about · email me · subscribe
Spurious correlation #2,002 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Popularity of the first name Jeremiah and the second variable is Total Points scored by the New England Patriots in the NFL season.  The chart goes from 1975 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

Whenever a baby was named Jeremiah, it triggered a mystical surge of good luck for the Patriots. This inexplicable phenomenon resulted in the team scoring more points, much to the confusion of sports analysts everywhere.

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: [ Concept art ] Create an image of a bustling stadium, with the New England Patriots in the midst of jubilant celebration following a touchdown. The crowd is depicted in a sea of cheering fans, with "Jeremiah" trending on the digital displays around the arena. The scoreboard prominently displays the total points scored by the Patriots. The scene should capture the electric atmosphere of the stadium as the crowd chants in unison. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Popularity of the first name Jeremiah and Total Points scored by the New England Patriots in the NFL season. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: An image that looks like it is a scene from 'Star Wars' Art nouveau a Polaroid photo Cutsy art illustration Concept art
ChatGPT: Concept art

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Popularity of the first name Jeremiah and Total Points scored by the New England Patriots in the NFL season together. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In a crowded stadium, the New England Patriots celebrate a touchdown as the crowd chants "Jeremiah" in unison. The scoreboard shows the total points scored by the Patriots, with the name "Jeremiah" trending on the digital displays around the arena.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Concept art ] and depicting this scene: In a crowded stadium, the New England Patriots celebrate a touchdown as the crowd chants "Jeremiah" in unison. The scoreboard shows the total points scored by the Patriots, with the name "Jeremiah" trending on the digital displays around the arena. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: [ Concept art ] Create an image of a bustling stadium, with the New England Patriots in the midst of jubilant celebration following a touchdown. The crowd is depicted in a sea of cheering fans, with "Jeremiah" trending on the digital displays around the arena. The scoreboard prominently displays the total points scored by the Patriots. The scene should capture the electric atmosphere of the stadium as the crowd chants in unison.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humerus responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how changes in Popularity of the first name Jeremiah caused Total Points scored by the New England Patriots in the NFL season.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
The Jerry Trendy: Investigating the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name Jeremiah and the Performance of the New England Patriots

The Journal of Nomenclature Studies

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jeremiah and Total Points scored by the New England Patriots in the NFL season. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Rhyme words in the title.

Your research team used data from US Social Security Administration and Pro-football-reference to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.7527032 and p < 0.01 for 1975 to 2022.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
The Jerry Trendy: Investigating the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name Jeremiah and the Performance of the New England Patriots

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved into the intersection of pop culture and pigskin by examining the connection between the prevalence of the name Jeremiah and the point-scoring prowess of the New England Patriots in the NFL. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and Pro-football-reference, we sought to unravel the mystery behind this peculiar correlation. Our findings revealed a significant correlation coefficient of 0.7527032 and p < 0.01 for the period spanning from 1975 to 2022, indicating a strong association between the popularity of the moniker "Jeremiah" and the total points amassed by the Patriots. It seems that the name Jeremiah may indeed hold some mystical power over the gridiron fortunes of this esteemed New England team! As the saying goes, "Jeremiah on the rise, Patriots reach for the skies" - it appears that there may be more to this than mere happenstance!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jeremiah and Total Points scored by the New England Patriots in the NFL season. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Jerry Trendy: Investigating the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name Jeremiah and the Performance of the New England Patriots

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved into the intersection of pop culture and pigskin by examining the connection between the prevalence of the name Jeremiah and the point-scoring prowess of the New England Patriots in the NFL. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and Pro-football-reference, we sought to unravel the mystery behind this peculiar correlation. Our findings revealed a significant correlation coefficient of 0.7527032 and p < 0.01 for the period spanning from 1975 to 2022, indicating a strong association between the popularity of the moniker "Jeremiah" and the total points amassed by the Patriots. It seems that the name Jeremiah may indeed hold some mystical power over the gridiron fortunes of this esteemed New England team! As the saying goes, "Jeremiah on the rise, Patriots reach for the skies" - it appears that there may be more to this than mere happenstance!

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

Ah, the intersection of the arcane world of baby names and the rough and tumble world of American football - how intriguing! The link between the number of little Jeremiahs running around and the scoreboard success of the New England Patriots has long been a topic of speculation and jest among fans. However, we decided it was high time to take a more scientific approach to this curious correlation and put it to the test.

Any study worth its salt should begin with a pun, so here it goes: What do you call a quarterback who shares a name with a prophet? A pass-ing Jeremiah! Now, with that out of the way, let's dive into the meat and potatoes of our research.

The New England Patriots have enjoyed a storied history in the NFL, with multiple Super Bowl championships and a loyal fan base that spans the globe. As we pondered the factors that contribute to their success, the thought occurred to us - could the prevalence of the name "Jeremiah" play a role in their on-field performance? It might seem far-fetched, but as with all good dad jokes, there's often a kernel of truth hidden within.

