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Spurious correlation #1,861 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Popularity of the first name Jack and the second variable is The number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey.  The chart goes from 2003 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As the name Jack rose in popularity, more and more babies were being named after the infamous pirate Captain Jack Sparrow. These toddlers, with their tiny swashbuckling attitudes, unknowingly inspired a surge of interest in blacksmithing and metalwork across New Jersey. It was a golden age for pint-sized buccaneers yelling "Avast, ye landlubbers!" on playgrounds, and a strange but undeniable connection emerged between the call of adventure and the clanging of metal in the Garden State. It was as if the little Jacks were saying, "Aye, matey, let's shiver some timbers and forge me a hook hand worthy of a true pirate!" And thus, the number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey experienced a curious and inexplicable boost. The legend of Jack and the trade of all trades lives on! Yo ho ho and a bottle of...molten steel?

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image that looks like a scene from 'Star Wars' where a bustling New Jersey factory floor is filled with the sounds of clanking metal and whirring machines. Workers skillfully tend to forging machines while a friendly, popular man named Jack confidently oversees the operation, ensuring everything runs smoothly and efficiently. Colleagues eagerly seek his advice and assistance as they work together to produce high-quality metal and plastic products. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Popularity of the first name Jack and The number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: A Discovery magazine cover image inspired by bauhaus An image that looks like it is a scene from 'Star Wars' Celtic art Whimsical illustration
ChatGPT: An image that looks like it is a scene from 'Star Wars'

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Popularity of the first name Jack and The number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey together. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: A bustling New Jersey factory floor is filled with the sounds of clanking metal and whirring machines as workers skillfully tend to forging machines. Among them, a friendly, popular man named Jack confidently oversees the operation, ensuring everything runs smoothly and efficiently. Colleagues eagerly seek his advice and assistance as they work together to produce high-quality metal and plastic products.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ An image that looks like it is a scene from 'Star Wars' ] and depicting this scene: A bustling New Jersey factory floor is filled with the sounds of clanking metal and whirring machines as workers skillfully tend to forging machines. Among them, a friendly, popular man named Jack confidently oversees the operation, ensuring everything runs smoothly and efficiently. Colleagues eagerly seek his advice and assistance as they work together to produce high-quality metal and plastic products. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image that looks like a scene from 'Star Wars' where a bustling New Jersey factory floor is filled with the sounds of clanking metal and whirring machines. Workers skillfully tend to forging machines while a friendly, popular man named Jack confidently oversees the operation, ensuring everything runs smoothly and efficiently. Colleagues eagerly seek his advice and assistance as they work together to produce high-quality metal and plastic products.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how increases in Popularity of the first name Jack positively influenced The number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Jack's Juxtaposition: The Jive between Jack's Popularity and Forge Operator Numbers in New Jersey

The Journal of Sociological Synchronicities

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jack and The number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title an alliteration.

Your research team used data from US Social Security Administration and Bureau of Larbor Statistics to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.6813823 and p < 0.01 for 2003 to 2022.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
Jack's Juxtaposition: The Jive between Jack's Popularity and Forge Operator Numbers in New Jersey

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved into the fascinating world of name popularity and its surprising connection to the number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in the great state of New Jersey. Fueled by a quizzical curiosity, we harnessed data from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics to unravel the enigma. The results left us chuckling with astonishment as we uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.6813823 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the period spanning 2003 to 2022. Our findings not only tickled our academic fancies but also underscored the unforeseen synergy between the name Jack's popularity and the presence of metal and plastic forging industry workers in the bustling state of New Jersey. This study not only sparks thoughts but also kindles a zest for quirky research in the realm of nomenclature and occupational trends.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jack and The number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Jack's Juxtaposition: The Jive between Jack's Popularity and Forge Operator Numbers in New Jersey

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved into the fascinating world of name popularity and its surprising connection to the number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in the great state of New Jersey. Fueled by a quizzical curiosity, we harnessed data from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics to unravel the enigma. The results left us chuckling with astonishment as we uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.6813823 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the period spanning 2003 to 2022. Our findings not only tickled our academic fancies but also underscored the unforeseen synergy between the name Jack's popularity and the presence of metal and plastic forging industry workers in the bustling state of New Jersey. This study not only sparks thoughts but also kindles a zest for quirky research in the realm of nomenclature and occupational trends.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

Ah, the perplexing mysteries of the universe! As we embark on this scholarly odyssey into the peculiar nexus of nomenclature and industrial vocation, we are compelled to don our metaphorical Sherlock Holmes hats and unearth the curious correlation between the popularity of the first name Jack and the legion of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in the illustrious landscape of New Jersey.

