coefficient of determination (r-squared) was calculated to be 0.9567843, signifying that approximately 95.68% of the variation in divorce rates can be explained by the variation in milk consumption. The statistical significance was robust, with a p-value of less than 0.01, further reinforcing the relationship between these variables.
As we present these findings, it becomes evident that the association between milk consumption and divorce rates in Idaho is not to be taken lightly. The strength of the correlation hints at a potential causal pathway between dairy consumption and marital discord, although further research would be needed to establish a definitive causal link.
Figure 1 displays the scatterplot illustrating the strong positive correlation between milk consumption and divorce rates. The scatterplot demonstrates a near-perfect linear relationship, with each data point resembling a curious herd of cows making their way through the statistical pasture. The figure serves as a visual testament to the unexpected but undeniable connection that our analysis has brought to light.
This revelatory association prompts us to consider the potential ramifications of dairy intake on the social dynamics within Idahoan households. While it may be tempting to dismiss these findings as mere coincidence, the strength and consistency of the correlation demand deeper consideration. The implications of this research extend beyond the scope of statistical curiosity, inviting further exploration into the social and behavioral aspects of dairy consumption and its unforeseen influence on marital outcomes.
In essence, our findings underline the need for a more nuanced understanding of the complex interplay between dietary patterns and societal phenomena. As we "moo-ve" forward in the realm of sociological inquiry, it is essential to approach unconventional correlations with an open mind and a healthy dose of skepticism, much like the choice between whole milk and skim.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The results of our study provide compelling evidence of a robust correlation between milk consumption and divorce rates in Idaho, supporting and extending prior research in surprising ways. While the association may initially elicit a chuckle or a skeptical furrow of the brow, the statistical findings are udderly striking.

In line with Smith and Doe's cultural exploration of dairy dynamics, our results suggest that milk, as a ubiquitous dairy product, may indeed exert a significant influence on social structures, including marital relationships. The numerical robustness of our correlation coefficient certainly lends weight to this interpretation, and one may contemplate the potential role of milk in the proverbial "souring" of spousal relations.

Furthermore, the physiological perspective offered by Jones et al.'s "Calcium Chronicles" takes on a new dimension in light of our findings. The calcium-rich nature of milk may not only impact bone health but also potentially underpin psychological well-being and interpersonal dynamics. As such, the adage "Got Milk, Got Harmony?" takes on a thought-provoking connotation, hinting at the potential spousal discord arising from calcium deficiencies.

The unexpected correlation we uncovered aligns with the whimsical portrayals in creative literature, such as Jane Austen's "Milk and Honesty" and Arthur Miller's "The Milkman Cometh". These works, though not directly addressing milk consumption and divorce, may inadvertently capture the thematic resonance of our empirical observations. The interplay of milk and matrimonial turmoil emerges as an intriguing subplot within the broader narrative of societal values and interpersonal dynamics.

The statistical "mooooovement" demonstrated in our scatterplot not only accentuates the strength of the correlation but also serves as a visual allegory mirroring the unexpected yet resolute connection between dairy consumption and marital dissolution. Just as each data point represents a statistical "cow-cidence", our findings invite contemplation on the unseen forces shaping marital outcomes, much like the choreography of a statistical herd wending its way through the data pasture.

In conclusion, our study has shed light on the uncommon yet compelling relationship between milk consumption and divorce rates in Idaho. The statistically robust correlation calls for a more nuanced inquiry into the societal impact of dietary patterns, reminding us that statistical revelations can sometimes be as surprising as finding a lactose-tolerant cat. As we graze in the pastures of statistical inquiry, it behooves researchers to approach unconventional correlations with a healthy dose of skepticism, much like the choice between whole milk and skim.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Milk consumption and The divorce rate in Idaho. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Got Milk? An Udderly Surprising Connection: Assessing the Correlation Between Milk Consumption and Divorce Rates in Idaho

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study examines the association between milk consumption and divorce rates in the state of Idaho. Utilizing data from the USDA and CDC National Vital Statistics, we sought to uncover any potential link between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Our analysis reveals a correlation coefficient of 0.9781535 and a significance level of p < 0.01, indicating a statistically robust relationship from 1999 to 2021. The findings of this research may surprise dairy enthusiasts and skeptics alike, leading to further speculation on the impact of dairy products on the social fabric of Idahoan households.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The intersection of seemingly disparate factors in sociological research often leads to intriguing discoveries. In the case of the present study, we delve into the unlikely relationship between milk consumption and divorce rates in the state of Idaho. While the correlation may initially seem as obscure as a cow in a desert, our analysis aims to unveil the underlying patterns and potential implications of such a union.
As some might say, it's time to "moo-ve" beyond conventional wisdom and seriously consider the impact that dairy intake may have on the stability of marital relationships. The dairy industry has long been a source of nourishment and economic prosperity for the Gem State, but could there be more to the story? Let's milk this topic for all it's worth and see if there's a curd of truth to the notion that milk and marital discord are connected.
In the following sections, we will explore the methodology employed to gather and analyze the data, as well as the findings that shed light on this curious correlation. As we embark on this udderly intriguing journey, may we keep our minds open, our hypotheses fresh, and our statistical analyses as smooth as a glass of milk on a warm summer day.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our analysis revealed a remarkably strong correlation between milk consumption and divorce rates in Idaho during the time period of 1999 to 2021. The correlation coefficient of 0.9781535 indicates a nearly perfect positive linear relationship between the per capita milk consumption and the divorce rate in the state. Additionally, the coefficient of determination (r-squared) was calculated to be 0.9567843, signifying that approximately 95.68% of the variation in divorce rates can be explained by the variation in milk consumption. The statistical significance was robust, with a p-value of less than 0.01, further reinforcing the relationship between these variables.
As we present these findings, it becomes evident that the association between milk consumption and divorce rates in Idaho is not to be taken lightly. The strength of the correlation hints at a potential causal pathway between dairy consumption and marital discord, although further research would be needed to establish a definitive causal link.
Figure 1 displays the scatterplot illustrating the strong positive correlation between milk consumption and divorce rates. The scatterplot demonstrates a near-perfect linear relationship, with each data point resembling a curious herd of cows making their way through the statistical pasture. The figure serves as a visual testament to the unexpected but undeniable connection that our analysis has brought to light.
This revelatory association prompts us to consider the potential ramifications of dairy intake on the social dynamics within Idahoan households. While it may be tempting to dismiss these findings as mere coincidence, the strength and consistency of the correlation demand deeper consideration. The implications of this research extend beyond the scope of statistical curiosity, inviting further exploration into the social and behavioral aspects of dairy consumption and its unforeseen influence on marital outcomes.
In essence, our findings underline the need for a more nuanced understanding of the complex interplay between dietary patterns and societal phenomena. As we "moo-ve" forward in the realm of sociological inquiry, it is essential to approach unconventional correlations with an open mind and a healthy dose of skepticism, much like the choice between whole milk and skim.

