about · email me · subscribe
Spurious correlation #2,764 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Air quality in Phoenix and the second variable is Robberies in the US.  The chart goes from 1985 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

The fresher air put everyone in a better mood, making them less likely to resort to crime. Plus, the robbers had so much more energy from breathing in that clean desert air, allowing them to pull off heists with newfound vigor. They were practically doing cardio while committing larceny! Who knew clean air could lead to such a crime wave of positivity!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: A high-tech image prompt for this scene would be to generate a visual of downtown Phoenix shrouded in a thick, hazy smog. The image would feature the bank, partially hidden by the pollution, with the silhouettes of masked individuals and hooded figures rushing out of its doors. The futuristic aspect could be emphasized by incorporating advanced-looking vehicles, perhaps a sleek getaway car waiting amidst the chaos, with its headlights faintly cutting through the dense smog. The scene should exude an atmosphere of urgency and high-tech modernity within the deteriorating air quality. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Air quality in Phoenix and Robberies. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: High-tech Psychedelic Celtic art Vaporwave Cute 2D animation
ChatGPT: High-tech

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Air quality in Phoenix and Robberies, in the following situation: Because the decrease in air quality in Phoenix caused an increase in irritability and decreased oxygen to the brain, leading to a rise in impulsive decisions, like deciding to rob a bank just for some fresh air in the getaway car.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In downtown Phoenix, the air quality deteriorates, creating a hazy smog that seems to clog the atmosphere. Amidst the haze, a bank robbery unfolds as individuals wearing masks and hoodies burst forth from the bank, desperate for a quick escape. The streets, shrouded in the thick air, provide a chaotic scene as the robbers sprint towards a waiting getaway car, hoping to breathe in some fresh air and make their escape amidst the worsening pollution.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ High-tech ] and depicting this scene: In downtown Phoenix, the air quality deteriorates, creating a hazy smog that seems to clog the atmosphere. Amidst the haze, a bank robbery unfolds as individuals wearing masks and hoodies burst forth from the bank, desperate for a quick escape. The streets, shrouded in the thick air, provide a chaotic scene as the robbers sprint towards a waiting getaway car, hoping to breathe in some fresh air and make their escape amidst the worsening pollution. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: A high-tech image prompt for this scene would be to generate a visual of downtown Phoenix shrouded in a thick, hazy smog. The image would feature the bank, partially hidden by the pollution, with the silhouettes of masked individuals and hooded figures rushing out of its doors. The futuristic aspect could be emphasized by incorporating advanced-looking vehicles, perhaps a sleek getaway car waiting amidst the chaos, with its headlights faintly cutting through the dense smog. The scene should exude an atmosphere of urgency and high-tech modernity within the deteriorating air quality.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how increases in Air quality in Phoenix positively influenced Robberies.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Pulverized Particles Propel Pilfering: The Peculiar Connection between Phoenix Air Quality and Robberies

The Journal of Eclectic Environmental Economics

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in Phoenix and Robberies. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Make the title an alliteration.

Your research team used data from Environmental Protection Agency and FBI Criminal Justice Information Services to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.7516284 and p < 0.01 for 1985 to 2022.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
Pulverized Particles Propel Pilfering: The Peculiar Connection between Phoenix Air Quality and Robberies

[[ABSTRACT]]
As lighthearted as it may sound, our research delves into the serious investigation of the relationship between air quality and the incidence of robberies in Phoenix, Arizona. Utilizing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the FBI's Criminal Justice Information Services, our study navigates through layers of data to uncover surprising patterns and correlations. Our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.7516284 and a p-value of less than 0.01 for the period spanning 1985 to 2022, showcasing a robust statistical association.

In scrutinizing the nexus between ambient air pollution and criminal activities, we unearthed a plethora of noteworthy insights. The data unequivocally suggested that on days with higher levels of air pollution, there tended to be an uptick in the number of reported robberies. It appears that pollution may not only cloud our skies but also influence certain behaviors, much to the chagrin of law enforcement and environmentalists alike.

Substantiating these findings, our team theorizes that when the air quality is poor, individuals may be more inclined to engage in criminal behaviors, perhaps due to the irritable effects of pollutants. Maybe the notion of "taking a breath of fresh air" holds even greater significance in the realm of crime prevention than previously thought.

With such compelling correlations, our research contributes a fresh perspective to the interdisciplinary study of environmental and criminological factors. This correlation is, in fact, so strong it could almost be considered theft!

Therefore, our paper not only sheds light on the intriguing interplay of air quality and criminal activities but also takes a lighthearted approach to tackling the serious implications of these findings. By making use of puns and jests, we hope to inspire further exploration and serious consideration of this unexpected relationship between elements that normally exist in separate spheres.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in Phoenix and Robberies. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Pulverized Particles Propel Pilfering: The Peculiar Connection between Phoenix Air Quality and Robberies

[[ABSTRACT]]
As lighthearted as it may sound, our research delves into the serious investigation of the relationship between air quality and the incidence of robberies in Phoenix, Arizona. Utilizing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the FBI's Criminal Justice Information Services, our study navigates through layers of data to uncover surprising patterns and correlations. Our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.7516284 and a p-value of less than 0.01 for the period spanning 1985 to 2022, showcasing a robust statistical association.

In scrutinizing the nexus between ambient air pollution and criminal activities, we unearthed a plethora of noteworthy insights. The data unequivocally suggested that on days with higher levels of air pollution, there tended to be an uptick in the number of reported robberies. It appears that pollution may not only cloud our skies but also influence certain behaviors, much to the chagrin of law enforcement and environmentalists alike.

Substantiating these findings, our team theorizes that when the air quality is poor, individuals may be more inclined to engage in criminal behaviors, perhaps due to the irritable effects of pollutants. Maybe the notion of "taking a breath of fresh air" holds even greater significance in the realm of crime prevention than previously thought.

With such compelling correlations, our research contributes a fresh perspective to the interdisciplinary study of environmental and criminological factors. This correlation is, in fact, so strong it could almost be considered theft!

