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Spurious correlation #2,256 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Air pollution in Phoenix and the second variable is Hydopower energy generated in Uzbekistan.  The chart goes from 1992 to 2021, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

Due to the smog from Phoenix getting caught in the jet stream, it formed into tiny pollution particles that rained down over Uzbekistan. These particles ended up coating the hydroelectric turbines, causing them to operate less efficiently. This phenomenon has been named the "Desert Dust Dimmer" effect by climate scientists.

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image that combines the contrasting scenes of Phoenix, with its thick smog creating a brownish tint to the sky, and Uzbekistan, featuring a powerful river rushing over a dam, surrounded by lush greenery. The image should portray the hazy visibility caused by smog in Phoenix, juxtaposed with the vibrant, clean energy-generating river in Uzbekistan, with a strong emphasis on the contrast between pollution and nature. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Unhealthy air quality in Phoenix and Hydopower energy generated in Uzbekistan. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Celtic art inspired by bauhaus Brutalism A Discovery magazine cover image Minimalism
ChatGPT: A Discovery magazine cover image

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Unhealthy air quality in Phoenix and Hydopower energy generated in Uzbekistan together. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In Phoenix, thick smog hangs in the air, causing hazy visibility and creating a brownish tint to the sky. Meanwhile, in Uzbekistan, a powerful river rushes over a dam, generating clean hydropower energy as the water cascades down, surrounded by lush greenery.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ A Discovery magazine cover image ] and depicting this scene: In Phoenix, thick smog hangs in the air, causing hazy visibility and creating a brownish tint to the sky. Meanwhile, in Uzbekistan, a powerful river rushes over a dam, generating clean hydropower energy as the water cascades down, surrounded by lush greenery. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image that combines the contrasting scenes of Phoenix, with its thick smog creating a brownish tint to the sky, and Uzbekistan, featuring a powerful river rushing over a dam, surrounded by lush greenery. The image should portray the hazy visibility caused by smog in Phoenix, juxtaposed with the vibrant, clean energy-generating river in Uzbekistan, with a strong emphasis on the contrast between pollution and nature.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Air pollution in Phoenix caused Hydopower energy generated in Uzbekistan to decrease.\Make it sound serious until the end.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
The Dirty Air in Phoenix Affects the Hydro Flow in Uzbekistan: An Unlikely Rhyme Time

The Journal of Eclectic Atmospheric Connections

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Phoenix and Hydopower energy generated in Uzbekistan. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Rhyme words in the title.

Your research team used data from Environmental Protection Agency and Energy Information Administration to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of -0.7364071 and p < 0.01 for 1992 to 2021.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
The Dirty Air in Phoenix Affects the Hydro Flow in Uzbekistan: An Unlikely Rhyme Time

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we dive into the unexpected connection between air pollution in Phoenix, Arizona, and the generation of hydropower energy in Uzbekistan. It's a curious case of pollutants and power plants that has left us pondering, "What in hydropower generation is causing such a commotion?" Our research team delved into the depths of data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Information Administration to unravel this mystery.

Surprisingly, after crunching the numbers and running the statistical analysis, we stumbled upon a negative correlation coefficient of -0.7364071 between air pollution levels in Phoenix and hydropower energy generated in Uzbekistan for the period spanning 1992 to 2021. With a p-value less than 0.01, the evidence suggests that the link between the grimy air and the hydropower flow is more than just hot air.

It seems that as the air quality in Phoenix deteriorates, the hydropower energy production in remote Uzbekistan experiences a surge. This unexpected relationship flies in the face of traditional energy and environmental theories, leaving us with one lingering question: "Is it the soot in the air that's driving the hydro flair?" Perhaps Dad's old 'cleanliness is next to hydro-ness' adage rings truer than anyone realized!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Phoenix and Hydopower energy generated in Uzbekistan. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Dirty Air in Phoenix Affects the Hydro Flow in Uzbekistan: An Unlikely Rhyme Time

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we dive into the unexpected connection between air pollution in Phoenix, Arizona, and the generation of hydropower energy in Uzbekistan. It's a curious case of pollutants and power plants that has left us pondering, "What in hydropower generation is causing such a commotion?" Our research team delved into the depths of data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Information Administration to unravel this mystery.

Surprisingly, after crunching the numbers and running the statistical analysis, we stumbled upon a negative correlation coefficient of -0.7364071 between air pollution levels in Phoenix and hydropower energy generated in Uzbekistan for the period spanning 1992 to 2021. With a p-value less than 0.01, the evidence suggests that the link between the grimy air and the hydropower flow is more than just hot air.

It seems that as the air quality in Phoenix deteriorates, the hydropower energy production in remote Uzbekistan experiences a surge. This unexpected relationship flies in the face of traditional energy and environmental theories, leaving us with one lingering question: "Is it the soot in the air that's driving the hydro flair?" Perhaps Dad's old 'cleanliness is next to hydro-ness' adage rings truer than anyone realized!

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

Undoubtedly, the juxtaposition of air pollution in the desert oasis of Phoenix, Arizona, and the generation of hydropower energy in the landlocked nation of Uzbekistan seems about as odd as mixing oil and water. With dirty air and flowing water at the center stage, it’s almost like witnessing a turf war between carbon particles and H2O molecules. Who knew that air pollution in Phoenix could have such a far-reaching impact, quite literally, all the way to the hydro flow in Uzbekistan? It's like they say, "When it rains, it pours," and in this case, we're not talking about nature's water cycle but rather the hydro power surge induced by Phoenix's smoggy atmosphere.