One might wonder, how could the moniker "Jack" possibly intertwine with the artistry of metal and plastic manipulation, one of the backbone industries of the Garden State? A whimsical notion, you say? Well, as esteemed researchers, we are not content to rest on the laurels of conventionality; we prefer to wander down the path less trodden, where rabbit holes of intrigue await our unblinking gaze.

The name "Jack" has traversed through history, cropping up in literature, folklore, and popular culture with a steadfast swagger. From the labyrinthine corridors of Shakespearean drama to the whimsical tales of fables, Jack has insinuated itself into the tapestry of storytelling with an almost mischievous aplomb. But what of its synergy with the wielders of hammers, pressers of buttons, and shapers of molten metal and plastic? Are we to believe that there exists a clandestine kinship between the two? Perchance, a caterwauling chorus of "Jack be nimble, Jack be quick, Jack jump over the forging wick"? Not quite, but the stage is set for a merriment of statistical curiosity and jest!

The industrious state of New Jersey, known for its bustling metropolitan cities, verdant countryside, and enduring spirit, serves as the locale for our inquiry. As the forge sizzles and hums, so too does the cadence of name popularity ebb and flow. Could it be that the rise and fall of the Jacks in the world coincide with the clinking of metal and plastic machinery in the annals of New Jersey's industrial prowess? A curious supposition indeed!

With this backdrop of amusement and inquiry, we stand on the precipice of unveiling the riddles that lay concealed within the annals of data, statistics, and whimsy. So, dear reader, fasten your seatbelts and prepare to be regaled with the whimsical saga of Jack's juxtaposition in the heartland of forge operators in New Jersey.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jack and The number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name some movies that you watched that are tangentially related to the topic.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Jack's Juxtaposition: The Jive between Jack's Popularity and Forge Operator Numbers in New Jersey

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved into the fascinating world of name popularity and its surprising connection to the number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in the great state of New Jersey. Fueled by a quizzical curiosity, we harnessed data from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics to unravel the enigma. The results left us chuckling with astonishment as we uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.6813823 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the period spanning 2003 to 2022. Our findings not only tickled our academic fancies but also underscored the unforeseen synergy between the name Jack's popularity and the presence of metal and plastic forging industry workers in the bustling state of New Jersey. This study not only sparks thoughts but also kindles a zest for quirky research in the realm of nomenclature and occupational trends.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
Ah, the perplexing mysteries of the universe! As we embark on this scholarly odyssey into the peculiar nexus of nomenclature and industrial vocation, we are compelled to don our metaphorical Sherlock Holmes hats and unearth the curious correlation between the popularity of the first name Jack and the legion of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in the illustrious landscape of New Jersey.
One might wonder, how could the moniker "Jack" possibly intertwine with the artistry of metal and plastic manipulation, one of the backbone industries of the Garden State? A whimsical notion, you say? Well, as esteemed researchers, we are not content to rest on the laurels of conventionality; we prefer to wander down the path less trodden, where rabbit holes of intrigue await our unblinking gaze.
The name "Jack" has traversed through history, cropping up in literature, folklore, and popular culture with a steadfast swagger. From the labyrinthine corridors of Shakespearean drama to the whimsical tales of fables, Jack has insinuated itself into the tapestry of storytelling with an almost mischievous aplomb. But what of its synergy with the wielders of hammers, pressers of buttons, and shapers of molten metal and plastic? Are we to believe that there exists a clandestine kinship between the two? Perchance, a caterwauling chorus of "Jack be nimble, Jack be quick, Jack jump over the forging wick"? Not quite, but the stage is set for a merriment of statistical curiosity and jest!
The industrious state of New Jersey, known for its bustling metropolitan cities, verdant countryside, and enduring spirit, serves as the locale for our inquiry. As the forge sizzles and hums, so too does the cadence of name popularity ebb and flow. Could it be that the rise and fall of the Jacks in the world coincide with the clinking of metal and plastic machinery in the annals of New Jersey's industrial prowess? A curious supposition indeed!
With this backdrop of amusement and inquiry, we stand on the precipice of unveiling the riddles that lay concealed within the annals of data, statistics, and whimsy. So, dear reader, fasten your seatbelts and prepare to be regaled with the whimsical saga of Jack's juxtaposition in the heartland of forge operators in New Jersey.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

To lay the groundwork for our exploration, let us first delve into the serious musings of esteemed researchers in the field of nomenclature and workforce trends. Smith in "Nameomics: How Your Name Reflects Your Economic Destiny" divulges a compelling thesis that suggests the possibility of a connection between names and vocation. Doe and Jones in "Monikers and Mechanics: A Study of Name-Occupation Union" similarly propound the notion of a covert liaison between names and occupational choices. These insightful studies set the stage for our own jaunt into the enigmatic dance between the moniker "Jack" and the domain of metal and plastic forging in the vivacious realm of New Jersey.

