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Spurious correlation #2,770 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Air pollution in Des Moines and the second variable is xkcd comics published about engineering.  The chart goes from 2007 to 2023, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

The smog particles were actually transmitting advanced engineering puns directly into the brains of the cartoonists. It's like a secret collaboration between the city's air and the xkcd team to engineer some extra laughs!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Prompt: Generate an image in the style of [ Scalar art ] portraying a group of engineers gathered in a dimly lit room in Des Moines. They are engrossed in reading xkcd comics about engineering on their computer screens. Outside the window, the city skyline is barely visible due to thick smog from increased air pollution. Show a contrast between the cozy indoor refuge and the polluted outdoor environment. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics published about engineering. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Parallax art Magic realism Surrealism Scalar art Steampunk
ChatGPT: Scalar art

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics published about engineering, in the following situation: Because the increase in air pollution in Des Moines caused engineers to spend more time indoors, leading to a surge in xkcd comics about engineering as a form of indoor entertainment.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In Des Moines, engineers are gathered in a cozy, dimly lit room, deeply engrossed in reading xkcd comics about engineering on their computer screens. Through the window, the city skyline is barely visible due to the thick smog hanging in the air, a result of increased air pollution. The engineers find solace in the humorous comics, creating a contrast between the indoor refuge and the polluted outdoor environment.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Scalar art ] and depicting this scene: In Des Moines, engineers are gathered in a cozy, dimly lit room, deeply engrossed in reading xkcd comics about engineering on their computer screens. Through the window, the city skyline is barely visible due to the thick smog hanging in the air, a result of increased air pollution. The engineers find solace in the humorous comics, creating a contrast between the indoor refuge and the polluted outdoor environment. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Prompt: Generate an image in the style of [ Scalar art ] portraying a group of engineers gathered in a dimly lit room in Des Moines. They are engrossed in reading xkcd comics about engineering on their computer screens. Outside the window, the city skyline is barely visible due to thick smog from increased air pollution. Show a contrast between the cozy indoor refuge and the polluted outdoor environment.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Air pollution in Des Moines caused xkcd comics published about engineering to increase.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Aire and xkcd: A Rhyming Rhyme in Time

The Journal of Quirky Quantum Quirks.

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics published about engineering. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Rhyme words in the title.

Your research team used data from Environmental Protection Agency and AI analysis of xkcd comics to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.7765314 and p < 0.01 for 2007 to 2023.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
Aire and xkcd: A Rhyming Rhyme in Time

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the potential peculiar connection between air pollution levels in Des Moines, Iowa, and the publication of xkcd comics pertaining to engineering. Using data from the Environmental Protection Agency, we examined the air quality in Des Moines over the period of 2007 to 2023. Simultaneously, we conducted an AI analysis of xkcd comics to identify those specifically related to engineering. Our results revealed a rather surprising correlation coefficient of 0.7765314 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the aforementioned window of time. While causation cannot be inferred from this correlation, the peculiar association between air pollution in Des Moines and the publication of xkcd comics about engineering certainly raises some intriguing questions and lends itself to some lighthearted speculation. We invite readers to join us as we venture into the whimsical world of data analysis and humor, exploring the unexpected nuances of this rhyming rhyme in time.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics published about engineering. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Aire and xkcd: A Rhyming Rhyme in Time

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the potential peculiar connection between air pollution levels in Des Moines, Iowa, and the publication of xkcd comics pertaining to engineering. Using data from the Environmental Protection Agency, we examined the air quality in Des Moines over the period of 2007 to 2023. Simultaneously, we conducted an AI analysis of xkcd comics to identify those specifically related to engineering. Our results revealed a rather surprising correlation coefficient of 0.7765314 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the aforementioned window of time. While causation cannot be inferred from this correlation, the peculiar association between air pollution in Des Moines and the publication of xkcd comics about engineering certainly raises some intriguing questions and lends itself to some lighthearted speculation. We invite readers to join us as we venture into the whimsical world of data analysis and humor, exploring the unexpected nuances of this rhyming rhyme in time.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

The seemingly disparate realms of air pollution and web-based comics by Randall Munroe, the creative genius behind xkcd, may appear to have about as much in common as an avocado and a giraffe. However, as Mark Twain once famously quipped, "Truth is stranger than fiction, but it is because Fiction is obliged to stick to possibilities; Truth isn't." In the spirit of Twain's sagacious observation, we embark on a riveting journey to explore a correlation that could make even Sherlock Holmes raise an eyebrow.

The air we breathe and the wit we consume have long been subjects of intellectual inquiry. While the former may seem more suited to the domain of environmental science and the latter to the amiable musings of a humorist, the intersection of the two seems as improbable as a penguin attempting to fly. Yet, if history has taught us anything, it is that the improbable often holds the key to unlocking curious puzzles, much like deciphering an enigmatic xkcd comic.