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Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our investigation into the correlation between milk consumption and divorce rates in Idaho has yielded intriguing results that defy conventional expectations. The remarkably strong positive correlation, signified by a correlation coefficient of 0.9781535 and a coefficient of determination of 0.9567843, suggests that the relationship between these variables is not merely a chance occurrence but may involve a more complex interplay. The statistical significance of the findings, with a p-value of less than 0.01, underscores the robustness of this connection, making it udderly difficult to dismiss as a mere statistical anomaly.

The implications of these findings are as diverse as the varieties of milk available in a dairy aisle. It behooves us to ponder the potential impact of milk consumption on the stability of marital unions and the societal fabric at large. While it may be tempting to make light of such an unexpected correlation, perhaps there is something to be said about the phrase "don't cry over spilled milk" taking on a new, marital connotation.

However, it is important to note that correlation does not necessarily imply causation. As much as we may be tempted to urge troubled couples to "udder"ly embrace dairy products to fortify their relationships, prudence dictates a cautious interpretation of these findings. Our research serves as a starting point, an appetizing hors d'oeuvre in the banquet of sociological inquiries into the influence of dietary habits on interpersonal dynamics.

It is our hope that this study will inspire further investigations into the intricate relationship between dietary choices and social phenomena. Yet, for now, we assert that the present findings call for no further research in this area. As much as we relish the statistical surprises that emerged from our analysis, it is time to bid adieu to the captivating yet confounding world of milk and marital dissolution. After all, as the saying goes, there's no use crying over unspilt milk.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Got Milk? An Udderly Surprising Connection: Assessing the Correlation Between Milk Consumption and Divorce Rates in Idaho. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Dairy Demographics


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Got Milk? An Udderly Surprising Connection: Assessing the Correlation Between Milk Consumption and Divorce Rates in Idaho. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Dairy Dynamics and Demographic Trends


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Got Milk? An Udderly Surprising Connection: Assessing the Correlation Between Milk Consumption and Divorce Rates in Idaho with an abstract of This study examines the association between milk consumption and divorce rates in the state of Idaho. Utilizing data from the USDA and CDC National Vital Statistics, we sought to uncover any potential link between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Our analysis reveals a correlation coefficient of 0.9781535 and a significance level of p < 0.01, indicating a statistically robust relationship from 1999 to 2021. The findings of this research may surprise dairy enthusiasts and skeptics alike, leading to further speculation on the impact of dairy products on the social fabric of Idahoan households.

ChatGPT:

milk consumption, divorce rates, Idaho, correlation, association, USDA, CDC National Vital Statistics, dairy products, social fabric, relationship, statistical analysis

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Data details

Milk consumption
Detailed data title: Per capita consumption of Fluid beverage milk in the US
Source: USDA
See what else correlates with Milk consumption

The divorce rate in Idaho
Source: CDC National Vital Statistics
See what else correlates with The divorce rate in Idaho

Correlation r = 0.9781535 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9567843 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 95.7% of the change in the one variable (i.e., The divorce rate in Idaho) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Milk consumption) over the 23 years from 1999 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 8.3E-16. 0.0000000000000008291758849295
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.98 in 8.3E-14% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 1,206,016,742,859,115 random variables You don't actually need 1 quadrillion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 22 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 22 because we have two variables measured over a period of 23 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.95, 0.99 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
19992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
Milk consumption (Pounds per person)197196192191188185185185183181181177173169164158155153149145141141134
The divorce rate in Idaho (Divorce rate)5.45.55.35.35.25554.94.855.24.94.74.49594.248494.125254.034133.884813.83823.857723.382763.36152




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([197,196,192,191,188,185,185,185,183,181,181,177,173,169,164,158,155,153,149,145,141,141,134,])
array_2 = np.array([5.4,5.5,5.3,5.3,5.2,5,5,5,4.9,4.8,5,5.2,4.9,4.7,4.4959,4.24849,4.12525,4.03413,3.88481,3.8382,3.85772,3.38276,3.36152,])
array_1_name = "Milk consumption"
array_2_name = "The divorce rate in Idaho"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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Correlation ID: 2781 · Black Variable ID: 554 · Red Variable ID: 19797
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