As we navigate the labyrinthine corridors of scholarly inquiry, we encounter a smorgasbord of literature that attempts to unravel the knotty relationship between nomenclature and professional pursuits. However, in the spirit of academic revelry and mirth, let us veer off the trodden path into the realm of imaginative whimsy. Picture, if you will, the union of Jack's popularity and the world of forge operators as akin to the alchemical concoction in Stevenson's "Strange Case of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde," where two seemingly incongruous elements blend in a perplexing fusion.

One cannot discount the influence of real and imagined stories that swirl around the name "Jack." From the sagas of John Steinbeck's "East of Eden" to the whimsical yarns of "Jack and the Beanstalk," this name has weaved its way into the fabric of lore and legend. Could it be that the resonance of these tales has seeped into the very essence of New Jersey's metal and plastic forging industry, creating a symphony of synchronicity that defies conventional logic? Ah, the plot thickens, much like the molten metal in a forge!

In a moment of academic abandon, let us pivot to the realm of fiction that flirts with the themes of labor and nomenclature. Fitzgerald's "The Great Gatsby" and Dickens' "Great Expectations" may not seem to directly intersect with our topic, but a clever sleuth would discern the subtle undercurrents of societal stratification and nomenclatural symbolism that permeate these literary works. Dare we posit that the ebbs and flows of the name "Jack" in popularity mirror the tides of industrial eminence in the landscapes of New Jersey, akin to the ebb and flow of the ocean's current? The mind boggles at the possibilities!

Now, let us saunter into the realm of cinematic indulgence, where we find ourselves intrigued by films that hint at the tangential relationship between names and industrial vocations. "The Prestige," with its thematic undercurrents of obsession and rivalry, beckons the discerning viewer to contemplate the parallelism between the name "Jack" and the machinists who toil behind the scenes to conjure illusions of metal and plastic.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jack and The number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and Bureau of Larbor Statistics . You used data from 2003 to 2022

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Jack's Juxtaposition: The Jive between Jack's Popularity and Forge Operator Numbers in New Jersey

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved into the fascinating world of name popularity and its surprising connection to the number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in the great state of New Jersey. Fueled by a quizzical curiosity, we harnessed data from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics to unravel the enigma. The results left us chuckling with astonishment as we uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.6813823 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the period spanning 2003 to 2022. Our findings not only tickled our academic fancies but also underscored the unforeseen synergy between the name Jack's popularity and the presence of metal and plastic forging industry workers in the bustling state of New Jersey. This study not only sparks thoughts but also kindles a zest for quirky research in the realm of nomenclature and occupational trends.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
Ah, the perplexing mysteries of the universe! As we embark on this scholarly odyssey into the peculiar nexus of nomenclature and industrial vocation, we are compelled to don our metaphorical Sherlock Holmes hats and unearth the curious correlation between the popularity of the first name Jack and the legion of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in the illustrious landscape of New Jersey.
One might wonder, how could the moniker "Jack" possibly intertwine with the artistry of metal and plastic manipulation, one of the backbone industries of the Garden State? A whimsical notion, you say? Well, as esteemed researchers, we are not content to rest on the laurels of conventionality; we prefer to wander down the path less trodden, where rabbit holes of intrigue await our unblinking gaze.
The name "Jack" has traversed through history, cropping up in literature, folklore, and popular culture with a steadfast swagger. From the labyrinthine corridors of Shakespearean drama to the whimsical tales of fables, Jack has insinuated itself into the tapestry of storytelling with an almost mischievous aplomb. But what of its synergy with the wielders of hammers, pressers of buttons, and shapers of molten metal and plastic? Are we to believe that there exists a clandestine kinship between the two? Perchance, a caterwauling chorus of "Jack be nimble, Jack be quick, Jack jump over the forging wick"? Not quite, but the stage is set for a merriment of statistical curiosity and jest!
The industrious state of New Jersey, known for its bustling metropolitan cities, verdant countryside, and enduring spirit, serves as the locale for our inquiry. As the forge sizzles and hums, so too does the cadence of name popularity ebb and flow. Could it be that the rise and fall of the Jacks in the world coincide with the clinking of metal and plastic machinery in the annals of New Jersey's industrial prowess? A curious supposition indeed!
With this backdrop of amusement and inquiry, we stand on the precipice of unveiling the riddles that lay concealed within the annals of data, statistics, and whimsy. So, dear reader, fasten your seatbelts and prepare to be regaled with the whimsical saga of Jack's juxtaposition in the heartland of forge operators in New Jersey.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

Ah, the time has come to peel back the mysterious veil cloaking the methodology of our, shall we say, unconventional study. With all the gravity and solemnity required of any academic pursuit, we embarked on a journey fueled by equal parts curiosity and mirth to unravel the tangled yarn of data collection and analysis.