Before delving into the quixotic intertwining of air quality and irreverent engineering humor, it is indispensable to acknowledge the multifaceted nature of human curiosity. As the great Albert Einstein once remarked, "The important thing is not to stop questioning. Curiosity has its own reason for existing." With these words in mind, we invite the discerning reader to indulge in a whimsical undertaking that may challenge conventional scientific norms, much like attempting to use a rubber duck to solve a complex mathematical equation.

In the following pages, we shall navigate the labyrinthine corridors of statistical analysis and whimsy, unveiling surprising correlations, unfurling obscure puns, and unraveling the enigmatic connection between air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics about engineering. As we unravel this tale, we are reminded of Oscar Wilde's words, "Life is much too important to be taken seriously." With this axiom as our guiding beacon, we embark on a dual expedition into the realms of empirical data and lighthearted entertainment, for as W.C. Fields famously declared, "It's a funny kind of month, October. For the really keen cricket fan, it's when you realize that your wife left you in May." Indeed, as we grapple with the unexpected correlation between air pollution and web-based humor, we seek not only to decipher a statistical puzzle but also to uncover the delightful absurdities that often accompany scientific inquiry. So, dear reader, fasten your seatbelts and prepare for an adventure that rivals the audacity of Schroedinger's cat and the perplexity of Fermi's paradox - we are about to embark on a journey into the whimsical world of Aire and xkcd, where correlations and puns collide in a rhyming rhyme in time.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics published about engineering. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name some cartoons and childrens' shows that you watched that are related to the topic.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Aire and xkcd: A Rhyming Rhyme in Time

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the potential peculiar connection between air pollution levels in Des Moines, Iowa, and the publication of xkcd comics pertaining to engineering. Using data from the Environmental Protection Agency, we examined the air quality in Des Moines over the period of 2007 to 2023. Simultaneously, we conducted an AI analysis of xkcd comics to identify those specifically related to engineering. Our results revealed a rather surprising correlation coefficient of 0.7765314 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the aforementioned window of time. While causation cannot be inferred from this correlation, the peculiar association between air pollution in Des Moines and the publication of xkcd comics about engineering certainly raises some intriguing questions and lends itself to some lighthearted speculation. We invite readers to join us as we venture into the whimsical world of data analysis and humor, exploring the unexpected nuances of this rhyming rhyme in time.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The seemingly disparate realms of air pollution and web-based comics by Randall Munroe, the creative genius behind xkcd, may appear to have about as much in common as an avocado and a giraffe. However, as Mark Twain once famously quipped, "Truth is stranger than fiction, but it is because Fiction is obliged to stick to possibilities; Truth isn't." In the spirit of Twain's sagacious observation, we embark on a riveting journey to explore a correlation that could make even Sherlock Holmes raise an eyebrow.
The air we breathe and the wit we consume have long been subjects of intellectual inquiry. While the former may seem more suited to the domain of environmental science and the latter to the amiable musings of a humorist, the intersection of the two seems as improbable as a penguin attempting to fly. Yet, if history has taught us anything, it is that the improbable often holds the key to unlocking curious puzzles, much like deciphering an enigmatic xkcd comic.
Before delving into the quixotic intertwining of air quality and irreverent engineering humor, it is indispensable to acknowledge the multifaceted nature of human curiosity. As the great Albert Einstein once remarked, "The important thing is not to stop questioning. Curiosity has its own reason for existing." With these words in mind, we invite the discerning reader to indulge in a whimsical undertaking that may challenge conventional scientific norms, much like attempting to use a rubber duck to solve a complex mathematical equation.
In the following pages, we shall navigate the labyrinthine corridors of statistical analysis and whimsy, unveiling surprising correlations, unfurling obscure puns, and unraveling the enigmatic connection between air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics about engineering. As we unravel this tale, we are reminded of Oscar Wilde's words, "Life is much too important to be taken seriously." With this axiom as our guiding beacon, we embark on a dual expedition into the realms of empirical data and lighthearted entertainment, for as W.C. Fields famously declared, "It's a funny kind of month, October. For the really keen cricket fan, it's when you realize that your wife left you in May." Indeed, as we grapple with the unexpected correlation between air pollution and web-based humor, we seek not only to decipher a statistical puzzle but also to uncover the delightful absurdities that often accompany scientific inquiry. So, dear reader, fasten your seatbelts and prepare for an adventure that rivals the audacity of Schroedinger's cat and the perplexity of Fermi's paradox - we are about to embark on a journey into the whimsical world of Aire and xkcd, where correlations and puns collide in a rhyming rhyme in time.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

Previous research has delved into the inexplicable connections between seemingly unrelated phenomena, from the impact of lunar phases on human behavior to the enigmatic correlation between the price of bananas and the performance of the stock market. In the context of air pollution and peculiar patterns of web-based humor, however, the literature is surprisingly sparse. Nevertheless, we endeavor to explore this uncharted territory with the intrepid spirit of Lewis and Clark, albeit armed with statistical software and a penchant for puns.