As researchers, we couldn't help but wonder, "What's the connection between air pollution in Phoenix and hydropower energy in Uzbekistan? It's like trying to find a link between a dust devil and a water turbine!" However, armed with our trusty statistical tools, we decided to put this puzzling correlation under the microscope. As we dived into the data, we were struck by the seemingly negative correlation coefficient that emerged, almost like finding an oasis in the desert, or in this case, a negative correlation among the pollutants.

It turns out, for the period spanning nearly three decades, the relationship between Phoenix's air quality and the hydro surge in Uzbekistan is not just a chance occurrence. In fact, our analysis revealed a statistically significant negative correlation coefficient, hinting that the dirtier the air in Phoenix, the greater the hydro flow in Uzbekistan. It's as if the desert dust is powering the distant hydro plants with its spectral sparkle! If this trend continues, we might have to start considering smog as the newest renewable resource.

Intriguingly, this unexpected finding challenges established environmental and energy paradigms, leaving us scratching our heads and wondering, "What exactly is up with this dirty dance between pollutants and power?" It's like a scientific whodunit, with air pollution as the prime suspect in the enigmatic case of the hydro surge. As we navigate through this complex web of causality, one thing is for sure: we need to clean up our act in Phoenix before our hydro counterparts run out of water, and puns about air pollution and hydro energy continue to flow like, well, dirty water.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Phoenix and Hydopower energy generated in Uzbekistan. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then devolve ever further, and mention something completely ridiculous, like you conducted literature review by reading the backs of shampoo bottles.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Dirty Air in Phoenix Affects the Hydro Flow in Uzbekistan: An Unlikely Rhyme Time

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we dive into the unexpected connection between air pollution in Phoenix, Arizona, and the generation of hydropower energy in Uzbekistan. It's a curious case of pollutants and power plants that has left us pondering, "What in hydropower generation is causing such a commotion?" Our research team delved into the depths of data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Information Administration to unravel this mystery.

Surprisingly, after crunching the numbers and running the statistical analysis, we stumbled upon a negative correlation coefficient of -0.7364071 between air pollution levels in Phoenix and hydropower energy generated in Uzbekistan for the period spanning 1992 to 2021. With a p-value less than 0.01, the evidence suggests that the link between the grimy air and the hydropower flow is more than just hot air.

It seems that as the air quality in Phoenix deteriorates, the hydropower energy production in remote Uzbekistan experiences a surge. This unexpected relationship flies in the face of traditional energy and environmental theories, leaving us with one lingering question: "Is it the soot in the air that's driving the hydro flair?" Perhaps Dad's old 'cleanliness is next to hydro-ness' adage rings truer than anyone realized!

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
Undoubtedly, the juxtaposition of air pollution in the desert oasis of Phoenix, Arizona, and the generation of hydropower energy in the landlocked nation of Uzbekistan seems about as odd as mixing oil and water. With dirty air and flowing water at the center stage, it’s almost like witnessing a turf war between carbon particles and H2O molecules. Who knew that air pollution in Phoenix could have such a far-reaching impact, quite literally, all the way to the hydro flow in Uzbekistan? It's like they say, "When it rains, it pours," and in this case, we're not talking about nature's water cycle but rather the hydro power surge induced by Phoenix's smoggy atmosphere.
As researchers, we couldn't help but wonder, "What's the connection between air pollution in Phoenix and hydropower energy in Uzbekistan? It's like trying to find a link between a dust devil and a water turbine!" However, armed with our trusty statistical tools, we decided to put this puzzling correlation under the microscope. As we dived into the data, we were struck by the seemingly negative correlation coefficient that emerged, almost like finding an oasis in the desert, or in this case, a negative correlation among the pollutants.
It turns out, for the period spanning nearly three decades, the relationship between Phoenix's air quality and the hydro surge in Uzbekistan is not just a chance occurrence. In fact, our analysis revealed a statistically significant negative correlation coefficient, hinting that the dirtier the air in Phoenix, the greater the hydro flow in Uzbekistan. It's as if the desert dust is powering the distant hydro plants with its spectral sparkle! If this trend continues, we might have to start considering smog as the newest renewable resource.
Intriguingly, this unexpected finding challenges established environmental and energy paradigms, leaving us scratching our heads and wondering, "What exactly is up with this dirty dance between pollutants and power?" It's like a scientific whodunit, with air pollution as the prime suspect in the enigmatic case of the hydro surge. As we navigate through this complex web of causality, one thing is for sure: we need to clean up our act in Phoenix before our hydro counterparts run out of water, and puns about air pollution and hydro energy continue to flow like, well, dirty water.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

In "Air Pollution and Energy Usage," Smith and Doe scrutinize the impact of air pollution on energy generation and consumption patterns. They propose a direct relationship between air quality and energy production, laying the groundwork for understanding the potential interplay between Phoenix's air pollution and hydropower energy in Uzbekistan. However, what they fail to capture is the whimsical nature of this relationship - it’s like the pollution is whispering, "Water you up to, Hydropower?"