Data from the auspicious US Social Security Administration and the ever-watchful Bureau of Labor Statistics served as our trusty guides in this quixotic endeavor. We drew from a span of years, from 2003 to 2022, allowing us to hone in on the capricious undulations of both the name "Jack" and the cadre of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic, in the pleasantly surprising fields of New Jersey.

Our data collection methods transcended the mere conventional; we dabbled in the arcane arts of web scraping, algorithmic pattern recognition, and old-fashioned number crunching. We conjured the elusive statistics from the ether of the internet, meticulously sifting through digital haystacks to gather the golden kernels of insight. With each keystroke and click, we approached the quizzical nexus of name popularity and industrial occupation, equal parts seriousness and whimsical wonder.

Now, as for the step-by-step methodology of our statistical analysis, we must confess, it often morphed into an elaborate dance of spreadsheets, equations, and the occasional divination ritual involving a Magic 8-Ball. Our chosen statistical tools included the venerable correlation coefficient and the p-value, emboldened by their steadfast ability to discern patterns amidst the cacophony of data points.

In the realm of statistical analysis, we summoned the great and powerful software known as SPSS to orchestrate the numerical symphony of our data. With its array of statistical tests and predictive models, we found ourselves swimming in a sea of probability and significance levels, guided by the unwavering beacon of scientific rigor.

We discarded the notion of haphazard guesswork, choosing instead to embrace the calculated art of hypothesis testing, allowing our inquisitive minds to revel in the thrill of accepting or rejecting null hypotheses with a theatrical flourish. Deep within the labyrinth of our analysis, we peeled back layers of data, threading the proverbial needle of correlation between the ebb and flow of "Jacks" and the bustling contingent of forging machine operators in the captivating landscape of New Jersey.

Thus, with the delicate dance of data collection and the rigorous waltz of statistical analysis, we arrived at the salient conclusions that illuminate the unexpected parallels between the name "Jack" and the trade of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic, in the multifaceted tapestry of New Jersey's industrial heartland. So, dear reader, let us now unveil the riddles that lay concealed within the annals of our whimsical saga of Jack's juxtaposition in the bustling realm of forge operators in New Jersey.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jack and The number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and Bureau of Larbor Statistics .

For the time period 2003 to 2022, you found a correlation 0.6813823, r-squared of 0.4642819, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Jack's Juxtaposition: The Jive between Jack's Popularity and Forge Operator Numbers in New Jersey

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved into the fascinating world of name popularity and its surprising connection to the number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in the great state of New Jersey. Fueled by a quizzical curiosity, we harnessed data from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics to unravel the enigma. The results left us chuckling with astonishment as we uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.6813823 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the period spanning 2003 to 2022. Our findings not only tickled our academic fancies but also underscored the unforeseen synergy between the name Jack's popularity and the presence of metal and plastic forging industry workers in the bustling state of New Jersey. This study not only sparks thoughts but also kindles a zest for quirky research in the realm of nomenclature and occupational trends.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
Ah, the perplexing mysteries of the universe! As we embark on this scholarly odyssey into the peculiar nexus of nomenclature and industrial vocation, we are compelled to don our metaphorical Sherlock Holmes hats and unearth the curious correlation between the popularity of the first name Jack and the legion of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in the illustrious landscape of New Jersey.
One might wonder, how could the moniker "Jack" possibly intertwine with the artistry of metal and plastic manipulation, one of the backbone industries of the Garden State? A whimsical notion, you say? Well, as esteemed researchers, we are not content to rest on the laurels of conventionality; we prefer to wander down the path less trodden, where rabbit holes of intrigue await our unblinking gaze.
The name "Jack" has traversed through history, cropping up in literature, folklore, and popular culture with a steadfast swagger. From the labyrinthine corridors of Shakespearean drama to the whimsical tales of fables, Jack has insinuated itself into the tapestry of storytelling with an almost mischievous aplomb. But what of its synergy with the wielders of hammers, pressers of buttons, and shapers of molten metal and plastic? Are we to believe that there exists a clandestine kinship between the two? Perchance, a caterwauling chorus of "Jack be nimble, Jack be quick, Jack jump over the forging wick"? Not quite, but the stage is set for a merriment of statistical curiosity and jest!
The industrious state of New Jersey, known for its bustling metropolitan cities, verdant countryside, and enduring spirit, serves as the locale for our inquiry. As the forge sizzles and hums, so too does the cadence of name popularity ebb and flow. Could it be that the rise and fall of the Jacks in the world coincide with the clinking of metal and plastic machinery in the annals of New Jersey's industrial prowess? A curious supposition indeed!
With this backdrop of amusement and inquiry, we stand on the precipice of unveiling the riddles that lay concealed within the annals of data, statistics, and whimsy. So, dear reader, fasten your seatbelts and prepare to be regaled with the whimsical saga of Jack's juxtaposition in the heartland of forge operators in New Jersey.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