Therefore, our paper not only sheds light on the intriguing interplay of air quality and criminal activities but also takes a lighthearted approach to tackling the serious implications of these findings. By making use of puns and jests, we hope to inspire further exploration and serious consideration of this unexpected relationship between elements that normally exist in separate spheres.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

In the annals of investigative research, some connections seem more improbable than a penguin in the desert. However, our study surmounts the incredulous and ventures into the peculiar correlation between air quality and robberies in the bustling metropolis of Phoenix, Arizona. This investigation was not spurred by a mere flight of fancy, but by the intriguing possibility that the invisible particles permeating the air might have a palpable effect on criminal activity. As we delved into this quirky inquiry, we not only uncovered compelling data but also stumbled upon a few "air"-resistible puns along the way.

The nexus between air quality and crime may at first seem like a "breath of fresh air" in the field of criminology, but our rigorous analysis reveals that this connection is anything but an idle "whiff" of speculation. Our investigation hinges on the premise that the quality of the air we breathe could be linked to the quality of security in our surroundings. After all, it's not every day that one finds oneself concerning with the statistical interplay between air pollutants and purloined possessions.

While we certainly don't mean to "pollute" the academic discourse with frivolity, it's worth noting that our findings "clearly" demonstrate a strong statistical association between air quality and the incidence of robberies. The correlation coefficient of 0.7516284 is not to be "sneezed" at, and the p-value of less than 0.01 only adds to the "air of certainty" surrounding our results. This firm statistical footing allows us to assert that there's more to these seemingly disparate realms of air monitoring and crime prevention than meets the "dust".

Jovial banter aside, our research yields a crucial revelation: on days marked by elevated levels of air pollution, an increase in reported robberies was a "foregone conclusion". It would seem that the haze of pollutants not only clouds our vision but also "fogs" certain behavioral inclinations. Our study hints at the possibility that inhaling pollutants may lead to exhaling valuables in unauthorized settings, leading one to ponder if the "cleaner" the air, the fewer the misdemeanors. It's as if the pollutants are "dusting off" the latent impulses of mischief in unsuspecting individuals.

In the realm of theoretical explanation, our team posits that exposure to poor air quality may instigate irritability or stress that nudges individuals towards engaging in criminal behaviors. The adage of "don't let them get under your skin" takes on a whole new meaning when viewed through the prism of air quality and criminal activity. Perhaps the saying "the air was so thick you could cut it with a knife" takes on an ominous ring in the context of theft.

In this vein, our study not only presents a novel dimension to the field of criminology but also serves as a poignant reminder that even seemingly unrelated phenomena may hold a deeper "breath" of interconnectivity. By bringing to light this unexpected correlation, we endeavor to spark further research and discourse on the enigmatic interplay of environmental elements and criminal proclivities. As we embark on this scholarly escapade, armed with statistical tools and a penchant for puns, let us journey forth to uncover the "thefty" secrets lurking within the smoggy streets of Phoenix.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in Phoenix and Robberies. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name some cartoons and childrens' shows that you watched that are related to the topic.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Pulverized Particles Propel Pilfering: The Peculiar Connection between Phoenix Air Quality and Robberies

[[ABSTRACT]]
As lighthearted as it may sound, our research delves into the serious investigation of the relationship between air quality and the incidence of robberies in Phoenix, Arizona. Utilizing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the FBI's Criminal Justice Information Services, our study navigates through layers of data to uncover surprising patterns and correlations. Our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.7516284 and a p-value of less than 0.01 for the period spanning 1985 to 2022, showcasing a robust statistical association.

In scrutinizing the nexus between ambient air pollution and criminal activities, we unearthed a plethora of noteworthy insights. The data unequivocally suggested that on days with higher levels of air pollution, there tended to be an uptick in the number of reported robberies. It appears that pollution may not only cloud our skies but also influence certain behaviors, much to the chagrin of law enforcement and environmentalists alike.

Substantiating these findings, our team theorizes that when the air quality is poor, individuals may be more inclined to engage in criminal behaviors, perhaps due to the irritable effects of pollutants. Maybe the notion of "taking a breath of fresh air" holds even greater significance in the realm of crime prevention than previously thought.

With such compelling correlations, our research contributes a fresh perspective to the interdisciplinary study of environmental and criminological factors. This correlation is, in fact, so strong it could almost be considered theft!

Therefore, our paper not only sheds light on the intriguing interplay of air quality and criminal activities but also takes a lighthearted approach to tackling the serious implications of these findings. By making use of puns and jests, we hope to inspire further exploration and serious consideration of this unexpected relationship between elements that normally exist in separate spheres.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
In the annals of investigative research, some connections seem more improbable than a penguin in the desert. However, our study surmounts the incredulous and ventures into the peculiar correlation between air quality and robberies in the bustling metropolis of Phoenix, Arizona. This investigation was not spurred by a mere flight of fancy, but by the intriguing possibility that the invisible particles permeating the air might have a palpable effect on criminal activity. As we delved into this quirky inquiry, we not only uncovered compelling data but also stumbled upon a few "air"-resistible puns along the way.
The nexus between air quality and crime may at first seem like a "breath of fresh air" in the field of criminology, but our rigorous analysis reveals that this connection is anything but an idle "whiff" of speculation. Our investigation hinges on the premise that the quality of the air we breathe could be linked to the quality of security in our surroundings. After all, it's not every day that one finds oneself concerning with the statistical interplay between air pollutants and purloined possessions.
While we certainly don't mean to "pollute" the academic discourse with frivolity, it's worth noting that our findings "clearly" demonstrate a strong statistical association between air quality and the incidence of robberies. The correlation coefficient of 0.7516284 is not to be "sneezed" at, and the p-value of less than 0.01 only adds to the "air of certainty" surrounding our results. This firm statistical footing allows us to assert that there's more to these seemingly disparate realms of air monitoring and crime prevention than meets the "dust".
Jovial banter aside, our research yields a crucial revelation: on days marked by elevated levels of air pollution, an increase in reported robberies was a "foregone conclusion". It would seem that the haze of pollutants not only clouds our vision but also "fogs" certain behavioral inclinations. Our study hints at the possibility that inhaling pollutants may lead to exhaling valuables in unauthorized settings, leading one to ponder if the "cleaner" the air, the fewer the misdemeanors. It's as if the pollutants are "dusting off" the latent impulses of mischief in unsuspecting individuals.
In the realm of theoretical explanation, our team posits that exposure to poor air quality may instigate irritability or stress that nudges individuals towards engaging in criminal behaviors. The adage of "don't let them get under your skin" takes on a whole new meaning when viewed through the prism of air quality and criminal activity. Perhaps the saying "the air was so thick you could cut it with a knife" takes on an ominous ring in the context of theft.
In this vein, our study not only presents a novel dimension to the field of criminology but also serves as a poignant reminder that even seemingly unrelated phenomena may hold a deeper "breath" of interconnectivity. By bringing to light this unexpected correlation, we endeavor to spark further research and discourse on the enigmatic interplay of environmental elements and criminal proclivities. As we embark on this scholarly escapade, armed with statistical tools and a penchant for puns, let us journey forth to uncover the "thefty" secrets lurking within the smoggy streets of Phoenix.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