Smith et al. (2015) conducted a comprehensive study on air pollution in urban environments, focusing on its effects on respiratory health and overall well-being. Their findings revealed a direct relationship between high levels of airborne pollutants and adverse health outcomes, prompting urgent calls for environmental regulations and public awareness campaigns. While their research did not venture into the realm of comic strips or engineering jokes, it lays a crucial foundation for understanding the gravity of air quality issues in populous regions.

Doe and Jones (2018) contributed to the literature by analyzing the psychological impact of humor and its potential therapeutic benefits. Their review encompassed a wide range of comedic genres, from slapstick comedy to dry wit, elucidating the intricate mechanisms through which laughter influences human cognition and emotional resilience. While their work did not specifically examine web-based comics or their resonance within the engineering community, it underscores the profound influence of humor on individuals' well-being, anchoring our investigation in the broader context of comedic appreciation and its potential effects on human behavior.

Turning to the realm of non-fiction literature, "The Air We Breathe: A Comprehensive Analysis of Urban Air Pollution" by Environmental Research Institute (2019) offers a detailed exploration of air quality challenges in metropolitan areas. This seminal work provides an extensive compilation of environmental data, industrial emissions, and regulatory frameworks, serving as a valuable primer for understanding the complexities of air pollution dynamics. Though the book does not mention webcomics or their relevance to environmental issues, its meticulous analysis forms the bedrock for our investigation into the peculiar conjunction of air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics about engineering.

In a departure from conventional academic sources, the fictional world has also offered glimpses of potential relevance to our study. Works such as "The Ingenious Adventures of Captain XK-CD and the Airborne Antics" by Imaginative Tales Publishing (2020) present a whimsical narrative interweaving elements of engineering enthusiasm and airborne shenanigans. While such literary creations are products of imaginative storytelling rather than empirical research, they serve as colorful inspirations for our offbeat inquiry, reminding us that bold curiosity can lead to unexpected discoveries in the most implausible of places.

Even the cartoon realm has tantalizing hints of relevance to our investigation. The animated series "The Hilarious Misadventures of Airborne Engineers" follows the comedic escapades of a team of eccentric engineers whose antics often revolve around comically exaggerated mishaps involving air travel and technological marvels. While the show's amusement is primarily intended for younger audiences, its thematic resonance with our study's focus on engineering and airborne scenarios lends an amusing twist to our scholarly pursuit.

As we traverse the landscape of literature, straddling the domains of empirical research, fictional narratives, and animated entertainments, we encounter a rich tapestry of influences that shape our perception of the peculiar correlation between air pollution in Des Moines and the publication of xkcd comics about engineering. With each source offering its own unique insights and a sprinkle of whimsy, we stand on the cusp of a delightful exploration, propelled by the spirit of inquiry and an irrepressible affinity for unexpected convergences.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics published about engineering. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Environmental Protection Agency and AI analysis of xkcd comics . You used data from 2007 to 2023

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Aire and xkcd: A Rhyming Rhyme in Time

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the potential peculiar connection between air pollution levels in Des Moines, Iowa, and the publication of xkcd comics pertaining to engineering. Using data from the Environmental Protection Agency, we examined the air quality in Des Moines over the period of 2007 to 2023. Simultaneously, we conducted an AI analysis of xkcd comics to identify those specifically related to engineering. Our results revealed a rather surprising correlation coefficient of 0.7765314 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the aforementioned window of time. While causation cannot be inferred from this correlation, the peculiar association between air pollution in Des Moines and the publication of xkcd comics about engineering certainly raises some intriguing questions and lends itself to some lighthearted speculation. We invite readers to join us as we venture into the whimsical world of data analysis and humor, exploring the unexpected nuances of this rhyming rhyme in time.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
The seemingly disparate realms of air pollution and web-based comics by Randall Munroe, the creative genius behind xkcd, may appear to have about as much in common as an avocado and a giraffe. However, as Mark Twain once famously quipped, "Truth is stranger than fiction, but it is because Fiction is obliged to stick to possibilities; Truth isn't." In the spirit of Twain's sagacious observation, we embark on a riveting journey to explore a correlation that could make even Sherlock Holmes raise an eyebrow.
The air we breathe and the wit we consume have long been subjects of intellectual inquiry. While the former may seem more suited to the domain of environmental science and the latter to the amiable musings of a humorist, the intersection of the two seems as improbable as a penguin attempting to fly. Yet, if history has taught us anything, it is that the improbable often holds the key to unlocking curious puzzles, much like deciphering an enigmatic xkcd comic.
Before delving into the quixotic intertwining of air quality and irreverent engineering humor, it is indispensable to acknowledge the multifaceted nature of human curiosity. As the great Albert Einstein once remarked, "The important thing is not to stop questioning. Curiosity has its own reason for existing." With these words in mind, we invite the discerning reader to indulge in a whimsical undertaking that may challenge conventional scientific norms, much like attempting to use a rubber duck to solve a complex mathematical equation.
In the following pages, we shall navigate the labyrinthine corridors of statistical analysis and whimsy, unveiling surprising correlations, unfurling obscure puns, and unraveling the enigmatic connection between air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics about engineering. As we unravel this tale, we are reminded of Oscar Wilde's words, "Life is much too important to be taken seriously." With this axiom as our guiding beacon, we embark on a dual expedition into the realms of empirical data and lighthearted entertainment, for as W.C. Fields famously declared, "It's a funny kind of month, October. For the really keen cricket fan, it's when you realize that your wife left you in May." Indeed, as we grapple with the unexpected correlation between air pollution and web-based humor, we seek not only to decipher a statistical puzzle but also to uncover the delightful absurdities that often accompany scientific inquiry. So, dear reader, fasten your seatbelts and prepare for an adventure that rivals the audacity of Schroedinger's cat and the perplexity of Fermi's paradox - we are about to embark on a journey into the whimsical world of Aire and xkcd, where correlations and puns collide in a rhyming rhyme in time.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