**[[RESULTS]]**

The enigmatic tale of Jack's resonance in the realm of metal and plastic forging in New Jersey has unfolded before our incredulous eyes. Our robust statistical analysis revealed a noteworthy correlation coefficient of 0.6813823, with an r-squared value of 0.4642819, and a p-value of less than 0.01. The strength of this correlation, evident in the data collected from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics spanning the years 2003 to 2022, astonished even the most seasoned members of our research team.

As shown in Figure 1, the scatterplot graphically elucidates the striking relationship between the popularity of the first name Jack and the number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic, in New Jersey. The upward trend of the data points on the plot mirrors the ascending popularity of the name Jack with the burgeoning numbers of individuals dedicated to the artistry of metal and plastic manipulation.

The implications of our findings are perplexing yet undeniably captivating, adding a touch of whimsy to the ostensibly mundane world of industrial occupations and nomenclature trends. The unexpected thread that ties the ebbs and flows of a name's popularity to the rhythmic clinks and whirs of forging machinery in New Jersey invites further introspection and pondering. One might jest that the sweet sound of "Jack" reverberates harmoniously with the industrious symphony of metal and plastic shaping, echoing through time and space, defying conventional explanation.

Through the lens of our research, the name "Jack" has assumed an intriguing duality, transcending its status as a mere appellation to intersect with the intricate tapestry of vocational pursuits in the illustrious state of New Jersey. The resonance of this correlation may remain cloaked in curiosity, yet its existence is a testament to the inexhaustible fount of marvels that lie concealed within the purview of data and statistical inquiry.

In conclusion, our research has unearthed an unforeseen and enthralling connection between the popularity of the first name Jack and the number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic, in New Jersey. This delightful discovery not only broadens our understanding of name trends and occupational dynamics but also beckons us to embrace the delightful perplexities that underpin the seemingly ordinary facets of our world.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jack and The number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Jack's Juxtaposition: The Jive between Jack's Popularity and Forge Operator Numbers in New Jersey

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved into the fascinating world of name popularity and its surprising connection to the number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in the great state of New Jersey. Fueled by a quizzical curiosity, we harnessed data from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics to unravel the enigma. The results left us chuckling with astonishment as we uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.6813823 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the period spanning 2003 to 2022. Our findings not only tickled our academic fancies but also underscored the unforeseen synergy between the name Jack's popularity and the presence of metal and plastic forging industry workers in the bustling state of New Jersey. This study not only sparks thoughts but also kindles a zest for quirky research in the realm of nomenclature and occupational trends.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
To lay the groundwork for our exploration, let us first delve into the serious musings of esteemed researchers in the field of nomenclature and workforce trends. Smith in "Nameomics: How Your Name Reflects Your Economic Destiny" divulges a compelling thesis that suggests the possibility of a connection between names and vocation. Doe and Jones in "Monikers and Mechanics: A Study of Name-Occupation Union" similarly propound the notion of a covert liaison between names and occupational choices. These insightful studies set the stage for our own jaunt into the enigmatic dance between the moniker "Jack" and the domain of metal and plastic forging in the vivacious realm of New Jersey.
As we navigate the labyrinthine corridors of scholarly inquiry, we encounter a smorgasbord of literature that attempts to unravel the knotty relationship between nomenclature and professional pursuits. However, in the spirit of academic revelry and mirth, let us veer off the trodden path into the realm of imaginative whimsy. Picture, if you will, the union of Jack's popularity and the world of forge operators as akin to the alchemical concoction in Stevenson's "Strange Case of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde," where two seemingly incongruous elements blend in a perplexing fusion.
One cannot discount the influence of real and imagined stories that swirl around the name "Jack." From the sagas of John Steinbeck's "East of Eden" to the whimsical yarns of "Jack and the Beanstalk," this name has weaved its way into the fabric of lore and legend. Could it be that the resonance of these tales has seeped into the very essence of New Jersey's metal and plastic forging industry, creating a symphony of synchronicity that defies conventional logic? Ah, the plot thickens, much like the molten metal in a forge!
In a moment of academic abandon, let us pivot to the realm of fiction that flirts with the themes of labor and nomenclature. Fitzgerald's "The Great Gatsby" and Dickens' "Great Expectations" may not seem to directly intersect with our topic, but a clever sleuth would discern the subtle undercurrents of societal stratification and nomenclatural symbolism that permeate these literary works. Dare we posit that the ebbs and flows of the name "Jack" in popularity mirror the tides of industrial eminence in the landscapes of New Jersey, akin to the ebb and flow of the ocean's current? The mind boggles at the possibilities!
Now, let us saunter into the realm of cinematic indulgence, where we find ourselves intrigued by films that hint at the tangential relationship between names and industrial vocations. "The Prestige," with its thematic undercurrents of obsession and rivalry, beckons the discerning viewer to contemplate the parallelism between the name "Jack" and the machinists who toil behind the scenes to conjure illusions of metal and plastic.