In "The Air Pollution-Robbery Nexus: A Statistical Analysis," Smith and Doe perform a comprehensive examination of the relationship between air quality and incidences of theft in urban areas. Their study provides a foundational understanding of the potential influence of air pollution on criminal behavior. The authors find a statistically significant positive correlation between particulate matter concentrations and the occurrence of robberies, shedding light on the unexpected interplay between environmental factors and criminal activities.

In "Air Quality and Crime: An Empirical Investigation," Jones explores the association between air pollution levels and various types of criminal offenses, including theft, burglary, and robbery. The study employs sophisticated statistical methods to analyze data from multiple cities, revealing consistent patterns of increased crime rates in areas with elevated air pollution. These findings underscore the broader societal implications of air quality, extending beyond public health and environmental concerns to encompass public safety and security.

Moving onto a more unconventional study, "Smog and the Art of Robbery," by Lorem and Ipsum, takes a more qualitative approach in examining the impact of air pollution on criminal motivations. Through in-depth interviews with convicted offenders, the authors uncover an unexpected theme: the influence of bad air quality on individuals' decision to engage in unlawful activities. One of the interviewees even joked, "I had to steal just to afford a gas mask to breathe properly!"

In the field of non-fiction books, "The Air We Breathe" by Andrea Barrett delves into the historical and scientific understanding of air pollution, offering a comprehensive exploration of its societal implications. Additionally, "Choked" by Beth Gardiner provides a sobering account of the global air pollution crisis and its far-reaching effects on human health and well-being.

On a more fictional note, "The Air Affair" by Jasper Fforde presents an alternative reality where air quality regulation becomes a whimsical adventure for the protagonist, blending elements of satire and detective fiction. Similarly, "The Smog Sleuth" by E. W. Hildick spins a tale of mystery and intrigue set in a dystopian world where air pollution plays a central role in the plot.

Shifting from books to cartoons, "Captain Planet and the Planeteers" instills environmental awareness in young audiences, teaching them about the detrimental effects of pollution through the adventures of eco-friendly superheroes. Furthermore, the animated series "Hey Arnold!" touches on urban environmental issues, subtly addressing the impact of city smog on the characters' daily lives.

In conclusion, while the scholarly literature provides valuable insights into the connection between air quality and criminal activities, it is essential to approach this subject with a "breath" of humor. By integrating a dash of mirth into our academic discourse, we can open new avenues for discussion and discovery, all while delivering a pun or two along the way. After all, as researchers, it's our solemn "air-duty" to keep the atmosphere engaging and occasionally "punny"!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in Phoenix and Robberies. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Environmental Protection Agency and FBI Criminal Justice Information Services . You used data from 1985 to 2022

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Pulverized Particles Propel Pilfering: The Peculiar Connection between Phoenix Air Quality and Robberies

[[ABSTRACT]]
As lighthearted as it may sound, our research delves into the serious investigation of the relationship between air quality and the incidence of robberies in Phoenix, Arizona. Utilizing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the FBI's Criminal Justice Information Services, our study navigates through layers of data to uncover surprising patterns and correlations. Our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.7516284 and a p-value of less than 0.01 for the period spanning 1985 to 2022, showcasing a robust statistical association.

In scrutinizing the nexus between ambient air pollution and criminal activities, we unearthed a plethora of noteworthy insights. The data unequivocally suggested that on days with higher levels of air pollution, there tended to be an uptick in the number of reported robberies. It appears that pollution may not only cloud our skies but also influence certain behaviors, much to the chagrin of law enforcement and environmentalists alike.

Substantiating these findings, our team theorizes that when the air quality is poor, individuals may be more inclined to engage in criminal behaviors, perhaps due to the irritable effects of pollutants. Maybe the notion of "taking a breath of fresh air" holds even greater significance in the realm of crime prevention than previously thought.

With such compelling correlations, our research contributes a fresh perspective to the interdisciplinary study of environmental and criminological factors. This correlation is, in fact, so strong it could almost be considered theft!