In this study, our methodology was as diverse and eclectic as a jumble of mismatched socks. We collected air pollution data from the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) covering the period from 2007 to 2023. To ensure the reliability of our findings, we used a comprehensive approach, encompassing a range of air quality indicators, including ozone, particulate matter, carbon monoxide, sulfur dioxide, and nitrogen dioxide. Our data collection process was as rigorous as a squirrel burying acorns for the winter, meticulously scouring the EPA database to extract relevant information with the precision of a detective piecing together clues at a crime scene.

Simultaneously, in a feat akin to leaping through a series of intellectual hoops, we undertook an AI analysis of xkcd comics to identify those specifically related to engineering. Our AI system was as astute as a fox, tirelessly scrutinizing the vast expanse of xkcd comics with a discerning eye for allusions to the world of engineering. We utilized a combination of natural language processing and image recognition algorithms to identify and categorize comics that delved into the arcane realms of wires, circuits, and mechanical contraptions. This process was akin to navigating a labyrinthine maze, as we waded through the whimsical and often cryptic world of xkcd with the determination of an adventurer seeking treasure.

The statistical analysis that followed was as intricate as a spider spinning an elaborate web, weaving together the threads of our data to unveil the correlations that lay hidden within. Using advanced statistical software, we calculated correlation coefficients and p-values with the precision of a chef measuring ingredients for a delicate soufflé. Our approach balanced the complexity of modern statistical methods with the flair of a magician performing sleight of hand, ensuring that our findings were as robust as a sturdy bridge engineered to withstand the test of time.

To fully capture the whimsical essence of our investigation, we indulged in the occasional pun and subtle wit, infusing our research process with a dash of levity and lightheartedness. After all, as William Shakespeare so eloquently proclaimed, "Brevity is the soul of wit." Thus, our methodology mirrored the fusion of the scientific and the whimsical, culminating in a study that reflects the inextricable links between empirical inquiry and the embrace of humor in the pursuit of knowledge.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics published about engineering. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Environmental Protection Agency and AI analysis of xkcd comics .

For the time period 2007 to 2023, you found a correlation 0.7765314, r-squared of 0.6030011, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Aire and xkcd: A Rhyming Rhyme in Time

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the potential peculiar connection between air pollution levels in Des Moines, Iowa, and the publication of xkcd comics pertaining to engineering. Using data from the Environmental Protection Agency, we examined the air quality in Des Moines over the period of 2007 to 2023. Simultaneously, we conducted an AI analysis of xkcd comics to identify those specifically related to engineering. Our results revealed a rather surprising correlation coefficient of 0.7765314 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the aforementioned window of time. While causation cannot be inferred from this correlation, the peculiar association between air pollution in Des Moines and the publication of xkcd comics about engineering certainly raises some intriguing questions and lends itself to some lighthearted speculation. We invite readers to join us as we venture into the whimsical world of data analysis and humor, exploring the unexpected nuances of this rhyming rhyme in time.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
The seemingly disparate realms of air pollution and web-based comics by Randall Munroe, the creative genius behind xkcd, may appear to have about as much in common as an avocado and a giraffe. However, as Mark Twain once famously quipped, "Truth is stranger than fiction, but it is because Fiction is obliged to stick to possibilities; Truth isn't." In the spirit of Twain's sagacious observation, we embark on a riveting journey to explore a correlation that could make even Sherlock Holmes raise an eyebrow.
The air we breathe and the wit we consume have long been subjects of intellectual inquiry. While the former may seem more suited to the domain of environmental science and the latter to the amiable musings of a humorist, the intersection of the two seems as improbable as a penguin attempting to fly. Yet, if history has taught us anything, it is that the improbable often holds the key to unlocking curious puzzles, much like deciphering an enigmatic xkcd comic.
Before delving into the quixotic intertwining of air quality and irreverent engineering humor, it is indispensable to acknowledge the multifaceted nature of human curiosity. As the great Albert Einstein once remarked, "The important thing is not to stop questioning. Curiosity has its own reason for existing." With these words in mind, we invite the discerning reader to indulge in a whimsical undertaking that may challenge conventional scientific norms, much like attempting to use a rubber duck to solve a complex mathematical equation.
In the following pages, we shall navigate the labyrinthine corridors of statistical analysis and whimsy, unveiling surprising correlations, unfurling obscure puns, and unraveling the enigmatic connection between air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics about engineering. As we unravel this tale, we are reminded of Oscar Wilde's words, "Life is much too important to be taken seriously." With this axiom as our guiding beacon, we embark on a dual expedition into the realms of empirical data and lighthearted entertainment, for as W.C. Fields famously declared, "It's a funny kind of month, October. For the really keen cricket fan, it's when you realize that your wife left you in May." Indeed, as we grapple with the unexpected correlation between air pollution and web-based humor, we seek not only to decipher a statistical puzzle but also to uncover the delightful absurdities that often accompany scientific inquiry. So, dear reader, fasten your seatbelts and prepare for an adventure that rivals the audacity of Schroedinger's cat and the perplexity of Fermi's paradox - we are about to embark on a journey into the whimsical world of Aire and xkcd, where correlations and puns collide in a rhyming rhyme in time.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The analysis of the data collected yielded some surprising and, dare we say, comical results. Our research team discovered a striking correlation between air pollution levels in Des Moines, Iowa, and the publication of xkcd comics related to engineering. The correlation coefficient, calculated to be 0.7765314, indicated a strong positive relationship between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Additionally, the coefficient of determination (r-squared) of 0.6030011 suggested that approximately 60.3% of the variation in xkcd comics about engineering can be explained by changes in air pollution levels. If that isn't food for thought, then we don't know what is!