Intrigued by the potential for the arcane to influence the athletic, we embarked on a journey through vast troves of data from the US Social Security Administration and Pro-football-reference. As we meticulously combed through the numbers and charts, we couldn't help but wonder: would our findings unearth a correlation as strong as Tom Brady's arm? And speaking of strong correlations, the data certainly seems to suggest there's more to the name "Jeremiah" than meets the eye when it comes to the Patriots' point-scoring prowess. It's almost as if the mere mention of the name inspires touchdowns and field goals alike - talk about a game-changer!

So, dear reader, by the end of this paper, we hope to shed light on this quirky correlation and perhaps even provide some entertainment along the way. As we journey through the labyrinth of data and analysis, remember this: sometimes, the most unexpected connections can lead to fascinating discoveries. Just like an unexpected touchdown pass from an unexpected quarterback, the "Jerry Trendy," as we've affectionately dubbed it, may just prove to be an unexpected game-changer in the world of sports research.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jeremiah and Total Points scored by the New England Patriots in the NFL season. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Perhaps you also got inspiration from some board games that are vaugely related.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Jerry Trendy: Investigating the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name Jeremiah and the Performance of the New England Patriots

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved into the intersection of pop culture and pigskin by examining the connection between the prevalence of the name Jeremiah and the point-scoring prowess of the New England Patriots in the NFL. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and Pro-football-reference, we sought to unravel the mystery behind this peculiar correlation. Our findings revealed a significant correlation coefficient of 0.7527032 and p < 0.01 for the period spanning from 1975 to 2022, indicating a strong association between the popularity of the moniker "Jeremiah" and the total points amassed by the Patriots. It seems that the name Jeremiah may indeed hold some mystical power over the gridiron fortunes of this esteemed New England team! As the saying goes, "Jeremiah on the rise, Patriots reach for the skies" - it appears that there may be more to this than mere happenstance!

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
Ah, the intersection of the arcane world of baby names and the rough and tumble world of American football - how intriguing! The link between the number of little Jeremiahs running around and the scoreboard success of the New England Patriots has long been a topic of speculation and jest among fans. However, we decided it was high time to take a more scientific approach to this curious correlation and put it to the test.
Any study worth its salt should begin with a pun, so here it goes: What do you call a quarterback who shares a name with a prophet? A pass-ing Jeremiah! Now, with that out of the way, let's dive into the meat and potatoes of our research.
The New England Patriots have enjoyed a storied history in the NFL, with multiple Super Bowl championships and a loyal fan base that spans the globe. As we pondered the factors that contribute to their success, the thought occurred to us - could the prevalence of the name "Jeremiah" play a role in their on-field performance? It might seem far-fetched, but as with all good dad jokes, there's often a kernel of truth hidden within.
Intrigued by the potential for the arcane to influence the athletic, we embarked on a journey through vast troves of data from the US Social Security Administration and Pro-football-reference. As we meticulously combed through the numbers and charts, we couldn't help but wonder: would our findings unearth a correlation as strong as Tom Brady's arm? And speaking of strong correlations, the data certainly seems to suggest there's more to the name "Jeremiah" than meets the eye when it comes to the Patriots' point-scoring prowess. It's almost as if the mere mention of the name inspires touchdowns and field goals alike - talk about a game-changer!
So, dear reader, by the end of this paper, we hope to shed light on this quirky correlation and perhaps even provide some entertainment along the way. As we journey through the labyrinth of data and analysis, remember this: sometimes, the most unexpected connections can lead to fascinating discoveries. Just like an unexpected touchdown pass from an unexpected quarterback, the "Jerry Trendy," as we've affectionately dubbed it, may just prove to be an unexpected game-changer in the world of sports research.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

The potential influence of names on personal and collective destinies has been a subject of fascination for scholars across various fields. In their study "The Power of Names," Smith and Doe explore the cultural and psychological impact of nomenclature on individual identities and societal constructs. As we turn our attention to the specific case of the name Jeremiah, we find ourselves navigating through uncharted territory - a veritable gridiron of nomenclatural mystique.

To shed light on the historical context of naming trends, Jones' "The Book of Baby Names" provides a comprehensive analysis of the ebb and flow of popular monikers throughout the decades. The eponymous Jeremiah, a name replete with biblical significance and timeless resonance, has continued to carve its place in the tapestry of American appellations. It seems that this age-old name has transcended the annals of time to land squarely in the midst of our present-day pigskin ponderings.

Now, veering slightly into more unconventional terrain, let us consider the impact of fiction on societal consciousness. In "The Name Game: Literary Explorations," a collection of essays by various authors, the influence of names in literature and their ripple effects on real-world phenomena are expounded upon. In a surprising twist, we find ourselves drawing parallels between the characters who bear the name Jeremiah in fiction and the gridiron exploits of the New England Patriots. It's almost as if the literary realm has conspired to shape the pigskin reality we seek to unravel.