[[RESULTS]]
The enigmatic tale of Jack's resonance in the realm of metal and plastic forging in New Jersey has unfolded before our incredulous eyes. Our robust statistical analysis revealed a noteworthy correlation coefficient of 0.6813823, with an r-squared value of 0.4642819, and a p-value of less than 0.01. The strength of this correlation, evident in the data collected from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics spanning the years 2003 to 2022, astonished even the most seasoned members of our research team.
As shown in Figure 1, the scatterplot graphically elucidates the striking relationship between the popularity of the first name Jack and the number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic, in New Jersey. The upward trend of the data points on the plot mirrors the ascending popularity of the name Jack with the burgeoning numbers of individuals dedicated to the artistry of metal and plastic manipulation.
The implications of our findings are perplexing yet undeniably captivating, adding a touch of whimsy to the ostensibly mundane world of industrial occupations and nomenclature trends. The unexpected thread that ties the ebbs and flows of a name's popularity to the rhythmic clinks and whirs of forging machinery in New Jersey invites further introspection and pondering. One might jest that the sweet sound of "Jack" reverberates harmoniously with the industrious symphony of metal and plastic shaping, echoing through time and space, defying conventional explanation.
Through the lens of our research, the name "Jack" has assumed an intriguing duality, transcending its status as a mere appellation to intersect with the intricate tapestry of vocational pursuits in the illustrious state of New Jersey. The resonance of this correlation may remain cloaked in curiosity, yet its existence is a testament to the inexhaustible fount of marvels that lie concealed within the purview of data and statistical inquiry.
In conclusion, our research has unearthed an unforeseen and enthralling connection between the popularity of the first name Jack and the number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic, in New Jersey. This delightful discovery not only broadens our understanding of name trends and occupational dynamics but also beckons us to embrace the delightful perplexities that underpin the seemingly ordinary facets of our world.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The results of our study have brought to light a peculiar and captivating association between the popularity of the first name Jack and the number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, working with both metal and plastic, in the industrious realm of New Jersey. Our findings not only reinforced but also expanded upon the intriguing notions posited in the literature review. The unexpected synergy between a name's resonance and occupational choices is a testament to the whimsical twists that permeate our societal fabric.

As we recall the scholarly musings of Smith, Doe, and Jones, we are tempted to take their theories with a hint of playful earnestness. The sardonic grin of fate seems to have lent credence to their ponderings, as our results paint a vivid picture of the confounding interplay between nomenclature and vocation. It's as if the ghost of Dickens himself were pulling the strings of correlation, orchestrating a narrative that crescendos with the enigma of "Jack" and industrial craftsmanship in the charming milieu of New Jersey.

The scatterplot, akin to a visual punchline in the grand comedy of statistical analysis, served as the punchline to our academic inquiry. The upward trend illustrated in the plot mirrors the ascent of the name "Jack" in popularity alongside the burgeoning numbers of individuals dedicated to the artistry of manipulating metal and plastic. One cannot help but chuckle in sheer disbelief at the audacity of this correlation, as if it were a plot twist artfully concocted by a mischievous bard. Indeed, the whimsy of academic exploration occasionally reveals itself in the most unexpected of places.