To err on the side of statistical caution, our analysis also revealed a p-value of less than 0.01, providing compelling evidence to reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternative that there is indeed a significant relationship between air pollution in Des Moines and the publishing of xkcd comics about engineering. The data's message was loud and clear: there's more to this correlation than meets the eye, much like deciphering the subtle humor of an xkcd comic or navigating the complexities of environmental regulations.

The visually-oriented members of our audience will be delighted to find Figure 1, a scatterplot displaying the robust connection between air pollution levels in Des Moines and the frequency of xkcd comics related to engineering. Looking at it, one can't help but appreciate the irony of a pollution-related plot in a scientific paper. It's almost poetic, isn't it?

In conclusion, our findings present a whimsical conundrum that invites us to ponder the interconnectedness of seemingly disparate phenomena. While we refrain from making causal inferences based solely on correlation, the charming alignment between air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics about engineering has left us with a bemused smirk and a renewed sense of curiosity. We can't help but wonder what other quixotic connections lie waiting to be discovered, much like stumbling upon an unexpected punchline in the twists and turns of scientific inquiry. With such intriguing results, the tale of Aire and xkcd continues to beguile us, as we traverse the enigmatic landscape where data analysis and lighthearted exploration intertwine in a rhyming rhyme in time.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics published about engineering. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Aire and xkcd: A Rhyming Rhyme in Time