In a tangentially related vein, aficionados of the board game "Scrabble" may find themselves amused by the potential implications of letter combinations and name permutations. Could it be that the alignment of consonants and vowels in the name Jeremiah harbors a cryptic code for touchdown success? "Scrabble Strategies for the Win" may offer a lighthearted yet strangely relevant perspective on the lexical machinations at play here.

But wait, there's more! Let us not discount the potential cosmic influence of astronomical phenomena on earthly affairs. "Constellations and Connections" by Astrologer Alex seeks to elucidate the celestial underpinnings of earthly occurrences. Could it be that the positioning of celestial bodies at the time of Jeremiah's birth exerts an otherworldly pull on the outcome of Patriots' games? It's a proposition that would make even the most stoic researcher's eyebrows reach for the moon.

In light of these diverse sources and their explorations into the realm of names, both real and fictional, serious and whimsical, it becomes eminently clear that our quest to unravel the "Jerry Trendy" is not confined to the narrow confines of traditional empirical studies. We are venturing into realms both rational and fantastical in our pursuit of understanding this enigmatic correlation. At the nexus of nomenclature and NFL scores lies a veritable cornucopia of possibilities, and as we press forward into the depths of statistical analysis, let us remember the immortal words of William Shakespeare: "What's in a name? That which we call a rose by any other name would smell as sweet"—or perhaps, in this case, score just as many touchdowns.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jeremiah and Total Points scored by the New England Patriots in the NFL season. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and Pro-football-reference . You used data from 1975 to 2022

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Jerry Trendy: Investigating the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name Jeremiah and the Performance of the New England Patriots

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved into the intersection of pop culture and pigskin by examining the connection between the prevalence of the name Jeremiah and the point-scoring prowess of the New England Patriots in the NFL. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and Pro-football-reference, we sought to unravel the mystery behind this peculiar correlation. Our findings revealed a significant correlation coefficient of 0.7527032 and p < 0.01 for the period spanning from 1975 to 2022, indicating a strong association between the popularity of the moniker "Jeremiah" and the total points amassed by the Patriots. It seems that the name Jeremiah may indeed hold some mystical power over the gridiron fortunes of this esteemed New England team! As the saying goes, "Jeremiah on the rise, Patriots reach for the skies" - it appears that there may be more to this than mere happenstance!

[[INTRODUCTION]]
Ah, the intersection of the arcane world of baby names and the rough and tumble world of American football - how intriguing! The link between the number of little Jeremiahs running around and the scoreboard success of the New England Patriots has long been a topic of speculation and jest among fans. However, we decided it was high time to take a more scientific approach to this curious correlation and put it to the test.
Any study worth its salt should begin with a pun, so here it goes: What do you call a quarterback who shares a name with a prophet? A pass-ing Jeremiah! Now, with that out of the way, let's dive into the meat and potatoes of our research.
The New England Patriots have enjoyed a storied history in the NFL, with multiple Super Bowl championships and a loyal fan base that spans the globe. As we pondered the factors that contribute to their success, the thought occurred to us - could the prevalence of the name "Jeremiah" play a role in their on-field performance? It might seem far-fetched, but as with all good dad jokes, there's often a kernel of truth hidden within.
Intrigued by the potential for the arcane to influence the athletic, we embarked on a journey through vast troves of data from the US Social Security Administration and Pro-football-reference. As we meticulously combed through the numbers and charts, we couldn't help but wonder: would our findings unearth a correlation as strong as Tom Brady's arm? And speaking of strong correlations, the data certainly seems to suggest there's more to the name "Jeremiah" than meets the eye when it comes to the Patriots' point-scoring prowess. It's almost as if the mere mention of the name inspires touchdowns and field goals alike - talk about a game-changer!
So, dear reader, by the end of this paper, we hope to shed light on this quirky correlation and perhaps even provide some entertainment along the way. As we journey through the labyrinth of data and analysis, remember this: sometimes, the most unexpected connections can lead to fascinating discoveries. Just like an unexpected touchdown pass from an unexpected quarterback, the "Jerry Trendy," as we've affectionately dubbed it, may just prove to be an unexpected game-changer in the world of sports research.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To unravel the enigma of the "Jerry Trendy," we employed a mix of statistical sorcery and good old-fashioned data crunching to examine the relationship between the popularity of the name Jeremiah and the total points scored by the New England Patriots in the NFL season. Our research team embarked on a quest through the annals of data from the US Social Security Administration and Pro-football-reference, scouring for nuggets of truth amidst the troves of numbers and records.

The first part of our methodology involved summoning the power of historical data from 1975 to 2022 and conducting a thorough analysis of the frequency of the name "Jeremiah" as recorded by the US Social Security Administration. We meticulously charted the rise and fall of this moniker over the years, paying heed to its waxing and waning popularity among parents seeking the perfect name for their offspring. As Sir Isaac Newton once said, "The data doesn't fall far from the tree" - though, in this case, it's more about how many little Jeremiahs are swinging from the family tree!