In light of our findings, the enigmatic dalliance between the eponymous "Jack" and the rhythmic clinks and whirs of forging machinery in the industrious landscape of New Jersey invites a cascade of droll contemplation. Could it be that the name "Jack," with all its literary, cultural, and historical baggage, has surreptitiously woven itself into the very fabric of the metal and plastic forging industry in the state? The notion tickles our intellectual fancies, and we find ourselves unable to resist a wry smile at the delightful perplexities that underpin this otherwise ordinary facet of our world.

Our research, embedded in the vivacious realm of nomenclature and occupational nuances, undeniably launches a chuckle or two amid the somber annals of academic reports. It is a testament to the quixotic journey that is scientific exploration, where the seemingly mundane can be piquantly seasoned with the flavors of unparalleled curiosity and mirth. As we navigate the labyrinthine corridors of academia, we find respite in the occasional giggles that punctuate our earnest efforts to unravel the mysteries of our intricate world.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Jack and The number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Jack's Juxtaposition: The Jive between Jack's Popularity and Forge Operator Numbers in New Jersey

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved into the fascinating world of name popularity and its surprising connection to the number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in the great state of New Jersey. Fueled by a quizzical curiosity, we harnessed data from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics to unravel the enigma. The results left us chuckling with astonishment as we uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.6813823 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the period spanning 2003 to 2022. Our findings not only tickled our academic fancies but also underscored the unforeseen synergy between the name Jack's popularity and the presence of metal and plastic forging industry workers in the bustling state of New Jersey. This study not only sparks thoughts but also kindles a zest for quirky research in the realm of nomenclature and occupational trends.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
Ah, the perplexing mysteries of the universe! As we embark on this scholarly odyssey into the peculiar nexus of nomenclature and industrial vocation, we are compelled to don our metaphorical Sherlock Holmes hats and unearth the curious correlation between the popularity of the first name Jack and the legion of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in the illustrious landscape of New Jersey.
One might wonder, how could the moniker "Jack" possibly intertwine with the artistry of metal and plastic manipulation, one of the backbone industries of the Garden State? A whimsical notion, you say? Well, as esteemed researchers, we are not content to rest on the laurels of conventionality; we prefer to wander down the path less trodden, where rabbit holes of intrigue await our unblinking gaze.
The name "Jack" has traversed through history, cropping up in literature, folklore, and popular culture with a steadfast swagger. From the labyrinthine corridors of Shakespearean drama to the whimsical tales of fables, Jack has insinuated itself into the tapestry of storytelling with an almost mischievous aplomb. But what of its synergy with the wielders of hammers, pressers of buttons, and shapers of molten metal and plastic? Are we to believe that there exists a clandestine kinship between the two? Perchance, a caterwauling chorus of "Jack be nimble, Jack be quick, Jack jump over the forging wick"? Not quite, but the stage is set for a merriment of statistical curiosity and jest!
The industrious state of New Jersey, known for its bustling metropolitan cities, verdant countryside, and enduring spirit, serves as the locale for our inquiry. As the forge sizzles and hums, so too does the cadence of name popularity ebb and flow. Could it be that the rise and fall of the Jacks in the world coincide with the clinking of metal and plastic machinery in the annals of New Jersey's industrial prowess? A curious supposition indeed!
With this backdrop of amusement and inquiry, we stand on the precipice of unveiling the riddles that lay concealed within the annals of data, statistics, and whimsy. So, dear reader, fasten your seatbelts and prepare to be regaled with the whimsical saga of Jack's juxtaposition in the heartland of forge operators in New Jersey.

[[RESULTS]]
The enigmatic tale of Jack's resonance in the realm of metal and plastic forging in New Jersey has unfolded before our incredulous eyes. Our robust statistical analysis revealed a noteworthy correlation coefficient of 0.6813823, with an r-squared value of 0.4642819, and a p-value of less than 0.01. The strength of this correlation, evident in the data collected from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics spanning the years 2003 to 2022, astonished even the most seasoned members of our research team.
As shown in Figure 1, the scatterplot graphically elucidates the striking relationship between the popularity of the first name Jack and the number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic, in New Jersey. The upward trend of the data points on the plot mirrors the ascending popularity of the name Jack with the burgeoning numbers of individuals dedicated to the artistry of metal and plastic manipulation.
The implications of our findings are perplexing yet undeniably captivating, adding a touch of whimsy to the ostensibly mundane world of industrial occupations and nomenclature trends. The unexpected thread that ties the ebbs and flows of a name's popularity to the rhythmic clinks and whirs of forging machinery in New Jersey invites further introspection and pondering. One might jest that the sweet sound of "Jack" reverberates harmoniously with the industrious symphony of metal and plastic shaping, echoing through time and space, defying conventional explanation.
Through the lens of our research, the name "Jack" has assumed an intriguing duality, transcending its status as a mere appellation to intersect with the intricate tapestry of vocational pursuits in the illustrious state of New Jersey. The resonance of this correlation may remain cloaked in curiosity, yet its existence is a testament to the inexhaustible fount of marvels that lie concealed within the purview of data and statistical inquiry.
In conclusion, our research has unearthed an unforeseen and enthralling connection between the popularity of the first name Jack and the number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic, in New Jersey. This delightful discovery not only broadens our understanding of name trends and occupational dynamics but also beckons us to embrace the delightful perplexities that underpin the seemingly ordinary facets of our world.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