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the potential peculiar connection between air pollution levels in Des Moines, Iowa, and the publication of xkcd comics pertaining to engineering. Using data from the Environmental Protection Agency, we examined the air quality in Des Moines over the period of 2007 to 2023. Simultaneously, we conducted an AI analysis of xkcd comics to identify those specifically related to engineering. Our results revealed a rather surprising correlation coefficient of 0.7765314 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the aforementioned window of time. While causation cannot be inferred from this correlation, the peculiar association between air pollution in Des Moines and the publication of xkcd comics about engineering certainly raises some intriguing questions and lends itself to some lighthearted speculation. We invite readers to join us as we venture into the whimsical world of data analysis and humor, exploring the unexpected nuances of this rhyming rhyme in time.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
Previous research has delved into the inexplicable connections between seemingly unrelated phenomena, from the impact of lunar phases on human behavior to the enigmatic correlation between the price of bananas and the performance of the stock market. In the context of air pollution and peculiar patterns of web-based humor, however, the literature is surprisingly sparse. Nevertheless, we endeavor to explore this uncharted territory with the intrepid spirit of Lewis and Clark, albeit armed with statistical software and a penchant for puns.
Smith et al. (2015) conducted a comprehensive study on air pollution in urban environments, focusing on its effects on respiratory health and overall well-being. Their findings revealed a direct relationship between high levels of airborne pollutants and adverse health outcomes, prompting urgent calls for environmental regulations and public awareness campaigns. While their research did not venture into the realm of comic strips or engineering jokes, it lays a crucial foundation for understanding the gravity of air quality issues in populous regions.
Doe and Jones (2018) contributed to the literature by analyzing the psychological impact of humor and its potential therapeutic benefits. Their review encompassed a wide range of comedic genres, from slapstick comedy to dry wit, elucidating the intricate mechanisms through which laughter influences human cognition and emotional resilience. While their work did not specifically examine web-based comics or their resonance within the engineering community, it underscores the profound influence of humor on individuals' well-being, anchoring our investigation in the broader context of comedic appreciation and its potential effects on human behavior.
Turning to the realm of non-fiction literature, "The Air We Breathe: A Comprehensive Analysis of Urban Air Pollution" by Environmental Research Institute (2019) offers a detailed exploration of air quality challenges in metropolitan areas. This seminal work provides an extensive compilation of environmental data, industrial emissions, and regulatory frameworks, serving as a valuable primer for understanding the complexities of air pollution dynamics. Though the book does not mention webcomics or their relevance to environmental issues, its meticulous analysis forms the bedrock for our investigation into the peculiar conjunction of air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics about engineering.
In a departure from conventional academic sources, the fictional world has also offered glimpses of potential relevance to our study. Works such as "The Ingenious Adventures of Captain XK-CD and the Airborne Antics" by Imaginative Tales Publishing (2020) present a whimsical narrative interweaving elements of engineering enthusiasm and airborne shenanigans. While such literary creations are products of imaginative storytelling rather than empirical research, they serve as colorful inspirations for our offbeat inquiry, reminding us that bold curiosity can lead to unexpected discoveries in the most implausible of places.
Even the cartoon realm has tantalizing hints of relevance to our investigation. The animated series "The Hilarious Misadventures of Airborne Engineers" follows the comedic escapades of a team of eccentric engineers whose antics often revolve around comically exaggerated mishaps involving air travel and technological marvels. While the show's amusement is primarily intended for younger audiences, its thematic resonance with our study's focus on engineering and airborne scenarios lends an amusing twist to our scholarly pursuit.
As we traverse the landscape of literature, straddling the domains of empirical research, fictional narratives, and animated entertainments, we encounter a rich tapestry of influences that shape our perception of the peculiar correlation between air pollution in Des Moines and the publication of xkcd comics about engineering. With each source offering its own unique insights and a sprinkle of whimsy, we stand on the cusp of a delightful exploration, propelled by the spirit of inquiry and an irrepressible affinity for unexpected convergences.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the data collected yielded some surprising and, dare we say, comical results. Our research team discovered a striking correlation between air pollution levels in Des Moines, Iowa, and the publication of xkcd comics related to engineering. The correlation coefficient, calculated to be 0.7765314, indicated a strong positive relationship between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Additionally, the coefficient of determination (r-squared) of 0.6030011 suggested that approximately 60.3% of the variation in xkcd comics about engineering can be explained by changes in air pollution levels. If that isn't food for thought, then we don't know what is!
To err on the side of statistical caution, our analysis also revealed a p-value of less than 0.01, providing compelling evidence to reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternative that there is indeed a significant relationship between air pollution in Des Moines and the publishing of xkcd comics about engineering. The data's message was loud and clear: there's more to this correlation than meets the eye, much like deciphering the subtle humor of an xkcd comic or navigating the complexities of environmental regulations.
The visually-oriented members of our audience will be delighted to find Figure 1, a scatterplot displaying the robust connection between air pollution levels in Des Moines and the frequency of xkcd comics related to engineering. Looking at it, one can't help but appreciate the irony of a pollution-related plot in a scientific paper. It's almost poetic, isn't it?
In conclusion, our findings present a whimsical conundrum that invites us to ponder the interconnectedness of seemingly disparate phenomena. While we refrain from making causal inferences based solely on correlation, the charming alignment between air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics about engineering has left us with a bemused smirk and a renewed sense of curiosity. We can't help but wonder what other quixotic connections lie waiting to be discovered, much like stumbling upon an unexpected punchline in the twists and turns of scientific inquiry. With such intriguing results, the tale of Aire and xkcd continues to beguile us, as we traverse the enigmatic landscape where data analysis and lighthearted exploration intertwine in a rhyming rhyme in time.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The correlation between air pollution levels in Des Moines and the publication of xkcd comics about engineering has elicited a breadth of reactions from our research team, ranging from bemused fascination to restrained jubilation. Our findings echo the sentiments of previous scholarship in unexpected ways. The curiously strong correlation coefficient of 0.7765314 and the statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 substantiate the playful yet compelling speculations that emerged from the literature review. Our data resoundingly attests to the unanticipated interconnectedness of air pollution and humor in the realm of engineering.

Smith et al.'s (2015) seminal work on urban air pollution, though grounded in the gravitas of public health concerns, inadvertently sets the stage for our whimsical exploration. The gravity of air quality issues juxtaposed with the levity of engineering-themed humor plays out like a clever paradox, akin to the subtle irony of an xkcd comic. Furthermore, the r-squared value of 0.6030011 from our results underscores the substantial influence of air pollution on the frequency of xkcd comics about engineering, akin to the palpable impact of a punchline in a well-crafted joke. It's as though the data, like a seasoned teller of tales, has constructed a narrative of its own, complete with plot twists and unexpected connections.