Next, we delved into the realm of football statistics, where we plundered the Pro-football-reference treasure trove for data on the New England Patriots' total points scored in each NFL season from 1975 to 2022. Through meticulous tabulation and thorough analysis, we sought to unveil the secrets hidden within the touchdowns, field goals, and extra points accumulated by this formidable team. It was akin to a quest for buried treasure, but instead of gold doubloons, we were chasing after correlation coefficients and p-values!

With data in hand, we concocted a custom potion of statistical methods to assess the relationship between the prevalence of the name "Jeremiah" and the Patriots' point-scoring prowess. Our concoction included a dash of Pearson correlation analysis, a sprinkle of time series regression, and a pinch of Monte Carlo simulations for good measure. As we wielded the tools of statistical inquiry, we couldn't help but ponder: could the mystical forces at play be as influential as a well-thrown Hail Mary pass?

After performing our arcane statistical rituals and invoking the spirits of hypothesis testing, we arrived at our magical findings – a correlation coefficient of 0.7527032 with p < 0.01, indicating a robust and statistically significant association between the prevalence of the name "Jeremiah" and the total points amassed by the New England Patriots. It seems that the name "Jeremiah" may indeed possess an otherworldly influence over the on-field exploits of this esteemed football franchise. It's almost as if every mention of the name spurs the Patriots on to touchdown glory – talk about a name that's a real game-changer!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jeremiah and Total Points scored by the New England Patriots in the NFL season. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and Pro-football-reference .

For the time period 1975 to 2022, you found a correlation 0.7527032, r-squared of 0.5665621, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Jerry Trendy: Investigating the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name Jeremiah and the Performance of the New England Patriots

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved into the intersection of pop culture and pigskin by examining the connection between the prevalence of the name Jeremiah and the point-scoring prowess of the New England Patriots in the NFL. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and Pro-football-reference, we sought to unravel the mystery behind this peculiar correlation. Our findings revealed a significant correlation coefficient of 0.7527032 and p < 0.01 for the period spanning from 1975 to 2022, indicating a strong association between the popularity of the moniker "Jeremiah" and the total points amassed by the Patriots. It seems that the name Jeremiah may indeed hold some mystical power over the gridiron fortunes of this esteemed New England team! As the saying goes, "Jeremiah on the rise, Patriots reach for the skies" - it appears that there may be more to this than mere happenstance!

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
Ah, the intersection of the arcane world of baby names and the rough and tumble world of American football - how intriguing! The link between the number of little Jeremiahs running around and the scoreboard success of the New England Patriots has long been a topic of speculation and jest among fans. However, we decided it was high time to take a more scientific approach to this curious correlation and put it to the test.
Any study worth its salt should begin with a pun, so here it goes: What do you call a quarterback who shares a name with a prophet? A pass-ing Jeremiah! Now, with that out of the way, let's dive into the meat and potatoes of our research.
The New England Patriots have enjoyed a storied history in the NFL, with multiple Super Bowl championships and a loyal fan base that spans the globe. As we pondered the factors that contribute to their success, the thought occurred to us - could the prevalence of the name "Jeremiah" play a role in their on-field performance? It might seem far-fetched, but as with all good dad jokes, there's often a kernel of truth hidden within.
Intrigued by the potential for the arcane to influence the athletic, we embarked on a journey through vast troves of data from the US Social Security Administration and Pro-football-reference. As we meticulously combed through the numbers and charts, we couldn't help but wonder: would our findings unearth a correlation as strong as Tom Brady's arm? And speaking of strong correlations, the data certainly seems to suggest there's more to the name "Jeremiah" than meets the eye when it comes to the Patriots' point-scoring prowess. It's almost as if the mere mention of the name inspires touchdowns and field goals alike - talk about a game-changer!
So, dear reader, by the end of this paper, we hope to shed light on this quirky correlation and perhaps even provide some entertainment along the way. As we journey through the labyrinth of data and analysis, remember this: sometimes, the most unexpected connections can lead to fascinating discoveries. Just like an unexpected touchdown pass from an unexpected quarterback, the "Jerry Trendy," as we've affectionately dubbed it, may just prove to be an unexpected game-changer in the world of sports research.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The results of our investigation into the relationship between the popularity of the name Jeremiah and the performance of the New England Patriots in the NFL season are enough to make even the staunchest skeptic raise an eyebrow in surprise. Our analysis of data from 1975 to 2022 revealed a strong correlation coefficient of 0.7527032 and an r-squared value of 0.5665621, with a p-value of less than 0.01. In other words, the statistical evidence suggests that there's more to the name "Jeremiah" than meets the eye, at least in the context of the Patriots' point-scoring prowess.

The correlation we observed between the prevalence of the name Jeremiah and the total points amassed by the New England Patriots is represented visually in Figure 1, a scatterplot that clearly illustrates the robust relationship between these seemingly unrelated variables. It's as if each mention of "Jeremiah" in baby naming discussions has a direct impact on the number of times the Patriots find themselves in the end zone. It truly is a "touchdown" in the world of statistical analysis! Who knew that the key to the Patriots' success might lie in the syllables of a name?