Building upon this groundwork, Jones et al. delve into the dynamics of hydropower production in "Hydropower Hydromanagement." They meticulously detail the factors influencing hydropower output and the intricate balance of water resources. Little did they know, the dirty air in Phoenix might be the unexpected wildcard affecting hydropower production in a faraway land - talk about a plot twist stranger than fiction! It's almost like the air pollutants and water molecules are engaged in a never-ending tug-of-war.

Moving beyond academic works, real-world accounts in "The Great Arid Debate" shed light on the environmental challenges faced by arid regions like Phoenix. As the authors highlight the struggle against air pollution, the implications for hydroelectric systems across the globe become evident. It's as if the desert grit is hitching a ride on the winds of fate, finding its way to influence the flow of hydropower thousands of miles away. Who knew that the desert was such a jetsetter?

Meanwhile, fictional narratives such as "The Sooty Sorcery of Hydrotopia" and "Smog over Seas: A Tale of Tall Turbines" take readers on imaginative journeys, where the characters grapple with the unexpected consequences of distant air pollution on their hydro-powered adventures. These stories, though works of fiction, provide a whimsical lens through which to view the unlikely bond between Phoenix's smog and Uzbekistan's hydropower. It's almost as if the air pollution is saying, "I'm not just a pollutant, I'm a plot twist too!"

In a departure from traditional sources, our research team also explored unconventional avenues, including the back labels of shampoo bottles. While these findings may not stand up to rigorous academic scrutiny, they offered some unexpected insights – who knew a bottle of shampoo could reveal the secret connection between air pollution and hydro energy, right there beneath the ingredients list? It's almost as if the answer was floating in the suds all along!

As we wade through the literature, it becomes clear that the connection between air pollution in Phoenix and hydropower energy in Uzbekistan is a captivating puzzle, with each piece unveiling a quirky twist. The journey from serious academic works to fanciful fiction and even unorthodox sources has provided a multifaceted understanding of this unlikely rhyme time. Who would have thought that researching the unexpected antics of air pollution and hydro power could be filled with so many unexpected surprises? It’s like an academic rollercoaster ride, with data and dad jokes around every corner.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Phoenix and Hydopower energy generated in Uzbekistan. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Environmental Protection Agency and Energy Information Administration . You used data from 1992 to 2021

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Dirty Air in Phoenix Affects the Hydro Flow in Uzbekistan: An Unlikely Rhyme Time

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we dive into the unexpected connection between air pollution in Phoenix, Arizona, and the generation of hydropower energy in Uzbekistan. It's a curious case of pollutants and power plants that has left us pondering, "What in hydropower generation is causing such a commotion?" Our research team delved into the depths of data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Information Administration to unravel this mystery.

Surprisingly, after crunching the numbers and running the statistical analysis, we stumbled upon a negative correlation coefficient of -0.7364071 between air pollution levels in Phoenix and hydropower energy generated in Uzbekistan for the period spanning 1992 to 2021. With a p-value less than 0.01, the evidence suggests that the link between the grimy air and the hydropower flow is more than just hot air.

It seems that as the air quality in Phoenix deteriorates, the hydropower energy production in remote Uzbekistan experiences a surge. This unexpected relationship flies in the face of traditional energy and environmental theories, leaving us with one lingering question: "Is it the soot in the air that's driving the hydro flair?" Perhaps Dad's old 'cleanliness is next to hydro-ness' adage rings truer than anyone realized!

[[INTRODUCTION]]
Undoubtedly, the juxtaposition of air pollution in the desert oasis of Phoenix, Arizona, and the generation of hydropower energy in the landlocked nation of Uzbekistan seems about as odd as mixing oil and water. With dirty air and flowing water at the center stage, it’s almost like witnessing a turf war between carbon particles and H2O molecules. Who knew that air pollution in Phoenix could have such a far-reaching impact, quite literally, all the way to the hydro flow in Uzbekistan? It's like they say, "When it rains, it pours," and in this case, we're not talking about nature's water cycle but rather the hydro power surge induced by Phoenix's smoggy atmosphere.
As researchers, we couldn't help but wonder, "What's the connection between air pollution in Phoenix and hydropower energy in Uzbekistan? It's like trying to find a link between a dust devil and a water turbine!" However, armed with our trusty statistical tools, we decided to put this puzzling correlation under the microscope. As we dived into the data, we were struck by the seemingly negative correlation coefficient that emerged, almost like finding an oasis in the desert, or in this case, a negative correlation among the pollutants.
It turns out, for the period spanning nearly three decades, the relationship between Phoenix's air quality and the hydro surge in Uzbekistan is not just a chance occurrence. In fact, our analysis revealed a statistically significant negative correlation coefficient, hinting that the dirtier the air in Phoenix, the greater the hydro flow in Uzbekistan. It's as if the desert dust is powering the distant hydro plants with its spectral sparkle! If this trend continues, we might have to start considering smog as the newest renewable resource.
Intriguingly, this unexpected finding challenges established environmental and energy paradigms, leaving us scratching our heads and wondering, "What exactly is up with this dirty dance between pollutants and power?" It's like a scientific whodunit, with air pollution as the prime suspect in the enigmatic case of the hydro surge. As we navigate through this complex web of causality, one thing is for sure: we need to clean up our act in Phoenix before our hydro counterparts run out of water, and puns about air pollution and hydro energy continue to flow like, well, dirty water.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To unravel the mystery behind this curious juxtaposition, our research team employed a robust methodology that involved data collection, cleaning, and statistical analysis. We harnessed the power of data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Information Administration, casting our net wide across the internet, like 21st-century fishermen in search of statistical tuna.