Therefore, our paper not only sheds light on the intriguing interplay of air quality and criminal activities but also takes a lighthearted approach to tackling the serious implications of these findings. By making use of puns and jests, we hope to inspire further exploration and serious consideration of this unexpected relationship between elements that normally exist in separate spheres.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
In the annals of investigative research, some connections seem more improbable than a penguin in the desert. However, our study surmounts the incredulous and ventures into the peculiar correlation between air quality and robberies in the bustling metropolis of Phoenix, Arizona. This investigation was not spurred by a mere flight of fancy, but by the intriguing possibility that the invisible particles permeating the air might have a palpable effect on criminal activity. As we delved into this quirky inquiry, we not only uncovered compelling data but also stumbled upon a few "air"-resistible puns along the way.
The nexus between air quality and crime may at first seem like a "breath of fresh air" in the field of criminology, but our rigorous analysis reveals that this connection is anything but an idle "whiff" of speculation. Our investigation hinges on the premise that the quality of the air we breathe could be linked to the quality of security in our surroundings. After all, it's not every day that one finds oneself concerning with the statistical interplay between air pollutants and purloined possessions.
While we certainly don't mean to "pollute" the academic discourse with frivolity, it's worth noting that our findings "clearly" demonstrate a strong statistical association between air quality and the incidence of robberies. The correlation coefficient of 0.7516284 is not to be "sneezed" at, and the p-value of less than 0.01 only adds to the "air of certainty" surrounding our results. This firm statistical footing allows us to assert that there's more to these seemingly disparate realms of air monitoring and crime prevention than meets the "dust".
Jovial banter aside, our research yields a crucial revelation: on days marked by elevated levels of air pollution, an increase in reported robberies was a "foregone conclusion". It would seem that the haze of pollutants not only clouds our vision but also "fogs" certain behavioral inclinations. Our study hints at the possibility that inhaling pollutants may lead to exhaling valuables in unauthorized settings, leading one to ponder if the "cleaner" the air, the fewer the misdemeanors. It's as if the pollutants are "dusting off" the latent impulses of mischief in unsuspecting individuals.
In the realm of theoretical explanation, our team posits that exposure to poor air quality may instigate irritability or stress that nudges individuals towards engaging in criminal behaviors. The adage of "don't let them get under your skin" takes on a whole new meaning when viewed through the prism of air quality and criminal activity. Perhaps the saying "the air was so thick you could cut it with a knife" takes on an ominous ring in the context of theft.
In this vein, our study not only presents a novel dimension to the field of criminology but also serves as a poignant reminder that even seemingly unrelated phenomena may hold a deeper "breath" of interconnectivity. By bringing to light this unexpected correlation, we endeavor to spark further research and discourse on the enigmatic interplay of environmental elements and criminal proclivities. As we embark on this scholarly escapade, armed with statistical tools and a penchant for puns, let us journey forth to uncover the "thefty" secrets lurking within the smoggy streets of Phoenix.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To uncover the nuanced relationship between air quality and incidences of robberies in Phoenix, we conducted an exhaustive and meticulous analysis of extensive datasets spanning nearly four decades. Our data primarily originated from the Environmental Protection Agency's Air Quality System database, which provided comprehensive information on various air pollutants, including particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10), ozone, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, and carbon monoxide concentrations. Additionally, we obtained crime data from the FBI's UCR (Uniform Crime Reporting) Program, an impressive repository encompassing diverse criminal offenses, with particular emphasis on robbery incidents, within the Phoenix metropolitan area.

Our approach to harmonizing these disparate datasets was as precise as the meticulous stitching on a burglar's getaway bag, ensuring a seamless integration of temporal and geographical information for robust analysis. The time frame for our study encompassed the years 1985 to 2022, allowing us to capture temporal trends and evaluate the long-term impact of air quality on criminal activities.

To begin our analysis, we utilized advanced statistical techniques and software, diligently sifting through mountains of data like scrupulous detectives on the trail of a cunning fugitive. Our initial step involved calculating daily average pollutant concentrations and categorizing them based on air quality indices and periods of exacerbation. Concurrently, we compiled daily robbery counts, meticulously categorizing them to correspond with the specified time frame and geographical location within Phoenix.

A relevant dad joke here: "Our data analysis was as thorough as a detective searching for clues at a crime scene, but luckily, we didn't need a magnifying glass to uncover these correlations - just a good old statistical analysis!"

Upon the completion of this laborious task, we then navigated through the labyrinth of statistical methodologies to discern patterns and correlations. Through rigorous regression analyses, we sought to unravel the potential connection between varying levels of air pollution and the frequency of reported robberies. Our keen-eyed team of statisticians and data scientists diligently examined the relationship between specific air pollutants and instances of robberies, accounting for potential confounding variables such as socioeconomic factors and weather conditions.

A relevant dad joke here: "We didn't need a crystal ball to predict these correlations - just a good old regression analysis and some keen statistical arithmetic!"

Furthermore, to fortify our findings and lend credence to the peculiar coherence between air quality and criminal activities, we conducted spatiotemporal analyses, mapping the spatial distribution of air pollutants and the geographic clusters of robbery occurrences across Phoenix. This approach allowed us to gain a nuanced understanding of localized effects and temporal variations, akin to tracing the footsteps of elusive criminals through intricate city maps and surveillance footage.

Finally, in employing a rigorous comparative analysis, we contrasted the distinct patterns of air quality fluctuations with the corresponding ebb and flow of robbery rates, enabling us to discern the intriguing association between these ostensibly unrelated phenomena. The resulting analysis, akin to a high-stakes game of "cat and mouse," revealed a compelling narrative of how ambient air pollution might exert an influence on the propensity for criminal behaviors, adding an unexpected twist to the conventional storyline of urban criminology.

In summary, our multi-faceted methodology encompassed the thorough amalgamation of disparate datasets, robust statistical modeling, and meticulous spatial analyses, converging into a cohesive narrative that uncovers the intriguing interplay of air quality and criminal activities in Phoenix, Arizona. This unconventional investigation, much like a cunning caper, highlights the unexpected connections that "lurk in the air" and the potential implications for both environmental monitoring and crime prevention strategies.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in Phoenix and Robberies. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Environmental Protection Agency and FBI Criminal Justice Information Services .

For the time period 1985 to 2022, you found a correlation 0.7516284, r-squared of 0.5649453, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Pulverized Particles Propel Pilfering: The Peculiar Connection between Phoenix Air Quality and Robberies

[[ABSTRACT]]
As lighthearted as it may sound, our research delves into the serious investigation of the relationship between air quality and the incidence of robberies in Phoenix, Arizona. Utilizing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the FBI's Criminal Justice Information Services, our study navigates through layers of data to uncover surprising patterns and correlations. Our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.7516284 and a p-value of less than 0.01 for the period spanning 1985 to 2022, showcasing a robust statistical association.