One might be tempted to dismiss the "Jerry Trendy" as a mere coincidence, but the strength of the correlation we uncovered gives one pause for thought. It appears that the name "Jeremiah" may hold some mystical sway over not only the hearts of parents naming their offspring but also the fortunes of a professional football team. Perhaps we should rename the team "Jeremiah's New England Patriots" for good measure - after all, it seems that the name might be the secret ingredient in their recipe for success!

As surprising as these findings may be, they are a testament to the wondrous and often inexplicable nature of the correlations that can be uncovered through rigorous analysis. It's akin to uncovering a hidden gem in the rough - or in this case, a touchdown in the midst of a sea of data. Our results hint at a tantalizing connection between the rise of the name "Jeremiah" and the rise of the Patriots' point-scoring fortunes, serving as a constant reminder that in the world of statistics, truth may indeed be stranger than fiction.

So, as we wrap up this foray into the world of football and nomenclature, let's not forget the important lesson that this expedition has imparted: never underestimate the power of a name, especially when it comes to keeping the scoreboard ticking. And with that, we leave you with a fitting conclusion: "With Jeremiah on the rise, the Patriots hit the skies - and our statistical minds remain mesmerized!"


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jeremiah and Total Points scored by the New England Patriots in the NFL season. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
The Jerry Trendy: Investigating the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name Jeremiah and the Performance of the New England Patriots

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved into the intersection of pop culture and pigskin by examining the connection between the prevalence of the name Jeremiah and the point-scoring prowess of the New England Patriots in the NFL. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and Pro-football-reference, we sought to unravel the mystery behind this peculiar correlation. Our findings revealed a significant correlation coefficient of 0.7527032 and p < 0.01 for the period spanning from 1975 to 2022, indicating a strong association between the popularity of the moniker "Jeremiah" and the total points amassed by the Patriots. It seems that the name Jeremiah may indeed hold some mystical power over the gridiron fortunes of this esteemed New England team! As the saying goes, "Jeremiah on the rise, Patriots reach for the skies" - it appears that there may be more to this than mere happenstance!

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
The potential influence of names on personal and collective destinies has been a subject of fascination for scholars across various fields. In their study "The Power of Names," Smith and Doe explore the cultural and psychological impact of nomenclature on individual identities and societal constructs. As we turn our attention to the specific case of the name Jeremiah, we find ourselves navigating through uncharted territory - a veritable gridiron of nomenclatural mystique.
To shed light on the historical context of naming trends, Jones' "The Book of Baby Names" provides a comprehensive analysis of the ebb and flow of popular monikers throughout the decades. The eponymous Jeremiah, a name replete with biblical significance and timeless resonance, has continued to carve its place in the tapestry of American appellations. It seems that this age-old name has transcended the annals of time to land squarely in the midst of our present-day pigskin ponderings.
Now, veering slightly into more unconventional terrain, let us consider the impact of fiction on societal consciousness. In "The Name Game: Literary Explorations," a collection of essays by various authors, the influence of names in literature and their ripple effects on real-world phenomena are expounded upon. In a surprising twist, we find ourselves drawing parallels between the characters who bear the name Jeremiah in fiction and the gridiron exploits of the New England Patriots. It's almost as if the literary realm has conspired to shape the pigskin reality we seek to unravel.
In a tangentially related vein, aficionados of the board game "Scrabble" may find themselves amused by the potential implications of letter combinations and name permutations. Could it be that the alignment of consonants and vowels in the name Jeremiah harbors a cryptic code for touchdown success? "Scrabble Strategies for the Win" may offer a lighthearted yet strangely relevant perspective on the lexical machinations at play here.
But wait, there's more! Let us not discount the potential cosmic influence of astronomical phenomena on earthly affairs. "Constellations and Connections" by Astrologer Alex seeks to elucidate the celestial underpinnings of earthly occurrences. Could it be that the positioning of celestial bodies at the time of Jeremiah's birth exerts an otherworldly pull on the outcome of Patriots' games? It's a proposition that would make even the most stoic researcher's eyebrows reach for the moon.
In light of these diverse sources and their explorations into the realm of names, both real and fictional, serious and whimsical, it becomes eminently clear that our quest to unravel the "Jerry Trendy" is not confined to the narrow confines of traditional empirical studies. We are venturing into realms both rational and fantastical in our pursuit of understanding this enigmatic correlation. At the nexus of nomenclature and NFL scores lies a veritable cornucopia of possibilities, and as we press forward into the depths of statistical analysis, let us remember the immortal words of William Shakespeare: "What's in a name? That which we call a rose by any other name would smell as sweet"—or perhaps, in this case, score just as many touchdowns.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our investigation into the relationship between the popularity of the name Jeremiah and the performance of the New England Patriots in the NFL season are enough to make even the staunchest skeptic raise an eyebrow in surprise. Our analysis of data from 1975 to 2022 revealed a strong correlation coefficient of 0.7527032 and an r-squared value of 0.5665621, with a p-value of less than 0.01. In other words, the statistical evidence suggests that there's more to the name "Jeremiah" than meets the eye, at least in the context of the Patriots' point-scoring prowess.
The correlation we observed between the prevalence of the name Jeremiah and the total points amassed by the New England Patriots is represented visually in Figure 1, a scatterplot that clearly illustrates the robust relationship between these seemingly unrelated variables. It's as if each mention of "Jeremiah" in baby naming discussions has a direct impact on the number of times the Patriots find themselves in the end zone. It truly is a "touchdown" in the world of statistical analysis! Who knew that the key to the Patriots' success might lie in the syllables of a name?
One might be tempted to dismiss the "Jerry Trendy" as a mere coincidence, but the strength of the correlation we uncovered gives one pause for thought. It appears that the name "Jeremiah" may hold some mystical sway over not only the hearts of parents naming their offspring but also the fortunes of a professional football team. Perhaps we should rename the team "Jeremiah's New England Patriots" for good measure - after all, it seems that the name might be the secret ingredient in their recipe for success!
As surprising as these findings may be, they are a testament to the wondrous and often inexplicable nature of the correlations that can be uncovered through rigorous analysis. It's akin to uncovering a hidden gem in the rough - or in this case, a touchdown in the midst of a sea of data. Our results hint at a tantalizing connection between the rise of the name "Jeremiah" and the rise of the Patriots' point-scoring fortunes, serving as a constant reminder that in the world of statistics, truth may indeed be stranger than fiction.
So, as we wrap up this foray into the world of football and nomenclature, let's not forget the important lesson that this expedition has imparted: never underestimate the power of a name, especially when it comes to keeping the scoreboard ticking. And with that, we leave you with a fitting conclusion: "With Jeremiah on the rise, the Patriots hit the skies - and our statistical minds remain mesmerized!"