First, to get our hands dirty (not literally, of course, we researchers are not avid gardeners), we collected air pollution data from various monitoring stations in the Phoenix metropolitan area. We relied on metrics such as particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10), nitrogen dioxide, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, and ozone levels, creating a comprehensive snapshot of the airborne grime that clouds the desert skies of Phoenix. It's like taking a deep breath of fresh air, except in this case, it's more like a coughing fit induced by pollutants.

Simultaneously, we turned our attention to the hydropower energy generation data in Uzbekistan. We combed through historical records of water flow rates, reservoir levels, and energy output from hydropower plants in Uzbekistan, painting a picture of the country's hydroelectric prowess. It's like trying to unravel a watery mystery, akin to being a scientific Sherlock Holmes in search of hydro clues.

Once the datasets were gathered, we engaged in a vigorous round of data cleaning and preparation, sifting through the numbers and scrubbing away any potential outliers or inaccuracies. Our data cleaning process was akin to a good old spring cleaning, removing the proverbial cobwebs and dust bunnies from our datasets. We wanted our data to be as squeaky clean as a freshly scrubbed test tube in a chemistry lab.

With our pristine datasets in hand, we performed a series of statistical analyses to explore the relationship between air pollution levels in Phoenix and hydropower energy generated in Uzbekistan. We employed robust regression models, factor analysis, and time series analysis to tease out any potential connections between the dirty air in Phoenix and the hydro energy flow in Uzbekistan. It's like trying to solve a cryptic crossword puzzle, only instead of words, we were looking for significant statistical patterns among the variables.

Furthermore, we applied sophisticated techniques such as Granger causality tests, examining the temporal sequence of events to ascertain whether changes in air pollution levels in Phoenix could predict fluctuations in hydropower energy generation in Uzbekistan. It's like playing a high-stakes game of cause-and-effect chess, where each move in air quality could potentially lead to a cascade of hydro reactions in Uzbekistan.

Lastly, to ensure the robustness of our findings, we conducted sensitivity analyses and Monte Carlo simulations, subjecting our data to various hypothetical scenarios to test the stability of our results. It's like stress-testing a scientific hypothesis, akin to challenging a theory with a barrage of hypothetical hurricanes and statistical earthquakes.

In the end, armed with our statistical machetes and data compasses, we ventured deep into the tangled jungle of correlations and coefficients, emerging with a newfound understanding of the unlikely rhyme time between air pollution in Phoenix and the hydro flow in Uzbekistan. It's like navigating through a dense statistical forest, hacking away at the underbrush of uncertainty to reveal a clearer path towards answering our research question. And like any good adventure, our journey through the methodology was not without its unexpected twists and turns!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Phoenix and Hydopower energy generated in Uzbekistan. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Environmental Protection Agency and Energy Information Administration .

For the time period 1992 to 2021, you found a correlation -0.7364071, r-squared of 0.5422954, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Dirty Air in Phoenix Affects the Hydro Flow in Uzbekistan: An Unlikely Rhyme Time

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we dive into the unexpected connection between air pollution in Phoenix, Arizona, and the generation of hydropower energy in Uzbekistan. It's a curious case of pollutants and power plants that has left us pondering, "What in hydropower generation is causing such a commotion?" Our research team delved into the depths of data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Information Administration to unravel this mystery.

Surprisingly, after crunching the numbers and running the statistical analysis, we stumbled upon a negative correlation coefficient of -0.7364071 between air pollution levels in Phoenix and hydropower energy generated in Uzbekistan for the period spanning 1992 to 2021. With a p-value less than 0.01, the evidence suggests that the link between the grimy air and the hydropower flow is more than just hot air.

It seems that as the air quality in Phoenix deteriorates, the hydropower energy production in remote Uzbekistan experiences a surge. This unexpected relationship flies in the face of traditional energy and environmental theories, leaving us with one lingering question: "Is it the soot in the air that's driving the hydro flair?" Perhaps Dad's old 'cleanliness is next to hydro-ness' adage rings truer than anyone realized!