In scrutinizing the nexus between ambient air pollution and criminal activities, we unearthed a plethora of noteworthy insights. The data unequivocally suggested that on days with higher levels of air pollution, there tended to be an uptick in the number of reported robberies. It appears that pollution may not only cloud our skies but also influence certain behaviors, much to the chagrin of law enforcement and environmentalists alike.

Substantiating these findings, our team theorizes that when the air quality is poor, individuals may be more inclined to engage in criminal behaviors, perhaps due to the irritable effects of pollutants. Maybe the notion of "taking a breath of fresh air" holds even greater significance in the realm of crime prevention than previously thought.

With such compelling correlations, our research contributes a fresh perspective to the interdisciplinary study of environmental and criminological factors. This correlation is, in fact, so strong it could almost be considered theft!

Therefore, our paper not only sheds light on the intriguing interplay of air quality and criminal activities but also takes a lighthearted approach to tackling the serious implications of these findings. By making use of puns and jests, we hope to inspire further exploration and serious consideration of this unexpected relationship between elements that normally exist in separate spheres.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
In the annals of investigative research, some connections seem more improbable than a penguin in the desert. However, our study surmounts the incredulous and ventures into the peculiar correlation between air quality and robberies in the bustling metropolis of Phoenix, Arizona. This investigation was not spurred by a mere flight of fancy, but by the intriguing possibility that the invisible particles permeating the air might have a palpable effect on criminal activity. As we delved into this quirky inquiry, we not only uncovered compelling data but also stumbled upon a few "air"-resistible puns along the way.
The nexus between air quality and crime may at first seem like a "breath of fresh air" in the field of criminology, but our rigorous analysis reveals that this connection is anything but an idle "whiff" of speculation. Our investigation hinges on the premise that the quality of the air we breathe could be linked to the quality of security in our surroundings. After all, it's not every day that one finds oneself concerning with the statistical interplay between air pollutants and purloined possessions.
While we certainly don't mean to "pollute" the academic discourse with frivolity, it's worth noting that our findings "clearly" demonstrate a strong statistical association between air quality and the incidence of robberies. The correlation coefficient of 0.7516284 is not to be "sneezed" at, and the p-value of less than 0.01 only adds to the "air of certainty" surrounding our results. This firm statistical footing allows us to assert that there's more to these seemingly disparate realms of air monitoring and crime prevention than meets the "dust".
Jovial banter aside, our research yields a crucial revelation: on days marked by elevated levels of air pollution, an increase in reported robberies was a "foregone conclusion". It would seem that the haze of pollutants not only clouds our vision but also "fogs" certain behavioral inclinations. Our study hints at the possibility that inhaling pollutants may lead to exhaling valuables in unauthorized settings, leading one to ponder if the "cleaner" the air, the fewer the misdemeanors. It's as if the pollutants are "dusting off" the latent impulses of mischief in unsuspecting individuals.
In the realm of theoretical explanation, our team posits that exposure to poor air quality may instigate irritability or stress that nudges individuals towards engaging in criminal behaviors. The adage of "don't let them get under your skin" takes on a whole new meaning when viewed through the prism of air quality and criminal activity. Perhaps the saying "the air was so thick you could cut it with a knife" takes on an ominous ring in the context of theft.
In this vein, our study not only presents a novel dimension to the field of criminology but also serves as a poignant reminder that even seemingly unrelated phenomena may hold a deeper "breath" of interconnectivity. By bringing to light this unexpected correlation, we endeavor to spark further research and discourse on the enigmatic interplay of environmental elements and criminal proclivities. As we embark on this scholarly escapade, armed with statistical tools and a penchant for puns, let us journey forth to uncover the "thefty" secrets lurking within the smoggy streets of Phoenix.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

Our investigation into the curious correlation between air quality and the prevalence of robberies in Phoenix, Arizona yielded a correlation coefficient of 0.7516284, indicating a strong positive relationship between these seemingly disparate variables. The r-squared value of 0.5649453 underscores the robustness of this association, indicating that approximately 56% of the variance in robbery incidence can be explained by changes in air quality. With a p-value of less than 0.01, our findings provide compelling evidence of a statistically significant link between air quality and criminal activities, much to the surprise of our research team.

Fig. 1 depicts a scatterplot illustrating the noteworthy correlation observed in our study. The graph showcases a discernible pattern, with higher levels of air pollution corresponding to an increase in reported robberies. It seems as though the phrase "thick as thieves" takes on a whole new meaning in the context of air pollution and crime.

It's almost as if the air quality has been "stealing the show" in influencing criminal behaviors. Our findings not only highlight the unusual connection between elements as diverse as air quality and criminal activity but also underscore the potential for environmental factors to impact societal behaviors in unexpected ways. It's a reminder that the air we breathe may have more influence over our actions than previously assumed - a breath of fresh air, you might say.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in Phoenix and Robberies. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Pulverized Particles Propel Pilfering: The Peculiar Connection between Phoenix Air Quality and Robberies

[[ABSTRACT]]
As lighthearted as it may sound, our research delves into the serious investigation of the relationship between air quality and the incidence of robberies in Phoenix, Arizona. Utilizing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the FBI's Criminal Justice Information Services, our study navigates through layers of data to uncover surprising patterns and correlations. Our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.7516284 and a p-value of less than 0.01 for the period spanning 1985 to 2022, showcasing a robust statistical association.

In scrutinizing the nexus between ambient air pollution and criminal activities, we unearthed a plethora of noteworthy insights. The data unequivocally suggested that on days with higher levels of air pollution, there tended to be an uptick in the number of reported robberies. It appears that pollution may not only cloud our skies but also influence certain behaviors, much to the chagrin of law enforcement and environmentalists alike.

Substantiating these findings, our team theorizes that when the air quality is poor, individuals may be more inclined to engage in criminal behaviors, perhaps due to the irritable effects of pollutants. Maybe the notion of "taking a breath of fresh air" holds even greater significance in the realm of crime prevention than previously thought.

With such compelling correlations, our research contributes a fresh perspective to the interdisciplinary study of environmental and criminological factors. This correlation is, in fact, so strong it could almost be considered theft!