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The Jerry Trendy has revealed an intriguing confluence between the popular name Jeremiah and the scoring performance of the New England Patriots. Our findings, while initially met with raised eyebrows and quizzical looks, now stand as a testament to the inexplicable dance of statistics and nomenclature. It seems that the very mention of the name "Jeremiah" holds an eerily specific resonance with the Patriots' ability to rack up points on the gridiron. It's almost as if the name wields a mystical "Jeremiah Effect" over the team's touchdown tally - or perhaps a "Jerry-score" streak that defies conventional logic!

Building upon the whimsical components of the literature review, it seems that the tide of nomenclatural influence has washed upon the shores of NFL performance, leaving behind a trove of statistical surprises. From the contemplation of fictional Jeremiah characters to the playful ponderings of Scrabble enthusiasts, the mirthful connections birthed by this study encapsulate a symphony of unpredictability. Who would have thought that the humble name "Jeremiah" could boast such gridiron gravitas? It's enough to make one exclaim, "These correlations are Jeremi-diculous!"

Our results not only support the prior research into the potential impact of names on collective destinies but also provide a distinctly pigskin-flavored twist to this age-old narrative. Just as Smith and Doe probed the cultural and psychological implications of nomenclature, we have ventured into uncharted terrain to uncover the tantalizing bond between a certain name and the touch of a ball to the end zone. It's as if the name "Jeremiah" has stealthily positioned itself as an MVP (Most Valuable Prefix) in the Patriots' playbook!

Furthermore, the "constellations and connections" hinted at in Astrologer Alex's work receive a gridiron interpretation in our findings, with the alignment of statistical stars pointing toward an enchanting affinity between the eponymous name and the Patriots' scoring exploits. It's almost as if the very heavens have conspired to imbue the name "Jeremiah" with a touch of celestial touchdown magic. Who knew that a simple name could meteorically impact the performance of a football team?

In unraveling the "Jerry Trendy," we have not only delved into whimsy but also unearthed a genuine statistical revelation that speaks to the unpredictable tapestry of correlations in the world of quantitative analysis. Our findings offer a whimsical yet thought-provoking coda to the timeless query of "What's in a name?" as we usher in a new era of pigskin ponderings. As the age-old advice goes, perhaps it's high time for expectant parents and football enthusiasts alike to wax lyrical with "Jeremiah" and catalyze a touchdown-filled future. After all, in the words of the immortal bard, "The Jerry Trendy by any other name would yield as many touchdowns" – or at least, that's what our data seem to suggest!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jeremiah and Total Points scored by the New England Patriots in the NFL season. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
The Jerry Trendy: Investigating the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name Jeremiah and the Performance of the New England Patriots

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved into the intersection of pop culture and pigskin by examining the connection between the prevalence of the name Jeremiah and the point-scoring prowess of the New England Patriots in the NFL. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and Pro-football-reference, we sought to unravel the mystery behind this peculiar correlation. Our findings revealed a significant correlation coefficient of 0.7527032 and p < 0.01 for the period spanning from 1975 to 2022, indicating a strong association between the popularity of the moniker "Jeremiah" and the total points amassed by the Patriots. It seems that the name Jeremiah may indeed hold some mystical power over the gridiron fortunes of this esteemed New England team! As the saying goes, "Jeremiah on the rise, Patriots reach for the skies" - it appears that there may be more to this than mere happenstance!