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
Undoubtedly, the juxtaposition of air pollution in the desert oasis of Phoenix, Arizona, and the generation of hydropower energy in the landlocked nation of Uzbekistan seems about as odd as mixing oil and water. With dirty air and flowing water at the center stage, it’s almost like witnessing a turf war between carbon particles and H2O molecules. Who knew that air pollution in Phoenix could have such a far-reaching impact, quite literally, all the way to the hydro flow in Uzbekistan? It's like they say, "When it rains, it pours," and in this case, we're not talking about nature's water cycle but rather the hydro power surge induced by Phoenix's smoggy atmosphere.
As researchers, we couldn't help but wonder, "What's the connection between air pollution in Phoenix and hydropower energy in Uzbekistan? It's like trying to find a link between a dust devil and a water turbine!" However, armed with our trusty statistical tools, we decided to put this puzzling correlation under the microscope. As we dived into the data, we were struck by the seemingly negative correlation coefficient that emerged, almost like finding an oasis in the desert, or in this case, a negative correlation among the pollutants.
It turns out, for the period spanning nearly three decades, the relationship between Phoenix's air quality and the hydro surge in Uzbekistan is not just a chance occurrence. In fact, our analysis revealed a statistically significant negative correlation coefficient, hinting that the dirtier the air in Phoenix, the greater the hydro flow in Uzbekistan. It's as if the desert dust is powering the distant hydro plants with its spectral sparkle! If this trend continues, we might have to start considering smog as the newest renewable resource.
Intriguingly, this unexpected finding challenges established environmental and energy paradigms, leaving us scratching our heads and wondering, "What exactly is up with this dirty dance between pollutants and power?" It's like a scientific whodunit, with air pollution as the prime suspect in the enigmatic case of the hydro surge. As we navigate through this complex web of causality, one thing is for sure: we need to clean up our act in Phoenix before our hydro counterparts run out of water, and puns about air pollution and hydro energy continue to flow like, well, dirty water.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The results of our study unveiled a striking correlation between air pollution in Phoenix and the generation of hydropower energy in Uzbekistan. Our statistical analysis yielded a correlation coefficient of -0.7364071, with an r-squared value of 0.5422954 and a p-value less than 0.01. In other words, there's a strong negative relationship between the filthy air in Phoenix and the hydro energy flourishing in Uzbekistan - it's as if the particles in the air are orchestrating a grand hydro spectacle in distant lands.

Now, I know what you're thinking - "How can dirty air in one part of the world have anything to do with hydropower in another?" Well, it's like that old saying, "The smoggier, the merrier!" Don't worry, I'll show myself out.

Our findings are visually represented in Figure 1, where a scatterplot reveals the distinct downward trend between air pollution levels in Phoenix and the hydro juggernaut in Uzbekistan. It's like an art piece where the brush strokes of air pollution and hydro energy create a masterpiece of negative correlation. And you thought numbers couldn't be poetic!

So, what does this all mean? It seems that as Phoenix's air quality takes a nosedive, the hydropower generation in Uzbekistan experiences an upward surge. It's like witnessing a pollution-powered celebration of hydropower. You could even call it the "Phoenix Downpour Effect on Uzbek Hydro!" Okay, I'll stop.

Now, we're left with an intriguing conundrum - what is the exact mechanism behind this unexpected correlation? It's like trying to solve a riddle where the answer is as elusive as the wind blowing through a dust storm. As we grapple with this scientific puzzle, one thing is for sure: the relationship between air pollution and hydropower goes way beyond smoke and mirrors.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Phoenix and Hydopower energy generated in Uzbekistan. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
The Dirty Air in Phoenix Affects the Hydro Flow in Uzbekistan: An Unlikely Rhyme Time

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we dive into the unexpected connection between air pollution in Phoenix, Arizona, and the generation of hydropower energy in Uzbekistan. It's a curious case of pollutants and power plants that has left us pondering, "What in hydropower generation is causing such a commotion?" Our research team delved into the depths of data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Information Administration to unravel this mystery.

Surprisingly, after crunching the numbers and running the statistical analysis, we stumbled upon a negative correlation coefficient of -0.7364071 between air pollution levels in Phoenix and hydropower energy generated in Uzbekistan for the period spanning 1992 to 2021. With a p-value less than 0.01, the evidence suggests that the link between the grimy air and the hydropower flow is more than just hot air.

It seems that as the air quality in Phoenix deteriorates, the hydropower energy production in remote Uzbekistan experiences a surge. This unexpected relationship flies in the face of traditional energy and environmental theories, leaving us with one lingering question: "Is it the soot in the air that's driving the hydro flair?" Perhaps Dad's old 'cleanliness is next to hydro-ness' adage rings truer than anyone realized!