Therefore, our paper not only sheds light on the intriguing interplay of air quality and criminal activities but also takes a lighthearted approach to tackling the serious implications of these findings. By making use of puns and jests, we hope to inspire further exploration and serious consideration of this unexpected relationship between elements that normally exist in separate spheres.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
In "The Air Pollution-Robbery Nexus: A Statistical Analysis," Smith and Doe perform a comprehensive examination of the relationship between air quality and incidences of theft in urban areas. Their study provides a foundational understanding of the potential influence of air pollution on criminal behavior. The authors find a statistically significant positive correlation between particulate matter concentrations and the occurrence of robberies, shedding light on the unexpected interplay between environmental factors and criminal activities.
In "Air Quality and Crime: An Empirical Investigation," Jones explores the association between air pollution levels and various types of criminal offenses, including theft, burglary, and robbery. The study employs sophisticated statistical methods to analyze data from multiple cities, revealing consistent patterns of increased crime rates in areas with elevated air pollution. These findings underscore the broader societal implications of air quality, extending beyond public health and environmental concerns to encompass public safety and security.
Moving onto a more unconventional study, "Smog and the Art of Robbery," by Lorem and Ipsum, takes a more qualitative approach in examining the impact of air pollution on criminal motivations. Through in-depth interviews with convicted offenders, the authors uncover an unexpected theme: the influence of bad air quality on individuals' decision to engage in unlawful activities. One of the interviewees even joked, "I had to steal just to afford a gas mask to breathe properly!"
In the field of non-fiction books, "The Air We Breathe" by Andrea Barrett delves into the historical and scientific understanding of air pollution, offering a comprehensive exploration of its societal implications. Additionally, "Choked" by Beth Gardiner provides a sobering account of the global air pollution crisis and its far-reaching effects on human health and well-being.
On a more fictional note, "The Air Affair" by Jasper Fforde presents an alternative reality where air quality regulation becomes a whimsical adventure for the protagonist, blending elements of satire and detective fiction. Similarly, "The Smog Sleuth" by E. W. Hildick spins a tale of mystery and intrigue set in a dystopian world where air pollution plays a central role in the plot.
Shifting from books to cartoons, "Captain Planet and the Planeteers" instills environmental awareness in young audiences, teaching them about the detrimental effects of pollution through the adventures of eco-friendly superheroes. Furthermore, the animated series "Hey Arnold!" touches on urban environmental issues, subtly addressing the impact of city smog on the characters' daily lives.
In conclusion, while the scholarly literature provides valuable insights into the connection between air quality and criminal activities, it is essential to approach this subject with a "breath" of humor. By integrating a dash of mirth into our academic discourse, we can open new avenues for discussion and discovery, all while delivering a pun or two along the way. After all, as researchers, it's our solemn "air-duty" to keep the atmosphere engaging and occasionally "punny"!

[[RESULTS]]
Our investigation into the curious correlation between air quality and the prevalence of robberies in Phoenix, Arizona yielded a correlation coefficient of 0.7516284, indicating a strong positive relationship between these seemingly disparate variables. The r-squared value of 0.5649453 underscores the robustness of this association, indicating that approximately 56% of the variance in robbery incidence can be explained by changes in air quality. With a p-value of less than 0.01, our findings provide compelling evidence of a statistically significant link between air quality and criminal activities, much to the surprise of our research team.
Fig. 1 depicts a scatterplot illustrating the noteworthy correlation observed in our study. The graph showcases a discernible pattern, with higher levels of air pollution corresponding to an increase in reported robberies. It seems as though the phrase "thick as thieves" takes on a whole new meaning in the context of air pollution and crime.
It's almost as if the air quality has been "stealing the show" in influencing criminal behaviors. Our findings not only highlight the unusual connection between elements as diverse as air quality and criminal activity but also underscore the potential for environmental factors to impact societal behaviors in unexpected ways. It's a reminder that the air we breathe may have more influence over our actions than previously assumed - a breath of fresh air, you might say.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

Our study confirms and builds upon the prior research that has indicated a significant association between air quality and criminal activities. Smith and Doe's statistical analysis laid a sturdy foundation for our understanding of the intersection between air pollution and theft, and our results in Phoenix mirrored their findings with a correlation coefficient that could almost be considered grand larceny. Likewise, Jones's investigation into air quality and various criminal offenses, including robbery, resonated with our study, further cementing the correlation between the two seemingly distinct realms.

However, our findings extend beyond mere confirmation of prior research. They illustrate a compelling link between air quality and criminal activities, shedding light on the surprising impact of environmental factors on human behavior. Just as Lorem and Ipsum's qualitative approach through in-depth interviews with convicted offenders hinted at the influence of bad air quality on criminal motivations, our quantitative analysis paints a vivid picture of the tangible relationship between heightened air pollution and increased instances of robbery. The collective weight of these studies serves as a reminder that the air we breathe may have more influence over our actions than previously assumed – proving that when it comes to impacts on criminal behavior, air pollution may, in fact, be "as thick as thieves."

Our findings also set the stage for further inquiry into the underlying mechanisms by which air pollution may influence criminal behaviors. Whether it's the irritability caused by pollutants leading to heightened aggression or the psychological stress induced by poor air quality contributing to criminal impulses, the implications of our research provide a breath of fresh air for future investigations in criminology and environmental psychology. Our study suggests that the 'nexus' between air quality and criminal activity may not simply stop at broad correlations but could be indicative of intricate cause-and-effect relationships, prompting a closer inspection of the entangled web of environmental and criminological factors.

As with any novel research, our study is not without its limitations. While our statistical analysis reveals a compelling correlation, it does not definitively establish causation. Just as the presence of fingerprints at a crime scene does not immediately incriminate someone, our findings must be cautiously interpreted in the broader context of environmental and societal influences. Moreover, the scope of our study is limited to the specific context of Phoenix, and the generalizability of our results to other regions warrants further investigation. These limitations serve as a stark reminder that while our findings are fascinating and compelling, they should be viewed within the broader landscape of interdisciplinary research.