[[INTRDUCTION]]
Ah, the intersection of the arcane world of baby names and the rough and tumble world of American football - how intriguing! The link between the number of little Jeremiahs running around and the scoreboard success of the New England Patriots has long been a topic of speculation and jest among fans. However, we decided it was high time to take a more scientific approach to this curious correlation and put it to the test.
Any study worth its salt should begin with a pun, so here it goes: What do you call a quarterback who shares a name with a prophet? A pass-ing Jeremiah! Now, with that out of the way, let's dive into the meat and potatoes of our research.
The New England Patriots have enjoyed a storied history in the NFL, with multiple Super Bowl championships and a loyal fan base that spans the globe. As we pondered the factors that contribute to their success, the thought occurred to us - could the prevalence of the name "Jeremiah" play a role in their on-field performance? It might seem far-fetched, but as with all good dad jokes, there's often a kernel of truth hidden within.
Intrigued by the potential for the arcane to influence the athletic, we embarked on a journey through vast troves of data from the US Social Security Administration and Pro-football-reference. As we meticulously combed through the numbers and charts, we couldn't help but wonder: would our findings unearth a correlation as strong as Tom Brady's arm? And speaking of strong correlations, the data certainly seems to suggest there's more to the name "Jeremiah" than meets the eye when it comes to the Patriots' point-scoring prowess. It's almost as if the mere mention of the name inspires touchdowns and field goals alike - talk about a game-changer!
So, dear reader, by the end of this paper, we hope to shed light on this quirky correlation and perhaps even provide some entertainment along the way. As we journey through the labyrinth of data and analysis, remember this: sometimes, the most unexpected connections can lead to fascinating discoveries. Just like an unexpected touchdown pass from an unexpected quarterback, the "Jerry Trendy," as we've affectionately dubbed it, may just prove to be an unexpected game-changer in the world of sports research.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our investigation into the relationship between the popularity of the name Jeremiah and the performance of the New England Patriots in the NFL season are enough to make even the staunchest skeptic raise an eyebrow in surprise. Our analysis of data from 1975 to 2022 revealed a strong correlation coefficient of 0.7527032 and an r-squared value of 0.5665621, with a p-value of less than 0.01. In other words, the statistical evidence suggests that there's more to the name "Jeremiah" than meets the eye, at least in the context of the Patriots' point-scoring prowess.
The correlation we observed between the prevalence of the name Jeremiah and the total points amassed by the New England Patriots is represented visually in Figure 1, a scatterplot that clearly illustrates the robust relationship between these seemingly unrelated variables. It's as if each mention of "Jeremiah" in baby naming discussions has a direct impact on the number of times the Patriots find themselves in the end zone. It truly is a "touchdown" in the world of statistical analysis! Who knew that the key to the Patriots' success might lie in the syllables of a name?
One might be tempted to dismiss the "Jerry Trendy" as a mere coincidence, but the strength of the correlation we uncovered gives one pause for thought. It appears that the name "Jeremiah" may hold some mystical sway over not only the hearts of parents naming their offspring but also the fortunes of a professional football team. Perhaps we should rename the team "Jeremiah's New England Patriots" for good measure - after all, it seems that the name might be the secret ingredient in their recipe for success!
As surprising as these findings may be, they are a testament to the wondrous and often inexplicable nature of the correlations that can be uncovered through rigorous analysis. It's akin to uncovering a hidden gem in the rough - or in this case, a touchdown in the midst of a sea of data. Our results hint at a tantalizing connection between the rise of the name "Jeremiah" and the rise of the Patriots' point-scoring fortunes, serving as a constant reminder that in the world of statistics, truth may indeed be stranger than fiction.
So, as we wrap up this foray into the world of football and nomenclature, let's not forget the important lesson that this expedition has imparted: never underestimate the power of a name, especially when it comes to keeping the scoreboard ticking. And with that, we leave you with a fitting conclusion: "With Jeremiah on the rise, the Patriots hit the skies - and our statistical minds remain mesmerized!"

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our research has uncovered a remarkably robust correlation between the popularity of the name Jeremiah and the point-scoring prowess of the New England Patriots, leaving us all pondering the profound question: What's in a name? Apparently, a lot more than we ever imagined! It seems that the Patriots' touchdowns and field goals have been secretly fueled by the power of this timeless moniker all along. It's truly a case of "Jeremi-whoa!" as we reckon with the unexpected influence of baby names on the gridiron.

As we wrap up this quirky exploration, let's remember the valuable lesson learned from this study: when it comes to statistical correlations, never underestimate the unexpected. Just like an underdog team making a surprising victory, the name "Jeremiah" may very well be the MVP behind the scenes. It's as if every time a "Jeremiah" enters the world, a Patriots' touchdown celebration is just waiting to happen.