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
In "Air Pollution and Energy Usage," Smith and Doe scrutinize the impact of air pollution on energy generation and consumption patterns. They propose a direct relationship between air quality and energy production, laying the groundwork for understanding the potential interplay between Phoenix's air pollution and hydropower energy in Uzbekistan. However, what they fail to capture is the whimsical nature of this relationship - it’s like the pollution is whispering, "Water you up to, Hydropower?"
Building upon this groundwork, Jones et al. delve into the dynamics of hydropower production in "Hydropower Hydromanagement." They meticulously detail the factors influencing hydropower output and the intricate balance of water resources. Little did they know, the dirty air in Phoenix might be the unexpected wildcard affecting hydropower production in a faraway land - talk about a plot twist stranger than fiction! It's almost like the air pollutants and water molecules are engaged in a never-ending tug-of-war.
Moving beyond academic works, real-world accounts in "The Great Arid Debate" shed light on the environmental challenges faced by arid regions like Phoenix. As the authors highlight the struggle against air pollution, the implications for hydroelectric systems across the globe become evident. It's as if the desert grit is hitching a ride on the winds of fate, finding its way to influence the flow of hydropower thousands of miles away. Who knew that the desert was such a jetsetter?
Meanwhile, fictional narratives such as "The Sooty Sorcery of Hydrotopia" and "Smog over Seas: A Tale of Tall Turbines" take readers on imaginative journeys, where the characters grapple with the unexpected consequences of distant air pollution on their hydro-powered adventures. These stories, though works of fiction, provide a whimsical lens through which to view the unlikely bond between Phoenix's smog and Uzbekistan's hydropower. It's almost as if the air pollution is saying, "I'm not just a pollutant, I'm a plot twist too!"
In a departure from traditional sources, our research team also explored unconventional avenues, including the back labels of shampoo bottles. While these findings may not stand up to rigorous academic scrutiny, they offered some unexpected insights – who knew a bottle of shampoo could reveal the secret connection between air pollution and hydro energy, right there beneath the ingredients list? It's almost as if the answer was floating in the suds all along!
As we wade through the literature, it becomes clear that the connection between air pollution in Phoenix and hydropower energy in Uzbekistan is a captivating puzzle, with each piece unveiling a quirky twist. The journey from serious academic works to fanciful fiction and even unorthodox sources has provided a multifaceted understanding of this unlikely rhyme time. Who would have thought that researching the unexpected antics of air pollution and hydro power could be filled with so many unexpected surprises? It’s like an academic rollercoaster ride, with data and dad jokes around every corner.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our study unveiled a striking correlation between air pollution in Phoenix and the generation of hydropower energy in Uzbekistan. Our statistical analysis yielded a correlation coefficient of -0.7364071, with an r-squared value of 0.5422954 and a p-value less than 0.01. In other words, there's a strong negative relationship between the filthy air in Phoenix and the hydro energy flourishing in Uzbekistan - it's as if the particles in the air are orchestrating a grand hydro spectacle in distant lands.
Now, I know what you're thinking - "How can dirty air in one part of the world have anything to do with hydropower in another?" Well, it's like that old saying, "The smoggier, the merrier!" Don't worry, I'll show myself out.
Our findings are visually represented in Figure 1, where a scatterplot reveals the distinct downward trend between air pollution levels in Phoenix and the hydro juggernaut in Uzbekistan. It's like an art piece where the brush strokes of air pollution and hydro energy create a masterpiece of negative correlation. And you thought numbers couldn't be poetic!
So, what does this all mean? It seems that as Phoenix's air quality takes a nosedive, the hydropower generation in Uzbekistan experiences an upward surge. It's like witnessing a pollution-powered celebration of hydropower. You could even call it the "Phoenix Downpour Effect on Uzbek Hydro!" Okay, I'll stop.
Now, we're left with an intriguing conundrum - what is the exact mechanism behind this unexpected correlation? It's like trying to solve a riddle where the answer is as elusive as the wind blowing through a dust storm. As we grapple with this scientific puzzle, one thing is for sure: the relationship between air pollution and hydropower goes way beyond smoke and mirrors.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]
Our investigation into the curious connection between air pollution in Phoenix and hydropower energy generation in Uzbekistan has illuminated a truly unexpected relationship. At first glance, one might think, "What in the world do these two seemingly unrelated variables have to do with each other?" This correlation makes about as much sense as a hydrogen molecule trying to make friends with a hydroxide ion - talk about awkward chemistry! However, our results provide tangible evidence to support the notion that the dirtier the air in Phoenix, the surge in hydropower energy in Uzbekistan – it's like an eco-friendly twist on the concept of "airmail"!

Our findings align with the prior research by Smith and Doe, who hinted at a potential link between air pollution and energy production. While they may not have anticipated the whimsical nature of this relationship, we're here to say, "Water you waiting for? The data speaks for itself!" Similarly, the surprises unearthed in works of fiction and unconventional literature, once thought to be mere flights of fancy, have shed light on the unexpected interplay between distant air pollutants and hydro dynamics. It's as if the shampoo bottle was trying to whisper, "Lather, rinse, [hydro-]repeat!"

As we reflect on the twists and turns of our academic rollercoaster ride, there's no denying the tantalizing puzzle that lies before us. If someone had told us at the outset that we'd be unraveling the enigmatic dance of polluted air and hydro energy, we might have chuckled and said, "You're in hot water, buddy!" But here we are, grappling with a scientific conundrum that defies traditional logic, like a statistical paradox waiting to be unraveled.

Yet, amidst the comical side glances and whimsical encounters, this unexpected correlation bears testament to the interconnectedness of our world. It's as if Mother Nature herself is sending us a message: "Hey, don't overlook the unexpected connections in the ecosystem - they're all part of the same puzzle!" So, as we contemplate the peculiar rapport between dirty air in one corner of the globe and the surge of hydropower in a distant land, we're reminded that scientific discoveries can emerge from the unlikeliest of sources.

In the end, perhaps this peculiar correlation has a lesson to impart - it's like a dad joke waiting to be delivered in the punchline! As we embark on new avenues of research and exploration, we're reminded that the scientific journey is rife with delightful surprises and unexpected twists, much like finding humor in the unlikeliest of places. And besides, who knew that the soot in Phoenix could be fueling a hydro-powered spectacle in Uzbekistan? It's like science pulled off a magic trick with no hidden wires or mirrors!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Air pollution in Phoenix and Hydopower energy generated in Uzbekistan. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
The Dirty Air in Phoenix Affects the Hydro Flow in Uzbekistan: An Unlikely Rhyme Time

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this paper, we dive into the unexpected connection between air pollution in Phoenix, Arizona, and the generation of hydropower energy in Uzbekistan. It's a curious case of pollutants and power plants that has left us pondering, "What in hydropower generation is causing such a commotion?" Our research team delved into the depths of data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Information Administration to unravel this mystery.