In conclusion, while our results may appear to steal the spotlight in highlighting the unexpected relationship between air quality and robbery, they merely scratch the surface of what promises to be an intricate and captivating area of research. By approaching this subject with wit and curiosity – much like a wry detective on the trail of a compelling mystery – our study stirs the academic pot and adds an exhilarating breath of humor into the often serious discourse of environmental and criminological research. After all, as researchers, it's indeed our inherent "air-duty" to keep the atmosphere of scholarly study engaging and occasionally "punny"!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air quality in Phoenix and Robberies. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Pulverized Particles Propel Pilfering: The Peculiar Connection between Phoenix Air Quality and Robberies

[[ABSTRACT]]
As lighthearted as it may sound, our research delves into the serious investigation of the relationship between air quality and the incidence of robberies in Phoenix, Arizona. Utilizing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the FBI's Criminal Justice Information Services, our study navigates through layers of data to uncover surprising patterns and correlations. Our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.7516284 and a p-value of less than 0.01 for the period spanning 1985 to 2022, showcasing a robust statistical association.

In scrutinizing the nexus between ambient air pollution and criminal activities, we unearthed a plethora of noteworthy insights. The data unequivocally suggested that on days with higher levels of air pollution, there tended to be an uptick in the number of reported robberies. It appears that pollution may not only cloud our skies but also influence certain behaviors, much to the chagrin of law enforcement and environmentalists alike.

Substantiating these findings, our team theorizes that when the air quality is poor, individuals may be more inclined to engage in criminal behaviors, perhaps due to the irritable effects of pollutants. Maybe the notion of "taking a breath of fresh air" holds even greater significance in the realm of crime prevention than previously thought.

With such compelling correlations, our research contributes a fresh perspective to the interdisciplinary study of environmental and criminological factors. This correlation is, in fact, so strong it could almost be considered theft!

Therefore, our paper not only sheds light on the intriguing interplay of air quality and criminal activities but also takes a lighthearted approach to tackling the serious implications of these findings. By making use of puns and jests, we hope to inspire further exploration and serious consideration of this unexpected relationship between elements that normally exist in separate spheres.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
In the annals of investigative research, some connections seem more improbable than a penguin in the desert. However, our study surmounts the incredulous and ventures into the peculiar correlation between air quality and robberies in the bustling metropolis of Phoenix, Arizona. This investigation was not spurred by a mere flight of fancy, but by the intriguing possibility that the invisible particles permeating the air might have a palpable effect on criminal activity. As we delved into this quirky inquiry, we not only uncovered compelling data but also stumbled upon a few "air"-resistible puns along the way.
The nexus between air quality and crime may at first seem like a "breath of fresh air" in the field of criminology, but our rigorous analysis reveals that this connection is anything but an idle "whiff" of speculation. Our investigation hinges on the premise that the quality of the air we breathe could be linked to the quality of security in our surroundings. After all, it's not every day that one finds oneself concerning with the statistical interplay between air pollutants and purloined possessions.
While we certainly don't mean to "pollute" the academic discourse with frivolity, it's worth noting that our findings "clearly" demonstrate a strong statistical association between air quality and the incidence of robberies. The correlation coefficient of 0.7516284 is not to be "sneezed" at, and the p-value of less than 0.01 only adds to the "air of certainty" surrounding our results. This firm statistical footing allows us to assert that there's more to these seemingly disparate realms of air monitoring and crime prevention than meets the "dust".
Jovial banter aside, our research yields a crucial revelation: on days marked by elevated levels of air pollution, an increase in reported robberies was a "foregone conclusion". It would seem that the haze of pollutants not only clouds our vision but also "fogs" certain behavioral inclinations. Our study hints at the possibility that inhaling pollutants may lead to exhaling valuables in unauthorized settings, leading one to ponder if the "cleaner" the air, the fewer the misdemeanors. It's as if the pollutants are "dusting off" the latent impulses of mischief in unsuspecting individuals.
In the realm of theoretical explanation, our team posits that exposure to poor air quality may instigate irritability or stress that nudges individuals towards engaging in criminal behaviors. The adage of "don't let them get under your skin" takes on a whole new meaning when viewed through the prism of air quality and criminal activity. Perhaps the saying "the air was so thick you could cut it with a knife" takes on an ominous ring in the context of theft.
In this vein, our study not only presents a novel dimension to the field of criminology but also serves as a poignant reminder that even seemingly unrelated phenomena may hold a deeper "breath" of interconnectivity. By bringing to light this unexpected correlation, we endeavor to spark further research and discourse on the enigmatic interplay of environmental elements and criminal proclivities. As we embark on this scholarly escapade, armed with statistical tools and a penchant for puns, let us journey forth to uncover the "thefty" secrets lurking within the smoggy streets of Phoenix.

[[RESULTS]]
Our investigation into the curious correlation between air quality and the prevalence of robberies in Phoenix, Arizona yielded a correlation coefficient of 0.7516284, indicating a strong positive relationship between these seemingly disparate variables. The r-squared value of 0.5649453 underscores the robustness of this association, indicating that approximately 56% of the variance in robbery incidence can be explained by changes in air quality. With a p-value of less than 0.01, our findings provide compelling evidence of a statistically significant link between air quality and criminal activities, much to the surprise of our research team.
Fig. 1 depicts a scatterplot illustrating the noteworthy correlation observed in our study. The graph showcases a discernible pattern, with higher levels of air pollution corresponding to an increase in reported robberies. It seems as though the phrase "thick as thieves" takes on a whole new meaning in the context of air pollution and crime.
It's almost as if the air quality has been "stealing the show" in influencing criminal behaviors. Our findings not only highlight the unusual connection between elements as diverse as air quality and criminal activity but also underscore the potential for environmental factors to impact societal behaviors in unexpected ways. It's a reminder that the air we breathe may have more influence over our actions than previously assumed - a breath of fresh air, you might say.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our research offers tangible evidence of the surprising relationship between air quality and the incidence of robberies in Phoenix, Arizona. The compelling correlation coefficient of 0.7516284 and the p-value of less than 0.01 leave little room for doubt – it seems that the air in Phoenix may have been figuratively and quite literally "stealing the show" when it comes to criminal activities. Our findings not only "clear the air" surrounding the seemingly improbable connection between air pollutants and purloined possessions but also pave the way for further exploration into the unexpected influence of environmental factors on criminal behaviors.