As we bid adieu to this whimsical foray into the mysterious juncture of nomenclature and industrial vocations, we find ourselves both enlightened and amused by the findings that have unfolded. Our study has not only shed light on the curious correlation between the popularity of the first name Jack and the numbers of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in the vibrant landscape of New Jersey but has also served as a jocular reminder of the unexpected unions hidden within the folds of data analysis.

The compelling correlation coefficient of 0.6813823 and the jocular p-value of less than 0.01 have left us Chuckling with statistical mirth. One cannot help but be tickled by the notion that the rhythmic clinking of forging machinery seems to resonate in harmony with the rise and fall of the name "Jack." Perhaps there's an undercover symphony of "Jack be nimble" reverberating through the bustling industrial alleys of New Jersey, providing the soundtrack to the craft of metal and plastic manipulation.

Alas, no more research is needed in this area. Our findings, though delightful and astonishing, do not necessitate further exploration. The tale of Jack's juxtaposition with the forge operators in New Jersey stands as a testament to the capricious wonders that lie in the underbellies of statistical inquiry and challenges us to embrace the whimsy that underlies our analytical pursuits. As we conclude this curious odyssey, we bid adieu to the riddles of Jack's resonance, leaving them to linger as a buoyant note in the annals of scholarly curiosity.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Jack's Juxtaposition: The Jive between Jack's Popularity and Forge Operator Numbers in New Jersey. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Sociological Synchronicities


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Jack's Juxtaposition: The Jive between Jack's Popularity and Forge Operator Numbers in New Jersey. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Society for Quirky Quantitative Inquiry


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Jack's Juxtaposition: The Jive between Jack's Popularity and Forge Operator Numbers in New Jersey with an abstract of In this study, we delved into the fascinating world of name popularity and its surprising connection to the number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in the great state of New Jersey. Fueled by a quizzical curiosity, we harnessed data from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics to unravel the enigma. The results left us chuckling with astonishment as we uncovered a striking correlation coefficient of 0.6813823 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the period spanning 2003 to 2022. Our findings not only tickled our academic fancies but also underscored the unforeseen synergy between the name Jack's popularity and the presence of metal and plastic forging industry workers in the bustling state of New Jersey. This study not only sparks thoughts but also kindles a zest for quirky research in the realm of nomenclature and occupational trends.

ChatGPT:

"Jack's popularity, New Jersey, forging machine setters, forging machine operators, forging machine tenders, metal workers, plastic workers, US Social Security Administration, Bureau of Labor Statistics, name popularity, occupational trends, correlation coefficient, p-value, nomenclature, data analysis"

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Popularity of the first name Jack
Detailed data title: Babies of all sexes born in the US named Jack
Source: US Social Security Administration
See what else correlates with Popularity of the first name Jack

The number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey
Detailed data title: BLS estimate of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey
Source: Bureau of Larbor Statistics
See what else correlates with The number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey

Correlation r = 0.6813823 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.4642819 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 46.4% of the change in the one variable (i.e., The number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Popularity of the first name Jack) over the 20 years from 2003 through 2022.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 0.00094. 0.0009395037594978681000000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.68 in 0.094% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 1,064 random variables Which I absolutely did.
with the same 19 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 19 because we have two variables measured over a period of 20 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.34, 0.86 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
20032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
Popularity of the first name Jack (Babies born)93309607109161085810687991290418526818979498582875985178438848288959405894395638897
The number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey (Laborers)29034050058043029011070230290390230130220290250340360210120




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
    Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([9330,9607,10916,10858,10687,9912,9041,8526,8189,7949,8582,8759,8517,8438,8482,8895,9405,8943,9563,8897,])
array_2 = np.array([290,340,500,580,430,290,110,70,230,290,390,230,130,220,290,250,340,360,210,120,])
array_1_name = "Popularity of the first name Jack"
array_2_name = "The number of forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic in New Jersey"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 1861 · Black Variable ID: 2149 · Red Variable ID: 11730
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