Overall, our findings suggest that the "Jerry Trendy" is more than just a quirky coincidence - it's a statistical phenomenon that deserves its place in the pantheon of peculiar correlations. So, if you find yourself pondering whether to name your newborn "Jeremiah," just remember that you could be inadvertently shaping the future of the New England Patriots as well. Talk about a high-stakes naming decision!

With these revelatory findings in mind, we assert that further research in this area is unnecessary. After all, we've already found the perfect excuse for a Patriots' victory: "Jeremiah did it"!



Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited The Jerry Trendy: Investigating the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name Jeremiah and the Performance of the New England Patriots. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Nomenclature Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited The Jerry Trendy: Investigating the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name Jeremiah and the Performance of the New England Patriots. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Quirky Sociological Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled The Jerry Trendy: Investigating the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name Jeremiah and the Performance of the New England Patriots with an abstract of In this study, we delved into the intersection of pop culture and pigskin by examining the connection between the prevalence of the name Jeremiah and the point-scoring prowess of the New England Patriots in the NFL. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and Pro-football-reference, we sought to unravel the mystery behind this peculiar correlation. Our findings revealed a significant correlation coefficient of 0.7527032 and p < 0.01 for the period spanning from 1975 to 2022, indicating a strong association between the popularity of the moniker "Jeremiah" and the total points amassed by the Patriots. It seems that the name Jeremiah may indeed hold some mystical power over the gridiron fortunes of this esteemed New England team! As the saying goes, "Jeremiah on the rise, Patriots reach for the skies" - it appears that there may be more to this than mere happenstance!

ChatGPT:

name Jeremiah, New England Patriots, correlation, popularity trend, NFL performance, US Social Security Administration, Pro-football-reference, correlation coefficient, point-scoring, Patriots, gridiron fortunes

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



Random correlation

Discover a new correlation

View all correlations

View all research papers

Report an error


Data details

Popularity of the first name Jeremiah
Detailed data title: Babies of all sexes born in the US named Jeremiah
Source: US Social Security Administration
See what else correlates with Popularity of the first name Jeremiah

Total Points scored by the New England Patriots in the NFL season
Source: Pro-football-reference
See what else correlates with Total Points scored by the New England Patriots in the NFL season

Correlation r = 0.7527032 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.5665621 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 56.7% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Total Points scored by the New England Patriots in the NFL season) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Popularity of the first name Jeremiah) over the 48 years from 1975 through 2022.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 6.8E-10. 0.0000000006826844545651008000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.75 in 6.8E-8% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 1,464,805,582 random variables You don't actually need 1 billion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 47 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 47 because we have two variables measured over a period of 48 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.6, 0.85 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
197519761977197819791980198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
Popularity of the first name Jeremiah (Babies born)166628864186347037494124392733572877279525542396215222072147201121041946191920932065211529353236331536494234472948645417585965566637660472497749764075086988689968276618587556205063457242363849
Total Points scored by the New England Patriots in the NFL season (Points)258376278358411441322143274362362412320250297181211205238351294418369337299276371381348437379385589410427518513557444468465441458436420326462364




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Outlandish outliers: There are "outliers" in this data. In concept, "outlier" just means "way different than the rest of your dataset." When calculating a correlation like this, they are particularly impactful because a single outlier can substantially increase your correlation.

    For the purposes of this project, I counted a point as an outlier if it the residual was two standard deviations from the mean.

    (This bullet point only shows up in the details page on charts that do, in fact, have outliers.)
    They stand out on the scatterplot above: notice the dots that are far away from any other dots. I intentionally mishandeled outliers, which makes the correlation look extra strong.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([1666,2886,4186,3470,3749,4124,3927,3357,2877,2795,2554,2396,2152,2207,2147,2011,2104,1946,1919,2093,2065,2115,2935,3236,3315,3649,4234,4729,4864,5417,5859,6556,6637,6604,7249,7749,7640,7508,6988,6899,6827,6618,5875,5620,5063,4572,4236,3849,])
array_2 = np.array([258,376,278,358,411,441,322,143,274,362,362,412,320,250,297,181,211,205,238,351,294,418,369,337,299,276,371,381,348,437,379,385,589,410,427,518,513,557,444,468,465,441,458,436,420,326,462,364,])
array_1_name = "Popularity of the first name Jeremiah"
array_2_name = "Total Points scored by the New England Patriots in the NFL season"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



Reuseable content

You may re-use the images on this page for any purpose, even commercial purposes, without asking for permission. The only requirement is that you attribute Tyler Vigen. Attribution can take many different forms. If you leave the "tylervigen.com" link in the image, that satisfies it just fine. If you remove it and move it to a footnote, that's fine too. You can also just write "Charts courtesy of Tyler Vigen" at the bottom of an article.

You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

Full license details.
For more on re-use permissions, or to get a signed release form, see tylervigen.com/permission.

Download images for these variables:


View another random correlation

How fun was this correlation?

Your rating is stellar!


Correlation ID: 2002 · Black Variable ID: 2287 · Red Variable ID: 330
about · subscribe · emailme@tylervigen.com · twitter

CC BY 4.0