The offbeat inspirations drawn from fictional and animated sources, while initially received with good-natured amusement, have taken on a remarkable significance within the context of our study. The charming narrative of "The Ingenious Adventures of Captain XK-CD and the Airborne Antics" (Imaginative Tales Publishing, 2020) suddenly seems less far-fetched, hinting at the intangible but undeniable ties between air and whimsy. Similarly, the animated series "The Hilarious Misadventures of Airborne Engineers" serves as a whimsical echo of our correlation findings, highlighting the often-surprising consonance between engineering and airborne scenarios, much like the unsuspected resonance between air pollution and xkcd comics.

The scatterplot in Figure 1 not only presents a visual encapsulation of our findings but also serves as a playful nod to the delightful irony of charting pollution. As we navigate this rhyming rhyme in time, it's evident that our results have lent credence to the offbeat inklings and lighthearted postulations that have peppered our academic discourse. The wit and mishaps of our whimsical sources, both real and fictitious, have, in their own way, presaged the unexpected revelatory nature of our findings. Much like the quest for the punchline in a cryptic xkcd comic, our investigation into the connection between air pollution in Des Moines and engineering-themed xkcd comics has invited us into a place where scholarly inquiry and serendipitous humor converge. The tale of Aire and xkcd continues to unfold, captivating us with its droll charm and impelling us to embrace the joyful whimsy of research.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a silly researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics published about engineering. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Aire and xkcd: A Rhyming Rhyme in Time

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the potential peculiar connection between air pollution levels in Des Moines, Iowa, and the publication of xkcd comics pertaining to engineering. Using data from the Environmental Protection Agency, we examined the air quality in Des Moines over the period of 2007 to 2023. Simultaneously, we conducted an AI analysis of xkcd comics to identify those specifically related to engineering. Our results revealed a rather surprising correlation coefficient of 0.7765314 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the aforementioned window of time. While causation cannot be inferred from this correlation, the peculiar association between air pollution in Des Moines and the publication of xkcd comics about engineering certainly raises some intriguing questions and lends itself to some lighthearted speculation. We invite readers to join us as we venture into the whimsical world of data analysis and humor, exploring the unexpected nuances of this rhyming rhyme in time.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The seemingly disparate realms of air pollution and web-based comics by Randall Munroe, the creative genius behind xkcd, may appear to have about as much in common as an avocado and a giraffe. However, as Mark Twain once famously quipped, "Truth is stranger than fiction, but it is because Fiction is obliged to stick to possibilities; Truth isn't." In the spirit of Twain's sagacious observation, we embark on a riveting journey to explore a correlation that could make even Sherlock Holmes raise an eyebrow.
The air we breathe and the wit we consume have long been subjects of intellectual inquiry. While the former may seem more suited to the domain of environmental science and the latter to the amiable musings of a humorist, the intersection of the two seems as improbable as a penguin attempting to fly. Yet, if history has taught us anything, it is that the improbable often holds the key to unlocking curious puzzles, much like deciphering an enigmatic xkcd comic.
Before delving into the quixotic intertwining of air quality and irreverent engineering humor, it is indispensable to acknowledge the multifaceted nature of human curiosity. As the great Albert Einstein once remarked, "The important thing is not to stop questioning. Curiosity has its own reason for existing." With these words in mind, we invite the discerning reader to indulge in a whimsical undertaking that may challenge conventional scientific norms, much like attempting to use a rubber duck to solve a complex mathematical equation.
In the following pages, we shall navigate the labyrinthine corridors of statistical analysis and whimsy, unveiling surprising correlations, unfurling obscure puns, and unraveling the enigmatic connection between air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics about engineering. As we unravel this tale, we are reminded of Oscar Wilde's words, "Life is much too important to be taken seriously." With this axiom as our guiding beacon, we embark on a dual expedition into the realms of empirical data and lighthearted entertainment, for as W.C. Fields famously declared, "It's a funny kind of month, October. For the really keen cricket fan, it's when you realize that your wife left you in May." Indeed, as we grapple with the unexpected correlation between air pollution and web-based humor, we seek not only to decipher a statistical puzzle but also to uncover the delightful absurdities that often accompany scientific inquiry. So, dear reader, fasten your seatbelts and prepare for an adventure that rivals the audacity of Schroedinger's cat and the perplexity of Fermi's paradox - we are about to embark on a journey into the whimsical world of Aire and xkcd, where correlations and puns collide in a rhyming rhyme in time.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the data collected yielded some surprising and, dare we say, comical results. Our research team discovered a striking correlation between air pollution levels in Des Moines, Iowa, and the publication of xkcd comics related to engineering. The correlation coefficient, calculated to be 0.7765314, indicated a strong positive relationship between these seemingly unrelated phenomena. Additionally, the coefficient of determination (r-squared) of 0.6030011 suggested that approximately 60.3% of the variation in xkcd comics about engineering can be explained by changes in air pollution levels. If that isn't food for thought, then we don't know what is!
To err on the side of statistical caution, our analysis also revealed a p-value of less than 0.01, providing compelling evidence to reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternative that there is indeed a significant relationship between air pollution in Des Moines and the publishing of xkcd comics about engineering. The data's message was loud and clear: there's more to this correlation than meets the eye, much like deciphering the subtle humor of an xkcd comic or navigating the complexities of environmental regulations.
The visually-oriented members of our audience will be delighted to find Figure 1, a scatterplot displaying the robust connection between air pollution levels in Des Moines and the frequency of xkcd comics related to engineering. Looking at it, one can't help but appreciate the irony of a pollution-related plot in a scientific paper. It's almost poetic, isn't it?
In conclusion, our findings present a whimsical conundrum that invites us to ponder the interconnectedness of seemingly disparate phenomena. While we refrain from making causal inferences based solely on correlation, the charming alignment between air pollution in Des Moines and xkcd comics about engineering has left us with a bemused smirk and a renewed sense of curiosity. We can't help but wonder what other quixotic connections lie waiting to be discovered, much like stumbling upon an unexpected punchline in the twists and turns of scientific inquiry. With such intriguing results, the tale of Aire and xkcd continues to beguile us, as we traverse the enigmatic landscape where data analysis and lighthearted exploration intertwine in a rhyming rhyme in time.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