Surprisingly, after crunching the numbers and running the statistical analysis, we stumbled upon a negative correlation coefficient of -0.7364071 between air pollution levels in Phoenix and hydropower energy generated in Uzbekistan for the period spanning 1992 to 2021. With a p-value less than 0.01, the evidence suggests that the link between the grimy air and the hydropower flow is more than just hot air.

It seems that as the air quality in Phoenix deteriorates, the hydropower energy production in remote Uzbekistan experiences a surge. This unexpected relationship flies in the face of traditional energy and environmental theories, leaving us with one lingering question: "Is it the soot in the air that's driving the hydro flair?" Perhaps Dad's old 'cleanliness is next to hydro-ness' adage rings truer than anyone realized!

[[INTRDUCTION]]
Undoubtedly, the juxtaposition of air pollution in the desert oasis of Phoenix, Arizona, and the generation of hydropower energy in the landlocked nation of Uzbekistan seems about as odd as mixing oil and water. With dirty air and flowing water at the center stage, it’s almost like witnessing a turf war between carbon particles and H2O molecules. Who knew that air pollution in Phoenix could have such a far-reaching impact, quite literally, all the way to the hydro flow in Uzbekistan? It's like they say, "When it rains, it pours," and in this case, we're not talking about nature's water cycle but rather the hydro power surge induced by Phoenix's smoggy atmosphere.
As researchers, we couldn't help but wonder, "What's the connection between air pollution in Phoenix and hydropower energy in Uzbekistan? It's like trying to find a link between a dust devil and a water turbine!" However, armed with our trusty statistical tools, we decided to put this puzzling correlation under the microscope. As we dived into the data, we were struck by the seemingly negative correlation coefficient that emerged, almost like finding an oasis in the desert, or in this case, a negative correlation among the pollutants.
It turns out, for the period spanning nearly three decades, the relationship between Phoenix's air quality and the hydro surge in Uzbekistan is not just a chance occurrence. In fact, our analysis revealed a statistically significant negative correlation coefficient, hinting that the dirtier the air in Phoenix, the greater the hydro flow in Uzbekistan. It's as if the desert dust is powering the distant hydro plants with its spectral sparkle! If this trend continues, we might have to start considering smog as the newest renewable resource.
Intriguingly, this unexpected finding challenges established environmental and energy paradigms, leaving us scratching our heads and wondering, "What exactly is up with this dirty dance between pollutants and power?" It's like a scientific whodunit, with air pollution as the prime suspect in the enigmatic case of the hydro surge. As we navigate through this complex web of causality, one thing is for sure: we need to clean up our act in Phoenix before our hydro counterparts run out of water, and puns about air pollution and hydro energy continue to flow like, well, dirty water.

[[RESULTS]]
The results of our study unveiled a striking correlation between air pollution in Phoenix and the generation of hydropower energy in Uzbekistan. Our statistical analysis yielded a correlation coefficient of -0.7364071, with an r-squared value of 0.5422954 and a p-value less than 0.01. In other words, there's a strong negative relationship between the filthy air in Phoenix and the hydro energy flourishing in Uzbekistan - it's as if the particles in the air are orchestrating a grand hydro spectacle in distant lands.
Now, I know what you're thinking - "How can dirty air in one part of the world have anything to do with hydropower in another?" Well, it's like that old saying, "The smoggier, the merrier!" Don't worry, I'll show myself out.
Our findings are visually represented in Figure 1, where a scatterplot reveals the distinct downward trend between air pollution levels in Phoenix and the hydro juggernaut in Uzbekistan. It's like an art piece where the brush strokes of air pollution and hydro energy create a masterpiece of negative correlation. And you thought numbers couldn't be poetic!
So, what does this all mean? It seems that as Phoenix's air quality takes a nosedive, the hydropower generation in Uzbekistan experiences an upward surge. It's like witnessing a pollution-powered celebration of hydropower. You could even call it the "Phoenix Downpour Effect on Uzbek Hydro!" Okay, I'll stop.
Now, we're left with an intriguing conundrum - what is the exact mechanism behind this unexpected correlation? It's like trying to solve a riddle where the answer is as elusive as the wind blowing through a dust storm. As we grapple with this scientific puzzle, one thing is for sure: the relationship between air pollution and hydropower goes way beyond smoke and mirrors.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our study has uncovered a peculiar relationship between air pollution in Phoenix and the generation of hydropower energy in Uzbekistan. It's as if the smog in Phoenix is secretly whispering, "Hey Uzbekistan, let me lend you a hand in generating some power!" But really, who knew that polluted air could be the ultimate matchmaker for hydro energy production across continents?

Our findings suggest a strong negative correlation between the grimy air in Phoenix and the surging hydro flow in Uzbekistan. It's almost like a cosmic ballet where the dirt in one place powers the clean energy in another. It's like a global-scale dance-off—pollutants vs. power, with hydro energy busting moves to the sound of air pollution.