From a theoretical standpoint, our team proposes that the irritability induced by exposure to poor air quality might nudge individuals towards engaging in criminal behaviors. It's as if the pollutants are "dusting off" the latent impulses of mischief in unsuspecting individuals. Perhaps the saying "the air was so thick you could cut it with a knife" takes on an ominous ring in the context of theft. However, more research is "air"-ily unnecessary in this area; with the substantial evidence we've gathered, it's safe to say that we've made significant strides in shedding light on this air-raising correlation.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Pulverized Particles Propel Pilfering: The Peculiar Connection between Phoenix Air Quality and Robberies. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Eclectic Environmental Economics


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Pulverized Particles Propel Pilfering: The Peculiar Connection between Phoenix Air Quality and Robberies. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Terra Research Institute


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Pulverized Particles Propel Pilfering: The Peculiar Connection between Phoenix Air Quality and Robberies with an abstract of As lighthearted as it may sound, our research delves into the serious investigation of the relationship between air quality and the incidence of robberies in Phoenix, Arizona. Utilizing data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the FBI's Criminal Justice Information Services, our study navigates through layers of data to uncover surprising patterns and correlations. Our findings revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.7516284 and a p-value of less than 0.01 for the period spanning 1985 to 2022, showcasing a robust statistical association.
In scrutinizing the nexus between ambient air pollution and criminal activities, we unearthed a plethora of noteworthy insights. The data unequivocally suggested that on days with higher levels of air pollution, there tended to be an uptick in the number of reported robberies. It appears that pollution may not only cloud our skies but also influence certain behaviors, much to the chagrin of law enforcement and environmentalists alike.
Substantiating these findings, our team theorizes that when the air quality is poor, individuals may be more inclined to engage in criminal behaviors, perhaps due to the irritable effects of pollutants. Maybe the notion of "taking a breath of fresh air" holds even greater significance in the realm of crime prevention than previously thought.
With such compelling correlations, our research contributes a fresh perspective to the interdisciplinary study of environmental and criminological factors. This correlation is, in fact, so strong it could almost be considered theft!
Therefore, our paper not only sheds light on the intriguing interplay of air quality and criminal activities but also takes a lighthearted approach to tackling the serious implications of these findings. By making use of puns and jests, we hope to inspire further exploration and serious consideration of this unexpected relationship between elements that normally exist in separate spheres.

ChatGPT:

Phoenix, Arizona, air quality, robberies, correlation, environmental factors, criminal activities, pollution, criminal behavior, criminological factors, air pollution, statistical association, FBI crime data, Environmental Protection Agency data, interdisciplinary study

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



Random correlation

Discover a new correlation

View all correlations

View all research papers

Report an error


Data details

Air quality in Phoenix
Detailed data title: Percentage of days with good air quality in Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ
Source: Environmental Protection Agency
See what else correlates with Air quality in Phoenix

Robberies in the US
Detailed data title: The robbery rate per 100,000 residents in United States
Source: FBI Criminal Justice Information Services
See what else correlates with Robberies in the US

Correlation r = 0.7516284 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.5649453 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 56.5% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Robberies in the US) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Air quality in Phoenix) over the 38 years from 1985 through 2022.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 5.4E-8. 0.0000000537209799855125100000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.75 in 5.4E-6% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 18,614,701 random variables You don't actually need 18 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 37 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 37 because we have two variables measured over a period of 38 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.57, 0.86 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
19851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
Air quality in Phoenix (Good air quality)11.506813.150718.181824.043724.383627.945226.575321.857927.671220.821914.246615.8478.493159.315071.369865.73778.219188.4931511.780816.393413.42473.01376.027411.74866.8493216.16445.479456.284158.219186.027413.97267.103838.7671211.506813.69863.005463.01379.31507
Robberies in the US (Robbery rate)209.3226213.7222.1234.3256.3272.7263.7256237.8220.9201.9186.2165.5150.1145148.5146.1142.5136.7140.8150148.3145.9133.1119.3113.9113.1109101.3102.2102.998.686.181.873.965.566.1




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([11.5068,13.1507,18.1818,24.0437,24.3836,27.9452,26.5753,21.8579,27.6712,20.8219,14.2466,15.847,8.49315,9.31507,1.36986,5.7377,8.21918,8.49315,11.7808,16.3934,13.4247,3.0137,6.0274,11.7486,6.84932,16.1644,5.47945,6.28415,8.21918,6.0274,13.9726,7.10383,8.76712,11.5068,13.6986,3.00546,3.0137,9.31507,])
array_2 = np.array([209.3,226,213.7,222.1,234.3,256.3,272.7,263.7,256,237.8,220.9,201.9,186.2,165.5,150.1,145,148.5,146.1,142.5,136.7,140.8,150,148.3,145.9,133.1,119.3,113.9,113.1,109,101.3,102.2,102.9,98.6,86.1,81.8,73.9,65.5,66.1,])
array_1_name = "Air quality in Phoenix"
array_2_name = "Robberies in the US"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



Reuseable content

You may re-use the images on this page for any purpose, even commercial purposes, without asking for permission. The only requirement is that you attribute Tyler Vigen. Attribution can take many different forms. If you leave the "tylervigen.com" link in the image, that satisfies it just fine. If you remove it and move it to a footnote, that's fine too. You can also just write "Charts courtesy of Tyler Vigen" at the bottom of an article.

You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

Full license details.
For more on re-use permissions, or to get a signed release form, see tylervigen.com/permission.

Download images for these variables:


View another random correlation

How fun was this correlation?

You're the rating guru we've been waiting for!


Correlation ID: 2764 · Black Variable ID: 21062 · Red Variable ID: 20182
about · subscribe · emailme@tylervigen.com · twitter

CC BY 4.0