The results of our investigation have left us quite breathless, almost as if we were catching our breath after a particularly astute pun. The unexpected correlation between air pollution levels in Des Moines and the publication of xkcd comics about engineering has certainly piqued our curiosity, not unlike stumbling upon a hidden joke in an otherwise serious conversation. While we resist the temptation to attribute causality to this correlation, the statistical evidence of a robust relationship has undeniably raised some eyebrows, much like encountering a clever play on words in a comic strip. The whimsical nature of this finding reminds us of the paradoxical musings of the Cheshire Cat - it's curiouser and curiouser! As we tiptoe through the tulips of statistical analysis and humor, we can't help but marvel at the unexpectedness that fills the air, much like catching a whiff of an elusive scent on a merry-go-round. With a cocktail of lighthearted speculation and empirical rigor, we declare that further research in this area is not needed, as the enigmatic connection between Aire and xkcd has left us with an inexplicable grin and a twinkle in our eyes.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Aire and xkcd: A Rhyming Rhyme in Time. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Quirky Quantum Quirks.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Aire and xkcd: A Rhyming Rhyme in Time. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Peculiar Poetic Phenomena


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Aire and xkcd: A Rhyming Rhyme in Time with an abstract of In this study, we investigate the potential peculiar connection between air pollution levels in Des Moines, Iowa, and the publication of xkcd comics pertaining to engineering. Using data from the Environmental Protection Agency, we examined the air quality in Des Moines over the period of 2007 to 2023. Simultaneously, we conducted an AI analysis of xkcd comics to identify those specifically related to engineering. Our results revealed a rather surprising correlation coefficient of 0.7765314 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01 for the aforementioned window of time. While causation cannot be inferred from this correlation, the peculiar association between air pollution in Des Moines and the publication of xkcd comics about engineering certainly raises some intriguing questions and lends itself to some lighthearted speculation. We invite readers to join us as we venture into the whimsical world of data analysis and humor, exploring the unexpected nuances of this rhyming rhyme in time.

ChatGPT:

air pollution, Des Moines, Iowa, xkcd comics, engineering, correlation coefficient, statistical significance, Environmental Protection Agency, data analysis, humor

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Air pollution in Des Moines
Detailed data title: Percentage of days with air quality at 'unhealthy for sensitive groups' or worse in Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
Source: Environmental Protection Agency
See what else correlates with Air pollution in Des Moines

xkcd comics published about engineering
Detailed data title: The number of xkcd comics published each year about engineering
Source: AI analysis of xkcd comics
Additional Info: I designed a Python workflow to perform OCR on every xkcd comic, feed that text into a large language model, and ask the model whether this comic was about the category named in the title.

See what else correlates with xkcd comics published about engineering

Correlation r = 0.7765314 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.6030011 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 60.3% of the change in the one variable (i.e., xkcd comics published about engineering) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Air pollution in Des Moines) over the 17 years from 2007 through 2023.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 0.00025. 0.0002465166797575617700000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.78 in 0.025% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 4,057 random variables Which I absolutely did.
with the same 16 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 16 because we have two variables measured over a period of 17 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.47, 0.92 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
20072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
Air pollution in Des Moines (Bad air quality days)1.369860.2732240.2739730.82191800.5464480000.2732240.2739730.54794500.5464480.27397305.49451
xkcd comics published about engineering (xkcd comics)6735323834791059921




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([1.36986,0.273224,0.273973,0.821918,0,0.546448,0,0,0,0.273224,0.273973,0.547945,0,0.546448,0.273973,0,5.49451,])
array_2 = np.array([6,7,3,5,3,2,3,8,3,4,7,9,10,5,9,9,21,])
array_1_name = "Air pollution in Des Moines"
array_2_name = "xkcd comics published about engineering"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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Correlation ID: 2770 · Black Variable ID: 20546 · Red Variable ID: 20022
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