So, what's the punchline in all of this? It seems that the dirtier the air in Phoenix, the mightier the hydro surge in Uzbekistan. It's like a real-life version of "One man’s trash is another man’s treasure" - or should I say, "One city's smog is another country's hydrogold?"

But fear not, dear readers, for in this instance, the solution isn't blowing in the wind—it's simply to 'clean up our act' in Phoenix. And by that, I mean reducing air pollution, not forming an amateur comedy group. We have enough particles in the air as it is!

Ultimately, our findings shed light on an unexpected and thought-provoking correlation that challenges conventional wisdom in energy and environmental research. It's as if the scientific cosmos decided to play a cosmic joke on us—mixing air pollutants and hydropower generation in a grand act of scientific humor.

In the end, we can confidently assert that no further research is needed in this area. Because, really, once you've linked dirty air in Phoenix to hydro power in Uzbekistan, what more is there to prove? It's like trying to prove to a dad that his dad jokes aren't funny—why bother?


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited The Dirty Air in Phoenix Affects the Hydro Flow in Uzbekistan: An Unlikely Rhyme Time. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Eclectic Atmospheric Connections


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited The Dirty Air in Phoenix Affects the Hydro Flow in Uzbekistan: An Unlikely Rhyme Time. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Society for Quirky Atmospheric Research


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled The Dirty Air in Phoenix Affects the Hydro Flow in Uzbekistan: An Unlikely Rhyme Time with an abstract of In this paper, we dive into the unexpected connection between air pollution in Phoenix, Arizona, and the generation of hydropower energy in Uzbekistan. It's a curious case of pollutants and power plants that has left us pondering, "What in hydropower generation is causing such a commotion?" Our research team delved into the depths of data from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Energy Information Administration to unravel this mystery.
Surprisingly, after crunching the numbers and running the statistical analysis, we stumbled upon a negative correlation coefficient of -0.7364071 between air pollution levels in Phoenix and hydropower energy generated in Uzbekistan for the period spanning 1992 to 2021. With a p-value less than 0.01, the evidence suggests that the link between the grimy air and the hydropower flow is more than just hot air.
It seems that as the air quality in Phoenix deteriorates, the hydropower energy production in remote Uzbekistan experiences a surge. This unexpected relationship flies in the face of traditional energy and environmental theories, leaving us with one lingering question: "Is it the soot in the air that's driving the hydro flair?" Perhaps Dad's old 'cleanliness is next to hydro-ness' adage rings truer than anyone realized!

ChatGPT:

Phoenix air pollution, Uzbekistan hydropower, environmental impact, energy generation, air quality, pollution correlation, hydropower production, correlation analysis, environmental data, energy statistics

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Air pollution in Phoenix
Detailed data title: Percentage of days with air quality at 'unhealthy for sensitive groups' or worse in Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ
Source: Environmental Protection Agency
See what else correlates with Air pollution in Phoenix

Hydopower energy generated in Uzbekistan
Detailed data title: Total hydopower energy generated in Uzbekistan in billion kWh
Source: Energy Information Administration
See what else correlates with Hydopower energy generated in Uzbekistan

Correlation r = -0.7364071 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.5422954 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 54.2% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Hydopower energy generated in Uzbekistan) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Air pollution in Phoenix) over the 30 years from 1992 through 2021.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 3.5E-6. 0.0000034998835151237182000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as -0.74 in 0.00035% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 285,724 random variables You don't actually need 285 thousand variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 29 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 29 because we have two variables measured over a period of 30 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ -0.87, -0.51 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
Air pollution in Phoenix (Bad air quality days)21.857919.452119.452124.383623.770528.219238.904152.602745.628424.109624.931523.287715.027324.931573.150760.821954.91821.369916.164436.438430.327928.767132.602719.178120.491826.027423.287714.794562.841565.2055
Hydopower energy generated in Uzbekistan (Billion kWh)6.2187.2847.0846.1266.465.7195.75.6265.8175.8996.1247.5448.928.8384.6534.614.4436.4188.115.6466.5865.6476.0146.9987.2548.3435.838036.461994.999195




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Inverted Y-axis: I inverted the Y-axis on the chart above so that the lines would move together. This is visually pleasing, but not at all intuitive. Below is a line graph that does not invert the Y-axis and starts at zero.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([21.8579,19.4521,19.4521,24.3836,23.7705,28.2192,38.9041,52.6027,45.6284,24.1096,24.9315,23.2877,15.0273,24.9315,73.1507,60.8219,54.918,21.3699,16.1644,36.4384,30.3279,28.7671,32.6027,19.1781,20.4918,26.0274,23.2877,14.7945,62.8415,65.2055,])
array_2 = np.array([6.218,7.284,7.084,6.126,6.46,5.719,5.7,5.626,5.817,5.899,6.124,7.544,8.92,8.838,4.653,4.61,4.443,6.418,8.11,5.646,6.586,5.647,6.014,6.998,7.254,8.343,5.83803,6.46199,4.99919,5,])
array_1_name = "Air pollution in Phoenix"
array_2_name = "Hydopower energy generated in Uzbekistan"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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Correlation ID: 2256 · Black Variable ID: 21061 · Red Variable ID: 24090
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